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Principles of
                    Chapter 16                     Corporate Finance
                                                             Tenth Edition




                Payout Policy



                                                               Slides by
                                                           Matthew Will



McGraw-Hill/Irwin                Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
16-2


           Topics Covered
 Facts About Payout
 How Firms Pay Dividends and Repurchase Stock
 How Do Companies Decide on Payouts?
 Information in Dividends and Stock Repurchases
 The Payout Controversy
 The Rightists
 Taxes and the Radical Left
 The Middle of the Roaders
16-3

Payout Policies
16-4

             Dividend & Stock Repurchases
                            U.S. Data 1980 - 2008
               1200
               1000
                      Dividends   Repurchases   Remaining earnings
                800
                600
$ Billions




                400
                200
                  0
               -200
               -400
               -600
               -800
                  80

                  82

                  84

                  86

                  88

                  90

                  92

                  94

                  96

                  98

                  00

                  02

                  04

                  06

                  08
                19

                19

                19

                19

                19

                19

                19

                19

                19

                19

                20

                20

                20

                20

                20
16-5


                     Dividend Payments


April 15, 2009          May 11, 2009         May 13, 2009           June 10, 2009
  Exxon Mobil                               Dividend will be paid   Dividend checks
 declares regular        Shares start to       to shareholders         are mailed
quarterly dividend     trade ex dividend.         registered        to shareholders.
of $.42 per share.                               on this date.

 Declaration             Ex-dividend             Record               Payment
    Date                    Date                  Date                  Date
16-6


        Types of Dividends
Cash Dividend
Regular Cash Dividend
Special Cash Dividend
Stock Dividend
Stock Repurchase (4 methods)
 1. Buy shares on the market
 2. Tender Offer to Shareholders
 3. Dutch Auction
 4. Private Negotiation (Green Mail)
16-7


        Dividend Payments

Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm
to its shareholders.

Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines
whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend
payment; anyone holding stock before this
date is entitled to a dividend.

Record Date - Person who owns stock on this
date received the dividend.
16-8


      Dividend Payments
Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional
shares to a firm’s stockholders.


Stock Splits - Issue of additional shares to
firm’s stockholders.


Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back stock
from its shareholders.
16-9


                   The Payout Decision
                          Dividend Decision Survey (2004)

    The cost of external capital is lower than the cost of a
                         dividend cut

Rather than reducing dividends we would raise new funds
             to undertake a profitable project

                  We consider the change in the dividend

   We are reluctant to make a change that may have to be
                         reversed

                     We look at the current dividend level


            We try to maintain a smooth dividend stream


                    We try to avoid reducing the dividend

                                                               0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80    90   100

                                                               Executives who agree or strongly agree (%)
16-10


             The Payout Decision
Lintner’s “Stylized Facts,”
as updated by Brav, Graham, Harvey, Michaely (2004)

1. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that may have to be
   reversed. They are particularly worried about having to rescind a
   dividend increase and, if necessary, would choose to raise new funds to
   maintain the payout.
2. To avoid the risk of a reduction in payout, managers smooth” dividends.
   Consequently, dividend changes follow shifts in long-run sustainable
   earnings. Transitory earnings changes are unlikely to affect dividend
   payouts.
3. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels. Thus
   paying a $2.00 dividend is an important financial decision if last year’s
   dividend was $1.00, but no big deal if last year’s dividend was $2.00.
16-11


      Information in Payouts
 Dividends and stock repurchase decisions contain
  information
 The information contained in the decisions varies
 Asymmetric information may be conveyed
 Dividend increases could mean overpriced stock
  or increased future profits
 The signal varies based on prior information about
  the company
16-12


     Information in Payouts
Attitudes concerning dividend targets vary

       DIV1    target dividend
               target ratio EPS1
Dividend Change

 DIV1 - DIV0   target change
               target ratio EPS1 - DIV0
16-13


       Information in Payouts
 Dividend changes confirm the following


DIV - DIV0
   1         adjustment rate target change
             adjustment rate   target ratio EPS1 - DIV0
16-14


                                             Dividend Policy
                                         Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS
  Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as %


                                   15


                                   10


                                    5


                                    0


                                    -5
                                              Div Rise
                                              Div Cut
                                   -10


                                   -15
                                                                             Year
Source: Healy & Palepu (1988)
16-15


                            Dividend Policy
                           Before                         After
                          Dividend                       Dividend

                                                                    New
                                                                    stockholders
  Total value of firm




                                       Each share
                                       worth this
                                       before …     … and
                                                    worth
                                                      this
                                                     after             Old
                                                                       stockholders




                        Total number                    Total number
                          of shares                       of shares

Example of 1/3rd of worth paid as dividend and raising money via new shares
16-16


            Dividend Policy

              Dividend financed      No dividend, no
                by stock issue         stock issue
               New stockholders      New stockholders

   Shares
            Cash

Firm                              Cash             Shares


            Cash
               Old stockholders      Old stockholders
16-17


  Dividend Policy is Irrelevant
Since investors do not need dividends to
 convert shares to cash they will not pay
 higher prices for firms with higher dividend
 payouts. In other words, dividend policy
 will have no impact on the value of the firm.
16-18


   Dividend Policy is Irrelevant
Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a
  $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs.
  Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet
  information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares
  are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date
Cash         1,000
Asset Value 9,000
Total Value 10,000 +
New Proj NPV  2,000
# of Shares   1,000
price/share   $12
16-19


    Dividend Policy is Irrelevant
Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a
  $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs.
  Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet
  information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares
  are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date                       Pmt Date
Cash         1,000                0
Asset Value 9,000                 9,000
Total Value 10,000 +              9,000
New Proj NPV  2,000               2,000
# of Shares   1,000               1,000
price/share   $12                 $11
16-20


      Dividend Policy is Irrelevant
Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a
  $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs.
  Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet
  information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares
  are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date                       Pmt Date          Post Pmt
Cash         1,000                0                 1,000 (91 sh @ $11)
Asset Value 9,000                 9,000             9,000
Total Value 10,000 +              9,000             10,000
New Proj NPV  2,000               2,000             2,000
# of Shares   1,000               1,000             1,091
price/share   $12                 $11               $11
                 NEW SHARES ARE ISSUED
16-21


   Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

                    Record
Stock               12,000
Cash                 0

Total Value         12,000

Stock = 1,000 sh @ $12 = 12,000
16-22


   Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

                    Record        Pmt
Stock               12,000        11,000
Cash                 0            1,000

Total Value         12,000        12,000

Stock = 1,000sh @ $11 = 11,000
16-23


    Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

                     Record        Pmt           Post
Stock                12,000        11,000        12,000
Cash                  0            1,000           0

Total Value          12,000        12,000        12,000

Stock = 1,091sh @ $115 = 12,000
 Assume stockholders purchase the new issue with the cash
  dividend proceeds.
16-24


          Dividend Theories
Leftists (M&M) - Dividend does not effect value

Rightists - Dividends increase value

Middle of the roaders - Leftist theory with some
 reality thrown in.

Residual Dividend Policy
16-25


      Dividends Increase Value

Market Imperfections and Clientele Effect
 There are natural clients for high-payout
 stocks, but it does not follow that any particular
 firm can benefit by increasing its dividends. The
 high dividend clientele already have plenty of high
 dividend stock to choose from.

  These clients increase the price of the stock
  through their demand for a dividend paying stock.
16-26


      Dividends Increase Value

Dividends as Signals
  Dividend increases send good news about cash
  flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send bad news.

  Because a high dividend payout policy will be
  costly to firms that do not have the cash flow to
  support it, dividend increases signal a company’s
  good fortune and its manager’s confidence in
  future cash flows.
16-27


     Dividends Decrease Value

Tax Consequences
  Companies can convert dividends into capital
  gains by shifting their dividend policies. If
  dividends are taxed more heavily than capital
  gains, taxpaying investors should welcome such a
  move and value the firm more favorably.

  In such a tax environment, the total cash flow
  retained by the firm and/or held by shareholders
  will be higher than if dividends are paid.
16-28


   Taxes and Dividend Policy
Since capital gains are taxed at a lower rate
 than dividend income, companies should
 pay the lowest dividend possible.
Dividend policy should adjust to changes in
 the tax code.
16-29


           Taxes and Dividend Policy

                                                Firm A                               Firm B
                                                (no dividend)                        (high dividend)
Next year' s price                              112.50                               102.50
Dividend                                        0                                    10
Total pretax payoff                             112.50                               112.50
Today' s stock price                            100                                  97.78
Capital gain                                    12.50                                4.72
                                     12.5                                 14.72
Pretax rate of return (%)            100    100 12.5                      97.78   100 15.05
Tax on div @ 50%                                0                           .40 10    4.00
Tax on Cap Gain @ 20%               .20 12.50       2.50                  .20 4.72    0.94
Total After Tax income
                               (0 12.50) 2.50 10                (10 4.72) (4 0.94)    9.78
(div cap gain - taxes)
                                      10                                  9.78
After tax rate of return (%)          100   100 10.0                      97.78   100 10.0
16-30


     Taxes and Dividend Policy
In U.S., shareholders are taxed twice (figures in dollars)


                                           Cash Flow


   Operating Income                            100.00
   Corporate tax at 35%                         35.00
   After Tax income (paid as div)               65.00
   Income tax paid by investors at 15.0%         9.75
   Cash to Shareholder                          55.25
16-31


     Taxes and Dividend Policy
 Under imputed tax systems, such as that in Australia, Shareholders
 receive a tax credit for the corporate tax the firm pays (figures in
 Australian dollars)

                                            Rate of Income tax

                                15%                   30%           47%
Operating Income                      100               100           100
Corporate tax (Tc=.30)                 30                30            30
After Tax income                       70                70            70

Grossed up Dividend                   100              100              100
Income tax                             15               30               47
Tax credit for Corp Pmt               -30              -30              -30
Tax due from shareholder              -15                0               17
Cash to Shareholder                    85               70               53
16-32


           Dividend Theories

       Residual Dividend Policy

   r


         MRI = IRR




12 %                              COC



                                   QTY $$$
16-33


                   Web Resources
Click to access web sites
Internet connection required


   www.earnings.com
   www.ex-dividend.com
   www.dripcentral.com

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Chapter 16

  • 1. Principles of Chapter 16 Corporate Finance Tenth Edition Payout Policy Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2. 16-2 Topics Covered  Facts About Payout  How Firms Pay Dividends and Repurchase Stock  How Do Companies Decide on Payouts?  Information in Dividends and Stock Repurchases  The Payout Controversy  The Rightists  Taxes and the Radical Left  The Middle of the Roaders
  • 4. 16-4 Dividend & Stock Repurchases U.S. Data 1980 - 2008 1200 1000 Dividends Repurchases Remaining earnings 800 600 $ Billions 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20
  • 5. 16-5 Dividend Payments April 15, 2009 May 11, 2009 May 13, 2009 June 10, 2009 Exxon Mobil Dividend will be paid Dividend checks declares regular Shares start to to shareholders are mailed quarterly dividend trade ex dividend. registered to shareholders. of $.42 per share. on this date. Declaration Ex-dividend Record Payment Date Date Date Date
  • 6. 16-6 Types of Dividends Cash Dividend Regular Cash Dividend Special Cash Dividend Stock Dividend Stock Repurchase (4 methods) 1. Buy shares on the market 2. Tender Offer to Shareholders 3. Dutch Auction 4. Private Negotiation (Green Mail)
  • 7. 16-7 Dividend Payments Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders. Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend payment; anyone holding stock before this date is entitled to a dividend. Record Date - Person who owns stock on this date received the dividend.
  • 8. 16-8 Dividend Payments Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders. Stock Splits - Issue of additional shares to firm’s stockholders. Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back stock from its shareholders.
  • 9. 16-9 The Payout Decision Dividend Decision Survey (2004) The cost of external capital is lower than the cost of a dividend cut Rather than reducing dividends we would raise new funds to undertake a profitable project We consider the change in the dividend We are reluctant to make a change that may have to be reversed We look at the current dividend level We try to maintain a smooth dividend stream We try to avoid reducing the dividend 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Executives who agree or strongly agree (%)
  • 10. 16-10 The Payout Decision Lintner’s “Stylized Facts,” as updated by Brav, Graham, Harvey, Michaely (2004) 1. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that may have to be reversed. They are particularly worried about having to rescind a dividend increase and, if necessary, would choose to raise new funds to maintain the payout. 2. To avoid the risk of a reduction in payout, managers smooth” dividends. Consequently, dividend changes follow shifts in long-run sustainable earnings. Transitory earnings changes are unlikely to affect dividend payouts. 3. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels. Thus paying a $2.00 dividend is an important financial decision if last year’s dividend was $1.00, but no big deal if last year’s dividend was $2.00.
  • 11. 16-11 Information in Payouts  Dividends and stock repurchase decisions contain information  The information contained in the decisions varies  Asymmetric information may be conveyed  Dividend increases could mean overpriced stock or increased future profits  The signal varies based on prior information about the company
  • 12. 16-12 Information in Payouts Attitudes concerning dividend targets vary DIV1 target dividend target ratio EPS1 Dividend Change DIV1 - DIV0 target change target ratio EPS1 - DIV0
  • 13. 16-13 Information in Payouts Dividend changes confirm the following DIV - DIV0 1 adjustment rate target change adjustment rate target ratio EPS1 - DIV0
  • 14. 16-14 Dividend Policy Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as % 15 10 5 0 -5 Div Rise Div Cut -10 -15 Year Source: Healy & Palepu (1988)
  • 15. 16-15 Dividend Policy Before After Dividend Dividend New stockholders Total value of firm Each share worth this before … … and worth this after Old stockholders Total number Total number of shares of shares Example of 1/3rd of worth paid as dividend and raising money via new shares
  • 16. 16-16 Dividend Policy Dividend financed No dividend, no by stock issue stock issue New stockholders New stockholders Shares Cash Firm Cash Shares Cash Old stockholders Old stockholders
  • 17. 16-17 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to cash they will not pay higher prices for firms with higher dividend payouts. In other words, dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm.
  • 18. 16-18 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Cash 1,000 Asset Value 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + New Proj NPV 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 price/share $12
  • 19. 16-19 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Pmt Date Cash 1,000 0 Asset Value 9,000 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + 9,000 New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 1,000 price/share $12 $11
  • 20. 16-20 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Pmt Date Post Pmt Cash 1,000 0 1,000 (91 sh @ $11) Asset Value 9,000 9,000 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + 9,000 10,000 New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 1,000 1,091 price/share $12 $11 $11 NEW SHARES ARE ISSUED
  • 21. 16-21 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Record Stock 12,000 Cash 0 Total Value 12,000 Stock = 1,000 sh @ $12 = 12,000
  • 22. 16-22 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Record Pmt Stock 12,000 11,000 Cash 0 1,000 Total Value 12,000 12,000 Stock = 1,000sh @ $11 = 11,000
  • 23. 16-23 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Record Pmt Post Stock 12,000 11,000 12,000 Cash 0 1,000 0 Total Value 12,000 12,000 12,000 Stock = 1,091sh @ $115 = 12,000  Assume stockholders purchase the new issue with the cash dividend proceeds.
  • 24. 16-24 Dividend Theories Leftists (M&M) - Dividend does not effect value Rightists - Dividends increase value Middle of the roaders - Leftist theory with some reality thrown in. Residual Dividend Policy
  • 25. 16-25 Dividends Increase Value Market Imperfections and Clientele Effect There are natural clients for high-payout stocks, but it does not follow that any particular firm can benefit by increasing its dividends. The high dividend clientele already have plenty of high dividend stock to choose from. These clients increase the price of the stock through their demand for a dividend paying stock.
  • 26. 16-26 Dividends Increase Value Dividends as Signals Dividend increases send good news about cash flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send bad news. Because a high dividend payout policy will be costly to firms that do not have the cash flow to support it, dividend increases signal a company’s good fortune and its manager’s confidence in future cash flows.
  • 27. 16-27 Dividends Decrease Value Tax Consequences Companies can convert dividends into capital gains by shifting their dividend policies. If dividends are taxed more heavily than capital gains, taxpaying investors should welcome such a move and value the firm more favorably. In such a tax environment, the total cash flow retained by the firm and/or held by shareholders will be higher than if dividends are paid.
  • 28. 16-28 Taxes and Dividend Policy Since capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than dividend income, companies should pay the lowest dividend possible. Dividend policy should adjust to changes in the tax code.
  • 29. 16-29 Taxes and Dividend Policy Firm A Firm B (no dividend) (high dividend) Next year' s price 112.50 102.50 Dividend 0 10 Total pretax payoff 112.50 112.50 Today' s stock price 100 97.78 Capital gain 12.50 4.72 12.5 14.72 Pretax rate of return (%) 100 100 12.5 97.78 100 15.05 Tax on div @ 50% 0 .40 10 4.00 Tax on Cap Gain @ 20% .20 12.50 2.50 .20 4.72 0.94 Total After Tax income (0 12.50) 2.50 10 (10 4.72) (4 0.94) 9.78 (div cap gain - taxes) 10 9.78 After tax rate of return (%) 100 100 10.0 97.78 100 10.0
  • 30. 16-30 Taxes and Dividend Policy In U.S., shareholders are taxed twice (figures in dollars) Cash Flow Operating Income 100.00 Corporate tax at 35% 35.00 After Tax income (paid as div) 65.00 Income tax paid by investors at 15.0% 9.75 Cash to Shareholder 55.25
  • 31. 16-31 Taxes and Dividend Policy Under imputed tax systems, such as that in Australia, Shareholders receive a tax credit for the corporate tax the firm pays (figures in Australian dollars) Rate of Income tax 15% 30% 47% Operating Income 100 100 100 Corporate tax (Tc=.30) 30 30 30 After Tax income 70 70 70 Grossed up Dividend 100 100 100 Income tax 15 30 47 Tax credit for Corp Pmt -30 -30 -30 Tax due from shareholder -15 0 17 Cash to Shareholder 85 70 53
  • 32. 16-32 Dividend Theories Residual Dividend Policy r MRI = IRR 12 % COC QTY $$$
  • 33. 16-33 Web Resources Click to access web sites Internet connection required www.earnings.com www.ex-dividend.com www.dripcentral.com