US Economic Review & Outlook

1. Economic Update and Outlook December 2010 Michael J. Stead Director of Capital Markets

2. Gross Domestic Product GDP = Personal consumption + Investments + (Exports – Imports) + Government spending Source: Bloomberg

3. GDP by Component

4. Employment - continuing claims Source: Bloomberg

5. Employment – Total Source: Bloomberg

6. Home Prices Source: Bloomberg

7. Delinquencies as % of all Residential Loans (excl. REOs) Source: Bloomberg

8. Consumer Confidence Source: Bloomberg

9. Retail Sales (excl. Walmart) Source: Bloomberg

10. Inflation – Still Tame Source: Bloomberg

11. ISM Indices Source: Bloomberg

12. Deleveraging Households Source: Federal Reserve

13. U.S. Gross National Debt Gross

14. Persistent Current Account Deficit The current account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid). Harbinger of weaker US dollar, mitigated by country “Safety & Soundness”

15. Foreign Exchange USD/Euro Source: Bloomberg

16. This is a list of countries by external debt, the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services, where the public debt is the money or credit owed by any level of government, from central to local, and the private debt the money or credit owed by private households or private corporations based in the country under consideration.

17. Interest Rates - Short Source: Bloomberg

20. Global View (Source IMF) 2009 GDP (millions of USD) The significance of Europe and the USA Note: China’s GDP understated; does not include $215 billion from Hong Kong AND is calculated at the official exchange rate! Source: Wikipedia®