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Unlocking the Power of Aviation Operations Data




Assessing airport gate usage
Utilization, turn times and delays

AGIFORS Symposium
October 12, 2012

Joshua Marks
Chief Executive Officer
josh@masflight.com
Mobile. +1 703-994-0000

4833 Rugby Avenue, Suite 301
Bethesda, Maryland 20814 USA
www.masflight.com
OVERVIEW



Study of gate scheduling, usage and delays

          Scope and Methodology
                                                      This study reviews how U.S. carriers
                                                      schedule gate operations and execute
                       Airlines studied:              turns, and how those factors impact
              American, Alaska, JetBlue, Delta,
             AirTran, Spirit, United, US Airways,     departure and taxi delays by airport
                Virgin America and Southwest

                 Time period analyzed:                •   Large-scale analysis covering 3 months
       June 1, 2012 through August 31, 2012

                   Stations in data set:              •   Multi-airline, with both hub-and-spoke and
               U.S. and Puerto Rico airports              point-to-point carriers on domestic and
                                                          international routes from the U.S.
                      Flights included:
            All domestic and international flights
            including those by regional affiliates    •   Gate turns based on airline-reported data
                                                          (published via FIDS or flight status systems)
                   Records in data set:
          1.6 million flights with gate & turn data
              at 3,900 discrete airline gates         •   Aligns with schedule information to match
                                                          gates to airline terminals and operators
                           Data source:
                               masFlight
       (includes data from FlightStats, OAG, DOT)
                                                      •   Incorporates weather and delay causes
                                                          in order to discern patterns in gate congestion

SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
DEFINITIONS



Definitions

Scheduled Turn Time                 Actual Turn Time            Gate Utilization

    The scheduled time                The actual time            Number of flights
     planned at the gate             gate in to gate out,      that depart daily from
    between inbound and              for a single aircraft    a given gate, including
       outbound flights               at a given station       RONs and gate-tows




      Gate Buffer Time                   Hold-Outs            Delay Generation

    The time between                Flights that land to an   Departure delay of the
   gate operations, from             occupied gate or a        outbound flight minus
  each gate departure to             blocked ramp area,       the arrival delay of the
      the next arrival              requiring taxi-in hold      preceding inbound



SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
D ATA S E T U S E D



Completeness of Data Set
We compiled a sufficiently broad data set to conduct this analysis


                                        Data Set Coverage     Our data set included all flights where
               Airline
                                         as % of Flights      we could identify a clean gate turn
            American*                                   98%   and distinct departure gates
                Alaska                                  80%
                                                              • For turn times we eliminated RONs,
               JetBlue                                  85%     gate tows, and concurrent departures from
                Delta*                                  98%     the same gate. We included actual turns
                                                                between 20 and 240 minutes.
               Frontier                                 98%

                 Spirit                                 98%   • Where possible matched tail numbers as
                                                                well as aircraft gate data to determine
               United*                                  89%
                                                                aircraft turn time and gate utilization
          US Airways*                                   98%
                                                              • When gate data unavailable (Puerto Rico
        Virgin America                                  91%
                                                                and Alaska) we had comparably lower
            Southwest                               100%        coverage – Alaska Airlines and JetBlue
* Coverage excludes certain small and non-US stations


  SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
A N A LY Z I N G S C H E D U L E D T U R N S



Scheduled Turns: Major Hub Carriers
      American – Scheduled Turns                                                                 American – Delays
             0           20,000     40,000     60,000
                                                                                                 by Scheduled Turn                                                               We looked at how legacy




                                                                            31.6
                                                                                   31.5
 0-29 min
                                                                                                                                                                                 hub carriers scheduled
                                                                                                                                                                                 turns across their networks




                                                                                          26
30-44 min




                                                         Minutes of Delay
45-59 min
                                                                                                                                                                                •   Domestic mainline turns
60-74 min




                                                                                                                                    10.3


                                                                                                                                                     10.1
                                                                                                                                                              9.7
                                                                                                  9.7




                                                                                                                       9.2




                                                                                                                                             9.1
                                                                                                                              8.3
                                                                                                                8.2
                                                                                                                                                                                •   Most between 45 and 60 minutes




                                                                                                         7.8




                                                                                                                                                                      6.5
75-89 min

  90-119…
                                                                                                                                                                                •   Large aircraft require longer turns
120+ min
                                                                            30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
                                                                                      Scheduled Turn Time
                                                                                                                                                                                •   30-min turns due to aircraft
                                                                                      (5 minute increments)                                                                         swaps and non-routines

         United – Scheduled Turns                                                                 United – Delays                                                               •   Delay minutes significantly
                                                                                                 by Scheduled Turn                                                                  higher for <45 minute turns
             0     10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
                                                                            40.9
                                                                                   37.6




  0-29 min
                                                                                                                                                                                •   American shows stability in
 30-44 min                                                                                                                                                                          delay minutes across turn times
                                                        Minutes of Delay



                                                                                          22.4




 45-59 min
                                                                                                 21.3
                                                                                                        21.1
                                                                                                               20.9




                                                                                                                                                                                •   United has expected pattern:
                                                                                                                      17.7
                                                                                                                             17.5




                                                                                                                                                   17.4
                                                                                                                                                            15.2
 60-74 min
                                                                                                                                           14.6




                                                                                                                                                                    13.9            as scheduled turn times
                                                                                                                                    15




 75-89 min
                                                                                                                                                                                    increase, the delay minutes
90-119 min                                                                                                                                                                          incurred decrease
 120+ min
                                                                            30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
                                                                                      Scheduled Turn Time
                                                                                      (5 minute increments)
SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
A N A LY Z I N G S C H E D U L E D T U R N S



Scheduled Turns: Hub Carriers w/Smaller Aircraft
        JetBlue – Scheduled Turns                                                              JetBlue – Delays
                                                                                           by Scheduled Turn Time                                                           JetBlue, Delta, US Airways &




                                                                                  37.2
                0       5,000       10,000   15,000   20,000
                                                                                                                                                                            Spirit had a mix of turn times
  0-29 min
                                                                                                                                                                            with more 30-44 minute turns
 30-44 min




                                                               Minutes of Delay
                                                                                                                                                                            than United or American
 45-59 min




                                                                                                              14.9




                                                                                                                                          14.9
                                                                                                       14.1


                                                                                                                     13.9


                                                                                                                                   13.8
                                                                                                13.7




                                                                                                                            13.4
                                                                                         13.3
 60-74 min                                                                                                                                                                   •   Domestic mainline turns




                                                                                                                                                 10.6
                                                                                                                                                        10.5
                                                                                                                                                               10.4
                                                                                                                                                                      12
 75-89 min
                                                                                                                                                                             •   Quicker turns at outstations
90-119 min
                                                                                                                                                                                 and away from key hubs
 120+ min
                                                                                  30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
                                                                                       Scheduled Turn Time (5 minute                                                         •   Consistent distribution of turn
                                                                                                increments)
                                                                                                                                                                                 times across this airline set
          Delta – Scheduled Turns                                                               Delta – Delays
                                                                                           by Scheduled Turn Time
                                                                                                                                                                             •   Mainline smaller jets (EMB-
                0          20,000        40,000       60,000                                                                                                                     190, DC-9 series)
                                                                                  21.7




  0-29 min                                                                                                                                                                       drives faster pace as well
                                                               Minutes of Delay




 30-44 min
                                                                                         14.5




                                                                                                                                                                             •   Delta has similar pattern as
 45-59 min
                                                                                                                                                                                 United – as turn time increase,
                                                                                                9.2




 60-74 min                                                                                                                                                                       delays decrease
                                                                                                              7.1
                                                                                                                     6.2
                                                                                                                            6.1




                                                                                                                                                 5.8
                                                                                                       7




                                                                                                                                   5.5
                                                                                                                                          4.9




                                                                                                                                                                      4.7
                                                                                                                                                        4.5


 75-89 min
                                                                                                                                                               5


                                                                                                                                                                             •   Demonstrates importance of
90-119 min
                                                                                                                                                                                 aircraft mix and how turn time
 120+ min                                                                         30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90                                                         insulates inbound delays
                                                                                       Scheduled Turn Time (5 minute
                                                                                                increments)

SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
A N A LY Z I N G S C H E D U L E D T U R N S



Scheduled Turns: LCCs with utilization priority
    Southwest – Scheduled Turns                                                              Southwest – Delays
                                                                                             by Scheduled Turn
              0              100,000          200,000                                                                                                                        For quick turn airlines, several




                                                                                                                        16.3
  0-29 min                                                                                                                                                                   new factors to consider




                                                                                                          15.1




                                                                                                                                      15.1



                                                                                                                                                           16
                                                                                                                                                                 14.8
                                                                                                                                             14.5
                                                                                                                               13.8



                                                                                                                                                    13.5
                                                                                                                 13.4
                                                        Minutes of Delay

                                                                               12.4
 30-44 min




                                                                                                   12.2
                                                                                      11.1
                                                                                                                                                                             •   Southwest and AirTran have




                                                                                             11
 45-59 min
                                                                                                                                                                                 similarities in gate turn planning
 60-74 min

 75-89 min
                                                                                                                                                                             •   Material differences in aircraft size
90-119 min                                                                                                                                                                       (717 vs. 73G/H), product
 120+ min                                                                                                                                                                        and carry-on bags!
                                                                              30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
                                                                                       Scheduled Turn Time
                                                                                       (5 minute increments)                                                                 •   Short turns for Southwest are
                                                                                                                                                                                 routine; 30-minute scheduled
       AirTran – Scheduled Turns                                                               AirTran – Delays
                                                                                              by Scheduled Turn                                                                  turns for AirTran reflect swaps
              0         10,000       20,000    30,000
                                                                              24.8




  0-29 min                                                                                                                                                                   •   Southwest schedules longer turns
 30-44 min                                                                                                                                                                       at congested stations that are
                                                           Minutes of Delay




 45-59 min                                                                                                                                                                       associated with longer delays
 60-74 min
                                                                                                                                                                             •   Therefore WN demonstrates the
 75-89 min
                                                                                                                                             5.4




                                                                                                                                                                                 opposite pattern as others – as
                                                                                      4.5
                                                                                             3.8




                                                                                                                                                                 3.5
                                                                                                   5
                                                                                                          3.3


                                                                                                                        2.8




                                                                                                                                                           2.5
                                                                                                                 2.4


                                                                                                                               2.2



                                                                                                                                                    1.6




90-119 min
                                                                                                                                      1.2




                                                                                                                                                                                 turn time goes up, so do delays
 120+ min
                                                                              30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
                                                                                       Scheduled Turn Time
 SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
                                                                                       (5 minute increments)
SCHEDULED VS. ACTUAL TURNS



Scheduled vs. Actual Turns at Gates
Actual time on gate averages higher than scheduled time

    Mainline
     Only
                          Scheduled     Actual     Difference   Different factors drive a longer
  Southwest                  34.6 min   42.6 min    +8.0 min    actual time on gate than scheduled
     AirTran                    48.8     50.5         +1.7
     JetBlue                    51.2     59.1         +7.9
                                                                •   Actual turn is time on gate, not the time
      Spirit                    53.9     57.7         +3.8
                                                                    required to deplane, clean/prep, and board
      Delta                     58.0     67.1         +9.1
                                                                •   Each airline demonstrated longer actual
     Alaska                     58.8     62.2         +3.4
                                                                    turns than scheduled turns
   American                     61.4     70.4         +9.0
     United                     63.0     76.1*       +13.1*     •   Drivers include strong A0 performance,
      Virgin                    63.3     73.6        +10.3          conservative blocks, long-haul flights
  US Airways                    66.1     71.2         +5.1
                                                                •   However, actual turns also exhibit airline-
   Mainline &                                                       specific turn time issues (WN and UA)
                          Scheduled     Actual     Difference
   Regionals
     United                  49.5 min   58.3 min   +8.8 min*
                                                                •   Blue table shows mainline operations only
   American                     51.1     58.4         7.3
                                                                •   Red table includes regional carriers
     Alaska                     53.0     56.6         3.6
  US Airways                    55.1     58.1         3.0       •   Note turn performance by regional carriers
      Delta                     55.2     62.3         7.1
                                                                     •   Smaller aircraft, gate checked bags
* Reflects IT cutover

 SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
G AT E U T I L I Z AT I O N



Now let’s look at daily utilization of gates
Which carriers extract the most turns per gate?


      Daily Departures per Gate Used                                    Not surprisingly, the more carriers
             June 1 through August 31, 2012
              Gates with minimum 1x daily use                           use gates, the lower the scheduled
                                                                        turn times by airline must be
                                       Top 10
                                                      U.S. System
                                      Airports
                                                                        •   The shorter the turn, the more rotations
       Southwest                    8.4 flights/day   7.5 flights/day       the airline can squeeze out of a given gate
        American                         6.4               5.4
                                                                        •   But buffer times and density of utilization
          Alaska                         6.4               4.7              vary widely by carrier.
          United                         6.3               4.9
                                                                        •   Carrier gate utilization at key hubs generally
      US Airways                         6.3               5.2              exceeds utilization over their U.S. system
         JetBlue                         5.7               5.1
                                                                        •   At competitive hubs, higher gate utilization;
         AirTran                         5.6               4.4              at non-competitive hubs, gate squatting as
           Delta                         5.2               4.7              competitive deterrence




SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
U T I L I Z AT I O N B Y H U B



Daily Utilization of Gates, by Hub
Surveying different carriers – daily departures per gate used, for hubs & focus cities

         United Airlines Hubs                                         Alaska Airlines Hubs                                        American Hubs
           Average Daily Deps per Gate Used                              Average Daily Deps per Gate Used                      Average Daily Deps per Gate Used

    CLE                             3.6                            SJC                    4.0                            JFK                  2.7
     IAD                            3.8                            LAX                     4.3
                                                                                                                         MIA                            5.0
     IAH                                  5.8                      GEG                     4.4
   DEN                                     6.1                     SFO                           5.3                     LGA                                      6.4
   EWR                                     6.2                     ANC                           5.4                     LAX                                        6.8
   SFO                                           7.2               PDX                           5.5
                                                                                                                         DFW                                         6.9
    LAX                                          7.4               SAN                                 6.4
   ORD                                            7.7              SEA                                       7.8         ORD                                            7.2



                 JetBlue Focus                                            US Airways Hubs                                           AirTran Hubs
           Average Daily Deps per Gate Used                              Average Daily Deps per Gate Used                      Average Daily Deps per Gate Used


    FLL                                   4.9                      BOS                          4.2                      MKE                          4.7
   DCA                                      5.2
                                                                   PHX                             4.9
                                                                                                                         ATL                                5.5
   MCO                                           5.8
                                                                   PHL                                        6.6
   BOS                                           5.8
                                                                                                                         BWI                                  5.9
                                                                  DCA                                          6.9
    JFK                                           6.0

                                                                   CLT                                             7.2   MCO                                        6.6
   LGB                                            6.2


SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)                       June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use
U T I L I Z AT I O N B Y H U B



Daily Utilization of Gates, by Hub (2)
Surveying different carriers – daily departures per gate used, for hubs & focus cities


                Delta Hubs                                        Southwest Focus                      There are substantial
      Average Daily Deps per Gate Used                        Average Daily Deps per Gate Used
                                                                                                  differences in how Southwest
MEM                           2.9                           PHX                   7.2               operates its focus airports
CVG                                 3.5                     MDW                   7.5                   Fast and consistent pace

JFK                                   4.0                   HOU                    7.5            40 minutes on gate, 20 minutes buffer
BOS                                       4.6               MCO                    7.9              Minimal banking – rolling system
DTW                                       4.6               LAX                     8.3                    In contrast, Delta:
MSP                                         4.8             DAL                      8.4              Uses larger aircraft at hubs –
SLC                                          5.2            DEN                      8.5
                                                                                                       requires longer turn times

LGA                                             5.4         OAK                      8.5           Hub average gate departures still
                                                                                                  below United, American, US Airways
LAX                                               5.8       LAS                          9.5              (6x vs. 7-8x daily)
ATL                                                   6.3   BWI                            10.3       Also reflects Delta strategy of
                                                                                                         controlling gate assets
            June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use



SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
HOLD OUTS



Tight Turns and Holdouts
What percent of daytime flights likely arrive to an occupied gate or ramp area?

                           Delta                                            American                                      US Airways

 DCA                                           16.1%         DFW                               20.8%              PHX                           15.9%

  ATL                                         14.4%           MIA                         16.4%                    LGA                         14.7%

 BOS                                   11.2%                  LAS                       15.2%                      CLT                  9.9%

 MCO                                   10.9%                 ORD                        14.6%                     DCA               8.6%

 PHL                                  10.0%                   CLT                       14.6%                     DTW              8.0%

 LGA                                  10.0%                   ATL                     13.8%                        LAX             7.9%

 SEA                                 9.0%                     LAX                    12.6%                         PHL           6.7%

 MSP                                8.1%                     DTW                  10.0%                           CMH            5.9%

  LAX                               8.0%                     BNA                  10.0%                           ORD      3.4%

  IND                           7.2%                         DEN                 9.2%                             EWR      3.4%

  CLT                          6.7%                          LGA              7.1%                                BOS     2.7%

 SLC                          6.5%                           DCA              7.0%                                  PIT   2.4%



                                                 June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use.
SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)                  Tight turn is less than 10 minutes open buffer (last out to next in)
HOLD OUTS



Tight Turns and Holdouts (2)
United and Southwest show similar patterns

                        United                                          Southwest
                                                                                                           Interestingly, WN is similar to
SFO                                          22.2%        LAS                              20.4%
                                                                                                           others in the percent of flights
                                                                                                             that hold out after landing
ORD                                         20.7%         SEA                          17.2%
                                                                                                               Tightly orchestrated ballet at WN
 LAX                                    18.1%             STL                        15.9%

 IAH                                 14.8%                BWI                       14.8%                          Not much block padding –
                                                                                                                      Just in time arrivals
DEN                                 14.2%                 LAX                      13.8%
                                                                                                            Explains why when things go wrong,
EWR                                 13.0%                 DEN                     12.8%
                                                                                                            delays transfer downstream quickly
DFW                      7.3%                             AUS                    12.7%

 LAS                    7.0%                              SFO                   11.7%                                Compare to United
 STL                   6.2%                              MCO                  10.2%
                                                                                                           UA has longer time on gate to absorb
MSP                   6.0%                                SNA                9.2%                           late inbound delays, but has similar
                                                                                                                   buffers between flights
COS                   6.0%                               HOU                 9.1%

PDX                   5.7%                                ABQ                8.8%
                                                                                                               Different block strategy than WN



                                                    June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use.
SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)                     Tight turn is less than 10 minutes open buffer (last out to next in)
U T I L I Z AT I O N V S . H O L D - O U T S



Connecting gate planning to delays
It is possible to quantitatively connect gate congestion with delay minutes

                                             Gate Utilization vs.
                                                                                   A broad-based comparison of gate
                                          % of Hold-Out/Close Waits
                                                                                   utilization demonstrates a positive
                            25.0%
                                                                                 correlation between gate utilization and
                                                                                      flights waiting for open gates
                            20.0%
                                                                                  When a flight waits for a gate, it transfers delay
                                                                                 minutes and is associated with increased carrier-
Hold-Outs and Close Waits




                                                                                              caused delay minutes
                            15.0%

                                                                                         Increase in Delay Minutes after
                            10.0%                                                         Inbound Flight Waits for Gate

                                                                                                       Delay mins at        Delay mins
                                                                                      Airline
                                                                                                        airport by           from late
                            5.0%                                                    (Mainline)
                                                                                                          carrier          inbound a/c
                                                                                   Southwest                +41%               +20%
                                                                                   US Airways               +13%               +4%
                            0.0%
                                    3.0           5.0         7.0          9.0        Delta                 +2%                +18%
                                                 Gate Departures per Day            American                +6%                +18%
                                                                                     United                 +6%                +7%
                                          Close Turn      Linear (Close Turn)


SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
D E L AY G E N E R AT I O N



So where are delays generated?
Delay generation is outbound departure delay minus inbound arrival delay, by turn
               Delta Airlines                                           United Airlines                                        Southwest Airlines
                (July 2012)                                              (July 2012)                                              (July 2012)

  LAS                                            3.8            ORD                                        3.6           DEN                                4.4
  SFO                                      1.6                   SFO                                      2.5            LAS                                4.3
 LGA                                      1.5                    LAX                                      2.5            BWI                              3.8
  SLC                                0.6                          IAH                                1.5                 PHX                              3.7
 MSP                                 0.5                        EWR                                  1.3                MDW                           3.2
  SEA                               0.3                          DEN                                0.4                 HOU                         2.2
 DTW                                0.0                          SEA                                0.1                  LAX                  0.8
 DCA                    -0.3                                      IAD                        -0.3                       OAK                  0.5
  ATL                  -0.5                                      SAN                         -0.8                        STL                0.0
  LAX                -0.8                                       MCO                        -1.6                         MCO          -0.7
 MCO               -1.2                                          LAS                       -1.8                          DAL         -0.7
  JFK              -1.2                                          BOS                      -2.5                           TPA         -0.7
   FLL             -1.2                                          PDX                  -3.9                               SAN       -1.3
 MEM              -1.5                                           CLE               -6.1                                  BNA       -1.4
  TPA           -1.9                                             HNL        -8.9                                         SJC -2.2

                                                   Flights during July 2012 (domestic + international, mainline + regional).
                                                        A positive number indicates the airport generates delays.
SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)                        A negative number indicates that the airport absorbs delays.
G AT E C H O I C E



Gate choice impacts on-time performance
Where a carrier gates specific flights impacts their on-time performance

                               Boston Logan                     Average Taxi-Out Times by Gate
                                                                                                            (June-Aug 2012)

Terminal C at JetBlue has deep alleys
where push-backs block ramp access
•        Inside gates (C11, C12, C26, C40-42)
         have 2-3 minute longer taxi times                                 21.3

             •       C11 and C12 subject to conflicting                                       19.1
                     operations by United Airlines                                       19.8

             •       Both taxi-in and taxi-out                                                               17.7
                                                                                         18.7
                                                                                                18.3
•        This has an observable impact on                                                                           17.6
         on-time performance when utilizing gates                                                               17.8
                                                                              20.5
                                                                    20.4
             •       C11 and C12 – up to 72% on-time                                                         17.9
                                                                 20.4
                                                                                                         17.4
             •       C26, C40, C42 – up to 75% on-time
                                                                                       18.8       18.5
             •       C33 to C36 – up to 79% on-time
                                                          Three months of operations, June 1, 2012 through August 31, 2012


    SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
G AT E C H O I C E



Another example of gate blocking: BWI
Southwest’s Baltimore terminal has significant ramp issues too

                         Baltimore (Terminal A/B)
                              14.6                                                  Terminal A’s north finger creates a
    12.2                         15.3
                                                                                    blocking and delay problem for 3 gates
         12.4                      15.4

              11.8                                                                  •   Gates A6, A8 and A10 have 2-3 minutes
                                                                                        longer taxi-out times than others
                                11.9
                                    11.8                                            •   Notable difference in delay performance
                                       12.1                                              •   66-68% summer on-time arrival rate
                                                                                             for flights departing from these gates
                                       12.6
                                           11.9                                          •   72-74% for flights departing other
                                              12.4                                           A-gates at BWI airport

                                                     11.3                   12.1    •   Assignment of flights to these gates
    Average Taxi-Out                                                                    should be strategic, incorporating block
    Times by Gate                                                                       time adjustments to minimize delays
                                                                             12.1
         Three months of operations, June 1, 2012 through August 31, 2012


SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
CONCLUSIONS



Conclusions: Turn Times
                                    This project observed three different
                                    strategies for turn times, varying based
                                    on the gauge of aircraft and product
                                    strategy of the airline
                                    •   Major hubs with large aircraft – 45-60 minute turns
                                    •   Major hubs with small aircraft – 30-44 minute turns
                                    •   Low-cost carriers – few turns greater than 45 mins
                                    •   What are the relevant factors?
                                         •   Aircraft size, length of haul
                                         •   Complexity of onboard product & carry-on bags
                                         •   Time of day and wheelchairs
                                    •   Drivers of actual turn times include A0 performance,
                                        block padding and airline-specific issues


SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
CONCLUSIONS



Conclusions: Gate Utilization
                                    Gate utilization depends on real estate
                                    controlled, competitiveness of market,
                                    and banking strategies
                                    •   Airlines with shorter turn times generally extract
                                        more departures each day from gate assets
                                    •   However the converse isn’t always so – carriers with
                                        fewer gate departures may just squat on assets to
                                        deter competition, particularly from efficient LCCs
                                    •   Airline utilization by hub varies widely. Highly
                                        banked international hubs (JFK, IAD) often have the
                                        lowest daily utilization. Also, dying hubs (CLE, MEM)
                                    •   Southwest clearly emphasizes gate utilization to
                                        maximize efficiency. Combined with very short turn
                                        times, this creates operational bottlenecks when
                                        operations go off-track.



SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
CONCLUSIONS



Conclusions: Delay Impact
Utilization, turn times, and even gate selection impact on-time
performance and necessitate incorporation into block planning

•    Hold-outs and taxi-in delays can impact up to 20% of operations at a busy hub.
     Based on carriers analyzed, on average 10% of day flights wait for gate or ramp
     congestion to clear.
•    You’d expect Southwest to hold out, but they don’t any more than others
•    As scheduled turn time increases, inbound delays are absorbed and departure delays
     decrease. This is true for all carriers except Southwest (where longer turns are
     programmed at congested airports that generate delays)
•    Delay generation by airport varies. You’d expect NYC to generate delays, but carriers
     build NYC delays into scheduled turns. Chicago and San Francisco, in contrast, have
     more unexpected delays that drive higher net generation.
•    Gate choice matters. The difference in taxi-in and taxi-out times for gates at the end of
     a pier can be 2-3 minutes shorter than locations at the base of a pier.
          •      This can make a significant difference in on-time performance!



SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)

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AGIFORS Presentation: Assessing U.S. Gate Utilization

  • 1. Unlocking the Power of Aviation Operations Data Assessing airport gate usage Utilization, turn times and delays AGIFORS Symposium October 12, 2012 Joshua Marks Chief Executive Officer josh@masflight.com Mobile. +1 703-994-0000 4833 Rugby Avenue, Suite 301 Bethesda, Maryland 20814 USA www.masflight.com
  • 2. OVERVIEW Study of gate scheduling, usage and delays Scope and Methodology This study reviews how U.S. carriers schedule gate operations and execute Airlines studied: turns, and how those factors impact American, Alaska, JetBlue, Delta, AirTran, Spirit, United, US Airways, departure and taxi delays by airport Virgin America and Southwest Time period analyzed: • Large-scale analysis covering 3 months June 1, 2012 through August 31, 2012 Stations in data set: • Multi-airline, with both hub-and-spoke and U.S. and Puerto Rico airports point-to-point carriers on domestic and international routes from the U.S. Flights included: All domestic and international flights including those by regional affiliates • Gate turns based on airline-reported data (published via FIDS or flight status systems) Records in data set: 1.6 million flights with gate & turn data at 3,900 discrete airline gates • Aligns with schedule information to match gates to airline terminals and operators Data source: masFlight (includes data from FlightStats, OAG, DOT) • Incorporates weather and delay causes in order to discern patterns in gate congestion SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 3. DEFINITIONS Definitions Scheduled Turn Time Actual Turn Time Gate Utilization The scheduled time The actual time Number of flights planned at the gate gate in to gate out, that depart daily from between inbound and for a single aircraft a given gate, including outbound flights at a given station RONs and gate-tows Gate Buffer Time Hold-Outs Delay Generation The time between Flights that land to an Departure delay of the gate operations, from occupied gate or a outbound flight minus each gate departure to blocked ramp area, the arrival delay of the the next arrival requiring taxi-in hold preceding inbound SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 4. D ATA S E T U S E D Completeness of Data Set We compiled a sufficiently broad data set to conduct this analysis Data Set Coverage Our data set included all flights where Airline as % of Flights we could identify a clean gate turn American* 98% and distinct departure gates Alaska 80% • For turn times we eliminated RONs, JetBlue 85% gate tows, and concurrent departures from Delta* 98% the same gate. We included actual turns between 20 and 240 minutes. Frontier 98% Spirit 98% • Where possible matched tail numbers as well as aircraft gate data to determine United* 89% aircraft turn time and gate utilization US Airways* 98% • When gate data unavailable (Puerto Rico Virgin America 91% and Alaska) we had comparably lower Southwest 100% coverage – Alaska Airlines and JetBlue * Coverage excludes certain small and non-US stations SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 5. A N A LY Z I N G S C H E D U L E D T U R N S Scheduled Turns: Major Hub Carriers American – Scheduled Turns American – Delays 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 by Scheduled Turn We looked at how legacy 31.6 31.5 0-29 min hub carriers scheduled turns across their networks 26 30-44 min Minutes of Delay 45-59 min • Domestic mainline turns 60-74 min 10.3 10.1 9.7 9.7 9.2 9.1 8.3 8.2 • Most between 45 and 60 minutes 7.8 6.5 75-89 min 90-119… • Large aircraft require longer turns 120+ min 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Scheduled Turn Time • 30-min turns due to aircraft (5 minute increments) swaps and non-routines United – Scheduled Turns United – Delays • Delay minutes significantly by Scheduled Turn higher for <45 minute turns 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 40.9 37.6 0-29 min • American shows stability in 30-44 min delay minutes across turn times Minutes of Delay 22.4 45-59 min 21.3 21.1 20.9 • United has expected pattern: 17.7 17.5 17.4 15.2 60-74 min 14.6 13.9 as scheduled turn times 15 75-89 min increase, the delay minutes 90-119 min incurred decrease 120+ min 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Scheduled Turn Time (5 minute increments) SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 6. A N A LY Z I N G S C H E D U L E D T U R N S Scheduled Turns: Hub Carriers w/Smaller Aircraft JetBlue – Scheduled Turns JetBlue – Delays by Scheduled Turn Time JetBlue, Delta, US Airways & 37.2 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Spirit had a mix of turn times 0-29 min with more 30-44 minute turns 30-44 min Minutes of Delay than United or American 45-59 min 14.9 14.9 14.1 13.9 13.8 13.7 13.4 13.3 60-74 min • Domestic mainline turns 10.6 10.5 10.4 12 75-89 min • Quicker turns at outstations 90-119 min and away from key hubs 120+ min 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Scheduled Turn Time (5 minute • Consistent distribution of turn increments) times across this airline set Delta – Scheduled Turns Delta – Delays by Scheduled Turn Time • Mainline smaller jets (EMB- 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 190, DC-9 series) 21.7 0-29 min drives faster pace as well Minutes of Delay 30-44 min 14.5 • Delta has similar pattern as 45-59 min United – as turn time increase, 9.2 60-74 min delays decrease 7.1 6.2 6.1 5.8 7 5.5 4.9 4.7 4.5 75-89 min 5 • Demonstrates importance of 90-119 min aircraft mix and how turn time 120+ min 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 insulates inbound delays Scheduled Turn Time (5 minute increments) SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 7. A N A LY Z I N G S C H E D U L E D T U R N S Scheduled Turns: LCCs with utilization priority Southwest – Scheduled Turns Southwest – Delays by Scheduled Turn 0 100,000 200,000 For quick turn airlines, several 16.3 0-29 min new factors to consider 15.1 15.1 16 14.8 14.5 13.8 13.5 13.4 Minutes of Delay 12.4 30-44 min 12.2 11.1 • Southwest and AirTran have 11 45-59 min similarities in gate turn planning 60-74 min 75-89 min • Material differences in aircraft size 90-119 min (717 vs. 73G/H), product 120+ min and carry-on bags! 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Scheduled Turn Time (5 minute increments) • Short turns for Southwest are routine; 30-minute scheduled AirTran – Scheduled Turns AirTran – Delays by Scheduled Turn turns for AirTran reflect swaps 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 24.8 0-29 min • Southwest schedules longer turns 30-44 min at congested stations that are Minutes of Delay 45-59 min associated with longer delays 60-74 min • Therefore WN demonstrates the 75-89 min 5.4 opposite pattern as others – as 4.5 3.8 3.5 5 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.6 90-119 min 1.2 turn time goes up, so do delays 120+ min 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Scheduled Turn Time SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com) (5 minute increments)
  • 8. SCHEDULED VS. ACTUAL TURNS Scheduled vs. Actual Turns at Gates Actual time on gate averages higher than scheduled time Mainline Only Scheduled Actual Difference Different factors drive a longer Southwest 34.6 min 42.6 min +8.0 min actual time on gate than scheduled AirTran 48.8 50.5 +1.7 JetBlue 51.2 59.1 +7.9 • Actual turn is time on gate, not the time Spirit 53.9 57.7 +3.8 required to deplane, clean/prep, and board Delta 58.0 67.1 +9.1 • Each airline demonstrated longer actual Alaska 58.8 62.2 +3.4 turns than scheduled turns American 61.4 70.4 +9.0 United 63.0 76.1* +13.1* • Drivers include strong A0 performance, Virgin 63.3 73.6 +10.3 conservative blocks, long-haul flights US Airways 66.1 71.2 +5.1 • However, actual turns also exhibit airline- Mainline & specific turn time issues (WN and UA) Scheduled Actual Difference Regionals United 49.5 min 58.3 min +8.8 min* • Blue table shows mainline operations only American 51.1 58.4 7.3 • Red table includes regional carriers Alaska 53.0 56.6 3.6 US Airways 55.1 58.1 3.0 • Note turn performance by regional carriers Delta 55.2 62.3 7.1 • Smaller aircraft, gate checked bags * Reflects IT cutover SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 9. G AT E U T I L I Z AT I O N Now let’s look at daily utilization of gates Which carriers extract the most turns per gate? Daily Departures per Gate Used Not surprisingly, the more carriers June 1 through August 31, 2012 Gates with minimum 1x daily use use gates, the lower the scheduled turn times by airline must be Top 10 U.S. System Airports • The shorter the turn, the more rotations Southwest 8.4 flights/day 7.5 flights/day the airline can squeeze out of a given gate American 6.4 5.4 • But buffer times and density of utilization Alaska 6.4 4.7 vary widely by carrier. United 6.3 4.9 • Carrier gate utilization at key hubs generally US Airways 6.3 5.2 exceeds utilization over their U.S. system JetBlue 5.7 5.1 • At competitive hubs, higher gate utilization; AirTran 5.6 4.4 at non-competitive hubs, gate squatting as Delta 5.2 4.7 competitive deterrence SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 10. U T I L I Z AT I O N B Y H U B Daily Utilization of Gates, by Hub Surveying different carriers – daily departures per gate used, for hubs & focus cities United Airlines Hubs Alaska Airlines Hubs American Hubs Average Daily Deps per Gate Used Average Daily Deps per Gate Used Average Daily Deps per Gate Used CLE 3.6 SJC 4.0 JFK 2.7 IAD 3.8 LAX 4.3 MIA 5.0 IAH 5.8 GEG 4.4 DEN 6.1 SFO 5.3 LGA 6.4 EWR 6.2 ANC 5.4 LAX 6.8 SFO 7.2 PDX 5.5 DFW 6.9 LAX 7.4 SAN 6.4 ORD 7.7 SEA 7.8 ORD 7.2 JetBlue Focus US Airways Hubs AirTran Hubs Average Daily Deps per Gate Used Average Daily Deps per Gate Used Average Daily Deps per Gate Used FLL 4.9 BOS 4.2 MKE 4.7 DCA 5.2 PHX 4.9 ATL 5.5 MCO 5.8 PHL 6.6 BOS 5.8 BWI 5.9 DCA 6.9 JFK 6.0 CLT 7.2 MCO 6.6 LGB 6.2 SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com) June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use
  • 11. U T I L I Z AT I O N B Y H U B Daily Utilization of Gates, by Hub (2) Surveying different carriers – daily departures per gate used, for hubs & focus cities Delta Hubs Southwest Focus There are substantial Average Daily Deps per Gate Used Average Daily Deps per Gate Used differences in how Southwest MEM 2.9 PHX 7.2 operates its focus airports CVG 3.5 MDW 7.5 Fast and consistent pace JFK 4.0 HOU 7.5 40 minutes on gate, 20 minutes buffer BOS 4.6 MCO 7.9 Minimal banking – rolling system DTW 4.6 LAX 8.3 In contrast, Delta: MSP 4.8 DAL 8.4 Uses larger aircraft at hubs – SLC 5.2 DEN 8.5 requires longer turn times LGA 5.4 OAK 8.5 Hub average gate departures still below United, American, US Airways LAX 5.8 LAS 9.5 (6x vs. 7-8x daily) ATL 6.3 BWI 10.3 Also reflects Delta strategy of controlling gate assets June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 12. HOLD OUTS Tight Turns and Holdouts What percent of daytime flights likely arrive to an occupied gate or ramp area? Delta American US Airways DCA 16.1% DFW 20.8% PHX 15.9% ATL 14.4% MIA 16.4% LGA 14.7% BOS 11.2% LAS 15.2% CLT 9.9% MCO 10.9% ORD 14.6% DCA 8.6% PHL 10.0% CLT 14.6% DTW 8.0% LGA 10.0% ATL 13.8% LAX 7.9% SEA 9.0% LAX 12.6% PHL 6.7% MSP 8.1% DTW 10.0% CMH 5.9% LAX 8.0% BNA 10.0% ORD 3.4% IND 7.2% DEN 9.2% EWR 3.4% CLT 6.7% LGA 7.1% BOS 2.7% SLC 6.5% DCA 7.0% PIT 2.4% June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use. SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com) Tight turn is less than 10 minutes open buffer (last out to next in)
  • 13. HOLD OUTS Tight Turns and Holdouts (2) United and Southwest show similar patterns United Southwest Interestingly, WN is similar to SFO 22.2% LAS 20.4% others in the percent of flights that hold out after landing ORD 20.7% SEA 17.2% Tightly orchestrated ballet at WN LAX 18.1% STL 15.9% IAH 14.8% BWI 14.8% Not much block padding – Just in time arrivals DEN 14.2% LAX 13.8% Explains why when things go wrong, EWR 13.0% DEN 12.8% delays transfer downstream quickly DFW 7.3% AUS 12.7% LAS 7.0% SFO 11.7% Compare to United STL 6.2% MCO 10.2% UA has longer time on gate to absorb MSP 6.0% SNA 9.2% late inbound delays, but has similar buffers between flights COS 6.0% HOU 9.1% PDX 5.7% ABQ 8.8% Different block strategy than WN June 1 through August 31, 2012. Gates with minimum 1x daily use. SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com) Tight turn is less than 10 minutes open buffer (last out to next in)
  • 14. U T I L I Z AT I O N V S . H O L D - O U T S Connecting gate planning to delays It is possible to quantitatively connect gate congestion with delay minutes Gate Utilization vs. A broad-based comparison of gate % of Hold-Out/Close Waits utilization demonstrates a positive 25.0% correlation between gate utilization and flights waiting for open gates 20.0% When a flight waits for a gate, it transfers delay minutes and is associated with increased carrier- Hold-Outs and Close Waits caused delay minutes 15.0% Increase in Delay Minutes after 10.0% Inbound Flight Waits for Gate Delay mins at Delay mins Airline airport by from late 5.0% (Mainline) carrier inbound a/c Southwest +41% +20% US Airways +13% +4% 0.0% 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 Delta +2% +18% Gate Departures per Day American +6% +18% United +6% +7% Close Turn Linear (Close Turn) SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 15. D E L AY G E N E R AT I O N So where are delays generated? Delay generation is outbound departure delay minus inbound arrival delay, by turn Delta Airlines United Airlines Southwest Airlines (July 2012) (July 2012) (July 2012) LAS 3.8 ORD 3.6 DEN 4.4 SFO 1.6 SFO 2.5 LAS 4.3 LGA 1.5 LAX 2.5 BWI 3.8 SLC 0.6 IAH 1.5 PHX 3.7 MSP 0.5 EWR 1.3 MDW 3.2 SEA 0.3 DEN 0.4 HOU 2.2 DTW 0.0 SEA 0.1 LAX 0.8 DCA -0.3 IAD -0.3 OAK 0.5 ATL -0.5 SAN -0.8 STL 0.0 LAX -0.8 MCO -1.6 MCO -0.7 MCO -1.2 LAS -1.8 DAL -0.7 JFK -1.2 BOS -2.5 TPA -0.7 FLL -1.2 PDX -3.9 SAN -1.3 MEM -1.5 CLE -6.1 BNA -1.4 TPA -1.9 HNL -8.9 SJC -2.2 Flights during July 2012 (domestic + international, mainline + regional). A positive number indicates the airport generates delays. SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com) A negative number indicates that the airport absorbs delays.
  • 16. G AT E C H O I C E Gate choice impacts on-time performance Where a carrier gates specific flights impacts their on-time performance Boston Logan Average Taxi-Out Times by Gate (June-Aug 2012) Terminal C at JetBlue has deep alleys where push-backs block ramp access • Inside gates (C11, C12, C26, C40-42) have 2-3 minute longer taxi times 21.3 • C11 and C12 subject to conflicting 19.1 operations by United Airlines 19.8 • Both taxi-in and taxi-out 17.7 18.7 18.3 • This has an observable impact on 17.6 on-time performance when utilizing gates 17.8 20.5 20.4 • C11 and C12 – up to 72% on-time 17.9 20.4 17.4 • C26, C40, C42 – up to 75% on-time 18.8 18.5 • C33 to C36 – up to 79% on-time Three months of operations, June 1, 2012 through August 31, 2012 SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 17. G AT E C H O I C E Another example of gate blocking: BWI Southwest’s Baltimore terminal has significant ramp issues too Baltimore (Terminal A/B) 14.6 Terminal A’s north finger creates a 12.2 15.3 blocking and delay problem for 3 gates 12.4 15.4 11.8 • Gates A6, A8 and A10 have 2-3 minutes longer taxi-out times than others 11.9 11.8 • Notable difference in delay performance 12.1 • 66-68% summer on-time arrival rate for flights departing from these gates 12.6 11.9 • 72-74% for flights departing other 12.4 A-gates at BWI airport 11.3 12.1 • Assignment of flights to these gates Average Taxi-Out should be strategic, incorporating block Times by Gate time adjustments to minimize delays 12.1 Three months of operations, June 1, 2012 through August 31, 2012 SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 18. CONCLUSIONS Conclusions: Turn Times This project observed three different strategies for turn times, varying based on the gauge of aircraft and product strategy of the airline • Major hubs with large aircraft – 45-60 minute turns • Major hubs with small aircraft – 30-44 minute turns • Low-cost carriers – few turns greater than 45 mins • What are the relevant factors? • Aircraft size, length of haul • Complexity of onboard product & carry-on bags • Time of day and wheelchairs • Drivers of actual turn times include A0 performance, block padding and airline-specific issues SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 19. CONCLUSIONS Conclusions: Gate Utilization Gate utilization depends on real estate controlled, competitiveness of market, and banking strategies • Airlines with shorter turn times generally extract more departures each day from gate assets • However the converse isn’t always so – carriers with fewer gate departures may just squat on assets to deter competition, particularly from efficient LCCs • Airline utilization by hub varies widely. Highly banked international hubs (JFK, IAD) often have the lowest daily utilization. Also, dying hubs (CLE, MEM) • Southwest clearly emphasizes gate utilization to maximize efficiency. Combined with very short turn times, this creates operational bottlenecks when operations go off-track. SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)
  • 20. CONCLUSIONS Conclusions: Delay Impact Utilization, turn times, and even gate selection impact on-time performance and necessitate incorporation into block planning • Hold-outs and taxi-in delays can impact up to 20% of operations at a busy hub. Based on carriers analyzed, on average 10% of day flights wait for gate or ramp congestion to clear. • You’d expect Southwest to hold out, but they don’t any more than others • As scheduled turn time increases, inbound delays are absorbed and departure delays decrease. This is true for all carriers except Southwest (where longer turns are programmed at congested airports that generate delays) • Delay generation by airport varies. You’d expect NYC to generate delays, but carriers build NYC delays into scheduled turns. Chicago and San Francisco, in contrast, have more unexpected delays that drive higher net generation. • Gate choice matters. The difference in taxi-in and taxi-out times for gates at the end of a pier can be 2-3 minutes shorter than locations at the base of a pier. • This can make a significant difference in on-time performance! SOURCE: masFlight (masflight.com)