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PREPARED BY :
N U R A MI R A B I N T I MD
           L AZI
      30D L S 12F 1030
Upward and downward
                          movements



     Measured by
considering the growth                  Wake like movement in
   rate of real gross                     economic activity
  domestic product




       Expansion and                    Economy-wide
  contraction in a business             fluctuations in
  cycle are self-reinforcing        production or economic
  and cumulative in effect            activity over sveral
                                       months or years
Economy full
         Peek /Boom                                 A prosperity period
                                employment




Could be situation where
                                                   Economy experience a
 the number jobs more
                                                    high level of output
   than the number of       More investment from
                                                     and trade,higher
workers- lead to increase    business optimism
                                                   employment levels and
 in wages,price,interest
                                                           income
        and profit
Recession




Decline in consumption                         A decrease in yhe
   expenditure and                          volume of output,trade
   investment level                            and transactions




   A reduction in aggregate
   income in terms of wage            An increase in the level
          and profit                    of unemployment
Minimum point         Will last until there
     Trough          recession ends(real    is an increase in real
                      GDP stops falling)             GDP




 Period of great       Unemployment              The overall
  suffering and      rates will be higher    economic activity
hardship facing by     and will create         will fall to the
     society           many problems            lowest level




The worst phase pf
  business cycle
Recovery



 Period of revival leading to an upturn of the
                    economy


Initiated by government expenditure,changes
in production techniques,new innovations and
    exploitation of new sources technology


   Government expenditure stimulate the
     demand for consumption of goods


Employment level,output,income,wages,price
       and profit start to increase
Peak

Output – maximum level         Unemployment – lowest level


                         Recession

   Output - declines               Unemployment - increase


                          Trough

Output – minimum level         Unemployment – highest level


                         Recovery

   Output – increase                Unemployment - declines
• A situation where labour force participants
  Definition     are available and willing to work but are
                 unable to find jobs.
unemployment

               • A percentage of the labour force who are
Unemployment     unemployment and are actively seeking jobs
               • UR (%) = Number of unemployment/Labour
    rate         force X 100%




               • The situation in the economy where al
    Full         available resources are employed to
                 produce goods and service
 employment
• Occurs when people are in between jobs,entering and reentering the labour force
               • Ex : peolple quit their jobs for a better positions or higher wages or when fresh
  Frictional     graduates are actively seeking for a job
unemployment



               • Occurs when there is a lack of jobs because of a downswing in a business cycle or a
                 recession
   Cyclical    • Companies close down and the workers are laid off
unemployment




               • Arises due to structural changes in the economy of a country
  Structural   • Respon quickly meet changing demands,technological or comprtition
unemployment




               • Arises due to seasonal variation in the activities of particular industries
   Seasonal    • Caused by climatic changes,fashion or inherent nature
unemployment
Effect of unemployment        Effect on the economy


 Effect on individuals and   Loss in government revenue
          society             obtain from personal taxes


 Loss of income and self        Reduce development
          respect             activities of the economy


                               Lead to slow economic
     Loss of job skills
                               growth and low output


   Socials and political
        problems
Monetary policy                    Fiscal policy         Direct control measures


Open market operation – Purchase                               Providing training and technical
                                       Decrease in taxes
 of securities or short term bonds                                        education


                                     Increase in government
Lowering the reserves requirement                                 Development of new land
                                           expenditure


                                                              Job creation in varios sectors in an
   Lowering the discount rate
                                                                          economy



    Lowering the interest rate
• A continuous increase in the general price
               level of goods and services in the economy
             • Deflection- a decrease in the general price
               level of goods and services in the economy
Definition   • Stagflation- when an economy experiences
               high unemployment and rapid inflation
               simultaneously




             • Inflation rate= CPI this year – CPI previous
               year/CPI previous years X 100

Measure      • CPI (index that measure changes inn the
               average price of consumer goods and
               services

inflation    • Disinflation a reduction in the rate of
               inflation
Demand-
   pull     • When aggregate demand cannot meet the
              aggregate supply

inflation

            • Increase in the general price level associated
  Cost-       with an increase in the cost of production
            • Factors
  push        • 1)Wage-push inflation
              • 2)Profit-push inflation
inflation     • 3)Import –push inflation
Balance of   Distribution
  trade       of income




Production     Savings
Monetary                                  Direct control
                    Fiscal policy
 policy                                   and rationing

  Open market
operation-selling                            Price control and
                      Increase in taxes
 of securities or                                rationing
short term bonds


   Raising the          Decrease in
                                              Anti-hoarding
    reserve             government
                                               campaign
  requirement            spending



   Raising the                                 Compulsory
  discount rate                                  savings




   Raising the
  interest rate




 Selective credit
  control policy

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Chapter 6 inflation and unemployment

  • 1. PREPARED BY : N U R A MI R A B I N T I MD L AZI 30D L S 12F 1030
  • 2. Upward and downward movements Measured by considering the growth Wake like movement in rate of real gross economic activity domestic product Expansion and Economy-wide contraction in a business fluctuations in cycle are self-reinforcing production or economic and cumulative in effect activity over sveral months or years
  • 3. Economy full Peek /Boom A prosperity period employment Could be situation where Economy experience a the number jobs more high level of output than the number of More investment from and trade,higher workers- lead to increase business optimism employment levels and in wages,price,interest income and profit
  • 4. Recession Decline in consumption A decrease in yhe expenditure and volume of output,trade investment level and transactions A reduction in aggregate income in terms of wage An increase in the level and profit of unemployment
  • 5. Minimum point Will last until there Trough recession ends(real is an increase in real GDP stops falling) GDP Period of great Unemployment The overall suffering and rates will be higher economic activity hardship facing by and will create will fall to the society many problems lowest level The worst phase pf business cycle
  • 6. Recovery Period of revival leading to an upturn of the economy Initiated by government expenditure,changes in production techniques,new innovations and exploitation of new sources technology Government expenditure stimulate the demand for consumption of goods Employment level,output,income,wages,price and profit start to increase
  • 7. Peak Output – maximum level Unemployment – lowest level Recession Output - declines Unemployment - increase Trough Output – minimum level Unemployment – highest level Recovery Output – increase Unemployment - declines
  • 8. • A situation where labour force participants Definition are available and willing to work but are unable to find jobs. unemployment • A percentage of the labour force who are Unemployment unemployment and are actively seeking jobs • UR (%) = Number of unemployment/Labour rate force X 100% • The situation in the economy where al Full available resources are employed to produce goods and service employment
  • 9. • Occurs when people are in between jobs,entering and reentering the labour force • Ex : peolple quit their jobs for a better positions or higher wages or when fresh Frictional graduates are actively seeking for a job unemployment • Occurs when there is a lack of jobs because of a downswing in a business cycle or a recession Cyclical • Companies close down and the workers are laid off unemployment • Arises due to structural changes in the economy of a country Structural • Respon quickly meet changing demands,technological or comprtition unemployment • Arises due to seasonal variation in the activities of particular industries Seasonal • Caused by climatic changes,fashion or inherent nature unemployment
  • 10. Effect of unemployment Effect on the economy Effect on individuals and Loss in government revenue society obtain from personal taxes Loss of income and self Reduce development respect activities of the economy Lead to slow economic Loss of job skills growth and low output Socials and political problems
  • 11. Monetary policy Fiscal policy Direct control measures Open market operation – Purchase Providing training and technical Decrease in taxes of securities or short term bonds education Increase in government Lowering the reserves requirement Development of new land expenditure Job creation in varios sectors in an Lowering the discount rate economy Lowering the interest rate
  • 12. • A continuous increase in the general price level of goods and services in the economy • Deflection- a decrease in the general price level of goods and services in the economy Definition • Stagflation- when an economy experiences high unemployment and rapid inflation simultaneously • Inflation rate= CPI this year – CPI previous year/CPI previous years X 100 Measure • CPI (index that measure changes inn the average price of consumer goods and services inflation • Disinflation a reduction in the rate of inflation
  • 13. Demand- pull • When aggregate demand cannot meet the aggregate supply inflation • Increase in the general price level associated Cost- with an increase in the cost of production • Factors push • 1)Wage-push inflation • 2)Profit-push inflation inflation • 3)Import –push inflation
  • 14. Balance of Distribution trade of income Production Savings
  • 15. Monetary Direct control Fiscal policy policy and rationing Open market operation-selling Price control and Increase in taxes of securities or rationing short term bonds Raising the Decrease in Anti-hoarding reserve government campaign requirement spending Raising the Compulsory discount rate savings Raising the interest rate Selective credit control policy