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Contents :


   1.   India’s Growth & Potential   – Overview

            Population
            Economy
            Infrastructure


   2.   Designer Cities

   3.   Designer Cities Augmented with Ports

   4.   The Agricultural Plug-In




AEON Consultants                                  1
India’s Growth & Potential – Overview
                         ( Population )




AEON Consultants                                   2
Growing Indian Urban Population



                                                                      INDIA'S URBAN T RANSIT ION

                                         Urban Population (million)            Rural Population (million)             Total Population (million)
                               1600

                                                                                                                                      1408.93
                               1400
                                                                                                                        1291.30
                                                                                                            1230.48
                               1200                                                          1164.02
  PO PU LAT IO N IN MILLIO N




                                                                                1027.02
                               1000
                                                                      846.30                            833.88        843.77       833.25
                                                                                           811.77
                                800                                            741.67
                                                      684.30
                                                                628.70
                                          548.20                                                                                575.68
                                600                524.80
                                        439.10                                                                     447.53
                                                                                                     396.60
                                400                                                     352.25
                                                                           285.35
                                                             217.60
                                200              159.50
                                      109.10

                                  0
                                         1971        1981         1991          2001        2010            2015       2020          2030
                                                                                              YEAR



AEON Consultants                                                                                                                                   3
Indian Urban Growth- Features

      Urban population has grown at about 4% p.a. vis-à-vis 1.5% growth in rural areas

                  Level of urbanisation increased from 23% in 1981 to 29% in 2001
                  Expected to reach about 36% by 2011
                  Pace of urbanisation has rapidly increased in the last 2 decades

      Increase in Urban incomes also having an impact on the demand for urban infrastructure

                  Share of service sector in the Indian GDP has increased significantly
                  Has resulted in increase in income levels in the Urban areas

      Of the 21 mega cities (population. 10 million+) in the world , 17 are estimated to be in developing countries, 3 in
      India

      India has the second largest urban system in the world. Comprises of over 3700 urban local entities

      About 30% of the total population resides in Urban areas

                  Two-thirds of the above live in Class I (100k plus) cities


      Metropolitan (million plus) cities have increase from 5 in 1951 to 27 cities in 2001

                  About 1/3rd of the urban population lives in these cities


      Engine of productivity and growth in the country

                  Contributes about 60% of the national income
AEON Consultants                                                                                                            4
India’s Growth & Potential   – Overview
                         ( Economy )




AEON Consultants                                     5
Burgeoning Indian Economy



                   1991                                         2006
      GDP GROWTH           -> negative         GDPGROWTH                     > 7%

      INFLATION            -> double           INFLATION                     < 5%
  digit
                                               FOREX RESERVES                    > US$ 140 b
      FOREX RESERVES            <     US$ 2    EXPORT GROWTH                 > 20%
  b
                                               FISCAL DEFICIT                <    4%
      EXPORT GROWTH         >       marginal
                                               SENSEX(11700)                 > DOW JONES
    FISCAL DEFICIT          ->
  10%(Apppx)                                   RETURN IN LAST YEAR            = 74%

                                               CORORATE EARNINGS GROWTH >         20%
     SENSEX                 -> around
  1500                                         ANNUAL FII INFLOWS            > US$ 10b

      ANNUAL FII INFLOWS    >        nil       MARKET CAPITALISATION         > US$ 700b

                                               MARKET CAPITALISATION(1998)    = US$ 100b




AEON Consultants                                                                               6
Indian Scenario- Features


         A liberalizing economy and rated as 4th largest country based on Purchasing Power Parity
         [PPP]

         World’s largest democracy & among the strongest emerging markets

         1..2 billion people with 300 million in the middle class bracket

         Well matured financial and securities market

         Time-tested judicial systems

         WTO member committed to providing opportunity to the global market

         Constantly undertaking reforms in every sector with Infrastructure Sector receiving
         Government’s fullest attention




AEON Consultants                                                                                    7
Indian Economy Growth- Features


      India has potential to attract US $ 100 billion over next five years

      Export Oriented Sectors alone to attract US$ 11 billion investments

      Increase in FDI will lead to increase in GDP by another 2-3 %

      Potential for creation of 1 Million direct and indirect jobs each year
                                                                Source: AMCHAM with McKinsey&Co.



      Large pool of educated manpower available at affordable cost

      Significant Impact on lifestyle and standard of living

      Cities with world class integrated infrastructure recognized as necessary drivers of
      economic growth

      Between 2002 to 2007 India has improved its FDI confidence ranking from Rank
      No. 15 to Rank No. 2




AEON Consultants                                                                                   8
Indian Economy Growth- Features


                  C hina
                   India
      United S tates
   United K ingdom
                  B raz il
         Hong K ong
           S ingapore
         United A rab
             G ermany
                R us s ia
             A us tralia
                F ranc e
              V ietnam
               C anada
             Malays ia
                 J apan
  Other G ulf s tates
        S outh A fric a
                Turkey
               Mexic o
                P oland
            Indones ia
       S outh K orea
        C entral A s ia
   C z ec h R epublic


                             0                   0.5   1                        1.5   2                   2.5
                     FDI confidence maintained         FDI confidence gone up         FDI confidence lowered

      On a scale of 0 to 3 . Source : A.T. Kearney


AEON Consultants                                                                                                9
India’s Growth & Potential – Overview
                       ( Infrastructure )




AEON Consultants                                   10
Indian Urban Infrastructure – Shortcomings


      Only 60% of the Urban households have piped water supply

      Only 46% of households have water toilets and only 28% are connected to public sewerage

      system


      Only 60% of them have their garbage collected by the municipal authorities


      Over 21% of the urban population lives in squatter settlements/slums


      The Tenth Plan Document has assessed a shortage of 22.4 million houses during the period 2002-
      07, which requires an investment of Rs. 4 lac crores


      The city roads inadequate/poor for traffic requirements, leading to congestion


      None of the Indian cities have proper MRTS


      Inadequate medical and health facilities (Appx. 26 beds per 10000 population in Public Hospitals)


      Demand for Urban Infrastructure investment - Grown beyond the resources of Govt.

AEON Consultants                                                                                          11
Inadequate Indian Urban Infrastructure – Impact ?




    India Urban Sector is competing with the best cities in the developing countries to attract
    investments. Thus creating urban infrastructure is mandatory to increase India’s competitiveness

    Sustaining Industrial growth requires development of cityscapes

    Industrial growth faces a major impediment as Inadequate infrastructure is identified as one of the
    biggest constraints of doing business in India

    Infrastructure plays a major role when it comes to deciding between China, India and other Asian
    countries for FDI and FII decisions




AEON Consultants                                                                                          12
Inadequate Indian Urban Infrastructure – Impact ?

                               Hampers Economic Growth
                             Affects the profitability of production, levels
                                 of income, output and employment




                                             Poor Urban
                                            Infrastructure

                                                                       Affects Country’s
  Lower Corporate Investments                                          Global
                                                                       Competitiveness
   Hinders expansion in areas with poor                         Slows down the pace with which a
         infrastructure and lesser                              country can integrate its’ economy
              developed areas                                         into the global system


     Poor urban service coverage is the main hindrance to a city’s
        ability to attract investments which promote economic
                               development

AEON Consultants                                                                                     13
Inadequate Indian Urban Infrastructure – Impact ?


                                                                                     Total
                                                    weighted responses


                               Tax regulations                                   7

                                      Tax rates                              5

                  Restrictive labor regulations                                                    15

             Poor w ork ethic in national labor                3.2

                               Policy instability                        4.5

                                        Inflation        1.3
 Bottlenecks
                        inefficient government                                                          18
                                                                                                                                                   Total
            Inadequately educated w orkforce                   3

           Inadequate supply of infrastructure                                                                                       27

                 Government instability/coups            1

                 Foreign currency regulations                  3.1

                               Crime and theft           1.2

                                     Corruption                                              11

                             Access to finance                       4

                                                     0                   5              10        15         20              25             30


Source: Economic Forum’s Global Competitive Report of FY07; *From a list of 14 factors, respondents were asked to select the five most problematic
for doing business in India and to rank them from 1 to 5. Figure 27 shows responses weighted according to their rankings, where higher the figure the
more problematic the factor


AEON Consultants                                                                                                                                        14
Indian vs. China – a comparison
  Indian Urban Infrastructure – Requirements

   India’s investment in infrastructure at around 4.6% of GDP is far lower than that of China’s at 11%


   China is investing 8-10x in highways every year since the mid-1990s compared with India’s
   investment


   In ports, China has on average added 350 million tonnes in capacity every year. This compares to
   overall traffic of 650 million tonnes in India


   China added 100 gigawatts in electricity generation capacity in 2007 alone. This compares to total
   electricity generation capacity of 140 gigawatts in India


   The gap in infrastructure between India and China is so large that for India to catch up with China’s
   present level of stocks per capita by 2015, India’s infrastructure investment to GDP should rise to
   12.5% as against the current 3.6%

                2.8% of GDP(Govt.)

                0.8% of GDP(Private)




AEON Consultants                                                                                           15
Indian Urban Infrastructure –– Requirements
  Indian      Infrastructure Requirements



      The Gross Capital Formation (GCF) in infrastructure as a proportion of the GDP emerges as the
      most important key in sustaining high economic growth.

      However GCF as a proportion of GDP continues to be lower at around 5% only



      As per the Indian Prime Minister’s speech at NYSE 2004 US$150/year bn would be required in
      next 10 years for infrastructure alone



      According to the United Nations Population Division (UNDP) by 2030 while the rural population
      will increase only marginally, urban population will double by 2030 to around 600 million people .




AEON Consultants                                                                                           16
Indian Urban Infrastructure – Requirements


      It is estimated that INR34,385 billion (~USD860 billion) worth of construction opportunity in India
      for the next five years, representing a CAGR of 20% versus a CAGR of 14% for the past five
      years

      The Central Public Health Engineering (CPHEEO) has estimated fund requirement of Rs.
      172,905 crores (~USD38.42 billion) for 100% coverage of the urban population under safe
      water supply and sanitation services by 2021

      The Rail India Technical & Economic Services (RITES) has estimated fund requirement for
      Urban Transport Infrastructure at Rs. 207,000 crores (~USD46 billion) over the next 20 years

      Comparing the demand with the estimated annual institutional finance flow of about Rs. 5,000
      crores (~USD1.1 billion) leaves a huge gap in Infrastructure funding requirements




AEON Consultants                                                                                            17
Indian Urban Infrastructure – Government Initiatives


      Recent initiatives have seen India create a liberalised and free policy regime in all
      infrastructure sectors i.e


            Roads – Highways & Road development projects worth US$ 12 billion being
            implemented through National Highway Authority of India (NHAI), have attracted
            extensive participation of world majors


            Telecom – India is rated as amongst the fastest growing markets


            Seaports – Leading port operators across the world participating in government port
            privatization and to develop greenfield ports.


            Power – Huge investment plans in power generation, transmission and distribution
            through both government and private sectors are being planned


            Railways – Moves to augment rail infrastructure through private sector being brought in
            place



AEON Consultants                                                                                      18
OUR SOLUTION….




             DESIGNER CITIES



AEON Consultants               19
Why build a whole new city ??


     Although, each city or town has a master plan and zoning plans and is technically supposed to
     expand in conformity with that in a planned manner, the coming up of slums shows a definite
     weakness in the system if not a failure of the development authorities

     The growing urbanization has posed a new challenge to the authorities as there is a continuous
     pressure       on       available      basic       civic   services like  shelter,    drinking
     water, electricity, sanitation, transport, health and education

     The advantage a new Designer City will have is that they wont carry any historical baggage of
     improper urban planning and development

     The expenditure on improving the infrastructure in cities is massive and even when incurred, the
     cities will soon reach saturation.

     Cost of building new cities is much lower than providing different services to the people scattered
     in different slum areas of a city or providing all the rural areas with infrastructure.

     Increased production of goods and services at a lower cost there by creating efficient contribution
     towards Indian Economy

     One city will not solve India’s problems, but a chain of such cities will go a long distance in
     urbanising India.




AEON Consultants                                                                                           20
Proposed concept – A Multi-Product SEZ City


     It is planned to build the city as one Multi-Product SEZ

     The area for a multi-product SEZ varies from 2500acres(min.) to 12500acres

     It is mandatory for a minimum of 35% of the area known as processing area to have industries
     involved in exporting goods and services

     An SEZ is the most sought after status by the industry players keeping in mind the tax incentives


     Special Economic Zones (SEZs) in India defined as :

     “Specifically delineated duty-free enclave and shall be deemed to be foreign territory for the

     purposes of trade operations and duties and tariffs”


     Apart from tax benefits, the world class infrastructure will further lure the industries in to the city

     The SEZ act requires the developer to further develop the social infrastructure in the remaining
     65% or less area of SEZ known as non-processing area




AEON Consultants                                                                                               21
SEZ – Added Incentives


     High Point - Preferential Policy framework with a package of incentives

     Benefits of local advantages within an international business environment

     Business Infrastructure combined with social facilities

     Development, Administration and Operation to be undertaken by private sector to enable a hassle
     free operating environment

     Envisaged as areas of excellence to enable global companies to derive domestic advantages for
     doing business

     An SEZ is ensured of infrastructure support for development in terms of resources like water,
     power, roads connecting to SEZ by the government

     Further, government goes a long distance in acquiring the land for an SEZ, which to a great
     extent simplifies the process of land acquisition

     Sectored restrictions on manufacturing sector inapplicable within SEZ

     Single window clearance

     All SEZ activities on self certification basis



AEON Consultants                                                                                       22
SEZ – Added Incentives



     Inter unit transfer of goods permitted

     The SEZ developer enjoys various benefits, a few of which are listed below:

                     Exemption from customs/excise duties for development of SEZs for authorized
                     operations approved by the BOA.

                     Income Tax exemption on export income for a block of 10 years in 15 years under
                     Section 80-IAB of the Income Tax Act.

                     Exemption from minimum alternate tax under Section 115 JB of the Income Tax
                     Act.

                     Exemption from dividend distribution tax under Section 115O of the Income Tax
                     Act.

                     Exemption from Central Sales Tax (CST).

                     Exemption from Service Tax (Section 7, 26 and Second Schedule of the SEZ Act).

     Integrated Greenfield cities are the most sought after projects by all state governments under a
     PPP(Public Private Partnership) model


AEON Consultants                                                                                        23
SEZ – Added Incentives



     No routine customs examination of export and import cargo

     Forward looking Labour Laws under consideration

     100% FDI for manufacturing units operating inside SEZs through automatic approval route in almost
     all sectors

     100% exemption of income tax for the first 5 years and a 50% exemption for the subsequent 2 years
     from the date of commencement of operations.

     100% profit repatriation facility from export earnings

     Permission to sell within the Domestic Tariff Area (DTA) and an exemption from a Special Additional
     Duty (SAD) subject to the company having a positive Net Foreign Exchange Position (NFEP)

     Supplies from DTA to be treated as exports while those from SEZs to DTA to be treated as imports.

     Investments in SEZ treated as infrastructure development and eligible for exemption

     Local inputs at reduced cost without the excise, VAT other levies of India

     Duty free import of materials for construction, capital goods and goods required for O&M

AEON Consultants                                                                                         24
PPP – Public Private Partnership ?


    Goals
            Use Government resources to attract private investments

            Improve efficiency in service delivery


   PPP approach

            Private Sector contribution for:
                         Financial investments
                        Improved Technologies
                        Efficiency in service delivery
            Public Sector contribution for:
                        Financial gap funding to make projects commercially viable
            Providing institutional support guidance & regulation




AEON Consultants                                                                     25
PPP – Public Private Partnership ?




      Types of      Asset       O&M          Capital    Commercial   Duration
      Contracts    Ownership               Investment      Risk       (Yrs)


  Service           Public     Private &     Public       Public       1-2
  Contract                      Public

  Management        Public      Private      Public       Public       3-5
  Contract

  Lease             Public      Private      Public       Private     8-15


  Concession        Public      Private     Private       Private     25-30


  BOT/BOOT         Private &    Private     Private       Private     25-30
                    Public




AEON Consultants                                                                26
PPP – Public Private Partnership ?


      Public Private Participation is gaining increased prominence in developing countries




      Investments flows to infrastructure projects with private participation in developing countries
      grew by 12% to US$ 64 billion




      China has executed around 406 infrastructure projects during the period 1990-2004 with a
      cumulative investment of US$ 67 billion




      Greenfield projects (i.e., BOO, BLO, BOT, BOOT) most common format of Public Private
      Partnerships




      Indian Urban Infrastructure sector needs to learn from and build upon the international
      experience to harness the potential of PPP


AEON Consultants                                                                                        27
Indian Ports

       India    has     got  14,500     km     of    navigable    waterways,     which     comprise     of
       rivers, canals, backwaters, creeks, etc

       Presently, about 37,00 km of major rivers is navigable by mechanized crafts but actually only
       2000 km is being used

       160 tonnes of cargo is transported through Inland Water Transport

       There are 12 major ports in the country apart from 139 minor working ports along the coastline of
       about 5,600 km.

       The 12 major ports of the country have, on the other hand, handled a total of 519 million tonnes
       of cargo during the year 2007-08, registering a growth of 12% in cargo throughput. Last year, the
       ports handled 463 million tonnes

       Major ports are the direct responsibility of the Central Government while the minor/intermediate
       are under the management of the state governments

       Kandla, Mumbai, Mormugao, New Manglore, Cochin and Jawaharlal Nehru Port are the major
       ports of the west coast while

    Indian ports handle large quantities of commodities such as crude, iron ore, steel
    products, fertilizers, food grains and cement. Apart from these electronics, textile, stationery, auto
AEONancillaries, leather and jute products are also transported via ports
     Consultants                                                                                             28
Indian Ports


      Significantly, India's port sector has emerged the unsung hero in India's efforts to increase its
      global presence.

       The country's booming economy along with its foreign trade has given a tremendous boost to
      the sector, which has been instrumental in increasing India's share in world trade from 1.1 per
      cent in 2004 to 1.5 per cent in 2006

      India's share in world trade is likely to increase to 2 per cent by 2009

      With a growth rate of 19 per cent, India's container cargo traffic is estimated to reach 21 million
      TEUs(Twenty Foot Equivalent Units) by 2016

      The share of non-major ports in cargo traffic has increased from less than 10 per cent in 1990
      to the current level of 26 per cent




AEON Consultants                                                                                            29
Indian Ports – all major(pink) and a few minor ports




AEON Consultants                                        30
Traffic & Capacity for major ports for last 6 years




                          TRAFFIC                 CAPACITY
              YEAR         (Million   GROWTH       (Million     GROWTH
                          Tonnes)                  Tonnes)

              2001-02       287.59                  343.95

              2002-03       313.55       9.03       362.75       5.47

              2003-04       344.8        9.97           389.5    7.37

              2004-05       383.75      11.30           397.5    2.05

              2005-06        463        20.57       457.125       15

              2006-07        519        12.09           660       15
                          AVERAGE                 AVERAGE
                         GROWTH (%)     12.52    GROWTH (%)      8.97



AEON Consultants                                                         31
Projected traffic & capacity for major ports for next 6 years



     PROJECTED TRAFFIC (Million Tonnes)       PROJECTED CAPACITY
          @ 15% growth per annum                 (Million Tonnes)

         2007-08            583.64          2007-08              758.73


         2008-09            671.18          2008-09              872.54

         2009-10            771.86          2009-10          1003.42

         2010-11            887.64          2010-11          1153.93

         2011-12            1020.78         2011-12          1327.00

         2012-13            1173.90         2012-13          1526.00




AEON Consultants                                                          32
Indian Ports – Presently Inadequate ?


      In its representation to National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council (NMCC), FICCI has
      urged the Government of India to target over Rs 1 lakh crore(~USD22.2 billion) of investment
      in ports by 2012-13 so as to support the 12% manufacturing growth.

      FICCI noted that Indian exports are growing at more than 20% since 2002-03 and last year
      (i.e. 2005-06) imports grew by 28% mainly on account of demand from manufacturing sector
      for raw materials, intermediate goods and capital goods

      In addition to the current growth rate in cargo traffic if we consider the likely impact of various
      FTAs and multilateral trade agreements that India is going to have in the near future on our
      trade, FICCI feels that the projected traffic could reach 1174 million tonnes by 2012-13 at
      major ports

      To support this traffic, around 1500 million tonnes of capacity is required at major ports by
      2012-13, noted FICCI (Here, the underlying assumption is to add 30% surplus capacity over
      the projected traffic for the year).

      The present capacity is only around 750 million tonnes

      Already, 276 projects entailing an investment of US$ 13.70 billion have been identified. These
      include development of new berths, expansion and upgradation of existing berths, deepening
      of channels, equipment modernisation and upgradation of rail and road connectivity


AEON Consultants                                                                                            33
Indian Ports – Presently Inadequate ?


      Currently, Indian ports have a capacity of 750 million TPA. In comparison, China has an
      installed capacity of 5.6 billion TPA

      Indian ports are working at much higher capacity utilization, 90%, as against world
      standards, wherein capacity is generally pegged at 120 per cent of estimated port traffic to
      ensure smooth functioning of the port

      Currently, most of the ships carrying cargo from East to West break their bulk at
      Colombo, Hong Kong, or Singapore (this is trans-shipment port - shipment of goods to an
      intermediate destination before reaching its final port)

      At present, 80 per cent of the Indian containers are trans-shipped at Colombo, Singapore, and
      Dubai.

      Most of the major ports in India are not automated and require up gradation. They are grappling
      with low productivity compared with world-class ports such as Singapore

      For instance, the time taken for clearing import cargo and shipping export cargo is 21 days and
      19 days respectively in India as against 3 days and 5 days in Singapore.

       In terms of railway costs Indian shippers incur 7.9 cents per km. as against Canadian railway
      cost of 2 cents.

      Further, the logistics costs in India accounted for 13% of GDP compared to 11% in Japan; 10%
      in Europe and 9% in the US on account of poor logistics infrastructure at ports in the country
AEON Consultants                                                                                        34
Indian Ports – Bottlenecks ??


      Inefficiencies at the ports affecting the traffic has been a major reason behind not growing at a
      reasonable rate and lagging behind in the global race

      Although container traffic has grown rapidly at the major ports in India, inefficiencies due to
      infrastructure bottlenecks still persist

      Infrastructure bottlenecks have led to higher dwell time, thus hampering container traffic
      growth

      Weak regulatory structures of major ports




AEON Consultants                                                                                          35
Indian Ports – Various State Scenarios


     Gujarat state, with the pioneering work being carried out by its port authority, Gujarat Maritime
     Board (GMB), has already established its leadership position among maritime states of India

     GMB ports have registered a cargo throughput of 147 million tonnes during the fiscal year 2007-
     08 as against 132 million tonnes they handled the year before.

     Maritime states of Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh (AP) and Tamil Nadu (TN) are neck to neck in
     comparison when it comes to claiming the No 2 position after Gujarat in port development

     In east coast it is Andhra Pradesh as in west coast it is Gujarat !
         There is more of an integrated development happening in Andhra Pradesh than elsewhere in south, either
         SEZ or industrial activity and connectivity. The state is supporting in land acquisition etc


     TamilNadu (east coast) will come closer to Andhra Pradesh but the issues their are related to
     land acquisition and when you go down south hinterland gets narrower

     In terms of traffic volume it is Maharashtra(West coast). There is plenty of cargo availability and
     ports like Rewas, Dharmadhar, Ratnagiri, Dighi would add more pace to throughput in due
     course




AEON Consultants                                                                                                  36
Indian Ports – Government plans..


      Under the National Maritime Development Program (NMDP), the major thrust is on private
      sector participation.

      66 percent of the total investment outlay is expected to the contributed from the private sector

      Of this, NMDP has expected a total capital expenditure requirement of RS 55,800
      crore(~USD12.4 billion) to expand the existing port capacities

      Private players are expected to pump in Rs 34,500 crore(~USD7.66 billion), either as operators
      of container terminals or by forming joint ventures with port authorities

      Further, 360 projects have been outlined for all ports put together, including expansion of
      ports, improvement in hinterland - inland region lying behind a port - connectivity, and deepening
      of ports (aimed at improving ports statistics)

       Opening up of this sector for private participation and inducing favorable policies to promote
      investments will turn out to be the key so successful implementation of the huge capacity
      expansion project




AEON Consultants                                                                                           37
What do we have planned for ports in India and AAJ ?




          PORT AUGMENTED
          DESIGNER CITIES


AEON Consultants                                        38
Proposed concept – A Multi-Product SEZ City augmented with a PORT



      A designer city with a multi-product SEZ status would be an “IDEAL” location for any
      manufacturing industry when very near to a world-class port.

      Not only would the tax benefits be applicable to the trading done via the ports but also to the
      developer of the port

      The tremendous savings on transportation of goods from the factory to the port will further
      provide an incentive to the industries

      The strategy is in line with FICCI (Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry) –
      E&Y(Ernst and Young) paper on “transforming Indian ports into world class facilities”

      The FICCI-E&Y paper calls for focusing on three imperatives if the Indian port and shipping
      sector is to become competitive and world class. These include:

               Focussed infrastructure development
               Facilitating trade through an innovative mix of IT and other value added services
               Promoting competition through privatisation




AEON Consultants                                                                                        39
PROBABLE AREAS IDENTIFIED…


  Chennai-Bangalore-Mumbai industrial corridor

         The Karnataka Government in the State has planned to develop an industrial corridor along the
         national highway connecting Bangalore and Mumbai and also between Hubli and Bellary

         Main idea behind creating an industrial corridor was to see that all districts along the highway
         were industrially developed

         The State had been divided into six industrial zones and the Government had already identified
         the nature of industries that could come up, based on locally available raw materials

         Bellary, where iron ore was available in abundance, was suited for steel industries, while
         Gulbarga and its surrounding places, which were rich in limestone deposits, were ideal for
         cement factories

         Hubli-Dharwad and Belgaum would be given an opportunity to start automobile industries and
         IT/BT units

         Food processing units would be started in Bijapur, Bagalkot and Shimoga which are well known
         for their horticultural produce




AEON Consultants                                                                                            40
PROBABLE AREAS IDENTIFIED…



   AP North Coastal Corridor

          The Government of Andhra Pradesh intends to develop Coastal Corridor covering the
          Districts of Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam and East Godavari Districts for
          providing connectivity through various modes of transport to potentially identified ports
          both major and minor and power plants of different categories namely
          conventional, barge based, non-conventional power plants

          The development is proposed for the integrated purpose to create infrastructure on
          design, finance and build under PPP mode

          Government of A.P. proposes to conduct pre-feasibility and detailed feasibility studies
          on the existing pattern of road network, rail network and air links available and required
          for future facilities in order to create self sustaining infrastructure, which in turn generate
          revenue and improved facilities under the core sectors mentioned above

          The principle objective behind this project is finally to develop the important connectivity
          of along the costal regions duly exploring the potentials under various natural resources
          in the coastal districts




AEON Consultants                                                                                            41
AP NORTH COASTAL CORRIDOR – Development Plans

        SECTOR                     SKLM               VZM        VSP     EAST
                                                                         GODV.
TRANSPORTATION                                                                    TOTAL    PROJECT
1. a) Coastal Roads               130 km              52 km     100 km   156 km   438 KM Pre-feasibility study on
                                                                                         1.existing road pattern
   b) Link roads                      0                 68        80      80      228 KM
                                                                                         a. nature, serviceability, land availability, New alignment with
                                    130                120       180      236     666 KM connectivity to other salient units under, the proposed corridor
2. Rail Network                                                                          Study on existing rail links between ports and feasibility for
  2 track Port link                60 km              20 km     60 km    60 km    200 KM further requirement in the light of goods & cargo handling in the
  Railwayline                                                                            ports.
3. Coastal Sea route       Establishment of sea                                            Preliminary report prepared for total investment of Rs. 4628.80
                           route along the North                                           crores(~USD1.028 billion)
                             coastal districts.
4. Air Links

  a) Air Ports                        0                 0         2        1         3     Pre-feasibility study to be done for each air port.
  b) Helistations                     2                 2         2        4        10
PORTS                                                                                      Port wise feasibility study to be conducted for its initial
                                                                                           feasibility.
  1.Major Ports                       0                 0         1        1         2
  2. Minor Ports                      4                 1         4        5        14
POWER                                                                                      Pre-feasibility study to be done for each power plant for its
                                                                                           potential features.
Power Plants
  a) Conventional                     2                 2         2        2         8
  b) Barge based                      1                 1         1        1         4
  c) Non-conventional                 6                 6         6        6        24
Source : INCAP (Infrastructure Corporation of Andhra Pradesh)



  AEON Consultants                                                                                                                                         42
PROBABLE AREAS IDENTIFIED - PROBLEMS/RISKS ??



      The lands to be acquired are vast and hence sometimes a few small chunks are unavailable
      due to the presence of a settlement

      The government has been proactive in acquiring lands for the projects and SEZ’s but it faces
      opposition from a few opposition parties

      The sole reason behind the opposition is the conversion of agricultural lands and inadequate
      compensation given to the farmers/owners of these lands

      The development is also expected to change the natural settings of these areas, further
      strengthening the opposition

      Most of the planned projects though ushering in development in the region, do not take care of
      the needs of the rural folk in these areas




AEON Consultants                                                                                       43
How do we plan to overcome these impediments ?




         THE AGRICULTURAL
           CITY PLUG-IN


AEON Consultants                                   44
AGRICULTURAL CITY .. ! ?



     Conceived as a huge tract of land which will be utilised for large-scale mechanised agricultural
     activity

     The agricultural activity shall be carried out in a corporate manner and will follow either a model
     of contract farming or co-operative, depending upon which is the more suitable one

     The land owners shall have contracts with the corporate where-in they would retain the
     ownership of their land and receive an income which would be decided on the basis of his land
     area and produce per unit area.

     The tract of land shall be provided with infrastructure facilities like reservoirs, irrigation
     grids, wind energy based power(windmills) if feasible etc., to provide the output an insulation
     from natural mishaps like floods, famine etc

     The people stand to gain from the proposal as they get a fixed income, better
     equipment, improved farming practices, better infrastructure support and hence higher produce

     The corporates mostly visualised as a food processing firm or a a firm like a textile firm shall
     have control over which crop to be grown based on their needs. This ensures availability of raw
     goods at cheaper rates and huge cost savings in transport, be it from the farm to the factory or
     factory to the port for export.


AEON Consultants                                                                                           45
AGRICULTURAL CITY .. ! ?



     The processing units shall be under the SEZ and hence the before mentioned tax incentives
     would apply

     We on the other hand would not face the opposition other projects have faced as the people in
     this scenario will only stand to gain, though proper awareness regarding the project shall have
     to be done and any possible loop holes in the plan after discussion with experts plugged

     In brief, we plan to promote even those industries in our SEZ which would find it in their best
     interest to enhance agriculture in the vicinity. The location of the land and it’s suitability for
     various crops shall determine the nature of both the industry and the crop

     Further the agricultural plug-in would go a long way in bringing an urban lifestyle to the rural
     poor as time progresses soon




AEON Consultants                                                                                          46
INDIAN AGRICULTURE – AN OVERVIEW


     About 70% of the population, and about 75% of the poor, live in rural areas and most depend on
     agriculture

     Agriculture provides livelihood to 60 percent of the rural people and remains vital for food security

     In the past decade (1995/96-2004/05) India's agricultural growth rate slowed down to less than 2
     percent per year, compared to about 3.5 percent per annum in the preceding decade

     In the poorest states, such as Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, and Rajasthan, growth in the last decade
     was below 1 percent per year

     The stagnation of agriculture, the high proportion of poor dependent on it, and the widening rural-
     urban income gaps are the major concerns of the Government of India (GOI)

     Yields of major crops (foodgrains, oilseeds, other cash crops) in India are lower than in many
     other countries - for example, rice yields in India are one-third of China’s and about half of those
     in Vietnam and Indonesia

     The virtual collapse of the agricultural extension system in most states limits farmers' access
     to better technologies and practices



AEON Consultants                                                                                             47
INDIAN AGRICULTURE – AN OVERVIEW


    The effectiveness of the public agricultural research system is undermined by weaknesses in the
    agricultural research system such as:

             bias towards irrigated agriculture
             weak prioritization
             proliferation of programs
             top-down programs
             weak cost effectiveness

    The sustainability of land and water resources is at risk with increasing soil degradation and the
    over-exploitation of groundwater in many areas

    In addition to erosion, salinity and alkalinity, soils are also losing carbon and micronutrients due
    to unbalanced fertilizer use

    Nearly 30 percent of the blocks in the country are presently classified as semi-critical, critical or
    overexploited as groundwater use exceeds the rate of groundwater recharge




AEON Consultants                                                                                            48
INDIAN AGRICULTURE – AN OVERVIEW


    Succinctly put, following are the issues with indian agriculture

              Farmers own small tracts of land making the use of machinery on their farms financially
              infeasible for them

              Further due to the area being small and no uniformity followed in what is being grown by
              various farmers, the productivity decreases and sometimes also leads to degradation of soil
              fertility

              Farmers are not provided with the adequate infrastructure support in terms of power,
              irrigation, flood protection etc.

              Awareness of the modern farming practices is not there leading to farmers not getting
              optimum outputs

              Farmers are taken advantage of by the intermediaries between them and the markets

    Agriculture in India needs to be modernized, organised and carried out in a professional manner

    India is a major exporter of cash crops like cotton which are the raw materials of various industries like
    textile

    Properly planned co-ordination between agriculture and agri-industries can highly propel the incomes of
    both the farmers and the industries.
AEON Consultants                                                                                                 49
Thank you




AEON Consultants               50

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Why India needs New cities - exhaustive

  • 1. Contents : 1. India’s Growth & Potential – Overview Population Economy Infrastructure 2. Designer Cities 3. Designer Cities Augmented with Ports 4. The Agricultural Plug-In AEON Consultants 1
  • 2. India’s Growth & Potential – Overview ( Population ) AEON Consultants 2
  • 3. Growing Indian Urban Population INDIA'S URBAN T RANSIT ION Urban Population (million) Rural Population (million) Total Population (million) 1600 1408.93 1400 1291.30 1230.48 1200 1164.02 PO PU LAT IO N IN MILLIO N 1027.02 1000 846.30 833.88 843.77 833.25 811.77 800 741.67 684.30 628.70 548.20 575.68 600 524.80 439.10 447.53 396.60 400 352.25 285.35 217.60 200 159.50 109.10 0 1971 1981 1991 2001 2010 2015 2020 2030 YEAR AEON Consultants 3
  • 4. Indian Urban Growth- Features Urban population has grown at about 4% p.a. vis-à-vis 1.5% growth in rural areas Level of urbanisation increased from 23% in 1981 to 29% in 2001 Expected to reach about 36% by 2011 Pace of urbanisation has rapidly increased in the last 2 decades Increase in Urban incomes also having an impact on the demand for urban infrastructure Share of service sector in the Indian GDP has increased significantly Has resulted in increase in income levels in the Urban areas Of the 21 mega cities (population. 10 million+) in the world , 17 are estimated to be in developing countries, 3 in India India has the second largest urban system in the world. Comprises of over 3700 urban local entities About 30% of the total population resides in Urban areas Two-thirds of the above live in Class I (100k plus) cities Metropolitan (million plus) cities have increase from 5 in 1951 to 27 cities in 2001 About 1/3rd of the urban population lives in these cities Engine of productivity and growth in the country Contributes about 60% of the national income AEON Consultants 4
  • 5. India’s Growth & Potential – Overview ( Economy ) AEON Consultants 5
  • 6. Burgeoning Indian Economy 1991 2006 GDP GROWTH -> negative GDPGROWTH > 7% INFLATION -> double INFLATION < 5% digit FOREX RESERVES > US$ 140 b FOREX RESERVES < US$ 2 EXPORT GROWTH > 20% b FISCAL DEFICIT < 4% EXPORT GROWTH > marginal SENSEX(11700) > DOW JONES FISCAL DEFICIT -> 10%(Apppx) RETURN IN LAST YEAR = 74% CORORATE EARNINGS GROWTH > 20% SENSEX -> around 1500 ANNUAL FII INFLOWS > US$ 10b ANNUAL FII INFLOWS > nil MARKET CAPITALISATION > US$ 700b MARKET CAPITALISATION(1998) = US$ 100b AEON Consultants 6
  • 7. Indian Scenario- Features A liberalizing economy and rated as 4th largest country based on Purchasing Power Parity [PPP] World’s largest democracy & among the strongest emerging markets 1..2 billion people with 300 million in the middle class bracket Well matured financial and securities market Time-tested judicial systems WTO member committed to providing opportunity to the global market Constantly undertaking reforms in every sector with Infrastructure Sector receiving Government’s fullest attention AEON Consultants 7
  • 8. Indian Economy Growth- Features India has potential to attract US $ 100 billion over next five years Export Oriented Sectors alone to attract US$ 11 billion investments Increase in FDI will lead to increase in GDP by another 2-3 % Potential for creation of 1 Million direct and indirect jobs each year Source: AMCHAM with McKinsey&Co. Large pool of educated manpower available at affordable cost Significant Impact on lifestyle and standard of living Cities with world class integrated infrastructure recognized as necessary drivers of economic growth Between 2002 to 2007 India has improved its FDI confidence ranking from Rank No. 15 to Rank No. 2 AEON Consultants 8
  • 9. Indian Economy Growth- Features C hina India United S tates United K ingdom B raz il Hong K ong S ingapore United A rab G ermany R us s ia A us tralia F ranc e V ietnam C anada Malays ia J apan Other G ulf s tates S outh A fric a Turkey Mexic o P oland Indones ia S outh K orea C entral A s ia C z ec h R epublic 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 FDI confidence maintained FDI confidence gone up FDI confidence lowered On a scale of 0 to 3 . Source : A.T. Kearney AEON Consultants 9
  • 10. India’s Growth & Potential – Overview ( Infrastructure ) AEON Consultants 10
  • 11. Indian Urban Infrastructure – Shortcomings Only 60% of the Urban households have piped water supply Only 46% of households have water toilets and only 28% are connected to public sewerage system Only 60% of them have their garbage collected by the municipal authorities Over 21% of the urban population lives in squatter settlements/slums The Tenth Plan Document has assessed a shortage of 22.4 million houses during the period 2002- 07, which requires an investment of Rs. 4 lac crores The city roads inadequate/poor for traffic requirements, leading to congestion None of the Indian cities have proper MRTS Inadequate medical and health facilities (Appx. 26 beds per 10000 population in Public Hospitals) Demand for Urban Infrastructure investment - Grown beyond the resources of Govt. AEON Consultants 11
  • 12. Inadequate Indian Urban Infrastructure – Impact ? India Urban Sector is competing with the best cities in the developing countries to attract investments. Thus creating urban infrastructure is mandatory to increase India’s competitiveness Sustaining Industrial growth requires development of cityscapes Industrial growth faces a major impediment as Inadequate infrastructure is identified as one of the biggest constraints of doing business in India Infrastructure plays a major role when it comes to deciding between China, India and other Asian countries for FDI and FII decisions AEON Consultants 12
  • 13. Inadequate Indian Urban Infrastructure – Impact ? Hampers Economic Growth Affects the profitability of production, levels of income, output and employment Poor Urban Infrastructure Affects Country’s Lower Corporate Investments Global Competitiveness Hinders expansion in areas with poor Slows down the pace with which a infrastructure and lesser country can integrate its’ economy developed areas into the global system Poor urban service coverage is the main hindrance to a city’s ability to attract investments which promote economic development AEON Consultants 13
  • 14. Inadequate Indian Urban Infrastructure – Impact ? Total weighted responses Tax regulations 7 Tax rates 5 Restrictive labor regulations 15 Poor w ork ethic in national labor 3.2 Policy instability 4.5 Inflation 1.3 Bottlenecks inefficient government 18 Total Inadequately educated w orkforce 3 Inadequate supply of infrastructure 27 Government instability/coups 1 Foreign currency regulations 3.1 Crime and theft 1.2 Corruption 11 Access to finance 4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Source: Economic Forum’s Global Competitive Report of FY07; *From a list of 14 factors, respondents were asked to select the five most problematic for doing business in India and to rank them from 1 to 5. Figure 27 shows responses weighted according to their rankings, where higher the figure the more problematic the factor AEON Consultants 14
  • 15. Indian vs. China – a comparison Indian Urban Infrastructure – Requirements India’s investment in infrastructure at around 4.6% of GDP is far lower than that of China’s at 11% China is investing 8-10x in highways every year since the mid-1990s compared with India’s investment In ports, China has on average added 350 million tonnes in capacity every year. This compares to overall traffic of 650 million tonnes in India China added 100 gigawatts in electricity generation capacity in 2007 alone. This compares to total electricity generation capacity of 140 gigawatts in India The gap in infrastructure between India and China is so large that for India to catch up with China’s present level of stocks per capita by 2015, India’s infrastructure investment to GDP should rise to 12.5% as against the current 3.6% 2.8% of GDP(Govt.) 0.8% of GDP(Private) AEON Consultants 15
  • 16. Indian Urban Infrastructure –– Requirements Indian Infrastructure Requirements The Gross Capital Formation (GCF) in infrastructure as a proportion of the GDP emerges as the most important key in sustaining high economic growth. However GCF as a proportion of GDP continues to be lower at around 5% only As per the Indian Prime Minister’s speech at NYSE 2004 US$150/year bn would be required in next 10 years for infrastructure alone According to the United Nations Population Division (UNDP) by 2030 while the rural population will increase only marginally, urban population will double by 2030 to around 600 million people . AEON Consultants 16
  • 17. Indian Urban Infrastructure – Requirements It is estimated that INR34,385 billion (~USD860 billion) worth of construction opportunity in India for the next five years, representing a CAGR of 20% versus a CAGR of 14% for the past five years The Central Public Health Engineering (CPHEEO) has estimated fund requirement of Rs. 172,905 crores (~USD38.42 billion) for 100% coverage of the urban population under safe water supply and sanitation services by 2021 The Rail India Technical & Economic Services (RITES) has estimated fund requirement for Urban Transport Infrastructure at Rs. 207,000 crores (~USD46 billion) over the next 20 years Comparing the demand with the estimated annual institutional finance flow of about Rs. 5,000 crores (~USD1.1 billion) leaves a huge gap in Infrastructure funding requirements AEON Consultants 17
  • 18. Indian Urban Infrastructure – Government Initiatives Recent initiatives have seen India create a liberalised and free policy regime in all infrastructure sectors i.e Roads – Highways & Road development projects worth US$ 12 billion being implemented through National Highway Authority of India (NHAI), have attracted extensive participation of world majors Telecom – India is rated as amongst the fastest growing markets Seaports – Leading port operators across the world participating in government port privatization and to develop greenfield ports. Power – Huge investment plans in power generation, transmission and distribution through both government and private sectors are being planned Railways – Moves to augment rail infrastructure through private sector being brought in place AEON Consultants 18
  • 19. OUR SOLUTION…. DESIGNER CITIES AEON Consultants 19
  • 20. Why build a whole new city ?? Although, each city or town has a master plan and zoning plans and is technically supposed to expand in conformity with that in a planned manner, the coming up of slums shows a definite weakness in the system if not a failure of the development authorities The growing urbanization has posed a new challenge to the authorities as there is a continuous pressure on available basic civic services like shelter, drinking water, electricity, sanitation, transport, health and education The advantage a new Designer City will have is that they wont carry any historical baggage of improper urban planning and development The expenditure on improving the infrastructure in cities is massive and even when incurred, the cities will soon reach saturation. Cost of building new cities is much lower than providing different services to the people scattered in different slum areas of a city or providing all the rural areas with infrastructure. Increased production of goods and services at a lower cost there by creating efficient contribution towards Indian Economy One city will not solve India’s problems, but a chain of such cities will go a long distance in urbanising India. AEON Consultants 20
  • 21. Proposed concept – A Multi-Product SEZ City It is planned to build the city as one Multi-Product SEZ The area for a multi-product SEZ varies from 2500acres(min.) to 12500acres It is mandatory for a minimum of 35% of the area known as processing area to have industries involved in exporting goods and services An SEZ is the most sought after status by the industry players keeping in mind the tax incentives Special Economic Zones (SEZs) in India defined as : “Specifically delineated duty-free enclave and shall be deemed to be foreign territory for the purposes of trade operations and duties and tariffs” Apart from tax benefits, the world class infrastructure will further lure the industries in to the city The SEZ act requires the developer to further develop the social infrastructure in the remaining 65% or less area of SEZ known as non-processing area AEON Consultants 21
  • 22. SEZ – Added Incentives High Point - Preferential Policy framework with a package of incentives Benefits of local advantages within an international business environment Business Infrastructure combined with social facilities Development, Administration and Operation to be undertaken by private sector to enable a hassle free operating environment Envisaged as areas of excellence to enable global companies to derive domestic advantages for doing business An SEZ is ensured of infrastructure support for development in terms of resources like water, power, roads connecting to SEZ by the government Further, government goes a long distance in acquiring the land for an SEZ, which to a great extent simplifies the process of land acquisition Sectored restrictions on manufacturing sector inapplicable within SEZ Single window clearance All SEZ activities on self certification basis AEON Consultants 22
  • 23. SEZ – Added Incentives Inter unit transfer of goods permitted The SEZ developer enjoys various benefits, a few of which are listed below: Exemption from customs/excise duties for development of SEZs for authorized operations approved by the BOA. Income Tax exemption on export income for a block of 10 years in 15 years under Section 80-IAB of the Income Tax Act. Exemption from minimum alternate tax under Section 115 JB of the Income Tax Act. Exemption from dividend distribution tax under Section 115O of the Income Tax Act. Exemption from Central Sales Tax (CST). Exemption from Service Tax (Section 7, 26 and Second Schedule of the SEZ Act). Integrated Greenfield cities are the most sought after projects by all state governments under a PPP(Public Private Partnership) model AEON Consultants 23
  • 24. SEZ – Added Incentives No routine customs examination of export and import cargo Forward looking Labour Laws under consideration 100% FDI for manufacturing units operating inside SEZs through automatic approval route in almost all sectors 100% exemption of income tax for the first 5 years and a 50% exemption for the subsequent 2 years from the date of commencement of operations. 100% profit repatriation facility from export earnings Permission to sell within the Domestic Tariff Area (DTA) and an exemption from a Special Additional Duty (SAD) subject to the company having a positive Net Foreign Exchange Position (NFEP) Supplies from DTA to be treated as exports while those from SEZs to DTA to be treated as imports. Investments in SEZ treated as infrastructure development and eligible for exemption Local inputs at reduced cost without the excise, VAT other levies of India Duty free import of materials for construction, capital goods and goods required for O&M AEON Consultants 24
  • 25. PPP – Public Private Partnership ? Goals Use Government resources to attract private investments Improve efficiency in service delivery  PPP approach Private Sector contribution for: Financial investments Improved Technologies Efficiency in service delivery Public Sector contribution for: Financial gap funding to make projects commercially viable Providing institutional support guidance & regulation AEON Consultants 25
  • 26. PPP – Public Private Partnership ? Types of Asset O&M Capital Commercial Duration Contracts Ownership Investment Risk (Yrs) Service Public Private & Public Public 1-2 Contract Public Management Public Private Public Public 3-5 Contract Lease Public Private Public Private 8-15 Concession Public Private Private Private 25-30 BOT/BOOT Private & Private Private Private 25-30 Public AEON Consultants 26
  • 27. PPP – Public Private Partnership ? Public Private Participation is gaining increased prominence in developing countries Investments flows to infrastructure projects with private participation in developing countries grew by 12% to US$ 64 billion China has executed around 406 infrastructure projects during the period 1990-2004 with a cumulative investment of US$ 67 billion Greenfield projects (i.e., BOO, BLO, BOT, BOOT) most common format of Public Private Partnerships Indian Urban Infrastructure sector needs to learn from and build upon the international experience to harness the potential of PPP AEON Consultants 27
  • 28. Indian Ports India has got 14,500 km of navigable waterways, which comprise of rivers, canals, backwaters, creeks, etc Presently, about 37,00 km of major rivers is navigable by mechanized crafts but actually only 2000 km is being used 160 tonnes of cargo is transported through Inland Water Transport There are 12 major ports in the country apart from 139 minor working ports along the coastline of about 5,600 km. The 12 major ports of the country have, on the other hand, handled a total of 519 million tonnes of cargo during the year 2007-08, registering a growth of 12% in cargo throughput. Last year, the ports handled 463 million tonnes Major ports are the direct responsibility of the Central Government while the minor/intermediate are under the management of the state governments Kandla, Mumbai, Mormugao, New Manglore, Cochin and Jawaharlal Nehru Port are the major ports of the west coast while Indian ports handle large quantities of commodities such as crude, iron ore, steel products, fertilizers, food grains and cement. Apart from these electronics, textile, stationery, auto AEONancillaries, leather and jute products are also transported via ports Consultants 28
  • 29. Indian Ports Significantly, India's port sector has emerged the unsung hero in India's efforts to increase its global presence. The country's booming economy along with its foreign trade has given a tremendous boost to the sector, which has been instrumental in increasing India's share in world trade from 1.1 per cent in 2004 to 1.5 per cent in 2006 India's share in world trade is likely to increase to 2 per cent by 2009 With a growth rate of 19 per cent, India's container cargo traffic is estimated to reach 21 million TEUs(Twenty Foot Equivalent Units) by 2016 The share of non-major ports in cargo traffic has increased from less than 10 per cent in 1990 to the current level of 26 per cent AEON Consultants 29
  • 30. Indian Ports – all major(pink) and a few minor ports AEON Consultants 30
  • 31. Traffic & Capacity for major ports for last 6 years TRAFFIC CAPACITY YEAR (Million GROWTH (Million GROWTH Tonnes) Tonnes) 2001-02 287.59 343.95 2002-03 313.55 9.03 362.75 5.47 2003-04 344.8 9.97 389.5 7.37 2004-05 383.75 11.30 397.5 2.05 2005-06 463 20.57 457.125 15 2006-07 519 12.09 660 15 AVERAGE AVERAGE GROWTH (%) 12.52 GROWTH (%) 8.97 AEON Consultants 31
  • 32. Projected traffic & capacity for major ports for next 6 years PROJECTED TRAFFIC (Million Tonnes) PROJECTED CAPACITY @ 15% growth per annum (Million Tonnes) 2007-08 583.64 2007-08 758.73 2008-09 671.18 2008-09 872.54 2009-10 771.86 2009-10 1003.42 2010-11 887.64 2010-11 1153.93 2011-12 1020.78 2011-12 1327.00 2012-13 1173.90 2012-13 1526.00 AEON Consultants 32
  • 33. Indian Ports – Presently Inadequate ? In its representation to National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council (NMCC), FICCI has urged the Government of India to target over Rs 1 lakh crore(~USD22.2 billion) of investment in ports by 2012-13 so as to support the 12% manufacturing growth. FICCI noted that Indian exports are growing at more than 20% since 2002-03 and last year (i.e. 2005-06) imports grew by 28% mainly on account of demand from manufacturing sector for raw materials, intermediate goods and capital goods In addition to the current growth rate in cargo traffic if we consider the likely impact of various FTAs and multilateral trade agreements that India is going to have in the near future on our trade, FICCI feels that the projected traffic could reach 1174 million tonnes by 2012-13 at major ports To support this traffic, around 1500 million tonnes of capacity is required at major ports by 2012-13, noted FICCI (Here, the underlying assumption is to add 30% surplus capacity over the projected traffic for the year). The present capacity is only around 750 million tonnes Already, 276 projects entailing an investment of US$ 13.70 billion have been identified. These include development of new berths, expansion and upgradation of existing berths, deepening of channels, equipment modernisation and upgradation of rail and road connectivity AEON Consultants 33
  • 34. Indian Ports – Presently Inadequate ? Currently, Indian ports have a capacity of 750 million TPA. In comparison, China has an installed capacity of 5.6 billion TPA Indian ports are working at much higher capacity utilization, 90%, as against world standards, wherein capacity is generally pegged at 120 per cent of estimated port traffic to ensure smooth functioning of the port Currently, most of the ships carrying cargo from East to West break their bulk at Colombo, Hong Kong, or Singapore (this is trans-shipment port - shipment of goods to an intermediate destination before reaching its final port) At present, 80 per cent of the Indian containers are trans-shipped at Colombo, Singapore, and Dubai. Most of the major ports in India are not automated and require up gradation. They are grappling with low productivity compared with world-class ports such as Singapore For instance, the time taken for clearing import cargo and shipping export cargo is 21 days and 19 days respectively in India as against 3 days and 5 days in Singapore. In terms of railway costs Indian shippers incur 7.9 cents per km. as against Canadian railway cost of 2 cents. Further, the logistics costs in India accounted for 13% of GDP compared to 11% in Japan; 10% in Europe and 9% in the US on account of poor logistics infrastructure at ports in the country AEON Consultants 34
  • 35. Indian Ports – Bottlenecks ?? Inefficiencies at the ports affecting the traffic has been a major reason behind not growing at a reasonable rate and lagging behind in the global race Although container traffic has grown rapidly at the major ports in India, inefficiencies due to infrastructure bottlenecks still persist Infrastructure bottlenecks have led to higher dwell time, thus hampering container traffic growth Weak regulatory structures of major ports AEON Consultants 35
  • 36. Indian Ports – Various State Scenarios Gujarat state, with the pioneering work being carried out by its port authority, Gujarat Maritime Board (GMB), has already established its leadership position among maritime states of India GMB ports have registered a cargo throughput of 147 million tonnes during the fiscal year 2007- 08 as against 132 million tonnes they handled the year before. Maritime states of Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh (AP) and Tamil Nadu (TN) are neck to neck in comparison when it comes to claiming the No 2 position after Gujarat in port development In east coast it is Andhra Pradesh as in west coast it is Gujarat ! There is more of an integrated development happening in Andhra Pradesh than elsewhere in south, either SEZ or industrial activity and connectivity. The state is supporting in land acquisition etc TamilNadu (east coast) will come closer to Andhra Pradesh but the issues their are related to land acquisition and when you go down south hinterland gets narrower In terms of traffic volume it is Maharashtra(West coast). There is plenty of cargo availability and ports like Rewas, Dharmadhar, Ratnagiri, Dighi would add more pace to throughput in due course AEON Consultants 36
  • 37. Indian Ports – Government plans.. Under the National Maritime Development Program (NMDP), the major thrust is on private sector participation. 66 percent of the total investment outlay is expected to the contributed from the private sector Of this, NMDP has expected a total capital expenditure requirement of RS 55,800 crore(~USD12.4 billion) to expand the existing port capacities Private players are expected to pump in Rs 34,500 crore(~USD7.66 billion), either as operators of container terminals or by forming joint ventures with port authorities Further, 360 projects have been outlined for all ports put together, including expansion of ports, improvement in hinterland - inland region lying behind a port - connectivity, and deepening of ports (aimed at improving ports statistics) Opening up of this sector for private participation and inducing favorable policies to promote investments will turn out to be the key so successful implementation of the huge capacity expansion project AEON Consultants 37
  • 38. What do we have planned for ports in India and AAJ ? PORT AUGMENTED DESIGNER CITIES AEON Consultants 38
  • 39. Proposed concept – A Multi-Product SEZ City augmented with a PORT A designer city with a multi-product SEZ status would be an “IDEAL” location for any manufacturing industry when very near to a world-class port. Not only would the tax benefits be applicable to the trading done via the ports but also to the developer of the port The tremendous savings on transportation of goods from the factory to the port will further provide an incentive to the industries The strategy is in line with FICCI (Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry) – E&Y(Ernst and Young) paper on “transforming Indian ports into world class facilities” The FICCI-E&Y paper calls for focusing on three imperatives if the Indian port and shipping sector is to become competitive and world class. These include: Focussed infrastructure development Facilitating trade through an innovative mix of IT and other value added services Promoting competition through privatisation AEON Consultants 39
  • 40. PROBABLE AREAS IDENTIFIED… Chennai-Bangalore-Mumbai industrial corridor The Karnataka Government in the State has planned to develop an industrial corridor along the national highway connecting Bangalore and Mumbai and also between Hubli and Bellary Main idea behind creating an industrial corridor was to see that all districts along the highway were industrially developed The State had been divided into six industrial zones and the Government had already identified the nature of industries that could come up, based on locally available raw materials Bellary, where iron ore was available in abundance, was suited for steel industries, while Gulbarga and its surrounding places, which were rich in limestone deposits, were ideal for cement factories Hubli-Dharwad and Belgaum would be given an opportunity to start automobile industries and IT/BT units Food processing units would be started in Bijapur, Bagalkot and Shimoga which are well known for their horticultural produce AEON Consultants 40
  • 41. PROBABLE AREAS IDENTIFIED… AP North Coastal Corridor The Government of Andhra Pradesh intends to develop Coastal Corridor covering the Districts of Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam and East Godavari Districts for providing connectivity through various modes of transport to potentially identified ports both major and minor and power plants of different categories namely conventional, barge based, non-conventional power plants The development is proposed for the integrated purpose to create infrastructure on design, finance and build under PPP mode Government of A.P. proposes to conduct pre-feasibility and detailed feasibility studies on the existing pattern of road network, rail network and air links available and required for future facilities in order to create self sustaining infrastructure, which in turn generate revenue and improved facilities under the core sectors mentioned above The principle objective behind this project is finally to develop the important connectivity of along the costal regions duly exploring the potentials under various natural resources in the coastal districts AEON Consultants 41
  • 42. AP NORTH COASTAL CORRIDOR – Development Plans SECTOR SKLM VZM VSP EAST GODV. TRANSPORTATION TOTAL PROJECT 1. a) Coastal Roads 130 km 52 km 100 km 156 km 438 KM Pre-feasibility study on 1.existing road pattern b) Link roads 0 68 80 80 228 KM a. nature, serviceability, land availability, New alignment with 130 120 180 236 666 KM connectivity to other salient units under, the proposed corridor 2. Rail Network Study on existing rail links between ports and feasibility for 2 track Port link 60 km 20 km 60 km 60 km 200 KM further requirement in the light of goods & cargo handling in the Railwayline ports. 3. Coastal Sea route Establishment of sea Preliminary report prepared for total investment of Rs. 4628.80 route along the North crores(~USD1.028 billion) coastal districts. 4. Air Links a) Air Ports 0 0 2 1 3 Pre-feasibility study to be done for each air port. b) Helistations 2 2 2 4 10 PORTS Port wise feasibility study to be conducted for its initial feasibility. 1.Major Ports 0 0 1 1 2 2. Minor Ports 4 1 4 5 14 POWER Pre-feasibility study to be done for each power plant for its potential features. Power Plants a) Conventional 2 2 2 2 8 b) Barge based 1 1 1 1 4 c) Non-conventional 6 6 6 6 24 Source : INCAP (Infrastructure Corporation of Andhra Pradesh) AEON Consultants 42
  • 43. PROBABLE AREAS IDENTIFIED - PROBLEMS/RISKS ?? The lands to be acquired are vast and hence sometimes a few small chunks are unavailable due to the presence of a settlement The government has been proactive in acquiring lands for the projects and SEZ’s but it faces opposition from a few opposition parties The sole reason behind the opposition is the conversion of agricultural lands and inadequate compensation given to the farmers/owners of these lands The development is also expected to change the natural settings of these areas, further strengthening the opposition Most of the planned projects though ushering in development in the region, do not take care of the needs of the rural folk in these areas AEON Consultants 43
  • 44. How do we plan to overcome these impediments ? THE AGRICULTURAL CITY PLUG-IN AEON Consultants 44
  • 45. AGRICULTURAL CITY .. ! ? Conceived as a huge tract of land which will be utilised for large-scale mechanised agricultural activity The agricultural activity shall be carried out in a corporate manner and will follow either a model of contract farming or co-operative, depending upon which is the more suitable one The land owners shall have contracts with the corporate where-in they would retain the ownership of their land and receive an income which would be decided on the basis of his land area and produce per unit area. The tract of land shall be provided with infrastructure facilities like reservoirs, irrigation grids, wind energy based power(windmills) if feasible etc., to provide the output an insulation from natural mishaps like floods, famine etc The people stand to gain from the proposal as they get a fixed income, better equipment, improved farming practices, better infrastructure support and hence higher produce The corporates mostly visualised as a food processing firm or a a firm like a textile firm shall have control over which crop to be grown based on their needs. This ensures availability of raw goods at cheaper rates and huge cost savings in transport, be it from the farm to the factory or factory to the port for export. AEON Consultants 45
  • 46. AGRICULTURAL CITY .. ! ? The processing units shall be under the SEZ and hence the before mentioned tax incentives would apply We on the other hand would not face the opposition other projects have faced as the people in this scenario will only stand to gain, though proper awareness regarding the project shall have to be done and any possible loop holes in the plan after discussion with experts plugged In brief, we plan to promote even those industries in our SEZ which would find it in their best interest to enhance agriculture in the vicinity. The location of the land and it’s suitability for various crops shall determine the nature of both the industry and the crop Further the agricultural plug-in would go a long way in bringing an urban lifestyle to the rural poor as time progresses soon AEON Consultants 46
  • 47. INDIAN AGRICULTURE – AN OVERVIEW About 70% of the population, and about 75% of the poor, live in rural areas and most depend on agriculture Agriculture provides livelihood to 60 percent of the rural people and remains vital for food security In the past decade (1995/96-2004/05) India's agricultural growth rate slowed down to less than 2 percent per year, compared to about 3.5 percent per annum in the preceding decade In the poorest states, such as Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, and Rajasthan, growth in the last decade was below 1 percent per year The stagnation of agriculture, the high proportion of poor dependent on it, and the widening rural- urban income gaps are the major concerns of the Government of India (GOI) Yields of major crops (foodgrains, oilseeds, other cash crops) in India are lower than in many other countries - for example, rice yields in India are one-third of China’s and about half of those in Vietnam and Indonesia The virtual collapse of the agricultural extension system in most states limits farmers' access to better technologies and practices AEON Consultants 47
  • 48. INDIAN AGRICULTURE – AN OVERVIEW The effectiveness of the public agricultural research system is undermined by weaknesses in the agricultural research system such as: bias towards irrigated agriculture weak prioritization proliferation of programs top-down programs weak cost effectiveness The sustainability of land and water resources is at risk with increasing soil degradation and the over-exploitation of groundwater in many areas In addition to erosion, salinity and alkalinity, soils are also losing carbon and micronutrients due to unbalanced fertilizer use Nearly 30 percent of the blocks in the country are presently classified as semi-critical, critical or overexploited as groundwater use exceeds the rate of groundwater recharge AEON Consultants 48
  • 49. INDIAN AGRICULTURE – AN OVERVIEW Succinctly put, following are the issues with indian agriculture Farmers own small tracts of land making the use of machinery on their farms financially infeasible for them Further due to the area being small and no uniformity followed in what is being grown by various farmers, the productivity decreases and sometimes also leads to degradation of soil fertility Farmers are not provided with the adequate infrastructure support in terms of power, irrigation, flood protection etc. Awareness of the modern farming practices is not there leading to farmers not getting optimum outputs Farmers are taken advantage of by the intermediaries between them and the markets Agriculture in India needs to be modernized, organised and carried out in a professional manner India is a major exporter of cash crops like cotton which are the raw materials of various industries like textile Properly planned co-ordination between agriculture and agri-industries can highly propel the incomes of both the farmers and the industries. AEON Consultants 49