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Car Navigation Market
               in South East Asia

                             by
                       Vivek Vaidya
Vice President - Asia Pacific Automotive & Transportation


                                                    29th Nov, 2011
                                                  Automotive Practice
Agenda

 I    Overview Southeast Asian Automotive Market


 II   Drivers & Restraints


III   Navigation Market Trends


IV    Market Forecasts and Future Outlook


 V    New Market Trends


VI    Key Conclusions and Opportunities


                                                   2
Overview
ASEAN is home to more than 2.5 million light vehicle sales in 2010
                                                                                           29%
                                                                                     29%
                                                                              28%
                                                                     28%
                                          31%                 28%   Market 29%
                                                                            Overview: Light Vehicle Sales, 2007 - 2015
                                                                            4%
                                                                                 4%
                                                                                       4%

                               25%                                    29%
                                                        27%           5%
                                                              28%
                                          4%      27%          5%                          28%
                                6%                      28%                   4%     29%
                      31%                        28%    5%            4%      29%
                                                  5%          4%       30%
             25%                                              30%
                               31%       31%
                                         27%            5%
                                                        31%
                      4%       27%                5%
                                                  32%                        28%
             6%                                                       29%
                                         5%                   29%
                               5%                       30%                                                              29%
                                                 30%                                                               29%
             31%      31%                                                                  39%
                                39%      31%
                                         34%                  37%     37%     38%    38%
                               32%                36%   36%                                                  28%
                                                                                                       28%               4%
                                                                             31%                 28%               4%
                                                                    25%      39%                             4%
             39%      34%                        37%    37%   38%     38%                  27%         5%
                               36%       36%
                                                                             4%     27%          5%                      28%
                                                                    6%                                             29%
                                                                                           5%                29%
                                                                                    5%                 30%
                                                                                                 30%
                                                                    31%      31%
                                                                                           31%
                                                                                    32%


                                                                                                                         39%
  Brunei                             Burma (Myanmar)                39%      34%                 37%   37%   38%   38%
                   Indonesia                                                        36%    36%
  Cambodia         Laos              Philippines
  Vietnam          Thailand          Singapore
                   Malaysia




ā€¢ The light vehicle market in in South East Asia 4 countries (Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia)
  accounted for more than 1.5 million vehicles in 2010

ā€¢ Thailand is the largest light vehicle market in the region which account for nearly 40 percent


                                                                                                                               3
Overview
     Thailand is the largest light vehicle market in the region which account
    18%
             18%
                       18%




    for nearly 40 percent
             24%
                        18%
                       24%
                                    18%

    25%       18%
     19%
                       Market Overview: Light Vehicle Sales by                                      Market Overview: Market Share of Top
                                   18%
                            18%
                             24%
              25%
                        24%
                       18%      Segments, 2007 - 2015                                                   Vehicle Manufacturers, 2010
    25%
             19%
    19%                                                         18%
             21%       21%                       18%
                                               24%                                                    Continental brands such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW and
    21%                            24%
                        25%          18%
             25%          19%
                                                                                                          Audi holds less than 1 percent of the market
    25%
                19%                 21%
              21%       21%                                     24%
     21%
       19%                                          24%                                       18%
                                        25%                                             18%
%                           25%                                                                              Others, 28%
               25%                                                                18%                                                   Toyota, 32%
                                                                            19%
%     26%                           21%         21%
             21%        21%
                                  20%                                 19%
    20%                                                                                       24%
                                                          19%                           24%            Nissan, 6%
                      27%                                                         25%
                                              20%                           25%
                                                    21%         21%25%                                    Proton, 7%                             Honda, 10%
                            21%26% 21%
               20% 22%                        26%         26%
%     20%                                                                                                              Isuzu, 9%   Perodua, 8%


                                                                                        21%   21%
                                                                            21%   21%
                      17%         18%                                 20%
                                              18%         20%




     ā€¢ Toyota holds the largest market share in South East Asia 4 countries with more then 30 percent of the
     market share, followed by Honda, Perodua, Isuzu, Proton and Nissan

     ā€¢ MPV and Pickup segment will remain major segment which account for nearly half of the market
     because of popularity in Thailand and Indonesia, although A and B segment will grow gradually


                                                                                                                                                              4
Navigation Market Characteristics by Country


  ā€¢ OEMs has offered navigation systems for their        ā€¢ Proton is currently offering PNDs and will change
    passenger cars but recently introduced for pick up     to embedded type, and even plan to start
    trucks                                                 telematics services in 2015.
  ā€¢ Japanese OEMs fit navigation systems in              ā€¢ While, another local OEM, Perodua is currently
    production line in Thailand, while continental         offering PNDs for limited models but no intention
    OEMs import CBU vehicles with navigation.              to increase models with navigation.


  Thailand                                               Malaysia




  ā€¢ Singapore can afford more embedded navigation        ā€¢ Although Indonesia has large population and land,
    systems than other countries, but necessity of         navigation systems are still very expensive for
    navigation systems are very low because the land       most of Indonesian.
    is small and traffic systems are well established.   ā€¢ Richer people who can afford navigation systems
  ā€¢ The market is too small for OEMs to develop            do not need navigation systems because they have
    navigation systems for Singapore.                      drivers.


  Singapore                                              Indonesia




                                                                                                               5
Thailand Navigation Market: PNDs dominate the car navigation market
 with nearly 96 percent of the market due to reasonable price and plenty of choices

ā€¢ PNDs dominate the car                       Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario
navigation market with nearly                             (Thailand), 2007-2015                                         779,000
95 percent of the market due                                                                                  652,400
to reasonable price and plenty
                                                                                                    544,500
of choices
                                                                                          418,800

ā€¢ Embedded type is used by                                                      322,300
                                                                      247,800
OEMs but will not penetrate                                 176,700
                                                  114,700
into the market due to high              74,400
price and availability in the
aftermarket
                    Embedded
                      4.0%



                                      ā€¢ Currently mainly luxury and larger vehicles in D segment and
                                      above offer navigation systems but it will shift to smaller
                     PND
                    96.0%             segment such as C and B segment in the future

                                      ā€¢ Garmin and MIO are major PND players in Thailand which
                                      account for more than 70 percent of the market share


                                                                                                                            6
Malaysia Navigation Market:                 Aftermarket is still major contributor,
 accounting for 90 percent of the market

ā€¢ The navigation market in Malaysia            Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario
has been growing very fast in the                          (Malaysia), 2007-2015
past 2 years, although the market is                                                                                      781,100
still small.

ā€¢ Currently the car navigation market                                                                           524,800

is dominated by PND and embedded
                                                                                                      353,300
type is not favored by national
automakers due to the complexity of                                                         238,100
                                                                                  155,800
the system integration on their                                         104,400
                                                      60,400   69,600
current product and higher cost              24,400




                         Embedded
                           1.1%

                                        ā€¢ Garmin and Papago are major PND players in Malaysia
                  PND
                 98.9%                  ā€¢ Mobile phone map is a threat for PNDs as the functions of
                                          mobile phone map have improved dramatically in the last
                                          few years and the screen size is getting bigger which is easier
                                          to see

                                                                                                                               7
Singapore Navigation Market:                   Embedded type is available as OE
 fitment but not available in the aftermarket

ā€¢ Car navigation systems are not                Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario
indispensable in Singapore                                 (Singapore), 2007-2015
because the land is small, road
                                                                                              48,000   48,000   46,800
network is relatively simple and                                                     45,700
                                                                            42,200
busy traffic time is predictable.                                  38,000

                                                          31,200

ā€¢ However,    car    navigation
                                                 18,400
systems , especially PND type,
are getting popular because of
                                        5,200
reasonable price, convenience
and multi-functions

                  Embedded
                    5.3%

                                       ā€¢ Garmin dominates the PND market in Singapore with more
                        PND
                                        than half of the market share in the aftermarket.
                       94.7%
                                       ā€¢ Embedded type may penetrate into the market if more
                                         attractive telematics services such as maintenance reminder,
                                         breakdown calls, emergency calls are available

                                                                                                                    8
Indonesia Navigation Market: OE and dealer fitting is not common and
 yet to see signs to become popular

ā€¢ The car navigation market in              Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario
Indonesia is currently very                            (Indonesia), 2007-2015
small but will grow very fast                                                                                     174,600

toward 2015 due to increasing                                                                           158,400
                                                                                              143,800
public       awareness    and
affordability.                                                                      110,600

                                                                           79,100
ā€¢ The car navigation market is
                                                                  52,900
dominated by PND and
                                                         37,700
embedded type may not able                      18,100
                                       12,200
to penetrate further into the
market due to high price.
                       Embedded
                         0.5%

                                      ā€¢ Garmin and Mio are the major market players in Indonesia
                PND
                                       which have about 90 percent of the market share.
               99.5%
                                      ā€¢ Garmin holds about half of the market share, while MIO has
                                        about 40 percent of the market share.



                                                                                                                      9
Generation Y: Goods and Services Catered to Values, Beliefs, Interest and
 Lifestyle

       Personalization          Techno Savvy and              Civic and               Demanding and
              and               Connected 24 X 7           Environmentally           Impatient ā€“ ā€œFast
       Individualization                                      Friendly               and the Furiousā€

                                  Gaming Gizmos
    Personalized Search and                                                        Instant Text Messaging
                                                            Eco- Transport
             News




                                    Smart Phones
   Social Networking Profiles
                                                        Bag-For-Life (Paper Bags
                                                           Instead of Plastic)          Instant Chat



                                 Facebook-on-the Move



    Personalized Products
                                                            Paperless Banking        Speed Oriented
                                                                                   Gaming (Car Racing)
                                   Microblogs




M65B-18                                                                                                     10
Smartphones are integral part of life

                                        Queue for iphone
                                                               It is very common for people to take picture
                                                               of food they are about to eat and post it on
                                                               Facebookā€¦before they finish the dish they
                                                               get hundreds of likes




              Cell Phones are commonly used while
              travelling, for voice as well as data service.
              Unlike Japan it is not considered rude to
              make a call while travelling



                                                                                                              11
Embedded systems in Southeast asia are set to growā€¦but


                        Embedded Systems in South East Asia
250.00




200.00




150.00




100.00




 50.00




    -
         2010    2011            2012               2013      2014   2015

                                        Embedded




                                                                            12
The volumes of PND would be significantly higherā€¦ but what is
more exciting isā€¦

                          Embedded Vs PND growth
4,000.00


3,500.00


3,000.00


2,500.00


2,000.00


1,500.00


1,000.00


 500.00


      -
           2010    2011       2012                2013   2014   2015

                               Embedded     PND




                                                                       13
Smart Phones are likely to outnumber PND and Embedded
systems in order of magnitude!

                           Smart Phones Vs PND Vs Embedded
300,000.00



250,000.00



200,000.00



150,000.00



100,000.00



 50,000.00



        -
             2010   2011               2012            2013        2014   2015

                            Embedded          PND   Smart Phones




                                                                                 14
Southeast Asia shows one of the highest intentions to purchase
smartphones at global level




                                                                 15
Built in Apps Already Exists like 911, Beamed-in and Brought-in are the ones in
focus Currently


                                     Built-In                               Beamed-In
 Built-In ā€“ Source                                                                                   Beamed-In ā€“ Source
  of revenues are                                                                                    of revenues are App
  from hardware                                                                                       Subscription fees
                           Features like eCall which are              Features like Ford Service
      and apps                                                                                           for OEMs and
                               built into the vehicle              Delivery Network (FSDN) which
  subscription for                                                                                    associated service
                            embedded telematics unit               allows real time services to be
 OEMs, hardware                                                                                             providers
                            e.g. Ford Sync 911, OnStar              sent to user using his mobile
   providers and                                                                                        e.g. Mercedes
                                        ACN                        phone with data and Bluetooth
 service providers                                                                                       Mbrace $280
                                                                                                      subscription for 3
                                                                                                          years service
                                                           Brought-In




  Brought-In ā€“ Source of revenues                   Bringing in apps from
     for OEMs are only through                    platforms like Apple App
  interfaces for using Smartphone                    store through users
   apps inside the car, e.g. Smart                 smartphone for use in
    iPhone cradle, Ford Sync, etc               vehicle through vehicle HMI,
                                                  e.g. Syncast in Ford Sync




                                                                                                                           16
Internet in the Car: From an automakers perspective Brought-In method the most
cost effective and way to bring internet radio into the car

         Built - In                                                                                                                                               Beamed - In
                                             A dedicated SIM card built
                                             into the vehicle




  These are head-units which are                                                                             USB Modem
  installed when the vehicle is                                                                                                             GM OnStar**
                                             BMW Connected Drive
  assembled.                                                                                                     Connectivity is provided by tethering
                                                                                                                 consumer mobile phone or having a
                                                                                                                 modem in the car

                      Bluetooth is the primary method of data                                                                      These are mobile phones used as a modem
                      transfer from the portable device to the                                                                     or have a USB modem
                      car speakers

  Brought - In                                                                                                                                               Aftermarket



                                 Ford SYNC           Smart drive kit for                     ClarionMIND                  Pioneer in-dash unit
                                                     iphone + smart drive
                                                     app

                                                                                                                                     These are aftermarket head-units that
                                                                                                                                     provide access to internet with use of
 These are portable devices such as mobile phone or music                                                                            consumer mobile phone
 players. The mobile phone network is used for connectivity
                                                  **OnStar has some safety features built in but a variety of media features are beamed in only on request        Source: Frost & Sullivan


                                                                                                                                                                                             17
Southeast Asia has the potential to leapfrog the conventional
steps in development of navigation and telematics market

                                                                                                  Brought - In

                                                                                         These are portable
                                                                                         devices such as
                                                                                         mobile phone or
                                                                                         music players. The
                                                                                         mobile phone
                                                                                         network is used for
                                                                           Beamed - In   connectivity

                                                Built - In

               Aftermarket

                                                                           These are mobile
                                                                           phones used as a
                                          These are head-units which are   modem or have a
                                          installed when the vehicle is    USB modem
                                          assembled.
 These are aftermarket head-units that
 provide access to internet with use of
 consumer mobile phone




                                                                                                                 18
Critical Development Points for Vehicle Centric and Consumer
Centric Apps


                                                Hosted from Smartphone inside
                       Embedded                 car using tethered connectivity
                        Critical




                                                           Internet radio, Vehicle
                                                         information, breakdown
               Emergency Assistance,      Ecodriving,        assistance, Social
               Stolen vehicle tracking,   Diagnostics       networking, parking
               usage-based insurance,      , Internet   information, dynamic POI
              advanced diagnostics and     radio, etc     information, EV charge
                breakdown assistance
                                                        spots location information,
                                                               EcoDriving, etc




                                                         Good to Have
                                                              Tethered
             Built inside the car by OEMs
             and tier 1 suppliers




                                                                                      19
Vehicle Manufacturer Developed Apps
OEMs are Currently working on APIā€™s to Control Entertainment Apps on Smartphones through Vehicle
HMI and are Also Developing Dedicated Apps in many Areas



                       Vehicle
     Telematics                       Entertainment      Location Based    Navigation
                    Information                                                                 Others
    Related Apps                          Apps            Service Apps    Related Apps
                        Apps



                                       Toyota I Heart                                       EV Apps ā€“ BMW
    BMW Roadside      Audi Car                             Toyota Park      TomTom
                                       Internet Radio                                       Active E, Nissan
      Assistance     Monitor App                            Smart App     Navigation App
                                            App                                                LEAF apps


                                        Ford - Sync
      Mercedes       myChevrolet                          OnStar Mylink       Bosch          Zip Car ā€“ Car
                                         Enabled
     Mbrace App         App                                   App         Navigation App     Sharing App
                                         Pandora


                      Ciao Fiat                             Trapster ā€“                      Fauercia Smart
        BMW                             Ford ā€“ Sync                       Toyota Smart G-
                     Smartphone                           Speed Camera                        Fit ā€“ Seat
    Connected App                     Enabled Stitcher                       Book App
                        App                                    App                           Related App


                                                           Viper Smart                       Green Apps ā€“
     Continental      Dynolicius ā€“      BMW/Mini                          Mercedes Smart
                                                          Start Remote                       Green Meter
      TPMS App      Diagnostics App   Connected App                         Drive App
                                                               App                               App



                                                                                             Source: Frost & Sullivan.



                                                                                                                   20
Conclusions and Opportunities



                                                                                 Implications
                       ASEAN Market is
                       mainly dominated
                         by PNDs with
                       slower growth for
                          Embedded
                           systems
                                                                            A growing user base for mobile phone-
     Market is still                                                         based Navigation and location based
   nascent to many                                                          services is prompting interfacing these
        evolving                                                                   devices to vehicle display
 technologies around
    telematics and
     infotainment
                                                                          Mobile phones may become the preferred
                                                                           navigation and connectivity devices for
                  Few major PND                                                   majority of the car users
                   manufacturers
                dominate the market
               however, Mobile phones
                are a threat to PNDs
                                                                           In-dash unit market may never take off in
                                           Gen Y Influence very high in                   this region
                                              future HMI designs and
                                             infotainment concepts ā€“
                                                touch screen, voice
                                                 commands critical
                                                   requirements
                                                                            Vehicle manufacturers and connectivity
                                                                              service providers need to evolve a
                                                                             different road map for these markets

                                                                                                        Source: Frost & Sullivan


                                                                                                                          21
Appendix ā€“ Frost & Sullivan Research Content




22                                                  22
Telematics, HMI, Connectivity and Navigation Related Existing and
Upcoming Consumer Research

                       2011 Apps, HMI and Telematics Voice of Consumer Study (In-progress)
                       US Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Mobility Apps, HMI
                2011   Concepts and Telematics Services
                       2011 Apps, HMI and Telematics Voice of Consumer Study (In-progress)
                       European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Mobility Apps,
                2011   HMI Concepts and Telematics Services
                       2011 Comfort and Convenience VOC Study (In-progress)
                       European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Multiple
                2011   Comfort and Convenience Technologies during Different Driving Phases
                2010   US Voice of Customer Study: Telematics & Infotainment and App-Store Applications
                       2010 Infotainment Voice of the Customer: European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and
                       Willingness to Pay Regarding New Generation Infotainment, App Concepts, and HMI
                2010   Solutions
                       European Consumersā€™ Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Connected Navigation,
                2009   Location-Based Services and Features
                       Russian Consumersā€™ Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Connected Navigation, Location-
                2009   Based Services and Features
                       Voice of Customer Study ā€“ Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Navigation Systems and
                2008   Telematics Services (US)
                2008   Consumer Desirability & Willingness to Pay for Navigation Systems and Features (Europe)
                       European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Multiple
  Forthcoming   2007   Comfort and Convenience Technologies



                                                                                                                  23
Telematics, HMI, Connectivity and Navigation Related Upcoming
            Research ā€“ 2012

                                                                                    Strategic Analysis of the European Telematics Services Market - Focus on Emergency
                                                             2012                   and Breakdown Assistance
                                                                                    Strategic Analysis of the European Telematics Services Market - Focus on Stolen
                                                             2012                   Vehicle Tracking
                                                                                    Strategic Analysis of the North Telematics Services Market - Focus on Emergency,
                                                             2012                   Breakdown and Vehicle Tracking Features
             ā€¢ Location-based
                   services                                                         Strategic Analysis of Tracking Legislation and its Impact on the Telematics Services
            ā€¢ GPS / Navigation                               2012                   Market in Brazil
                   systems
                                                                                    Strategic Analysis of ERA GLONASS Legislation and its Impact on the Telematics
          ā€¢ Infotainment systems
                                                             2012                   Services Market in Russia
                 ā€¢ Wireless
               Communication /                                                      Strategic Update of the In-Car Audio Systems Market in North America - Including Focus
                   Bluetooth                                                        on Audio Systems, Amplifiers, Speakers, Aux-in Features, Sound Processing Software,
              ā€¢ CV Telematics                                2012                   etc
                   ā€¢ RVD
               eCall
                                Pedestrian
           - Aftermarket
                                Navigation
              Solution



 letely
                                               Parking
                                                             2012                   Strategic Update of New Developments in the European Automotive HVAC Market
                                             Information
 oard
                                                  &
gation
                                             Reservation
                                                           Variable message signs
                                                                                    Impact Assessment and New Developments in Smartphone Interface Technologies Such
                                                             2012                   as Mirrorlink in the European and North American Automotive Market
 Time
              3G, GPRS. HSDPA, UMTS, WiFi      Social
amic
                                             Networking
 ffic
                                               Tools
mation

            Mobile TV
                                  Audio                                                    * Draft titles subject to change based on other customer feedback as well
                                 & Video
                  Forthcoming
             - DVB H
                               Downloading




                                                                                                                                                                           24
Telematics, HMI, Connectivity and Navigation Related Existing and
            Upcoming Research ā€“ 2010 and 2011

                                                                                    Key Trends and Forecasts of Navigation Systems and Telematics Services in China, India and
                                                                    2011            Select APAC Markets
                                                                                    Key Trends and Forecasts of Navigation Systems and Telematics Services in North and Latin
                                                                    2011            American Markets
                                                                                    Key Trends and Forecasts of Navigation Systems and Telematics Services in Western and Eastern
                                                                    2011            European Markets including Russia
             ā€¢ Location-based                                                       Strategic Analysis of European and North American Automotive Human Machine Interface Market -
                   services                                         2011            Part 2 Display and Instrument Clusters
            ā€¢ GPS / Navigation                                                      Connectivity, App Stores and Cloud-based Delivery Platforms - Future of Connected Infotainment
                   systems                                          2011            and Telematics Market
          ā€¢ Infotainment systems
                 ā€¢ Wireless                                                         Strategic Analysis of Global Automotive Market for IT Mobility Platforms
               Communication /                                      2011            Billing and Smart Charging are Two Key Opportunity Areas in the EV Infrastructure Segment
                   Bluetooth                                                        Strategic Analysis of European and North American Automotive Human Machine Interface Market -
              ā€¢ CV Telematics                                       2011            Part 1 Steering Wheel Controls, Voice Interfaces and Multifunctional Switches
                   ā€¢ RVD
                                                                                    Executive Analysis of European Consumersā€™ Awareness and Preferences for Usage of
               eCall
                                Pedestrian
           - Aftermarket
                                Navigation
              Solution


                                               Parking
                                                                    2010            Smartphone Apps Inside and Outside Car
 letely
                                             Information
 oard
gation
                                                  &
                                             Reservation                            Strategic Analysis of the Impact of Smartphones and Apps on the European and North American
                                                                    2010            Infotainment Market
                                                           Variable message signs




 Time
amic
 ffic
              3G, GPRS. HSDPA, UMTS, WiFi      Social
                                             Networking
                                               Tools
                                                                                    Strategic Analysis of the North American Market for Telematics-Enabled Usage-based Insurance
mation

            Mobile TV
                                  Audio
                                                                    2010            Market
                                 & Video
                  Forthcoming
             - DVB H
                               Downloading
                                                                    2010            Strategic Analysis of North American Embedded-Connected Hybrid Telematics Market

                           Existing                                 2010            Strategic Analysis of the European Market for Telematics -enabled Usage-based Insurance
                                                                    2010            Automotive Telematics Application Stores ā€“ Will it Succeed like the Apple App Store Concept


                                                                                                                                                                                     25
Electrical, Electronics, Comfort and Convenience Related Existing
and Upcoming Research

                     2012   Strategic Update of the Automotive HVAC Market in Europe
                            Strategic Analysis of Automotive Electronics Market for Electric Vehicles in Europe and North
                     2012   America
                            Strategic Analysis of Automotive Interior and Exterior Lighting Systems Market in Europe and
                     2012   North America
                     2012   Strategic Analysis of Automotive Seating Systems in Europe and North America
                     2009   Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Human Machine Interface Market
                            Executive Analysis of the Market for Solar Technology Applications in the European Automotive
ā€¢ Lighting Systems   2009   Industry
 ā€¢ HVAC Systems      2009   Strategic Analysis of the North American Automotive Software Market
ā€¢ Body Electronics
                     2008 European Automotive Original Equipment DAS, ESP, Passive Safety and Rain Sensors Market
    ā€¢ ECUā€™s
 ā€¢ Tire pressure     2008 Strategic Analysis of European Market for Electric Corner Modules
monitoring systems
                     2008 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Advanced Electronic Controller Market
  ā€¢ Aftermarket
     Electronic      2008 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Exterior Lighting Market
   Components        2008 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Interior Lighting Markets
                     2008 Strategic Analysis of Automotive Human Machine Interface Systems in North America
                          European Automotive Original Equipment (OE) Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC)
   Forthcoming       2007 Systems Markets
                     2007 European Automotive Original Equipment Position, Pressure and Temperature Sensors Market
                     2006 Analysis of European Automotive Wiring Harness and Connectors Markets


                                                                                                                            26

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Asean connectivity marketbyvivekvaidya

  • 1. Car Navigation Market in South East Asia by Vivek Vaidya Vice President - Asia Pacific Automotive & Transportation 29th Nov, 2011 Automotive Practice
  • 2. Agenda I Overview Southeast Asian Automotive Market II Drivers & Restraints III Navigation Market Trends IV Market Forecasts and Future Outlook V New Market Trends VI Key Conclusions and Opportunities 2
  • 3. Overview ASEAN is home to more than 2.5 million light vehicle sales in 2010 29% 29% 28% 28% 31% 28% Market 29% Overview: Light Vehicle Sales, 2007 - 2015 4% 4% 4% 25% 29% 27% 5% 28% 4% 27% 5% 28% 6% 28% 4% 29% 31% 28% 5% 4% 29% 5% 4% 30% 25% 30% 31% 31% 27% 5% 31% 4% 27% 5% 32% 28% 6% 29% 5% 29% 5% 30% 29% 30% 29% 31% 31% 39% 39% 31% 34% 37% 37% 38% 38% 32% 36% 36% 28% 28% 4% 31% 28% 4% 25% 39% 4% 39% 34% 37% 37% 38% 38% 27% 5% 36% 36% 4% 27% 5% 28% 6% 29% 5% 29% 5% 30% 30% 31% 31% 31% 32% 39% Brunei Burma (Myanmar) 39% 34% 37% 37% 38% 38% Indonesia 36% 36% Cambodia Laos Philippines Vietnam Thailand Singapore Malaysia ā€¢ The light vehicle market in in South East Asia 4 countries (Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia) accounted for more than 1.5 million vehicles in 2010 ā€¢ Thailand is the largest light vehicle market in the region which account for nearly 40 percent 3
  • 4. Overview Thailand is the largest light vehicle market in the region which account 18% 18% 18% for nearly 40 percent 24% 18% 24% 18% 25% 18% 19% Market Overview: Light Vehicle Sales by Market Overview: Market Share of Top 18% 18% 24% 25% 24% 18% Segments, 2007 - 2015 Vehicle Manufacturers, 2010 25% 19% 19% 18% 21% 21% 18% 24% Continental brands such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW and 21% 24% 25% 18% 25% 19% Audi holds less than 1 percent of the market 25% 19% 21% 21% 21% 24% 21% 19% 24% 18% 25% 18% % 25% Others, 28% 25% 18% Toyota, 32% 19% % 26% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 19% 20% 24% 19% 24% Nissan, 6% 27% 25% 20% 25% 21% 21%25% Proton, 7% Honda, 10% 21%26% 21% 20% 22% 26% 26% % 20% Isuzu, 9% Perodua, 8% 21% 21% 21% 21% 17% 18% 20% 18% 20% ā€¢ Toyota holds the largest market share in South East Asia 4 countries with more then 30 percent of the market share, followed by Honda, Perodua, Isuzu, Proton and Nissan ā€¢ MPV and Pickup segment will remain major segment which account for nearly half of the market because of popularity in Thailand and Indonesia, although A and B segment will grow gradually 4
  • 5. Navigation Market Characteristics by Country ā€¢ OEMs has offered navigation systems for their ā€¢ Proton is currently offering PNDs and will change passenger cars but recently introduced for pick up to embedded type, and even plan to start trucks telematics services in 2015. ā€¢ Japanese OEMs fit navigation systems in ā€¢ While, another local OEM, Perodua is currently production line in Thailand, while continental offering PNDs for limited models but no intention OEMs import CBU vehicles with navigation. to increase models with navigation. Thailand Malaysia ā€¢ Singapore can afford more embedded navigation ā€¢ Although Indonesia has large population and land, systems than other countries, but necessity of navigation systems are still very expensive for navigation systems are very low because the land most of Indonesian. is small and traffic systems are well established. ā€¢ Richer people who can afford navigation systems ā€¢ The market is too small for OEMs to develop do not need navigation systems because they have navigation systems for Singapore. drivers. Singapore Indonesia 5
  • 6. Thailand Navigation Market: PNDs dominate the car navigation market with nearly 96 percent of the market due to reasonable price and plenty of choices ā€¢ PNDs dominate the car Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario navigation market with nearly (Thailand), 2007-2015 779,000 95 percent of the market due 652,400 to reasonable price and plenty 544,500 of choices 418,800 ā€¢ Embedded type is used by 322,300 247,800 OEMs but will not penetrate 176,700 114,700 into the market due to high 74,400 price and availability in the aftermarket Embedded 4.0% ā€¢ Currently mainly luxury and larger vehicles in D segment and above offer navigation systems but it will shift to smaller PND 96.0% segment such as C and B segment in the future ā€¢ Garmin and MIO are major PND players in Thailand which account for more than 70 percent of the market share 6
  • 7. Malaysia Navigation Market: Aftermarket is still major contributor, accounting for 90 percent of the market ā€¢ The navigation market in Malaysia Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario has been growing very fast in the (Malaysia), 2007-2015 past 2 years, although the market is 781,100 still small. ā€¢ Currently the car navigation market 524,800 is dominated by PND and embedded 353,300 type is not favored by national automakers due to the complexity of 238,100 155,800 the system integration on their 104,400 60,400 69,600 current product and higher cost 24,400 Embedded 1.1% ā€¢ Garmin and Papago are major PND players in Malaysia PND 98.9% ā€¢ Mobile phone map is a threat for PNDs as the functions of mobile phone map have improved dramatically in the last few years and the screen size is getting bigger which is easier to see 7
  • 8. Singapore Navigation Market: Embedded type is available as OE fitment but not available in the aftermarket ā€¢ Car navigation systems are not Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario indispensable in Singapore (Singapore), 2007-2015 because the land is small, road 48,000 48,000 46,800 network is relatively simple and 45,700 42,200 busy traffic time is predictable. 38,000 31,200 ā€¢ However, car navigation 18,400 systems , especially PND type, are getting popular because of 5,200 reasonable price, convenience and multi-functions Embedded 5.3% ā€¢ Garmin dominates the PND market in Singapore with more PND than half of the market share in the aftermarket. 94.7% ā€¢ Embedded type may penetrate into the market if more attractive telematics services such as maintenance reminder, breakdown calls, emergency calls are available 8
  • 9. Indonesia Navigation Market: OE and dealer fitting is not common and yet to see signs to become popular ā€¢ The car navigation market in Market Size by Stage: Frost & Sullivan Scenario Indonesia is currently very (Indonesia), 2007-2015 small but will grow very fast 174,600 toward 2015 due to increasing 158,400 143,800 public awareness and affordability. 110,600 79,100 ā€¢ The car navigation market is 52,900 dominated by PND and 37,700 embedded type may not able 18,100 12,200 to penetrate further into the market due to high price. Embedded 0.5% ā€¢ Garmin and Mio are the major market players in Indonesia PND which have about 90 percent of the market share. 99.5% ā€¢ Garmin holds about half of the market share, while MIO has about 40 percent of the market share. 9
  • 10. Generation Y: Goods and Services Catered to Values, Beliefs, Interest and Lifestyle Personalization Techno Savvy and Civic and Demanding and and Connected 24 X 7 Environmentally Impatient ā€“ ā€œFast Individualization Friendly and the Furiousā€ Gaming Gizmos Personalized Search and Instant Text Messaging Eco- Transport News Smart Phones Social Networking Profiles Bag-For-Life (Paper Bags Instead of Plastic) Instant Chat Facebook-on-the Move Personalized Products Paperless Banking Speed Oriented Gaming (Car Racing) Microblogs M65B-18 10
  • 11. Smartphones are integral part of life Queue for iphone It is very common for people to take picture of food they are about to eat and post it on Facebookā€¦before they finish the dish they get hundreds of likes Cell Phones are commonly used while travelling, for voice as well as data service. Unlike Japan it is not considered rude to make a call while travelling 11
  • 12. Embedded systems in Southeast asia are set to growā€¦but Embedded Systems in South East Asia 250.00 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Embedded 12
  • 13. The volumes of PND would be significantly higherā€¦ but what is more exciting isā€¦ Embedded Vs PND growth 4,000.00 3,500.00 3,000.00 2,500.00 2,000.00 1,500.00 1,000.00 500.00 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Embedded PND 13
  • 14. Smart Phones are likely to outnumber PND and Embedded systems in order of magnitude! Smart Phones Vs PND Vs Embedded 300,000.00 250,000.00 200,000.00 150,000.00 100,000.00 50,000.00 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Embedded PND Smart Phones 14
  • 15. Southeast Asia shows one of the highest intentions to purchase smartphones at global level 15
  • 16. Built in Apps Already Exists like 911, Beamed-in and Brought-in are the ones in focus Currently Built-In Beamed-In Built-In ā€“ Source Beamed-In ā€“ Source of revenues are of revenues are App from hardware Subscription fees Features like eCall which are Features like Ford Service and apps for OEMs and built into the vehicle Delivery Network (FSDN) which subscription for associated service embedded telematics unit allows real time services to be OEMs, hardware providers e.g. Ford Sync 911, OnStar sent to user using his mobile providers and e.g. Mercedes ACN phone with data and Bluetooth service providers Mbrace $280 subscription for 3 years service Brought-In Brought-In ā€“ Source of revenues Bringing in apps from for OEMs are only through platforms like Apple App interfaces for using Smartphone store through users apps inside the car, e.g. Smart smartphone for use in iPhone cradle, Ford Sync, etc vehicle through vehicle HMI, e.g. Syncast in Ford Sync 16
  • 17. Internet in the Car: From an automakers perspective Brought-In method the most cost effective and way to bring internet radio into the car Built - In Beamed - In A dedicated SIM card built into the vehicle These are head-units which are USB Modem installed when the vehicle is GM OnStar** BMW Connected Drive assembled. Connectivity is provided by tethering consumer mobile phone or having a modem in the car Bluetooth is the primary method of data These are mobile phones used as a modem transfer from the portable device to the or have a USB modem car speakers Brought - In Aftermarket Ford SYNC Smart drive kit for ClarionMIND Pioneer in-dash unit iphone + smart drive app These are aftermarket head-units that provide access to internet with use of These are portable devices such as mobile phone or music consumer mobile phone players. The mobile phone network is used for connectivity **OnStar has some safety features built in but a variety of media features are beamed in only on request Source: Frost & Sullivan 17
  • 18. Southeast Asia has the potential to leapfrog the conventional steps in development of navigation and telematics market Brought - In These are portable devices such as mobile phone or music players. The mobile phone network is used for Beamed - In connectivity Built - In Aftermarket These are mobile phones used as a These are head-units which are modem or have a installed when the vehicle is USB modem assembled. These are aftermarket head-units that provide access to internet with use of consumer mobile phone 18
  • 19. Critical Development Points for Vehicle Centric and Consumer Centric Apps Hosted from Smartphone inside Embedded car using tethered connectivity Critical Internet radio, Vehicle information, breakdown Emergency Assistance, Ecodriving, assistance, Social Stolen vehicle tracking, Diagnostics networking, parking usage-based insurance, , Internet information, dynamic POI advanced diagnostics and radio, etc information, EV charge breakdown assistance spots location information, EcoDriving, etc Good to Have Tethered Built inside the car by OEMs and tier 1 suppliers 19
  • 20. Vehicle Manufacturer Developed Apps OEMs are Currently working on APIā€™s to Control Entertainment Apps on Smartphones through Vehicle HMI and are Also Developing Dedicated Apps in many Areas Vehicle Telematics Entertainment Location Based Navigation Information Others Related Apps Apps Service Apps Related Apps Apps Toyota I Heart EV Apps ā€“ BMW BMW Roadside Audi Car Toyota Park TomTom Internet Radio Active E, Nissan Assistance Monitor App Smart App Navigation App App LEAF apps Ford - Sync Mercedes myChevrolet OnStar Mylink Bosch Zip Car ā€“ Car Enabled Mbrace App App App Navigation App Sharing App Pandora Ciao Fiat Trapster ā€“ Fauercia Smart BMW Ford ā€“ Sync Toyota Smart G- Smartphone Speed Camera Fit ā€“ Seat Connected App Enabled Stitcher Book App App App Related App Viper Smart Green Apps ā€“ Continental Dynolicius ā€“ BMW/Mini Mercedes Smart Start Remote Green Meter TPMS App Diagnostics App Connected App Drive App App App Source: Frost & Sullivan. 20
  • 21. Conclusions and Opportunities Implications ASEAN Market is mainly dominated by PNDs with slower growth for Embedded systems A growing user base for mobile phone- Market is still based Navigation and location based nascent to many services is prompting interfacing these evolving devices to vehicle display technologies around telematics and infotainment Mobile phones may become the preferred navigation and connectivity devices for Few major PND majority of the car users manufacturers dominate the market however, Mobile phones are a threat to PNDs In-dash unit market may never take off in Gen Y Influence very high in this region future HMI designs and infotainment concepts ā€“ touch screen, voice commands critical requirements Vehicle manufacturers and connectivity service providers need to evolve a different road map for these markets Source: Frost & Sullivan 21
  • 22. Appendix ā€“ Frost & Sullivan Research Content 22 22
  • 23. Telematics, HMI, Connectivity and Navigation Related Existing and Upcoming Consumer Research 2011 Apps, HMI and Telematics Voice of Consumer Study (In-progress) US Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Mobility Apps, HMI 2011 Concepts and Telematics Services 2011 Apps, HMI and Telematics Voice of Consumer Study (In-progress) European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Mobility Apps, 2011 HMI Concepts and Telematics Services 2011 Comfort and Convenience VOC Study (In-progress) European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Multiple 2011 Comfort and Convenience Technologies during Different Driving Phases 2010 US Voice of Customer Study: Telematics & Infotainment and App-Store Applications 2010 Infotainment Voice of the Customer: European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Regarding New Generation Infotainment, App Concepts, and HMI 2010 Solutions European Consumersā€™ Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Connected Navigation, 2009 Location-Based Services and Features Russian Consumersā€™ Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Connected Navigation, Location- 2009 Based Services and Features Voice of Customer Study ā€“ Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Navigation Systems and 2008 Telematics Services (US) 2008 Consumer Desirability & Willingness to Pay for Navigation Systems and Features (Europe) European Consumersā€™ Attitudes, Perceptions, and Willingness to Pay Towards Multiple Forthcoming 2007 Comfort and Convenience Technologies 23
  • 24. Telematics, HMI, Connectivity and Navigation Related Upcoming Research ā€“ 2012 Strategic Analysis of the European Telematics Services Market - Focus on Emergency 2012 and Breakdown Assistance Strategic Analysis of the European Telematics Services Market - Focus on Stolen 2012 Vehicle Tracking Strategic Analysis of the North Telematics Services Market - Focus on Emergency, 2012 Breakdown and Vehicle Tracking Features ā€¢ Location-based services Strategic Analysis of Tracking Legislation and its Impact on the Telematics Services ā€¢ GPS / Navigation 2012 Market in Brazil systems Strategic Analysis of ERA GLONASS Legislation and its Impact on the Telematics ā€¢ Infotainment systems 2012 Services Market in Russia ā€¢ Wireless Communication / Strategic Update of the In-Car Audio Systems Market in North America - Including Focus Bluetooth on Audio Systems, Amplifiers, Speakers, Aux-in Features, Sound Processing Software, ā€¢ CV Telematics 2012 etc ā€¢ RVD eCall Pedestrian - Aftermarket Navigation Solution letely Parking 2012 Strategic Update of New Developments in the European Automotive HVAC Market Information oard & gation Reservation Variable message signs Impact Assessment and New Developments in Smartphone Interface Technologies Such 2012 as Mirrorlink in the European and North American Automotive Market Time 3G, GPRS. HSDPA, UMTS, WiFi Social amic Networking ffic Tools mation Mobile TV Audio * Draft titles subject to change based on other customer feedback as well & Video Forthcoming - DVB H Downloading 24
  • 25. Telematics, HMI, Connectivity and Navigation Related Existing and Upcoming Research ā€“ 2010 and 2011 Key Trends and Forecasts of Navigation Systems and Telematics Services in China, India and 2011 Select APAC Markets Key Trends and Forecasts of Navigation Systems and Telematics Services in North and Latin 2011 American Markets Key Trends and Forecasts of Navigation Systems and Telematics Services in Western and Eastern 2011 European Markets including Russia ā€¢ Location-based Strategic Analysis of European and North American Automotive Human Machine Interface Market - services 2011 Part 2 Display and Instrument Clusters ā€¢ GPS / Navigation Connectivity, App Stores and Cloud-based Delivery Platforms - Future of Connected Infotainment systems 2011 and Telematics Market ā€¢ Infotainment systems ā€¢ Wireless Strategic Analysis of Global Automotive Market for IT Mobility Platforms Communication / 2011 Billing and Smart Charging are Two Key Opportunity Areas in the EV Infrastructure Segment Bluetooth Strategic Analysis of European and North American Automotive Human Machine Interface Market - ā€¢ CV Telematics 2011 Part 1 Steering Wheel Controls, Voice Interfaces and Multifunctional Switches ā€¢ RVD Executive Analysis of European Consumersā€™ Awareness and Preferences for Usage of eCall Pedestrian - Aftermarket Navigation Solution Parking 2010 Smartphone Apps Inside and Outside Car letely Information oard gation & Reservation Strategic Analysis of the Impact of Smartphones and Apps on the European and North American 2010 Infotainment Market Variable message signs Time amic ffic 3G, GPRS. HSDPA, UMTS, WiFi Social Networking Tools Strategic Analysis of the North American Market for Telematics-Enabled Usage-based Insurance mation Mobile TV Audio 2010 Market & Video Forthcoming - DVB H Downloading 2010 Strategic Analysis of North American Embedded-Connected Hybrid Telematics Market Existing 2010 Strategic Analysis of the European Market for Telematics -enabled Usage-based Insurance 2010 Automotive Telematics Application Stores ā€“ Will it Succeed like the Apple App Store Concept 25
  • 26. Electrical, Electronics, Comfort and Convenience Related Existing and Upcoming Research 2012 Strategic Update of the Automotive HVAC Market in Europe Strategic Analysis of Automotive Electronics Market for Electric Vehicles in Europe and North 2012 America Strategic Analysis of Automotive Interior and Exterior Lighting Systems Market in Europe and 2012 North America 2012 Strategic Analysis of Automotive Seating Systems in Europe and North America 2009 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Human Machine Interface Market Executive Analysis of the Market for Solar Technology Applications in the European Automotive ā€¢ Lighting Systems 2009 Industry ā€¢ HVAC Systems 2009 Strategic Analysis of the North American Automotive Software Market ā€¢ Body Electronics 2008 European Automotive Original Equipment DAS, ESP, Passive Safety and Rain Sensors Market ā€¢ ECUā€™s ā€¢ Tire pressure 2008 Strategic Analysis of European Market for Electric Corner Modules monitoring systems 2008 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Advanced Electronic Controller Market ā€¢ Aftermarket Electronic 2008 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Exterior Lighting Market Components 2008 Strategic Analysis of the European Automotive Interior Lighting Markets 2008 Strategic Analysis of Automotive Human Machine Interface Systems in North America European Automotive Original Equipment (OE) Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) Forthcoming 2007 Systems Markets 2007 European Automotive Original Equipment Position, Pressure and Temperature Sensors Market 2006 Analysis of European Automotive Wiring Harness and Connectors Markets 26