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“The future is already
here – it's just not
evenly distributed.”
—William Gibson, quoted in
 The Economist, December 4, 2003
7 new
Mega Trends in Asia-Pacific
“Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market”




   Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight
Cities, and not Countries, will drive
     wealth creation in the future.
• Cities as island of excellence and
  competitiveness.
  – Attracts young and vibrant talent
  – Compactness  energy efficiency
• Emerging countries survive only when they
  can manage how to merge these “island of
  competitiveness” into the rest of the country.
  – China vs. Mexico in early 2000s


                                        Source: NASA image of Canary Islands
Mega Cities
   Since 2008 more than ½
   of the world population
   live in cities.
    • Bangkok accounts for
      25% of Thailand’s GDP
    • Seoul accounts for
      50% of Korea’s GDP
IMPLICATIONS
• High economic power
• Hub and spoke business
  model
• Transit-oriented
  development
• New mobility solutions
Green Growth is Smart Growth




                       Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
Source: www.apple.com
Geo Socialisation




                    Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
ZERO achievement
from innovation
                        Zero waste
                        emissions

                  Zero crime rates
   Zero defects
                                     Zero accidents

        Zero breaches of
            security                      Zero emissions
                                            from cars


                                            Complete recyclability
                                              from households


Carbon neutral
    cities
                                               Source: CISASIA
Talentism
Business model for
competitiveness and
collaboration in the future will
be less based on capital and
much more based on talent.
- Prof. Klaus Shwab, WEF
• Young people, the digital
  generation, are equipped
  with the capability to create
  their own jobs.
   – People with new ideas will
     explore the new wave of ICT
ASEAN Integration
AEC by 2015

                     ASEAN Community

      ASEAN               ASEAN           ASEAN
Political-Security       Economic      Socio-Cultural
  Community              Community      Community
      (APSC)               (AEC)          (ASCC)




        Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
ASEAN Connectivity




There’s plenty of room at the bottom.   Photo from Flickr.com
Source: An Industrial Workers
of the World poster (1911).
Mega                                Impact on
Trend            Impact              product/
                                   technology
                   to
                Industry



         Sub                Analysis of
        Trend              opportunity
                           and unmet
                              needs
Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology
       for the Next 5-10 Years
• Electrical storage for electrified
  transportation and grid-
  connected renewables
• Nanostructured material for
  improved lighting efficiency
• Terawatt-scale solar energy at
  fossil energy costs
• Nanostructured thermoelectric
  materials for economical energy
  conversion
 Source: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston
Itd   nares on megatrands
Itd   nares on megatrands
Itd   nares on megatrands
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Itd nares on megatrands

  • 1. “The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.” —William Gibson, quoted in The Economist, December 4, 2003
  • 2. 7 new Mega Trends in Asia-Pacific “Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market” Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight
  • 3. Cities, and not Countries, will drive wealth creation in the future. • Cities as island of excellence and competitiveness. – Attracts young and vibrant talent – Compactness  energy efficiency • Emerging countries survive only when they can manage how to merge these “island of competitiveness” into the rest of the country. – China vs. Mexico in early 2000s Source: NASA image of Canary Islands
  • 4. Mega Cities Since 2008 more than ½ of the world population live in cities. • Bangkok accounts for 25% of Thailand’s GDP • Seoul accounts for 50% of Korea’s GDP IMPLICATIONS • High economic power • Hub and spoke business model • Transit-oriented development • New mobility solutions
  • 5. Green Growth is Smart Growth Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
  • 7. Geo Socialisation Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. ZERO achievement from innovation Zero waste emissions Zero crime rates Zero defects Zero accidents Zero breaches of security Zero emissions from cars Complete recyclability from households Carbon neutral cities Source: CISASIA
  • 11. Talentism Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. - Prof. Klaus Shwab, WEF
  • 12. • Young people, the digital generation, are equipped with the capability to create their own jobs. – People with new ideas will explore the new wave of ICT
  • 14. AEC by 2015 ASEAN Community ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN Political-Security Economic Socio-Cultural Community Community Community (APSC) (AEC) (ASCC) Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
  • 15. ASEAN Connectivity There’s plenty of room at the bottom. Photo from Flickr.com
  • 16. Source: An Industrial Workers of the World poster (1911).
  • 17. Mega Impact on Trend Impact product/ technology to Industry Sub Analysis of Trend opportunity and unmet needs
  • 18. Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology for the Next 5-10 Years • Electrical storage for electrified transportation and grid- connected renewables • Nanostructured material for improved lighting efficiency • Terawatt-scale solar energy at fossil energy costs • Nanostructured thermoelectric materials for economical energy conversion Source: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. "probably the most important novelist of the past two decades".Before Amazon and eBay, certainly before web 2.0, he identified the advent, evolution and growth of the Internet as "one of the most fascinating and unprecedented human achievements of the century", a new kind of civilization that is – in terms of significance — on a par with the birth of cities,[80] and in 2000 predicted it would lead to the death of the nation state.[26]
  2. New members of APEC (if it enlarges) could well become cities (we already have Singapore and HK China). There could even be the APEC of Cities in the future.In 2000 William Gibson predicted that the internet together with the rise of cities would lead to the death of the nation state.
  3. All uses nanotechAll enhance energy efficiencySmart TV
  4. HG Wells, the author of many important science fiction books, imagine in his book When the Sleeper Wakes (1899) and came up with a device that sounds almost exactly like a modern day media player like the iPod Touch. His version was a flat square with a little picture that was ‘very vividly colored – not only were the people on the screen moving, but they were conversing with clear small voices’. He didn’t know that such device, when became available to us, would also have the capability to do HD video recording and sent over the air to anywhere in the world instantly. Most definitely he would not have imaged those devices to be important in terms of energy efficiency.
  5. Why is this related to energy efficiency?Because it helps us to optimize our travel path. For example, if I want to have a good dinner,..
  6. Even a one-star restaurant can have one amazing dish.
  7. This will require fundamental changes in educational systems, instillation of a societal spirit of entrepreneurial risk-taking, and gender equality. Making innovation and supporting innovation becomes a key imperative in public and private life. Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. Professor Schwab define this transition as moving from capitalism to “talentism”.
  8. This will require fundamental changes in educational systems, instillation of a societal spirit of entrepreneurial risk-taking, and gender equality. Making innovation and supporting innovation becomes a key imperative in public and private life. Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. Professor Schwab define this transition as moving from capitalism to “talentism”.
  9. In economics, the bottom of the pyramid is the largest, but poorest socio-economic group. In global terms, this is the 2.5 billion people who live on less than $2.50 per day.The phrase “bottom of the pyramid” is used in particular by people developing new models of doing business that deliberately target that demographic, often using new technology. This field is also often referred to as the "Base of the Pyramid" or just the "BoP"
  10. water
  11. Controversial.Future applications will be different.