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What matters?




                                                                             Dr. Nares Damrongchai <nares@sti.or.th>
           APEC Seminar on Dissemination of Environmental Technologies
                                                       11 May 2011, Big Sky, USA
Source of photo: istockphoto.com
Different Nature of Technologies
• ICT – fast moving, technology-driven, room for small
players
• energy – high investment, technology-dependent
• biotech – long “time to market”, high risk-high
return, room for small players
• manufacturing&electronics – market-pull, quickly
commoditized



Source of photo: istockphoto.com
What matters in technology
                              “dissemination”
         Availability?                                Lock-in?
                                   Ownership?
                                                New skills
                                                  set?
            Access?
                                                        Strings-
                                                       attached?




Source of photo: istockphoto.com
The Three Growth Pole




Sustainable                               Energy                                Renewable
 Agriculture                             Efficiency                               Energy




    Source: UNCTAD, Promoting poles of clean growth to foster the transition to a more sustainable economy, 2010
Sustainable
                                   Agriculture




Source of photo: istockphoto.com
Greenhouse gas emissions
    from agriculture




                    Source: Worldwatch Institute, 2009
Selected mitigation options in
agriculture and the agri-food sector




                    Source: Adapted from IPCC, 2007c and Bernstein et al., 2007.
Mitigation measures and their eligibility under
the current climate change mitigation regime




                         Source: UNCTAD, Trade and Environment Review, 2009/2010
Energy Efficiency




Source of photo: istockphoto.com
“Well-to-wheel” analysis of natural gas
   vehicles: percentage of energy
   reaching an intended end use




   Source: UNCTAD, Promoting poles of clean growth to foster the transition to a more sustainable economy, 2010
Examples of EE technologies for
          mitigation




                  Source: Adapted from IPCC, 2007.
Available end-use technologies…
• are becoming steadily more energy efficient.
• Injection of capital creates an opportunity for
  deploying the most efficient technologies
  commercially available.
• Payback periods might be shorter in
  developing countries than OECD countries.
Energy Efficiency and Trade
• EE requirements aim to gradually remove
  inefficient products from the market and to
  increase market shares of energy-efficient
  products.
• Mostly EE standards and energy labelling
• Imports into major developed-country markets
  – The big share of imports into the EU (excluding intra-
    EU trade), the United States and Japan comes from a
    small number of developing countries, in particular
    China, Malaysia, the Republic of Korea and Thailand.
Renewable Energy
Examples of small-scale, off-grid
       energy systems




              Source: Adapted from IEA, 2002, table 13.4 and World Bank, 2008b, table 2.
What matters?
                                       remove the barrier




Source of photo: istockphoto.com
Shifting of investment to end-user
• …requires viable financing framework
  (IEA, 2006)
  – Individual
  – Household
  – Small industrial firm
• Reform the operation of the CDM to facilitate
  EE improvements in dispersed end-use
  sectors.
  – EE is underrepresented in the CDM port-folio
Updated CDM Projects by Category
                                                       CDM
                                                             2012 CERs      CERs Issued
                 Type           number      CERs/yr (000)      (000)           (000)

Total                           6147 100% 823874     100%    2756999 100% 605098 100%

HFCs, PFCs & N2O reduction       116 1.9% 137147      17%     742379 27% 430633       71%

Renewables                      3835 62% 353341       43%     952799 35%     93899    16%
CH4 reduction & Cement & Coal
mine/bed                        1151 19% 149860       18%     545845 20%     36660    6.1%

Supply-side EE                   587 10% 110073       13%     280636 10%     28463    4.7%

Fuel switch                      135 2.2% 56052     6.80%     181325 6.6%    13560    2.2%

Demand-side EE                   225 3.7%    8076   0.98%      24086 0.9%      1524   0.3%

Afforestation & Reforestation     61 1.0%    4945    0.6%      19737 0.7%

Transport                         37 0.6%    4380    0.5%      10193 0.4%       359 0.06%



                                                        •    Source: UNEP Risoe Centre (2011)
What can APEC do?
• Harmonization
• Cooperation
• Transparency
What the international
           community can do
• Support EE strategies in developing countries
• Support sustainable development policy and
  measures (SD-PAM) proposed by World
  Resource Institute.
  – Could be more flexible than CDM.
Thank you
Dr. Nares Damrongchai
Executive Director,
APEC Center for Technology Foresight,
National Science Technology and Innovation Policy Office

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What matters in environment tech dissemination nares damrongchai

  • 1. What matters? Dr. Nares Damrongchai <nares@sti.or.th> APEC Seminar on Dissemination of Environmental Technologies 11 May 2011, Big Sky, USA Source of photo: istockphoto.com
  • 2. Different Nature of Technologies • ICT – fast moving, technology-driven, room for small players • energy – high investment, technology-dependent • biotech – long “time to market”, high risk-high return, room for small players • manufacturing&electronics – market-pull, quickly commoditized Source of photo: istockphoto.com
  • 3. What matters in technology “dissemination” Availability? Lock-in? Ownership? New skills set? Access? Strings- attached? Source of photo: istockphoto.com
  • 4. The Three Growth Pole Sustainable Energy Renewable Agriculture Efficiency Energy Source: UNCTAD, Promoting poles of clean growth to foster the transition to a more sustainable economy, 2010
  • 5. Sustainable Agriculture Source of photo: istockphoto.com
  • 6. Greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture Source: Worldwatch Institute, 2009
  • 7. Selected mitigation options in agriculture and the agri-food sector Source: Adapted from IPCC, 2007c and Bernstein et al., 2007.
  • 8. Mitigation measures and their eligibility under the current climate change mitigation regime Source: UNCTAD, Trade and Environment Review, 2009/2010
  • 9. Energy Efficiency Source of photo: istockphoto.com
  • 10. “Well-to-wheel” analysis of natural gas vehicles: percentage of energy reaching an intended end use Source: UNCTAD, Promoting poles of clean growth to foster the transition to a more sustainable economy, 2010
  • 11. Examples of EE technologies for mitigation Source: Adapted from IPCC, 2007.
  • 12. Available end-use technologies… • are becoming steadily more energy efficient. • Injection of capital creates an opportunity for deploying the most efficient technologies commercially available. • Payback periods might be shorter in developing countries than OECD countries.
  • 13. Energy Efficiency and Trade • EE requirements aim to gradually remove inefficient products from the market and to increase market shares of energy-efficient products. • Mostly EE standards and energy labelling • Imports into major developed-country markets – The big share of imports into the EU (excluding intra- EU trade), the United States and Japan comes from a small number of developing countries, in particular China, Malaysia, the Republic of Korea and Thailand.
  • 15. Examples of small-scale, off-grid energy systems Source: Adapted from IEA, 2002, table 13.4 and World Bank, 2008b, table 2.
  • 16. What matters? remove the barrier Source of photo: istockphoto.com
  • 17. Shifting of investment to end-user • …requires viable financing framework (IEA, 2006) – Individual – Household – Small industrial firm • Reform the operation of the CDM to facilitate EE improvements in dispersed end-use sectors. – EE is underrepresented in the CDM port-folio
  • 18. Updated CDM Projects by Category CDM 2012 CERs CERs Issued Type number CERs/yr (000) (000) (000) Total 6147 100% 823874 100% 2756999 100% 605098 100% HFCs, PFCs & N2O reduction 116 1.9% 137147 17% 742379 27% 430633 71% Renewables 3835 62% 353341 43% 952799 35% 93899 16% CH4 reduction & Cement & Coal mine/bed 1151 19% 149860 18% 545845 20% 36660 6.1% Supply-side EE 587 10% 110073 13% 280636 10% 28463 4.7% Fuel switch 135 2.2% 56052 6.80% 181325 6.6% 13560 2.2% Demand-side EE 225 3.7% 8076 0.98% 24086 0.9% 1524 0.3% Afforestation & Reforestation 61 1.0% 4945 0.6% 19737 0.7% Transport 37 0.6% 4380 0.5% 10193 0.4% 359 0.06% • Source: UNEP Risoe Centre (2011)
  • 19. What can APEC do? • Harmonization • Cooperation • Transparency
  • 20. What the international community can do • Support EE strategies in developing countries • Support sustainable development policy and measures (SD-PAM) proposed by World Resource Institute. – Could be more flexible than CDM.
  • 21. Thank you Dr. Nares Damrongchai Executive Director, APEC Center for Technology Foresight, National Science Technology and Innovation Policy Office