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Keeping Current Matters January 2011
KCM   on the go!
Return on Investment MSN Money.com, Case Shiller (January 1, 2000 –January 1, 2011)
“ With all the teeth-gnashing over the real estate bubble, the bust and the mortgage mess, you can be forgiven for failing to notice this little tidbit:      Housing had a  superb decade.”   Forbes.com 12/06/2010 Forbes.com 58% average gains per square foot
Future House Sales  – Fannie Mae & NAR Fannie Mae and NAR 11/2010 NAR Fannie Mae
Pending Home Sales NAR 12/2010 Without  Outside Intervention
The Washington Post Washington Post 12/22/2010 "The level of activity will still be low relative to the boom. But the trend is starting to move in the right direction, which is a little bit of good news with which to close out the year."  - Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial
Sales vs. Months Supply NAR Sales   Months Supply
“ Prices were weighed  down by a huge inventory of foreclosed homes, which tend to sell at sharply discounted prices.  Wall Street Journal WSJ 12/29/2010 Wells Fargo projects prices will drop 8% more by mid-2011.”
CNBC CNBC 12/28/2010
Watch Rates Closely
Mortgage Rates  –   30 year fixed Federal Reserve
Impact of Rates on Payment
Listing Manual - Today Buyer Manual - February Presentation of Offer - March Price Correction - April
 
 
The Sale is Their Trust in Us!! Needs Answers Resources We DO NOT Sell Real Estate. We SELL Our Ability to Be a Trusted Advisor!
Their Needs Needs Answers Resources Sold Most Money Least Time Least Hassles Relocation
The Generic Answers Needs Answers Resources Sold Qualified Buyers Most Money Negotiation Least Time Marketing  Least Hassles Control Relocation Knowledge
…  with the heart of a teacher
“ If you can’t explain it  simply , you don’t understand it well enough.”
People  don’t  believe  what  you  tell them. They  always  believe  what  they  tell themselves.
% Appreciation in 5 Year Increments Source: Brookings Papers 9/08
Source: KCM 9/2010 Case Shiller S&P Case Shiller Pricing Index  – 10 City 1987 – 2010
Supply  &  Demand
Months Supply’s Impact on Price Months Market  Pricing 1-4 Sellers Appreciation 5-6 Even The Norm 7+ Buyers Depreciation
Sales vs. Existing Inventory 14.4 months Source: MLS
What Role Will Distressed Properties Play?
CoreLogic Shadow Inventory Report 11/2010 Shadow  & Visible Inventory Detail
CoreLogic Shadow Inventory Report 11/2010 Shadow Inventory Detail
Month’s Supply of Distressed Homes CoreLogic Shadow Inventory Report 11/2010
Value by Sale Category Realty Trac Foreclosure Report 12/02/2010 Type of Sale % of Value Non-Distressed Sale 100% Short Sale 81% Foreclosure Sale 59%
Robo-Signers
Pricing as we move forward…
“ Prices were weighed  down by a huge inventory of foreclosed homes, which tend to sell at sharply discounted prices.  Wall Street Journal WSJ 12/29/2010 Wells Fargo projects prices will drop 8% more by mid-2011.”
CNBC CNBC 12/28/2010
Bank of America Economic Analysis Report September 3, 2010 Bank Of America Pricing Forecast
Future House Prices – Fannie Mae Fannie Mae’s Economic and Mortgage Market Analysis 12/2010 Median Prices in Thousands
Prices
Price must be compelling!
On a $300,000  house, a family loses  $576.92  per week! Assuming a 10%  fall in prices…
Your Resources Needs Answers Resources Sold Qualified Buyers KCM Most Money Negotiation Least Time Marketing  Least Hassles Control Relocation Knowledge
 
The KCM Blog
631.787.6200 www.KCMblog.com www.steveharney.com [email_address]
[email_address] Flying solo,  but never alone!
Keeping Current Matters

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Kcm 2011