SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  50
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Project Cost
management
BY: OMER ALSAYED OMER
MBA, PMP, B.Sc.(Civil Eng.) : PMO manager EWU-DIU omeralsayed@yahoo.com +249-1234 94 587
Control of Construction Projects in Sudanese Contracting
companies :university thesis
majority of construction
companies
DO NOT have any system in
place for
COST control
http://www.sustech.edu/sudannewar/thesis.php?serial=611130&collno=9
Project Management Process Group
and Knowledge Area Mapping
Knowledge Area Initiating Planning Executing M& C Closing
4. Project Integration Management
4Develop
Project Charter
4.2 Develop Project
Management Plan
4.3 Direct & Manage Project Work
4.4 Monitor & Control Project Work
4.5 Perform Integrated Change Control
4.6 Close Project
or Phase
5. Project Scope Management
5Plan Scope Management
5.2 Collect Requirements
5.3 Define Scope
5.4 Create WBS
5.5 Validate Scope
5.6 Control Scope
6. Project Time Management
6Plan Schedule Management
6.2 Define Activities
6.3 Sequence Activities
6.4 Estimate Activity Resources
6.5 Estimate Activity Durations
6.6 Develop Schedule
6.7 Control Schedule
7. Project Cost Management
7Plan Cost Management
7.2 Estimate Costs
7.3 Determine Budget
7.4 Control Costs
8. Project Quality Management 8Plan Quality Management 8.2 Perform Quality Assurance 8.3 Control Quality
9. Project Human Resource Management
9.1 Plan Human Resource
Management
9.2 Acquire Project Team
9.3 Develop Project Team
9.4 Manage Project Team
10. Project Communications Management 10Plan Communications Management 10.2 Manage Communications 10.3 Control Communications
11. Project Risk Management
11Plan Risk Management
11.2 Identify Risks
11.3 Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis
11.4 Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
11.5 Plan Risk Responses
11.6 Control Risks
12. Project Procurement Management 12Plan Procurement Management 12.2 Conduct Procurements 12.3 Control Procurements 12.4 Close Procurements
13. Project Stakeholder Management
13Identify
Stakeholders
13.2 Plan Stakeholder
Management
13.3 Manage Stakeholder
Engagement
13.4 Control Stakeholder
Engagement
OSO OCT 2013
Planning M& C
Cost aspectsacquisition
decision
committed
order
placed
Using Maintaining
supporting the
product
limiting the number of
design reviews >>
reduce the cost of
the project >>
could increase the
resulting product’s
operating costs
Numerous Financial Techniques
ROI, discounted cash flow,
investment payback analysis
additional processes
IF FINANCIAL
predictions and analyses included
order
placed
Item
delivered
actualcost
incurred
Acquired Item
primarily cost of the resources
+ subsequent recurring cost of :
Project Cost Processes
7.1 Plan Cost
Management
policies,
procedures, and
documentation
for planning,
managing,
expending,
controlling
project costs.
7.2 Estimate
Costs
developing an
APPROXIMATION
of the monetary
resources needed
to complete
project activities.
7.3 Determine
Budget
AGGREGATING
the estimated
costs of individual
activities or WP to
establish cost
baseline.
7.4 Control
Costs
MONITORING the
status to update
costs and
managing
changes to the
cost baseline.
7.1 Plan Cost Management
Inputs
Project management
plan
Project charter
Enterprise
environmental factors
Organizational
process assets
2. Tools & Techniques
Expert judgment
Analytical techniques
Meetings
.3 Outputs
Cost management
plan
establishes the policies, procedures, &documentation for PLANNING, MANAGING,
EXPENDING, and CONTROLLING project costs.
7.1 Plan Cost Management
Data Flow Diagram
Project
charter
4.1
develop
Project
charter
7.1 Plan Cost
Management
Project
M. plan
4.2
develop
Project
M.P.
OPA
EEF
4 Integration 5 Scope 6 Time 7 Cost 8 Quality 9 H. Resource 10 Commn. 11 Risk 12 Procurement 13 S/holders
Enterprise/
Organization
6.2
Define Activities
6.3
Sequence Activities
11.2
Identify Risks
11.4
Perform Quantitative
Risk Analysis
Cost management plan
7.1.1 Plan Cost Management: Inputs
7.1.1.1 Project
Management Plan
• Scope baseline.
scope statement and
WBS detail.
• Schedule baseline.
when the project
costs will be
incurred.
• Other information.
scheduling, risk, and
communications
decisions.
7.1.1.2 Project Charter
• provides the
summary budget
• approval
requirements that
will influence the
management of the
project costs.
7.1.1.3 Enterprise
Environmental Factors
• Organizational
culture and structure
• Market conditions
• Currency exchange
rates
• Published
commercial
information
(resource cost)
• Project management
information system.
7.1.1.4 Organizational
Process Assets
• Financial controls
procedures
• Historical
information and
lessons learned
• Financial databases
• Existing cost policies,
procedures, and
guidelines.
7.1.2 Plan Cost Management:
Tools and Techniques
7.1.2.1 Expert
Judgment
• provides valuable insight about the environment and
information from prior similar projects.
• suggest whether to combine methods and how to reconcile
differences between them.
7.1.2.2 Analytical
Techniques
• CMP may involve choosing strategic options to fund (self-
funding, funding with equity, or funding with debt).
• may also detail ways to finance resources (making, purchasing,
renting, or leasing).
• Techniques :payback period, ROI, IRR, discounted cash flow,
&NPV
7.1.2.3 Meetings
• project manager, sponsor, selected project team members,
selected stakeholders, anyone with responsibility for costs,
others.
7.1.3 Plan Cost Management: Outputs:
7.1.3.1 Cost Management Plan
how the project costs will be planned, structured, and controlled.
Units of measure.
•staff hours/days ,meters, liters,
tons, kilometers, or lump sum in
Level of precision.
•The degree to which activity cost
estimates will be rounded up or
down
Level of accuracy.
•e.g., ±10% ,may include an
amount for contingencies;
Organizational
procedures links.
•WBS, consistency with the
estimates, budgets, and control.
•organization’s accounting
system.
Control thresholds.
•variation to be allowed before
some action needs to be taken.
Rules of performance
measurement.
•EVM rules of performance
measurement are set.
Define
CA points;
Establish
EV measurement
techniques :
fixed-formula, %
Specify
tracking
methodologies
EAC
forecasts
equation?
7.2 Estimate Costs
Inputs
Cost management plan
Human resource management plan
Scope baseline
Project schedule
Risk register
Enterprise environmental factors
Organizational process assets
2. Tools & Techniques
Expert judgment
Analogous estimating
Parametric estimating
Bottom-up estimating
Three-point estimating
Reserve analysis
Cost of quality
Project management software
Vendor bid analysis
Group decision-making techniques
.3 Outputs
Activity cost estimates
Basis of estimates
Project documents updates
developing an APPROXIMATION of the monetary resources needed to complete
project activities.
it determines
the amount
of cost
required to
complete
project work
7.2 Estimate Costs
Data Flow Diagram
Scope
baseline
5.4
Create
WBS
7.2 Estimate Costs
Project
schedule
6.6
Develop
Schedule
OPA
EEF
4 Integration 5 Scope 6 Time 7 Cost 8 Quality 9 H. Resource 10 Commn. 11 Risk 12 Procurement 13 S/holders
Enterprise/
Organization
11.2
Identify Risks
12.1
Plan Procurement
Management
A. cost estimates
9.1
Plan HR
Mt
HRM
Plan
11.2
Identify
Risks
Risk
register
7.1 Plan Cost
Management
Cost management plan
Basis of estimates
Project documents u
7.3 Determine
Budget
6.4
Estimate Activity
Resources
Project documents
 risk register
7.2 Estimate Costs
Cost estimates
a prediction
• based on the
information
known at a given
point in time.
alternatives -
• Cost tradeoffs
and risks should
be considered
(make or buy,
buy or lease.
expressed
• in units of
currency or man-
hours
reviewed and
refined
• to reflect
additional detail,
assumptions
changes.
accuracy
• will increase as
the project
progresses.
initiation phase >>rough order of magnitude
(ROM) estimate in the range of −25% to +75%.
Later, definitive estimates range to -5% to +10%.
7.2.1 Estimate Costs: Inputs
1 Cost Management Plan
• how project costs will be managed
and controlled
2 Human Resource
Management Plan
• project staffing attributes, personnel
rates, rewards/recognition
3 Scope Baseline
• Project scope statement - WBS –
WBS dictionary
4 Project Schedule
• type and quantity of resources ,
durations
7.2.1 Estimate Costs: Inputs
5 Risk Register
• typically have an impact on both activity and overall
project costs.
• negative risk >> COST increase,
• potential opportunities >> reducing activity costs or
by accelerating the schedule.
6 Enterprise Environmental
Factors
• Market conditions -Published commercial
information
7 Organizational Process Assets
• Cost estimating policies, Cost estimating templates,
Historical information, and Lessons learned.
7.2.2 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.2.2.1 Expert Judgment
Guided by historical information,
provides valuable insight about the
environment and INFORMATION from
prior similar projects.
Determine whether to combine
methods of estimating and how to
reconcile differences between them.
7.2.2 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.2.2.2 Analogous Estimating
• Cost, budget or measures (size, weight), and complexityuses the values:
• the actual cost of previous, similar projectsrelies on
• known differences in project complexity.adjusted for
• there is a limited amount of detailed informationused when
• and expert judgment.Uses historical information
• and less time consuming, but less accurate.less costly
• a total project or to segments of a projectcan be applied to
7.2.2 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.2.2.3 Parametric Estimating
• between relevant historical data and other variables (building m2) .
statistical relationship
• the sophistication
• underlying data built into the model.
produce higher levels of accuracy depending upon:
• a total project or to segments of a project, in conjunction with other estimating methods
can be applied to:
Analogous vs. Parametric
SIMILARITIES
Can be used for both duration and cost
estimating
Essentially a combination of historical
information (leveraging past
projects/activities) and expert judgment
DIFFERENCES
•Analogous :
• top-down and
• less accurate
• comparing a past similar project to your current
project.
•Parametric
• more accurate,
• uses a relationship between variables (a unit
cost/duration and the number of units) to
develop the estimate.
Analogous vs. Parametric
Example
oYou are the project manager for the annual Earth Day
5k road race, with three primary components:
marketing, registration, and race-day coordination.
oFor marketing, there will be 500 flyers printed up at a
cost $0.20 each.
It took two weeks for the flyers to be printed for last
year event, so you estimate two weeks for the printing
of the brochures for this event.
oLast year it took one week to design the on-line
registration form and the cost to host the registration
website was $850.00 You estimate the same this year.
oThere will be four people used to coordinate the race.
Each resource will be paid $25 per hour and they will
be working an estimated seven hours, based on the
race last year.
Marketing:
• 500 flyers
• cost $0.20 each
• 2 weeks printing
Registration
• website
• $850.00
• one week
Coordination
• 4 people
• $25 per hour
• seven hours
Analogous vs. Parametric
Example
Coordination
Cost: $700
parametric estimating - 4 x
$25 x 7
Duration: 7 hours analogous
Registration
Cost: $850 analogous Duration: one week analogous
Marketing
Cost: $100 for brochures
parametric estimating 500 x
$0.20
Duration: two weeks analogous
7.2.2.4/.5 Estimate Costs:
Tools and Techniques
4 BOTTOM-UP ESTIMATING
WP/activities is estimated (to the greatest
level of specified detail).
then summarized or “rolled up” to higher
levels .
accuracy influenced by the size and complexity
of the individual activity /WP
5 THREE-POINT ESTIMATING
accuracy improved by considering estimation
uncertainty and risk using three estimates to define an
approximate range for an activity’s cost:
Most likely (cM).
◦ based on realistic effort assessment for the required work
and any predicted expenses.
Optimistic (cO).
◦ based on analysis of the best-case scenario.
Pessimistic (cP).
◦ based on analysis of the worst-case scenario.
cE = (cO + cM + cP) / 3 cE = (cO + 4cM + cP) / 6
Beta DistributionTriangular Distribution
7.2.2 Estimate Costs:
7.2.2.6 Reserve Analysis
CONTINGENCY RESERVES
(CONTINGENCY ALLOWANCES)
• budget within the cost baseline that is allocated for
identified & accepted risks
• often viewed to address the “known-unknowns”.
• provide for a specific activity/ whole project, or both.
• percentage of the estimated cost, a fixed number, or may
be developed by using quantitative analysis methods.
• As more precise information about the project becomes
available, the contingency reserve may be used,
reduced, or eliminated.
• Contingency should be clearly identified in cost
documentation.
• Contingency reserves are part of the cost baseline and
the overall funding requirements for the project.
MANAGEMENT RESERVES
• amount of the project budget withheld for
management control purposes and are reserved
for unforeseen work that is within scope of the
project.
• to address the “unknown unknowns” that can
affect a project.
• not included in the cost baseline but is part of the
overall project budget and funding requirements.
• When an amount of management reserves is
used to fund unforeseen work, the amount of
management reserve used is added to the cost
baseline, thus requiring an approved change to
the cost baseline.
7.2.2 Estimate Costs: 7.2.2.6 Reserve Analysis
example
PROJECT ESTIMATE
EST + contingency reserves
COST BASELINE
Management reserves
COST BUDGET 400
100
300
250
100 150
50
7.2.2:7-10 Estimate Costs: T&T
7.2.2.7 Cost of Quality
(COQ)
• Assumptions about costs of quality
7.2.2.8 Project
Management Software
• applications, computerized spreadsheets, simulation, and statistical
tools (assist ,simplify ,facilitate rapid consideration of alternatives.
7.2.2.9 Vendor Bid
Analysis
• analysis of what the project should cost, based on the responsive bids
from qualified vendors.
• additional cost estimating work to:
• examine the price of individual deliverables
• supports the final total project cost.
7.2.2.10 Group
Decision-Making
Techniques
• brainstorming, the Delphi or nominal group techniques improve
estimate accuracy and commitment to the emerging estimates.
7.2.3 Estimate Costs: Outputs
7.2.3.1 Activity Cost Estimates
• quantitative assessments of the probable costs
required to complete project work.
• presented in summary form or in detail.
• Including all resources
• direct labor, materials, equipment, services,
facilities, information technology,
• special categories :cost of financing (including
interest charges),
• inflation allowance, exchange rates,
• cost contingency reserve.
• Indirect costs, (if they) can be included at the activity
level or at higher levels.
7.2.3 Estimate Costs: Outputs
7.2.3.2 Basis of Estimates
the supporting documentation should provide a clear and complete understanding of how the
cost estimate was derived.
Supporting detail for activity cost estimates may include:
Documentation of :
the basis of
the estimate
all
assumptions
made,
any known
constraints,
Indication of :
the range of
possible estimates
(e.g., €10,000
(±10%)
confidence level of
the final estimate
7.3 Determine Budget
Inputs
Cost management plan
Scope baseline
Activity cost estimates
Basis of estimates
Project schedule
Resource calendars
Risk register
Agreements
Organizational process assets
Tools & Techniques
Cost aggregation
Reserve analysis
Expert judgment
Historical relationships
Funding limit reconciliation
Outputs
Cost baseline
Project funding requirements
Project documents updates
aggregating the estimated costs of individual activities or work packages to establish an
authorized cost baseline.
determines
the cost
baseline
against which
project
performance
can be
monitored
and
controlled
7.3 Determine Budget
Data flow diagram
7.2.1 Estimate Costs: Inputs
1 Cost Management Plan
• how project costs will be
managed and controlled
2 Scope Baseline
• Project scope statement - WBS
–WBS dictionary
Activity cost estimates
• Cost estimates for each activity
within a work package are
aggregated
Basis of estimates
• any basic assumptions dealing with
the inclusion or exclusion of indirect
or other costs in the project budget
7.3.1 Determine Budget: Inputs
Project schedule
•information can be used to aggregate
costs to the calendar periods in which
the costs are planned to be incurred.
Resource calendars
•provide information on which
resources are assigned to the project
and when they are assigned
Risk register
•to consider how to aggregate the risk
response costs
Agreements
•Applicable agreement information
and costs relating to products
purchase
Organizational process assets
•Existing policies, procedures, and
guidelines; Cost budgeting tools,
Reporting methods.
7.3.2 Determine Budget: Tools and Techniques
7.3.2.1 Cost
Aggregation
• Cost estimates are
aggregated by
work packages
>>higher
component levels
(control accounts)
>> entire project.
7.3.2.2 Reserve
Analysis
• contingency
reserves and the
management
reserves
7.3.2.3 Expert
Judgment
• guided by
experience in an
application area,
Knowledge Area,
discipline,
industry, or similar
project
7.3.2 Determine Budget: Tools and Techniques
4 HISTORICAL RELATIONSHIPS
◦ Any historical relationships that result in
parametric estimates or analogous estimates
involve the use of project characteristics
(parameters) to develop mathematical
models to predict total project costs.
◦ home construction >>cost per square meter
◦ one model of software development >>multiple
separate adjustment factors, each of which has
numerous points within it
5 FUNDING LIMIT RECONCILIATION
◦ The expenditure of funds should be reconciled
with any funding limits on the commitment of
funds for the project.
◦ A variance between the funding limits and the
planned expenditures will sometimes
necessitate the rescheduling of work to level out
the rate of expenditures.
◦ This is accomplished by placing imposed date
constraints for work into the project schedule.
7.3.3 Determine Budget: Outputs
7.3.3.1 Cost Baseline
approved version of the time-phased project budget, excluding any management reserves, used
as a basis for comparison to actual results.
Activity Estimates + Activity
Contingency Reserve
WP Estimates + Contingency Reserve
Control Accounts
COST BASELINE + Management
reserves
COST BUDGET 400
300 100
300
50 100
80 20
150
25 125
7.3.3 Determine Budget: Outputs
7.3.3.2 Project Funding Requirements
Total funding requirements & periodic funding requirements
• are derived from the cost baseline.
The cost baseline will include
• projected expenditures + anticipated liabilities.
Funding often occurs in incremental amounts
• that are not continuous, and may not be evenly distributed,
The total funds required are
• cost baseline + management reserves, if any.
• may include the source(s) of the funding.
7.3.3.3 Project Documents Updates
 Risk register,
 Activity cost estimates
 Project schedule.
7.3.3 Determine Budget: Outputs
7.3.3.2 Project Funding Requirements
Funding Requirements, 3300
Cost Baseline, 3000
Expenditures, 3200
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13
MR=3300-3000
7.4 Control Costs
Inputs
Cost management plan
Project funding requirements
Work performance data
Organizational process
assets
Tools & Techniques
Earned value management
Forecasting
To-complete performance
index (TCPI)
Performance reviews
Project management
software
Reserve analysis
Outputs
Work performance information
Cost forecasts
Change requests
Project management plan
updates
Project documents updates
Organizational process assets
updates
of monitoring the status of the project to update the project costs and managing
changes to the cost baseline.
provides the
means to
recognize
variance
from the plan
in order to
take
corrective
action and
minimize risk
7.4 Control Costs
Data Flow Diagram
7.4 Control Costs
Project cost control includes:
Influencing
•the factors that create
changes to baseline;
Ensuring
•all change requests are
acted on in a timely
manner;
Managing
• the actual changes when
and as they occur;
Ensuring
•that cost expenditures do
not exceed the authorized
funding by period, WBS
,activity, in total
Monitoring
•cost performance to isolate
and understand variances
Monitoring
•work performance against
funds expended;
Preventing
•unapproved changes
reported or resource
usage;
Informing
•appropriate stakeholders of
all approved changes and
associated cost;
Bringing
•expected cost overruns
within acceptable limits
7.4.1 Control Costs: Inputs
• Cost baseline & Cost
management plan.
7.4.1.1 Project
Management
Plan
• include projected
expenditures plus
anticipated liabilities.
7.4.1.2 Project
Funding
Requirements
• includes progress
information (started/
finished activities,
their progress) ,costs
authorized and
incurred.
7.4.1.3 Work
Performance
Data
• Existing policies,
procedures, and
guidelines;
• Cost control tools;
• Monitoring and
reporting methods
7.4.1.4
Organizational
Process Assets
7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.1 Earned Value Management
methodology that combines SCOPE, SCHEDULE, & RESOURCE measurements to assess project performance and
progress.
It integrates the scope ,cost & schedule baselines, to form the performance baseline
• authorized budget planned for the work to be accomplished for an activity or WP/CA.
• The total of the PV (performance measurement baseline PMB ,also known as budget at
completion BAC).
Planned value.
• a measure of work performed expressed in terms of the budget authorized for that work.
Earned value.
• realized cost incurred for the work performed on an activity during a specific time period.
Actual cost.
7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.1 Earned Value Management
•SV = EV – PVSchedule
variance
•CV= EV − ACCost variance
•SPI = EV/PV
Schedule
performance
index
•CPI = EV/AC
Cost
performance
index
PV EV AC
Jan-13 0 0 0
Feb-13 1000 800 1200
Mar-13 1500 1200 1800
Apr-13 2500
May-13 3000
Jun-13 3600
7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.1 Earned Value Management
PV, 1500
PV, 3600
EV, 1200
AC, 1800
ETC, 5400
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13
CUMCOST
Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13
PV 0 1000 1500 2500 3000 3600
EV 0 800 1200
AC 0 1200 1800
ETC 0 1200 1800 3750 4500 5400
7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.2 Forecasting
As the project progresses, forecast for the estimate at completion (EAC) may develop based on the
project performance.
If BAC is no longer viable, forecasted EAC should be considered.
Forecasting the EAC involves making projections of conditions and events in the project’s future
based on current performance information and other knowledge available.
Forecasts are generated, updated, and reissued based on work performance data.
EVM method works well in conjunction with manual forecasts of the required EAC costs.
EAC = AC + Bottom-up ETC.
work performed
@budgeted rate
• EAC = AC + (BAC – EV)
@ the present CPI. • EAC = BAC / CPI
considering both SPI &CPI • EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI × SPI)]
7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.3 To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI)
• measure of the cost performance that is required to be
achieved in order to meet a specified management goal (cost
to finish / remaining budget).
• If BAC is no longer viable, forecasted EAC should be
approved, use in the TCPI calculation.
• TCPI (based on the BAC): (BAC – EV) / (BAC – AC).
• If the cumulative CPI falls below the baseline, all future work
of the project will need to be performed immediately in the
range of the TCPI (BAC) to stay within the authorized BAC.
• Whether this level of performance is achievable is a judgment
call based on a number of considerations, including risk,
schedule, and technical performance.
• This level of performance is displayed as the TCPI (EAC)
line.
• TCPI (based on the EAC): (BAC – EV) / (EAC – AC)
based on the BAC
TCPI = (BAC –
EV) / (BAC – AC)
based on the EAC
TCPI = (BAC –
EV) / (EAC – AC)
• 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.4 Performance Reviews
compare cost performance over time, schedule activities or work packages overrunning and underrunning the budget, and
estimated funds needed to complete work in progress.
• Variance analysis.
• explanation (cause, impact, and corrective actions)
• for cost (CV = EV – AC),
• schedule (SV = EV – PV),
• variance at completion (VAC = BAC – EAC)
• An important aspect of project cost control includes determining the cause and degree of variance relative to the
cost baseline and deciding whether corrective or preventive action is required.
• Trend analysis.
• examines performance over time improving or deteriorating.
• Graphical analysis techniques are valuable for understanding performance to date and for comparison to future
performance goals in the form of BAC versus EAC and completion dates.
• Earned value performance.
• compares the performance measurement baseline to actual schedule and cost performance.
• If not being used, then the analysis of the cost baseline against actual costs for the work performed is used .
Table 7-1. Earned Value Calculations
Summary Table (PMBOK Page224)
• 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques
7.4.2.5 Project Management Software
7.4.2.6 Reserve Analysis
7.4.2.5 PROJECT MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE
used to monitor the three EVM dimensions
(PV, EV, and AC), to display graphical trends,
and to forecast a range of possible final project
results.
7.4.2.6 RESERVE ANALYSIS
used to monitor the status of contingency and
management reserves to determine if these reserves
are still needed or if additional reserves need to be
requested.
As work progresses, reserves may be used as planned
to cover the cost of risk mitigation or other
contingencies.
Or, if the probable risk events do not occur, the unused
contingency reserves may be removed from the
project budget to free up resources for other projects
or operations.
Additional risk analysis during the project may reveal a
need to request that additional reserves be added to
the project budget.
7.4.3 Control Costs: Outputs
7.4.3.1 Work Performance Information
• The calculated CV, SV, CPI, SPI, TCPI, and VAC values for WBS components (WP, CA) are documented and communicated to stakeholders.
7.4.3.2 Cost Forecasts
• Either a calculated EAC value or a bottom-up EAC value is documented and communicated to stakeholders.
7.4.3.3 Change Requests
• Analysis of project performance may result in a change request to the cost baseline or other components of the project management plan
7.4.3.4 Project Management Plan Updates
• Cost baseline. :in response to approved changes in scope, activity resources, or cost estimates.
• Cost management plan. changes to control thresholds or specified levels of accuracy required
7.4.3.5 Project Documents Updates
• Cost estimates, and Basis of estimates.
7.4.3.6 Organizational Process Assets Updates
• Causes of variances, Corrective action chosen and the reasons, Financial databases, and Other types of lessons learned from project cost control.
Earned Value Management (EVM)
Reference Card
EVM Terminology
AC Actual Cost of Work Performed (Actual cost incurred for work accomplished during a given period)
AUW Authorized Un-priced Work (Work contractually approved, but not yet negotiated)
BAC Budget At Completion (Total planned value for the project)
PV Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled (Planned Value - budget assigned to the planned scheduled
work to be accomplished)
EV Budgeted Cost for Work Performed (Earned Value - budget value for the physical work
accomplished)
CA Control Account (Management control point to plan and control scope, schedule, and budget)
CBB Contract Budget Baseline (Total negotiated cost plus AUW)
EAC Estimate At Completion (Expected total cost of the project when the scope of work will be
completed)
ETC Estimate To Complete (Expected cost needed to complete all remaining work)
MR Management Reserve (Budget withheld for unknowns / risk management)
NCC Negotiated Contract Cost (Contract price minus profit or fees or project value for in-house work)
OTB Over Target Baseline (Sum of CBB and recognized overrun)
PBB Project Budget Baseline (Same as CBB for in-house projects)
PMB Performance Measurement Baseline (Time-phased budget plan)
PP Planning Package (Far term effort within a CA not yet defined into WPs)
TAB Total Allocated Budget (Sum of all budgets for work on contract = NCC, CBB/PBB, or OTB)
TCPI To Complete Performance Index (Efficiency needed from ‘status date’ to achieve an EAC or BAC)
UB Undistributed Budget (Broadly defined effort not distributed into CAs)
WP Work Package (Near term effort detailed planned within a CA)
Revised May 2012 EDITTED BY OMER ALSAYED
For NASA in-house programs/projects and contract policies and requirements for the
application of EVM, please refer to the NASA EVM Website: http://evm.nasa.gov.
Performance Indices: (Favorable is > 1.0, Unfavorable is < 1.0)
Cost Performance Index (Efficiency): CPI = EV / AC
Schedule Performance Index (Efficiency): SPI = EV / PV
To Complete Performance Index (TCPI)
TCPIEAC = Work Remaining / Cost Remaining = (BAC – EVCum) / (EAC – ACCum)
TCPIBAC = Work Remaining / Budget Remaining = (BAC – EVCum) / (BAC – ACCum)
Status Percentage
% Complete = EVCum / BAC x 100
% Spent = ACCum / BAC x 100
% Schedule = PVCum / BAC x 100
CV
SV
Actual Costs
(AC)
Earned Value
(EV)
Planned Value
(PV)
$
EAC
Time Now
Performance Measurement Baseline
(PMB)
BAC
Time
Management Reserve (MR)
TAB
(CBB or PBB)
Projected
Slippage
VAC
ETC
Variances: (Favorable is Positive, Unfavorable is Negative)
Cost Variance (CV): CV = EV – AC CV% = CV / EV x 100
Schedule Variance (SV): SV = EV – PV SV% = SV / PV x 100
Variance at Completion (VAC): VAC = BAC – EAC VAC% = VAC / BAC x 100
UB
WPs PPs
CAs
PMB MR
CBB
Fee/Profit
(no Project analogy)
Contract Price (Project Price)
AUW
OTB
TAB
PBB
NASA Contract / Project Hierarchy
NCC Plus
Overrun
Estimate at Completion (EAC) = AC + ETC
EAC = Actuals to Date + Work Remaining / Performance Factor
EACComposite = ACCum + (BAC – EVCum) / (CPICum x SPICum)
EACCPI = BAC / CPICum
Common EAC Calculations

Contenu connexe

Tendances

Tendances (20)

Earned Value Management
Earned Value ManagementEarned Value Management
Earned Value Management
 
Project Cost Management
Project Cost ManagementProject Cost Management
Project Cost Management
 
Project Quality Management - PMBOK6
Project Quality Management - PMBOK6Project Quality Management - PMBOK6
Project Quality Management - PMBOK6
 
Project Management Tools and Techniques
Project Management Tools and TechniquesProject Management Tools and Techniques
Project Management Tools and Techniques
 
Project Risk Management
Project Risk ManagementProject Risk Management
Project Risk Management
 
Project scope management
Project scope managementProject scope management
Project scope management
 
Project cost control
Project cost controlProject cost control
Project cost control
 
The role and responsibilities of the project manager
The role and responsibilities of the project manager The role and responsibilities of the project manager
The role and responsibilities of the project manager
 
Project Cost Management
Project Cost ManagementProject Cost Management
Project Cost Management
 
Role and Responsibilities of Project Manager
Role and Responsibilities of Project ManagerRole and Responsibilities of Project Manager
Role and Responsibilities of Project Manager
 
Work Breakdown Structure
Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure
Work Breakdown Structure
 
Project Management
Project ManagementProject Management
Project Management
 
Project scheduling
Project schedulingProject scheduling
Project scheduling
 
Project Schedule Management - PMBOK6
Project Schedule Management - PMBOK6Project Schedule Management - PMBOK6
Project Schedule Management - PMBOK6
 
Project Closing Process
Project Closing ProcessProject Closing Process
Project Closing Process
 
Project cost management
Project cost managementProject cost management
Project cost management
 
Project Management
Project ManagementProject Management
Project Management
 
Project quality management
Project quality managementProject quality management
Project quality management
 
Projectcontrol
ProjectcontrolProjectcontrol
Projectcontrol
 
Project planning and scheduling techniques
Project planning and scheduling techniquesProject planning and scheduling techniques
Project planning and scheduling techniques
 

Similaire à 07 project cost management

cost Management V4
cost Management V4cost Management V4
cost Management V4Qussay Karam
 
Topic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdf
Topic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdfTopic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdf
Topic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdfHuyNguyen657394
 
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01samansari22
 
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01petch phanpha
 
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01samansari22
 
Online PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge Area
Online PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge AreaOnline PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge Area
Online PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge AreaGlobalSkillup
 
Managingtripleconstraint aam
Managingtripleconstraint aamManagingtripleconstraint aam
Managingtripleconstraint aamAldo Arecco
 
PMP Prep 3 - Project Integration Management
PMP Prep 3 - Project Integration ManagementPMP Prep 3 - Project Integration Management
PMP Prep 3 - Project Integration ManagementAndrew Mikityuk
 
7.0 Project Cost Management Overview
7.0 Project Cost Management Overview7.0 Project Cost Management Overview
7.0 Project Cost Management OverviewDavidMcLachlan1
 
ادارة تكلفة المشروع
ادارة تكلفة المشروع ادارة تكلفة المشروع
ادارة تكلفة المشروع Mohamed Dahi
 
4- Project Cost Management.ppt
4- Project Cost Management.ppt4- Project Cost Management.ppt
4- Project Cost Management.pptMohamadAGhareb
 
7.1 Plan Cost Management
7.1 Plan Cost Management7.1 Plan Cost Management
7.1 Plan Cost ManagementDavidMcLachlan1
 
projectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptx
projectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptxprojectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptx
projectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptxChandrasen Sharma
 
DISE - Introduction to Project Management
DISE - Introduction to Project ManagementDISE - Introduction to Project Management
DISE - Introduction to Project ManagementRasan Samarasinghe
 

Similaire à 07 project cost management (20)

PMP-Cost Management area
PMP-Cost Management areaPMP-Cost Management area
PMP-Cost Management area
 
cost Management V4
cost Management V4cost Management V4
cost Management V4
 
Topic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdf
Topic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdfTopic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdf
Topic 12 - Project Cost Management.pdf
 
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
 
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
 
Project management
Project managementProject management
Project management
 
06 project time management m
06 project time management m06 project time management m
06 project time management m
 
7.2 Estimate Cost
7.2 Estimate Cost7.2 Estimate Cost
7.2 Estimate Cost
 
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
Projectmanagement 130721095616-phpapp01
 
Online PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge Area
Online PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge AreaOnline PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge Area
Online PMP Training Material for PMP Exam - Time Management Knowledge Area
 
Managingtripleconstraint aam
Managingtripleconstraint aamManagingtripleconstraint aam
Managingtripleconstraint aam
 
7.3 Determine Budget
7.3 Determine Budget7.3 Determine Budget
7.3 Determine Budget
 
PMP Prep 3 - Project Integration Management
PMP Prep 3 - Project Integration ManagementPMP Prep 3 - Project Integration Management
PMP Prep 3 - Project Integration Management
 
7.0 Project Cost Management Overview
7.0 Project Cost Management Overview7.0 Project Cost Management Overview
7.0 Project Cost Management Overview
 
6396901
63969016396901
6396901
 
ادارة تكلفة المشروع
ادارة تكلفة المشروع ادارة تكلفة المشروع
ادارة تكلفة المشروع
 
4- Project Cost Management.ppt
4- Project Cost Management.ppt4- Project Cost Management.ppt
4- Project Cost Management.ppt
 
7.1 Plan Cost Management
7.1 Plan Cost Management7.1 Plan Cost Management
7.1 Plan Cost Management
 
projectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptx
projectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptxprojectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptx
projectmanagement-130721095616-phpapp01-converted.pptx
 
DISE - Introduction to Project Management
DISE - Introduction to Project ManagementDISE - Introduction to Project Management
DISE - Introduction to Project Management
 

Plus de Omer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®

Project stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروع
Project stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروعProject stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروع
Project stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروعOmer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®
 
برنامج حصاد المياه خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعية
برنامج حصاد المياه  خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعيةبرنامج حصاد المياه  خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعية
برنامج حصاد المياه خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعيةOmer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®
 
09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion
09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion
09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittionOmer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®
 
09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5
09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5 09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5
09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5 Omer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®
 
وأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجل
وأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجلوأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجل
وأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجلOmer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®
 
Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...
Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...
Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...Omer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP®
 

Plus de Omer Alsayed PhD,MBA, PMP® (20)

Project stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروع
Project stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروعProject stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروع
Project stakeholders management arabic ادارة المعنيين في المشروع
 
04 project integration management
04 project integration management04 project integration management
04 project integration management
 
برنامج حصاد المياه خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعية
برنامج حصاد المياه  خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعيةبرنامج حصاد المياه  خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعية
برنامج حصاد المياه خطوة نحو تنمية الموارد الطبيعية
 
05 project scope management
05 project scope management05 project scope management
05 project scope management
 
04 project integration management
04 project integration management04 project integration management
04 project integration management
 
08 project quality management
08 project quality management08 project quality management
08 project quality management
 
10 project communications
10 project communications10 project communications
10 project communications
 
09 project human res 2014
09 project human res 201409 project human res 2014
09 project human res 2014
 
13 project stakeholders management
13 project stakeholders management13 project stakeholders management
13 project stakeholders management
 
12 project procurement management
12 project procurement management12 project procurement management
12 project procurement management
 
11 project risk management
11 project risk management11 project risk management
11 project risk management
 
09 project human res 2014
09 project human res 201409 project human res 2014
09 project human res 2014
 
Practical project management 12 feb 2014
Practical project management 12 feb 2014Practical project management 12 feb 2014
Practical project management 12 feb 2014
 
05 project scope management
05 project scope management05 project scope management
05 project scope management
 
Practical project management based on PMBOK5
Practical project management based on PMBOK5Practical project management based on PMBOK5
Practical project management based on PMBOK5
 
09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion
09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion
09 PMP Project Human Resources Management PMBOK 5th edittion
 
09 project human resources management pmbok 5th
09 project human resources management pmbok 5th09 project human resources management pmbok 5th
09 project human resources management pmbok 5th
 
09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5
09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5 09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5
09 Project Human Resources management based on PMBOK5
 
وأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجل
وأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجلوأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجل
وأحسن الناس من بين الورى رجل
 
Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...
Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...
Project risk management for water harvesting in Darfur إدارة مخاطر المشروعات ...
 

Dernier

How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...SOFTTECHHUB
 
Technical Leaders - Working with the Management Team
Technical Leaders - Working with the Management TeamTechnical Leaders - Working with the Management Team
Technical Leaders - Working with the Management TeamArik Fletcher
 
NAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
NAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataNAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
NAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataExhibitors Data
 
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptxGo for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptxRakhi Bazaar
 
The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...
The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...
The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...Operational Excellence Consulting
 
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw CompressorsEnvironmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressorselgieurope
 
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdfShaun Heinrichs
 
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...Americas Got Grants
 
14680-51-4.pdf Good quality CAS Good quality CAS
14680-51-4.pdf  Good  quality CAS Good  quality CAS14680-51-4.pdf  Good  quality CAS Good  quality CAS
14680-51-4.pdf Good quality CAS Good quality CAScathy664059
 
business environment micro environment macro environment.pptx
business environment micro environment macro environment.pptxbusiness environment micro environment macro environment.pptx
business environment micro environment macro environment.pptxShruti Mittal
 
WSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdf
WSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdfWSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdf
WSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdfJamesConcepcion7
 
Darshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdf
Darshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdfDarshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdf
Darshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdfShashank Mehta
 
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdfGUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdfDanny Diep To
 
Onemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring Capabilities
Onemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring CapabilitiesOnemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring Capabilities
Onemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring CapabilitiesOne Monitar
 
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationPSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationAnamaria Contreras
 
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdfChris Skinner
 
Appkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptx
Appkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptxAppkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptx
Appkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptxappkodes
 
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic ExperiencesUnveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic ExperiencesDoe Paoro
 
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFGuide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFChandresh Chudasama
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deckHajeJanKamps
 

Dernier (20)

How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
 
Technical Leaders - Working with the Management Team
Technical Leaders - Working with the Management TeamTechnical Leaders - Working with the Management Team
Technical Leaders - Working with the Management Team
 
NAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
NAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataNAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
NAB Show Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
 
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptxGo for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
 
The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...
The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...
The McKinsey 7S Framework: A Holistic Approach to Harmonizing All Parts of th...
 
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw CompressorsEnvironmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
 
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
 
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
 
14680-51-4.pdf Good quality CAS Good quality CAS
14680-51-4.pdf  Good  quality CAS Good  quality CAS14680-51-4.pdf  Good  quality CAS Good  quality CAS
14680-51-4.pdf Good quality CAS Good quality CAS
 
business environment micro environment macro environment.pptx
business environment micro environment macro environment.pptxbusiness environment micro environment macro environment.pptx
business environment micro environment macro environment.pptx
 
WSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdf
WSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdfWSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdf
WSMM Technology February.March Newsletter_vF.pdf
 
Darshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdf
Darshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdfDarshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdf
Darshan Hiranandani [News About Next CEO].pdf
 
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdfGUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
 
Onemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring Capabilities
Onemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring CapabilitiesOnemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring Capabilities
Onemonitar Android Spy App Features: Explore Advanced Monitoring Capabilities
 
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationPSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
 
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
 
Appkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptx
Appkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptxAppkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptx
Appkodes Tinder Clone Script with Customisable Solutions.pptx
 
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic ExperiencesUnveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
 
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFGuide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo's $40M Seed deck
 

07 project cost management

  • 1. Project Cost management BY: OMER ALSAYED OMER MBA, PMP, B.Sc.(Civil Eng.) : PMO manager EWU-DIU omeralsayed@yahoo.com +249-1234 94 587
  • 2. Control of Construction Projects in Sudanese Contracting companies :university thesis majority of construction companies DO NOT have any system in place for COST control http://www.sustech.edu/sudannewar/thesis.php?serial=611130&collno=9
  • 3. Project Management Process Group and Knowledge Area Mapping Knowledge Area Initiating Planning Executing M& C Closing 4. Project Integration Management 4Develop Project Charter 4.2 Develop Project Management Plan 4.3 Direct & Manage Project Work 4.4 Monitor & Control Project Work 4.5 Perform Integrated Change Control 4.6 Close Project or Phase 5. Project Scope Management 5Plan Scope Management 5.2 Collect Requirements 5.3 Define Scope 5.4 Create WBS 5.5 Validate Scope 5.6 Control Scope 6. Project Time Management 6Plan Schedule Management 6.2 Define Activities 6.3 Sequence Activities 6.4 Estimate Activity Resources 6.5 Estimate Activity Durations 6.6 Develop Schedule 6.7 Control Schedule 7. Project Cost Management 7Plan Cost Management 7.2 Estimate Costs 7.3 Determine Budget 7.4 Control Costs 8. Project Quality Management 8Plan Quality Management 8.2 Perform Quality Assurance 8.3 Control Quality 9. Project Human Resource Management 9.1 Plan Human Resource Management 9.2 Acquire Project Team 9.3 Develop Project Team 9.4 Manage Project Team 10. Project Communications Management 10Plan Communications Management 10.2 Manage Communications 10.3 Control Communications 11. Project Risk Management 11Plan Risk Management 11.2 Identify Risks 11.3 Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis 11.4 Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis 11.5 Plan Risk Responses 11.6 Control Risks 12. Project Procurement Management 12Plan Procurement Management 12.2 Conduct Procurements 12.3 Control Procurements 12.4 Close Procurements 13. Project Stakeholder Management 13Identify Stakeholders 13.2 Plan Stakeholder Management 13.3 Manage Stakeholder Engagement 13.4 Control Stakeholder Engagement OSO OCT 2013 Planning M& C
  • 4. Cost aspectsacquisition decision committed order placed Using Maintaining supporting the product limiting the number of design reviews >> reduce the cost of the project >> could increase the resulting product’s operating costs Numerous Financial Techniques ROI, discounted cash flow, investment payback analysis additional processes IF FINANCIAL predictions and analyses included order placed Item delivered actualcost incurred Acquired Item primarily cost of the resources + subsequent recurring cost of :
  • 5. Project Cost Processes 7.1 Plan Cost Management policies, procedures, and documentation for planning, managing, expending, controlling project costs. 7.2 Estimate Costs developing an APPROXIMATION of the monetary resources needed to complete project activities. 7.3 Determine Budget AGGREGATING the estimated costs of individual activities or WP to establish cost baseline. 7.4 Control Costs MONITORING the status to update costs and managing changes to the cost baseline.
  • 6. 7.1 Plan Cost Management Inputs Project management plan Project charter Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets 2. Tools & Techniques Expert judgment Analytical techniques Meetings .3 Outputs Cost management plan establishes the policies, procedures, &documentation for PLANNING, MANAGING, EXPENDING, and CONTROLLING project costs.
  • 7. 7.1 Plan Cost Management Data Flow Diagram Project charter 4.1 develop Project charter 7.1 Plan Cost Management Project M. plan 4.2 develop Project M.P. OPA EEF 4 Integration 5 Scope 6 Time 7 Cost 8 Quality 9 H. Resource 10 Commn. 11 Risk 12 Procurement 13 S/holders Enterprise/ Organization 6.2 Define Activities 6.3 Sequence Activities 11.2 Identify Risks 11.4 Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Cost management plan
  • 8. 7.1.1 Plan Cost Management: Inputs 7.1.1.1 Project Management Plan • Scope baseline. scope statement and WBS detail. • Schedule baseline. when the project costs will be incurred. • Other information. scheduling, risk, and communications decisions. 7.1.1.2 Project Charter • provides the summary budget • approval requirements that will influence the management of the project costs. 7.1.1.3 Enterprise Environmental Factors • Organizational culture and structure • Market conditions • Currency exchange rates • Published commercial information (resource cost) • Project management information system. 7.1.1.4 Organizational Process Assets • Financial controls procedures • Historical information and lessons learned • Financial databases • Existing cost policies, procedures, and guidelines.
  • 9. 7.1.2 Plan Cost Management: Tools and Techniques 7.1.2.1 Expert Judgment • provides valuable insight about the environment and information from prior similar projects. • suggest whether to combine methods and how to reconcile differences between them. 7.1.2.2 Analytical Techniques • CMP may involve choosing strategic options to fund (self- funding, funding with equity, or funding with debt). • may also detail ways to finance resources (making, purchasing, renting, or leasing). • Techniques :payback period, ROI, IRR, discounted cash flow, &NPV 7.1.2.3 Meetings • project manager, sponsor, selected project team members, selected stakeholders, anyone with responsibility for costs, others.
  • 10. 7.1.3 Plan Cost Management: Outputs: 7.1.3.1 Cost Management Plan how the project costs will be planned, structured, and controlled. Units of measure. •staff hours/days ,meters, liters, tons, kilometers, or lump sum in Level of precision. •The degree to which activity cost estimates will be rounded up or down Level of accuracy. •e.g., ±10% ,may include an amount for contingencies; Organizational procedures links. •WBS, consistency with the estimates, budgets, and control. •organization’s accounting system. Control thresholds. •variation to be allowed before some action needs to be taken. Rules of performance measurement. •EVM rules of performance measurement are set. Define CA points; Establish EV measurement techniques : fixed-formula, % Specify tracking methodologies EAC forecasts equation?
  • 11. 7.2 Estimate Costs Inputs Cost management plan Human resource management plan Scope baseline Project schedule Risk register Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets 2. Tools & Techniques Expert judgment Analogous estimating Parametric estimating Bottom-up estimating Three-point estimating Reserve analysis Cost of quality Project management software Vendor bid analysis Group decision-making techniques .3 Outputs Activity cost estimates Basis of estimates Project documents updates developing an APPROXIMATION of the monetary resources needed to complete project activities. it determines the amount of cost required to complete project work
  • 12. 7.2 Estimate Costs Data Flow Diagram Scope baseline 5.4 Create WBS 7.2 Estimate Costs Project schedule 6.6 Develop Schedule OPA EEF 4 Integration 5 Scope 6 Time 7 Cost 8 Quality 9 H. Resource 10 Commn. 11 Risk 12 Procurement 13 S/holders Enterprise/ Organization 11.2 Identify Risks 12.1 Plan Procurement Management A. cost estimates 9.1 Plan HR Mt HRM Plan 11.2 Identify Risks Risk register 7.1 Plan Cost Management Cost management plan Basis of estimates Project documents u 7.3 Determine Budget 6.4 Estimate Activity Resources Project documents  risk register
  • 13. 7.2 Estimate Costs Cost estimates a prediction • based on the information known at a given point in time. alternatives - • Cost tradeoffs and risks should be considered (make or buy, buy or lease. expressed • in units of currency or man- hours reviewed and refined • to reflect additional detail, assumptions changes. accuracy • will increase as the project progresses. initiation phase >>rough order of magnitude (ROM) estimate in the range of −25% to +75%. Later, definitive estimates range to -5% to +10%.
  • 14. 7.2.1 Estimate Costs: Inputs 1 Cost Management Plan • how project costs will be managed and controlled 2 Human Resource Management Plan • project staffing attributes, personnel rates, rewards/recognition 3 Scope Baseline • Project scope statement - WBS – WBS dictionary 4 Project Schedule • type and quantity of resources , durations
  • 15. 7.2.1 Estimate Costs: Inputs 5 Risk Register • typically have an impact on both activity and overall project costs. • negative risk >> COST increase, • potential opportunities >> reducing activity costs or by accelerating the schedule. 6 Enterprise Environmental Factors • Market conditions -Published commercial information 7 Organizational Process Assets • Cost estimating policies, Cost estimating templates, Historical information, and Lessons learned.
  • 16. 7.2.2 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.2.2.1 Expert Judgment Guided by historical information, provides valuable insight about the environment and INFORMATION from prior similar projects. Determine whether to combine methods of estimating and how to reconcile differences between them.
  • 17. 7.2.2 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.2.2.2 Analogous Estimating • Cost, budget or measures (size, weight), and complexityuses the values: • the actual cost of previous, similar projectsrelies on • known differences in project complexity.adjusted for • there is a limited amount of detailed informationused when • and expert judgment.Uses historical information • and less time consuming, but less accurate.less costly • a total project or to segments of a projectcan be applied to
  • 18. 7.2.2 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.2.2.3 Parametric Estimating • between relevant historical data and other variables (building m2) . statistical relationship • the sophistication • underlying data built into the model. produce higher levels of accuracy depending upon: • a total project or to segments of a project, in conjunction with other estimating methods can be applied to:
  • 19. Analogous vs. Parametric SIMILARITIES Can be used for both duration and cost estimating Essentially a combination of historical information (leveraging past projects/activities) and expert judgment DIFFERENCES •Analogous : • top-down and • less accurate • comparing a past similar project to your current project. •Parametric • more accurate, • uses a relationship between variables (a unit cost/duration and the number of units) to develop the estimate.
  • 20. Analogous vs. Parametric Example oYou are the project manager for the annual Earth Day 5k road race, with three primary components: marketing, registration, and race-day coordination. oFor marketing, there will be 500 flyers printed up at a cost $0.20 each. It took two weeks for the flyers to be printed for last year event, so you estimate two weeks for the printing of the brochures for this event. oLast year it took one week to design the on-line registration form and the cost to host the registration website was $850.00 You estimate the same this year. oThere will be four people used to coordinate the race. Each resource will be paid $25 per hour and they will be working an estimated seven hours, based on the race last year. Marketing: • 500 flyers • cost $0.20 each • 2 weeks printing Registration • website • $850.00 • one week Coordination • 4 people • $25 per hour • seven hours
  • 21. Analogous vs. Parametric Example Coordination Cost: $700 parametric estimating - 4 x $25 x 7 Duration: 7 hours analogous Registration Cost: $850 analogous Duration: one week analogous Marketing Cost: $100 for brochures parametric estimating 500 x $0.20 Duration: two weeks analogous
  • 22. 7.2.2.4/.5 Estimate Costs: Tools and Techniques 4 BOTTOM-UP ESTIMATING WP/activities is estimated (to the greatest level of specified detail). then summarized or “rolled up” to higher levels . accuracy influenced by the size and complexity of the individual activity /WP 5 THREE-POINT ESTIMATING accuracy improved by considering estimation uncertainty and risk using three estimates to define an approximate range for an activity’s cost: Most likely (cM). ◦ based on realistic effort assessment for the required work and any predicted expenses. Optimistic (cO). ◦ based on analysis of the best-case scenario. Pessimistic (cP). ◦ based on analysis of the worst-case scenario. cE = (cO + cM + cP) / 3 cE = (cO + 4cM + cP) / 6 Beta DistributionTriangular Distribution
  • 23. 7.2.2 Estimate Costs: 7.2.2.6 Reserve Analysis CONTINGENCY RESERVES (CONTINGENCY ALLOWANCES) • budget within the cost baseline that is allocated for identified & accepted risks • often viewed to address the “known-unknowns”. • provide for a specific activity/ whole project, or both. • percentage of the estimated cost, a fixed number, or may be developed by using quantitative analysis methods. • As more precise information about the project becomes available, the contingency reserve may be used, reduced, or eliminated. • Contingency should be clearly identified in cost documentation. • Contingency reserves are part of the cost baseline and the overall funding requirements for the project. MANAGEMENT RESERVES • amount of the project budget withheld for management control purposes and are reserved for unforeseen work that is within scope of the project. • to address the “unknown unknowns” that can affect a project. • not included in the cost baseline but is part of the overall project budget and funding requirements. • When an amount of management reserves is used to fund unforeseen work, the amount of management reserve used is added to the cost baseline, thus requiring an approved change to the cost baseline.
  • 24. 7.2.2 Estimate Costs: 7.2.2.6 Reserve Analysis example PROJECT ESTIMATE EST + contingency reserves COST BASELINE Management reserves COST BUDGET 400 100 300 250 100 150 50
  • 25. 7.2.2:7-10 Estimate Costs: T&T 7.2.2.7 Cost of Quality (COQ) • Assumptions about costs of quality 7.2.2.8 Project Management Software • applications, computerized spreadsheets, simulation, and statistical tools (assist ,simplify ,facilitate rapid consideration of alternatives. 7.2.2.9 Vendor Bid Analysis • analysis of what the project should cost, based on the responsive bids from qualified vendors. • additional cost estimating work to: • examine the price of individual deliverables • supports the final total project cost. 7.2.2.10 Group Decision-Making Techniques • brainstorming, the Delphi or nominal group techniques improve estimate accuracy and commitment to the emerging estimates.
  • 26. 7.2.3 Estimate Costs: Outputs 7.2.3.1 Activity Cost Estimates • quantitative assessments of the probable costs required to complete project work. • presented in summary form or in detail. • Including all resources • direct labor, materials, equipment, services, facilities, information technology, • special categories :cost of financing (including interest charges), • inflation allowance, exchange rates, • cost contingency reserve. • Indirect costs, (if they) can be included at the activity level or at higher levels.
  • 27. 7.2.3 Estimate Costs: Outputs 7.2.3.2 Basis of Estimates the supporting documentation should provide a clear and complete understanding of how the cost estimate was derived. Supporting detail for activity cost estimates may include: Documentation of : the basis of the estimate all assumptions made, any known constraints, Indication of : the range of possible estimates (e.g., €10,000 (±10%) confidence level of the final estimate
  • 28. 7.3 Determine Budget Inputs Cost management plan Scope baseline Activity cost estimates Basis of estimates Project schedule Resource calendars Risk register Agreements Organizational process assets Tools & Techniques Cost aggregation Reserve analysis Expert judgment Historical relationships Funding limit reconciliation Outputs Cost baseline Project funding requirements Project documents updates aggregating the estimated costs of individual activities or work packages to establish an authorized cost baseline. determines the cost baseline against which project performance can be monitored and controlled
  • 30. 7.2.1 Estimate Costs: Inputs 1 Cost Management Plan • how project costs will be managed and controlled 2 Scope Baseline • Project scope statement - WBS –WBS dictionary Activity cost estimates • Cost estimates for each activity within a work package are aggregated Basis of estimates • any basic assumptions dealing with the inclusion or exclusion of indirect or other costs in the project budget
  • 31. 7.3.1 Determine Budget: Inputs Project schedule •information can be used to aggregate costs to the calendar periods in which the costs are planned to be incurred. Resource calendars •provide information on which resources are assigned to the project and when they are assigned Risk register •to consider how to aggregate the risk response costs Agreements •Applicable agreement information and costs relating to products purchase Organizational process assets •Existing policies, procedures, and guidelines; Cost budgeting tools, Reporting methods.
  • 32. 7.3.2 Determine Budget: Tools and Techniques 7.3.2.1 Cost Aggregation • Cost estimates are aggregated by work packages >>higher component levels (control accounts) >> entire project. 7.3.2.2 Reserve Analysis • contingency reserves and the management reserves 7.3.2.3 Expert Judgment • guided by experience in an application area, Knowledge Area, discipline, industry, or similar project
  • 33. 7.3.2 Determine Budget: Tools and Techniques 4 HISTORICAL RELATIONSHIPS ◦ Any historical relationships that result in parametric estimates or analogous estimates involve the use of project characteristics (parameters) to develop mathematical models to predict total project costs. ◦ home construction >>cost per square meter ◦ one model of software development >>multiple separate adjustment factors, each of which has numerous points within it 5 FUNDING LIMIT RECONCILIATION ◦ The expenditure of funds should be reconciled with any funding limits on the commitment of funds for the project. ◦ A variance between the funding limits and the planned expenditures will sometimes necessitate the rescheduling of work to level out the rate of expenditures. ◦ This is accomplished by placing imposed date constraints for work into the project schedule.
  • 34. 7.3.3 Determine Budget: Outputs 7.3.3.1 Cost Baseline approved version of the time-phased project budget, excluding any management reserves, used as a basis for comparison to actual results. Activity Estimates + Activity Contingency Reserve WP Estimates + Contingency Reserve Control Accounts COST BASELINE + Management reserves COST BUDGET 400 300 100 300 50 100 80 20 150 25 125
  • 35. 7.3.3 Determine Budget: Outputs 7.3.3.2 Project Funding Requirements Total funding requirements & periodic funding requirements • are derived from the cost baseline. The cost baseline will include • projected expenditures + anticipated liabilities. Funding often occurs in incremental amounts • that are not continuous, and may not be evenly distributed, The total funds required are • cost baseline + management reserves, if any. • may include the source(s) of the funding. 7.3.3.3 Project Documents Updates  Risk register,  Activity cost estimates  Project schedule.
  • 36. 7.3.3 Determine Budget: Outputs 7.3.3.2 Project Funding Requirements Funding Requirements, 3300 Cost Baseline, 3000 Expenditures, 3200 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 MR=3300-3000
  • 37. 7.4 Control Costs Inputs Cost management plan Project funding requirements Work performance data Organizational process assets Tools & Techniques Earned value management Forecasting To-complete performance index (TCPI) Performance reviews Project management software Reserve analysis Outputs Work performance information Cost forecasts Change requests Project management plan updates Project documents updates Organizational process assets updates of monitoring the status of the project to update the project costs and managing changes to the cost baseline. provides the means to recognize variance from the plan in order to take corrective action and minimize risk
  • 38. 7.4 Control Costs Data Flow Diagram
  • 39. 7.4 Control Costs Project cost control includes: Influencing •the factors that create changes to baseline; Ensuring •all change requests are acted on in a timely manner; Managing • the actual changes when and as they occur; Ensuring •that cost expenditures do not exceed the authorized funding by period, WBS ,activity, in total Monitoring •cost performance to isolate and understand variances Monitoring •work performance against funds expended; Preventing •unapproved changes reported or resource usage; Informing •appropriate stakeholders of all approved changes and associated cost; Bringing •expected cost overruns within acceptable limits
  • 40. 7.4.1 Control Costs: Inputs • Cost baseline & Cost management plan. 7.4.1.1 Project Management Plan • include projected expenditures plus anticipated liabilities. 7.4.1.2 Project Funding Requirements • includes progress information (started/ finished activities, their progress) ,costs authorized and incurred. 7.4.1.3 Work Performance Data • Existing policies, procedures, and guidelines; • Cost control tools; • Monitoring and reporting methods 7.4.1.4 Organizational Process Assets
  • 41. 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.1 Earned Value Management methodology that combines SCOPE, SCHEDULE, & RESOURCE measurements to assess project performance and progress. It integrates the scope ,cost & schedule baselines, to form the performance baseline • authorized budget planned for the work to be accomplished for an activity or WP/CA. • The total of the PV (performance measurement baseline PMB ,also known as budget at completion BAC). Planned value. • a measure of work performed expressed in terms of the budget authorized for that work. Earned value. • realized cost incurred for the work performed on an activity during a specific time period. Actual cost.
  • 42. 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.1 Earned Value Management •SV = EV – PVSchedule variance •CV= EV − ACCost variance •SPI = EV/PV Schedule performance index •CPI = EV/AC Cost performance index PV EV AC Jan-13 0 0 0 Feb-13 1000 800 1200 Mar-13 1500 1200 1800 Apr-13 2500 May-13 3000 Jun-13 3600
  • 43. 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.1 Earned Value Management PV, 1500 PV, 3600 EV, 1200 AC, 1800 ETC, 5400 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 CUMCOST Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 PV 0 1000 1500 2500 3000 3600 EV 0 800 1200 AC 0 1200 1800 ETC 0 1200 1800 3750 4500 5400
  • 44. 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.2 Forecasting As the project progresses, forecast for the estimate at completion (EAC) may develop based on the project performance. If BAC is no longer viable, forecasted EAC should be considered. Forecasting the EAC involves making projections of conditions and events in the project’s future based on current performance information and other knowledge available. Forecasts are generated, updated, and reissued based on work performance data. EVM method works well in conjunction with manual forecasts of the required EAC costs. EAC = AC + Bottom-up ETC. work performed @budgeted rate • EAC = AC + (BAC – EV) @ the present CPI. • EAC = BAC / CPI considering both SPI &CPI • EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI × SPI)]
  • 45. 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.3 To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) • measure of the cost performance that is required to be achieved in order to meet a specified management goal (cost to finish / remaining budget). • If BAC is no longer viable, forecasted EAC should be approved, use in the TCPI calculation. • TCPI (based on the BAC): (BAC – EV) / (BAC – AC). • If the cumulative CPI falls below the baseline, all future work of the project will need to be performed immediately in the range of the TCPI (BAC) to stay within the authorized BAC. • Whether this level of performance is achievable is a judgment call based on a number of considerations, including risk, schedule, and technical performance. • This level of performance is displayed as the TCPI (EAC) line. • TCPI (based on the EAC): (BAC – EV) / (EAC – AC) based on the BAC TCPI = (BAC – EV) / (BAC – AC) based on the EAC TCPI = (BAC – EV) / (EAC – AC)
  • 46. • 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.4 Performance Reviews compare cost performance over time, schedule activities or work packages overrunning and underrunning the budget, and estimated funds needed to complete work in progress. • Variance analysis. • explanation (cause, impact, and corrective actions) • for cost (CV = EV – AC), • schedule (SV = EV – PV), • variance at completion (VAC = BAC – EAC) • An important aspect of project cost control includes determining the cause and degree of variance relative to the cost baseline and deciding whether corrective or preventive action is required. • Trend analysis. • examines performance over time improving or deteriorating. • Graphical analysis techniques are valuable for understanding performance to date and for comparison to future performance goals in the form of BAC versus EAC and completion dates. • Earned value performance. • compares the performance measurement baseline to actual schedule and cost performance. • If not being used, then the analysis of the cost baseline against actual costs for the work performed is used .
  • 47. Table 7-1. Earned Value Calculations Summary Table (PMBOK Page224)
  • 48. • 7.4.2 Control Costs: Tools and Techniques 7.4.2.5 Project Management Software 7.4.2.6 Reserve Analysis 7.4.2.5 PROJECT MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE used to monitor the three EVM dimensions (PV, EV, and AC), to display graphical trends, and to forecast a range of possible final project results. 7.4.2.6 RESERVE ANALYSIS used to monitor the status of contingency and management reserves to determine if these reserves are still needed or if additional reserves need to be requested. As work progresses, reserves may be used as planned to cover the cost of risk mitigation or other contingencies. Or, if the probable risk events do not occur, the unused contingency reserves may be removed from the project budget to free up resources for other projects or operations. Additional risk analysis during the project may reveal a need to request that additional reserves be added to the project budget.
  • 49. 7.4.3 Control Costs: Outputs 7.4.3.1 Work Performance Information • The calculated CV, SV, CPI, SPI, TCPI, and VAC values for WBS components (WP, CA) are documented and communicated to stakeholders. 7.4.3.2 Cost Forecasts • Either a calculated EAC value or a bottom-up EAC value is documented and communicated to stakeholders. 7.4.3.3 Change Requests • Analysis of project performance may result in a change request to the cost baseline or other components of the project management plan 7.4.3.4 Project Management Plan Updates • Cost baseline. :in response to approved changes in scope, activity resources, or cost estimates. • Cost management plan. changes to control thresholds or specified levels of accuracy required 7.4.3.5 Project Documents Updates • Cost estimates, and Basis of estimates. 7.4.3.6 Organizational Process Assets Updates • Causes of variances, Corrective action chosen and the reasons, Financial databases, and Other types of lessons learned from project cost control.
  • 50. Earned Value Management (EVM) Reference Card EVM Terminology AC Actual Cost of Work Performed (Actual cost incurred for work accomplished during a given period) AUW Authorized Un-priced Work (Work contractually approved, but not yet negotiated) BAC Budget At Completion (Total planned value for the project) PV Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled (Planned Value - budget assigned to the planned scheduled work to be accomplished) EV Budgeted Cost for Work Performed (Earned Value - budget value for the physical work accomplished) CA Control Account (Management control point to plan and control scope, schedule, and budget) CBB Contract Budget Baseline (Total negotiated cost plus AUW) EAC Estimate At Completion (Expected total cost of the project when the scope of work will be completed) ETC Estimate To Complete (Expected cost needed to complete all remaining work) MR Management Reserve (Budget withheld for unknowns / risk management) NCC Negotiated Contract Cost (Contract price minus profit or fees or project value for in-house work) OTB Over Target Baseline (Sum of CBB and recognized overrun) PBB Project Budget Baseline (Same as CBB for in-house projects) PMB Performance Measurement Baseline (Time-phased budget plan) PP Planning Package (Far term effort within a CA not yet defined into WPs) TAB Total Allocated Budget (Sum of all budgets for work on contract = NCC, CBB/PBB, or OTB) TCPI To Complete Performance Index (Efficiency needed from ‘status date’ to achieve an EAC or BAC) UB Undistributed Budget (Broadly defined effort not distributed into CAs) WP Work Package (Near term effort detailed planned within a CA) Revised May 2012 EDITTED BY OMER ALSAYED For NASA in-house programs/projects and contract policies and requirements for the application of EVM, please refer to the NASA EVM Website: http://evm.nasa.gov. Performance Indices: (Favorable is > 1.0, Unfavorable is < 1.0) Cost Performance Index (Efficiency): CPI = EV / AC Schedule Performance Index (Efficiency): SPI = EV / PV To Complete Performance Index (TCPI) TCPIEAC = Work Remaining / Cost Remaining = (BAC – EVCum) / (EAC – ACCum) TCPIBAC = Work Remaining / Budget Remaining = (BAC – EVCum) / (BAC – ACCum) Status Percentage % Complete = EVCum / BAC x 100 % Spent = ACCum / BAC x 100 % Schedule = PVCum / BAC x 100 CV SV Actual Costs (AC) Earned Value (EV) Planned Value (PV) $ EAC Time Now Performance Measurement Baseline (PMB) BAC Time Management Reserve (MR) TAB (CBB or PBB) Projected Slippage VAC ETC Variances: (Favorable is Positive, Unfavorable is Negative) Cost Variance (CV): CV = EV – AC CV% = CV / EV x 100 Schedule Variance (SV): SV = EV – PV SV% = SV / PV x 100 Variance at Completion (VAC): VAC = BAC – EAC VAC% = VAC / BAC x 100 UB WPs PPs CAs PMB MR CBB Fee/Profit (no Project analogy) Contract Price (Project Price) AUW OTB TAB PBB NASA Contract / Project Hierarchy NCC Plus Overrun Estimate at Completion (EAC) = AC + ETC EAC = Actuals to Date + Work Remaining / Performance Factor EACComposite = ACCum + (BAC – EVCum) / (CPICum x SPICum) EACCPI = BAC / CPICum Common EAC Calculations