10. Scenario Land Geographies & Data
House
-
hold Neighborhoo
Floor Building
d
Job boundary • Municipality
•
Parcel Census
Unincorporated
units
• County
• Subregion
Job Land TAZ • Region
11. Scenario
Transportation
Geographies
Neighborhood-scale
prerequisite:
walk, bike, transit, auto
networks
12. Built Environment Components (abbreviated list)
• Site/building features, land-use types, place types.
• Multi-modal circulation networks: walk, bike, transit, auto; and parking.
• User-defined metrics for evaluating scenario performance & ranking
scenarios by goal achievement.
• Existing conditions SWOT analysis: Strengths, Weaknesses,
Opportunities, Threats – informs goal setting & scenario assembly.
• ‘Susceptibility to change’ screening: spatial focus.
• Real estate development feasibility; infrastructure assessment;
sustainability evaluation.
13. Scenario Planning Tools
Land-use Transportation
INDEX Travel demand/traffic impact models
CommunityViz F&P Quick Response Tools
ET LEED-ND Connections Tool
SmartPlan MIT Urban Network Toolbox
SIMM OpenTripPlanner
RapidFire/Uftprint Real estate development
LUCIS Argus Developer
What If UrbanSim
Landscape/ecology Pencil Out
I-Tree Procedural 3D visualization
Vista UrbanVision (w/ dynamic transp)
CityGreen CityEngine
20. Sustainability Scenarios at a Neighborhood-Scale
• EarthCraft Communities
• Enterprise Green Communities
• Envision Infrastructure
Neighborhood/ • Great Neighborhoods
community rating • GreenLITES
systems: • GreenTRIP
- Expert vetted. • LEED for Neighborhood Development
- Menus of measures. • SITES
- Assemble local packages/
• STAR Community Index
scenarios.
- Iterate/evaluate.
- Calif: SB 375 SCS.
21. LEED-ND Scenarios:
Dial-In Silver to Platinum
• Density
• Use mix
• Jobs/housing balance
• Housing diversity/affordability
• Pedestrian network
• Bicycle network
• Transit service
• Street network
• Building form & function
• Visitability & universal design
• Green building performance
• Site disturbance
• Climate integration
• Infrastructure efficiency
22. LEED-ND Low Carbon Totals
63
ND Points
Gold
Certificatio
n
&
30% CO2
Reduction
12,000
CO2 lbs/capita/
year
avoided
25. Cool New Tools for
• Portland Metro Context Scenarios
• City of Portland PDX BikeShare
• US EPA Smart Location Database & Impervious Surface Growth Model
• US EDA Triple Bottom Line Tool (beta now open)
• USGBC RegGIS
45. Scenario Planning Going Forward
• More web software/mobile apps, less desktop/expert based.
• Open source GIS overtakes ESRI in innovation/local markets.
• BIM (bldg info models) linked dynamically with GIS/visualization tools
and analytics.
• Greater availability of more reliable national datasets at smaller scales.
• Hyper feedback from engagement tools/social media; too much of a
good thing?
• Expanded use of scenarios, especially short term problem solving,
leads to greater uptake by practitioners/citizens.