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by Martin Kushler, Ph.D. Senior Fellow  American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy INSPIRING MUNICIPAL UTILITIES  TO MAXIMIZE ENERGY EFFICIENCY…  AS A SYSTEM RESOURCE,AND  LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
TOPICS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PART 1 RATIONALE FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY AS A UTILITY SYSTEM RESOURCE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
KEY POINT #1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cost of New Electricity Resources Source: Lazard 2008 for NARUC (midpoint of range)
 
WHAT IS AN  “ ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAM ”  ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
UTILITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS HAVE BEEN SHOWN TO BE VERY COST-EFFECTIVE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ENERGY EFFICIENCY ON A  “ POWER PLANT ”  SCALE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST  (ID, MT, OR, WA) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5 th  NW Plan Relied on Conservation and Renewable   Resources to Meet All Load Growth Thru 2016 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Year Installed Capacity (MW or aMW) Conservation (aMW) Wind (MW) DR (MW) SCGTurbine (MW) CCGTurbine (MW) Coal (ICG) (MW)
The Region Has Exceeded the 5 th  Plan’s Energy Efficiency Targets Every Year
Utility Acquired Energy Efficiency Has Been A   BARGAIN!
Avoided Costs Are Now Forecast to Be Significantly Higher
Draft 6 th  Plan Goal:  Meet 85% of Load Growth with Conservation
Pacific NW  6 th  Plan Resource Portfolio (2010)
The Pacific Northwest provides  a great example of what is possible…. ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Coal: 10  cents/ kWh + carbon nat gas 8-9 cents/ kWh   or 8-9 cents/ for  purch. power ,[object Object]
Energy Efficiency 3 cents/ kWh  (no carbon) Wind 7-8 cents/ kWh  (no carbon) A little gas or purch. power ,[object Object]
MI 21 ST  CENTURY PLAN CONCLUSIONS ,[object Object],[object Object]
IF THE MPSC 21 ST  CENTURY PLAN ANALYSIS WAS REPEATED NOW: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
NEW COAL PLANTS ARE VERY COSTLY  TO RATEPAYERS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ENERGY EFFICIENCY vs. RENEWABLE ENERGY:  POLICY IMPACTS ON ELECTRIC SYSTEM COSTS [Source: Next Energy & EOS study for MDEQ, 2007] -8% -7% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Difference from Base Case  EE1 EE2 RPS1 RPS2 RPS1-EE1 RPS2-EE2
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
A BIT OF HISTORY:  MICHIGAN WAS ONCE A LEADER IN ENERGY EFFICIENCY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MICHIGAN’S “LOST DECADE” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy Efficiency Resource Standards HI: 4,300 GWh  by 2030 20% of load growth by 2010 11.5% by 2020  10% of 2005 sales by 2020 1.5% annual by 2010 >2%% annual  by 2015 VT: 2.0% annual now MA: 2.4% annually by 2012 CT: 1.5%/yr now 22 States –February 2010 DC: 20% by 2020 DE: 15% by 2015 ~10%  by 2025 VA: 10% by 2020 2%  annual by  2015 1.5% annual (post-2010) >1% annual by  2012 1% annual.  By 2011 4% by 2020 0.6% annually 2% annual by 2019 1.0% annual by2012 Standard Voluntary Goal Pending Standard or Goal Combined RES/EERS MD: 15% by 2015 (relative to 2007 sales) 20% of 2005 sales by 2020 2% annual   by  2019
Cumulative Electricity Savings of State EERS Policies Extrapolated to 2020 *Savings beginning in 2009 extrapolated out to 2020 based on final year of annual savings required  Note: Assumptions and methodology detailed in full report State Cumulative 2020 Target State Cumulative 2020 Target Vermont* 27.00% Wisconsin* 13.50% Maryland* 26.70% Maine* 13.40% New York* 26.50% Connecticut* 13.14% Massachusetts 26.10% California 12.94% Rhode Island* 25.26% Ohio 12.13% Arizona 22.00% Michigan 10.55% Illinois 18.00% Oregon* 10.40% Hawaii* 18.00% Pennsylvania* 9.98% Washington 17.24% New Mexico 8.06% Minnesota 16.50% Arkansas* 6.75% Iowa* 16.10% Texas 4.60% Delaware 15.00% Florida 4.06% Colorado 14.93% Nevada 3.76% Indiana 13.81% North Carolina 2.92%
Results of ACEEE EERS “Progress Report”
AN EXCELLENT MUNICIPAL UTILITY EXAMPLE
BURLINGTON ELECTRIC DEPARTMENT BURLINGTON, VERMONT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ENERGY EFFICIENCY AT BURLINGTON ELECTRIC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ENERGY EFFICIENCY  RESULTS  AT BURLINGTON ELECTRIC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ENERGY EFFICIENCY AS A RESOURCE AT BURLINGTON ELECTRIC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
.                                                
 
PART 2 THE CASE FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY  AS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WHY DOES ALL THIS MATTER????
UNDERSTANDING THE ECONOMIC PROBLEM  KEY POINT #2:  ENERGY COSTS ARE A HUGE DOLLAR DRAIN
THE MICHIGAN EXAMPLE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Total Michigan Taxes vs. Michigan Energy Costs 2000 vs. 2008
COST OF MICHIGAN ’ S ENERGY IMPORTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Burden on Michigan Homes and Businesses: Taxes vs. Energy Costs (2008)
SOME ROUGH DATA FOR HOLLAND ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EFFECTS ON HOUSEHOLDS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EFFECTS ON THE STATE ECONOMY ,[object Object],[object Object]
KEY POINT #3: MICHIGAN’S FUTURE IS  NOT  IN FOSSIL FUELS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MICHIGAN (and Holland) SHOULD EMPHASIZE: ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE ECONOMIC “TRIPLE PLAY” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
HOW  LOCAL COMMUNITIES  BENEFIT FROM UTILITY SECTOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
As a matter of economic policy, cities should be trying to  maximize  the amount of energy efficiency resources they can acquire,  …  and  minimize  the amount of additional fuel imports needed
FROM THE BURLINGTON 2010 EE ANNUAL REPORT: Energy efficiency expenditures are made almost entirely locally, typically in the form of professional services, skilled trades employment, and equipment purchases. Not only is the value of the City ’ s building and energy-using equipment improved, but locally-retained dollars are  “ multiplied ”  many times over by subsequent consumer spending.  Absent these energy efficiency expenditures, these funds would have gone towards the purchase of electricity and enhanced infrastructure to satisfy increased demands on the City ’ s electrical system. Most of these dollars would have been exported out of state, and many out of the country.  Energy Efficiency is a win-win situation for the city of Burlington through increased local economic activity, and through the avoidance of increasingly costly electricity purchases, their associated infrastructure growth and capital expenses, and their environmental impacts.
CONCLUSIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SOME SOURCES FOR EXCELLENT EE PROGRAMS  FROM AROUND THE U.S. Compendium of Champions: Chronicling Exemplary Energy Efficiency Programs from Across the U.S.   York, Kushler & Witte, ACEEE, 2008 http://www.aceee.org/research-report/u081 [Presents the results of a national search for exemplary utility-sector energy efficiency programs. A detailed appendix includes summary profiles of a total of 90 programs across 20 different program categories.] Energy Efficiency and Electric System Reliability: A Look at Reliability-Focused Energy Efficiency Programs Used to Help Address the Electricity Crisis of 2001   Kushler, Vine and York, ACEEE, 2002.  http://aceee.org/research-report/u021 [22 “case studies” of successful examples of “reliability-focused energy efficiency programs”]

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Maximizing Energy Efficiency as a Utility Resource and Local Economic Strategy

  • 1. by Martin Kushler, Ph.D. Senior Fellow American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy INSPIRING MUNICIPAL UTILITIES TO MAXIMIZE ENERGY EFFICIENCY… AS A SYSTEM RESOURCE,AND LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
  • 2.
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  • 5. Cost of New Electricity Resources Source: Lazard 2008 for NARUC (midpoint of range)
  • 6.  
  • 7.
  • 8.
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  • 10.
  • 11. 5 th NW Plan Relied on Conservation and Renewable Resources to Meet All Load Growth Thru 2016 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Year Installed Capacity (MW or aMW) Conservation (aMW) Wind (MW) DR (MW) SCGTurbine (MW) CCGTurbine (MW) Coal (ICG) (MW)
  • 12. The Region Has Exceeded the 5 th Plan’s Energy Efficiency Targets Every Year
  • 13. Utility Acquired Energy Efficiency Has Been A BARGAIN!
  • 14. Avoided Costs Are Now Forecast to Be Significantly Higher
  • 15. Draft 6 th Plan Goal: Meet 85% of Load Growth with Conservation
  • 16. Pacific NW 6 th Plan Resource Portfolio (2010)
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. ENERGY EFFICIENCY vs. RENEWABLE ENERGY: POLICY IMPACTS ON ELECTRIC SYSTEM COSTS [Source: Next Energy & EOS study for MDEQ, 2007] -8% -7% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Difference from Base Case EE1 EE2 RPS1 RPS2 RPS1-EE1 RPS2-EE2
  • 25.
  • 26.
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  • 28.
  • 29. Energy Efficiency Resource Standards HI: 4,300 GWh by 2030 20% of load growth by 2010 11.5% by 2020 10% of 2005 sales by 2020 1.5% annual by 2010 >2%% annual by 2015 VT: 2.0% annual now MA: 2.4% annually by 2012 CT: 1.5%/yr now 22 States –February 2010 DC: 20% by 2020 DE: 15% by 2015 ~10% by 2025 VA: 10% by 2020 2% annual by 2015 1.5% annual (post-2010) >1% annual by 2012 1% annual. By 2011 4% by 2020 0.6% annually 2% annual by 2019 1.0% annual by2012 Standard Voluntary Goal Pending Standard or Goal Combined RES/EERS MD: 15% by 2015 (relative to 2007 sales) 20% of 2005 sales by 2020 2% annual by 2019
  • 30. Cumulative Electricity Savings of State EERS Policies Extrapolated to 2020 *Savings beginning in 2009 extrapolated out to 2020 based on final year of annual savings required Note: Assumptions and methodology detailed in full report State Cumulative 2020 Target State Cumulative 2020 Target Vermont* 27.00% Wisconsin* 13.50% Maryland* 26.70% Maine* 13.40% New York* 26.50% Connecticut* 13.14% Massachusetts 26.10% California 12.94% Rhode Island* 25.26% Ohio 12.13% Arizona 22.00% Michigan 10.55% Illinois 18.00% Oregon* 10.40% Hawaii* 18.00% Pennsylvania* 9.98% Washington 17.24% New Mexico 8.06% Minnesota 16.50% Arkansas* 6.75% Iowa* 16.10% Texas 4.60% Delaware 15.00% Florida 4.06% Colorado 14.93% Nevada 3.76% Indiana 13.81% North Carolina 2.92%
  • 31. Results of ACEEE EERS “Progress Report”
  • 32. AN EXCELLENT MUNICIPAL UTILITY EXAMPLE
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  • 37. .                                               
  • 38.  
  • 39. PART 2 THE CASE FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY AS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WHY DOES ALL THIS MATTER????
  • 40. UNDERSTANDING THE ECONOMIC PROBLEM KEY POINT #2: ENERGY COSTS ARE A HUGE DOLLAR DRAIN
  • 41.
  • 42. Total Michigan Taxes vs. Michigan Energy Costs 2000 vs. 2008
  • 43.
  • 44. Economic Burden on Michigan Homes and Businesses: Taxes vs. Energy Costs (2008)
  • 45.
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  • 55. As a matter of economic policy, cities should be trying to maximize the amount of energy efficiency resources they can acquire, … and minimize the amount of additional fuel imports needed
  • 56. FROM THE BURLINGTON 2010 EE ANNUAL REPORT: Energy efficiency expenditures are made almost entirely locally, typically in the form of professional services, skilled trades employment, and equipment purchases. Not only is the value of the City ’ s building and energy-using equipment improved, but locally-retained dollars are “ multiplied ” many times over by subsequent consumer spending. Absent these energy efficiency expenditures, these funds would have gone towards the purchase of electricity and enhanced infrastructure to satisfy increased demands on the City ’ s electrical system. Most of these dollars would have been exported out of state, and many out of the country. Energy Efficiency is a win-win situation for the city of Burlington through increased local economic activity, and through the avoidance of increasingly costly electricity purchases, their associated infrastructure growth and capital expenses, and their environmental impacts.
  • 57.
  • 58. SOME SOURCES FOR EXCELLENT EE PROGRAMS FROM AROUND THE U.S. Compendium of Champions: Chronicling Exemplary Energy Efficiency Programs from Across the U.S. York, Kushler & Witte, ACEEE, 2008 http://www.aceee.org/research-report/u081 [Presents the results of a national search for exemplary utility-sector energy efficiency programs. A detailed appendix includes summary profiles of a total of 90 programs across 20 different program categories.] Energy Efficiency and Electric System Reliability: A Look at Reliability-Focused Energy Efficiency Programs Used to Help Address the Electricity Crisis of 2001 Kushler, Vine and York, ACEEE, 2002. http://aceee.org/research-report/u021 [22 “case studies” of successful examples of “reliability-focused energy efficiency programs”]