My report on ASEAN COST (Committee on Science and Technology) Flagship Program on Early Warning Systems (EWS) Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) presented in Brunei, 30 November 2012

1. Implementation of FLAGSHIP PROGRAM in
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(EWS DRR)
presented by
Dr. Pariatmono Sukamdo
Ministry of Research and Technology
Republic of Indonesia
The 64th ASEAN Committee on Science and Technology (COST-64) Meetings
Empire Hotel and Country Club
Brunei, 27 November – 02 December 2012

2. Outline
1. Introduction – Historical Background, Implementation Plan
2. ASEAN – Indian Ocean Countries Training
Course on Earthquake Monitoring, Crustal Deformation, Seismic
Zoning Method and Tsunami Early Warning
3. ASEAN Workshop on Early Warning System
for Tsunami Disaster - Lesson Learned from Aceh
Tsunamigenic Earthquake in 11 April 2012 and Improvement of
School Preparedness
4. The Way Forward

3. 1. Introduction
Historical Background, Implementation Plan

4. Historical Background
Flagship program on Early Warning System for Disaster
Risk Reduction (EWS DRR)
• First initiation (August 2005): 11th ASEAN Ministerial
Meeting on Science and Technology (AMMST), Jakarta
• Endorsement (2007): ASEAN COST (Committee of
Science and Technology)
• as one of APAST (ASEAN Plan of Action in Science and
Technology) Flagship programs
• to be implemented in 2007-2011
• Appointed Indonesia as the chairman
• From the period of 2007-2010, Indonesia conducted
several workshop and trainings which relates to EWS DRR

5. Vision Statement
By 2015, there shall be, for all ASEAN countries, an established
and operational national monitoring systems for
1. earthquake,
2. tsunami,
3. tropical cyclone,
4. forest fire haze,
5. drought and
6. flood
that are interoperable / linked regionally for early warning

6. Goal Statement
Considering:
1. Potential overlap with ASEAN Agreement on Disaster Management and
Emergency Response (AADMER) [December 2009] in establishing ASEAN
Coordinating Center for Humanitarian Assistance on Disaster
Management (AHA Center)
2. the authority to develop early warning center (i.e. to warn people in affected
area) lies within each member states
Goal Statement:
To enhance the role of science and technology in establishing interoperable and
operational national early warning systems for earthquake, tsunami, tropical
cyclone, forest fire haze, drought and flood.

7. Split of Responsibilities
Considering:
1. Attention should only be
focused on disaster
which has regional
Impacts
2. Not all
member states
THAILAND
share the same 5. flood
threat with respect to
natural hazards PHILLIPINE
INDONESIA 6. tropical cyclone
1. earthquake,
Agreed in Bandung, 03-04 May 2011: 2. tsunami,
3. forest fire haze,
4. drought

8. Implementation Plan
ASEAN – Indian Ocean Countries Training Course on
Earthquake Monitoring, Crustal Deformation, Seismic Zoning Method and Tsunami Early Warning
#1: Workshop on Promoting the Role of December 2012 Disaster Mitigation
Citeko, West-Java, 19-30 Scientists in
#2:Workshop and Training on Seismic Data Exchange and
Warning Dissemination
#3:Workshop on Lesson Learned from Community Preparedness
during 11 April 2012 Twin Earthquakes
ASEAN Workshop on Early Warning System for Tsunami Disaster
Lesson Learned from Aceh Tsunamigenic Earthquake in 11 April 2012 and Improvement of School Preparedness
Banda Aceh, 21 – 23 November 2012

9. 2. ASEAN – Indian Ocean Countries Training
Course
on Earthquake Monitoring, Crustal Deformation, Seismic Zoning Method
and Tsunami Early Warning

10. Summary
Recommendations from:
Focuses:
1. Technical Task Force on
TEWS 1. Seismology
2. COST Meeting: Seam Reap 2. Analysis of earthquake
parameters using SeiscomP3
(2011) and Nay Pyi Daw
(Germany)
(2012)
Participants: Date:
ASEAN Member States 19 November – 1 December
Timor Leste 2012
Indian Ocean Countries
Venue:
Instructors: BMKG Training Center in
Citeko. Bogor
Indonesian and German
Experts BMKG Head Office, Jakarta

11. Programme (1)
1. Opening Session 2. Keynote Speeches
DAY 1: . Claus Milkereit – GFZ 3. Wave2012, Internation Cooperation,
. Alexander Lim – ASEAN Secretariat 4. Advanced Study Opportunities
Monday, 19 Nov 2012
. Sri Woro B. Harijono – BMKG 5. Geofon, Seismology in ASEAN, Last Mile
6. Aims and Fundamentals of Seismology
7. SeisComP3: Introduction and Playback Example DAY 2:
8. SeisComP3 Real Time Data Tuesday, 20 Nov 2012
9. Phase Interpretation and Methods of Event Location
DAY 3: 10. Seismological Instrumentation
Wednesday, 21 Nov 2012 11. SeisComP3 Playback Example / Demonstration
12. Integration of New Seismic Stations into SeisComP3 Real Time Data
13. Exercises
14. Seismic Hazard Assessment and Risk Estimation DAY 4:
15. Ground Shaking Site Effects Thursday, 22 Nov 2012
DAY 5: 16. Exercises on Instrumentation and Seismic Data Analysis
Friday, 23 Nov 2012 17. Strong Motion Data and Exercises

12. Programme (2)
18. Geodynamics and Subduction
DAY 6: 19. Earthquake and Surface Deformation
Monday, 26 Nov 2012 20. Tsunamis
21. Exercises on Tsunami Generation with Process Simulator
22. Basics of GPS
23. GPS Instrumentation DAY 7:
24. Tsunami Early Warning: Principles and Components Tuesday, 27 Nov 2012
25. Early Warning Infrastructure 28. Exercise on 11 April 2012
DAY 8: 26. Decision Support Systems 29. Source Mechanism as a Challenge for
Wednesday, 28 Nov 2012 27. Earthquake Monitoring and Tsunami Warning
Tsunami Warning 30. Warning Level
31. Exercises at BMKG Training Room DAY 9:
32. Seismic Hazard Assessment and Risk Estimation Thursday, 29Nov 2012
33. Instrumental Microzonation
DAY 10: 34. Introduction into Seismic Risk and Loss Assessment Method
Friday, 30 Nov 2012 35. Earthquake Microzonation in Jakarta

13. 12 cm/yr
5-6 cm/yr
Crustal
mo+ons
from
GPS
study
(Bock
et
al,
2004)

14. DEPTH

15. Aceh
2004
(11)
Aceh
2012(15)
Simeulue
2002
(9)
Aceh
2012(15)
Maluku
1998
(6)
Nias
2005
(12)
Manokwari,
2009
Madina
2006
(13)
(15)
Aceh
2012
(15)
Kerinci
1995
(4)
Biak,
1996
Padang
2007
(14)
(5)
Bengkulu
2000
(7)
Banggai
2000
(7)
Nabire
2004
(11)
Liwa
1994
Ransiki,
2003
Mentawai
2005
(12)
(3)
Yogyakarta
2006
(13)
(10)
P.
Buru
2006(13)
Nabire
2004
(11)
Majalengka
2001
(8)
Situbondo
2007
(14)
Mataram
2004
(11)
Alor,
2004
(11)
Pangandaran
2006
(13)
Alor
1991
(1)
Flores
1992
(2)
Banyuwangi
1994
(3)
NO
YEAR
LOCATION
1
1991
Alor
NO
YEAR
LOCATION
2
1992
Flores
9
2002
Simelue
3
1994
Banyuwangi,
Liwa
10
2003
Ransiki
Earthquake
:
33
x
>
1
/
year
4
1995
Kerinci
11
2004
Alor,
Aceh,
Nabire
ke-­‐1,
Nabire
Ke-­‐2,
Mataram.
Tsunami
:
14
x
∼
1
every
2
years
5
1996
Biak
12
2005
Nias,
Mentawai
6
1998
Maluku
13
2006
Jogyakarta,
Pangandaran
EARTHQUAKE
7
2000
Bengkulu,
Banggai
14
2007
Padang,
Situbondo
EARTHQUAKE
AND
TSUNAMI
8
2001
Majalengka
15
2012
Aceh
ke-­‐1,
Aceh
Ke-­‐2,

16. Indonesia Tsunami Early Warning System
• Formally launched by the
President of RI at 11 am, 11
November 2008
• InaTEWS should disseminate
tsunami Warning within 5
minutes after earthquake
• Version 2 began on 23 Maret
2012
• Last update June 2012

18. • Location : Sea ..?
2. Buo • Mag : > 6.5 RS..?
y Data
/ Conf • Depth : < 70km ?
irm
Satellite • Tsunami Potential !
1. Seismic
Data
TSUNAMI
BMG Center
3. Tide Sirene
Gauges Data
GPS SEISMIC
Buoy SENSOR
Tide gauge
SEA
Bottom
pressure
gauge ???
OPS
Tectonic Plate
Hindia Ocean Source : LIPI - Mod

19. 1 2 BUOY 23 1 2 160 1
SEISMO 2 ACCELERO 500 1 2 TIDE GAUGES80 1 2 GPS
40
COMM: IMARSAT VSAT VSAT GSM (?) VSAT VSAT (?)
BPPT BMKG BAKOSURTANAL
NC–Buoys NC – SEISMIC NC – ACCELERO NC – Tide Gauges NC – GPS
NC: National Centre
NC – InaTEWS (BMKG) Tsunami Data Base
DSS
INSTITUTIONS INTERFACE :
GSM PROVIDER INTERNET ELECTRONIC LOC.GOV
PROVIDER • BNPB MEDIA PROV. GOV
• MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS DISTRIC GOV
TV, RADIO,
• NATIONAL POLICE MEDIA ON LINE CITY GOV
USER • MILITARY
SOCIAL
CELLPHONE COMMUNITY • MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATION DISSEMINATION
NETWORK AND INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY
FACILITIES
Missing link ??
• LOCAL GOVERNMENT
• REGENCY LOCAL
GOVERNMENT

20. Palu
1 sirine
DIY East
1 sirine Java
1 sirens
Exis+ng
:
31
In
progress
:
3
20
Monopole antenna mast Steel tower construction

21. Mulai
November
2008
October 25,2010
September 2,2009 12 m Tsunami
80 cmTsunami
0:06 November 17,2008
10 cmTsunami
0:05
Waktu (hh:mm)
0:04
0:03 April 11, 2012
January3,2009 tsunami 1 m
35 cmTsunami
0:02
April 7,2010
40 cmTsunami
0:01
0:00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Jumlah Peringatan Tsunami
21

22. VERSI
-­‐
1
VERSI
-­‐
2
BERITA
(11
Nov
2008
-­‐
23
Maret
2012)
(Sejak
23
Maret
2012)
Informasi
Gempabumi
Parameter
gempabumi
dan
(parameter
gempabumi)
dan
Berita
1
Peringatan
Dini
Tsunami
di
area
Potensi
Tsunami
(berpotensi
yang
terancam.
menimbulkan
tsunami)
Pemutahiran
parameter
Berita
2
-­‐
gempabumi
dan
esmasi
waktu
ba
dan
ngkat
ancaman
Informasi
hasil
observasi
de
gauge,
buoy
dan
Pemutahiran
Berita
3
-­‐
status
ancaman
tsunami
di
area
terancam
(bisa
beberapa
kali)
Pernyataan
Peringatan
Dini
Pernyataan
Peringatan
Dini
Berita
4
Tsunami
berakhir
Tsunami
berakhir
22

23. Level of Tsunami Threat
Estimate Tsunami
Threat Level Reccomendation
height
AWAS (Major Local Government evacuates people
h ≥ 3 meter
Warning) comprehensively
SIAGA 0.5 meter < h < 3 Local government evacuate people
(Warning) meter lo
Local government directs the people
WASPADA
h < 0.5 meter to stay away and leave the coastal
(Advisory)
area.

24. 24

25. Message1
Warning Tsunami in
BENGKULU,LAMPUNG,NAD,SUMBAR,
SUMUT, EQ Mag:8.9, 11-Apr-12 08:38:29
UTC, Loc:2.31N,92.67E,Dep:10Km::BMKG

26. Message 2
Update Warning Tsunami in
NAD,SUMUT,SUMBAR,BENGKULU,
LAMPUNG, EQ Mag:8.5, 11-Apr-12
08:38:33 UTC, Loc:2.40N,92.99E,Dep:
10Km::BMKG

27. Message 3
Update Warning Tsunami cause EQ Mag:
8.3, 11-Apr-12 08:38:35 UTC, has detected
in SABANG (10:00 UTC) 0.06m,
MEULABOH(10:04 UTC) 0,8m::BMKG

28. Message 4
Tsunami Warning caused by EQ Mag:8.1,
11-Apr-12 10:43:11 UTC, end::BMKG

29. Message 1 Tsunami warning via email
29

30. 30

31. 31

32. Message 3 Tsunami Warning via email
32

33. 33

34. Message 4 Tsunami Warning via email
34

35. Tsunami Warning – Order to evacuate
Threat level Local government action
AWAS (Major
Warning)
SIAGA
(Warning)
WASPADA
(Advisory)

37. Heavy traffic jam in Banda Aceh for
evacuation
Sumber
:
VoA
37

38. BMG
Laut
KE ATAS BANGUN
KE ATAS BUKIT

39. 3. ASEAN Workshop on Early Warning System
for Tsunami Disaster
- Lesson Learned from Aceh Tsunamigenic Earthquake in 11 April 2012
and Improvement of School Preparedness

40. Recommendations
from:
COST Meeting:
Seam Reap (2011)
and Nay Pyi Daw
(2012)
Participants:
ASEAN Member States
(Thailand and Malaysia
only)
Instructors:
Indonesian Experts
Focuses: Date:
1. The Event of 11 21-23 November 2012
April 2012
2. Increasing Venue:
preparedness of Hermes Hotel, Banda
Aceh
School

41. Programme
1. Opening Session . Nada Marsudi – RISTEK 5. Real Condition of the Community
6. Communication Systems in Supporting
DAY 1: 2. Current Status of Indonesian Tsunami Early
Early Warning
Warning Systems
Wednesday, 21 Nov 2012 3. The Funding of Disaster Mitigation Activities 7. Community Preparedness
4. Earthquake and Tsunami Potentials
8. Preparedness of People at Schools
9. Disaster Risk Analysis DAY 2:
10. Developing SOP Thursday, 22 Nov 2012
11. Table Top Simulation
DAY 3: Excursion – Tsunami Evacuation Exercise at
Friday, 23 Nov 2012 Selected School

42. Subtansial Difference between Exercise with Reality
Tsunami Drill
Real Event
11 April 2012

43. Real Situation of 11 April 2012 in Banda Aceh
numbing
frustrated anxious
panic fear

44. 4. The Way Forward

45. Next Workshop
No Activities Objectives
1 Workshop on Promoting the Role of • Promoting the use of science and
Scientists in Disaster Mitigation technology in disaster management
activities
• Sharing experience in channeling the
research results into public policy
2 Workshop and Training on Seismic • Promoting collaboration among
Data Exchange and Warning ASEAN disaster experts and
Dissemination practitioners
Completed
• Develop data sharing policy for
ASEAN countries
• Bridging closer interaction with AHA
Center
3 Workshop on Lesson Learned from • Sharing experience in the use of
Community Preparedness during 11 social science and social engineering
April 2012 Twin Earthquakes • Identifying the importance of local
wisdom

46. Thank you very much
Terima kasih
Contact person: pariatmono@ristek.go.id