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Mass Housing Market Overview




Housing Sector:
Demand and Supply
Demand: 3.8M units over 6 years


                           HOUSING NEED, 2005-2010

                  Category                                         In Thousand Units
  Housing Backlog                                                             984,466
  - Doubled-Up Housing                                                        387,315
  - Replacement/Informal Settlers                                             588,853
  - Homeless                                                                    8,298
  Substandard (Upgrading)                                                     186,334
  New Households                                                            2,585,272

  Total                                                                   3,756,072
Source: The Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council (HUDCC)
Demand: 2.6M New Households

                           HOUSING NEED, 2005-2010
                Category                              In Thousand Units
Housing Backlog                                                            984,466
- Doubled-Up Housing                                                       387,315
- Replacement/Informal Settlers                                            588,853
- Homeless                                                                   8,298
Substandard(Upgrading)                                                     186,334
New Households                                                           2,585,272   Or 431K
                                                                                     units/year
Total                                                                3,756,072

Source: The Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council (HUDCC)
Affordability: Affects actual demand


                     10                                             7.5
                                  5.2                              (42%)
MILLION FAMILIES




                       8
                               (29% of
                              population)
                       6
                                                    3.7
                       4                           (21%)

                       2
                                                                                      1.2              0.1
                                                                                      (7%)            (<1%)
                       0
                              Can't          Socialized A ffordable Mid-Income High-End
                              A fford


                    •29% of the population cannot even afford to buy socialized housing
                    unit worth Php. 300,000

                   Source: National Statistics Office, Colliers International research (2006 statistics)
What can the market absorb?


431 k units needed by new households per year
X 71% that can afford to buy

= 306K units can be absorbed annually
Supply: 52% of Mass housing Market Demand
Focus: socialized, affordable & middle-income housing
           Socialized                   Affordable             Middle-Income




Price Points: for a house and lot
  Php 300K set by Pag-IBIG;
  recently raised to Php 400K)      Up to Php. 1.5 Million   Up to Php. 4 Million
Housing types and qualified families

                   10
                                                42%
                    8
MILLION FAMILIES




                         29% of
                    6    population
                                      21%
                    4

                    2                                      7%
                                                                    <1%
                    0
                        Can't     Socialized Affordable Mid-Income High-End
                        Afford                70%


                                        TARGET MARKET
How affordable is mass housing?

              Socialized Housing
              •   Monthly amortization of Php 1,800
              •   Price ceiling at P300,00(recently
                  increased to P400,000)
              •   Interest rate at 6% per annum
              •   Term of 30 years
Growth Driver: Low interest rates providing affordable
                                         housing packages


        NEW HDMF(PAG-IBIG) LOAN PACKAGES
                                              Monthly        Monthly
Loan Amount   Old Interest   New Interest   Amortization   Amortization
  (Pesos)        Rate           Rate        for Old Rate   for New Rate
                                               (Pesos)        (Pesos)
 400,000          7%             6%          2,661.21       2,398.20

 750,000          7%             7%          4,989.77       4,989.77

 1,000,000      10.5%           8.5%         9,147.39       7,689.13

 1,250,000      10.5%           9.5%        11,434.24       10,510.68

 2,000,000      10.5%          10.5%        18,294.79       18,294.79

 3,000,000       N/A           11.5%           N/A          29,708.74
                                                           Source: HDMF

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Housing Backlog

  • 1. Mass Housing Market Overview Housing Sector: Demand and Supply
  • 2. Demand: 3.8M units over 6 years HOUSING NEED, 2005-2010 Category In Thousand Units Housing Backlog 984,466 - Doubled-Up Housing 387,315 - Replacement/Informal Settlers 588,853 - Homeless 8,298 Substandard (Upgrading) 186,334 New Households 2,585,272 Total 3,756,072 Source: The Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council (HUDCC)
  • 3. Demand: 2.6M New Households HOUSING NEED, 2005-2010 Category In Thousand Units Housing Backlog 984,466 - Doubled-Up Housing 387,315 - Replacement/Informal Settlers 588,853 - Homeless 8,298 Substandard(Upgrading) 186,334 New Households 2,585,272 Or 431K units/year Total 3,756,072 Source: The Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council (HUDCC)
  • 4. Affordability: Affects actual demand 10 7.5 5.2 (42%) MILLION FAMILIES 8 (29% of population) 6 3.7 4 (21%) 2 1.2 0.1 (7%) (<1%) 0 Can't Socialized A ffordable Mid-Income High-End A fford •29% of the population cannot even afford to buy socialized housing unit worth Php. 300,000 Source: National Statistics Office, Colliers International research (2006 statistics)
  • 5. What can the market absorb? 431 k units needed by new households per year X 71% that can afford to buy = 306K units can be absorbed annually
  • 6. Supply: 52% of Mass housing Market Demand
  • 7. Focus: socialized, affordable & middle-income housing Socialized Affordable Middle-Income Price Points: for a house and lot Php 300K set by Pag-IBIG; recently raised to Php 400K) Up to Php. 1.5 Million Up to Php. 4 Million
  • 8. Housing types and qualified families 10 42% 8 MILLION FAMILIES 29% of 6 population 21% 4 2 7% <1% 0 Can't Socialized Affordable Mid-Income High-End Afford 70% TARGET MARKET
  • 9. How affordable is mass housing? Socialized Housing • Monthly amortization of Php 1,800 • Price ceiling at P300,00(recently increased to P400,000) • Interest rate at 6% per annum • Term of 30 years
  • 10. Growth Driver: Low interest rates providing affordable housing packages NEW HDMF(PAG-IBIG) LOAN PACKAGES Monthly Monthly Loan Amount Old Interest New Interest Amortization Amortization (Pesos) Rate Rate for Old Rate for New Rate (Pesos) (Pesos) 400,000 7% 6% 2,661.21 2,398.20 750,000 7% 7% 4,989.77 4,989.77 1,000,000 10.5% 8.5% 9,147.39 7,689.13 1,250,000 10.5% 9.5% 11,434.24 10,510.68 2,000,000 10.5% 10.5% 18,294.79 18,294.79 3,000,000 N/A 11.5% N/A 29,708.74 Source: HDMF