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Per Olof Arnäs
Logistikforskare, Chalmers
!
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
@Dr_PO
logistikfokus.se
Om framtidens
transporter enligt 14- och
44-åringar, samt om ett
brev som gjorde skillnad
"book-tower-experts illustration" by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Vilka uppgifter har
universiteten egentligen?
"book-tower-experts illustration" by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY)
Uppgift 1:
Skapa ny kunskap
Bild: J-O Axell
Uppgift 2: Förmedla kunskap
Uppgift 3: Samverkan
med samhället
I högskolornas uppgift ska ingå att samverka med det omgivande
samhället och informera om sin verksamhet samt verka för att
forskningsresultat tillkomna vid högskolan kommer till nytta.
!
- Högskolelagen, Lag 2009:45 Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
Framtidens transporter
Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
Framtidens transporter
Tävling för
årskurs 7-8
Bygg och
presentera en
modell
Partners
10 000 kr
+ en övernattning i hajtunneln!
Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
30 klasser Framtidsdag
Utställning
Rådslag
Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
Vinnarna
Nordlyckeskolan 8A
Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
Men…
Vad tror jag om
framtidens
transporter, då?
Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr
Development of transportation
technology has been
fairly linear
…for the last 5500 years
We are in the middle of a gigantic
exponential development curve
beginning
A new global eco system
where new types of,
knowledge based,
industries compete with
traditional ones
http://jaysimons.deviantart.com/art/Map-of-the-Internet-1-0-427143215
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Startups compete with airlines by
inventing videoconferencing.
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Increasing freight transport demand
http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/freight-transport-activity-growth-for-eu-25
EU-25
Business
processes
Infra-	

structure
Paperbased
Phone

Papers
Road
signs
A
nalogue
tools
R
D
S
M
onitorfuel
cosnum
ption
Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
E-mail
Fax
TMS-
systems
Excel
Route
planning
G
PS
fornavigation
Electronically
generated
freightdocum
ents
Barcodes
RFID-tags
Simple order handling
Advanced order
handling
Open interface
W
eb
based
UI
Platform
based
system
s
Hardware-
oriented
Datacollection
systems
(proprietary)
Communicationwith
vehicles
E-invoice
W
eb
based
booking
Route
optimisation
Thesocialweb
Openconnectivity
Integrated
prognosis
Data
collection
system
s (open)
Tolling
system
s
Webservices with
traffic data
Dynamic
routing
systems
Performance
BasedaccessPerformanceBasedaccess
Mashups

Multipledata
sources
Probedata
Individual
routing
inform
ation
Platooning
Platooning
Exceptions
handling
Smartgoods
Manual
Computers
Software
Functions
Distributed
decision
making
G
oods
as
bi-
directional
hyperlink
Paperbased
CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers
Goods Vehicle
Barcodes	
  
RFID	
  
Sensors
ERP systems	
  
TMS systems	
  
E-invoices	
  
Cloudbased
services
Order handling	
  
Driver support	
  
Vehicle
economics
RDS-TMC	
  
Road taxes	
  
Active traffic
support
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515
Source: Gartner August 2013
Augmenting
humans with
technology
Machines
replacing
humans
Humans and
machines
working
alongside each
other
Machines
better
understanding
humans and the
environment
Humans better
understanding
machines
Machines and
humans
becoming
smarter
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515
Source: Gartner August 2013
?
Transportation/
logistics?
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515
Source: Gartner August 2013
Opportunities!
Digitization
New
technology
Political
interest
Quad Aces by fitzsean on Flickr
Increasinggoods volumes
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Speculative
shipping
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
Speculative
shipping Package item(s) as a package for
eventual shipment to a delivery address
Associate unique ID with package
Select destination geographic area for
package
Ship package to selected distribution
geographic area without completely
specifying delivery address
Orders
satisfied by item(s)
received?
Package
redirected?
Determine package location
Convey delivery address, package ID to
delivery location
Assign delivery address to package
Deliver package to delivery address
Convey indication of new destination
geographic area and package ID to
current location
Yes
Yes
No
No
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive
Time horizons
We are approaching
this boundary
…and we are
starting to
move past it!
Real-time!
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
3 mountaintops to climb…
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Cross-disciplinary
Cross-industries
Cross-borders
Someone must do the work
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Brevet (som gjorde skillnad)
Brevet (som gjorde skillnad)
Hej! Förlåt om jag stör men jag tänkte bara på det om
Chalmers, om det finns någon möjlighet att bara kika in. Jag
skulle tycka att det skulle vara otroligt kul att möjligtvis lära
mer, jag älskar verkligen tekniska lösningar, no, ma m.m.
Förstår verkligen om det inte är möjligt men tack på förhand
ändå :) // Josefine
Dagen efter besöket kom
ytterligare ett mejl:


”Jag vet absolut vilket universitet
jag ska välja, i framtiden!!!”
"book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
"book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
How can
we help?
"book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
How can
we help?
Per Olof Arnäs
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
@Dr_PO
logistikfokus.se
Om framtidens
transporter enligt 14-
och 44-åringar, samt
om ett brev som gjorde
skillnad

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Om framtidens transporter enligt 14- och 44-åringar, samt om ett brev som gjorde skillnad

  • 1. Per Olof Arnäs Logistikforskare, Chalmers ! per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se @Dr_PO logistikfokus.se Om framtidens transporter enligt 14- och 44-åringar, samt om ett brev som gjorde skillnad "book-tower-experts illustration" by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 2. Vilka uppgifter har universiteten egentligen? "book-tower-experts illustration" by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 3. not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY) Uppgift 1: Skapa ny kunskap
  • 4. Bild: J-O Axell Uppgift 2: Förmedla kunskap
  • 5. Uppgift 3: Samverkan med samhället I högskolornas uppgift ska ingå att samverka med det omgivande samhället och informera om sin verksamhet samt verka för att forskningsresultat tillkomna vid högskolan kommer till nytta. ! - Högskolelagen, Lag 2009:45 Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
  • 7. Framtidens transporter Tävling för årskurs 7-8 Bygg och presentera en modell Partners 10 000 kr + en övernattning i hajtunneln! Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers
  • 12.
  • 13. Men… Vad tror jag om framtidens transporter, då?
  • 14. Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr Development of transportation technology has been fairly linear …for the last 5500 years
  • 15. We are in the middle of a gigantic exponential development curve beginning
  • 16. A new global eco system where new types of, knowledge based, industries compete with traditional ones http://jaysimons.deviantart.com/art/Map-of-the-Internet-1-0-427143215
  • 17. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 18. Startups compete with airlines by inventing videoconferencing. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 19. Increasing freight transport demand http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/freight-transport-activity-growth-for-eu-25 EU-25
  • 20. Business processes Infra- structure Paperbased Phone
 Papers Road signs A nalogue tools R D S M onitorfuel cosnum ption Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 E-mail Fax TMS- systems Excel Route planning G PS fornavigation Electronically generated freightdocum ents Barcodes RFID-tags Simple order handling Advanced order handling Open interface W eb based UI Platform based system s Hardware- oriented Datacollection systems (proprietary) Communicationwith vehicles E-invoice W eb based booking Route optimisation Thesocialweb Openconnectivity Integrated prognosis Data collection system s (open) Tolling system s Webservices with traffic data Dynamic routing systems Performance BasedaccessPerformanceBasedaccess Mashups
 Multipledata sources Probedata Individual routing inform ation Platooning Platooning Exceptions handling Smartgoods Manual Computers Software Functions Distributed decision making G oods as bi- directional hyperlink Paperbased CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers Goods Vehicle Barcodes   RFID   Sensors ERP systems   TMS systems   E-invoices   Cloudbased services Order handling   Driver support   Vehicle economics RDS-TMC   Road taxes   Active traffic support
  • 21.
  • 22. http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515 Source: Gartner August 2013 Augmenting humans with technology Machines replacing humans Humans and machines working alongside each other Machines better understanding humans and the environment Humans better understanding machines Machines and humans becoming smarter Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
  • 23. Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515 Source: Gartner August 2013
  • 24. ? Transportation/ logistics? Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515 Source: Gartner August 2013
  • 26. smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA) Speculative shipping http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
  • 27. http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767 Speculative shipping Package item(s) as a package for eventual shipment to a delivery address Associate unique ID with package Select destination geographic area for package Ship package to selected distribution geographic area without completely specifying delivery address Orders satisfied by item(s) received? Package redirected? Determine package location Convey delivery address, package ID to delivery location Assign delivery address to package Deliver package to delivery address Convey indication of new destination geographic area and package ID to current location Yes Yes No No smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 28. Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive Time horizons We are approaching this boundary …and we are starting to move past it! Real-time!
  • 29. En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) 3 mountaintops to climb…
  • 30. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Cross-disciplinary Cross-industries Cross-borders
  • 31. Someone must do the work The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 32. Brevet (som gjorde skillnad)
  • 33. Brevet (som gjorde skillnad) Hej! Förlåt om jag stör men jag tänkte bara på det om Chalmers, om det finns någon möjlighet att bara kika in. Jag skulle tycka att det skulle vara otroligt kul att möjligtvis lära mer, jag älskar verkligen tekniska lösningar, no, ma m.m. Förstår verkligen om det inte är möjligt men tack på förhand ändå :) // Josefine
  • 34.
  • 35. Dagen efter besöket kom ytterligare ett mejl: 
 ”Jag vet absolut vilket universitet jag ska välja, i framtiden!!!”
  • 36. "book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 37. "book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) How can we help?
  • 38. "book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) How can we help? Per Olof Arnäs per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se @Dr_PO logistikfokus.se Om framtidens transporter enligt 14- och 44-åringar, samt om ett brev som gjorde skillnad