10. Money Supply, Money Demand, and Monetary Equilibrium Money demand has several determinants, including interest rates and the average level of prices in the economy.
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12. Money Supply, Money Demand, and Monetary Equilibrium In the long run, the overall level of prices adjusts to the level at which the demand for money equals the supply.
13. Money Supply, Money Demand, and the Equilibrium Price Level A Money supply 0 1 (Low) (High) (High) (Low) 1/2 1/4 3/4 1 1.33 2 4 Money demand Quantity fixed by the CB Quantity of Money Value of Money (1/P) Price Level (P) Equilibrium value of money Equilibrium price level
14. The Effects of Monetary Injection A MS 1 0 1 (Low) (High) (High) (Low) 1/2 1/4 3/4 1 1.33 2 4 Money demand M 1 Quantity of Money Value of Money (1/P) Price Level (P) MS 2 1. An increase in the money supply... 2. ...decreases the value of money ... 3. …and increases the price level M 2 B
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16. Velocity and the Quantity Equation The velocity of money refers to the speed at which the typical dollar bill travels around the economy from wallet to wallet.
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19. Velocity and the Quantity Equation The quantity equation relates the quantity of money ( M ) to the nominal value of output ( P x Y ).
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21. Indexes (1960 = 100) 1,500 1,000 500 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Nominal GDP, the Quantity of Money, and the Velocity of Money Nominal GDP M2 Velocity
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23. Money and Prices During Four Hyperinflations (b) Hungary Money supply 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 Price level 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 Index (Jan. 1921 = 100) (a) Austria 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 Index (Jan. 1921 = 100) Price level Money supply
24. Money and Prices During Four Hyperinflations c) Germany 1 100 trillion 1 million 10 billion 1 trillion 100 million 10,000 100 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 Price level Money supply d) Poland Money supply Price level Index (Jan. 1921 = 100) 100 10 million 100,000 1 million 10,000 1,000 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 Index (Jan. 1921 = 100)
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26. 0 6 10 15 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 The Nominal Interest Rate and the Inflation Rate 3 12 Percent (per year) Inflation Nominal interest rate
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28. Dissent on Keynes, Then and Now Is the market the source of macroeconomic instability? Roger W. Garrison 2009
29. Friedrich A. Hayek took issue with the structure of Keynes’s analytical framework: 1. Can we actually ignore the effects of changes in the interest rate in our accounting for the saving behavior of income-earners and the investment decisions of entrepreneurs? 2. In there an identifiable market process that can translate decisions to save into decisions to produce for the future. 3. How is economic stability affected by the overriding of market interest rates with interest rates imposed by policy makers?
39. Despondency Dorothea Lange's "Migrant Mother," destitute in a pea picker's camp, because of the failure of the early pea crop. These people had just sold their tent in order to buy food. Most of the 2,500 people in this camp were destitute. By the end of the decade there were still 4 million migrants on the road.
40. The phenomenon of bust and depression was observed and argued about long before the Great Depression and long before Keynes wrote his General Theory . A fully satisfying explanation requires that we consider the phenomenon of boom, bust, and depression. But sorting out the differences between Milton Friedman and Maynard Keynes can be achieved with the narrower focus, i.e., bust and depression.
41. This focus suggests two questions in need of an answer: 1. What caused the bust? What was the triggering mechanism? What change in market conditions required adjustments of some kind on an economywide scale? 2. Why did it take so long for markets to adjust to the changed market conditions? If prices, wages, and interest rates needed to adjust, why didn’t they adjust?
42. 2. Why did it take so long for markets to adjust to the changed market conditions? If prices, wages, and interest rates needed to adjust, why didn’t they adjust? The adjustment of prices and wages did actually get underway. Prices started falling; wages started falling. People and their political leaders associated low prices and wages with bad times and high prices and wages with good times.
50. New Deal-era promo for the NRA (National Recovery Administration). Producer: Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Featuring: Jimmy Durante Click the “Blue Eagle” for the 2 min. 49 sec. video.
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52. Printing Money and Spending it. The Equation of Exchange And the Quantity Theory of Money
53. Pepe Smith earns a lot of money. Bill Gates has a lot of money. It’s better to buy a house when money is cheap. I need to cash a check to get some money. Money facilitates the exchange of goods and services.
54. Pepe Smith earns a lot of money. Bill Gates has a lot of money. It’s better to buy a house when money is cheap. I need to cash a check to get some money. Money facilitates the exchange of goods and services. CURRENCY CREDIT MONEY INCOME WEALTH
55. MV = PQ M is the money supply (outside the banking system). V is money’s velocity of circulation. P is the price level. Q is the economy’s output. PQ is total expenditures (E).
56. MV = PQ This is the “Equation of Exchange.” No economist, dead or living, has ever denied that MV actually does equal PQ. V = PQ/M
57. Y=MV=PQ=E E is total expenditures (PQ) Y is total income = nominal GDP Q is real income = real GDP = Y/P Case, Fair, and Oster use Y for real income. Friedman used a lower-case y for real income. Hence: Q = CFO’s Y = Friedman’s y.
58. Keynes believed that the velocity of money was subject to dramatic and unpredictable change. He believed that people “hoard” money, more so some times than others. (increased hoarding means a decrease in velocity.) In extreme episodes, people may be overcome by the “fetish of liquidity,” the fetish often accompanying the waning of animal spirits.