2. Executive Summary
The market for dairy products is one of the major segments of the overall food industry. Traditionally, the dairy market has offered a range of
milk-based products, with processed milk, butter, cheese, and curd, dominating the market. However, changing consumer dietary patterns,
increasing consumer awareness regarding the nutritional values of dairy products, higher willingness to spend and waning price responsiveness
have led to further diversification of products on shelf which include infant milk formula-based products, skimmed and whole milk powder,
lactose-based products and casein-derived products.
Transformation of the traditional structure of dairy farming into modern technological set-up has brought the entire dairy market on an advanced
platform, which is now outfitted with high-tech equipment, technology and heavy investment. Technological innovations and improvements in the
production process and efficiency gains have enabled dairy producers worldwide to cater to the increasing needs of customer in different forms
like condensed milk, homogenized milk, buttermilk, cheese, casein, yogurt, gelato, and ice creams, while maintaining the quality standards at
the same time. Production and consumption of cheese remains the highest amongst all dairy products worldwide. This segment has shown
significant growth in the last few years. Except Oceania and South Asia, the rest of the world has strengthened its cheese consumption on the
back of increased demand.
The report, “Global Milk and Dairy Products Market” prudently analyzes the development of the respective market, with a focus on the top 7 milk
producing regions of the world which includes the EU, the US, India, China, Brazil, Russia and New Zealand. The report contains the major
trends, growth drivers as well as issues being faced by the industry. The global milk and dairy market is predominated by a handful of players
including Nestlé, Danone, Fonterra and Unilever contending and vying for greater market share. The profiles of these leading players are also
included in the report along with their key financials and strategies for growth.
By combining SPSS Inc.’s data integration and analysis capabilities with our relevant findings, we have predicted the future growth of the
industry. We employed various significant variables that have an impact on this industry and created regression models with SPSS Base to
determine the future direction of the industry. Before deploying the regression model, the relationship between several independent or predictor
variables and the dependent variable was analyzed using standard SPSS output, including charts, tables and tests.
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3. The global dairy production remains on the uptrend driven largely by an insatiable global demand for both
traditional as well as value added dairy products…
Increasing per-capita income, faster rate of urbanization and
changes in social demographics are driving the global
demand.
In 2013, global fluid milk production increased from …
thousand metric tonnes (MT) in 2012 to … thousand MT
registering a growth of …%.
The same year saw demand for fluid milk rose by …%, …
percentage points higher than that of production keeping the
overall market tight.
In 2013, cheese production remained robust and reached …
thousand MT growing by …% over 2012 level.
In 2013, butter production reached … thousand MT growing
by almost …% over 2012. .
Global Cheese Production (2009-2013)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MetricTonnes(in‘000s)
Global Fluid Milk Production (2009-2013)
Global Butter Production (2009-2013)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MetricTonnes(in‘000s)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MetricTonnes(in‘000s)
4. The global dairy industry remains highly influenced by country-specific dynamics…
Global milk production remains highly concentrated with the top
13 countries accounting for …% of the total production .
Country-specific analysis reveals a growing wedge among the
developed and developing countries in terms of milk productivity
with the US topping the list for highest yields per cow.
New Zealand remains the world’s leading dairy exporter with
…% of its annual production being exported and whole milk
powder (WMP) accounting for …% of its domestic output.
China has emerged as the largest importer of dairy products with
WMP being one of the largest imported dairy product. In 2013,
WMP imports grew by an explosive …% Y-O-Y keeping the
demand firm.
Driven by a roaring middle class and changing dietary patterns,
China’s skimmed milk powder imports have also seen dramatic
growth. In 2013, import volumes increased to … thousand metric
tonnes up by …% Y-O-Y.
Whole Milk Powder Imports, China
World’s Top 5 Milk Producers (2013)
European
Union - 28
India United
States
China Brazil
MetricTonnes(in‘000s)
Whole Milk Powder Exports, New Zealand
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MetricTonnes(in‘000s)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MetricTonnes(in‘000s)
5. Growing population, rapid urbanization, increased focus on production optimization,
rising disposable incomes are the chief factors that will drive the market…
• The global milk production is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of ….% and is expected to reach... million tonnes by 2017.
• Waning price sensitiveness, changing dietary patterns, an aging population across the OECD member countries, increased
consolidation, relatively stable but higher milk prices, ever increasing demand, relatively sustained and better economic recovery
will keep the global market tight and buoyant in the medium term,
• An encouraging trend in global trade negotiations is likely to result in lowering trade barriers and this will prove to be a further push
for the industry.
World Milk Production Forecasts, 2013-2017F
2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E
MillionTonnes
6. Koncept Analytics
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Vikas Gupta
BD Manager
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