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Capt. Pawanexh Kohli
India is 5th largest retail market worldwide.
              60% of retail comprises food; fresh & processed                                              4%
                                                                                                      6%
              1,968,000 Consumer Food outlets expected by 2015
600
500
                                       Retail U$ Billion
400
                                                                                                                            61%
300
                                                                             543                      9%
200
                                                353
100
                                                                                                                                  Retail Segments
                    205
                                                                                                                                     Split India
   0
                 2002-03                      2009-10                       2014P
                                                                                                      Food                        Fashion
 2,000                                                                                  160           Leisure / entertainment     Fashion accessories
                              Food Service Outlets (‘000)
 1,800                                                                                  140           Consumer durables           Health, beauty, Pharma
 1,600
                                                                                        120           Furniture                   Telecom
 1,400
 1,200                                                                                  100
                                                                                                      Books and music
 1,000                                                                                  80
   800                                                                                  60
   600
                                                                                        40
   400
   200                                                                                  20    Retail Market is growing irrespective. It is clear
     0                                                                                  0          indication that India is ever growing.
           2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
                                                                                              Organised retail structures demand patterns.
                  Standalone (LHS )           Leisure (RHS )          Retail (RHS )

Note : Total Food Service Outlets is a sum of Standalone , Leisure and Retail outlets
Source : Euromonitor , IBEF , ORKASH and CrossTree Analysis
Collaborate with Source                          Retail Chain
                                                  Stakeholders
or Producer.            • Farmer
                        • Processor
                                                                       • PHM
                                                                       • Cold Storage
                            • Aggregator
Collaborate with
produce aggregator.                        Producers      Inventory

Capacity utilise Post
Harvest infrastructure.
                                             Market       Transport
Prepare to Access the
consumption market.         • Outlets
                            • Vendor
                                                                       • Distribution
                                                                         Hubs
                              Extensions                               • Reefers

Attract or reach the
consumers door step.               Organisation means: collaboration, resource
                                     building, good practices and promotes
Appease the Indian                        transparency in value chains.
Consumer demand.                             “Partnerships Perforce”
GDP USD 1.93 trill in 2011 from 1.25                                           Domestic spend (₹)
                                                                                                31-Jan-2012
                                                                                                                                     50,164

trill in 2006 (+54% in 5 years)                                                                                    39,267
Per Capita domestic disposable                                                                  29,667                                        36,760
spend doubled 2005 to 2011.                                                  23,712
                                                                                                                            28,232
Spending growth: $991 billion in                                                                         22,181
2010 to $3.6 trillion by 2020 (5.8% of                                                 17,682

global consumption, doubling from
current 2.7%) [Boston Consulting & CII – Feb2012]
                                                                                   FY05               FY07             FY09                FY11
                                                                                  Per Capita Disposable Income    Per Capita Disposable Spending
                                                 “Growth…
                      Increase in               Unstoppable”
                       consumer
                       class pop.

                                                                                                                   India Spends on
   Quality &
   Hygiene
                                           Purchasing                                                    61%                Food and Grocery
                                          power, Rise in
 consciousness         Increased            income
                                                                                                                            Others
                      Demand for
                      (Cold Chain)
                     Quality Foods                                                                                          Clothing and Fashion

                                                                                                                            Electronics
             Easy                    Changed                                                                                Beauty and Wellness
          consumer                   consumer
            credit                    mindset
                                                                                                                            Furniture and Fixtures
                                                           Source: MoSPI- Govt of India.
Fact! Green Revolution     160             Production of Horticulture Produce
                           140    Million                                             146.6 149.6

Proving ground that        120
                                  Metric Tons
                                                            128.4 129.1
                                                                              134.1
                                                                                                2.7 times

farmers’ efforts and       100
                                                                                                2.5 times
government     support     80              88.6
                                                    101.2



have translated into       60                                  65.6    68.5    71.5      74.9    77.5


robust response in         40
                                  58.5
                                                     50.9

production.                20     28.6
                                           43.0




Yet, food items lead        0


inflation…    indicating          Fruits          Vegetables          Plantation Crops          Others

that supply systems are
inefficient in meeting           Within Horticulture, perishable commodities
                                   trends higher to meet demand & drives
demand side.                      growing demand for perishable handling.
138 million operational holdings, mostly marginal and
small. Around 20 million engaged in horticulture.
High Fragmentation, but some areas are showing signs
of consolidation of the operational farm holdings.
Transition from peasant mode of production to
production for markets.
HVA is growing faster than conventional agriculture.
Agriculture contributing about 14 % to the GDP of the
country, currently valued at approx Rs 13000 billion.
Contribution of Horticulture to GDP of agriculture is
estimated to be around 30% and growing.
Perishables market and logistics needs to keep pace!
    Logistics artistes need to convey this Supply to meet Demand.
Supermarkets Requirements:
                                                                              Supplier requirements :
• Seamless value chains
                                         Any Cold Supply Chain Solutions
                                                                              • Quality assurance
• Outsource process driven activities
                                         Partner will require the following   • Low cost services
• Lower inventories
                                             attributes and services:         • Traceability
• Quality, Brands focus
                                          Commercial Network.                • Product Integrity
• Risk Management and food safety
                                                                              • Continuity of demand
and traceability.                         Inventory Management.              • Expanding markets
• Increased shelf life.
                                          MultiModal Connectivity.           • Cold Chain Integrity
• Just in time distribution
                                          Aggregation, Storage.              • Quick time to market
• Traceability
                                          Pick and Pack.
                                          Build up, Cross Dock.
                                                                              Storage requirements :
                                          Documentation.
                                                                              • Lower costs
   Shipping/Airlines requirements :       Fumigation, Quarantine.            • Extract efficiencies from value chain
   • Cargo capacity utilisation                                               • Quick turnaround
   • Flexibility                          Traceability, Process.
                                                                              • Increased flexibility
   • Specialisation – cargo freighters    Quality Assurance.
                                                                              • Multi Modal Connectivity
   • Specialist Forwarding agents         Farm to Door care.                 • Continuity of supply and market
   • Simplified Handling                                                      demand
                                          Chain Integrity.
   • Information Flow                                                         • Traceability
   • Security                             Cost efficient.
                                                                              • Consolidation of handling
                                                                              • Centrally located hub function



        These sets of resource attributes – to service specific demand types – need developing.
Post Harvest or Source Management.
Refrigerated Transport Connectivity.              “These Enablers are
                                                   not the business –
                                                 they are but the tools
Cold Storages & Distribution Hubs.                for efficient trade.”



Packaging & Unitisation.
                              Cold Chain is already successful in Ice
                                 creams, Processed Dairy, Frozen
Handling & Traceability.   foods, meats. It has not been able to prove
                              itself in the fresh farm food segment.
                           Because unlike others, the market for fresh
Hygiene & HAACP.                    food was not structured




FARMER to MARKET – Linked, Accessible, Distant.
By consolidating demand, simplifying supply.
By extending market footprint for farmers.
By infusing ownership in the total value chain.
By creating brands versus commodity selling.
By diverting would be loss into processing.
By laying onus on better handling practices.
By adding to existing private participation.
By perforce infusing capital into rural India.
By linking producer owners with consumer.
Four Pronged Strategy Recommended to Govt.
    Economic                                 Market         Institutional           Financing &
     Agents                                  Linkage          Change                 Incentives
• Farmer co-                         • Direct Link:        • Better synergy       • Catalyse &
  operatives ,                                               between various        strengthen PPP &
                                          • to private                              co-operative
                                            wholesale        schemes.
• Producer                                                                          investments.
  organisations,                            markets        • Strengthen cold      • Concessional line of
                                          • cooperative      Supply chain           finance through
• Private enterprise,                       wholesale        through NCCD.          NABARD.
• Private investors                         markets                               • Schemes on tap and
                                                           • Model APMC.            better synergy
                                     • Transparency in                              between Depts and
                                       commerce. & model   • Link through WDRA      Ministry
                                                             to benefit through   • Develop cold chain
                                     • Promote FDI in        NWR (perishables).     for non-horticulture
                                       retail.                                      products.


                       Investors, Processors, Producers, Service Providers, Retailers
Dr. Saumitra Chaudhari Committee Report
Central Excise Duty Exempt
        • 100% exemption for specified equipments for storages or transport, self
          loading/unloading trailers/semi-trailers.

Customs Duty Exempt
        • Full exemption from basic customs duty for manufacture of refrigerated
          vans/trucks; bio-polymer/bio-plastics; and
        • Concessional duty of 5% for initial setting up or substantial expansion of a cold
          storage, cold room, processing, etc.

Service Tax Exempt
        • Exemption for ‘Erection, Commissioning or Installation’ of Mechanized
          Handling Systems; Cold Storage equipment; transport; and
        • Technical Testing; Analysis & Technical Inspection & Certification Services.

Foreign Direct Investment
        • Cash & Carry: 100% FDI in wholesale trade / Multi-Brand Retail: 51% FDI.
        • Cold Chain & FPI: 100% FDI through automatic route.
VG
Agri/Foods identified as                       National Vegetable                                                100% FDI in food
                            NCCD takes shape                        PPP – IAD scheme   Funding, Infrastructure
     priority sector                                Initiative                                                        sector
                                                                                               status




                                                 Urban
                            Encourages                              Promoting
 Encourages                                    proximity                                 Grants &                Liberalising
                             holistic                               integrated
 Investments                                   Vegetable                                 Subsidies               FDI Inflow
                           development                                 PPP
                                               Production


                                               Government as
                                                 ‘Catalyst’
      Increased focus on creating enabling infrastructure by govt. Cash & Carry: 100% FDI in
       wholesale trade / Multi-Brand Retail: 51% FDI with state level permission.
      Cold Chain & FPI: 100% FDI through automatic route.
      NCCD to play pivotal role to correlate industry with policies.
Industry, PSUs, Government, Investors, Entrepreneurs, Farming
       Associations & Knowledge Houses - All Working Together.
                           Training, HRD and
                            R&D Committee.
                                               2
                                                                         Committee for Application
                                                                        of non-conventional Energy
Technical Specification,                                                   Sources in Cold Chain

                                                                    3
                                                                              Infrastructure.
    Standards, Test
 Laboratory & Product      1
Certification Committee.



                                         Executive
                                         Committee

     Networking with
                           6                                             Committee for Supply
      NHB, FHEL and
    other NLAs of NHM                                              4      Chain & Logistics.




                        NCCD Members, other
                                               5   cold chain sectors
Author is founding Chief Advisor to incubate the
National Centre for Cold-chain Development and
 is the founder advisor of think tank CrossTree

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Organised Retail & Supply chain

  • 2. India is 5th largest retail market worldwide. 60% of retail comprises food; fresh & processed 4% 6% 1,968,000 Consumer Food outlets expected by 2015 600 500 Retail U$ Billion 400 61% 300 543 9% 200 353 100 Retail Segments 205 Split India 0 2002-03 2009-10 2014P Food Fashion 2,000 160 Leisure / entertainment Fashion accessories Food Service Outlets (‘000) 1,800 140 Consumer durables Health, beauty, Pharma 1,600 120 Furniture Telecom 1,400 1,200 100 Books and music 1,000 80 800 60 600 40 400 200 20 Retail Market is growing irrespective. It is clear 0 0 indication that India is ever growing. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Organised retail structures demand patterns. Standalone (LHS ) Leisure (RHS ) Retail (RHS ) Note : Total Food Service Outlets is a sum of Standalone , Leisure and Retail outlets Source : Euromonitor , IBEF , ORKASH and CrossTree Analysis
  • 3. Collaborate with Source Retail Chain Stakeholders or Producer. • Farmer • Processor • PHM • Cold Storage • Aggregator Collaborate with produce aggregator. Producers Inventory Capacity utilise Post Harvest infrastructure. Market Transport Prepare to Access the consumption market. • Outlets • Vendor • Distribution Hubs Extensions • Reefers Attract or reach the consumers door step. Organisation means: collaboration, resource building, good practices and promotes Appease the Indian transparency in value chains. Consumer demand. “Partnerships Perforce”
  • 4. GDP USD 1.93 trill in 2011 from 1.25 Domestic spend (₹) 31-Jan-2012 50,164 trill in 2006 (+54% in 5 years) 39,267 Per Capita domestic disposable 29,667 36,760 spend doubled 2005 to 2011. 23,712 28,232 Spending growth: $991 billion in 22,181 2010 to $3.6 trillion by 2020 (5.8% of 17,682 global consumption, doubling from current 2.7%) [Boston Consulting & CII – Feb2012] FY05 FY07 FY09 FY11 Per Capita Disposable Income Per Capita Disposable Spending “Growth… Increase in Unstoppable” consumer class pop. India Spends on Quality & Hygiene Purchasing 61% Food and Grocery power, Rise in consciousness Increased income Others Demand for (Cold Chain) Quality Foods Clothing and Fashion Electronics Easy Changed Beauty and Wellness consumer consumer credit mindset Furniture and Fixtures Source: MoSPI- Govt of India.
  • 5. Fact! Green Revolution 160 Production of Horticulture Produce 140 Million 146.6 149.6 Proving ground that 120 Metric Tons 128.4 129.1 134.1 2.7 times farmers’ efforts and 100 2.5 times government support 80 88.6 101.2 have translated into 60 65.6 68.5 71.5 74.9 77.5 robust response in 40 58.5 50.9 production. 20 28.6 43.0 Yet, food items lead 0 inflation… indicating Fruits Vegetables Plantation Crops Others that supply systems are inefficient in meeting Within Horticulture, perishable commodities trends higher to meet demand & drives demand side. growing demand for perishable handling.
  • 6. 138 million operational holdings, mostly marginal and small. Around 20 million engaged in horticulture. High Fragmentation, but some areas are showing signs of consolidation of the operational farm holdings. Transition from peasant mode of production to production for markets. HVA is growing faster than conventional agriculture. Agriculture contributing about 14 % to the GDP of the country, currently valued at approx Rs 13000 billion. Contribution of Horticulture to GDP of agriculture is estimated to be around 30% and growing. Perishables market and logistics needs to keep pace! Logistics artistes need to convey this Supply to meet Demand.
  • 7. Supermarkets Requirements: Supplier requirements : • Seamless value chains Any Cold Supply Chain Solutions • Quality assurance • Outsource process driven activities Partner will require the following • Low cost services • Lower inventories attributes and services: • Traceability • Quality, Brands focus  Commercial Network. • Product Integrity • Risk Management and food safety • Continuity of demand and traceability.  Inventory Management. • Expanding markets • Increased shelf life.  MultiModal Connectivity. • Cold Chain Integrity • Just in time distribution  Aggregation, Storage. • Quick time to market • Traceability  Pick and Pack.  Build up, Cross Dock. Storage requirements :  Documentation. • Lower costs Shipping/Airlines requirements :  Fumigation, Quarantine. • Extract efficiencies from value chain • Cargo capacity utilisation • Quick turnaround • Flexibility  Traceability, Process. • Increased flexibility • Specialisation – cargo freighters  Quality Assurance. • Multi Modal Connectivity • Specialist Forwarding agents  Farm to Door care. • Continuity of supply and market • Simplified Handling demand  Chain Integrity. • Information Flow • Traceability • Security  Cost efficient. • Consolidation of handling • Centrally located hub function These sets of resource attributes – to service specific demand types – need developing.
  • 8. Post Harvest or Source Management. Refrigerated Transport Connectivity. “These Enablers are not the business – they are but the tools Cold Storages & Distribution Hubs. for efficient trade.” Packaging & Unitisation. Cold Chain is already successful in Ice creams, Processed Dairy, Frozen Handling & Traceability. foods, meats. It has not been able to prove itself in the fresh farm food segment. Because unlike others, the market for fresh Hygiene & HAACP. food was not structured FARMER to MARKET – Linked, Accessible, Distant.
  • 9. By consolidating demand, simplifying supply. By extending market footprint for farmers. By infusing ownership in the total value chain. By creating brands versus commodity selling. By diverting would be loss into processing. By laying onus on better handling practices. By adding to existing private participation. By perforce infusing capital into rural India. By linking producer owners with consumer.
  • 10. Four Pronged Strategy Recommended to Govt. Economic Market Institutional Financing & Agents Linkage Change Incentives • Farmer co- • Direct Link: • Better synergy • Catalyse & operatives , between various strengthen PPP & • to private co-operative wholesale schemes. • Producer investments. organisations, markets • Strengthen cold • Concessional line of • cooperative Supply chain finance through • Private enterprise, wholesale through NCCD. NABARD. • Private investors markets • Schemes on tap and • Model APMC. better synergy • Transparency in between Depts and commerce. & model • Link through WDRA Ministry to benefit through • Develop cold chain • Promote FDI in NWR (perishables). for non-horticulture retail. products. Investors, Processors, Producers, Service Providers, Retailers Dr. Saumitra Chaudhari Committee Report
  • 11. Central Excise Duty Exempt • 100% exemption for specified equipments for storages or transport, self loading/unloading trailers/semi-trailers. Customs Duty Exempt • Full exemption from basic customs duty for manufacture of refrigerated vans/trucks; bio-polymer/bio-plastics; and • Concessional duty of 5% for initial setting up or substantial expansion of a cold storage, cold room, processing, etc. Service Tax Exempt • Exemption for ‘Erection, Commissioning or Installation’ of Mechanized Handling Systems; Cold Storage equipment; transport; and • Technical Testing; Analysis & Technical Inspection & Certification Services. Foreign Direct Investment • Cash & Carry: 100% FDI in wholesale trade / Multi-Brand Retail: 51% FDI. • Cold Chain & FPI: 100% FDI through automatic route.
  • 12. VG Agri/Foods identified as National Vegetable 100% FDI in food NCCD takes shape PPP – IAD scheme Funding, Infrastructure priority sector Initiative sector status Urban Encourages Promoting Encourages proximity Grants & Liberalising holistic integrated Investments Vegetable Subsidies FDI Inflow development PPP Production Government as ‘Catalyst’  Increased focus on creating enabling infrastructure by govt. Cash & Carry: 100% FDI in wholesale trade / Multi-Brand Retail: 51% FDI with state level permission.  Cold Chain & FPI: 100% FDI through automatic route.  NCCD to play pivotal role to correlate industry with policies.
  • 13. Industry, PSUs, Government, Investors, Entrepreneurs, Farming Associations & Knowledge Houses - All Working Together. Training, HRD and R&D Committee. 2 Committee for Application of non-conventional Energy Technical Specification, Sources in Cold Chain 3 Infrastructure. Standards, Test Laboratory & Product 1 Certification Committee. Executive Committee Networking with 6 Committee for Supply NHB, FHEL and other NLAs of NHM 4 Chain & Logistics. NCCD Members, other 5 cold chain sectors
  • 14. Author is founding Chief Advisor to incubate the National Centre for Cold-chain Development and is the founder advisor of think tank CrossTree

Editor's Notes

  1. Why worry about FDI in retail when its impact goes beyond the narrow singular vision of the trading mindset
  2. One of most talked and deeply debated topics – retail.Also one of most documented and with established growth patterns – a success, irrespective of FDI or not.It is well understood that organisations feed on collaborative practises, build competition and scopes value chain optimisation.
  3. Organisation of a sector, whether via foreign or domestic inputs has always brought cleartransparent value sharing across all stake holders.Organised Retail will have to deal in collaborative fashion with all stake holders- Producer, aggregator, logistics, merchandiser – they form the complete supply chain.
  4. India’s Growth is clearly translating into consumer spend with Food spendingbeing largest.There are Two important stakeholders – producers and consumers, and both are pushing for more (growth).
  5. The green revolution has proved that the Indian Farmer is capable of meeting demand at a robust pace.Yet a demand outstrips supply and studies indicate the supply chain has not coped as a bridge between producer and consumer.Similarly, food processing has developed robustly with strong support from the MoFPI.
  6. These sets of resource attributes – to service specific demand types – need to be developed. Develop through hard experience or by jump starting through shared global expertise - that is the decision for India!But to service a modern India this expertise Needs to be Learnt, and quickly!
  7. Retail as it got organised, visibly promoted various Partnerships from production source to consumer. See example of Safal and Amul, McDonalds or Dominos.Such partnerships, PPP or private… hastens and aids the growth that India is undergoing.Be it FDI or domestic investment, the benefits have been seen to seen accrue all across the Indian value chain.
  8. In understanding all of previous, the planning commission has recommended various enabling actions, including opening of FDI inmultibrand retail.By streamlining the value chain and strengthening the supply chain the beneficiaries would be farmers and consumers.
  9. Excise waived on F&V, meat preparations, ice cream, other RTE instant food mixes. Automatic approval for 100% foreign equity in processed food items. (except alcohol, beer, etc)Priority lending status to cold chain industry at lower interest rates.Mega food parks scheme extended with government grants of up to USD10 million. GoI is initiating National Highway Development Program and is partnering with Indian Railways to establish storage infrastructure.Indian Railways is planning to invite private parties to run refrigerated container trains for transporting agricultural products across the country.Integrated Food Regulations (FSSA) notified and to implementation being enacted.National Centre for Cold Chain Development (NCCD) and inter-ministerial group established for special focus on cold chain development.Stated target to develop a multi-modal National Green Grid for Perishables for fast track movement of perishable commodities.New PPP-IAD subsidy scheme deployed to enable fresh round of investments under PPP mode to develop agriculture marketing at a priority.
  10. A nodal agency set up by the government on recommendation from the Industry. Its members are industry and government participants.It may be noted NCCD is not only for agriculture produce but will for synergy across all cold chain sectors is aimed at.