RCREEE Member States: from the first movers for the NAMAs 16-17 November 2011

1. Concept and methodology of NAMAs
development: selection creteria,
MRV and template
Rafik Missaoui, Alcor
17.11.2011
Workshop “Existing CDM Potential and Perspectives for
Carbon Finance in RCREEE Member States beyond 2012”
Cairo, Egypt, 16. November 2011
www.perspectives.cc · info@perspectives.cc www.alcor.com.tn

2. Selection criteria
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3. National Development Policy criteria
– Direct economic impact : techno-
economic impacts
• Cost reduction
• Financial benefits, etc.
– Strategic issues
• Energy supply security,
• Energy independency,
• Long term technology positioning
• Notoriety, etc.
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

4. National Policy criteria
– Environmental impacts
• Mitigation potential,
• local environment impacts
– Indirect socio-economic development
impacts
• Job creation,
• Industrial development,
• Life standard improvement, etc.
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

5. National Policy criteria
Mitigation potential and CO2 abatement cost
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

6. National Policy criteria
Mitigation potential and CO2 abatement cost
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

7. Technical criteria
• Simplicity and basis of GHG calculation
• MRV metric
• Simplicity of determination of financing needs
and split of unilateral and supported
contributions
• Potential for leveraging private investments
• Donor attractiveness
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

8. Technical criteria
Example of assessment
Sector Transport Building Industry Waste
Description Bus rapid EE tertiary cogeneration Diversion of
transit buildings organic waste
from land filling
− Assessment
Simplicity and basis low high high medium
of GHG calculation
MRV metric medium medium high medium
Simplicity of high high high medium
determination of
financing needs and
split of unilateral
and supported
contributions
Potential for medium medium high medium
leveraging private
investments
Donor high high high high
attractiveness

9. Technical criteria
Types of needs
No loose measures, but sometime many implementation barriers …
• Technical and technological barriers: CSP,
etc. Type of Needs
– Emergent technology Technology transfer : TT
– Low local technical capacity Technical assistance: TA
Financial support
• Market distortion Financing resources (loan, direct
– Low attractiveness for end user investment, etc.): Fin
Carbon market: CERs
– Lack of market information , etc.
Subsidies: Sub
• Lack of framework condition
– Financial
– Institutional
– Regulatory
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

10. Technical criteria
Types of needs: example of Morocco
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

11. Measuring, Reporting and Verification (MRV)
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12. The Measuring, Reporting and Verification (MRV)
of NAMAs emission impact
 The Bali Action Plan has explicitly linked NAMAs to MRV in the
paragraph 1(b) (ii) “Nationally appropriate mitigation actions…in
a measurable, reportable and verifiable manner”.
 Standard of MRV
 A national MRV system for unilateral NAMAs
 A system that depends on MRV International
operating rules of the UNFCCC for supported
NAMAs (China and India insist on sovereignty)
 MRV approach :
 Bottom up assessment (USA position)
 Top down (China position)

13. The Measuring, Reporting and Verification (MRV)
of NAMAs emission impact
Scope Elements for MRV
National emission Inventory of national emissions
neutrality targets Means of neutralization (GHG sequestration)
National emission  Selection of the base year
intensity targets  Establishing total national emissions and national GDP for
the base year and the end year
 Dividing emissions by GDP and comparing the values in the
base and end year
National emission Selection of the base year
targets in terms of a Development of the reference emission scenario (Constant
deviation from intensity, Constant growth rate…)
business as usual  Development of mitigation scenario (modelling of GDP
growth, modelling of the link between GDP and emissions)
Sectoral emission The same than before but at sectoral level
targets
Specific actions at The MRV has to be designed specifically
national and/or local
level

14. The Measuring, Reporting and Verification (MRV)
of support
• What is “new and additional” resources for climate
• investments as called for in the Cancun Accord?
• How can climate-related finance be tracked?
• How can additional support be defined?
• Large potential for overlap with development aid
efforts
• Learning from existing systems (GEF, World bank) is
essential
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

15. NAMAs template
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16. NAMAs template
– Country and sector Background;
– Description of the planned activities;
– Rationale behind the activities: National
strategy that constitute the framework of the
activities, link to emission reduction, planned
impacts of the measures (direct, indirect, co-
benefits);
– Responsibility of implementation;

17. NAMAs template
– Mode of implementation of the activities;
– Schedule of the implementation, including
uncertainties and risks;
– MRV: indicators to verify the implementation,
framework, etc.;
– Support need in terms of financing,
technological and technical assistance.

18. Example of NAMAs
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19. Example of NAMAs : Tunisia
Tunisian Solar Plan
Installed RE capacity (MW)
wind solar others
 Target : reduce by 40% the
primary energy consumption
by 2030 compared to the
business as usual scenario.
 RE target: 4500 MW of RE
for electricity generation
capacity by 2030,

20. Example of NAMAs in MENA region: Tunisia
Tunisian Solar Plan NAMAs description
 Description of the planned activities: 40 projects in the fields of:
 Solar energy,
 Wind energy,
 Energy efficiency,
 Biogas and studies.
 Rationale behind the activities:
 Existence of active long term national strategy for energy
efficiency and renewable energy;
 Integration of the Tunisian Solar Plan into a regional initiative;
 Emission reductions of 1.5 MtCO2e per year, compared to the
current yearly emissions in Tunisia of 35 MtCO2e;
 Annual energy saving of 660 kteo, which is 22% of the overall
forecast for Tunisia's energy consumption by 2016.

21. Example of NAMAs : Tunisia
 Responsibility of implementation: National Energy Conservation
Agency (ANME).
 Mode of implementation: mainly by private sector.
 Schedule of the implementation: 2010-2016.
 MRV of emissions reductions: bottom up approach based
mostly on metric indicators (m² of collectors,
installed MW, m² of houses isolated, etc.).
 Support need:
 Total cost: 1 852 Million Euro,
 National contribution: 1 472 Million Euro,
 Need of international support: 371 Million Euro

22. Example of NAMAs : Morocco
Morocco Solar Plan
Objective: 2000 MW of CSP and PV by 2020
Cost: 9 billions UD$
Electricity generation : 4500 GWh / y since 2020
Mitigation potential: 3,2 METCO2 /y.

23. Example of NAMAs : Morocco
Morocco Solar Plan: organisation
IPP selection through biding process
Coverage of electricity price gap by Morocco state and international
cooperation

24. Example of NAMAs : Morocco
Morocco Salor Plan
Mitigation - Mitigation potential : 800 kTECO2 /y
potential - CO2 abatement cost : 250 USD to 300 USD/TECO2
Technical - Technical assistance to MASEN and its partners in
assistance the implementation of the Solar Plan program
(Technology watch, technology transfer, capacity
building
Need of financing - Investment subsidy : 20% à 25% of the total
investment cost of the CSP of Ouarzazate, so 0.45
to 0.625 billions USD
- Soft loan : 20% à 30% of investment cost of CSP of
Ouarzazate, so 0.45 à 0.75 billions USD
- Technical assistance to MASEN : 3 à 4 Millions USD
Type of NAMA - Supported
- Credited
Source: BM-Département de l’Environnement / Alcor-ADS, 2011
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25. Thanks
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

26. Technical criteria
Complexity and uncertainty of GHG estimation
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

27. Technical criteria
Implementation complexity
Technical barriers: Technical barriers: Technical barriers: Technical barriers:
low medium low low
Organizational: Organizational: Organizational: Organizational: low
medium high high
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28. Technical criteria
Determination of support needs
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29. Technical criteria
Financing potential and attractiveness
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

30. Technical criteria
MRV complexity
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011

31. MRV
MRV of GHG mitigation
Actions reported every two years in national communications
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32. Approche de sélection des NAMAs
Example of MRV indicators
• GHG emissions
– measured or based on fuel used
– modelled
• Proxies for GHG emissions
– Energy used
– Material produced
• Other than GHG emissions
– Technical: build units, capacity, no. of vehicles
– Economic and financial: funds granted, investment triggered
– Process: number of workshops conducted
•
R. Missaoui, Cairo, Nov 2011