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How to compensate the decline of diamond revenues:
TRANSFORMATION TO KNOWLEDGE SOCIETY
BASED ON HIGH SKILLED EMPLOYMENT
   Dreves – TEC
  November 2009
ACTUAL DIAMOND / MINING CONTRIBUTION TO
NATIONAL INCOME / PRODUCTION (GDP)
               Structure of GDP – 2007/08

   Mining 40%
   Government 16%
   Banks, Ins.& Business 12%
   Trade, Hotels & Restaurants 11%
   Construction 5%
   Transport 4%
   Social & Personal Services 4%
   Manufacturing 4%
   Water & Electricity 2%
   Agriculture 2%
DIAMOND CONTRIBUTION TO EXPORTS
         Structure of Exports of Goods & Services 2008

   Diamonds 57%
   Nickel & Copper 13%
   Tourism 5%
   Textiles 5%
   Meat 2%
   Salt & Soda ash 1%
   Gold 1%
   Other Services 7%
   Other Goods 9%
DIAMOND CONTRIBUTION TO GOVERNMENT
BUDGET (PULA MILLION)
                    2006/07    2007/08    2008/09
Revenues +Grants    27397.71   28629.47   29681.32
Revenue             26949.32   28052.10   29276.23
Tax Revenue         15919.00   17266.93   18675.64
Mineral Tax         3802.78    3769.37    2972.00
Non Tax Revenue     11030.32   10785.17   10600.59
Mineral Royalties   9311.56    8564.29    7888.00
& Dividends
Grants              448.39     577.37     405.09
Expenditure + Net   19737.44   24821.86   35876.52
Lending
Surplus/Deficit     7660.27    3807.61    -6195.20
FROM DIAMOND REVENUES TO CORPORATE TAX

Average Annual Diamond Revenues 2006-2009:


    12.000.000.000. BWP (12bn P)
           Equivalent to:
    1.000.000.000 EUR (1bn EUR)
REQUIREMENTS FROM PRIVATE SECTOR

1.   Tax on Corporate surplus: max. 20%
2.   If 20% = 1.000.000.000.- EUR, then:
3.   Necessary profit = 5.000.000.000.- EUR
4.   Return on Investment (ROI) = Capital Rentability:
     min. 10% (Risk / Venture Capital)
5.   Total Investments in 10 Years has to rise to:
     50.000.000.000.- EUR
PROFIT – PRODUCTION - EMPLOYMENT
1.   Return on Sales (corporate efficiency): 20%
2.   Exceeded total annual private sector
     production: 25.000.000.000.- EUR
3.   High Labour productivity (knowledge –based):
     50.- EUR/ hour x 40 hours x 4 weeks x 12 months =
     100.000.- EUR p.a. and person
4.   25.000.000.000 EUR              250.000
       100.000 EUR                   employees
EMPLOYABILITIES: TRAINING & EDUCATION
1.Total unemployed population 2005/2006:
                       248,812
           Age group 15 – 34: 69% = 171,680

2. Supply of Graduates during 10 years(estimation):
                       100.000

3. drop out from mines and government and retirements:
                            ?
CONCLUSION:




          It’s Possible !
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

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Transformation to knowledge society 2009

  • 1. How to compensate the decline of diamond revenues: TRANSFORMATION TO KNOWLEDGE SOCIETY BASED ON HIGH SKILLED EMPLOYMENT Dreves – TEC November 2009
  • 2. ACTUAL DIAMOND / MINING CONTRIBUTION TO NATIONAL INCOME / PRODUCTION (GDP) Structure of GDP – 2007/08  Mining 40%  Government 16%  Banks, Ins.& Business 12%  Trade, Hotels & Restaurants 11%  Construction 5%  Transport 4%  Social & Personal Services 4%  Manufacturing 4%  Water & Electricity 2%  Agriculture 2%
  • 3. DIAMOND CONTRIBUTION TO EXPORTS Structure of Exports of Goods & Services 2008  Diamonds 57%  Nickel & Copper 13%  Tourism 5%  Textiles 5%  Meat 2%  Salt & Soda ash 1%  Gold 1%  Other Services 7%  Other Goods 9%
  • 4. DIAMOND CONTRIBUTION TO GOVERNMENT BUDGET (PULA MILLION) 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 Revenues +Grants 27397.71 28629.47 29681.32 Revenue 26949.32 28052.10 29276.23 Tax Revenue 15919.00 17266.93 18675.64 Mineral Tax 3802.78 3769.37 2972.00 Non Tax Revenue 11030.32 10785.17 10600.59 Mineral Royalties 9311.56 8564.29 7888.00 & Dividends Grants 448.39 577.37 405.09 Expenditure + Net 19737.44 24821.86 35876.52 Lending Surplus/Deficit 7660.27 3807.61 -6195.20
  • 5. FROM DIAMOND REVENUES TO CORPORATE TAX Average Annual Diamond Revenues 2006-2009: 12.000.000.000. BWP (12bn P) Equivalent to: 1.000.000.000 EUR (1bn EUR)
  • 6. REQUIREMENTS FROM PRIVATE SECTOR 1. Tax on Corporate surplus: max. 20% 2. If 20% = 1.000.000.000.- EUR, then: 3. Necessary profit = 5.000.000.000.- EUR 4. Return on Investment (ROI) = Capital Rentability: min. 10% (Risk / Venture Capital) 5. Total Investments in 10 Years has to rise to: 50.000.000.000.- EUR
  • 7. PROFIT – PRODUCTION - EMPLOYMENT 1. Return on Sales (corporate efficiency): 20% 2. Exceeded total annual private sector production: 25.000.000.000.- EUR 3. High Labour productivity (knowledge –based): 50.- EUR/ hour x 40 hours x 4 weeks x 12 months = 100.000.- EUR p.a. and person 4. 25.000.000.000 EUR 250.000 100.000 EUR employees
  • 8. EMPLOYABILITIES: TRAINING & EDUCATION 1.Total unemployed population 2005/2006: 248,812 Age group 15 – 34: 69% = 171,680 2. Supply of Graduates during 10 years(estimation): 100.000 3. drop out from mines and government and retirements: ?
  • 9. CONCLUSION: It’s Possible !
  • 10. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION