This opinion poll was designed to gauge the views of those living in Wales of the forthcoming referendum on electoral reform on 5th May 2011.

1. ELECTORAL REFORM REFERENDUM OPINION POLL 2011
APRIL 2011
Presented by: John Hurst, Director of RMG:Clarity, Trefor House, Ocean Park, Cardiff, CF24 5RE
Tel: 02920 435800
E-mail: john.hurst@rmg-uk.co.uk
Web: www.rmg-uk.co.uk

2. INTRODUCTION
This opinion poll was designed to gauge the views of those living in Wales of the forthcoming referendum on electoral reform on 5th May 2011.
METHODOLOGY
The opinion poll consisted of 960 structured telephone interviews, conducted with Welsh voters between 4th April and 5th April 2011 and 44 surveys
completed online within the same timeframe. This totals 1004 surveys.
The telephone interviews were conducted at RMG:Clarity’s in-house CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) Unit. Respondents were
contacted during the day and in the evening.
For the telephone survey target numbers of interviews were set according to parliamentary constituency population. After interviewing, the online
data was merged with the telephone data and the survey was weighted by parliamentary constituency, socio-economic group, gender, age group,
household tenure and Welsh language skills in order to provide the most representative result possible.
Full weighted and unweighted tabulations are included in this report.
The following discussion uses the weighted results.

3. DISCUSSION
Table 1 shows that only 31.9% of respondents thought that the government had provided them with sufficient information to make an informed
decision on electoral reform. 60% thought that they had not been provided with enough information.
Table 1
Do you think that the government has provided you with
%
enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Yes 31.9%
No 60.0%
Don't know 8.1%
Base: All respondents (997)
Table 2 shows whether respondents intend to vote for first-past-the-post or alternative vote in the referendum. It also shows the voting intention split
by whether the respondent thinks they have enough information to make a decision. This shows that overall, nearly a third of respondents (29.8%) do
not know which electoral system they prefer, whilst 45.2% will vote for first-past-the-post and 25.0% for alternative vote. In this table, those with
enough information appear to be significantly more likely to vote for first-past-the-post than those without enough information (54.1% against 42.1%).
However, this is because of the high number of people without enough information who do not know which they will vote for.
Table 2
In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Those with enough Those without enough
All respondents
information information
First-past-the-post 45.2% 54.1% 42.1%
Alternative vote 25.0% 31.7% 22.3%
Don't know 29.8% 14.2% 35.6%
Base: All respondents (997)/ those who have enough information to make a decision (318)/ those who do not have enough information to make a decision (598)
To counteract this, Table 3 shows the results with the ‘don’t know’ responses excluded. It is reasonable to assume that those who do not know which
way they will vote will not vote in the referendum, and that this will provide a more accurate picture of voting intention.

4. Table 3
In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? (Excluding Don’t know)
Those with enough Those without enough
All respondents
information information
First-past-the-post 64.4% 63.1% 65.4%
Alternative vote 35.6% 36.9% 34.6%
Base: All respondents (700)/ those who have enough information to make a decision (273)/ those who do not have enough information to make a decision (385)
64.4% of respondents will vote for first-past-the-post, whilst 35.6% will vote for alternative vote. Removing the ‘don’t know’ responses, it is clear that
whether the respondents think they have been provided with enough information to make a decision has remarkably little impact on voting intention.
36.9% of those with enough information said they will vote for alternative vote compared to 34.6% of those without enough information. Whilst this
may be indicative, the difference is not statistically significant.
Taken together, this shows that a large section of the population do not know how they will vote on 5th May. However, it also shows that those who
are more likely to vote in the referendum (i.e. those with an opinion one way or the other) appear to have made their decision without the need for any
information from government.

5. WEIGHTED TABULATIONS

6. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
SEG Gender
Base: All
A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
respondents
997 186 342 199 240 29 467 529
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
318 66 100 59 85 8 164 154
Yes
31.9% 35.5% 29.2% 29.8% 35.3% 27.5% 35.0% 29.2%
598 111 219 119 131 16 273 325
No
60.0% 59.6% 64.1% 60.0% 54.8% 55.9% 58.4% 61.3%
81 9 23 20 24 5 31 50
Don't know
8.1% 4.9% 6.7% 10.2% 9.8% 16.6% 6.6% 9.5%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Age Tenure
Rented from
65 years or Rented from Council or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused Owner occupied Other
above private landlord Housing
Association
27 51 110 155 224 409 20 803 50 109 35
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3 12 39 44 75 139 6 259 14 37 8
Yes
10.1% 22.7% 35.4% 28.4% 33.6% 34.0% 30.5% 32.3% 27.5% 33.9% 23.2%
21 35 64 96 136 233 12 485 34 62 17
No
79.3% 68.2% 58.4% 61.6% 60.8% 57.1% 59.3% 60.4% 67.4% 56.9% 49.9%
3 5 7 15 13 36 2 59 3 10 9
Don't know
10.5% 9.1% 6.2% 9.9% 5.7% 8.9% 10.2% 7.3% 5.0% 9.3% 26.9%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

7. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
89 26 21 155 38 667
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
27 9 5 49 12 216
Yes
30.9% 33.1% 24.5% 31.6% 31.5% 32.3%
54 12 14 93 25 399
No
61.0% 44.0% 66.0% 60.3% 65.8% 59.9%
7 6 2 12 1 52
Don't know
8.1% 22.9% 9.4% 8.0% 2.7% 7.8%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
55 13 7 12 62 33 33 87 40 639 14
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
15 2 3 0 14 8 6 29 13 227 2
Yes
27.0% 13.8% 38.5% .0% 22.4% 24.9% 16.8% 33.0% 33.9% 35.4% 14.0%
28 11 3 12 38 23 25 52 24 370 10
No
50.8% 79.8% 48.7% 100.0% 61.9% 70.0% 75.8% 60.0% 60.8% 58.0% 67.9%
12 1 1 0 10 2 2 6 2 42 3
Don't know
22.2% 6.4% 12.8% .0% 15.7% 5.1% 7.4% 7.0% 5.3% 6.6% 18.1%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

8. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Base: All Alyn and Brecon and
Aberavon Aberconwy Arfon Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
respondents Deeside Radnorshire
Base: All respondents 997 22 19 26 21 23 23 26 27 27 28
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Cardiff South Dwyfor
Cardiff West East and West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Gower
and Penarth Meirionnydd
Dinefwr Pembrokeshire
Base: All respondents 34 28 28 26 24 25 26 22 24 22 24
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli
Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda
and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
Base: All respondents 23 27 24 25 20 28 22 25 24 26 25 22
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Vale of
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Wrexham Ynys Môn
Glamorgan
Base: All respondents 27 34 26 24 27 24 20
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

9. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Base: All Alyn and Brecon and
Aberavon Aberconwy Arfon Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
respondents Deeside Radnorshire
Base: All respondents 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
318 8 4 13 9 7 9 10 8 10 10
Yes
31.9% 38.6% 22.2% 49.3% 40.0% 29.1% 38.1% 36.6% 29.0% 38.5% 36.3%
598 13 13 12 13 15 12 15 18 14 15
No
60.0% 61.4% 67.8% 46.1% 60.0% 67.0% 49.8% 56.6% 64.7% 51.0% 53.7%
81 0 2 1 0 1 3 2 2 3 3
Don't know
8.1% .0% 10.0% 4.6% .0% 3.9% 12.0% 6.8% 6.3% 10.5% 10.0%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Cardiff South Dwyfor
Cardiff West East and West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Gower
and Penarth Meirionnydd
Dinefwr Pembrokeshire
Base: All respondents 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
11 9 7 4 9 5 6 7 8 5 10
Yes
32.6% 32.9% 23.8% 13.6% 36.9% 21.9% 22.3% 31.8% 33.3% 22.8% 41.9%
20 17 20 23 12 18 16 15 11 16 13
No
58.9% 62.9% 69.3% 86.4% 48.9% 73.8% 63.5% 68.2% 47.0% 72.4% 54.5%
3 1 2 0 3 1 4 0 5 1 1
Don't know
8.5% 4.2% 6.9% .0% 14.2% 4.3% 14.2% .0% 19.7% 4.8% 3.6%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

10. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli
Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda
and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
Base: All respondents 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
10 11 4 4 10 6 5 6 7 10 9 7
Yes
43.5% 41.9% 17.6% 14.8% 47.6% 21.5% 22.3% 22.6% 27.3% 37.9% 35.5% 30.5%
11 11 17 19 10 18 17 19 16 15 16 13
No
48.7% 41.1% 69.5% 77.9% 48.0% 65.7% 73.5% 74.2% 68.5% 58.7% 64.5% 61.1%
2 5 3 2 1 4 1 1 1 1 0 2
Don't know
7.8% 17.0% 12.9% 7.3% 4.4% 12.8% 4.2% 3.2% 4.2% 3.5% .0% 8.4%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Constituency
Vale of
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Wrexham Ynys Môn
Glamorgan
Base: All respondents 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
12 8 6 9 12 6 9
Yes
43.3% 23.9% 25.2% 38.8% 44.7% 26.4% 44.8%
13 23 16 10 13 14 6
No
49.6% 67.7% 64.0% 42.4% 48.2% 55.8% 31.5%
2 3 3 5 2 4 5
Don't know
7.1% 8.4% 10.8% 18.8% 7.1% 17.8% 23.7%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
SEG Gender
Base: All
A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
respondents
997 186 342 199 240 29 467 529
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

11. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Age Tenure
Rented from
65 years or Rented from Council or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused Owner occupied Other
above private landlord Housing
Association
27 51 110 155 224 409 20 803 50 109 35
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
89 26 21 155 38 667
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
55 13 7 12 62 33 33 87 40 639 14
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

12. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
SEG Gender
Base: All
A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
respondents
451 89 153 94 102 13 225 226
First-past-the-post
45.2% 47.8% 44.7% 47.3% 42.5% 43.7% 48.2% 42.7%
249 54 94 45 54 3 141 108
Alternative vote
25.0% 28.9% 27.4% 22.4% 22.5% 9.8% 30.2% 20.4%
297 44 96 60 84 13 101 196
Don't know
29.8% 23.3% 27.9% 30.4% 34.9% 46.5% 21.6% 37.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Age Tenure
Rented from
65 years or Rented from Council or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused Owner occupied Other
above private landlord Housing
Association
2 15 37 59 109 219 9 385 13 42 11
First-past-the-post
8.9% 29.4% 34.0% 38.1% 48.7% 53.5% 45.4% 47.9% 26.6% 38.3% 31.8%
16 16 33 46 49 87 2 196 18 28 7
Alternative vote
61.5% 31.1% 29.9% 29.8% 21.7% 21.2% 9.9% 24.4% 36.4% 26.1% 19.4%
8 20 40 50 66 104 9 222 18 39 17
Don't know
29.6% 39.5% 36.1% 32.0% 29.6% 25.3% 44.7% 27.7% 37.0% 35.6% 48.8%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

13. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
44 15 10 52 12 318
First-past-the-post
49.6% 58.4% 45.8% 33.4% 32.0% 47.6%
21 4 3 53 12 157
Alternative vote
23.4% 13.7% 11.9% 34.1% 31.8% 23.5%
24 7 9 50 14 192
Don't know
27.0% 27.9% 42.3% 32.5% 36.2% 28.8%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
15 4 4 3 18 9 13 41 17 323 4
First-past-the-post
27.5% 32.5% 52.4% 22.7% 28.9% 27.7% 39.1% 46.4% 43.4% 50.6% 26.4%
7 7 0 5 14 11 11 23 10 157 5
Alternative vote
12.1% 54.1% .0% 39.4% 22.8% 33.3% 32.9% 26.1% 24.4% 24.5% 34.5%
33 2 3 5 30 13 9 24 13 159 6
Don't know
60.4% 13.4% 47.6% 37.9% 48.3% 39.0% 28.0% 27.5% 32.3% 24.9% 39.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Base: All Alyn and Brecon and
Aberavon Aberconwy Arfon Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
respondents Deeside Radnorshire
997 22 19 26 21 23 23 26 27 27 28
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

14. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Cardiff South Dwyfor
Cardiff West East and West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Gower
and Penarth Meirionnydd
Dinefwr Pembrokeshire
34 28 28 26 24 25 26 22 24 22 24
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli
Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda
and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
23 27 24 25 20 28 22 25 24 26 25 22
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Vale of
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Wrexham Ynys Môn
Glamorgan
27 34 26 24 27 24 20
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

15. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Base: All Alyn and Brecon and
Aberavon Aberconwy Arfon Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
respondents Deeside Radnorshire
451 10 7 12 7 14 7 16 13 7 16
First-past-the-post
45.2% 46.2% 36.6% 44.3% 32.2% 60.5% 29.7% 60.3% 47.1% 26.9% 55.8%
249 8 3 9 10 3 5 3 7 9 4
Alternative vote
25.0% 36.1% 14.6% 33.2% 48.1% 12.5% 20.4% 10.9% 27.4% 34.1% 15.0%
297 4 9 6 4 6 12 8 7 10 8
Don't know
29.8% 17.7% 48.8% 22.5% 19.7% 27.0% 49.9% 28.8% 25.4% 39.1% 29.2%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Cardiff South Dwyfor
Cardiff West East and West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Gower
and Penarth Meirionnydd
Dinefwr Pembrokeshire
11 16 5 9 12 7 13 11 13 9 14
First-past-the-post
33.0% 58.0% 19.1% 33.1% 49.2% 27.8% 51.5% 50.5% 55.9% 40.5% 57.3%
6 9 11 8 8 9 3 4 5 3 6
Alternative vote
18.7% 31.8% 37.4% 31.1% 32.5% 38.2% 11.0% 17.2% 21.2% 14.3% 26.3%
16 3 12 9 4 8 10 7 5 10 4
Don't know
48.2% 10.1% 43.5% 35.8% 18.3% 33.9% 37.5% 32.3% 23.0% 45.2% 16.4%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

16. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli
Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda
and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
9 11 16 12 12 12 15 14 9 13 9 12
First-past-the-post
41.3% 40.7% 65.8% 47.6% 57.8% 42.1% 65.5% 54.9% 38.2% 52.4% 37.3% 56.4%
4 10 2 6 3 4 4 7 8 4 10 4
Alternative vote
17.1% 37.6% 8.5% 25.7% 15.1% 13.0% 17.8% 29.7% 31.8% 14.6% 40.4% 19.1%
9 6 6 7 5 12 4 4 7 8 6 5
Don't know
41.6% 21.7% 25.7% 26.7% 27.1% 44.8% 16.7% 15.4% 30.0% 32.9% 22.3% 24.4%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Vale of
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Wrexham Ynys Môn
Glamorgan
12 11 12 11 14 8 11
First-past-the-post
44.8% 32.9% 47.5% 45.8% 52.1% 32.9% 53.3%
11 10 6 6 8 5 3
Alternative vote
40.7% 30.4% 22.1% 26.9% 30.4% 20.8% 15.7%
4 12 8 7 5 11 6
Don't know
14.5% 36.7% 30.4% 27.3% 17.5% 46.3% 31.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
SEG Gender
Base: Those who
have enough
A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
information to
make a decision
318 66 100 59 85 8 164 154
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

17. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Age
65 years or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused
above
3 12 39 44 75 139 6
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Tenure
Rented from
Rented from Council or
Owner occupied Other
private landlord Housing
Association
259 14 37 8
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
27 9 5 49 12 216
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
15 2 3 14 8 6 29 13 227 2
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

18. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
SEG Gender
Base: Those who
have enough
A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
information to
make a decision
172 41 54 31 42 5 93 80
First-past-the-post
54.1% 61.5% 54.4% 51.5% 49.1% 63.1% 56.6% 51.5%
101 23 34 17 25 2 55 45
Alternative vote
31.7% 34.1% 34.3% 28.5% 29.5% 24.2% 33.9% 29.3%
45 3 11 12 18 1 16 30
Don't know
14.2% 4.4% 11.3% 20.0% 21.4% 12.7% 9.5% 19.1%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Age
65 years or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused
above
0 6 14 19 41 89 4
First-past-the-post
.0% 47.8% 35.7% 43.2% 54.2% 63.8% 66.7%
3 6 15 18 24 33 1
Alternative vote
100.0% 52.2% 39.7% 41.8% 32.5% 23.4% 16.6%
0 0 10 7 10 18 1
Don't know
.0% .0% 24.7% 15.1% 13.3% 12.8% 16.7%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

19. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Tenure
Rented from
Rented from Council or
Owner occupied Other
private landlord Housing
Association
146 5 18 4
First-past-the-post
56.2% 33.8% 48.1% 49.8%
77 8 13 3
Alternative vote
29.8% 56.5% 33.9% 37.7%
36 1 7 1
Don't know
14.0% 9.7% 18.0% 12.5%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
12 7 3 27 3 122
First-past-the-post
42.0% 79.1% 48.7% 54.4% 21.1% 56.6%
12 1 2 18 4 65
Alternative vote
43.3% 10.2% 33.2% 36.1% 31.5% 30.0%
4 1 1 5 6 29
Don't know
14.7% 10.8% 18.1% 9.6% 47.4% 13.4%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

20. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
9 0 3 4 1 3 13 8 130 2
First-past-the-post
57.2% .0% 100.0% 26.7% 12.7% 49.4% 44.0% 61.8% 57.6% 100.0%
3 1 0 7 5 3 12 4 66 0
Alternative vote
20.7% 48.9% .0% 47.3% 64.9% 50.6% 41.8% 30.1% 29.1% .0%
3 1 0 4 2 0 4 1 30 0
Don't know
22.2% 51.1% .0% 26.0% 22.4% .0% 14.2% 8.1% 13.4% .0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Base: Those who
have enough Alyn and Brecon and
Aberavon Aberconwy Arfon Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central
information to Deeside Radnorshire
make a decision
318 8 4 13 9 7 9 10 8 10
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
172 5 2 5 2 5 4 8 4 1
First-past-the-post
54.1% 56.2% 58.9% 35.3% 24.3% 70.6% 47.4% 87.2% 49.6% 8.6%
101 4 1 6 6 1 2 0 3 6
Alternative vote
31.7% 43.8% 22.0% 47.9% 75.7% 15.1% 21.2% .0% 35.9% 62.0%
45 0 1 2 0 1 3 1 1 3
Don't know
14.2% .0% 19.1% 16.8% .0% 14.3% 31.4% 12.8% 14.5% 29.5%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

21. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Cardiff South
Cardiff North Cardiff West East and West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn
and Penarth
Dinefwr Pembrokeshire
10 11 9 7 4 9 5 6 7 8
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
8 4 7 3 1 6 2 6 4 4
First-past-the-post
82.4% 34.9% 80.1% 39.3% 22.8% 67.5% 34.0% 100.0% 59.0% 48.7%
1 4 2 1 2 2 4 0 1 4
Alternative vote
9.0% 32.0% 19.9% 12.9% 52.2% 22.1% 66.0% .0% 12.9% 51.3%
1 4 0 3 1 1 0 0 2 0
Don't know
8.5% 33.1% .0% 47.9% 25.0% 10.4% .0% .0% 28.1% .0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Dwyfor Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi
Gower Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore
Meirionnydd and Rhymney re
5 10 10 11 4 4 10 6 5 6 7
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4 5 5 5 3 2 5 5 3 2 2
First-past-the-post
76.1% 54.5% 48.9% 41.3% 74.7% 47.7% 47.6% 82.2% 55.7% 31.3% 28.6%
1 5 2 7 1 1 2 0 2 3 4
Alternative vote
23.9% 45.5% 21.3% 58.7% 25.3% 25.1% 22.8% .0% 44.3% 50.9% 58.5%
0 0 3 0 0 1 3 1 0 1 1
Don't know
.0% .0% 29.8% .0% .0% 27.2% 29.6% 17.8% .0% 17.8% 12.9%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

22. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Preseli Vale of
Pontypridd Rhondda Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Wrexham Ynys Môn
Pembrokeshire Glamorgan
10 9 7 12 8 6 9 12 6 9
Base: Those who have enough
information to make a decision 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7 5 6 4 6 5 6 6 4 5
First-past-the-post
67.3% 53.1% 86.7% 38.5% 68.8% 72.0% 60.5% 54.1% 58.1% 50.5%
0 4 1 5 2 2 3 4 1 2
Alternative vote
.0% 46.9% 13.3% 45.7% 19.4% 28.0% 30.5% 37.4% 15.6% 24.1%
3 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 2 2
Don't know
32.7% .0% .0% 15.9% 11.7% .0% 9.1% 8.5% 26.3% 25.4%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
SEG Gender
Base: Those who
do not have
enough A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
information to
make a decision
Base: Those who do not have 598 111 219 119 131 16 273 325
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
252 48 93 53 50 8 121 130
First-past-the-post
42.1% 42.8% 42.6% 44.3% 38.0% 47.1% 44.4% 40.1%
133 27 53 25 27 1 78 55
Alternative vote
22.3% 24.6% 24.1% 21.0% 20.6% 5.7% 28.7% 16.9%
213 36 73 41 54 8 73 140
Don't know
35.6% 32.6% 33.3% 34.6% 41.4% 47.2% 26.8% 43.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

23. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Age
65 years or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused
above
Base: Those who do not have 21 35 64 96 136 233 12
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
2 10 22 36 63 114 5
First-past-the-post
11.2% 27.2% 34.7% 37.7% 46.1% 48.6% 42.2%
14 10 14 23 22 49 1
Alternative vote
64.8% 28.1% 22.2% 24.1% 16.4% 21.0% 8.2%
5 16 28 37 51 71 6
Don't know
24.0% 44.6% 43.1% 38.2% 37.5% 30.4% 49.6%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Tenure
Rented from
Rented from Council or
Owner occupied Other
private landlord Housing
Association
Base: Those who do not have 485 34 62 17
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
217 7 21 6
First-past-the-post
44.8% 22.2% 33.6% 35.2%
104 10 16 3
Alternative vote
21.5% 30.9% 25.7% 16.3%
163 16 25 8
Don't know
33.7% 46.9% 40.7% 48.5%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

24. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
Base: Those who do not have 54 12 14 93 25 399
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
29 6 5 23 9 180
First-past-the-post
53.2% 50.6% 37.0% 24.8% 34.4% 45.1%
8 2 1 33 8 81
Alternative vote
14.7% 16.1% 5.7% 35.5% 33.3% 20.3%
17 4 8 37 8 138
Don't know
32.2% 33.3% 57.3% 39.8% 32.3% 34.6%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
Base: Those who do not have 28 11 3 12 38 23 25 52 24 370 10
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
7 4 1 3 11 6 10 24 9 175 2
First-past-the-post
23.7% 40.7% 28.5% 22.7% 27.6% 27.7% 40.6% 46.0% 36.9% 47.2% 18.3%
3 6 0 5 5 6 7 10 5 84 3
Alternative vote
9.3% 59.3% .0% 39.4% 12.5% 24.5% 28.5% 18.8% 19.6% 22.7% 33.0%
19 0 2 5 23 11 8 18 10 112 5
Don't know
67.0% .0% 71.5% 37.9% 59.9% 47.7% 30.9% 35.1% 43.5% 30.1% 48.7%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

25. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Base: Those who
do not have
Alyn and Brecon and
enough Aberavon Aberconwy Arfon Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central
Deeside Radnorshire
information to
make a decision
Base: Those who do not have 598 13 13 12 13 15 12 15 18 14
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
252 5 3 6 5 8 2 7 8 5
First-past-the-post
42.1% 39.9% 27.2% 48.4% 37.5% 53.8% 16.2% 50.1% 45.8% 39.8%
133 4 1 2 4 2 3 2 4 2
Alternative vote
22.3% 31.3% 7.0% 20.8% 29.6% 12.1% 24.8% 12.6% 21.4% 12.2%
213 4 8 4 4 5 7 6 6 7
Don't know
35.6% 28.9% 65.7% 30.8% 32.9% 34.1% 59.0% 37.3% 32.8% 48.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Cardiff South
Cardiff North Cardiff West East and West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn
and Penarth
Dinefwr Pembrokeshire
Base: Those who do not have 15 20 17 20 23 12 18 16 15 11
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
7 7 8 3 8 5 4 6 7 7
First-past-the-post
48.1% 36.8% 43.7% 14.0% 34.7% 41.4% 21.8% 34.2% 46.6% 66.5%
3 3 7 9 6 6 6 3 3 1
Alternative vote
21.9% 14.1% 40.2% 44.2% 27.8% 49.9% 32.3% 17.3% 19.2% 8.7%
5 10 3 8 8 1 8 8 5 3
Don't know
30.0% 49.1% 16.1% 41.8% 37.5% 8.7% 46.0% 48.5% 34.2% 24.9%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

26. Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Dwyfor Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi
Gower Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore
Meirionnydd and Rhymney re
Base: Those who do not have 16 13 11 11 17 19 10 18 17 19 16
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
4 7 4 4 12 9 7 6 12 11 7
First-past-the-post
25.4% 56.6% 33.2% 39.7% 70.5% 47.3% 73.2% 33.3% 72.2% 60.1% 44.3%
2 2 1 2 1 5 1 3 2 5 3
Alternative vote
12.2% 13.2% 8.0% 16.6% 5.8% 28.3% 8.8% 15.0% 10.8% 24.6% 17.0%
10 4 7 5 4 5 2 9 3 3 6
Don't know
62.4% 30.1% 58.8% 43.7% 23.6% 24.5% 18.0% 51.7% 17.0% 15.3% 38.7%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Constituency
Preseli Vale of
Pontypridd Rhondda Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Wrexham Ynys Môn
Pembrokeshire Glamorgan
Base: Those who do not have 15 16 13 13 23 16 10 13 14 6
enough information to make a
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
decision
7 5 5 7 6 7 4 8 3 5
First-past-the-post
45.9% 28.5% 35.3% 50.0% 24.4% 40.4% 43.6% 57.9% 23.9% 83.4%
3 6 3 6 8 3 3 3 4 0
Alternative vote
19.0% 36.8% 24.7% 42.2% 33.5% 18.2% 27.2% 20.7% 29.9% .0%
5 6 5 1 10 7 3 3 6 1
Don't know
35.1% 34.6% 40.0% 7.8% 42.1% 41.3% 29.2% 21.4% 46.2% 16.6%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

27. UNWEIGHTED TABULATIONS

28. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
SEG Gender
Base: All
A/B C1 C2 D/E Refused Male Female
respondents
1004 196 353 209 216 30 469 535
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
324 71 104 62 79 8 168 156
Yes
32.3% 36.2% 29.5% 29.7% 36.6% 26.7% 35.8% 29.2%
599 116 225 124 117 17 269 330
No
59.7% 59.2% 63.7% 59.3% 54.2% 56.7% 57.4% 61.7%
81 9 24 23 20 5 32 49
Don't know
8.1% 4.6% 6.8% 11.0% 9.3% 16.7% 6.8% 9.2%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Age Tenure
Rented from
65 years or Rented from Council or
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Refused Owner occupied Other
above private landlord Housing
Association
10 31 101 154 241 447 20 842 33 97 32
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1 7 36 43 81 150 6 274 9 33 8
Yes
10.0% 22.6% 35.6% 27.9% 33.6% 33.6% 30.0% 32.5% 27.3% 34.0% 25.0%
8 21 59 96 146 257 12 506 22 55 16
No
80.0% 67.7% 58.4% 62.3% 60.6% 57.5% 60.0% 60.1% 66.7% 56.7% 50.0%
1 3 6 15 14 40 2 62 2 9 8
Don't know
10.0% 9.7% 5.9% 9.7% 5.8% 8.9% 10.0% 7.4% 6.1% 9.3% 25.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations

29. Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Welsh Language Skills
Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads Other
No skills in
spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes combination of
Welsh
only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh skills
99 27 20 147 40 671
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
31 9 6 50 13 215
Yes
31.3% 33.3% 30.0% 34.0% 32.5% 32.0%
60 12 12 87 26 402
No
60.6% 44.4% 60.0% 59.2% 65.0% 59.9%
8 6 2 10 1 54
Don't know
8.1% 22.2% 10.0% 6.8% 2.5% 8.0%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')
1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know
vote vote
50 10 7 9 62 33 33 87 40 658 15
Base: All respondents
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
13 2 3 0 14 7 6 29 14 234 2
Yes
26.0% 20.0% 42.9% .0% 22.6% 21.2% 18.2% 33.3% 35.0% 35.6% 13.3%
27 7 3 9 38 24 25 52 24 380 10
No
54.0% 70.0% 42.9% 100.0% 61.3% 72.7% 75.8% 59.8% 60.0% 57.8% 66.7%
10 1 1 0 10 2 2 6 2 44 3
Don't know
20.0% 10.0% 14.3% .0% 16.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 5.0% 6.7% 20.0%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations