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© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies Cruise The Crop Markets by John Roach January 18 - 24, 2009 Day 1
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Why were grain prices so high?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Population Growth Rates Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Global Meat  beef + pork + chickens & turkeys Production, per capita consumption, and population Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017.
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Dollar Value Down 40% Since 2002 Peak
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Index Up 180% Since 2002 Low
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Index Up 180% Since 2002 Low
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. What happened to cause prices to drop?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. USDA 2008 World Corn Yields 6/10/08 149.0  Bu/Acre U.S.  87.6  Bu/Acre Chinese 78.1  Bu/Acre World 60.1  Bu/Acre Non – U.S.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. There will not be enough money to raise crops this big next year
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. There will not be enough money to raise crops this big next year
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Corn Situation and Price Outlook
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bean Situation and Price Outlook
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Wheat Situation and Price Outlook
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. How Should I Market My Crops?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sales Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],Rule # 1
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Both Lines Over 75 = Roach Ag Sell Signal
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell & Buy Signals Your Digital Thermometer For Prices
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals 56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],Rule # 2
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],Rule # 3
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],Rule # 4
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],Rule # 5
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],Rule # 6
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing Plan  Worksheet
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.  7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL  33487 800-622-7628 [email_address]   http://www.roachag.com

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1 27 09 Presentation