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Annual Expansion Report
1400      1347

                                               1210
• An overview.                1200          1120



•Types of Services            1000

•Level of Govt. participation. 800
                               600                                              Population (In Millions)

•Major Competitors.                                                             GDP (US$ )
                               400
•S.W.O.T Analysis              200
                                      220
                                     194           188
                                                             116    113
                                                         66 50
                                                          61.6     74 87   90

•Scope of Investments.
                                                                       32 23

                                 0
•Questions.
An Overview
 India is the second most populous country in the world
    with the Overall GDP of $1.85 trillion (10th overall)
   World’s largest democracy system with multi party model
    at its core.
   Indian telecom is the second largest in the world (behind
    china) on the basis of telephone users (Both fixed and
    wireless).
   The Industry grew over 30 times from 37 million users in
    2001 to 960.09 million (Both fixed and wireless) in 2012.
   Fixed lines stood at 31.53 million in May 2012.
An Overview
 Total mobile phone active were at 929.37 million in
    2012.
   Total Wireless Teledensity were at 79.37% in 2012.
   Total monthly additions were at 8.35 million by may
    2012. (Both fixed and wireless lines).
   Fixed line rural density is at 33 % as of May 2012
   Projected Wireless Teledensity is at 84%.
   The Industry in India is rapidly transforming into Next
    Gen Network through various telephone
    exchange, mobile switching centers and media
    gateways using optical fiber or microwave radios.
An Overview
 1.18% of household in India have broadband access.
 There were 14.31 million internet users in India as of
  May 2012.
 Total ARPU for 2012 stood at $2.36 as compared to
  $46.50 in US
 Lowest mobile tariffs in India due to high competition.
 Total revenue generated in 2012 by telecom sector to be
  estimated upward of US$50 billion.
Types of Services
•Telephone      1000                                             926

                900
•Broadband      800
services        700
                                                                             Telephone (In
                600
•Broadcasting
                                                                             millions)
                500                                                          Internet (In millions)

                400                                                    329   Broadcasting (In
                                                                             millions)
                300
                200
                                                            99
                 100   19          20
                                            44   37
                            0 10        0             1.1         14.3
                  0
                       1952        1991          2000            2012
Fixed Telephone
Types of Services
 Telephone (Fixed and Wireless).
    Fixed connections: - Based on copper or optical fibers.
    The cost per connections depend upon the regions with
     northern sectors being the cheapest.
    Besides adding future connections the introduction of
     FDI also adds to the demand for wired connections.
    Digitization in fixed lines were recently introduced.
    Bulk of the population rely on landline for their internet
     connections thus adding to the future demand.
    Interconnectivity charges to be paid to BSNL.
Fixed Continued…
 With 31.6 million                                       SHARE
  connections in India
                                                  0.16
  following are the key                          0.61
                                                                        BSNL
                                                         0.07
  players
                                                 4.04                   MTNL
   BSNL                                  4.04


   MTNL                          10.49                                 BHARTI

   BHARTI
                                                                        TATA
   TATA                  11.07

   RELIANCE                                                            RELIANCE

   QUADRANT                                                    68.86
                                                                        QUADRANRT
   SISTEMA
   VODAFONE                                                            SISTEMA


                                                                        VODAFONE
WIRELESS
1000
        WIRELESS                                              800
•Subscriber base of more than 929                             600
million. (second largest in world)                                                                         USERS
                                                              400                                          REV ($BILLIONS)
•Estimated ARPU of $2.3 as compared to
$46.32 in US.                                                 200
•Cost per user fluctuates at $1.7 to $2.2.                      0
•India has 7,36,354 base transreceiver
stations . 20% of them can handle 3G
services.                                            0.58%                 0.34%
                                             1.85%                 0.53%
•India has 75 million Smartphone users.                                       0.17%
                                                                                            MARKET SHARE
•Smartphone's will grow at a CAGR of over                                                                  BHARTI
                                                                 4.64%
30% (US$18 billion)                                                                                        VODAFONE
                                                         7.26%
•Wireless handset service grew 16.7% in                                                20.58%              RELIANCE
2012 with revenues adding up to Rupees                                                                     IDEA
288,882 crore or US$ 64.4 billion.                                                                         BSNL
                                                     8.66%
                                                                                                           TATA
                                                                                                           AIRCEL

                                                                                              16.88%       UNINOR
                                                 10.93%
                                                                                                           SISTEMA
                                                                                                           MTNL
                                                                                                           VIDEOCON
                                                             12.77%                                        LOOP
                                                                                   14.83%
                                                                                                           HFCL
Wireless Contd..
•Third highest Teledensity in world with
bulk in urban areas, marked by high
prospect of growth in rural areas.
•3G and broadband services were auctioned
at US$19.2 billion in 2010.
•4G services have been slow to roll out due
to high price, unforeseen policies. Indian
government requires local operators to
partner with global giants to ease the
burden of the costs.
•Private sector hold 88.49% of the market
share; whereas government held agencies
account for remaining 11.51%.
•High competition with at least 7 to 12
companies in the same circle.
•GSM is the dominant form of technology
with around 80% and CDMA being at 20%
of total wireless consumers base.
•Wireless alone generates revenue of
upwards US$31.6billion of estimated
US$35.6 billion.
•Lowest ARPU among fellow nations
fostered by stiff competition and govt.
regulation policies.
ARPU IN US$
   Wireless Contd.                            50                             46


•Voice services near saturation in urban      40                                  33
areas; future growth possible by              30                       26
expanding data services and expansion
in uncharted rural areas.                     20        12                             ARPU IN US$
•Telecom equipment requirement                10               2.3
stood at 6.5% (US$14.3 billion) of the            0
worlds requirement with most of it
being imported.
•2G still to be a dominant force to be
reckon with. (please see graph below).
                                                      CONSUMER BASE (Millions)
Mobile Equipment                           1500
 Break Up by 2015                                      1004   929
                                           1000
        5                                                                              CONSUMER BASE
                           2G              500                              327        (Millions)
                                                                      121         75
              50           3G                0
   45
                           4G LTE
BROADBAND SERVICES
No of Internet Users (In Millions)
         BROADBAND SERVICES                                600        513
Introduced in 1995.
•Current users at 14.82 million from 14.62                 400
                                                                                 245                                    No of Internet Users (In
million. Increase of 1.37%                                                                                              Millions)
•Annual growth of 16.78%                                   200                          121     101   81
•The global trend of offering internet as
                                                            0
valued added services being followed in                            CHINA         US    INDIA JAPAN BRAZIL
India.
•Government mandated 256Kbps as a
requirement, however India still ranks at                                              NO OF CONNECTIONS (IN MILLIONS)
110 in Internet speed.
                                                       MARKET SHARE
• Bulk of these users are concentrated in                                              9.47
urban areas, whereas rural areas have
                                                                                 10
                                                                                                                    N
                                                                                                                    O
limited exposition.                                                                                                 O

•155 Internet service providers in India.
                                                                                                                    F
                                                  19.70%                           5                                C

• Internet services are slated for explosive                                                  1.37 1.06
                                                                                                                    O
                                                                                                                    N

growth in 2013with the advent of mobile        7.20%                                                    0.68 0.37   N
                                                                                                                    E
                                                                                                                            NO OF CONNECTIONS (IN
                                                                                                                            MILLIONS)
payment services in India. User                9.30%             63.90%          0
subscription rate to go over 20 million by
2015.                                                                     BSNL

•About 75% of the connections are                                         BHARTI

landline based.                                                           MTNL
                                                                          OTHERS
BROADCASTING SERVICES
800       723
                                                                       689

        BROADCASTING                                           600                                    526

•Launched in 1952, deregulated in 1992. Comprises                                399
                                                                               355               356                     NO OF TV'S (IN
more than 500 channels as of 2012.                             400                                                       MILLIONS)
                                                                                        199                    199
•Employs 3 million people with over US$15 billion                                          186
                                                                                                            156          VIEWERS
in revenue.
                                                               200
• 70% of the revenues are generated by advertising               0
and rest by subscriptions.
• TVS being promoted as part of the one of the
value added services in this day and age by local
operators.
                                                                  ADVERTISING REVENUE (IN MILLIONS-2005 DATA)
•There are 552 million viewers with 462 million on
satellite subscription.                                         $247.27 $236.36
                                                     $250.00
•With the onset of High Def services, ad revenues                                 $181.82
                                                     $200.00
have been further increased by 6.7%.
                                                     $150.00                                $120.91
•Regional channels could be set up for US$20
million, whereas national channel could take         $100.00
                                                                                                       $54.55
                                                                                                                     ADVERTISING REVENUE
US$100 millions.                                      $50.00
                                                                                                                     (IN MILLIONS-2005 DATA
•Heavily rely on revenues from Advertising               $-
(revenues generated by advertising in 2012 were
US$4.91 billion).
•High competition due to large number of
operators in various regions.
LEVEL OF GOVERNMENT PARTICIPATION
GOVERNMENT
•The Government of India allowed FDI in       250
                                                                                                                                              250

telecom in 90s with the launch of
                                                                   Comparison of subscriber base in relation to Tariff
economic revival program.
•At present 74%-100% FDI is allowed in 3G
or less spectrums. Up to 49% is allowed in                                                                                            200
4G spectrum.                                  200                                                                              190

•The formation of NTP’s (National telecom                                                                              180

policies)helped in better foreign
investment flows in India. Current NTP
2012 is released for the fiscal year.         150
•TRAI (Telecom Regulatory Authority of
India) was establish in 1997 to oversee day                                                                                                         TARIFF
to day operations related with Telecom
                                                                                                                                                    SUBSCRIBERS
sector.
                                              100
•TDSAT (Telecom Disputes Settlement
Appellate Tribunal) was formed in the year
2000 to assist with ranging disputes among                                                                    70

operators in Telecom sector.
•With the auction of 3G services TRAI          50                                             40
                                                                                                       45
helped Indian government earn over US$19                                             35
billion.                                                 20        20
                                                                            25
                                                    16        16
•The subscriber base exploded with the                                  8        5        5        4        3.5    3         2.7     2
onset of NTP 99. Please see chart for                                                                                                       1.7
                                               0
references
                                                    1998      1999      2000     2001     2002     2003     2004   2005      2006    2007   2008
Government Continued..
•The current government allows operators
to provide fixed and wireless line under
                                                   WPC-
one license.                                     SPECTRUM
                                                MANAGMENT
•The government launched USO                                                                                         TRAI
                                                                                                             Independent Regulator
(Universal service obligation) along with
NTP 99 to widen the reach of telecom and              DoT-
                                                                           Indian Telecom
                                                                         Industry Framework
increase Teledensity.                             License and
                                                   frequency
• Pricing policy and execution to be              management
                                                                                                                   TDSAT
approved by TRAI and DOT.                                                                                      Handles Disputes
                                                                                                               among operators
•Interconnectivity charges among                     GoT-IT
                                                   Handles Ad-
operators are also to be approved by TRAI          Hoc Issues
and DoT.
•NTP-2012 incorporates framework for
increasing the availability of spectrum for
telecom services including triple play
services (voice, video and data) for which
broadband is the key driver.                  Integred Fixed Line
                                                     BSNL
                                                                    ILD Players
                                                                                              Private CDMA
                                                                                                 Reliance
                                                                                                                      GSM Players
                                                                                                                   Bharti / Vodafone /
                                                                      VSNL
•Through the NTP-2012, DoT is floating              MTNL                                           TTSL             Idea/BSNL/Aircel

tenders that requires 24 fibreOFN
(optical fiber network) of 350,000 miles;
this project will further boost the
interconnectivity between rural and urban
areas.
Per the NTP 2012, Govt of India is rapidly developing its communication
abilities and is leaving no stone unturned.
Following are the main excerpts: -
•Increase rural Teledensity from the current level of around 39 to 70 by the year 2017 and 100 by the
year 2020.

•Provide affordable and reliable broadband-on-demand by the year 2015 and to achieve 175 million
broadband connections by the year 2017 and 600 million by the year 2020 at minimum 2 Mbps
download speed and making available higher speeds of at least 100 Mbps on demand

•Simplify the licensing framework to further extend converged high quality services across the
nation including rural and remote areas. This will not cover content regulation.

•Reposition the mobile phone from a mere communication device to an instrument of empowerment
that combines communication with proof of identity, fully secure financial and other transaction
capability, multi-lingual services and a whole range of other capabilities that ride on them and
transcend the literacy barrier.

•Strive to create One Nation - One License across services and service areas.

•Achieve One Nation - Full Mobile Number Portability and work towards One Nation - Free
Roaming.
10’-
THE INDIAN TELCOME TIMELINE                                  3g Auctioned

                                                           2008 – 3G policy
                                                         announced, spectrum
                                                           auction awaited.


                                                    2006 – Number Portability was
                                                             proposed


                                               2005- Measures to boost rural Teledensity.
                                              FDI limit was also increased from 49 to 74%


                                         2004 – Intra circle merger guidelines was established.
                                                Broadband 2004 policy was formulated


                                   2003 – Calling party pay was implemented. Unified license regime
                                                            was introduced.



                                                   2002 – CDMA services launched.



                              2000-BSNL was established / Reduction of license fees / ILD services opened.



                                                     1999 – NTP 99 was launched



                                                        1997 – TRAI established



                                                        1994 – NTP Formulated



                                                 1992 – PVT companies allowed in VAS
PRESENT TELECOM MARKET SHARE
       Indian Telecom (Includes phone, broadband and broadcasting subscriptions) in 2012


                        12%
                                                            23%                        AIRTEL
        5%

                                                                                       IDEA


                                                                                       VODAFONE
15%

                                                                         10%           RELIANCE


                                                                                       BSNL

                  12%                               10%                                TATA


                                                                                       OTHERS
MAIN COMPETITION
•Established in 1995 by Sunil Bharti Mittal. It
generated US$14.49 billion in revenue for 2012
with overall total assets of US$31.85 billion.
Its PPS (price per share is) US$5.82.
•Currently operates in 20 countries. Offering
2G, 3G and 4G services.
•Focuses on B2C (Business to customer) and        $16.00

B2B (Business to Business) segments.
                                                                                                 $14.20
                                                  $14.00
•Fourth largest telecom company in the world
with 261 million subscribers worldwide and        $12.00
183.6 million in India alone.                                                    $11.20


•Offers various diversified services such as      $10.00
                                                                                                          STOCK PRICES
broadband, phone (fixed and wireless), TV
subscription services, Airtel money               $8.00
                                                                                                          TOTAL REVENUE (IN
                                                                  $7.27
                                                                                                          BILLIONS)
(Ecommerce platform )                                             $6.45
                                                                                 $6.24
                                                  $6.00
•Has a business strategy of outsourcing its                                                      $5.78


operations to IBM and Ericsson thus further       $4.00
reducing its call rate to Rupees 1 or $0.02 /
minute.                                           $2.00


                                                     $-
                                                           2010           2011            2012
•Founded in 1995, currently head by
Kumar Mangalam Birla.
•Had an overall revenue of US$2.8 billion.
•Total Assets of US$5.34 billion in 2011.
•Subscriber (Wireless) base set at 97
million subscriber.
•Current 3G service provider in 11 circles.
•Idea’s ARPU stood at US$2.2 for the year
2012.                                                                                       P
                                                                                            r
•Has a 3G subscriber base of 3.7 million                                                    i
                                                             Price per share (US$)          c
user.                                                                                       e
• Average share price US$ 1.9.                $2.00                                         p
                                                                                            e
•Overall employees at 6489 in 2012                                                          r

•Extensive operational infrastructure in      $1.50
                                                                                            s
India.                                                                                      h
                                                                                            a
                                              $1.00
•Involved in PAN-India network for its 3G                                                   r
                                                                                            e
distribution to its subscribers.
                                              $0.50                                         (
•Offers wireless services as of 2012.                                                       U
                                                                                            S
                                                $-
                                                      2010             2011          2012
                                                                                                Price per share (US$)
•Came into existence in the year 2000 by              MARKET SHARE IN WIRELESS, BROADBAND AND
diverging DoT (department of telecom was                              WIRELESS
divererged into BSNL)
•Generated revenues worth US$5.08 billion in                           10.93
2012.
•BSNL has the largest 3G network in India.
Additionally, BSNL 3G services usually cover
not only the main town/city but also the
adjoining suburbs and rural areas as well. As of
now BSNL has 3G services in 826 cities across
                                                   68.89
India.                                                                                     WIRELESS
•Wireless subscriber base of 97.7 million.
•Broadband share of 9.7 million subscription                                       63.89   BROADBAND
•Fixed line share of 68.8 % at 24.2 million
subscribers.
                                                                                           FIXED LINE
•Total operational assets are based at US$21.41
billion.
•Net income based at –US$1.61 billion (incurred
losses in 2012)
VODAFONE
                                                                              Global Coverage as of
                                                                                      2012



•Vodafone revenue for 2012 at US$5.2 billion.
•Vodafone is a successor to Essar + Hutch
collaboration.
•operational profit margin increased to 28.4 per
cent as a result of increasing operating
efficiency, based on scale and lower customer
acquisition cost.
•Vodafone annual ARPU at US$3.26 in 2012.
•Has 141 million wireless subscribers.
•Vodafone India is a subsidiary of Vodafone
Global.
•Vodafone paid US$2.6 billion (the second
highest.                                                      Vodafone India Revenue (in US$ Billions)
•amount in the auctions) for spectrum in 10
circles. The circles it will provide 3G in are     8                   6.6
Delhi, Kanpur, Gujarat, Haryana, Kolkata, Mah
arashtra & Goa, Mumbai, Tamil Nadu, Uttar
                                                                                  5.3
Pradesh (East) and West Bengal.                    6    4.9
•Vodafone also operates 3G services in
Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh                                                              Vodafone India
(West) through an agreement with Idea and in       4                                                  Revenue (in US$
Karnataka through an agreement with Airtel.                                                           Billions)
This gives Vodafone a 3G presence in 13 out of
22 circles in India                                2

                                                   0
                                                       2010          2011       2012
•Ranks among the top 5 telecommunications
companies in the world by number of
customers in a single country.
•Headed by Anil Dhirubhai Ambani.
•Generated revenues to the tune of US$2.02
billion in 2012.
•Has total assets worth US$14.65 billion
•Generated net income of US$28.39 million
in 2012.
•Has 28000 employees on its payroll.
•The company has established a pan-
India, next-generation, integrated (wireless
and wire line), convergent (voice, data and
video) digital network that is capable of
supporting services spanning the entire        $3.00                         $2.91
communications value chain, covering over
24,000 towns and 600,000 villages.                                              $2.02

•Reliance Big TV offers its 1.7 million
                                               $2.00      $1.65
                                                       $1.34         $1.49
                                                                  $1.27
customers DVD-quality pictures on over 200                                              Reliance Stock Comparison

channels using MPEG-4 technology.              $1.00                                    Reliance Revenue

•Reliance Communications paid US$1.8
billion for 3G spectrum in 13 circles.           $-
                                                       2010       2011       2012
STRENGTH




           LENSER
THREATS    S.W.O.T       WEAKNESES

          ANALYSIS




           OPPURTUNITY
STRENGTHS




                                                                                                  Global ARPU @ $29.98
                            Largest telecom infrastructure in the world                           Annual global Wireless subscribers at 335
                            (US$108.98 Billion)                                                   million.
                            2012 Global sales pegged at US$42.56                                  Largest OFN facility in the world (annual
                            billion.                                                              production @ 400,000 miles)
                            Net Income in 2012 @ US$8.9




                                                        US$100.62 billion in cash flow reserves
Providing time tested Value added services              Annual stock price for 2012 at US$22.56       Extensive dealership network in over 89
in 29 nations                                                                                                         nations
                                                        Global impressive brand image
Global Operational costs down by 2.9%                                                                 Merger /Acquisitions in over 89 nations
                                                        Robust research and development
Pioneer in GPS technology                               department (Annual patent fees revenue         Overall global penetration @ 66% in
                                                        from various organizations at US$2.9                     subscriber base.
                                                        Billion)
w
E
    A
K
    N
E
    S
E
    S
Our global presence
                                          and strong financials
                                          allow us to compete
                                          with the competition
                                          in India. The key to
                                          generate profit will be
                                          lower costs and quality
                                          service at




Advent of acquisition or merger can
lower cost of entry in Indian scenario.
TRAI and DoT are efficient telecom                                  Wireless market in metros is saturated
regulators as compared with agencies                                but rural areas is majorly untapped.
in other countries .                                                Approx 67% of the population lives in
                                                                    rural areas. This vast market has a
Mobile Broadband is slow to pick up;                                potential of another $8.9 billion in
our global pioneer position with
discounted value added service could
                                                                    value added services.                        OPPORTUNITY
be beneficial factor                                                Manufacturing telecom equipment is
                                                                    our forte that India has so less to offer.
The relative young generation of the                                Further $6.8 billion can be generated
populous also adds to the lucrative                                 by manufacturing telecom equipment.
market of the smart phones.




                                          The introduction of
                                          FDI in various sectors
                                          in particular Retail
                                          would       boost  the
                                          demand for wire line
                                          based broadband. The
                                          potential market is
                                          estimated to be $8.9
                                          billion in 2013.
The presence of a coalition in the federal
                                                 government structure creates policy paralysis
                                                 in the Indian scenario (important decisions
                                                 impacting economic growth and welfare are
                                                 difficult to pass due to the vested interests of
                                                 various political parties and groups)
                                                 Developing own telecom infrastructure will be a
                                                 challenge as to get the laws passed will take
                                                 considerable time and would be met with
                                                 opposition from the competition.



Cut throat competition in India is the biggest                                                      The 2G scam in 2008 brought out the
threat (Reliance, Tata , BSNL have incurred                                                         vulnerability of the security of foreign
loses due to loss-$1.9 billion combined in                                                          investment in India. The reversal order by
revenue and rising costs).                                                                          Supreme court of India incurred losses in
Global financial scenario (India seems to have                                                      billions of dollars on various Multi national
dodged the 2008 crises bullet but is                                                                telecom carriers. Although lobbying in illegal in
experiencing slower growth in 2012).                                                                India but on the other hand very little or
                                                                                                    nothing is accomplished without lobbying.




                                                      THREATS
INVESTMENT IN INDIA? WHY NOT!!
Yes, the political situation in India is very delicate and fragile. Lobbying is illegal and a necessary evil. India has the lowest
     ARPU and cut throat competition. But we shouldn’t forget this lucrative market because of these following reasons: -
 Second most populous country in the world with overall disposable income per person at $1,326 annual.
 An upcoming younger generation eager to get their hands on a Smartphone (an estimated $18 billion dollar market in
     next 2 years – we pioneered with Apple and introduced I-phone to the world, a similar wind in India could add at least
     give us $6 billion of that share.)
 We are known leaders in the telecom equipment manufacturing; India relies on the imports of the telecom equipment.
     By setting up a production plant we can bank on to capturing at least $4 billion of the $6.5 billion equipment market in
     India.
 Our strong financials and global presence can help us manage our losses for first five years as we catch on with the
     competition and dig in for the long haul. (With the full nationwide thrust we are expecting to incur $656 million in
     losses in the first year with an increment of 12.8% every other year).
 Losses would be generated into profits by eliminating local carriers and capitalizing on the vast untapped rural
     network.
 Losses would also include getting spectrum licenses in all circles thus setting up our infrastructure (cell towers, OFN).
     We wouldn’t have to pay hefty interconnectivity charges to any carriers except BSNL. This would help us on saving on
     operational costs.
 India’s growing economy needs more faster network, we are leaders in innovation and pioneers in establishing new
     technology through time – place tested measures. Our overall global assets @ $110.89 billion would come in handy in
     the Indian Market.
•UPON REQUEST
       •----Rohan   krishan

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Indian telecom industry

  • 2. 1400 1347 1210 • An overview. 1200 1120 •Types of Services 1000 •Level of Govt. participation. 800 600 Population (In Millions) •Major Competitors. GDP (US$ ) 400 •S.W.O.T Analysis 200 220 194 188 116 113 66 50 61.6 74 87 90 •Scope of Investments. 32 23 0 •Questions.
  • 3. An Overview  India is the second most populous country in the world with the Overall GDP of $1.85 trillion (10th overall)  World’s largest democracy system with multi party model at its core.  Indian telecom is the second largest in the world (behind china) on the basis of telephone users (Both fixed and wireless).  The Industry grew over 30 times from 37 million users in 2001 to 960.09 million (Both fixed and wireless) in 2012.  Fixed lines stood at 31.53 million in May 2012.
  • 4. An Overview  Total mobile phone active were at 929.37 million in 2012.  Total Wireless Teledensity were at 79.37% in 2012.  Total monthly additions were at 8.35 million by may 2012. (Both fixed and wireless lines).  Fixed line rural density is at 33 % as of May 2012  Projected Wireless Teledensity is at 84%.  The Industry in India is rapidly transforming into Next Gen Network through various telephone exchange, mobile switching centers and media gateways using optical fiber or microwave radios.
  • 5. An Overview  1.18% of household in India have broadband access.  There were 14.31 million internet users in India as of May 2012.  Total ARPU for 2012 stood at $2.36 as compared to $46.50 in US  Lowest mobile tariffs in India due to high competition.  Total revenue generated in 2012 by telecom sector to be estimated upward of US$50 billion.
  • 6. Types of Services •Telephone 1000 926 900 •Broadband 800 services 700 Telephone (In 600 •Broadcasting millions) 500 Internet (In millions) 400 329 Broadcasting (In millions) 300 200 99 100 19 20 44 37 0 10 0 1.1 14.3 0 1952 1991 2000 2012
  • 8. Types of Services  Telephone (Fixed and Wireless).  Fixed connections: - Based on copper or optical fibers.  The cost per connections depend upon the regions with northern sectors being the cheapest.  Besides adding future connections the introduction of FDI also adds to the demand for wired connections.  Digitization in fixed lines were recently introduced.  Bulk of the population rely on landline for their internet connections thus adding to the future demand.  Interconnectivity charges to be paid to BSNL.
  • 9. Fixed Continued…  With 31.6 million SHARE connections in India 0.16 following are the key 0.61 BSNL 0.07 players 4.04 MTNL  BSNL 4.04  MTNL 10.49 BHARTI  BHARTI TATA  TATA 11.07  RELIANCE RELIANCE  QUADRANT 68.86 QUADRANRT  SISTEMA  VODAFONE SISTEMA VODAFONE
  • 11. 1000 WIRELESS 800 •Subscriber base of more than 929 600 million. (second largest in world) USERS 400 REV ($BILLIONS) •Estimated ARPU of $2.3 as compared to $46.32 in US. 200 •Cost per user fluctuates at $1.7 to $2.2. 0 •India has 7,36,354 base transreceiver stations . 20% of them can handle 3G services. 0.58% 0.34% 1.85% 0.53% •India has 75 million Smartphone users. 0.17% MARKET SHARE •Smartphone's will grow at a CAGR of over BHARTI 4.64% 30% (US$18 billion) VODAFONE 7.26% •Wireless handset service grew 16.7% in 20.58% RELIANCE 2012 with revenues adding up to Rupees IDEA 288,882 crore or US$ 64.4 billion. BSNL 8.66% TATA AIRCEL 16.88% UNINOR 10.93% SISTEMA MTNL VIDEOCON 12.77% LOOP 14.83% HFCL
  • 12. Wireless Contd.. •Third highest Teledensity in world with bulk in urban areas, marked by high prospect of growth in rural areas. •3G and broadband services were auctioned at US$19.2 billion in 2010. •4G services have been slow to roll out due to high price, unforeseen policies. Indian government requires local operators to partner with global giants to ease the burden of the costs. •Private sector hold 88.49% of the market share; whereas government held agencies account for remaining 11.51%. •High competition with at least 7 to 12 companies in the same circle. •GSM is the dominant form of technology with around 80% and CDMA being at 20% of total wireless consumers base. •Wireless alone generates revenue of upwards US$31.6billion of estimated US$35.6 billion. •Lowest ARPU among fellow nations fostered by stiff competition and govt. regulation policies.
  • 13. ARPU IN US$ Wireless Contd. 50 46 •Voice services near saturation in urban 40 33 areas; future growth possible by 30 26 expanding data services and expansion in uncharted rural areas. 20 12 ARPU IN US$ •Telecom equipment requirement 10 2.3 stood at 6.5% (US$14.3 billion) of the 0 worlds requirement with most of it being imported. •2G still to be a dominant force to be reckon with. (please see graph below). CONSUMER BASE (Millions) Mobile Equipment 1500 Break Up by 2015 1004 929 1000 5 CONSUMER BASE 2G 500 327 (Millions) 121 75 50 3G 0 45 4G LTE
  • 15. No of Internet Users (In Millions) BROADBAND SERVICES 600 513 Introduced in 1995. •Current users at 14.82 million from 14.62 400 245 No of Internet Users (In million. Increase of 1.37% Millions) •Annual growth of 16.78% 200 121 101 81 •The global trend of offering internet as 0 valued added services being followed in CHINA US INDIA JAPAN BRAZIL India. •Government mandated 256Kbps as a requirement, however India still ranks at NO OF CONNECTIONS (IN MILLIONS) 110 in Internet speed. MARKET SHARE • Bulk of these users are concentrated in 9.47 urban areas, whereas rural areas have 10 N O limited exposition. O •155 Internet service providers in India. F 19.70% 5 C • Internet services are slated for explosive 1.37 1.06 O N growth in 2013with the advent of mobile 7.20% 0.68 0.37 N E NO OF CONNECTIONS (IN MILLIONS) payment services in India. User 9.30% 63.90% 0 subscription rate to go over 20 million by 2015. BSNL •About 75% of the connections are BHARTI landline based. MTNL OTHERS
  • 17. 800 723 689 BROADCASTING 600 526 •Launched in 1952, deregulated in 1992. Comprises 399 355 356 NO OF TV'S (IN more than 500 channels as of 2012. 400 MILLIONS) 199 199 •Employs 3 million people with over US$15 billion 186 156 VIEWERS in revenue. 200 • 70% of the revenues are generated by advertising 0 and rest by subscriptions. • TVS being promoted as part of the one of the value added services in this day and age by local operators. ADVERTISING REVENUE (IN MILLIONS-2005 DATA) •There are 552 million viewers with 462 million on satellite subscription. $247.27 $236.36 $250.00 •With the onset of High Def services, ad revenues $181.82 $200.00 have been further increased by 6.7%. $150.00 $120.91 •Regional channels could be set up for US$20 million, whereas national channel could take $100.00 $54.55 ADVERTISING REVENUE US$100 millions. $50.00 (IN MILLIONS-2005 DATA •Heavily rely on revenues from Advertising $- (revenues generated by advertising in 2012 were US$4.91 billion). •High competition due to large number of operators in various regions.
  • 18. LEVEL OF GOVERNMENT PARTICIPATION
  • 19. GOVERNMENT •The Government of India allowed FDI in 250 250 telecom in 90s with the launch of Comparison of subscriber base in relation to Tariff economic revival program. •At present 74%-100% FDI is allowed in 3G or less spectrums. Up to 49% is allowed in 200 4G spectrum. 200 190 •The formation of NTP’s (National telecom 180 policies)helped in better foreign investment flows in India. Current NTP 2012 is released for the fiscal year. 150 •TRAI (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India) was establish in 1997 to oversee day TARIFF to day operations related with Telecom SUBSCRIBERS sector. 100 •TDSAT (Telecom Disputes Settlement Appellate Tribunal) was formed in the year 2000 to assist with ranging disputes among 70 operators in Telecom sector. •With the auction of 3G services TRAI 50 40 45 helped Indian government earn over US$19 35 billion. 20 20 25 16 16 •The subscriber base exploded with the 8 5 5 4 3.5 3 2.7 2 onset of NTP 99. Please see chart for 1.7 0 references 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
  • 20. Government Continued.. •The current government allows operators to provide fixed and wireless line under WPC- one license. SPECTRUM MANAGMENT •The government launched USO TRAI Independent Regulator (Universal service obligation) along with NTP 99 to widen the reach of telecom and DoT- Indian Telecom Industry Framework increase Teledensity. License and frequency • Pricing policy and execution to be management TDSAT approved by TRAI and DOT. Handles Disputes among operators •Interconnectivity charges among GoT-IT Handles Ad- operators are also to be approved by TRAI Hoc Issues and DoT. •NTP-2012 incorporates framework for increasing the availability of spectrum for telecom services including triple play services (voice, video and data) for which broadband is the key driver. Integred Fixed Line BSNL ILD Players Private CDMA Reliance GSM Players Bharti / Vodafone / VSNL •Through the NTP-2012, DoT is floating MTNL TTSL Idea/BSNL/Aircel tenders that requires 24 fibreOFN (optical fiber network) of 350,000 miles; this project will further boost the interconnectivity between rural and urban areas.
  • 21. Per the NTP 2012, Govt of India is rapidly developing its communication abilities and is leaving no stone unturned. Following are the main excerpts: - •Increase rural Teledensity from the current level of around 39 to 70 by the year 2017 and 100 by the year 2020. •Provide affordable and reliable broadband-on-demand by the year 2015 and to achieve 175 million broadband connections by the year 2017 and 600 million by the year 2020 at minimum 2 Mbps download speed and making available higher speeds of at least 100 Mbps on demand •Simplify the licensing framework to further extend converged high quality services across the nation including rural and remote areas. This will not cover content regulation. •Reposition the mobile phone from a mere communication device to an instrument of empowerment that combines communication with proof of identity, fully secure financial and other transaction capability, multi-lingual services and a whole range of other capabilities that ride on them and transcend the literacy barrier. •Strive to create One Nation - One License across services and service areas. •Achieve One Nation - Full Mobile Number Portability and work towards One Nation - Free Roaming.
  • 22. 10’- THE INDIAN TELCOME TIMELINE 3g Auctioned 2008 – 3G policy announced, spectrum auction awaited. 2006 – Number Portability was proposed 2005- Measures to boost rural Teledensity. FDI limit was also increased from 49 to 74% 2004 – Intra circle merger guidelines was established. Broadband 2004 policy was formulated 2003 – Calling party pay was implemented. Unified license regime was introduced. 2002 – CDMA services launched. 2000-BSNL was established / Reduction of license fees / ILD services opened. 1999 – NTP 99 was launched 1997 – TRAI established 1994 – NTP Formulated 1992 – PVT companies allowed in VAS
  • 23. PRESENT TELECOM MARKET SHARE Indian Telecom (Includes phone, broadband and broadcasting subscriptions) in 2012 12% 23% AIRTEL 5% IDEA VODAFONE 15% 10% RELIANCE BSNL 12% 10% TATA OTHERS
  • 25. •Established in 1995 by Sunil Bharti Mittal. It generated US$14.49 billion in revenue for 2012 with overall total assets of US$31.85 billion. Its PPS (price per share is) US$5.82. •Currently operates in 20 countries. Offering 2G, 3G and 4G services. •Focuses on B2C (Business to customer) and $16.00 B2B (Business to Business) segments. $14.20 $14.00 •Fourth largest telecom company in the world with 261 million subscribers worldwide and $12.00 183.6 million in India alone. $11.20 •Offers various diversified services such as $10.00 STOCK PRICES broadband, phone (fixed and wireless), TV subscription services, Airtel money $8.00 TOTAL REVENUE (IN $7.27 BILLIONS) (Ecommerce platform ) $6.45 $6.24 $6.00 •Has a business strategy of outsourcing its $5.78 operations to IBM and Ericsson thus further $4.00 reducing its call rate to Rupees 1 or $0.02 / minute. $2.00 $- 2010 2011 2012
  • 26. •Founded in 1995, currently head by Kumar Mangalam Birla. •Had an overall revenue of US$2.8 billion. •Total Assets of US$5.34 billion in 2011. •Subscriber (Wireless) base set at 97 million subscriber. •Current 3G service provider in 11 circles. •Idea’s ARPU stood at US$2.2 for the year 2012. P r •Has a 3G subscriber base of 3.7 million i Price per share (US$) c user. e • Average share price US$ 1.9. $2.00 p e •Overall employees at 6489 in 2012 r •Extensive operational infrastructure in $1.50 s India. h a $1.00 •Involved in PAN-India network for its 3G r e distribution to its subscribers. $0.50 ( •Offers wireless services as of 2012. U S $- 2010 2011 2012 Price per share (US$)
  • 27. •Came into existence in the year 2000 by MARKET SHARE IN WIRELESS, BROADBAND AND diverging DoT (department of telecom was WIRELESS divererged into BSNL) •Generated revenues worth US$5.08 billion in 10.93 2012. •BSNL has the largest 3G network in India. Additionally, BSNL 3G services usually cover not only the main town/city but also the adjoining suburbs and rural areas as well. As of now BSNL has 3G services in 826 cities across 68.89 India. WIRELESS •Wireless subscriber base of 97.7 million. •Broadband share of 9.7 million subscription 63.89 BROADBAND •Fixed line share of 68.8 % at 24.2 million subscribers. FIXED LINE •Total operational assets are based at US$21.41 billion. •Net income based at –US$1.61 billion (incurred losses in 2012)
  • 28. VODAFONE Global Coverage as of 2012 •Vodafone revenue for 2012 at US$5.2 billion. •Vodafone is a successor to Essar + Hutch collaboration. •operational profit margin increased to 28.4 per cent as a result of increasing operating efficiency, based on scale and lower customer acquisition cost. •Vodafone annual ARPU at US$3.26 in 2012. •Has 141 million wireless subscribers. •Vodafone India is a subsidiary of Vodafone Global. •Vodafone paid US$2.6 billion (the second highest. Vodafone India Revenue (in US$ Billions) •amount in the auctions) for spectrum in 10 circles. The circles it will provide 3G in are 8 6.6 Delhi, Kanpur, Gujarat, Haryana, Kolkata, Mah arashtra & Goa, Mumbai, Tamil Nadu, Uttar 5.3 Pradesh (East) and West Bengal. 6 4.9 •Vodafone also operates 3G services in Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh Vodafone India (West) through an agreement with Idea and in 4 Revenue (in US$ Karnataka through an agreement with Airtel. Billions) This gives Vodafone a 3G presence in 13 out of 22 circles in India 2 0 2010 2011 2012
  • 29. •Ranks among the top 5 telecommunications companies in the world by number of customers in a single country. •Headed by Anil Dhirubhai Ambani. •Generated revenues to the tune of US$2.02 billion in 2012. •Has total assets worth US$14.65 billion •Generated net income of US$28.39 million in 2012. •Has 28000 employees on its payroll. •The company has established a pan- India, next-generation, integrated (wireless and wire line), convergent (voice, data and video) digital network that is capable of supporting services spanning the entire $3.00 $2.91 communications value chain, covering over 24,000 towns and 600,000 villages. $2.02 •Reliance Big TV offers its 1.7 million $2.00 $1.65 $1.34 $1.49 $1.27 customers DVD-quality pictures on over 200 Reliance Stock Comparison channels using MPEG-4 technology. $1.00 Reliance Revenue •Reliance Communications paid US$1.8 billion for 3G spectrum in 13 circles. $- 2010 2011 2012
  • 30. STRENGTH LENSER THREATS S.W.O.T WEAKNESES ANALYSIS OPPURTUNITY
  • 31. STRENGTHS Global ARPU @ $29.98 Largest telecom infrastructure in the world Annual global Wireless subscribers at 335 (US$108.98 Billion) million. 2012 Global sales pegged at US$42.56 Largest OFN facility in the world (annual billion. production @ 400,000 miles) Net Income in 2012 @ US$8.9 US$100.62 billion in cash flow reserves Providing time tested Value added services Annual stock price for 2012 at US$22.56 Extensive dealership network in over 89 in 29 nations nations Global impressive brand image Global Operational costs down by 2.9% Merger /Acquisitions in over 89 nations Robust research and development Pioneer in GPS technology department (Annual patent fees revenue Overall global penetration @ 66% in from various organizations at US$2.9 subscriber base. Billion)
  • 32. w E A K N E S E S
  • 33. Our global presence and strong financials allow us to compete with the competition in India. The key to generate profit will be lower costs and quality service at Advent of acquisition or merger can lower cost of entry in Indian scenario. TRAI and DoT are efficient telecom Wireless market in metros is saturated regulators as compared with agencies but rural areas is majorly untapped. in other countries . Approx 67% of the population lives in rural areas. This vast market has a Mobile Broadband is slow to pick up; potential of another $8.9 billion in our global pioneer position with discounted value added service could value added services. OPPORTUNITY be beneficial factor Manufacturing telecom equipment is our forte that India has so less to offer. The relative young generation of the Further $6.8 billion can be generated populous also adds to the lucrative by manufacturing telecom equipment. market of the smart phones. The introduction of FDI in various sectors in particular Retail would boost the demand for wire line based broadband. The potential market is estimated to be $8.9 billion in 2013.
  • 34. The presence of a coalition in the federal government structure creates policy paralysis in the Indian scenario (important decisions impacting economic growth and welfare are difficult to pass due to the vested interests of various political parties and groups) Developing own telecom infrastructure will be a challenge as to get the laws passed will take considerable time and would be met with opposition from the competition. Cut throat competition in India is the biggest The 2G scam in 2008 brought out the threat (Reliance, Tata , BSNL have incurred vulnerability of the security of foreign loses due to loss-$1.9 billion combined in investment in India. The reversal order by revenue and rising costs). Supreme court of India incurred losses in Global financial scenario (India seems to have billions of dollars on various Multi national dodged the 2008 crises bullet but is telecom carriers. Although lobbying in illegal in experiencing slower growth in 2012). India but on the other hand very little or nothing is accomplished without lobbying. THREATS
  • 35. INVESTMENT IN INDIA? WHY NOT!! Yes, the political situation in India is very delicate and fragile. Lobbying is illegal and a necessary evil. India has the lowest ARPU and cut throat competition. But we shouldn’t forget this lucrative market because of these following reasons: -  Second most populous country in the world with overall disposable income per person at $1,326 annual.  An upcoming younger generation eager to get their hands on a Smartphone (an estimated $18 billion dollar market in next 2 years – we pioneered with Apple and introduced I-phone to the world, a similar wind in India could add at least give us $6 billion of that share.)  We are known leaders in the telecom equipment manufacturing; India relies on the imports of the telecom equipment. By setting up a production plant we can bank on to capturing at least $4 billion of the $6.5 billion equipment market in India.  Our strong financials and global presence can help us manage our losses for first five years as we catch on with the competition and dig in for the long haul. (With the full nationwide thrust we are expecting to incur $656 million in losses in the first year with an increment of 12.8% every other year).  Losses would be generated into profits by eliminating local carriers and capitalizing on the vast untapped rural network.  Losses would also include getting spectrum licenses in all circles thus setting up our infrastructure (cell towers, OFN). We wouldn’t have to pay hefty interconnectivity charges to any carriers except BSNL. This would help us on saving on operational costs.  India’s growing economy needs more faster network, we are leaders in innovation and pioneers in establishing new technology through time – place tested measures. Our overall global assets @ $110.89 billion would come in handy in the Indian Market.
  • 36. •UPON REQUEST •----Rohan krishan