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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
INVESTOR UPDATE




LONDON
NOVEMBER 14, 2012
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012   1
SHELL: INDUSTRY LEADER IN NATURAL GAS




  LNG transport                                          Malaysia: E11 platform supplying gas to Bintulu LNG/GTL plants




  Qatar: Pearl GTL                                       China: Changbei drilling platfrom


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                               2
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
LEADERSHIP IN GLOBAL GAS
PETER VOSER
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012   3
DEFINITIONS AND CAUTIONARY NOTE

The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal
Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us”
and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by
identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which
Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies
in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control are
referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term
“Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership
interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest.

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other
than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are
based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the
potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and
assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’,
‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There
are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the
forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for
Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental
and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such
transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments
including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l)
political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of
projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are
expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2011 (available at
www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this
presentation, 14 November 2012. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred
from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this
presentation in the future, or that they will be made at all.

We use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from
including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website
www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                                                                                  4
PROGRAMME TODAY



 Gas markets & Shell integrated gas strategy
  Simon Henry; Chief Financial Officer
      Maarten Wetselaar; Executive Vice President
      Upstream International


 Asia Pacific portfolio + strategy
   Andrew Brown; Upstream International Director
      Ann Pickard; Executive Vice President Australia
      HK Lim; Executive Chairman Shell China


 Project development
   Matthias Bichsel; Projects & Technology Director
      Rob Kretzers; Executive Vice President Projects

                                                         India: Hazira LNG import terminal




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                       5
GLOBAL ENERGY OUTLOOK

DEMAND GROWTH
Energy demand outlook in million boe/d

400
                                                                                          Energy demand +60% 2010 – 2050
                                                                                          Hydrocarbons dominate outlook
                                                                                          Gas demand doubling 2010-2050
300




200




100


                                                                                            MAJOR OPPORTUNITY
                                                                                            FOR SHELL
   0
           1980          1990        2000      2010      2020    2030      2040    2050

                              Oil                               Solar
         Shell                Natural gas                       Other renewables
        activities            Biomas                            Nuclear
                              Wind                              Coal



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                    6
GAS: >250 YEARS GLOBAL SUPPLY


                                                                      Positive global support for gas
                                                                        Economic and jobs potential
                                      Reliable                          Balanced tight/shale regulation
                                       supply
                                                                        Contribution to a low-carbon future


                                                                      New supply chains emerging
                                      Growing              Cleanest
          Fast &                                                       LNG from North America
                                      resource              hydro-
         flexible
                                        base               carbon       Tight/shale gas in Europe, Africa, Asia
                                                                        Pacific


                                     Competitive                      New market opportunities
                                                                       Gas in transport
                                                                        Replacing liquid fuels in industry

          ABUNDANT
          AFFORDABLE
          ACCEPTABLE


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                          7
GAS DEMAND

DEMAND BY SECTOR                                                                  GAS DEMAND BY REGION
Bcf/d                                                                     % LNG   Bcf/d                                               Bcm/y
500                                                                               500
                                                                                                                                      5,000


                                                                           15%
400                                                                               400
                                                                                                                                      4,000


300                                                                               300                                                 3,000
                                                                           10%


200                                                                               200                                                 2,000

                                                                           5%
100                                                                               100                                                 1,000



   0                                                                       0%       0                                                 -
            1990           2000        2010        2020          2030                     1990       2000   2010   2020     2030
                Power                                    Transport                        Asia                       Europe
                Industrial                               Other                            MENA                       Russia & Other
                Residential & Commercial                 % LNG of total                   Americas
                                                         gas demand

            GLOBAL GROWTH OF GAS
            MARKET DEVELOPMENT STRONGLY DRIVEN BY REGIONAL THEMES



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                    8
SHELL GAS VALUE CHAINS




                                 UPSTREAM                        Movable Modular
                                                                 Liquefaction systems

                                                                                           Gas to
                                                                                           Chemicals


                                                     Converting gas
                                                     to liquid (GTL)



   Liquefaction                                                                                                             CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
   plant                                                                                                                    For plastics, coatings,
                                                                                                                            detergents
                        Shipping &
                                                                          Supply and
                        Trading                                           Distribution


                                           Regasifying LNG


      LNG traditional
                                                                                                                 FUELS & LUBRICANTS
      GTL                                                                                                        Road, ship, aviation
      LNG to transport
                                                                                         NATURAL GAS
      Gas to Chemicals
                                                                                         For cooking, heating,
                                                                                         electrical power.


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                            9
SHELL INTEGRATED GAS PERFORMANCE

PRODUCTION AND SALES VOLUMES                                                     EARNINGS AND CASH FLOW
kboe/d                                                                    mtpa   $ Billion

800                                                                         25   10

600                                                                         20
                                                                                  5
                                                                            15
400
                                                                            10
                                                                                  0
200                                                                         5
   0                                                                        0    -5
             2008          2009         2010         2011 Q3 '12                            2008             2009     2010        2011     Q3 '12
                                                        (4 quarters                                                                      (4 quarters
       Feedgas from non-integrated ventures                                               Earnings                   CFFO excluding
                                                          rolling)                                                                         rolling)
       Integrated Production        LNG sales volumes (RHS)                               Cash surplus               Working Capital



RETURN ON CAPITAL IN SERVICE
$ Billion
50                                                                        30%

40
                                                                          20%
30

20
                                                                          10%
                                                                                                GROWTH DELIVERY + POTENTIAL
10                                                                                              >$20 BLN INVESTMENT
                                                                                                POTENTIAL 2012-15
 0                                                                        0%
            2008         2009         2010        2011        Q3 '12
                                                            (4 quarters
       Capital employed                Capital in service
                                                              rolling)
       Net capital investment          ROCIS (RHS)                               Earnings exclude identified items

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                            10
SHELL LNG TRADING

GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO                                                                                LNG DESTINATIONS (SHELL)
                                                                                                    % of LNG sales volumes
                                                                                                    100%




                                                                                         Sakhalin    75%
                                 Cove Point
                                                             Dubai
                               Elba                Spain             QG-4
          Baja
                                                            Oman       Hazira
                                                                                                     50%
                  Altamira
                                                          Nigeria

      Shell LNG positions                                              Malaysia
                                                                       + Brunei                      25%
      LNG regasification                                                           NWS
                                                                           Pluto
      Trading flows
                                                                                                       0%
                                                                                                                 2007        2011        2015
                                                                                                          Asia-Pac      Europe          Americas


                                                                                                                        2007     2011     2015
              90% CONTRACTED; 10% TRADED
                                                                                                     Long term
              VALUE OPTIMIZATION BETWEEN                                                             contracts          90%      90%      90%
              MARKETS                                                                                % of LT
                                                                                                     contracts - oil    90%      80%      80%
              TREND TO PORTFOLIO GAS                                                                 price linked
              CONTRACTS, ENHANCING
                                                                                                     Sales volumes
              DIVERSION POTENTIAL                                                                    (mtpa)             13.2     18.8


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc    14 November, 2012                                                                                      11
SHELL LNG GROWTH + POTENTIAL

GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO
                                                                                                           22 MTPA ON STREAM

                                                                                                           7 MTPA UNDER
                                                                                                           CONSTRUCTION + 33%
                 LNG Canada

                                                                                                           20+ MTPA OPTIONS
                             US LNG

                                                                                                           SHELL 7% GLOBAL
       On stream                                                                                           MARKET SHARE
                                                                                   Abadi
       Under construction                                           Prelude        Sunrise
                                                                  Browse                      Arrow
       Options
                                                                Wheatstone
       2011-12 portfolio                                          Gorgon
       development

SHELL GLOBAL LNG CAPACITY GROWTH                                              SHELL LNG LEADERSHIP
mtpa                                                                          year end mtpa
50                                                                            30                            ~90% long-term contracted
40
                                                                                                            ~80% of portfolio oil price linked
30                                                                            20

20
                                                                              10
10
 0                                                                             0
            2007                     2012                     ~2020+                 Shell       Exxon   Chevron     BG        Total       BP

              On stream                  Under construction    Options                   2011            2017
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                           PROJECTS ON STREAM OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION
                                                                                                                                                 12
MANAGING OUR LNG PORTFOLIO + OPTIONS




                          Arrow 50-50%                                                                      Canada LNG
                          acquisition with                                 Indonesia: entry                                        Browse +17%
                                                                                                            project
  Gorgon FID              PetroChina                       Prelude FID     in Abadi LNG                                            acquisition from
                                                                                                            announcement
                                                                                                                                   Chevron




                            2010                                         2011                               2012



                                                                                                                     Prelude 32.5%
                                               Woodside dilution -10%
                                                                                              PetroChina 20%         dilution to Inpex,
                                                                                              participation in       Kogas and CPC
                                                                                              Groundbirch Canada




                                                                                 STRATEGIC PARTNERS AND
    Acquisition
    Divestment
                                                                                 SIZEABLE STAKES

                                                                                 PORTFOLIO DIVERSITY & CHOICES




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                       13
AMERICAS INTEGRATED GAS OPTIONS


LNG Canada                                                        Green corridor
  Studying 12 mtpa at Kitimat                                     gas-to-transport                                 Shell’s integrated gas capabilities
  Shell 40% + strategic partners                                    0.25 mtpa at Jumping Pound                     Equity + industry resources base
                                                                                                                   Natural hedge; oil/gas differential




Western Canada gas resources
 Groundbirch resource potential                                                                Pennsylvania Gas-
 increased from 6 tcfe to >12 tcfe                                                             to-Chemicals
                                                                      Gas-to-
 Shell 80%                                                            transport

                                                                GTL
                                                                                                                         NEW GAS VALUE
                                                                                         US LNG                          CHAINS
                        Canada LNG
     US GTL              US Gas-to-               Gas-to-               Green
     US LNG              Chemicals               transport             Corridor


                                                                                      Start-
      Assess                  Select             Define         FID     Execute        up       Operate


     Feasibility            Concept              Project                                       Ramp-up to
                                                                       Construction
       Study                Selection          Specifications                                  full capacity



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      14 November, 2012                                                                                                14
LNG TO TRANSPORT

ROAD TRANSPORT                                           SHIPPING                        FUTURE OPTIONS




    Canada Green Corridor                                  Offshore shipping                 Mining
    US Gulf Coast and Great Lakes long                     Inland barges                     Rail
    distance trucking options
                                                                                             Fraccing
    TravelCenters of America

           FAST MOVING LNG OPPORTUNITY                                                                   Gate LNG
                                                                               Green Corridor FID        terminal HOA
           GROWTH DRIVEN BY
             PRICE
             EMISSION ADVANTAGE                                                          2011                    2012
             GAS AVAILABILITY
           ASSESSING >5 MTPA LONG TERM                                                        Travelcentres of   Gassnor
           OPPORTUNITIES                                                                      America MOU        aquisition



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                        15
STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS: CHINA



                                                                                                    CNPC/Petrochina



                                                                                                            Sinopec
                2011: Canada tight
                gas/LNG                                                        2010: China gas
                                                                               exploration
                                                  2010: Qatar                                               CNOOC
                                                                    Retail        2005: Nanhai
                                                  exploration
                                                                                  Chemicals
                                                                     2011:
                                     2012 Deepwater             Drilling JV
                                     Gabon exploration


                                                                                  2010:
                                                                              Arrow LNG



                                                                                                 Nanhai – Chemicals plant


          BROAD + LONG-TERM
          COOPERATION:
           CHINA DOWNSTREAM + LNG SALES

              CHINA EXPLORATION
              INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIPS



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      14 November, 2012                                                              16
TIGHT/SHALE GAS EXPLORATION

CHINA                                                      UKRAINE                                SOUTH AFRICA

                                                                                         Russia

                               Zitong
                Jinqiu                                       JAA Blocks                                     Karoo


                                     Fushun                  Ukraine
                                                                          Yuzivska

                                              0   100 km                             0   100 km                            0 100 km




   3 blocks tight /shale                                    Yuzivska : tight gas/shale:            Karoo Basin; 90,000 km2
        8,500 km2                                           7,800 km2                              under application

        Shell 50%                                             Multi-tcf tight/shale gas              Shell 100 %
                                                              potential                              Moratorium lifted September
                                                              Shell 50 %                             2012




            MAJOR EXPLORATION PLAYS FOR NEW GAS POTENTIAL


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                       17
LEADERSHIP IN GLOBAL GAS


    International gas value chains
    Deep relationships with key
    customers
    Global presence + portfolio
    approach




          SHELL POSITIONED FOR
          RAPID + PROFITABLE GAS
          GROWTH                                         Nigeria LNG – Bonny Island




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                18
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
LNG MARKETS
SIMON HENRY
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012   19
LNG MARKET DEVELOPMENT

LNG IMPORT COUNTRIES




                                                                                                                       Brunei LNG ship 1978


                                                                                                                       Nakilat LNG ship 2011




    1990
    2010
    2020


LNG SUPPLY
mtpa                                                                                                No. of countries
                                                                                          QG4
                                                                    North West Shelf
                                                                                     Prelude FLNG     Pluto
                                                                    Sakhalin          Wheatstone
 300                                                                 Gorgon
                                                                                                                  30            Importing Countries
                                                    Oman LNG
                                      Nigeria LNG   Malaysia Tiga                                                 25            Exporting Countries
 200                   Malaysia Dua                                                                               20            Volumes sold
                                                                                                    Estimate
                                                                                                                  15
                                                                                                                            FID            Shell
 100                                                                                                              10
                                                                                                                            On stream
                                                                                                                  5
     0                                                                                                            0
              1990            1995          2000           2005           2010          2011        FY Estimate
                                                                                                       2012

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                                              20
LNG SUPPLY AND DEMAND DYNAMICS

LNG DEMAND                                                                      LNG SUPPLY*
Mtpa                                                                   Mboe/d   Mtpa                                                             Mboe/d
600                                                                        15   600                                                                      15


500                                                                             500


400                                                                        10   400                                                                      10


300                                                                             300


200                                                                        5    200                                                                      5


100                                                                             100


   0                                                                       0        0                                                                    0
           2000         2005         2010     2015        2020      2025                    2000        2005         2010   2015   2020     2025

                Japan/Korea/Taiwan                        SE Asia                              Asia                                ME & East Africa
                Europe                                    China                                Qatar                               Americas West coast
                India                                     Other                                West Africa                         Americas East coast
                                                                                               Australia                           Arctic

        DEMAND DOUBLE 2010 – 2020
        SUPPLY RESPONSE
        >$700 BILLION IDUSTRY INVESTMENT 2010-2025
                                                                                * Risked view of all LNG supply projects

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc    14 November, 2012                                                                                              21
REGIONAL GAS DEMAND DEVELOPMENT

ASIA DEMAND                                                                         NORTH AMERICA DEMAND
Bcf/d                                                                               Bcf/d

120                                                      Asia Supply                120
                                                         Other Asia
100                                                                                 100
                                                         Other SE Asia
                                                                                                                        N.A. Supply
 80                                                      Malaysia                    80
                                                                                                                        Residential &
 60                                                      India                       60                                  Commercial
                                                         China                                                          Other
 40                                                                                  40
                                                         Taiwan                                                         Power
 20                                                      Korea                       20                                 Industrial

   0                                                     Japan                        0                                 Transport
           2000         2010         2020      2030                                         2000   2010   2020   2030



EUROPE DEMAND                                                                       MIDDLE EAST DEMAND
Bcf/d                                                                               Bcf/d

120                                                                                 120

100                                                                                 100
                                                                                                                        UAE
 80                                                                                  80
                                                                                                                        Saudi Arabia
 60                                                                                  60                                 Iraq
                                                         Europe Supply                                                  Iran
 40                                                                                  40
                                                         Residential & Commercial                                       Oman
 20                                                      Power                       20                                 Israel
                                                         Industrial                                                     Other ME
   0                                                                                  0
           2000         2010         2020      2030                                         2000   2010   2020   2030



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                  22
CHINA GAS – SUPPLY & DEMAND

CHINA GAS DEMAND                                                                  GAS SUPPLY MIX
Bcf/d                                                                             Bcf/d
60                                                                                60
50                                                                                50
40                                                                                40                                                   Imports ~30%
30                                                                                30
20                                                                                20                                                   Domestic ~70%
10                                                                                10
 0                                                                                 0
         2005           2010         2015       2020       2025       2030                2005     2010          2020           2030
            Residential & Commercial               Transport         Others                  LNG      Pipeline          Domestic Gas
            Industrial                             Power


PRIMARY ENERGY MIX
% (2010 data)
100%




 50%

                                                                                          DEMAND OUTLOOK REQUIRES BOTH
                                                                                          DOMESTIC & IMPORT GAS GROWTH
  0%
                China                Japan        South Korea          US
         Gas            Oil            Nuclear                 Other renewables
         Coal           Hydro          Other solid fuels


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                                 23
NORTH AMERICA LNG POTENTIAL

INDUSTRY LNG EXPORT PLANS                                                                               NORTH AMERICAN LNG EXPORT
                                                                                                        DEVELOPMENT
              Kenai LNG                                                                                 mtpa                            Bcf/d
              Valdez

                                                                                                               Total NA application
                                     Canada LNG                                      USA GoM + East               Sanctioned projects
                                     Kitimat                                         Coast potential
                                     BC LNG                                          2025: ~130mtpa

Canada + US West
Coast potential 2025:
~30 mtpa                                   Jordan Cove                Sabine Pass
                                           Oregon                     Lake Charles
                                                                      Cameron              Cove Point
                                                     Freeport         Gulf LNG
                                                     Corpus Christi
                                                     Gulf Coast       Port Arthur
     LNG Production                                  Lavaca Bay                      Elba Island

     LNG export facility – application filed
     Sanctioned


        MAJOR OPPORTUNITY FOR AMERICA GAS INDUSTRY

             PERMITTING
             > $300 BLN INDUSTRY FINANCING REQUIREMENT
             PRICE AND MARKET CONSIDERATIONS



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                                 24
LNG PRICING CONSIDERATIONS

LNG PRICE DYNAMICS – US EXPORTS                                            REGIONAL GAS PRICES
$/mmbtu                                                                    $/mmbtu
25                                                                         25



20                  Tokyo Bay                              UK              20



15                                                                         15



10                                                                         10



  5                                                                         5



  0                                                                         0
        Cost structure      Japan landed        Cost structure   UK NBP      2005    2006   2007   2008   2009   2010     2011   2012
                              LNG price                          2010-12
                               2010-12
                                                                                               Henry Hub (US)
                                                                                               National Balancing Point (UK)
                     Liquefaction              Landed Cost                                     Brent
                     + transport
                     costs                                                                     Japan landed LNG price
                     HH
                     outlook



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                  25
ASIA LNG PRICING DYNAMICS

ASIA LNG PRICING HISTORY                                                       LNG CONTRACTS: OIL PRICE LINKED
$/mmbtu                                                                        2010/2011 LNG contracts (Industry)
25
                                                                               $/mmbtu
                                                                               20



20

                                                                               15



15

                                                                               10
                                                                                     90                       100                   110             120
                                                                                                            Brent oil price - $/bbl
10
                                                                                                         Industry                Oil Price Parity
                                                                                                         range


  5                                             Brent-5 ($/mmbtu)                         LNG PRICED VS. OIL
                                                Japan/Korea/Taiwan ($/mmbtu)              RECENT CONTRACTS REFLECTING
                                                                                          CURRENT OIL MARKETS
                        Weighted Average Cost of LNG imports
                                Includes spot volumes
                                                                                          LEGACY CONTRACTS REVISED TO
  0                                                                                       NEW OIL PRICE WORLD
   2000         2002         2004      2006        2008        2010    2012
                                                                               Range includes contracts with S-curves.

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                               26
SHELL + LNG

SHELL PRODUCTION
                                                                          Diverse + growing
Million boe/d
4
                                                                          customer base
                                                                          Sector requires sustained
3                                                    GAS                  + large scale investment
                                      ~25%
          GAS                         hub based                           to meet demand
                                      pricing
2
                          OIL
                                                                 OIL
                                                                PRICE
                                                                          LNG pricing reflects
                         PRICE
                        LINKED
                                                               LINKED
                                                                          capital intensity and
1                                    ~75% oil
           OIL                       linked
                                                     OIL
                                                                          supply security

0
       Production   Price                         Production     Price
          Split   Exposure                           Split     Exposure
                  2011                                   2017/18



                 2011
         GROWTH IN GAS                                                      SHELL POSITIONED FOR RAPID
         LOCKING IN OIL PRICE EXPOSURE                                      + PROFITABLE LNG GROWTH



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                   27
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
ASIA PACIFIC GROWTH
OUTLOOK
ANDREW BROWN
DIRECTOR UPSTREAM INTERNATIONAL
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012   28
UPSTREAM ASIA PACIFIC

ASIA PACIFIC PRODUCTION


                                                             SUBSTANTIAL UNDEVELOPED
                                                             RESOURCES
                                                             GAS GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
                                                                EXPLORATION
                                                                LNG
                                                                TIGHT/SHALE

                                           Philippines
                                         Malaysia & Brunei


                                                             SUSTAINING PRODUCTION + ASSET
                                                             INTEGRITY
                  North West Shelf                           HEARTLANDS EXPLORATION
                                                                 EXTENDING PRODUCTION LIFE
                                                                 SELECTED HUB GROWTH

     Traditional

     Integrated Gas

     Deepwater

     Tight/shale

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                   29
ASIA PACIFIC HISTORY
                                                                                                                              2007
                                                                                                                              China Changbei
ASIA PACIFIC PRODUCTION                                                                                                       start-up
Kboe/d                                                                                                                  2001
                                                                                                               1995     Philippines
                                                                                                               Malaysia Malampaya
                                                                                                               DUA LNG start-up
                                                                                                               start-up

 600         ~1890 Indonesia:             Brunei LNG 1972           First ocean going LNG                 1993
             wooden derrick                                         carrier “Methane Pioneer”             Bintulu
                                                                                                          GTL plant
                                                                                                          start-up


                                                                                       1972       1983
                                                                                       Brunei     MLNG
                                                                                       LNG        First
 400                                                                                   start-up   LNG
                                                                    1955                          plant
                                                                    Brunei
                                                                    Seria
                                                                    crude oil
                                                                    terminal
                                                                     Indonesian
                                                                     nationalisation

 200                                        1929
                                            Brunei
                                            first oil
                                            discovery
              1910
              Malaysia
              first oil
              discovery                                   World
                                                          War II
     0
      1907             1917          1927          1937      1947   1957        1967       1977      1987        1997        2007



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                30
ASIA PACIFIC
MAIN GROWTH ENGINE IN UPSTREAM INTERNATIONAL

CAPITAL INVESTMENT
$ Billion                                                                  OIL & GAS PRODUCTION              CAPITAL EMPLOYED

                                                 Prelude FID                                    531 kboe/d                            $24 bln
 8
                                                                Abadi
                              Gorgon FID
 6                                                  Abadi
                                                                           EARNINGS                          CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS
 4                               Arrow
                                                                                                $4.9 bln                          $5.7 bln

 2


 0
                                                                Prelude
                               Woodside
-2                                                                             Other Upstream                          Asia Pacific
                                                                           Q3’12 (4Q rolling)
-4
              2009                   2010           2011       Q3'12 (4Q
                                                                rolling)
            Acquisitions                                                            CONTINUED INVESTMENT IN
            Organic                                                                 HEARTLANDS
            Divestments                                                             NEW INTEGRATED GAS PROJECTS
                                                                                    EXPLORATION OPPORTUNITIES

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                                   31
ASIA PACIFIC PORTFOLIO DEVELOPMENT

UNDER CONSTRUCTION…..                                                                     …. OPTIONS




                                               Sabah Gas Kebabangan
                                               Gumusut Kakap



                                     Prelude
            NWS Gas – GWF-Ph 1              North Rankin
                   Gorgon T1-3             Wheatstone




          Traditional

          Integrated Gas                                          365 KBOE/D*; 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION
          Deepwater                                               375 KBOE/D*; 11 MTPA OPTIONS
          Exploration                                      * Production on a Shell working interest basis

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                    32
INVESTING IN TRADITIONAL HEARTLANDS
MALAYSIA + BRUNEI


                                                                                                                                      Barton
                                                                                                                           South Furious
                                                                                                                      Sabah Gas          North Sabah
                                                                                                                      - KBB
                                                                                                                                   St Joseph
                                                                                                     Malikai



                  2B                                                        Gumusut-Kakap
                                                                    CA2      Geronggong

                                M1                                                             A    Maharaja Lela                                      Sabah
                                            SK318                                                      ML South
                                                                                                         Champion
                        M3                                                           Fairley             Waterflood

                                               F23   Cili Padi                              Ampa
                                                                               BDO
                                     F6                                                            Brunei LNG
                                                                    Bokor
                                                                 Tukau Timur
                                          SK319
                                                  E11                                2012 Tukau Timur Deep
                                                                                     Gas Discovery
                                                                                         Sarawak




                                                                   Malaysia LNG
                                                                   Bintulu

          On stream                          Exploration licenses                                      NEAR-FIELD COMMERCIALISATION
          Under construction                 2010-12 license additions/extensions                      EXPLORATION REJUVENATION
          Options                            Gas              Oil pipelines                            GROWTH THROUGH TECHNOLOGY
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc        14 November, 2012                                                                                                    33
MALAYSIA + BRUNEI GROWTH HUBS




 Gumusut-Kakap                                                   Champion Waterflood




 Sabah gas Kebabangan                                             Malikai              ML South

                                                5 MAJOR PROJECTS >350 KBOE/D (100%)
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                            34
ENHANCED OIL RECOVERY POTENTIAL

 Locations of EOR projects                                                      NORTH SABAH AND BARAM DELTA
                                                                                 2011 agreement to extend PSCs
                                                         North Sabah
                                                                                 North Sabah Shell 50% (operator), Baram Delta
                                                                                 Shell 40%

                                                                                 Advanced technology offshore EOR

                                                                                 10% (Baram Delta) & 20% (North Sabah) recovery
 Baram Delta                                                                     factor increase

                                                                                 < 450 million boe new resources
                                                                       0km 50




                                                                                     ~100,000 BOE/D PRODUCTION
                                                                                     EXTENDED FIELD LIFE >2040
  Using surfactants to improve recovery


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                       35
LNG PERFORMANCE

                                                         GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO RELIABILITY
                                                         100%



                                                          80%



                                                          60%



                                                          40%
                                                                   2007       2008      2009      2010   2011    Year to
  Brunei LNG                                                                                                      Date
                                                                                                                 Q3/12

                                                         SAKHALIN LNG CAPACITY UTILIZATION
                                                         Production as % of nameplate capacity

                                                         120%

          TOP QUARTILE GLOBAL LNG
          RELIABILITY PERFORMANCE                        100%



                                                          80%



                                                          60%
                                                                          2010                 2011      2012 estimate



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                               36
NON-OPERATED LNG DEVELOPMENTS

PLUTO LNG                                                GORGON LNG                   WHEATSTONE LNG




   FID 2009, Shell 21%*                                   FID 2009, Shell 25%          FID 2011, Shell 6.4%
   Production 140 kboe/d                                  Production 440 kboe/d        Production 260 kboe/d
   4.3 mtpa LNG facility                                  15.6 mtpa LNG facility (3    8.9 mtpa LNG facility (2 trains)
   Start-up Q2 2012                                       trains)                      Chevron operated
   Woodside operated                                      CO2 injection project
                                                          (> 3 mtpa)
                                                          Chevron operated


* Indirect stake via Woodside


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                              37
AUSTRALIA/INDONESIA
LNG GROWTH PORTFOLIO

                                                                   Abadi FLNG   GLOBAL LNG DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
                                              Sunrise FLNG                      Mtpa (Shell) nameplate capacity
                       Arrow

                                                                                50
                                     Browse
                                                    Prelude FLNG                40                                         Prelude &
       North West Shelf                                                                                  Gorgon T1-3       Wheatstone
                                                                                30
        Pluto
                                                                                20
     Gorgon
                                                                                10
                                                                                 0
                                                                                     Year to Date 2012                                      ~2020+
                                                                   0km    500
                            Wheatstone                                                       On stream            Under Construction       Options

     On stream                          Shell Interest

     Under construction                                                         SHELL ASIA PACIFIC LNG VOLUMES
                                                                                Million tonnes/year sales volumes
     Options                                                                                                                                 52%
                                                                                15


        ASIA/PACIFIC LNG:                                                       10
                                                                                           52%                52%               38%
           9 MTPA ON STREAM                                                      5
                 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION
                                                                                 0
                                                                                           2007              2009              2011        2017/18

                                                                                               Brunei                Malaysia           Australia
                                                                                      % = Asia Pacific of total Shell sales volumes

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      14 November, 2012                                                                                            38
FLOATING LNG: PORTFOLIO DEVELOPMENT

                                                                  Sunrise FLNG
                                                                    4.1 mtpa (Woodside operator)
                                                                                                                     FLOATING LNG
                                                                    ~5 tcf + 200 mln bbls NGL’s
                                                                    resources                                        LEADERSHIP
                                                                    Shell 34%
                                                                                                                      2011: FIRST INDUSTRY FID
                                                                      Abadi FLNG
                                                                                                                      ON FLNG ON PRELUDE
                                                                       2.5 mtpa (Inpex operator)
                                                                       ~15 tcf resources                              CONSTRUCTION SOUTH
                                                                       Shell 30%                                      KOREA: OPTIONS FOR
                                                                                                                      FURTHER PROJECTS
                                                                                                                      TARGETING NEW
                                                                                                                      EXPLORATION FOR FLNG
Prelude FLNG
  5.3 mtpa: 3.6 mtpa LNG + 1.7
  mtpa liquids (Shell operator)                                                                                SHELL FLOATING LNG
  110 kboed; ~3 tcf
  Shell 67.5% + strategic partners




                             Abadi
                            Sunrise                                    Prelude


                                                                                      Start-
      Assess                  Select             Define         FID     Execute        up       Operate


     Feasibility            Concept              Project                                       Ramp-up to
                                                                       Construction
       Study                Selection          Specifications                                  full capacity



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      14 November, 2012                                                                                        39
ABADI LNG: INDONESIA

                                                                        Phase 1: FLNG development 2.5 mtpa of LNG

                                                                        Preparations for FEED on going

               East Timor
                                                                        2013: drilling ~ 3 wells
                                             Abadi
                                                                        Peak production Phase 1 ~65 kboe/d
    Indonesia
                               Sunrise
                                                                        Major gas field >15 Tcf resources
                                         Evans Shoal
                                                                        400-700m water depth
                                                           Australia
                                                         0km      200


       Shell Interest




                                                                           ABADI: SHELL ENTRY 2011 (30%)
 Abadi development concept
 (courtesy of Inpex)                                                       FLNG OPPORTUNITY


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                              40
ARROW ENERGY: AUSTRALIA

                                                                        Surat Co-Existence Engagement


                        Bowen Basin




                                        Surat Basin

   Bow Acreage Addition
                                                            0km   300


     Shell Interest                Gas Pipelines
                          ______




Curtis Island                                                             Shell 50%

                                                                          Currently supplying >15% of Queensland’s
                                                                          domestic gas ~ 70 mmscf/day

                                                                          FEED on 2 x 4 mtpa LNG project

                                                                          Development decisions timed versus local labour
                                                                          & contracting market

                                                                          Assessing options with third parties
             ASSESSING LNG OPPORTUNITY                                    Resources ~ 8 tcf (100%)

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc      14 November, 2012                                                               41
EXPLORATION ASIA

MALAYSIA + BRUNEI EXPLORATION                                                      CHINA OFFSHORE




                                                Geronggong
          2B
                                       CA2
                                                         A
                         SK318




                                                                                                         Yinggehai
                    SK319
                                                                                                              62/02
                                              Tukau Timur Deep                                                        62/17



                                                                      0km     50                                                        0km   50


         Gas               Oil pipelines         Recent Exploration Success            Exploration licenses           2010-12 license / extensions


    ~17,500 km2 new acreage in 2010-12                                              6,000 km2 in two offshore blocks in 2012
    Large scale 2D and 3D seismic programmes                                        Shallow water depths, proven gas province
    > 20 wells in Brunei+ Malaysia in 2013                                          CNOOC partnership
                                                                                    3D seismic acquisition planned for 2013



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                        42
EXPLORATION – AUSTRALIA NORTH WEST SHELF



                                                                      Sunrise FLNG
                                                                                                                  12+ Tcf Shell share
                                                                                              Evans Shoal 2012
                                                                                                                  added since 2005
                                                                                                                       <$1/boe
                                                   Browse LNG

                                       Outer Browse 2012                                                          33,000 km2 new
                                                                   Prelude FLNG
                                                                                                                  acreage added in
                                      Canning 2011
                                                                                                                  2011-12: Canning and
           Pluto LNG                                                                                              Browse
           Gorgon
                                           NWS
                                                                                                                   2 new gas discoveries
                                                                                                                  in 2012: Satyr 2/4
                              Satyr
                                           Wheatstone


                                                                                                      0km   200


      On stream                               Under construction        Options
      Shell licenses                          2011-12 additions         Exploration success

      Shell gas pipeline


        CONSISTENT DELIVERY
        CONTINUED PORTFOLIO BUILD

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                                                                43
SHELL CHINA UPSTREAM PORTFOLIO

ACREAGE BUILD-UP
Km2 (000)
  20


  10


    0
            < '10            '10         '11         '12




                                                                Changbei +
                                                                extension




                                                              Zitong         Jinqiu
                                                                            Fushun
                                                                                      GAS PRODUCTION
                                                                                      EXPLORATION
                                                                                      ONSHORE/OFFSHORE
                                                                                      LNG IMPORTS > 2 MTPA
     On stream                              Tight/shale gas                           ~1 BLN/YEAR INVESTMENT

     Offshore                               CBM

                                                                Yinggehai

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                    44
CHINA: CHANGBEI GAS FIELD

Changbei: drilling site                                             CHANGBEI GAS
                                                                       2005: PSC (Shell 50%, PetroChina 50%)
                                                                       2007: commercial gas production
                                                                       2009: Achieved ~300 mmscf/d production
                                                                        2 years ahead of schedule
                                                                       Production Reliability > 95%


                                                                    NEW CHANGBEI
                                                                       PSC amendment signed July 2012
                                                                       Same acreage, new reservoirs
                                                                       Appraisal drilling 2013, FID planned 2014




                                                                    CHANGBEI PRODUCTION POTENTIAL
                                                                    Mmscf/d (100%)          New potential
                                                                    400                     Changbei


                                                                    200


                                                         0km   50
                                                                        0
                                                                         2006        2009         2012      2015    2018
     Exploration license
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                     45
CHINA – TIGHT/SHALE GAS EXPLORATION

EARLY SUCCESS: JINQIU AND FUSHUN                             SICHUAN BASIN ACREAGE + ACTIVITY
                                                             Km2 (000)                                      Cumulative # wells

                                                             10
                                                                                                                           40




                                                              5
                                                                                                                           20




                                                              0                                                            0
                                                                       09            10     11     12            13
                                                                                 Acreage (km2)    # wells

  Quilin -3 (Jinqiu)                         Yang (Fushun)

                                                                  Acquisition of Zitong block October 2012
                                                                  24 wells 2010-12; 20 planned for 2013
             STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS WITH
             CNPC                                                 Drilling results
             DRILLING JOINT VENTURE WITH                            Exploration narrowing down on sweet spots
             GREAT WALL (SIRIUS)                                    Good quality shale + positive test results
             3 LICENSES: ~ 8,500 KM2 (2.1                           Extended flowback testing planned
             MILLION ACRES)


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                    46
DEVELOPMENT PACE

CANADA: GROUNDBIRCH                                                         CHINA: JINQIU




 0            20 km                                                         0         20 km



        Shell wells              Shell interest           Shell pipelines

    7 years in development – good geology understanding                       ~2 years in exploration phase of development
    ~ 1,500 industry wells                                                    ~10 industry wells
    Well developed pipeline infrastructure                                    Densely populated & developing legal framework
    Developed rig and fraccing support industry                               Developing rig and fraccing support industry
    Clear regulatory framework (water supply & disposal)                      Water treatment solutions in development
                                                                               Limited gas transport infrastructure developed


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc    14 November, 2012                                                                          47
GROWTH POTENTIAL – ASIA PACIFIC

PRODUCTION + OUTLOOK
 Kboe/d
     800
                                                                         SUBSTANTIAL UNDEVELOPED
                                                                         RESOURCES
     700
                                                                         GAS GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
                                                           NEW
     600
                                                           GROWTH           EXPLORATION
                                                                            LNG
     500
                                                                            TIGHT/SHALE

     400


     300
                                                                         SUSTAINING PRODUCTION + ASSET
     200                                                   TRADITIONAL   INTEGRITY
                                                           HEARTLANDS    HEARTLANDS EXPLORATION
     100                                                                     EXTENDING PRODUCTION LIFE
                                                                             SELECTED HUB GROWTH
        0
                2000           2011       2017/18

                 Brunei               Thailand
                 Malaysia             China
                 Australia            Philippines
                 New Zealand



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     14 November, 2012                                             48
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY
MATTHIAS BICHSEL
DIRECTOR PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012   49
SAFETY IN SHELL

‘GOAL ZERO’ ON SAFETY                                                                  SAFE AND RELIABLE OPERATIONS

Injuries – TRCF/mln working hours                          million working hours




                                                                                                                                       Consequences
5                                                                           900




                                                                                   Hazard
                                                                                            Control &                     Response &
                                                                                            Barriers         Incident       Recovery
4                                                                           800



                                                                                                 Minimize               Mitigate
3                                                                           700
                                                                                                likelihood              consequences


2                                                                           600


                                                                                                SAFETY PERFORMANCE
1                                                                           500
                                                                                                  Personal and process safety
                                                                                                  Rigorous global standards
0                                                                           400
      '03     '04     '05     '06    '07   '08   '09     '10   '11   Q3
                                                                     '12
                                                               12 months
      Million working hours (RHS)                                 rolling
      TRCF




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                  50
INTEGRATED PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY
ORGANISATION




  CONTRACTING &
  PROCUREMENT                                                     TECHNOLOGY
                                           INNOVATION                                 PROJECT
                                                                  SOLUTIONS &
  SAFETY &                                    R&D                                    EXECUTION
                                                                  DEPLOYMENT
  ENVIRONMENT

                                              Right                Right concept     Design one –
                                              technology                             Build many
                                                                   Implementation
                                              Performance          and replication   Top quartile
                                              management                             performance




                                                            SAFE & RELIABLE


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                              51
DELIVERING TOP-QUARTILE PROJECTS




                                                                                               TOP QUARTILE PROJECTS
                             CONTRACTING & PROCUREMENT

                                                                                                 On time, on budget
                                                                          TALENT
                   TECHNOLOGY                                                                    Safe and reliable
                                                                                                 Production
               TOOLS /
               PROCESSES



                                                 DISCIPLINED
Value




                                                 EXECUTION


            INTEGRATION



                                                                             STANDARDISATION
                   INNOVATION
                                                            REPLICATION



                                Assess                   Select               Define           Execute


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                52
STANDARDISATION : BRUNEI SHELF

FROM BESPOKE…                                …TO STANDARDISATION




 West Pelaut drilling on
 Champion West platform                      Mampak platform              Installation of Bugan Topsides   Sail-away of SKID topsides

  2005:                                        2008:                       2009:                            2010/2011:
  Champion West                                Mampak Block 4              Bugan Phase 2                    Selangkir Ironduke (SKID)

  Water depth: 43m                             Water depth: 43m            Water depth: 35m                 Water depth: 51m
  FID to 1st HC: 36 months                     FID to 1st HC: 28 months    FID to 1st HC: 22 months         FID to 1st HC: 13 months
                                               Facilities costs: -7%       Facilities costs: -24%           Facilities cost: -15%


PERFORMANCE
Schedule improvement
                                                                                       STANDARDISATION THROUGH:
               2005:
            Champion West                                                                 Framework agreements
                                       2008:                                              In-house feed
                                      Mampak             FASTER
                        2009:                                                             One fabrication yard and
                        Bugan                                                             installation contractor
                                       2010/11:
                                         SKID

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                                  53
REPLICATION AND REPEAT EXECUTION

REPLICATION AND SIMPLIFICATION                                    SHELL TENSION LEG PLATFORMS – SCHEDULE
                                                                  IMPROVEMENT
 Mars-A                                  Olympus
                                         (Mars-B)                         Design and Fabrication


                                                                         Year Execution 2
                                                                                   1         3     4   5   6

                                                                         Auger

                                                                         Mars- B




          REPEAT EXECUTION
            Continuity of staff
            One design and subsea contractor
            In-house engineering

          BEST IN CLASS BY LEVERAGING REPLICATION




1993                   1996                1997          1999   2001               OLYMPUS                 MALIKAI
AUGER                  MARS-A              RAM-POWELL    URSA   BRUTUS



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                               54
BENCHMARKING & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

DRILLING LEARNING CURVE                                                                       DRILLING BENCHMARKING
Indexed well delivery time per year since first production                                    Quartile performance curves – days versus measured depth
                                                     Pinedale                 Deep Basin
                                                                                                                        Pinedale &                    Haynesville
                                                     Groundbirch              Magnolia                                 Groundbirch
100%                                                                                             100
                                                     Eagle Ford               Appalachia
                                                     Arrowhead                SWAN                     Marcellus
  75%                                                Jiniqui

  50%                                                                                             50


  25%                       Efficiency (drill days) improving with each new
                            global asset
                                                                                                   0
   0%
                                                                                                    7000                 12000                17000      Depth (feet)
         0      1     2      3       4     5     6      7       8     9    10    11      12
 2011/2012 data                                                                                         Shell wells     Industry wells              1st quartile

UPSTREAM FACILITIES COMPONENT COST (IPA)




                                                                                                        CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT IN
                                                                                                        FRONT-END LOADING
                                                                                                        TRANSFER OF KNOWLEDGE AND
                                                                                                        INNOVATIONS
      2006          2007             2008        2009               2010        2011                    DISCIPLINED DELIVERY
                    1Q       2Q             3Q            4Q

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc       14 November, 2012                                                                                                         55
CONTRACTING & PROCUREMENT
COSTS

LOW COST COUNTRY SOURCING
# of suppliers (Brazil, China, India, Mexico)                         $ billion   Shell no.1 IOC in sourcing from China
 200                                                                       5
                                                                                  20 to 25% savings
 150                                                                       4
                                                                           3      14 global agreements awarded in China
 100
                                                                           2      and 2 in India
   50                                                                      1
                                                                                  Example: fabrication agreements demonstrate
     0                                                                     0
                                                                                  20 to 40% savings
              2008           2009        2010        2011      2012E
           Qualified suppliers               Spend




GLOBAL PURCHASING AGREEMENTS
% spend through global purchasing agreements
60%                                                                               Significant value opportunities

40%                                                                               External benchmarking confirming price
                                                                                  competitiveness of global purchasing agreements
20%
                                                                                  Example: metal pipes 15% to 50% below market
 0%
                  2010                  2011                Q3 2012

           Shell managed 3rd party contracting & procurement spend



Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                          56
COST MANAGEMENT IN AUSTRALIA

MITIGATE COST INFLATION IN AUSTRALIA                     INDUSTRY COST INFLATION: AUSTRALIA
                                                         % Cumulative inflation (end 2009 = 100)
    Off-shoring:                                         50%
    Floating LNG
                                                         40%
    Project phasing:                                     30%
    Arrow LNG                                            20%

    Technology:                                          10%
    New onshore drilling concepts for Arrow               0%
                                                                    2010       2011         2012            2013       2014
    Contract management:                                       Land Rigs              Equipment                Construction Labor
    Leveraging global purchasing agreements                    Subsea                 Yards - Fabrication

                                                         Source: IHS/CERA




  Noble Clyde Boudreaux rig arriving in Australia         Arrow Australia: compression station


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   14 November, 2012                                                                        57
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook
2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook

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2012 Management Day London/New York - Global Gas Perspectives and Asia Pacific Outlook

  • 1. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC INVESTOR UPDATE LONDON NOVEMBER 14, 2012 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 1
  • 2. SHELL: INDUSTRY LEADER IN NATURAL GAS LNG transport Malaysia: E11 platform supplying gas to Bintulu LNG/GTL plants Qatar: Pearl GTL China: Changbei drilling platfrom Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 2
  • 3. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC LEADERSHIP IN GLOBAL GAS PETER VOSER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 3
  • 4. DEFINITIONS AND CAUTIONARY NOTE The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control are referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2011 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 14 November 2012. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this presentation in the future, or that they will be made at all. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 4
  • 5. PROGRAMME TODAY Gas markets & Shell integrated gas strategy Simon Henry; Chief Financial Officer Maarten Wetselaar; Executive Vice President Upstream International Asia Pacific portfolio + strategy Andrew Brown; Upstream International Director Ann Pickard; Executive Vice President Australia HK Lim; Executive Chairman Shell China Project development Matthias Bichsel; Projects & Technology Director Rob Kretzers; Executive Vice President Projects India: Hazira LNG import terminal Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 5
  • 6. GLOBAL ENERGY OUTLOOK DEMAND GROWTH Energy demand outlook in million boe/d 400 Energy demand +60% 2010 – 2050 Hydrocarbons dominate outlook Gas demand doubling 2010-2050 300 200 100 MAJOR OPPORTUNITY FOR SHELL 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Oil Solar Shell Natural gas Other renewables activities Biomas Nuclear Wind Coal Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 6
  • 7. GAS: >250 YEARS GLOBAL SUPPLY Positive global support for gas Economic and jobs potential Reliable Balanced tight/shale regulation supply Contribution to a low-carbon future New supply chains emerging Growing Cleanest Fast & LNG from North America resource hydro- flexible base carbon Tight/shale gas in Europe, Africa, Asia Pacific Competitive New market opportunities Gas in transport Replacing liquid fuels in industry ABUNDANT AFFORDABLE ACCEPTABLE Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 7
  • 8. GAS DEMAND DEMAND BY SECTOR GAS DEMAND BY REGION Bcf/d % LNG Bcf/d Bcm/y 500 500 5,000 15% 400 400 4,000 300 300 3,000 10% 200 200 2,000 5% 100 100 1,000 0 0% 0 - 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Power Transport Asia Europe Industrial Other MENA Russia & Other Residential & Commercial % LNG of total Americas gas demand GLOBAL GROWTH OF GAS MARKET DEVELOPMENT STRONGLY DRIVEN BY REGIONAL THEMES Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 8
  • 9. SHELL GAS VALUE CHAINS UPSTREAM Movable Modular Liquefaction systems Gas to Chemicals Converting gas to liquid (GTL) Liquefaction CHEMICAL PRODUCTS plant For plastics, coatings, detergents Shipping & Supply and Trading Distribution Regasifying LNG LNG traditional FUELS & LUBRICANTS GTL Road, ship, aviation LNG to transport NATURAL GAS Gas to Chemicals For cooking, heating, electrical power. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 9
  • 10. SHELL INTEGRATED GAS PERFORMANCE PRODUCTION AND SALES VOLUMES EARNINGS AND CASH FLOW kboe/d mtpa $ Billion 800 25 10 600 20 5 15 400 10 0 200 5 0 0 -5 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q3 '12 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q3 '12 (4 quarters (4 quarters Feedgas from non-integrated ventures Earnings CFFO excluding rolling) rolling) Integrated Production LNG sales volumes (RHS) Cash surplus Working Capital RETURN ON CAPITAL IN SERVICE $ Billion 50 30% 40 20% 30 20 10% GROWTH DELIVERY + POTENTIAL 10 >$20 BLN INVESTMENT POTENTIAL 2012-15 0 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q3 '12 (4 quarters Capital employed Capital in service rolling) Net capital investment ROCIS (RHS) Earnings exclude identified items Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 10
  • 11. SHELL LNG TRADING GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO LNG DESTINATIONS (SHELL) % of LNG sales volumes 100% Sakhalin 75% Cove Point Dubai Elba Spain QG-4 Baja Oman Hazira 50% Altamira Nigeria Shell LNG positions Malaysia + Brunei 25% LNG regasification NWS Pluto Trading flows 0% 2007 2011 2015 Asia-Pac Europe Americas 2007 2011 2015 90% CONTRACTED; 10% TRADED Long term VALUE OPTIMIZATION BETWEEN contracts 90% 90% 90% MARKETS % of LT contracts - oil 90% 80% 80% TREND TO PORTFOLIO GAS price linked CONTRACTS, ENHANCING Sales volumes DIVERSION POTENTIAL (mtpa) 13.2 18.8 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 11
  • 12. SHELL LNG GROWTH + POTENTIAL GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO 22 MTPA ON STREAM 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION + 33% LNG Canada 20+ MTPA OPTIONS US LNG SHELL 7% GLOBAL On stream MARKET SHARE Abadi Under construction Prelude Sunrise Browse Arrow Options Wheatstone 2011-12 portfolio Gorgon development SHELL GLOBAL LNG CAPACITY GROWTH SHELL LNG LEADERSHIP mtpa year end mtpa 50 30 ~90% long-term contracted 40 ~80% of portfolio oil price linked 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 2007 2012 ~2020+ Shell Exxon Chevron BG Total BP On stream Under construction Options 2011 2017 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 PROJECTS ON STREAM OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION 12
  • 13. MANAGING OUR LNG PORTFOLIO + OPTIONS Arrow 50-50% Canada LNG acquisition with Indonesia: entry Browse +17% project Gorgon FID PetroChina Prelude FID in Abadi LNG acquisition from announcement Chevron 2010 2011 2012 Prelude 32.5% Woodside dilution -10% PetroChina 20% dilution to Inpex, participation in Kogas and CPC Groundbirch Canada STRATEGIC PARTNERS AND Acquisition Divestment SIZEABLE STAKES PORTFOLIO DIVERSITY & CHOICES Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 13
  • 14. AMERICAS INTEGRATED GAS OPTIONS LNG Canada Green corridor Studying 12 mtpa at Kitimat gas-to-transport Shell’s integrated gas capabilities Shell 40% + strategic partners 0.25 mtpa at Jumping Pound Equity + industry resources base Natural hedge; oil/gas differential Western Canada gas resources Groundbirch resource potential Pennsylvania Gas- increased from 6 tcfe to >12 tcfe to-Chemicals Gas-to- Shell 80% transport GTL NEW GAS VALUE US LNG CHAINS Canada LNG US GTL US Gas-to- Gas-to- Green US LNG Chemicals transport Corridor Start- Assess Select Define FID Execute up Operate Feasibility Concept Project Ramp-up to Construction Study Selection Specifications full capacity Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 14
  • 15. LNG TO TRANSPORT ROAD TRANSPORT SHIPPING FUTURE OPTIONS Canada Green Corridor Offshore shipping Mining US Gulf Coast and Great Lakes long Inland barges Rail distance trucking options Fraccing TravelCenters of America FAST MOVING LNG OPPORTUNITY Gate LNG Green Corridor FID terminal HOA GROWTH DRIVEN BY PRICE EMISSION ADVANTAGE 2011 2012 GAS AVAILABILITY ASSESSING >5 MTPA LONG TERM Travelcentres of Gassnor OPPORTUNITIES America MOU aquisition Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 15
  • 16. STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS: CHINA CNPC/Petrochina Sinopec 2011: Canada tight gas/LNG 2010: China gas exploration 2010: Qatar CNOOC Retail 2005: Nanhai exploration Chemicals 2011: 2012 Deepwater Drilling JV Gabon exploration 2010: Arrow LNG Nanhai – Chemicals plant BROAD + LONG-TERM COOPERATION:  CHINA DOWNSTREAM + LNG SALES  CHINA EXPLORATION  INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIPS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 16
  • 17. TIGHT/SHALE GAS EXPLORATION CHINA UKRAINE SOUTH AFRICA Russia Zitong Jinqiu JAA Blocks Karoo Fushun Ukraine Yuzivska 0 100 km 0 100 km 0 100 km 3 blocks tight /shale Yuzivska : tight gas/shale: Karoo Basin; 90,000 km2 8,500 km2 7,800 km2 under application Shell 50% Multi-tcf tight/shale gas Shell 100 % potential Moratorium lifted September Shell 50 % 2012 MAJOR EXPLORATION PLAYS FOR NEW GAS POTENTIAL Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 17
  • 18. LEADERSHIP IN GLOBAL GAS International gas value chains Deep relationships with key customers Global presence + portfolio approach SHELL POSITIONED FOR RAPID + PROFITABLE GAS GROWTH Nigeria LNG – Bonny Island Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 18
  • 19. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC LNG MARKETS SIMON HENRY CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 19
  • 20. LNG MARKET DEVELOPMENT LNG IMPORT COUNTRIES Brunei LNG ship 1978 Nakilat LNG ship 2011 1990 2010 2020 LNG SUPPLY mtpa No. of countries QG4 North West Shelf Prelude FLNG Pluto Sakhalin Wheatstone 300 Gorgon 30 Importing Countries Oman LNG Nigeria LNG Malaysia Tiga 25 Exporting Countries 200 Malaysia Dua 20 Volumes sold Estimate 15 FID Shell 100 10 On stream 5 0 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 FY Estimate 2012 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 20
  • 21. LNG SUPPLY AND DEMAND DYNAMICS LNG DEMAND LNG SUPPLY* Mtpa Mboe/d Mtpa Mboe/d 600 15 600 15 500 500 400 10 400 10 300 300 200 5 200 5 100 100 0 0 0 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Japan/Korea/Taiwan SE Asia Asia ME & East Africa Europe China Qatar Americas West coast India Other West Africa Americas East coast Australia Arctic DEMAND DOUBLE 2010 – 2020 SUPPLY RESPONSE >$700 BILLION IDUSTRY INVESTMENT 2010-2025 * Risked view of all LNG supply projects Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 21
  • 22. REGIONAL GAS DEMAND DEVELOPMENT ASIA DEMAND NORTH AMERICA DEMAND Bcf/d Bcf/d 120 Asia Supply 120 Other Asia 100 100 Other SE Asia N.A. Supply 80 Malaysia 80 Residential & 60 India 60 Commercial China Other 40 40 Taiwan Power 20 Korea 20 Industrial 0 Japan 0 Transport 2000 2010 2020 2030 2000 2010 2020 2030 EUROPE DEMAND MIDDLE EAST DEMAND Bcf/d Bcf/d 120 120 100 100 UAE 80 80 Saudi Arabia 60 60 Iraq Europe Supply Iran 40 40 Residential & Commercial Oman 20 Power 20 Israel Industrial Other ME 0 0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2000 2010 2020 2030 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 22
  • 23. CHINA GAS – SUPPLY & DEMAND CHINA GAS DEMAND GAS SUPPLY MIX Bcf/d Bcf/d 60 60 50 50 40 40 Imports ~30% 30 30 20 20 Domestic ~70% 10 10 0 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2005 2010 2020 2030 Residential & Commercial Transport Others LNG Pipeline Domestic Gas Industrial Power PRIMARY ENERGY MIX % (2010 data) 100% 50% DEMAND OUTLOOK REQUIRES BOTH DOMESTIC & IMPORT GAS GROWTH 0% China Japan South Korea US Gas Oil Nuclear Other renewables Coal Hydro Other solid fuels Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 23
  • 24. NORTH AMERICA LNG POTENTIAL INDUSTRY LNG EXPORT PLANS NORTH AMERICAN LNG EXPORT DEVELOPMENT Kenai LNG mtpa Bcf/d Valdez Total NA application Canada LNG USA GoM + East Sanctioned projects Kitimat Coast potential BC LNG 2025: ~130mtpa Canada + US West Coast potential 2025: ~30 mtpa Jordan Cove Sabine Pass Oregon Lake Charles Cameron Cove Point Freeport Gulf LNG Corpus Christi Gulf Coast Port Arthur LNG Production Lavaca Bay Elba Island LNG export facility – application filed Sanctioned MAJOR OPPORTUNITY FOR AMERICA GAS INDUSTRY PERMITTING > $300 BLN INDUSTRY FINANCING REQUIREMENT PRICE AND MARKET CONSIDERATIONS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 24
  • 25. LNG PRICING CONSIDERATIONS LNG PRICE DYNAMICS – US EXPORTS REGIONAL GAS PRICES $/mmbtu $/mmbtu 25 25 20 Tokyo Bay UK 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 Cost structure Japan landed Cost structure UK NBP 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LNG price 2010-12 2010-12 Henry Hub (US) National Balancing Point (UK) Liquefaction Landed Cost Brent + transport costs Japan landed LNG price HH outlook Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 25
  • 26. ASIA LNG PRICING DYNAMICS ASIA LNG PRICING HISTORY LNG CONTRACTS: OIL PRICE LINKED $/mmbtu 2010/2011 LNG contracts (Industry) 25 $/mmbtu 20 20 15 15 10 90 100 110 120 Brent oil price - $/bbl 10 Industry Oil Price Parity range 5 Brent-5 ($/mmbtu) LNG PRICED VS. OIL Japan/Korea/Taiwan ($/mmbtu) RECENT CONTRACTS REFLECTING CURRENT OIL MARKETS Weighted Average Cost of LNG imports Includes spot volumes LEGACY CONTRACTS REVISED TO 0 NEW OIL PRICE WORLD 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Range includes contracts with S-curves. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 26
  • 27. SHELL + LNG SHELL PRODUCTION Diverse + growing Million boe/d 4 customer base Sector requires sustained 3 GAS + large scale investment ~25% GAS hub based to meet demand pricing 2 OIL OIL PRICE LNG pricing reflects PRICE LINKED LINKED capital intensity and 1 ~75% oil OIL linked OIL supply security 0 Production Price Production Price Split Exposure Split Exposure 2011 2017/18 2011 GROWTH IN GAS SHELL POSITIONED FOR RAPID LOCKING IN OIL PRICE EXPOSURE + PROFITABLE LNG GROWTH Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 27
  • 28. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC ASIA PACIFIC GROWTH OUTLOOK ANDREW BROWN DIRECTOR UPSTREAM INTERNATIONAL Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 28
  • 29. UPSTREAM ASIA PACIFIC ASIA PACIFIC PRODUCTION SUBSTANTIAL UNDEVELOPED RESOURCES GAS GROWTH OPPORTUNITY EXPLORATION LNG TIGHT/SHALE Philippines Malaysia & Brunei SUSTAINING PRODUCTION + ASSET INTEGRITY North West Shelf HEARTLANDS EXPLORATION EXTENDING PRODUCTION LIFE SELECTED HUB GROWTH Traditional Integrated Gas Deepwater Tight/shale Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 29
  • 30. ASIA PACIFIC HISTORY 2007 China Changbei ASIA PACIFIC PRODUCTION start-up Kboe/d 2001 1995 Philippines Malaysia Malampaya DUA LNG start-up start-up 600 ~1890 Indonesia: Brunei LNG 1972 First ocean going LNG 1993 wooden derrick carrier “Methane Pioneer” Bintulu GTL plant start-up 1972 1983 Brunei MLNG LNG First 400 start-up LNG 1955 plant Brunei Seria crude oil terminal Indonesian nationalisation 200 1929 Brunei first oil discovery 1910 Malaysia first oil discovery World War II 0 1907 1917 1927 1937 1947 1957 1967 1977 1987 1997 2007 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 30
  • 31. ASIA PACIFIC MAIN GROWTH ENGINE IN UPSTREAM INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT $ Billion OIL & GAS PRODUCTION CAPITAL EMPLOYED Prelude FID 531 kboe/d $24 bln 8 Abadi Gorgon FID 6 Abadi EARNINGS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS 4 Arrow $4.9 bln $5.7 bln 2 0 Prelude Woodside -2 Other Upstream Asia Pacific Q3’12 (4Q rolling) -4 2009 2010 2011 Q3'12 (4Q rolling) Acquisitions CONTINUED INVESTMENT IN Organic HEARTLANDS Divestments NEW INTEGRATED GAS PROJECTS EXPLORATION OPPORTUNITIES Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 31
  • 32. ASIA PACIFIC PORTFOLIO DEVELOPMENT UNDER CONSTRUCTION….. …. OPTIONS Sabah Gas Kebabangan Gumusut Kakap Prelude NWS Gas – GWF-Ph 1 North Rankin Gorgon T1-3 Wheatstone Traditional Integrated Gas 365 KBOE/D*; 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION Deepwater 375 KBOE/D*; 11 MTPA OPTIONS Exploration * Production on a Shell working interest basis Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 32
  • 33. INVESTING IN TRADITIONAL HEARTLANDS MALAYSIA + BRUNEI Barton South Furious Sabah Gas North Sabah - KBB St Joseph Malikai 2B Gumusut-Kakap CA2 Geronggong M1 A Maharaja Lela Sabah SK318 ML South Champion M3 Fairley Waterflood F23 Cili Padi Ampa BDO F6 Brunei LNG Bokor Tukau Timur SK319 E11 2012 Tukau Timur Deep Gas Discovery Sarawak Malaysia LNG Bintulu On stream Exploration licenses NEAR-FIELD COMMERCIALISATION Under construction 2010-12 license additions/extensions EXPLORATION REJUVENATION Options Gas Oil pipelines GROWTH THROUGH TECHNOLOGY Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 33
  • 34. MALAYSIA + BRUNEI GROWTH HUBS Gumusut-Kakap Champion Waterflood Sabah gas Kebabangan Malikai ML South 5 MAJOR PROJECTS >350 KBOE/D (100%) Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 34
  • 35. ENHANCED OIL RECOVERY POTENTIAL Locations of EOR projects NORTH SABAH AND BARAM DELTA 2011 agreement to extend PSCs North Sabah North Sabah Shell 50% (operator), Baram Delta Shell 40% Advanced technology offshore EOR 10% (Baram Delta) & 20% (North Sabah) recovery Baram Delta factor increase < 450 million boe new resources 0km 50 ~100,000 BOE/D PRODUCTION EXTENDED FIELD LIFE >2040 Using surfactants to improve recovery Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 35
  • 36. LNG PERFORMANCE GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO RELIABILITY 100% 80% 60% 40% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year to Brunei LNG Date Q3/12 SAKHALIN LNG CAPACITY UTILIZATION Production as % of nameplate capacity 120% TOP QUARTILE GLOBAL LNG RELIABILITY PERFORMANCE 100% 80% 60% 2010 2011 2012 estimate Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 36
  • 37. NON-OPERATED LNG DEVELOPMENTS PLUTO LNG GORGON LNG WHEATSTONE LNG FID 2009, Shell 21%* FID 2009, Shell 25% FID 2011, Shell 6.4% Production 140 kboe/d Production 440 kboe/d Production 260 kboe/d 4.3 mtpa LNG facility 15.6 mtpa LNG facility (3 8.9 mtpa LNG facility (2 trains) Start-up Q2 2012 trains) Chevron operated Woodside operated CO2 injection project (> 3 mtpa) Chevron operated * Indirect stake via Woodside Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 37
  • 38. AUSTRALIA/INDONESIA LNG GROWTH PORTFOLIO Abadi FLNG GLOBAL LNG DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS Sunrise FLNG Mtpa (Shell) nameplate capacity Arrow 50 Browse Prelude FLNG 40 Prelude & North West Shelf Gorgon T1-3 Wheatstone 30 Pluto 20 Gorgon 10 0 Year to Date 2012 ~2020+ 0km 500 Wheatstone On stream Under Construction Options On stream Shell Interest Under construction SHELL ASIA PACIFIC LNG VOLUMES Million tonnes/year sales volumes Options 52% 15 ASIA/PACIFIC LNG: 10 52% 52% 38% 9 MTPA ON STREAM 5 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION 0 2007 2009 2011 2017/18 Brunei Malaysia Australia % = Asia Pacific of total Shell sales volumes Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 38
  • 39. FLOATING LNG: PORTFOLIO DEVELOPMENT Sunrise FLNG 4.1 mtpa (Woodside operator) FLOATING LNG ~5 tcf + 200 mln bbls NGL’s resources LEADERSHIP Shell 34% 2011: FIRST INDUSTRY FID Abadi FLNG ON FLNG ON PRELUDE 2.5 mtpa (Inpex operator) ~15 tcf resources CONSTRUCTION SOUTH Shell 30% KOREA: OPTIONS FOR FURTHER PROJECTS TARGETING NEW EXPLORATION FOR FLNG Prelude FLNG 5.3 mtpa: 3.6 mtpa LNG + 1.7 mtpa liquids (Shell operator) SHELL FLOATING LNG 110 kboed; ~3 tcf Shell 67.5% + strategic partners Abadi Sunrise Prelude Start- Assess Select Define FID Execute up Operate Feasibility Concept Project Ramp-up to Construction Study Selection Specifications full capacity Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 39
  • 40. ABADI LNG: INDONESIA Phase 1: FLNG development 2.5 mtpa of LNG Preparations for FEED on going East Timor 2013: drilling ~ 3 wells Abadi Peak production Phase 1 ~65 kboe/d Indonesia Sunrise Major gas field >15 Tcf resources Evans Shoal 400-700m water depth Australia 0km 200 Shell Interest ABADI: SHELL ENTRY 2011 (30%) Abadi development concept (courtesy of Inpex) FLNG OPPORTUNITY Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 40
  • 41. ARROW ENERGY: AUSTRALIA Surat Co-Existence Engagement Bowen Basin Surat Basin Bow Acreage Addition 0km 300 Shell Interest Gas Pipelines ______ Curtis Island Shell 50% Currently supplying >15% of Queensland’s domestic gas ~ 70 mmscf/day FEED on 2 x 4 mtpa LNG project Development decisions timed versus local labour & contracting market Assessing options with third parties ASSESSING LNG OPPORTUNITY Resources ~ 8 tcf (100%) Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 41
  • 42. EXPLORATION ASIA MALAYSIA + BRUNEI EXPLORATION CHINA OFFSHORE Geronggong 2B CA2 A SK318 Yinggehai SK319 62/02 Tukau Timur Deep 62/17 0km 50 0km 50 Gas Oil pipelines Recent Exploration Success Exploration licenses 2010-12 license / extensions ~17,500 km2 new acreage in 2010-12 6,000 km2 in two offshore blocks in 2012 Large scale 2D and 3D seismic programmes Shallow water depths, proven gas province > 20 wells in Brunei+ Malaysia in 2013 CNOOC partnership 3D seismic acquisition planned for 2013 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 42
  • 43. EXPLORATION – AUSTRALIA NORTH WEST SHELF Sunrise FLNG 12+ Tcf Shell share Evans Shoal 2012 added since 2005 <$1/boe Browse LNG Outer Browse 2012 33,000 km2 new Prelude FLNG acreage added in Canning 2011 2011-12: Canning and Pluto LNG Browse Gorgon NWS 2 new gas discoveries in 2012: Satyr 2/4 Satyr Wheatstone 0km 200 On stream Under construction Options Shell licenses 2011-12 additions Exploration success Shell gas pipeline CONSISTENT DELIVERY CONTINUED PORTFOLIO BUILD Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 43
  • 44. SHELL CHINA UPSTREAM PORTFOLIO ACREAGE BUILD-UP Km2 (000) 20 10 0 < '10 '10 '11 '12 Changbei + extension Zitong Jinqiu Fushun GAS PRODUCTION EXPLORATION ONSHORE/OFFSHORE LNG IMPORTS > 2 MTPA On stream Tight/shale gas ~1 BLN/YEAR INVESTMENT Offshore CBM Yinggehai Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 44
  • 45. CHINA: CHANGBEI GAS FIELD Changbei: drilling site CHANGBEI GAS  2005: PSC (Shell 50%, PetroChina 50%)  2007: commercial gas production  2009: Achieved ~300 mmscf/d production 2 years ahead of schedule  Production Reliability > 95% NEW CHANGBEI  PSC amendment signed July 2012  Same acreage, new reservoirs  Appraisal drilling 2013, FID planned 2014 CHANGBEI PRODUCTION POTENTIAL Mmscf/d (100%) New potential 400 Changbei 200 0km 50 0 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Exploration license Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 45
  • 46. CHINA – TIGHT/SHALE GAS EXPLORATION EARLY SUCCESS: JINQIU AND FUSHUN SICHUAN BASIN ACREAGE + ACTIVITY Km2 (000) Cumulative # wells 10 40 5 20 0 0 09 10 11 12 13 Acreage (km2) # wells Quilin -3 (Jinqiu) Yang (Fushun) Acquisition of Zitong block October 2012 24 wells 2010-12; 20 planned for 2013 STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS WITH CNPC Drilling results DRILLING JOINT VENTURE WITH Exploration narrowing down on sweet spots GREAT WALL (SIRIUS) Good quality shale + positive test results 3 LICENSES: ~ 8,500 KM2 (2.1 Extended flowback testing planned MILLION ACRES) Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 46
  • 47. DEVELOPMENT PACE CANADA: GROUNDBIRCH CHINA: JINQIU 0 20 km 0 20 km Shell wells Shell interest Shell pipelines  7 years in development – good geology understanding  ~2 years in exploration phase of development  ~ 1,500 industry wells  ~10 industry wells  Well developed pipeline infrastructure  Densely populated & developing legal framework  Developed rig and fraccing support industry  Developing rig and fraccing support industry  Clear regulatory framework (water supply & disposal)  Water treatment solutions in development  Limited gas transport infrastructure developed Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 47
  • 48. GROWTH POTENTIAL – ASIA PACIFIC PRODUCTION + OUTLOOK Kboe/d 800 SUBSTANTIAL UNDEVELOPED RESOURCES 700 GAS GROWTH OPPORTUNITY NEW 600 GROWTH EXPLORATION LNG 500 TIGHT/SHALE 400 300 SUSTAINING PRODUCTION + ASSET 200 TRADITIONAL INTEGRITY HEARTLANDS HEARTLANDS EXPLORATION 100 EXTENDING PRODUCTION LIFE SELECTED HUB GROWTH 0 2000 2011 2017/18 Brunei Thailand Malaysia China Australia Philippines New Zealand Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 48
  • 49. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY MATTHIAS BICHSEL DIRECTOR PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 49
  • 50. SAFETY IN SHELL ‘GOAL ZERO’ ON SAFETY SAFE AND RELIABLE OPERATIONS Injuries – TRCF/mln working hours million working hours Consequences 5 900 Hazard Control & Response & Barriers Incident Recovery 4 800 Minimize Mitigate 3 700 likelihood consequences 2 600 SAFETY PERFORMANCE 1 500 Personal and process safety Rigorous global standards 0 400 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 Q3 '12 12 months Million working hours (RHS) rolling TRCF Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 50
  • 51. INTEGRATED PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY ORGANISATION CONTRACTING & PROCUREMENT TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION PROJECT SOLUTIONS & SAFETY & R&D EXECUTION DEPLOYMENT ENVIRONMENT Right Right concept Design one – technology Build many Implementation Performance and replication Top quartile management performance SAFE & RELIABLE Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 51
  • 52. DELIVERING TOP-QUARTILE PROJECTS TOP QUARTILE PROJECTS CONTRACTING & PROCUREMENT On time, on budget TALENT TECHNOLOGY Safe and reliable Production TOOLS / PROCESSES DISCIPLINED Value EXECUTION INTEGRATION STANDARDISATION INNOVATION REPLICATION Assess Select Define Execute Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 52
  • 53. STANDARDISATION : BRUNEI SHELF FROM BESPOKE… …TO STANDARDISATION West Pelaut drilling on Champion West platform Mampak platform Installation of Bugan Topsides Sail-away of SKID topsides 2005: 2008: 2009: 2010/2011: Champion West Mampak Block 4 Bugan Phase 2 Selangkir Ironduke (SKID) Water depth: 43m Water depth: 43m Water depth: 35m Water depth: 51m FID to 1st HC: 36 months FID to 1st HC: 28 months FID to 1st HC: 22 months FID to 1st HC: 13 months Facilities costs: -7% Facilities costs: -24% Facilities cost: -15% PERFORMANCE Schedule improvement STANDARDISATION THROUGH: 2005: Champion West Framework agreements 2008: In-house feed Mampak FASTER 2009: One fabrication yard and Bugan installation contractor 2010/11: SKID Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 53
  • 54. REPLICATION AND REPEAT EXECUTION REPLICATION AND SIMPLIFICATION SHELL TENSION LEG PLATFORMS – SCHEDULE IMPROVEMENT Mars-A Olympus (Mars-B) Design and Fabrication Year Execution 2 1 3 4 5 6 Auger Mars- B REPEAT EXECUTION Continuity of staff One design and subsea contractor In-house engineering BEST IN CLASS BY LEVERAGING REPLICATION 1993 1996 1997 1999 2001 OLYMPUS MALIKAI AUGER MARS-A RAM-POWELL URSA BRUTUS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 54
  • 55. BENCHMARKING & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT DRILLING LEARNING CURVE DRILLING BENCHMARKING Indexed well delivery time per year since first production Quartile performance curves – days versus measured depth Pinedale Deep Basin Pinedale & Haynesville Groundbirch Magnolia Groundbirch 100% 100 Eagle Ford Appalachia Arrowhead SWAN Marcellus 75% Jiniqui 50% 50 25% Efficiency (drill days) improving with each new global asset 0 0% 7000 12000 17000 Depth (feet) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2011/2012 data Shell wells Industry wells 1st quartile UPSTREAM FACILITIES COMPONENT COST (IPA) CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT IN FRONT-END LOADING TRANSFER OF KNOWLEDGE AND INNOVATIONS 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 DISCIPLINED DELIVERY 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 55
  • 56. CONTRACTING & PROCUREMENT COSTS LOW COST COUNTRY SOURCING # of suppliers (Brazil, China, India, Mexico) $ billion Shell no.1 IOC in sourcing from China 200 5 20 to 25% savings 150 4 3 14 global agreements awarded in China 100 2 and 2 in India 50 1 Example: fabrication agreements demonstrate 0 0 20 to 40% savings 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E Qualified suppliers Spend GLOBAL PURCHASING AGREEMENTS % spend through global purchasing agreements 60% Significant value opportunities 40% External benchmarking confirming price competitiveness of global purchasing agreements 20% Example: metal pipes 15% to 50% below market 0% 2010 2011 Q3 2012 Shell managed 3rd party contracting & procurement spend Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 56
  • 57. COST MANAGEMENT IN AUSTRALIA MITIGATE COST INFLATION IN AUSTRALIA INDUSTRY COST INFLATION: AUSTRALIA % Cumulative inflation (end 2009 = 100) Off-shoring: 50% Floating LNG 40% Project phasing: 30% Arrow LNG 20% Technology: 10% New onshore drilling concepts for Arrow 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Contract management: Land Rigs Equipment Construction Labor Leveraging global purchasing agreements Subsea Yards - Fabrication Source: IHS/CERA Noble Clyde Boudreaux rig arriving in Australia Arrow Australia: compression station Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 November, 2012 57