Ben van Beurden, Chief Executive Officer of Royal Dutch Shell plc hosted a live video webcast of the 2014 management day presentation on Thursday March 13, 2014 at 13:00 GMT (14:00 CET / 09:00 EDT).
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Royal Dutch Shell plc 2014 Management Day analyst webcast
1. 1Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
BALANCING GROWTH & RETURNS
MANAGEMENT DAY 2014
13 MARCH 2014
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
2. 2Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DEFINITIONS & CAUTIONARY NOTE
Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves.
Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of
Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions.
Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact.
Resources plays: our use of the term ‘resources plays’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage.
The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for
convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those
who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell
companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a
controlling influence. The companies in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control
are referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for
convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company,
after exclusion of all third-party interest.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical
fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and
assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements.
Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations,
beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’,
‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of
factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this
presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results;
(e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and
targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and
regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l)
political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the
reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary
statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal
Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2013 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking
statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 13 March, 2014. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-
looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-
looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this presentation in the future, or that they will be made at
all.
We use certain terms in this presentation, such as discovery potential, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the
SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by
calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
3. 3Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
BEN VAN BEURDEN
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
4. 4Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
EXECUTING A CONSISTENT, LONG-TERM STRATEGY
Unrelenting focus on HSSE
Technology, integration and scale
Disciplined capital investment by strategic theme
Growth in cash flow through-cycle
Competitive shareholder returns
Shearwater platform North Sea, UK
5. 5Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
AGENDA
Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer
Simon Henry Chief Financial Officer
John Abbott Downstream Director
Marvin Odum Upstream Americas Director
Question & answer session
Panel break-outs:
Projects & Technology + Upstream International
Upstream Americas
Downstream
6. 6Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
FOCUS ON SAFETY
2013 UPDATE
Goal Zero on safety
Injuries – TRCF/million working hours
Spills - operational
Volume in thousand tonnes
Energy intensity - refineries
Energy Intensity Index (EEITM)
million working hours
Working hours (RHS)TRCF
HSSE priority
Performance + transparency
Process safety trend
Number of incidents
Tier 1 incidents Tier 2 incidents
8. 8Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
FUTURE
OPPORTUNITIES
RESOURCES
PLAYS
DEEP-WATERINTEGRATED
GAS
UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM
INVESTMENT PRIORITIES + STRATEGIC INTENT
1 Iraq, Nigeria onshore (SPDC), Kazakhstan, heavy oil, Arctic
Engines
Free cash flow businesses
Maintain competitiveness
Asset integrity + selective growth
Growth Priority
Global leadership established
High-grading our rich opportunity set
Longer Term
Major potential; managing non-technical risks
Slower pace + capital allocation
Credible, competitive, affordable
Investment choices driven on a global thematic basis
1
9. 9Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
TRACK RECORD
Earnings
$ billion CCS
Cash flow from operations
$ billion
Total capital investment
$ billion
Payout
$ billion
Dividend declared BuybackOrganic capital investment
Upstream Downstream Corporate Identified items
Acquisitions
10. 10Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
COMPETITIVE POSITION
EPS on reported CCS basis
Earnings per share growth – 3 years
% growth 2010-2013
Cash flow per share growth – 3 years
Total shareholder return – 3 years 2013 ROACE
ROACE: earnings on reported local GAAP basis
Shell Competitors
% growth 2010-2013
% growth 2010-2013
11. 11Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Changing emphasis in 2014
2014 PRIORITIES
Returns and cash flow
Competitive returns for shareholders
Take hard choices on new options
Increase asset sales
Reduce pace of growth investment
Major deep-water start-ups in 2014
Integrate 2013 acquisitions
Deliver new
projects
Enhance our
capital efficiency
Improve our
financial
performance
12. 12Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IMPROVE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE:
RESPONDING TO NEW MARKET DYNAMICS
North America resources plays Oil Products
Geelong refinery, AustraliaGroundbirch, Canada
~$80 billion capital employed
Financial performance not acceptable
Multi-year turn-around
Priorities:
Portfolio restructuring + potential write-downs
Cost reduction + margin improvement
Invest for financial resilience + selective growth
13. 13Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IMPROVE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
CONTINUED DRIVE ON COST EFFICIENCY
Enterprise framework agreements (EFAs)
cumulative # EFAs negotiated
Price positioning of EFAs
EFA prices vs. range of quotes received from market
Supply chain efficiency:
~$65 billion / year spend
Standardisation + replication:
Platforms, subsea equipment, facilities
Drilling efficiency:
Rig contracts
Repeatable wells + design
EFA price
%
14. 14Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IMPROVE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE IN UPSTREAM ENGINE
Production decline halted
focus on up-time
reservoir development
sub-surface dynamics
Innovative EOR schemes
2012-13 impacted by high levels of maintenance
2013 maintenance downtime 50 kboe per day
(vs. 35 kboe per day downtime in 2012)
Address late life assets: fix or divest
PDO Oman UK North Sea
kboe per day, Shell sharekboe/day, Shell share
2012:117kboe/d
2013: 91kboe/d
Actual production
assumed production with
continued decline
15. 15Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IMPROVE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
DRIVE TO FURTHER ENHANCE INTEGRATED GAS PROFITABILITY
Includes LNG + GTL; earnings excluding identified items
Increasing Shell’s managed sales
Total LNG volumes in mtpa
Shell’s LNG portfolio
LNG Peru
Altamira
Baja
Nigeria
Hazira
NWS
Pluto
QG-4
Elba
Spain
Prelude
Gorgon
Atlantic LNG
Oman
Sakhalin
Malaysia
Brunei
Cove Point
LNG supply
Under construction
Regasification
Trading flows
2014
2013
>25 mtpa
>30 mtpa
2017
~40 mtpa
$ billion
Integrated Gas financial performance
Earnings ~400%
Earnings CFFO ROACE (RHS)JV marketed
Shell directly managed
QG4
Pearl GTL
Pluto LNG North Rankin
Repsol LNG
Elba
Gorgon T1-3
Prelude FLNG
North West Shelf
Sakhalin
16. 16Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
2014 PRIORITIES
Returns and cash flow
Competitive returns for shareholders
Take hard choices on new options
Increase asset sales
Reduce pace of growth investment
Major deep-water start-ups in 2014
Integrate 2013 acquisitions
Deliver new
projects
Enhance our
capital efficiency
Improve our
financial
performance
18. 18Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
ENHANCE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
TAKE HARD CHOICES
FEED
FID
On stream
Explore
Feasibility
study
Identify & Assess Select Define Execute On stream
12 billion boe 7 billion boe 11 billion boe
Hard choices on growth projects:
US GTL
Alaska
LNG FID pause in Asia Pacific
AOSP debottlenecking
Wheatstone
Cove
others
~$8 billion capital investment ~$27 billion capital investment
Low cost options + Early high-grading Increase predictability Flawless execution of major spend
2014
19. 19Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
ENHANCE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
MAKING OUR PLANS CREDIBLE, COMPETITIVE, AFFORDABLE
~150 performance units implemented
Targeted growth spend
Address underperforming assets
Increase divestment of non-core positions
Sharpen our focus:
Asset sales
Wheatstone LNG
BC-10 dilution
UA resources plays
Nigeria onshore
Norway DS
Italy DS
Australia DS
Others
Resilience
Attractiveness
Keep and grow
Fix or divest
Exit
$15 billion
divestments
2014-15
20. 20Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IDENTIFY/ASSESS
US GTL -
CANCELLED
Gorgon LNG T4 -
PAUSE
Sunrise LNG - PAUSE
ENHANCE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
CAPITAL CEILINGS + OPTION SET DRIVE HARD CHOICES
Integrated Gas
EXECUTE
Gorgon LNG T1-3
Prelude FLNG
Wheatstone - SOLD
MMLS LNG (Elba)
SELECT
Arrow LNG - REDESIGN
Browse LNG - REDESIGN
Abadi LNG ph2
LNG Canada
Sakhalin T3
DEFINE
Abadi LNG ph1
ON STREAM
Atlantic LNG
Brunei LNG
Malaysia LNG
Nigeria LNG
Northwest Shelf
Oman LNG
Peru LNG
Pluto
Qatargas 4
Sakhalin LNG
MTPA: 17.6 MTPA: 0.9 MTPA: 7.5 MTPA: 26.1
START
UP
FID
Shell share equity liquefaction capacity in mtpa
21. 21Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
ENHANCE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
2013-14 CAPITAL SPENDING
Total capital investment
$ billion
Future opportunities
Resources plays
Downstream (incl. Corporate)
Europe
Deep-water Africa/Middle East/CIS
Asia Pacific
Americas
Upstream
Integrated gas
Upstream engine
Downstream (incl. Corporate)
Strict capital ceilings
More competitive returns
22. 22Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
2014 PRIORITIES
Returns and cash flow
Competitive returns for shareholders
Take hard choices on new options
Increase asset sales
Reduce pace of growth investment
Major deep-water start-ups in 2014
Integrate 2013 acquisitions
Deliver new
projects
Enhance our
capital efficiency
Improve our
financial
performance
23. 23Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
PROJECT MANAGEMENT + BENCHMARKING
IPA – Independent Project Analysis by Industry Benchmarking Consortium
IPA project benchmarkUpstream project status
Construction time elapsed %
1Q 2Q 3Q 4th Quartile
Upstream cost Downstream cost
Oversight and accountability
Track record
Construction time elapsed %
24. 24Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Perdido
Singapore: Chemicals
North America: tight gas
Gbaran-Ubie
Gjoa
AOSP-1
West Qurna
Schoonebeek
Raízen
North America: tight gas
Qatargas 4 LNG
Pearl GTL
Qarn Alam
Harweel
Caesar Tonga ph1
Gumusut-Kakap (early
production)
Pluto LNG
North America: tight gas
Eagle Ford
Majnoon FCP
BC-10 ph2
Kashagan
Basrah gas comp.
North Rankin
Amal steam
AOSP debottlenecking
Repsol LNG acquisition
Mars B
Petai
Cardamom
Gumusut-Kakap
others
DELIVER NEW PROJECTS
TRACK RECORD 2010-14
Gumusut-Kakap
Raízen
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Key Upstream project start-ups: Pearl GTL
Consistent delivery of
new projects
2013 impact: $9 billion
CFFO from 2010+ start-ups
Production growth from key start-ups
kboe per day $ billion
Production Cash flow from operations (RHS)
25. 25Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
CONVENTIONAL EXPLORATION PORTFOLIO + THEMES
Increased focus in our exploration spending
Spend
including deals
($ billion)
Resources/potential
added1
(billion boe)
Oil & gas split (%)
2011-2013 2011-2013 2013 performance
ARCTIC ~2 0 Alaska drilling pause
FRONTIER
Under explored
basins
~4
0.9
(95% oil, 5% gas)
Albania: Shpirag-2
Brazil: Libra access
HEARTLANDS
New plays in
Shell producing
basins
~8
2.6
(25% oil, 75% gas)
GOM: Vicksburg
Australia: Kentish Knock
Nigeria: Zabazaba appraisal
NEAR FIELD
High value
~1
0.4
(35% oil, 65% gas)
19 near field discoveries
Nigeria (SPDC), Oman, Egypt,
Netherlands, Brunei, Australia
Prospect
size
(million boe)
Time to
development
(years)
15+
10+
3+
<3 5-50
50-250
>250
>500
1 includes acquisitions
26. 26Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
GLOBAL RESOURCES PLAYS
BUILDING CAPABILITIES IN LONG TERM OPPORTUNITY
Total resources plays capital investment
E&A
On stream
Gas Liquids Rich
2013 production 0.3 mboe/d
2014 exploration spend $3 billion
2013 exploration and appraisal success
$ billion
Resources + potential
Future potential
On stream
Execute (under construction)
Select/Define
14.4 billion boe
Americas International
Liquids rich shales (underlined)
ACCESS
Tunisia
EXPLORATION
Pembina Turkey
Colombia Russia
Sichuan Germany
Ukraine
APPRAISAL/PILOT
Argentina
Kaybob
Permian
Appalachia
Changbei 2
Oman
DEVELOPMENT
Early
Groundbirch
Mature
Pinedale
Haynesville
Foothills
Deep Basin
Changbei
Western
Canada
Colombia
Argentina
Neuquen
Lower 48 USA
Germany Ukraine
Turkey
Oman Sichuan
Changbei
Arrow
Changbei 2
Russia
Future potential = discovered + prospective resources
Tunisia
27. 27Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
SIMON HENRY
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
28. 28Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK AND PRIORITIES
Priorities for cash
1. Debt service
2. Dividends: growth policy
3. Capital investment: disciplined through
cycle growth
4. Return surplus cash: buy-backs
CASH PERFORMANCE
CFFO drives
investment + payout
INVESTMENT
Affordability,
profitability,
portfolio
PAY-OUT
Dividend linked to
business results
BALANCE SHEET
0 – 30% gearing
through cycle
Conservative balance sheet underpins
financial framework
29. 29Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UP
STREAM
DOWN
STREAM
CASH FLOW AND PAY-OUT
Cash generation
$ billion
Dividend track record
$ billion
Strong balance sheet
$ billion
Cash flow from operations
Asset sales
Capex + equity acc. investments
$ billion
2011-13 2013
UP
STREAM
DOWN
STREAM
Acquisitions
Dividend and buy back
Gearing
range
Net debt
Dividends declared
Gearing (RHS)
12 months
rolling
Strong balance sheet
Generating surplus cash
Dividend track record
30. 30Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
CASH FLOW + RETURNS
ROACE
%, 4Q rolling
Cash flow from operations
$ billion, 4Q rolling
Shell
peer group peer group
Shell
ROACE: earnings on reported local GAAP basis
31. 31Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DECONSTRUCTING OUR CAPITAL INVESTMENT
2014 organic capital investment
$ billion
Balancing growth + returns
Exploration
+ pre-FID
Key
growth
projects
Care +
maintain
Smaller growth
projects
Preparing new options
Driving new upstream growth
Maintaining competitive cash generation
32. 32Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
SEC PROVED RESERVES POSITION
1 Excludes acquisitions, divestments and price impacts
2 Reserves attributable to Royal Dutch Shell shareholders
2013 Reserves performance
2013 RRR 131%
2011-13 RRR 91%
Reserves life at end 2013 ~11.5 years
2011-13 Reserves average performance
Organic1 additions ~1.4 billion boe
Production ~1.2 billion boe
Organic reserves replacement 112%
Reserves Replacement SEC proved reserves
Major reserves additions
2011-13 Reserves additions
2011-13 2013
Organic 112% 123%
Organic incl. price effects 95% 127%
Net Reserves2 91% 131%
(billion boe) 2011 2012 2013
Organic reserves additions 1.5 1.0 1.5
Production 1.2 1.2 1.2
Net Reserves2 14.2 13.6 13.9
33. 33Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Carmon Creek ph1&2
Rabab Harweel
Erha North ph2
BC-10 ph3
Stones
Groundbirch
billion boe
RESOURCES UPDATE
Longer-term upside
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
On stream
Execute (under construction)
Select/Define
Production
NWS Gas NR2
BC-10 ph2
Amal Steam
Majnoon FCP
Vito
BMS-54
Zabazaba
Appomattox
Permian
Converting resources to production… 2013 resources by theme
Deep-water
Integrated gas
Upstream engine
Resources plays
Future opportunities
Rebuilding on stream
resources 2009-13
34. 34Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Start-up 2013 start-up 2014-2015 2016-2018
Bukom ECC debottleneck
Bukom cogeneration
Jack St.Malo pipeline
Singapore LOBP
Westward-Ho pipeline
Amal Steam Corrib Clair ph2
Schiehallion Redevelopment
Tempa Rossa
Rabab Harweel integrated
project
North Rankin 2 Gorgon LNG T1-3
Prelude FLNG
MMLS LNG (Elba)
BC-10 ph2 Mars-B
Cardamom
Gumusut Kakap
Sabah Gas KBB
Bonga North West
Petai
BC-10 ph3
Malikai
Stones
Erha North ph2
North America tight gas +
liquids rich shales
AOSP debottlenecking
Kashagan ph1
Majnoon FCP
Basrah Gas Company
Southern Swamp AG
Gbaran-Ubie ph2
Trans Niger loopline
Carmon Creek ph1+2
Forcados Yokri
Peak production
(kboe/d)
200 335 560
NEW START-UPS
2013-2018
29 major projects
Strong project flow
Production @ $80 Brent scenario; Shell share at peak
Bonga North West
Gumusut-Kakap
Shell operated
FUTURE
OPPORTUNITIES
RESOURCES
PLAYS
DEEP-WATER
INTEGRATED
GAS
UPSTREAM
ENGINE
DOWNSTREAM
ENGINE
35. 35Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
BALANCING GROWTH + RETURNS
Outlook assumes 2013 macro; ROACE CCS earnings excluding identified items
Positive outlook for ROACE +
CFFO
Near-term growth: deep-water,
upstream engines, future
opportunities
Integrated gas growth 2016+
Restructure resources plays +
downstream
ROACE (%)
Downstream engine
Upstream engine
Integrated gas
Deep-water
Resources plays
Future opportunities
Bubble size represents 2013 capital employed
CFFO in billion $
2013 ROACE
2013
2015/16 potential
36. 36Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
JOHN ABBOTT
DOWNSTREAM DIRECTOR
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
37. 37Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DOWNSTREAM STRATEGY
Developing and sustaining
competitive advantage through…
Advantaged
feedstock +
supply
Improving our
footprint
Differentiated
Products +
Customer Offer
Distinguished
Brand
Priority to improve our financial performance
38. 38Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DOWNSTREAM MACRO LANDSCAPE
1 Ethylene + propylene + benzene
Oil Products
Structural refining overcapacity
Liquids rich shales changing the dynamics
Efficiency and mogas displacement in
transportation fuels
Challenging competitive landscape
Chemicals
Chemicals demand growth robust
Significant feedstock price movements
North America re-emerges as chemicals exporter
Growth opportunity
Excess industry refining capacity
million bpd
Base1 chemicals growth potential
Domestic demand in million tonnes per annum
Spare capacity Global average refining margin
(RHS)
North America EuropeSouth America
Middle East Asia Others
$/bbl
39. 39Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT
Port Arthur expansion included from 2013
Focus on HSSE continues
Injuries – TRCF/million working hours
Capital discipline
$ billion
Operating performance
% unplanned downtime
Brand
Global brand preference
million working hours
Refining
Working hours TRCF
Chemicals Shell Other majors
Source: Ipsos – Global Customer Tracker (covering 30+ markets)
Non-growth Oil Products
Growth Chemicals
40. 40Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DOWNSTREAM FINANCIAL RESULTS
CCS earnings excluding identified items
Earnings + cash flow
$ billion
Capital employed + ROACE
$ billion
Free cash flow
$ billion
CFFO excl. WC movements
Working capital movements
Capital investment
Acquisitions
Free cash flow (RHS)
Improved Chemicals performance
Challenging Oil Products results
Priority to improve ROACE, CFFO & FCF
2012 2013201120102009
% $ billion
Potential
Potential
Asset sales
Earnings CFFO
CFFO average 2011-13
Capital Employed ROACE (RHS)
ROACE average 2011-13 (RHS)
41. 41Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DOWNSTREAM COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Earnings excluding identified items; peer group: XOM, LBI, DOW, BP, RDS
Downstream ROACE
Chemicals ROACE
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Shell Chemicals Peer group range
Earnings on local GAAP basis adjusted for inventory valuation differences and excluding
identified items; peer group: Chevron, Total, BP, XOM, RDS
Peer group rangeShell Downstream
Chemicals turn-around
Legacy asset positions
Complex competitive drivers
42. 42Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
CHEMICALS TURNAROUND
Restated for IAS19, 2008 ROCE, CCS earnings excluding identified items
Investment in advantaged feedstock
Refocused on strong core + concentrated footprint
Performance units management
Returns recovery + growth opportunities
Shift to advantaged feedstock Improving ROACE
$ billion
Capital employed Chemicals ROACE Chemicals (RHS)
Advantaged liquids
Advantaged gas
Generic liquids
Generic gas
2007 2013
%
ROACE average 2011-13 (RHS)
~16%
Shell Chemicals:
Base chemicals + derivatives
Advantaged feedstock
Bulk sales to industrial customers
Major improvements delivered
43. 43Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
OIL PRODUCTS PERFORMANCE
Restated for IAS19, 2008 ROCE, CCS earnings excluding identified items
2008 – 2013
Reduced footprint + costs
Port Arthur expansion
Added Brazil biofuels + East marketing growth
Returns remain under pressure
Portfolio restructuring ROACE remains low
$ billion
Capital employed ROACE (RHS)
Refining capacity Marketing
-10%
-20 %
%
ROACE average 2011-13 (RHS)
Million b/d Million b/d
~6%
-0.4 Mb/d
-45
countries
44. 44Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
PORTFOLIO SEGMENTATION + PERFORMANCE
Downstream businesses
2013 CFFO ($ billion)
2013 ROACE (%)
New segmentation into >80 performance units
Action plans to improve returns + CFFO or exit
Focus on cost efficiency
Targeted investment
Bubble size = capital employed
-5% 10%
-20% >40%Chemicals
Merchant
refining
Integrated
refining
+ marketing
value chain
Fuels
marketing
Biofuels
Lubricants
ROACE based on CCS earnings excluding identified earnings
45. 45Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
SHARPER FOCUS ON UPGRADING OUR PORTFOLIO
Downstream asset sales
$ billion
Portfolio change
Resilience
Attractiveness
Selective Growth:
Chemicals
China
LNG for transport
Premium fuels + lubes
Biofuels
Refinery crude flexibility
and product slate
others
Fix:
Motiva
Singapore fuels
Pernis + Rheinland
others
Exit:
Italy
Norway
Australia
others
Optimise footprint + potential impairments
Integrated value capture
Selective investment in growth markets
Capital discipline and project delivery
agreements
year-to-date
46. 46Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IMPROVING PERFORMANCE OF KEY ASSETS
Bukom – performance turnaround Scotford – building on sustained performance
Refinery unplanned downtime in %
High margin refinery
Integrated upstream + downstream
Integration value: $4/bbl upstream + $3/bbl
chemicals
New debottlenecking potential
Over-supplied fuels market
Improving efficiency; advantaged liquids
feedstock; energy costs
Cogeneration + cracker debottlenecking
projects 2015
Unplanned downtime 3-year rolling average
47. 47Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
OIL PRODUCTS GROWTH IN KEY MARKETS
Largest IOC retail network in China
> 1000 sites in multiple joint ventures
Largest IOC by lubricants market share
Shell’s 2nd largest lubes market globally
Leading lubes brand among IOCs, with #1 brand
share preference for Shell Helix and Rimula
Growth potential
Shell branded retail network ~4800 sites
Brazil’s #1 sugar-ethanol player
Global #1 sugar-ethanol player (sugarcane
based)
Growth opportunities
Operational excellence
Brown field expansions
Production of 2nd generation ethanol
China marketing growth Brazil - Raízen JV
billion litres million tonnes billion R$ (local curr)#
Number of operating sites Fuels volume
Volume (million litres)
Fuels volume sold Sugarcane crushed NIBIAT
49. 49Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
MARVIN ODUM
UPSTREAM AMERICAS DIRECTOR
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
50. 50Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS STRATEGY
Major OECD growth potential for Shell
Substantial and diverse resources base
Deep-water
Industry leadership
Heavy Oil
Mining and in-situ
Resources Plays
Portfolio repositioning
Integrated Gas
Monetizing gas
Arctic
Long-term potential
Profitable +
competitive today
Potential
Priorities to deliver our deep-water and heavy oil growth projects
Establish resources plays and integrated gas profitability
Drive sharper cost focus and capital efficiency across our operations
51. 51Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS PORTFOLIO
SUBSTANTIAL UNDEVELOPED UPSTREAM RESOURCES
Resources
Deep-water
Resources plays
Heavy oil
On stream
Execute (under construction)
Select/Define
11.7 billion boe
Production
million boe per day
Deep-waterResources plays Heavy oil
Capital investments
$ billion
Deep-water
Resources plays Heavy oil
Pre-FID/other
+2%
-20%
Resources Plays
Deep-water
Gas monetization options
Heavy Oil
Western Canada
dry gas
Appalachia
dry gas
Carmon Creek
In Situ
Stones, Appomattox, Vito
Libra
LNG
Canada
Gas-to-chemicals
Elba LNG
Major undeveloped resources
52. 52Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS PORTFOLIO FINANCIALS
DIVERSE BUSINESSES & MATURITY
2013
$ billion
Earnings1 CFFO
Organic capital
investment
Capital
employed
ROACE
1 3 6 15 10%
2 3 2 19 9%
(3) (0) 5 24 (10)%
(1) (1) 1 3 n.a.
(0) (0) 0 0 n.a.
RESOURCES
PLAYS
DEEP-WATER
HEAVY OIL
INTEGRATED
GAS
ARCTIC
1 Earnings excluding identified items; ROACE based on earnings excluding identified items
Growing + competitive
Delivering new growth
2014+
Future Potential
Restructuring resources plays
Growth options
53. 53Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS
FINANCIAL DRIVERS
Earnings excluding identified items
Earnings 2011 to 2013 Balance sheet
$ billion
On stream
Under construction
Resources plays
Deep-water
Non productive leases Heavy oil/Arctic
LRS
$3.7 billion
clean DD+A
2013
$ billion
GAS
2013 CFFO $5.3 billion
Earnings + balance sheet impacted by growth portfolio
2013 clean DD&A Upstream Americas $6.3 billion, of which $3.7 billion in resources plays
20132011
- 0.9
-1.4
0.5
- 0.5
- 0.3
- 0.6
- 0.8
3.4
- 0.9
Long term
growth
- 0.3
54. 54Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
NORTH AMERICA RESOURCES PLAYS
PORTFOLIO & STRATEGY
North Americas capital investment
$ billion
Dry gas AcquisitionsLRS Divestments
-50%
-20%
Portfolio
Established in gas plays
Liquids rich shales exploration
Restructuring and redefining growth
Portfolio and spending reduction
Exploration & appraisal in LRS sweetspots
Define gas monetization opportunities
Resources + potential
Future potential
On stream
Execute (under construction)
Select/Define
11.5 billion boe
Future potential = discovered + prospective resources
Haynesville
Elba LNG
LNG
Canada
Groundbirch
Deep Basin/Kaybob
Foothills/Pembina
Pinedale
Gas-to-chemicals
Appalachia
Liquids rich shales
Announced divestment
Gas monetization options
Rockies
LRS
Permian
Eagle Ford
Mississippi
Lime
Dry gas
Gas/LRS
55. 55Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
LIQUIDS RICH SHALES
EXPLORATION AND APPRAISAL
Frontier exploration program since 2010
Move to more focused & segmented de-
risking
Positive early results in Duvernay (Kaybob)
and Wolfcamp (Permian)
Exit from non-material acreage
LRS production
Thousand boe/day
Drilling focus in sweet spots
Cumulative # of wells >1000boe/d potential
Rig count
Number of rigs
Duvernay Permian OtherLiquids Associated gas Permian
Canada
Announced divestments
Groundbirch
Kaybob
Pembina
Rockies
LRS
Permian
Eagle Ford
Mississippi
Lime
Liquids rich shale
Announced divestments
56. 56Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DRY GAS
ASSESSING MONETIZATION OPPORTUNITIES
Gas production Rig count
Major resources position
Drill to maximize use of existing infrastructure
Addressing underperforming assets
Acquisition overhang
Scale & cost reduction
Retaining portfolio with cost and integration
advantage
thousand boe/day Number of rigs
Gas Associated liquids
Pinedale
Groundbirch
Appalachia
Deep Basin
Haynesville
Foothills
LNG
Canada
Groundbirch
Deep Basin
Foothills
Pinedale
Gas-to-chemicals
Appalachia
Gas
Gas monetization options
Haynesville
Elba LNG
57. 57Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Resilience
Attractiveness
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0 20 40 60 80 100
RESOURCES PLAYS
MAJOR REVIEW OF PORTFOLIO UNDERWAY
Staff reduction
Drilling cost learning curve
Drilling costs
-30%
2013 2014E
Shell
employees
Contractor
Reduction in Shell +
contractor staff
Field office closures
Supply chain +
drilling performance
Portfolio
Exit:
Eagle Ford
Mississippi Lime
Rockies LRS
Fix or Divest:
Appalachia
Deep Basin
Pinedale
Haynesville
Foothills
Grow:
Permian
Kaybob
Pembina
Argentina – Vaca
Muerta
Groundbirch
LRS Plays Groundbirch Eagle Ford
Duvernay (Kaybob)Haynesville
Number of wells drilled
58. 58Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
LNG CANADA
PROGRESSING TO FID
2 x ~6 mtpa first phase
Kitimat site agreement
25-year export license secured (24 mtpa)
Environmental assessment process initiated
Joint venture: Shell (40%), Kogas, Mitsubishi,
PetroChina
TransCanada Pipelines (TCPL) to build, own &
operate
~700km pipeline
Filed environmental assessment application
Public consultation and open houses underway
Access to competitive supply
LNG Canada Coastal GasLink pipeline
59. 59Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
HEAVY OIL
DELIVERY & GROWTH
Delivery of production + financial step-up
Cost focus + footprint management
AOSP: Quest CCS development
In Situ: Carmon Creek FID 80 kboe/d
Oil Sands unit cost
$/bbl
Net Production
kboe/d
Cash operating cost excluding energy Energy Oil sands In Situ Aera
Assets
AOSP – JV
~225 kboe/d
Shell 60%
In Situ – Shell
~20 kboe/d
Shell 100%
Aera – JV
~135 kboe/d
Shell 52%
-17%
+22%
60. 60Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS INTEGRATION & POTENTIAL
Refinery/ chemical plant
Upstream positions
Midstream positions/capacity
Refinery with LTO capability
Gas monetization options
LNG
Canada Carmon Creek
LRS
AOSP
Scotford
Western
Canada
gas
Proposed Energy
East Pipeline
Sarnia Appalachia
Gas to
chemicals
Elba LNG
Ho-Ho
Motiva
refineries
Deer Park
Permian
Permian
Express
Martinez
Puget Sound
Proposed midstream positions/capacity
End to end value chain linkage
Efficient evacuation route to market
Advantaged refining position
Mobile
61. 61Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
2013
downtime
Mars Corridor
Auger
Brazil
LEADING POSITION IN DEEP-WATER
Deep water unit operating cost (Gulf of Mexico)
$/bbl
Capital investment
$ billion
Production
Kboe/d
Gulf of Mexico Brazil Other
Base Exploration*
Track record of delivery + cost performance
2014 project start-ups drive new growth
DivestmentsGrowth
Source: Rystad *2013 includes Libra $1.3 billion
Unit cost range Shell unit cost
62. 62Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DEEP-WATER GULF OF MEXICO PROJECT DELIVERY
Payback achieved February 2014
First producer in the Paleogene (Lower Tertiary)
100 kboe/d (Shell ~34% operator)
First oil more than 6 months ahead of schedule
Shell’s 6th and largest TLP in GOM
100 kboe/d by 2016 (Shell 71.5% operator)
Perdido – 2010 start-up Mars B – February 2014 start-up
0
150 kboed
100
50
’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14
63. 63Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DEEP-WATER GULF OF MEXICO
NEW PROJECTS
Execute (under construction)
On stream
Select/Define
Auger
Mars
Ursa
Nakika
Brutus
Perdido
Vito
~100 kboe/d potential
>300 million boe resources
Shell 51.33% (operator)
Appomattox
~150 kboe/d hub potential
Integrating Vicksburg A discovery
Resources increased 100mmboe to >600
million boe
Shell ~80% (operator)
FEED started late 2013
Stones
~50 kboe/d FPSO
>250 million boe resources
Shell 100% (operator)
FPSO under construction
2016 start-up
Caesar Tonga
Cardamom Deep
Mars B
W.Boreas, S. Deimos
100 km
Cardamom Deep
~50 kboe/d
Shell 100% (operator)
Tie back to Auger
2014 start-up
Stones FPSO
Growth outlook1:
178 kboe/d on stream in 2013 + Mars B start-up 2014
100 kboe/d under construction
170 kboe/d new options
FIDDiscovery
Cardamom
Stones
Appomattox/Vicksburg
Vito
Start-up
1 Shell share
64. 64Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Project flow 2013 2014 2015 2016/2017
Heavy Oil
Deep-water
Resources Plays
Integrated Gas
UPSTREAM AMERICAS OUTLOOK
SCarmon Creek
S Elba LNG
S
SStones
SVito
Cardamom
FF
Appomatox
BC-10 ph3
LRS asset sales
SF Start-upFID – final investment decision
F Carmon Creek
LNG Canada
LRS de-risking
S
Mars B
FEED – front end engineering & design
phase 1
F LNG Canada
Cost repositioning
Gas integration decisions
Pathways to growth for each strategic theme
S
BC-10 ph2
65. 65Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS STRATEGY
Major OECD growth potential for Shell
Substantial and diverse resources base
Deep-water
Industry leadership
Heavy Oil
Mining and in-situ
Resources Plays
Portfolio repositioning
Integrated Gas
Monetizing gas
Arctic
Long-term potential
Profitable +
competitive today
Potential
Priorities to deliver our deep-water and heavy oil growth projects
Establish resources plays and integrated gas profitability
Drive sharper cost focus and capital efficiency across our operations
66. 66Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
BEN VAN BEURDEN
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
67. 67Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
2014 PRIORITIES
Returns and cash flow
Competitive returns for shareholders
Take hard choices on new options
Increase asset sales
Reduce pace of growth investment
Major deep-water start-ups in 2014
Integrate 2013 acquisitions
Deliver new
projects
Enhance our
capital efficiency
Improve our
financial
performance
68. 68Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
MANAGEMENT DAY
69. 69Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
KEY UPSTREAM PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Deep-water
Integrated gas
Resources plays
Future opportunities
Upstream engine
70. 70Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
PRE-FID UPSTREAM OPTIONS
POTENTIAL 2014-2020 START-UPS
Deep-water
Integrated gas
Resources plays
Future opportunities
Upstream engine
71. 71Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IDENTIFYING NEW CHEMICALS GROWTH POTENTIAL
Qatar chemicals
Gas-to-chemicals US
Saudi Arabia
Iraq
others…
2006
Nanhai
2010
USGC go-light strategy
Future options…
Current Potential
2010
Singapore
Portfolio + options
North America
Asia
Europe
Middle East
Al-Karaana petrochemicals
complex (2050 ktpa)
2015+
Derivatives expansion
in Jurong and USGC
Pennsylvania
cracker + PE
Jurong derivatives
(380 ktpa)
Shell Base Chemicals 2013 capacity
Strengthening our core
Growing our footprint
Crackers + derivatives
Scotford HCU
debottleneck
China refining +
chemicals
Sadaf expansion
72. 72Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
DELIVER NEW PROJECTS
2014 START-UPS
Mars B, Shell 72%, 100 kboe/d Cardamom, Shell 100%, 50 kboe/d
Gumusut-Kakap, Shell 33%, 135 kboe/dRepsol LNG acquisition, 4.2 mtpa
73. 73Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
Production decline halted
focus on up-time
reservoir development
sub-surface dynamics
Innovative EOR schemes
IMPROVE PERFORMANCE IN UPSTREAM ENGINES
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE: OMAN
PDO Oman
kboe/day, Shell share
Qarn-Alam: enhanced oil recovery project: on stream 2011
Actual production assumed production with continued decline
74. 74Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IMPROVE PERFORMANCE IN UPSTREAM ENGINES
IMPACT OF MAINTENANCE IN UK NORTH SEA
UK
‘000 boe per day, Shell share
2012-13 impacted by high levels of maintenance
2013 maintenance downtime 50 kboe per day (vs. 35 kboe per day
downtime in 2012)
Address late life assets: fix or divest
2013
Clair, Pierce, Schiehallion,
Brent, Gannet, Curlew
2012
Nelson, Anasuria, Shearwater, Pierce,
Brent/Penguin, Curlew, Clair, Guillemot
2014 start-ups:
Pierce, Gannet,
Shearwater
2012: 117kboe/d
2013: 91kboe/d
75. 75Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
ROBUST LNG MARKET DYNAMICS
Source: HH-Nymex, NBP-Argus, Brent-ICE, Japan Landed-CERA
LNG import countries
Regional gas prices
$/mmbtu
LNG supply
$/mmbtu
1990
2013
2020
Japan landed LNG price
National balancing point (UK)
Henry hub (US)
Brent
Importing countries (RHS)
Exporting countries (RHS)
Volumes sold FID
On stream
Shell
Nigeria
LNG
Oman LNG
Malaysia Tiga
North West Shelf
Sakhalin
Prelude
FLNG
Pluto
Malaysia
Dua
Gorgon North
Rankin 2
Diverse and growing market
Regional price variations
QG4
76. 76Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
INTEGRATED GAS PORTFOLIO
LEVERAGING SHELL’S SCALE AND MARKET GROWTH
* Includes feed gas from non-integrated ventures
Priorities
Integrate Repsol LNG acquisition
Deliver Prelude + Gorgon
Hard choices on next options
2013: ~0.7* mboe/d; 20 mtpa LNG
Capital investment
$ billion
Shell global LNG growth
Equity liquefaction capacity in mtpa Year end equity liquefaction capacity in mtpa
Liquefaction
Regas
GTL
Hazira
Gorgon
Prelude
On stream Under construction
2013 ~2020+2007
Under construction
Options
On stream
Repsol LNG
acquisition
Repsol LNG acquisitionRepsol LNG acquisition
Organic capital investment
Shell LNG leadership
2014
2013 2017
Repsol acquisition (2014+)
Elba (MMLS)
77. 77Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
INTEGRATED GAS DEVELOPMENTS
UNDER CONSTRUCTION: AUSTRALIA
3.6 mtpa LNG + 1.7 mtpa NGLs
Development drilling commenced Sep 2013
Hull afloat Nov 2013
Darwin supply base > 50% complete
Shell 67.5% (operator)
~15 mtpa: 3 trains
Expansion potential
Shell 25% (Chevron operator)
Prelude Floating LNG Gorgon
78. 78Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
GLOBAL DEEP-WATER
LEADING IOC DEEP-WATER PORTFOLIO
Established production leadership
Standardized developments &
production technology
Frontier exploration potential
2013: 0.3 mboe/d
Organic capital investment
$ billion
Perdido Spar, Gulf of Mexico
On stream
Under development
Exploration
Gulf of Mexico
Cardamom
Stones
Brazil
BC-10 ph3
Nigeria
Bonga NW
Erha North ph2
Malaysia/Brunei
Gumusut-Kakap
Malikai
Sabah Gas
Kebabangan KBB
Petai
79. 79Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IDENTIFY/ASSESS
Libra
ENHANCE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
MANAGING PROJECT FLOW
Deep-water
EXECUTE
Bonga NW
Cardamom
Sabah gas-KBB
Gumusut-Kakap
Erha North ph2
Stones
BC-10 ph3
Malikai
SELECT
BMS-54
Bosi field development
Vito
Zabazaba
DEFINE
Appomattox
Bonga Main ph3
Bonga North
Bonga Southwest
Geronggong
ON STREAM
Brazil
Gulf of Mexico
Nigeria deep-water
Brunei deep-water
Malaysia deep-water
~235 kboe/d at peak 2013: ~300 kboe/d
START
UP
FID
80. 80Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IRAQ
Majnoon Basrah Gas company
First major green field development in Iraq in 30
years
Start-up in Q3 2013 - currently producing >200
kboe per day
Cost recovery triggered, following the successful
completion of 90 day test run in 2013
BGC: largest flare reduction project in the world
delivering gas to domestic market
On stream1 May 2013; 320 mmscf/day
Current processing capacity 500 mmscf/day
2 billion scf/day potential
81. 81Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
NIGERIA
Bonga + Erha fields
Nov 2005: Bonga start-up;
Nigeria’s first deep-water project
~90 kboe/day (Shell 2013)
2014: Bonga NW start-up
Shell 55%
Jan ‘14: delivered 3000th LNG
cargo
4.4 mtpa (Shell 2013)
Atlantic markets with Asian
optionality
80-100 kboe/d divestment
program underway
Focus on gas
~180 kboe/day (Shell 2013)
Focados Yokri, Southern Swamp,
Gbaran-Ubie ph2 and TNP
loopline under construction
Deep-water Nigeria LNG Onshore (SPDC JV)
2010-12 divestments
SPDC OMLs
82. 82Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
IN-SITU HEAVY OIL GROWTH
CARMON CREEK
2013 FID on 80 kboe/d
1.5 billion barrels of resources
Vertical steam drive integrated with cogen
100% produced water re-cycled
100% Shell
Development overview Transportation options
Central Processing Facilities Site Preparation
Carmon Creek
Quebec
To USGC
Hardisty
Proposed and existing pipelines
Proposed East Energy pipeline
Tankers
Edmonton
200 miles
83. 83Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
SHELL ARCTIC & NEAR ARCTIC
CANADA
RUSSIA
KAZAKHSTAN
NORWAY
GREENLAND
UNITED STATES
SALYM
KASHAGAN
SAKHALIN
NORTH POLE
ORMEN LANGE
BAFFIN BAY
NIGLINTGAK
CHUKCHI
BEAUFORT
KANUMAS
NORWAY BARENTS
Alaska, Chukchi
Greenland, Baffin Bay
Norway, Ormen Lange
Russia, Sakhalin
Russia, Salym
Kazakhstan, Kashagan
84. 84Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
UPSTREAM AMERICAS HSSE
2013 performance:
Personal injury rate reduced by 30%
Process safety incidents reduced by ~50%
Add photo
Focus on HSSE continues Process safety
Number of incidentsInjuries – TRCF/million working hours million working hours
Working hours (RHS)TRCF
Tier 1 incidents Tier 2 incidents
85. 85Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
0
1
2
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PROJECTS + TECHNOLOGY: COMPETITIVE PROJECTS
Cost benchmarking from IPA Upstream International & International benchmarking consortium
Standardization lead time: subsea trees Upstream/ Downstream IPA cost benchmark
$ billion cumulative
Value through standardization: subsea components
UA subsea spend w/o standardization UA subsea spend
Realized savings
~$200 million or 20%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4th Quartile
Upstream facilities cost Index Downstream cost effectiveness
Current mandatory benchmarking for major
projects
Standardization and replication to hold down cost
Improvement in front end loading
Transfer of knowledge
Competitive projects performance
Peers EFA Standardization effect
months
6-12 months acceleration
86. 86Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
0
25
50
75
0 5000 10000 15000
PROJECTS + TECHNOLOGY: WELLS
Rushmore data
Average age of Shell fleet ~10 years
Declining to ~5 years by 2016
High technology fleet (dual BOP’s, Bully rig)
BOP R&D with Transocean
‘000 $/day
Ultra deep-water rig ratesExample: Malaysia drilling cost
Major IOC competitorsShell contracts
Competitive drilling costs
Well costs in $ million
Depth (ft)
4th quartile
3rd quartile
2nd quartile
Top quartile
Best in class
Competitors 2000-2012Shell 2010 Shell 2013
87. 87Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
CONVENTIONAL EXPLORATION PORTFOLIO + SPEND
Reloading our acreage portfolio
‘000 km2
Exploration spend
$ billion
Substantial dry hole costs in 2013
Exploration spend ~$4 billion 2014
Drilling 16 basins in 2014
2014 key frontier tests
Albania, Benin, Brazil, China offshore, Gabon
Exploration & Appraisal Acreage/deals
Turkey Black Sea
Australia
Norway
Brazil
BruneiNova Scotia
South Africa
Albania
Benin
China
Tanzania
New Zealand
Indonesia
Malaysia
French Guiana
GOM
Greenland
Guyana
Italy
NorwayAlaska
Colombia
Australia
Albania, Shpirag -2 discovery
88. 88Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
2013 CONVENTIONAL EXPLORATION HIGHLIGHTS
2013 entry into giant pre-salt
discovery
2014: spudding 2 wells
Extended well test by end-2016
Shell 20%
Deep-water oil discovery
>100 million boe
Shell 75%
Part of a future Appomattox
development
> 600 million boe (was 500
million boe)
~30 mln boe discovered
Single well with 6 sidetracks
On-stream in 2013
Shell 50%
Frontier: Brazil, Libra entry Heartland: GOM, Vicksburg “A” NFE: Brunei, Iron Duke
89. 89Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
EXPLORATION + APPRAISAL: KEY WELLS 2014-2015
Albania: follow-
up exploration
US GoM:
Mars Basin, Mesozoic,
Miocene, Paleogene plays
Brunei
Nigeria
Outer Canning
+ Exmouth
Neuquen LRS
China
Gabon:
pre-salt
Ukraine
North America LRS
‘14 ‘15
Turkey Black Sea
Yinggehai
Malaysia
Tanzania
New Zealand
Oman LRS
Russia LRS
Arrow CBM
South Africa
Orange Basin
Canada:
Nova Scotia deepwater
Denmark
Benin:
transform margin
Egypt
Indonesia
Norway
Netherlands
Frontier
Heartlands
Turkey LRS
Brazil including Libra
2014 drilling in 16 conventional basins + 9 resources plays
2014 conventional spend $4.2* billion (2013 $5.8 billion)
2014 resources plays spend $3.1 billion (2013 $3.5 billion)
Conventional
Resources plays
* Includes Alaska
90. 90Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 13 March, 2014
BALANCING GROWTH & RETURNS
MANAGEMENT DAY 2014
13 MARCH 2014
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC