SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  20
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Texas Business-Cycle Index

Month/Month,                                            TX recession
SAAR
                                                        Index 1971=100 (Nov=-0.88)
12
10
 8
 6
 4
 2
 0
 -2
 -4
 -6
 -8
  1972     1975   1978     1981    1984   1987   1990   1993   1996    1999   2002   2005   2008




      Source: FRB Dallas                                                http://www.dallasfed.org
Change in Texas Leading Index
                     Net Contributions of Components
                         3-month change: August - September - October



Net Change in Texas Leading Index                                                      0.84

         Texas Value of the Dollar                                               0.62

               U.S. Leading Index                                               0.52

                    Real Oil Price                                             0.41

                     Well Permits                                       0.02

       New Unemployment Claims                                          0.1

                Texas Stock Index                                        0.13

               Help Wanted Index               -1.04

           Average Weekly Hours                                         0.09

                                      -2               -1           0                   1          2
                                                                                         Percent
    Source: FRB Dallas                                           http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Total Nonfarm Employment
                                    Quarterly Growth
1-quarter % change,
SAAR                                                              Texas (Q3=-2.69)
  6                                                               U.S. (Q3=-1.8)

  4

  2

  0

 -2

 -4

 -6

 -8
          1991        1994        1997         2000        2003          2006          2009




Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas        http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Total Nonfarm Employment
                                       Monthly Growth
1-month % change,
SAAR                                                                    Texas (Nov=0.54)
   8                                                                    U.S. (Nov=-0.1)
   6
   4
   2
   0
   -2
   -4
   -6
   -8
         2001       2002    2003     2004     2005     2006      2007    2008      2009



 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas      http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Industry Employment
                                 NAICS Super Sectors
                           Monthly Growth. SA by FRB Dallas
                                         December 2008 - November 2009


1-month % change,        Natural Resources & Mining (Nov=15.77)      Construction (Nov=-7.05)
SAAR                     Trade, Transp & Utilities (Nov=-3.2)        Manufacturing (Nov=-7.06)
                         Professional & Business Svc (Nov=0.1)       Financial Activities (Nov=5.1)
   30                    Leisure & Hospitality (Nov=4.82)            Information (Nov=-13.82)
                         Educational & Health Services (Nov=4.68)    Government (Nov=2.38)
   20

   10

     0

   -10

   -20

   -30

   -40
 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas                   http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas High Tech Manufacturing Employment
                                 (Change in Employment)
Thousands, SA
                                                    Change in Employment (Nov=0.2)
   4
   3
   2
   1
   0
  -1
  -2
  -3
  -4
  -5
       1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009




 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas       http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas High Tech Manufacturing Employment
   Index,
Jan 1990=100            Semiconductor & Oth. Electronic Components (Nov=108.5)
                        Computers and Peripheral Equipment (Nov=62.5)
  230
                        Communications Equipment (Nov=37.6)
  210
  190
  170
  150
  130
  110
   90
   70
   50
   30
        1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009




Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas                     http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas High Tech Services Employment
   Index,
Jan 1990=100                      Telecommunications (Nov=129.7)
                                  ISPs, search portals, and data processing * (Nov=97.7)
  600
                                  Computer system design and related services (Nov=521.8)

  500

  400

  300

  200

  100

     0
          1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

 * The January 2007 drop in ISPs, search portals, and data processing is due to changes in NAICS codes.


Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas                                    http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Major Metro Area Employment
   Index,
Jan2001=100
                 Texas (Nov=109)             Austin (Nov=115.3)
  120
                 Dallas (Nov=103.5)          El Paso (Nov=106.2)
  118
                 Ft. Worth (Nov=108.5)       Houston (Nov=110)
  116            San Antonio (Nov=112)
  114
  112
  110
  108
  106
  104
  102
  100
   98
   96
          2002           2003         2004   2005        2006      2007       2008       2009



Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas             http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Metro Business-Cycle Indexes
                                                                        November 2009
                   Austin-Round Rock                                       Brownsville-Harlingen                                    Dallas-Plano-Irving MD
 450                                                       450                                                       450

 400                                                       400                                                       400

 350                                                       350                                                       350

 300                                                       300                                                       300

 250                                                       250                                                       250

 200                                                       200                                                       200
 150                                                       150                                                       150
 100                                                       100                                                       100
  50                                                        50                                                        50
       1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008         1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008         1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008



                            El Paso                                     Forth Worth-Arlington MD                                Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown
 450                                                       450                                                       450
 400                                                       400                                                       400
 350                                                       350                                                       350
 300                                                       300                                                       300
 250                                                       250                                                       250
 200                                                       200                                                       200
 150                                                       150                                                       150
 100                                                       100                                                       100
  50                                                        50                                                        50
       1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008         1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008         1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008


                            Laredo                                      McAllen-Edinburg-Mission                                            San Antonio
 450                                                       450                                                       450
 400                                                       400                                                       400
 350                                                       350                                                       350
 300                                                       300                                                       300
 250                                                       250                                                       250
 200                                                       200                                                       200
 150                                                       150                                                       150
 100                                                       100                                                       100
  50                                                        50                                                        50
       1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008         1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008         1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008


Source: FRB Dallas                                                                                                                http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Major Metro Area Business-Cycle Indexes

Index,
Jan1990=100
 260
                Austin (Nov=224.9)
 240            Dallas (Nov=144.4)
 220            Ft. Worth (Nov=161.2)
                Houston (Nov=226.4)
 200            San Antonio (Nov=169.8)
 180            Texas (Nov=160.9)

 160
 140
 120
 100
  80
       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009



    Source: FRB Dallas                                                      http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Border Metro Area Business-Cycle Indexes

Index,
Jan1990=100
 380               Brownsville (Nov=189.9)       El Paso (Nov=139.7)
 360               Laredo (Nov=244.4)            McAllen (Nov=294.7)
 340
                   Texas (Nov=160.9)
 320
 300
 280
 260
 240
 220
 200
 180
 160
 140
 120
 100
  80
       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009



    Source: FRB Dallas                                                      http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Border Employment
                              SA by FRB Dallas. Monthly Changes.

1-month % change,                         December 2008 - November 2009
SAAR
     15

     10

      5

      0

     -5

    -10

    -15

    -20          Brownsville (Nov=5.98)         El Paso (Nov=-2.63)       Laredo (Nov=-5.43)

                 McAllen (Nov=3.33)             Border (Nov=0.34)




Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas               http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas and U.S. Unemployment Rate

Percent, SA
                                                      U.S. (Nov=10)
  11
                                                      Texas (Nov=8)
  10

   9

   8

   7

   6

   5

   4

   3
       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009




  Source: BLS                                                                  http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Major Metro Area Unemployment Rates

Percent, SA                                     Austin (Nov=7.1)
                                                Dallas (Nov=8.2)
 9                                              Houston (Nov=8.4)
                                                San Antonio (Nov=6.9)
 8

 7

 6

 5

 4

 3

 2

 1
       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009



     Source: BLS, seasonal adjustment by FRB Dallas                            http://www.dallasfed.org
Energy Prices and Texas Rig Count
Rig count,                                                                               Nominal price, $
weekly              TX rig count (Dec=478)                                                         weekly
                    Oil price (Jan=79.14)
1200                Natural gas price (Jan=58.74)                            Oil price                160

                                                       TX rig count                                   140
1000
                                                                                                      120
 800
                                                                                                      100

 600                                                                                                  80

                                                                                                      60
 400
                                                                                                      40
 200                                                         Natural gas price*                       20

    0                                                                                                 0
             2003      2004         2005        2006      2007        2008        2009      2010
   * Natural gas price is multiplied by 10

   Source: Wall Street Journal, Henry Hub, Baker Hughes                       http://www.dallasfed.org
Real Texas Construction Contract Values

Index Jan 1990=100
SA, 5MMA
500
450                 Residential (Nov=197)
                    Nonresidential (Nov=111)
400
                    Nonbuilding (Nov=205)
350
300
250
200
150
100
 50
  0
       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


      Source: McGraw-Hill Construction F.W. Dodge                        http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Residential Permits and Mortgage Rate

                                 30-yr mortgage rate (Jan 04=5)
Mortgage rate,                   Singe family permits (Nov=5848)                         Number of permits
  percent                                                                                  SA, 5MMA
                                 Multifamily permits (Nov=942)
12                                                                                                         16,000
                                                          Single family permits                            14,000
10
                                                                                                           12,000
 8
                                                                                                           10,000

 6     30-yr mortgage rate                                                                                 8,000

                                                                                                           6,000
 4
                                                                                                           4,000
 2
                                                                                                           2,000
                                                                         Multifamily permits
 0                                                                                                         0
     1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


 Source: Bureau of the Census                                                    http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Exports by Region
                                                                 2009:Q3
 Index, 97Q1=100
 Real $, SA                                                 Texas Total                 Mexico
                                                            Canada                      European Union (27)
   650                                                      Asia**                      Latin America*
   600                                                      China
                            12%
   550                              4%   other
   500             19%                8%
   450
   400           13%                Mexico
   350                               35%
   300                9%
   250
   200
   150
   100
    50
            1997     1998    1999       2000     2001     2002 2003       2004   2005   2006   2007   2008 2009
* Latin America excluding Mexico;      ** Asia excluding China

 Source: World Institute for Strategic Economic Research, FRB Dallas                       http://www.dallasfed.org
Texas Exports by Industry
                                                  2009:Q3
Index, 97Q1=100
Real $, SA                      TX total                      Chemicals
                                Computers & Electronics       Petroleum and Coal Products
  1100                          Machinery                     Agriculture and Food
                                Transportation Equipment
  1000
   900               5%
                          9%
               16%
   800
   700
            10%               22%
   600                      other
   500
              21%
   400                    17%
   300
   200
   100
     0
          1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


Source: World Institute for Strategic Economic Research, FRB Dallas       http://www.dallasfed.org

Contenu connexe

En vedette

Construction Dictionary
Construction  DictionaryConstruction  Dictionary
Construction DictionaryBob Lowery
 
KC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy States
KC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy StatesKC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy States
KC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy StatesBob Lowery
 
The evolution and influence of thinking in management
The evolution and influence of thinking in managementThe evolution and influence of thinking in management
The evolution and influence of thinking in managementMurray Hunter
 
Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...
Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...
Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...Murray Hunter
 
Conociendo wikispaces
Conociendo wikispacesConociendo wikispaces
Conociendo wikispacesEdna Rheiner
 

En vedette (7)

Px Milestones 2009
Px Milestones 2009Px Milestones 2009
Px Milestones 2009
 
Construction Dictionary
Construction  DictionaryConstruction  Dictionary
Construction Dictionary
 
KC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy States
KC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy StatesKC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy States
KC Fed Oil & Gas - Are the Energy States still Energy States
 
The evolution and influence of thinking in management
The evolution and influence of thinking in managementThe evolution and influence of thinking in management
The evolution and influence of thinking in management
 
Haiku
HaikuHaiku
Haiku
 
Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...
Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...
Heuristics in the development of production processes for household chemical ...
 
Conociendo wikispaces
Conociendo wikispacesConociendo wikispaces
Conociendo wikispaces
 

Plus de Bob Lowery

PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012
PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012
PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012Bob Lowery
 
HealthCare Appraisers - 2011 Report
HealthCare Appraisers - 2011 ReportHealthCare Appraisers - 2011 Report
HealthCare Appraisers - 2011 ReportBob Lowery
 
Houston Association of Realtors - Housing Update
Houston Association of Realtors - Housing UpdateHouston Association of Realtors - Housing Update
Houston Association of Realtors - Housing UpdateBob Lowery
 
Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011
Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011
Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011Bob Lowery
 
The Outlook for Health Care - Gary Schilling
The Outlook for Health Care - Gary SchillingThe Outlook for Health Care - Gary Schilling
The Outlook for Health Care - Gary SchillingBob Lowery
 
PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate
PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate
PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate Bob Lowery
 
Costar Advisory Report: Houston Office - 3Q 2010
Costar Advisory Report:  Houston Office - 3Q 2010Costar Advisory Report:  Houston Office - 3Q 2010
Costar Advisory Report: Houston Office - 3Q 2010Bob Lowery
 
GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010
GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010
GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010Bob Lowery
 
GHP Houston: The Economy at a Glance
GHP Houston: The Economy at a GlanceGHP Houston: The Economy at a Glance
GHP Houston: The Economy at a GlanceBob Lowery
 
Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010
Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010
Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010Bob Lowery
 
Coldwell Banker Commercial - Office
Coldwell Banker Commercial - OfficeColdwell Banker Commercial - Office
Coldwell Banker Commercial - OfficeBob Lowery
 
NFIB: Small Business
NFIB: Small BusinessNFIB: Small Business
NFIB: Small BusinessBob Lowery
 
GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)
GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)
GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)Bob Lowery
 
Policom: (Cities) Economic Strength Rankings
Policom: (Cities) Economic Strength RankingsPolicom: (Cities) Economic Strength Rankings
Policom: (Cities) Economic Strength RankingsBob Lowery
 
Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010
Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010
Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010Bob Lowery
 
Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010
Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010
Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010Bob Lowery
 
Office Tenant Retention Tips
Office Tenant Retention TipsOffice Tenant Retention Tips
Office Tenant Retention TipsBob Lowery
 
Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010
Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010
Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010Bob Lowery
 
SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...
SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...
SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...Bob Lowery
 
Ssrn commercial real estate leasing litigation
Ssrn commercial real estate leasing litigationSsrn commercial real estate leasing litigation
Ssrn commercial real estate leasing litigationBob Lowery
 

Plus de Bob Lowery (20)

PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012
PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012
PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012
 
HealthCare Appraisers - 2011 Report
HealthCare Appraisers - 2011 ReportHealthCare Appraisers - 2011 Report
HealthCare Appraisers - 2011 Report
 
Houston Association of Realtors - Housing Update
Houston Association of Realtors - Housing UpdateHouston Association of Realtors - Housing Update
Houston Association of Realtors - Housing Update
 
Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011
Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011
Houston Economy at a Glance - Augst 2011
 
The Outlook for Health Care - Gary Schilling
The Outlook for Health Care - Gary SchillingThe Outlook for Health Care - Gary Schilling
The Outlook for Health Care - Gary Schilling
 
PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate
PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate
PWC/ULI - 2011 Emerging Trends in Real Estate
 
Costar Advisory Report: Houston Office - 3Q 2010
Costar Advisory Report:  Houston Office - 3Q 2010Costar Advisory Report:  Houston Office - 3Q 2010
Costar Advisory Report: Houston Office - 3Q 2010
 
GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010
GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010
GHP: The Economy at a Glance - October 2010
 
GHP Houston: The Economy at a Glance
GHP Houston: The Economy at a GlanceGHP Houston: The Economy at a Glance
GHP Houston: The Economy at a Glance
 
Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010
Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010
Oilwatch Monthly - August 2010
 
Coldwell Banker Commercial - Office
Coldwell Banker Commercial - OfficeColdwell Banker Commercial - Office
Coldwell Banker Commercial - Office
 
NFIB: Small Business
NFIB: Small BusinessNFIB: Small Business
NFIB: Small Business
 
GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)
GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)
GHP: The Economy At A Glance (August 2010)
 
Policom: (Cities) Economic Strength Rankings
Policom: (Cities) Economic Strength RankingsPolicom: (Cities) Economic Strength Rankings
Policom: (Cities) Economic Strength Rankings
 
Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010
Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010
Houston Office Market Report: Mid-Year 2010
 
Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010
Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010
Pimco Commercial Real Estate - June 2010
 
Office Tenant Retention Tips
Office Tenant Retention TipsOffice Tenant Retention Tips
Office Tenant Retention Tips
 
Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010
Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010
Texas Landlords and Tenants Guide - 2010
 
SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...
SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...
SSRN Paper: Expected Returns and the Expected Growth in Rents of Commercial R...
 
Ssrn commercial real estate leasing litigation
Ssrn commercial real estate leasing litigationSsrn commercial real estate leasing litigation
Ssrn commercial real estate leasing litigation
 

Dernier

Mahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdf
Mahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdfMahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdf
Mahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdfBabyrudram
 
Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝soniya singh
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...
Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...
Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...delhimodel235
 
Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...
Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...
Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...gurkirankumar98700
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI
3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI
3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGIPanoram CGI
 
Kohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune E-Brochure.pdf
Kohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune  E-Brochure.pdfKohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune  E-Brochure.pdf
Kohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune E-Brochure.pdfManishSaxena95
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdfKolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdfabbu831446
 
Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...
Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...
Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...ApartmentWala1
 
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya DevelopmentProperties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya DevelopmentAntalya Development
 
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In DelhiLow Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhiasmaqueen5
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...asmaqueen5
 
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, NoidaM3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noidasarak0han45400
 
Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...
Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...
Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...asmaqueen5
 
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports WorkTENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports WorkTurbo Tenant
 
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCRGirls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCRasmaqueen5
 
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial VenturesM3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Venturessheltercareglobal
 

Dernier (20)

Mahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdf
Mahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdfMahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdf
Mahindra Happinest Tathawade Pune Brochure.pdf
 
Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls In Vasant Vihar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 3 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
 
Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...
Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...
Call Girls in laxmi Nagar Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝 9582086666🔝 South Delhi Escorts Se...
 
Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...
Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...
Telibagh & Call Girls Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 🎂 8923113531 🎪 Ne...
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
 
3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI
3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI
3D Architectural Rendering Company by Panoram CGI
 
Kohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune E-Brochure.pdf
Kohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune  E-Brochure.pdfKohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune  E-Brochure.pdf
Kohinoor Hinjewadi Phase 2 Pune E-Brochure.pdf
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
 
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdfKolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdf
 
Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...
Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...
Best Deal Virtual Space in Satya The Hive Tata Zudio 750 Sqft 1.89 Cr All inc...
 
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya DevelopmentProperties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
 
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In DelhiLow Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 1 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
 
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
 
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, NoidaM3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
 
Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...
Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...
Call Girls In Chand Nagar (Delhi)+918447779280 Welcome To Vip Women Seeking M...
 
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports WorkTENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
 
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCRGirls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
 
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial VenturesM3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
 

Texas Economic Charts - Nov 2009

  • 1. Texas Business-Cycle Index Month/Month, TX recession SAAR Index 1971=100 (Nov=-0.88) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 Source: FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 2. Change in Texas Leading Index Net Contributions of Components 3-month change: August - September - October Net Change in Texas Leading Index 0.84 Texas Value of the Dollar 0.62 U.S. Leading Index 0.52 Real Oil Price 0.41 Well Permits 0.02 New Unemployment Claims 0.1 Texas Stock Index 0.13 Help Wanted Index -1.04 Average Weekly Hours 0.09 -2 -1 0 1 2 Percent Source: FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 3. Texas Total Nonfarm Employment Quarterly Growth 1-quarter % change, SAAR Texas (Q3=-2.69) 6 U.S. (Q3=-1.8) 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 4. Texas Total Nonfarm Employment Monthly Growth 1-month % change, SAAR Texas (Nov=0.54) 8 U.S. (Nov=-0.1) 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 5. Texas Industry Employment NAICS Super Sectors Monthly Growth. SA by FRB Dallas December 2008 - November 2009 1-month % change, Natural Resources & Mining (Nov=15.77) Construction (Nov=-7.05) SAAR Trade, Transp & Utilities (Nov=-3.2) Manufacturing (Nov=-7.06) Professional & Business Svc (Nov=0.1) Financial Activities (Nov=5.1) 30 Leisure & Hospitality (Nov=4.82) Information (Nov=-13.82) Educational & Health Services (Nov=4.68) Government (Nov=2.38) 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 6. Texas High Tech Manufacturing Employment (Change in Employment) Thousands, SA Change in Employment (Nov=0.2) 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 7. Texas High Tech Manufacturing Employment Index, Jan 1990=100 Semiconductor & Oth. Electronic Components (Nov=108.5) Computers and Peripheral Equipment (Nov=62.5) 230 Communications Equipment (Nov=37.6) 210 190 170 150 130 110 90 70 50 30 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 8. Texas High Tech Services Employment Index, Jan 1990=100 Telecommunications (Nov=129.7) ISPs, search portals, and data processing * (Nov=97.7) 600 Computer system design and related services (Nov=521.8) 500 400 300 200 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 * The January 2007 drop in ISPs, search portals, and data processing is due to changes in NAICS codes. Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 9. Texas Major Metro Area Employment Index, Jan2001=100 Texas (Nov=109) Austin (Nov=115.3) 120 Dallas (Nov=103.5) El Paso (Nov=106.2) 118 Ft. Worth (Nov=108.5) Houston (Nov=110) 116 San Antonio (Nov=112) 114 112 110 108 106 104 102 100 98 96 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 10. Texas Metro Business-Cycle Indexes November 2009 Austin-Round Rock Brownsville-Harlingen Dallas-Plano-Irving MD 450 450 450 400 400 400 350 350 350 300 300 300 250 250 250 200 200 200 150 150 150 100 100 100 50 50 50 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 El Paso Forth Worth-Arlington MD Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 450 450 450 400 400 400 350 350 350 300 300 300 250 250 250 200 200 200 150 150 150 100 100 100 50 50 50 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 Laredo McAllen-Edinburg-Mission San Antonio 450 450 450 400 400 400 350 350 350 300 300 300 250 250 250 200 200 200 150 150 150 100 100 100 50 50 50 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 Source: FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 11. Texas Major Metro Area Business-Cycle Indexes Index, Jan1990=100 260 Austin (Nov=224.9) 240 Dallas (Nov=144.4) 220 Ft. Worth (Nov=161.2) Houston (Nov=226.4) 200 San Antonio (Nov=169.8) 180 Texas (Nov=160.9) 160 140 120 100 80 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 12. Texas Border Metro Area Business-Cycle Indexes Index, Jan1990=100 380 Brownsville (Nov=189.9) El Paso (Nov=139.7) 360 Laredo (Nov=244.4) McAllen (Nov=294.7) 340 Texas (Nov=160.9) 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 13. Texas Border Employment SA by FRB Dallas. Monthly Changes. 1-month % change, December 2008 - November 2009 SAAR 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 Brownsville (Nov=5.98) El Paso (Nov=-2.63) Laredo (Nov=-5.43) McAllen (Nov=3.33) Border (Nov=0.34) Source: BLS/TWC, seasonal and other adjustments by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 14. Texas and U.S. Unemployment Rate Percent, SA U.S. (Nov=10) 11 Texas (Nov=8) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BLS http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 15. Texas Major Metro Area Unemployment Rates Percent, SA Austin (Nov=7.1) Dallas (Nov=8.2) 9 Houston (Nov=8.4) San Antonio (Nov=6.9) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BLS, seasonal adjustment by FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 16. Energy Prices and Texas Rig Count Rig count, Nominal price, $ weekly TX rig count (Dec=478) weekly Oil price (Jan=79.14) 1200 Natural gas price (Jan=58.74) Oil price 160 TX rig count 140 1000 120 800 100 600 80 60 400 40 200 Natural gas price* 20 0 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 * Natural gas price is multiplied by 10 Source: Wall Street Journal, Henry Hub, Baker Hughes http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 17. Real Texas Construction Contract Values Index Jan 1990=100 SA, 5MMA 500 450 Residential (Nov=197) Nonresidential (Nov=111) 400 Nonbuilding (Nov=205) 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: McGraw-Hill Construction F.W. Dodge http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 18. Texas Residential Permits and Mortgage Rate 30-yr mortgage rate (Jan 04=5) Mortgage rate, Singe family permits (Nov=5848) Number of permits percent SA, 5MMA Multifamily permits (Nov=942) 12 16,000 Single family permits 14,000 10 12,000 8 10,000 6 30-yr mortgage rate 8,000 6,000 4 4,000 2 2,000 Multifamily permits 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Bureau of the Census http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 19. Texas Exports by Region 2009:Q3 Index, 97Q1=100 Real $, SA Texas Total Mexico Canada European Union (27) 650 Asia** Latin America* 600 China 12% 550 4% other 500 19% 8% 450 400 13% Mexico 350 35% 300 9% 250 200 150 100 50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 * Latin America excluding Mexico; ** Asia excluding China Source: World Institute for Strategic Economic Research, FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org
  • 20. Texas Exports by Industry 2009:Q3 Index, 97Q1=100 Real $, SA TX total Chemicals Computers & Electronics Petroleum and Coal Products 1100 Machinery Agriculture and Food Transportation Equipment 1000 900 5% 9% 16% 800 700 10% 22% 600 other 500 21% 400 17% 300 200 100 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: World Institute for Strategic Economic Research, FRB Dallas http://www.dallasfed.org