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2012 U.S. Fleet Manager’s Desirability and
Willingness to Pay for Advanced
Heavy-Duty Truck Technologies

Table of Contents
&
Executive Summary

February 2012
Contents

Section

Slide Numbers

Research Objectives, Method Details, and Demographics

4

Executive Summary and Implications

14

Powertrain Technologies

18

Telematics Technologies

42

Advanced Safety Technologies

60

Regulatory Compliance Technologies

90

Maximum Difference Scaling (MaxDiff)

96

Brand Perceptions – Fleet Managers’ Ratings of Truck OEMs,

107

Safety Systems Suppliers, and Telematics Service Providers

The Frost & Sullivan Story

119
2
RESEARCH OBJECTIVES, METHOD DETAILS, AND
DEMOGRAPHICS

3
Research Objectives

The overall objective of this research was to understand Heavy-Duty Fleet
Managers in terms of advanced technologies available for their fleets.
Specifically, we sought to:
– Measure the awareness of the various powertrain, safety, and telematics advanced
technologies surveyed.
– Assess which powertrain, safety, and telematics advance technologies are
currently being utilized.

– Determine what features are most important among the various powertrain, safety,
and telematics advanced technologies surveyed.
– Measure future purchase intentions of the various powertrain, safety, and
telematics advanced technologies surveyed.
– Determine the impact that pending regulations have on the adoption of various
powertrain, safety, and telematics advanced technologies.

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

4
Methods
Methodology: A dual methodology was utilized to contact a particularly difficult-to-reach
target respondent: First, recruitment was conducted via a telephone screening process;
secondly, a web-based survey was sent to qualified respondents for their completion.

Sample: In total, 100 U.S. Heavy-Duty Fleet Managers were surveyed (from a list of top100 fleets in U.S. from both private and for-hire segments). Specifically, we targeted
Heavy-Duty Fleet Managers who:
• Are part of the vehicle (for heavy-duty trucks) purchase making process;
• Are expecting to purchase additional vehicles for their fleet within the next two years;

• Have at least class 6, 7, and 8 vehicles in their fleet.
Additional demographic details of the sample are presented in the following slides.

Fieldwork: The survey was conducted during October 2011–February 2012.
Reporting notes: Due to rounding errors, percentages in charts and tables, may not
sum to 100.

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

5
Demographics: Truck Detail
Type of Fleet Trucks
(United States), 2010 and 2012

Class of Trucks
(United States), 2010 and 2012
94%

99%

Tractor

Class 6 to 8

95%

2010

2010
59%
2012

100%

Straight

2012

41%
Class 1 to 3

53%

36%

4%
Other

36%
Class 4 to 5

12%
Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

32%
Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

S6. What types of trucks does your fleet currently utilize? (Multiple response)
S5. Which of the following classes of vehicles do you currently have in use in your entire fleet? (Multiple
response)

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

6
Demographics: Types of Trailers
Types of Trailers (United States), 2010 and 2012
57%

Dry vans

74%
47%

Flatbeds

2010

42%

32%

Tankers

32%

2012
28%

Specialty trailers

25%
23%

Utility trailers

Other

25%

16%
35%

Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

S6A. What types of trailers does your fleet currently utilize? (Multiple response)

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

7
Demographics: Types of Fleets Represented
Types of Fleet (Private/Hired)
(United States), 2010 and 2012

Type of Fleet
(United States), 2010 and 2012

46%

61%

For hire
62%

On highway
86%

2010
2012

47%
Private

2010

2012
32%

39%
7%
Government/public
fleet

Vocational

14%
6%

Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

S9. Is your fleet primarily
S10. Is your fleet primarily?

Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

8
Demographics: Respondent Titles and Years in Current
Role
Title of Respondents
(United States), 2010 and 2012

Time in Current Role
(United States), 2010 and 2012
69%

2010

Fleet manager
56%

2012
25%

Less than 2 years
2010
2012

33%
11%
14%

3-5 years

13%

Maintenance/service manager
27%

16%

6-10 years

16%

4%
CEO/COO/President/Owner
9%
11-15 years

7%
14%

2%
Safety manager
4%

16-20 years

0%
Other
4%
Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).
S1. Which of the following best describes your current title?
D3. Approximately how long have you been a (RESTORE S1 RESPONSE)?

More than 20 years

12%
16%
18%
30%

Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

9
Demographics: Scope of Responsibility
Scope of Influence on Fleet Purchase
(United States), 2010 and 2012

Degree of Involvement in Fleet
(United States), 2010 and 2012
77%

67%

Recommend/Influence purchase

One of 2 or 3 fleet purchase
decision makers

89%

2010

77%

2010

2012

55%

2012

Specify fleet equipment
79%

19%

One of many fleet purchase
decision makers
16%

60%
Purchase fleet vehicles
58%

14%
2%
Other
3%
Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

Sole decision maker

7%
Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).

S2. What is your role in the purchase decision process of vehicles for use in your fleet? Specifically, for which of the following are you
responsible? (Multiple response)
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
S3. How involved are you in the purchase decision process of vehicles for use in your fleet?
10
Demographics: Timeframe of Future Vehicle Purchase
Intentions
Timeframe of Future Vehicle Purchase Intentions
(United States), 2010 and 2012
55%
Within the Next 6 Months
63%

2010
32%
2012

Next 6 to 12 Months
28%

13%
Next 1 to 2 Years

9%

Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100).
S4. When do you expect to purchase additional vehicles or replace existing vehicles in your fleet?

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

11
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND IMPLICATIONS

12
Executive Summary
• The 2012 HD fleet managers survey reveals decisive change in preference for technologies that
reduce total cost of ownership of truck. As fleets are tending to keep trucks for longer periods of time,
technologies that reduce lifecycle cost are being increasingly preferred by truck fleets. The choice of
prognostics as the most preferred technology in an advanced technology bundle offered by truck
OEMs underlines this trend.
• The high ratings obtained by technologies such as SCR, advanced engine oils and semi/full
automatic transmissions reveal that fleet managers are looking at technologies that deliver more than
one major value proposition. All three technologies have experienced improvements in their
contribution to fuel efficiency enhancement, but also offer lifecycle/operating cost reduction potential.
• Fleet managers are anticipating rising fuel price volatility and exacerbating driver shortage issue.
Fleet managers are also operating under severe financial stress and running on lower levels of
human capital. Fleets managers are therefore showing preference for technologies that deliver time
and mission critical information, data and analysis for facilitating decision making.
• CSA 2010 and braking distance regulation is forcing fleet managers to invest in technologies that not
only induce safe driving practices but also technologies which can be used to actively intervene to
enhance truck safety. Fleets are also opting for technologies that can be used to reduce maintenance
and service costs, train drivers and technicians, and reduce fuel related costs.
• Price sensitivity analysis reveals results that show that fleets are willing to invest in an advanced
technology, despite its higher price premium, if they are convinced that the technology can help
reduce operating cost, induce safe driving practices, and maximize vehicle uptime.
• Data and information (both real-time and recorded) associated with various truck technologies can be
leveraged in creating training, prognostics, and other types of revenue streams for OEMs and
suppliers. Fleet managers are showing increasing hunger for effective utilization of information
related to their mobile resources: drivers and vehicles.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

13
Implications
• Advanced technology development and marketing must center around reducing operating expenses
of fleet managers are facing challenges such as fuel price volatility, a strengthening regulatory
environment, and shortage of skilled drivers and technicians.
• The higher degree of cognizance for several advanced soft technologies, especially in the safety and
telematics space, implies that OEMs and suppliers must work closely with telematics service
providers, information and communication service providers, data analytics providers, infrastructure
planners, and government arms.
• Consistent with the 2010 study, managers of the largest private and for-hire heavy-duty fleets in U.S.
are willing to pay higher price premiums for advanced technologies if they see potential in the
technologies in reducing operating expenses. This implies, fleet operating expense and lifecycle cost
reduction must be key focal points for R&D teams in developing new commercial vehicle industry
focused technologies. Marketing teams should underline these value propositions to fleet managers
to effectively market and sell these technologies.
• The proliferation of connectivity-enabled technologies, especially technologies such as prognostics
which impacts all adjacent powertrain, chassis, safety, and other technologies, implies tremendous
revenue growth opportunities for OEMs, suppliers, aftermarket service providers, and fleets alike.
The rising interest in this technology implies that mobile resource connectivity for vehicle operations,
service, and maintenance will drive growth opportunities for a wide spectrum of market participant
groups.
• The highest ranking technologies in terms of perceived value and interest are offering OEMs
affirmation of their vertical integration strategies and offering suppliers ideas to focus on developing
virtual integration relationships with OEMs by investing in some of these technologies and developing
strong expertise in developing and marketing the technologies.
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

14
Executive Summary: CEO Perspective

1

Fleet managers are showing high degree of
interest in technologies that can help reduce
operating expenses and total cost of
ownership

2

Fuel price volatility, driver shortage,
regulation compliance, downtime reduction,
and data analytics are driving preferences

3

Telematics is emerging as a key enabler of
several benefits and applications desired by
fleet managers

4

With fleets keeping trucks for longer periods
of time, technologies that improve uptime
and reduce lifecycle costs are welcome

5

Creating electronic interfaces for truck
systems/components for integration with
vehicle’s communication infrastructure is
seen as a key strategy imperative
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

15
Certification

We hereby certify that the views expressed in this research service accurately reflect our
views based on primary and secondary research with industry participants, industry
experts, end users, regulatory organizations, financial and investment community, and
other related sources.
In addition to the above, our robust in-house forecast and benchmarking models, along
with the Frost & Sullivan Decision Support Databases, have been instrumental in the
completion and publishing of this report.
We also certify that no part of our analyst compensation was, is or will be, directly or
indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this service.

16
Legal Disclaimer
Frost & Sullivan reserves the right to publish or reuse standard industry information in its ongoing
development of market research products. At no time will information be used to indicate the identity of
client. Any strategic recommendations made for client in this project will remain exclusive to client for
a period of 24 months after the completion of the project.
Written deliverables may be reproduced in printed and electronic format for distribution within the
entire client organization. We request that any materials, either in part or in whole, from our work that
are used in public domain communications (e.g., press releases) be reviewed and approved by Frost
& Sullivan prior to their publication. This is to assure that any data or conclusions are presented in the
proper context, to avoid any misunderstanding by the reader or audience, and to ensure the accuracy
of the data.
Frost & Sullivan will strive always to provide first-rate work. However, there is no representation of
certainty, express or implied, by Frost & Sullivan, except in the case of negligence on the part of Frost
& Sullivan. This is because the markets we study have varying degrees of fragmentation. Client
acknowledges this and accepts this point. Client waives any claim to actual, consequential, or punitive
damages against Frost & Sullivan based on their reliance on Frost & Sullivan’s work, except in the
case of negligence on the part of Frost & Sullivan.
Some data may be considered proprietary or sensitive by companies and/or individuals to be
interviewed or surveyed, and they may be unwilling to divulge any given piece of information or data to
Frost & Sullivan. All results will be on a “best efforts” basis.

© 2012 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of Frost & Sullivan.
No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan.

17
THE FROST & SULLIVAN STORY

18
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2012 US Heavy Duty Truck Fleet Managers' Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Advanced Truck Technologies

  • 1. 2012 U.S. Fleet Manager’s Desirability and Willingness to Pay for Advanced Heavy-Duty Truck Technologies Table of Contents & Executive Summary February 2012
  • 2. Contents Section Slide Numbers Research Objectives, Method Details, and Demographics 4 Executive Summary and Implications 14 Powertrain Technologies 18 Telematics Technologies 42 Advanced Safety Technologies 60 Regulatory Compliance Technologies 90 Maximum Difference Scaling (MaxDiff) 96 Brand Perceptions – Fleet Managers’ Ratings of Truck OEMs, 107 Safety Systems Suppliers, and Telematics Service Providers The Frost & Sullivan Story 119 2
  • 3. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES, METHOD DETAILS, AND DEMOGRAPHICS 3
  • 4. Research Objectives The overall objective of this research was to understand Heavy-Duty Fleet Managers in terms of advanced technologies available for their fleets. Specifically, we sought to: – Measure the awareness of the various powertrain, safety, and telematics advanced technologies surveyed. – Assess which powertrain, safety, and telematics advance technologies are currently being utilized. – Determine what features are most important among the various powertrain, safety, and telematics advanced technologies surveyed. – Measure future purchase intentions of the various powertrain, safety, and telematics advanced technologies surveyed. – Determine the impact that pending regulations have on the adoption of various powertrain, safety, and telematics advanced technologies. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 4
  • 5. Methods Methodology: A dual methodology was utilized to contact a particularly difficult-to-reach target respondent: First, recruitment was conducted via a telephone screening process; secondly, a web-based survey was sent to qualified respondents for their completion. Sample: In total, 100 U.S. Heavy-Duty Fleet Managers were surveyed (from a list of top100 fleets in U.S. from both private and for-hire segments). Specifically, we targeted Heavy-Duty Fleet Managers who: • Are part of the vehicle (for heavy-duty trucks) purchase making process; • Are expecting to purchase additional vehicles for their fleet within the next two years; • Have at least class 6, 7, and 8 vehicles in their fleet. Additional demographic details of the sample are presented in the following slides. Fieldwork: The survey was conducted during October 2011–February 2012. Reporting notes: Due to rounding errors, percentages in charts and tables, may not sum to 100. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 5
  • 6. Demographics: Truck Detail Type of Fleet Trucks (United States), 2010 and 2012 Class of Trucks (United States), 2010 and 2012 94% 99% Tractor Class 6 to 8 95% 2010 2010 59% 2012 100% Straight 2012 41% Class 1 to 3 53% 36% 4% Other 36% Class 4 to 5 12% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). 32% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). S6. What types of trucks does your fleet currently utilize? (Multiple response) S5. Which of the following classes of vehicles do you currently have in use in your entire fleet? (Multiple response) Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 6
  • 7. Demographics: Types of Trailers Types of Trailers (United States), 2010 and 2012 57% Dry vans 74% 47% Flatbeds 2010 42% 32% Tankers 32% 2012 28% Specialty trailers 25% 23% Utility trailers Other 25% 16% 35% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). S6A. What types of trailers does your fleet currently utilize? (Multiple response) Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 7
  • 8. Demographics: Types of Fleets Represented Types of Fleet (Private/Hired) (United States), 2010 and 2012 Type of Fleet (United States), 2010 and 2012 46% 61% For hire 62% On highway 86% 2010 2012 47% Private 2010 2012 32% 39% 7% Government/public fleet Vocational 14% 6% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). S9. Is your fleet primarily S10. Is your fleet primarily? Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 8
  • 9. Demographics: Respondent Titles and Years in Current Role Title of Respondents (United States), 2010 and 2012 Time in Current Role (United States), 2010 and 2012 69% 2010 Fleet manager 56% 2012 25% Less than 2 years 2010 2012 33% 11% 14% 3-5 years 13% Maintenance/service manager 27% 16% 6-10 years 16% 4% CEO/COO/President/Owner 9% 11-15 years 7% 14% 2% Safety manager 4% 16-20 years 0% Other 4% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). S1. Which of the following best describes your current title? D3. Approximately how long have you been a (RESTORE S1 RESPONSE)? More than 20 years 12% 16% 18% 30% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 9
  • 10. Demographics: Scope of Responsibility Scope of Influence on Fleet Purchase (United States), 2010 and 2012 Degree of Involvement in Fleet (United States), 2010 and 2012 77% 67% Recommend/Influence purchase One of 2 or 3 fleet purchase decision makers 89% 2010 77% 2010 2012 55% 2012 Specify fleet equipment 79% 19% One of many fleet purchase decision makers 16% 60% Purchase fleet vehicles 58% 14% 2% Other 3% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). Sole decision maker 7% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). S2. What is your role in the purchase decision process of vehicles for use in your fleet? Specifically, for which of the following are you responsible? (Multiple response) Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. S3. How involved are you in the purchase decision process of vehicles for use in your fleet? 10
  • 11. Demographics: Timeframe of Future Vehicle Purchase Intentions Timeframe of Future Vehicle Purchase Intentions (United States), 2010 and 2012 55% Within the Next 6 Months 63% 2010 32% 2012 Next 6 to 12 Months 28% 13% Next 1 to 2 Years 9% Base: All 2010 respondents (n=101), all 2012 respondents (n=100). S4. When do you expect to purchase additional vehicles or replace existing vehicles in your fleet? Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 11
  • 12. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND IMPLICATIONS 12
  • 13. Executive Summary • The 2012 HD fleet managers survey reveals decisive change in preference for technologies that reduce total cost of ownership of truck. As fleets are tending to keep trucks for longer periods of time, technologies that reduce lifecycle cost are being increasingly preferred by truck fleets. The choice of prognostics as the most preferred technology in an advanced technology bundle offered by truck OEMs underlines this trend. • The high ratings obtained by technologies such as SCR, advanced engine oils and semi/full automatic transmissions reveal that fleet managers are looking at technologies that deliver more than one major value proposition. All three technologies have experienced improvements in their contribution to fuel efficiency enhancement, but also offer lifecycle/operating cost reduction potential. • Fleet managers are anticipating rising fuel price volatility and exacerbating driver shortage issue. Fleet managers are also operating under severe financial stress and running on lower levels of human capital. Fleets managers are therefore showing preference for technologies that deliver time and mission critical information, data and analysis for facilitating decision making. • CSA 2010 and braking distance regulation is forcing fleet managers to invest in technologies that not only induce safe driving practices but also technologies which can be used to actively intervene to enhance truck safety. Fleets are also opting for technologies that can be used to reduce maintenance and service costs, train drivers and technicians, and reduce fuel related costs. • Price sensitivity analysis reveals results that show that fleets are willing to invest in an advanced technology, despite its higher price premium, if they are convinced that the technology can help reduce operating cost, induce safe driving practices, and maximize vehicle uptime. • Data and information (both real-time and recorded) associated with various truck technologies can be leveraged in creating training, prognostics, and other types of revenue streams for OEMs and suppliers. Fleet managers are showing increasing hunger for effective utilization of information related to their mobile resources: drivers and vehicles. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 13
  • 14. Implications • Advanced technology development and marketing must center around reducing operating expenses of fleet managers are facing challenges such as fuel price volatility, a strengthening regulatory environment, and shortage of skilled drivers and technicians. • The higher degree of cognizance for several advanced soft technologies, especially in the safety and telematics space, implies that OEMs and suppliers must work closely with telematics service providers, information and communication service providers, data analytics providers, infrastructure planners, and government arms. • Consistent with the 2010 study, managers of the largest private and for-hire heavy-duty fleets in U.S. are willing to pay higher price premiums for advanced technologies if they see potential in the technologies in reducing operating expenses. This implies, fleet operating expense and lifecycle cost reduction must be key focal points for R&D teams in developing new commercial vehicle industry focused technologies. Marketing teams should underline these value propositions to fleet managers to effectively market and sell these technologies. • The proliferation of connectivity-enabled technologies, especially technologies such as prognostics which impacts all adjacent powertrain, chassis, safety, and other technologies, implies tremendous revenue growth opportunities for OEMs, suppliers, aftermarket service providers, and fleets alike. The rising interest in this technology implies that mobile resource connectivity for vehicle operations, service, and maintenance will drive growth opportunities for a wide spectrum of market participant groups. • The highest ranking technologies in terms of perceived value and interest are offering OEMs affirmation of their vertical integration strategies and offering suppliers ideas to focus on developing virtual integration relationships with OEMs by investing in some of these technologies and developing strong expertise in developing and marketing the technologies. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 14
  • 15. Executive Summary: CEO Perspective 1 Fleet managers are showing high degree of interest in technologies that can help reduce operating expenses and total cost of ownership 2 Fuel price volatility, driver shortage, regulation compliance, downtime reduction, and data analytics are driving preferences 3 Telematics is emerging as a key enabler of several benefits and applications desired by fleet managers 4 With fleets keeping trucks for longer periods of time, technologies that improve uptime and reduce lifecycle costs are welcome 5 Creating electronic interfaces for truck systems/components for integration with vehicle’s communication infrastructure is seen as a key strategy imperative Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 15
  • 16. Certification We hereby certify that the views expressed in this research service accurately reflect our views based on primary and secondary research with industry participants, industry experts, end users, regulatory organizations, financial and investment community, and other related sources. In addition to the above, our robust in-house forecast and benchmarking models, along with the Frost & Sullivan Decision Support Databases, have been instrumental in the completion and publishing of this report. We also certify that no part of our analyst compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this service. 16
  • 17. Legal Disclaimer Frost & Sullivan reserves the right to publish or reuse standard industry information in its ongoing development of market research products. At no time will information be used to indicate the identity of client. Any strategic recommendations made for client in this project will remain exclusive to client for a period of 24 months after the completion of the project. Written deliverables may be reproduced in printed and electronic format for distribution within the entire client organization. We request that any materials, either in part or in whole, from our work that are used in public domain communications (e.g., press releases) be reviewed and approved by Frost & Sullivan prior to their publication. This is to assure that any data or conclusions are presented in the proper context, to avoid any misunderstanding by the reader or audience, and to ensure the accuracy of the data. Frost & Sullivan will strive always to provide first-rate work. However, there is no representation of certainty, express or implied, by Frost & Sullivan, except in the case of negligence on the part of Frost & Sullivan. This is because the markets we study have varying degrees of fragmentation. Client acknowledges this and accepts this point. Client waives any claim to actual, consequential, or punitive damages against Frost & Sullivan based on their reliance on Frost & Sullivan’s work, except in the case of negligence on the part of Frost & Sullivan. Some data may be considered proprietary or sensitive by companies and/or individuals to be interviewed or surveyed, and they may be unwilling to divulge any given piece of information or data to Frost & Sullivan. All results will be on a “best efforts” basis. © 2012 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of Frost & Sullivan. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan. 17
  • 18. THE FROST & SULLIVAN STORY 18
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