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DSQUARE SOLUTIONS
    Capability Overview
THE VISION




                                        Superior Decisions




                             Inferior Data


To help our customers traverse the path from Data to Decisions quickly,
effectively and efficiently
THE APPROACH
Idea
• Frame the Decision need

       Analysis
       • Manage the necessary data, models and analysis

             Decision
             • Support Decision making through insight generation

                   Execution
                   • Monitor and track decision execution and effectiveness

                         Value
                         • Measure and report value



  Full Lifecycle support for a truly Analytical decision making process
THE FOUNDATIONS

           Content                  Carrier
           • Relevant and           • Appropriate
             Reliable Information     business
                                      application to
                                      deliver the insights
                                      at the right point



           Consumption              Cost
           • Present the insights   • All of this at a cost
             in a form that is        that needs no
             easily consumed by       justification!
             the business
OUR CAPABILITIES

 Data Infrastructure               Modeling and
   Management                      Optimization
                                    We also build and deliver
   Our Structured Information
                                 mathematical models custom
    Framework (SIF) is a fast
                                    tailored to the customer
      implementation data
                                   needs that cover areas like
  management solution that has
                                  statistical predictive models,
    been deployed at varying
                                 optimization models (LP, MIP)
   scales (Large Enterprise to
                                  using Open source tools like
    Localized Business Unit)
                                           COIN-OR, R
STRUCTURED INFORMATION FRAMEWORK

Source Data    Useable Data             Relevant & Actionable       Business Value through
 (Uncertain   (Analytical Data                analysis                 better decisions
  Hygiene)        Store)
                  Data Staging –
                  Tested, Filtered,         Strategic Modeling
                     cleansed


                                           Metrics Definition and       Collaborative
                Analytical Data Store            Tracking                Decision
                   (Commercial
                     Database)                                          Support and
                                                                          Analysis
                                           Exceptions and Alerts



               Data Integrity                  Operational
              Dashboard, Data                  Dashboards
               quality metrics
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT – ALLOCATION AND
 OPTIMIZATION
Situation / Problem Statement             Solution




                                                     • Web based Resource Management and
         • Customer has multiple                       Allocation
           simultaneous projects with                  • Captures Resource Cost, Skills and
           varying deliverables and                      Competencies
           skill requirements                          • Project Requirements – Timelines,
                                                         Skill requirements and target margins
         • Globally distributed work                 • Global Allocation Optimizer identifies
           force, with varying cost and                “Best” resource to assign to each project
                                                       based on
           competencies                                • Skill / Competency matching
         • Manage allocation of                        • Margin maximization
           resources to projects to                    • Operational constraints
           optimize on margins and                     • MIP Formulation solved using open
                                                         source solver
           delivery SLA                              • Identifies Skill and competency gaps for
                                                       further Training and Development
CUSTOMER ATTRITION AND LOYALTY
Situation / Problem Statement        Solution

       • B2C customer facing a                  • Statistical model “Predicts”
         Customer Attrition                       individual customers
         challenge                                propensity to attrite and
       • How to identify potential                identifies critical factors that
         customer attrition and                   precipitate attrition
         initiate preventive                    • Identifies “High-Risk”
         measures                                 customers with clear
                                                  callouts of the reason for
                                                  the attrition risk
                                                • Define a “Play Book” that
                                                  triggers action from the
                                                  provider for each High-Risk
                                                  customer based on the
                                                  identified factors
ENGAGEMENT MODEL
ENGAGEMENT MODELS TO SUIT EVERY
  BUSINESS NEED
Consultative Engagement
• Identify problems, opportunities and challenges
• Time and Material based costing


        Services Delivery
        • Build custom solutions and models to solve critical problems
        • Fixed price engagements, Pay-Per-Use


                Embedded expertise – Retainer model
                • Invest, Build and manage customer specific expertise and knowledge
                • Annual subscription model


                         BOT
                         • Transfer expertise and personnel to customer for continued in-house support
                         • To be discussed 
DELIVERY MODEL GEARED TO UNLOCKING
VALUE
  SaaS                            Ramp up
                 Only pay for                     Rapid ROI
 delivery                        consumed
                 what you use                     Realization
  model                           solutions

  Hosted on
     Cost-                         Consulting      Extremely
                  Pay-Per-Use
   Effective                     and Analytics    fast delivery
                       or
     Cloud                       offerings can       cycles
                  Subscription
infrastructure                    be added „a       ensures
                    models
 – No upfront                      la carte‟ to    rapid ROI
                   available
     costs                        the solution     realization
   involved
THE PEOPLE
•   Anand Srinivasan
     • Anand is the founder and CEO and brings several years of experience managing the
       R&D and modeling teams at Sabre and Dell.
     • He has vast and rich expertise in solving large optimization problems for Fleet and
       Crew optimization, Revenue Management etc.
     • He has also worked with the Supply Chain team at Dell building models for
       manufacturing optimization, logistics, lean manufacturing, supply network
       optimization, inventory staging and management and pricing for demand shaping
•   Anand Srikumar
     • Anand Srikumar brings several years of experience in the Banking and Financial
       Services industry with GE and Standard Chartered Bank
     • He brings expertise in Consumer Credit scoring, Portfolio Risk Management and
       Financial Modeling
Optimization and Advanced Analytical solutions from DSquare

CASE STUDIES
HOTEL REVENUE MANAGEMENT
WHAT IS REVENUE MANAGEMENT AND WHY IS IT
    RELEVANT?
•   The practice of selling the right room, for the right price, to the right customer, through the
    right channel
•   Industry benchmark standards have established that Implementing a Revenue Management
    solution can increase Room Rent Revenues by 3% to 6% with minimal increase in operational
    costs
     • Revenue increase of 17% have been reported in some cases
REVENUE MANAGEMENT COMPONENTS AND
ALGORITHMS

 Unconstrained Demand Forecasting
 • Observed Historical Bookings is a “end state” of bookings after some bookings have been
   rejected due to capacity constraints
 • Statistical models Forecast the “Unconstrained” (Without capacity restrictions) demand for
   various price points.
 • “How many people wanted to buy?” from “How many people bought”



 Optimization of Inventory controls
 • Optimization algorithm to identify the “Best” price point to sell rooms at
 • A Dynamic programming formulation that uses the unconstrained forecast for a given
   occupancy day and works backward to determine the optimal selling price on any given day
   leading up to the occupancy
 • Can be re-optimized periodically to reset prices based on actual observed demand
RM SOLUTION – SYSTEM SAMPLE
                                               Forecasted Occupancy for
         RM price recommendations            various Price Points (Baseline,
              for future dates                 Low Fare, and High Fare)


                          Target Occupancy
                                 Date




                     Today




                                                                                Estimated Benefits of
                                                                               recommended controls
Consumer Markets

MARKETING PLAN OPTIMIZATION
THE PERSONAL COMPUTER MARKET
•   Consumers are flooded with choice
     • Brands, Models, Configurations, Form Factors, Special Offers
     • Guaranteed to find a model (configuration) that meets the need of all but the most
       esoteric consumer requirement
•   Brand Equity has been significantly diluted
     • Informed consumers look to other brands for the right configuration/price
•   Extremely critical to hit the right configuration in the market at the right price point



       Only possible approach to find the “Sweet Spot” is using Choice Models
CONSTRUCT
       Group Customers by Segment
       • Laptop, Tablet etc.

       Choice Set visible to the Segment
       • Available makes, models, configurations

       Significant Product Attributes
       • Memory, Screen Size, HD Capacity, Price etc.

       Estimate importance of each attribute
       • Statistical Techniques

       Predict probability (Market Share) of each possible configuration introduced
       into the market

       Optimize promotional activity and Marcomm spend to drive customers to high
       margin sales
MODEL PREDICTED AND ACTUAL SHARES
     COMPARISON
50                 Feb 12 (Calibration)                      60               Mar 12 (Prediction)
40                                                           50
                                           3.4%              40                                       16.3%
30                                                                                                    Error
                                                             30
20
                                                             20
10                                                           10
 0                                                            0
     Acer Compaq    Dell     HP      Lenovo   Sony Toshiba        Acer Compaq Dell      HP     Lenovo Sony Toshiba

                    Forecasted    Actual                                       Forecasted    Actual
50                                                           40               May 12 (Prediction)
                   Apr 12 (Prediction)
40                                                           30                                       12.8%
                                           42.6%
30                                         Error                                                      Error
                                                             20
20
                                                             10
10
 0                                                            0
     Acer Compaq    Dell     HP      Lenovo   Sony Toshiba        Acer Compaq Dell      HP     Lenovo Sony Toshiba

                                                                               Forecasted    Actual
                    Forecasted    Actual



Apr Data shows large deviation from Prediction – Possibly due to heave promotional activity by Dell
HOW TO USE THE MODEL
•   Profitability Enhancement
     •   Clearly identified attributes that impact sales
     •   Can choose high margin components between “nodes of indifference”
           • E.g. Screen Resolution
•   Sales Target Setting
     •   The Model predicts “Fair Share” based on product attributes. Any share capture above that
         can be attributed to Sales and Marketing Activity
•   MarCom ROI
     •   Can quantify the uplift generated in sales in a given month due the MarCom Spend.
     •   Apr Marcom/Promotions resulted in +20% market share for Dell
•   Competitive Response
     •   Evaluate the impact of new product launch or price move by competition and respond
         appropriately

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DSquare Solutions

  • 1. DSQUARE SOLUTIONS Capability Overview
  • 2. THE VISION Superior Decisions Inferior Data To help our customers traverse the path from Data to Decisions quickly, effectively and efficiently
  • 3. THE APPROACH Idea • Frame the Decision need Analysis • Manage the necessary data, models and analysis Decision • Support Decision making through insight generation Execution • Monitor and track decision execution and effectiveness Value • Measure and report value Full Lifecycle support for a truly Analytical decision making process
  • 4. THE FOUNDATIONS Content Carrier • Relevant and • Appropriate Reliable Information business application to deliver the insights at the right point Consumption Cost • Present the insights • All of this at a cost in a form that is that needs no easily consumed by justification! the business
  • 5. OUR CAPABILITIES Data Infrastructure Modeling and Management Optimization We also build and deliver Our Structured Information mathematical models custom Framework (SIF) is a fast tailored to the customer implementation data needs that cover areas like management solution that has statistical predictive models, been deployed at varying optimization models (LP, MIP) scales (Large Enterprise to using Open source tools like Localized Business Unit) COIN-OR, R
  • 6. STRUCTURED INFORMATION FRAMEWORK Source Data Useable Data Relevant & Actionable Business Value through (Uncertain (Analytical Data analysis better decisions Hygiene) Store) Data Staging – Tested, Filtered, Strategic Modeling cleansed Metrics Definition and Collaborative Analytical Data Store Tracking Decision (Commercial Database) Support and Analysis Exceptions and Alerts Data Integrity Operational Dashboard, Data Dashboards quality metrics
  • 7. RESOURCE MANAGEMENT – ALLOCATION AND OPTIMIZATION Situation / Problem Statement Solution • Web based Resource Management and • Customer has multiple Allocation simultaneous projects with • Captures Resource Cost, Skills and varying deliverables and Competencies skill requirements • Project Requirements – Timelines, Skill requirements and target margins • Globally distributed work • Global Allocation Optimizer identifies force, with varying cost and “Best” resource to assign to each project based on competencies • Skill / Competency matching • Manage allocation of • Margin maximization resources to projects to • Operational constraints optimize on margins and • MIP Formulation solved using open source solver delivery SLA • Identifies Skill and competency gaps for further Training and Development
  • 8. CUSTOMER ATTRITION AND LOYALTY Situation / Problem Statement Solution • B2C customer facing a • Statistical model “Predicts” Customer Attrition individual customers challenge propensity to attrite and • How to identify potential identifies critical factors that customer attrition and precipitate attrition initiate preventive • Identifies “High-Risk” measures customers with clear callouts of the reason for the attrition risk • Define a “Play Book” that triggers action from the provider for each High-Risk customer based on the identified factors
  • 10. ENGAGEMENT MODELS TO SUIT EVERY BUSINESS NEED Consultative Engagement • Identify problems, opportunities and challenges • Time and Material based costing Services Delivery • Build custom solutions and models to solve critical problems • Fixed price engagements, Pay-Per-Use Embedded expertise – Retainer model • Invest, Build and manage customer specific expertise and knowledge • Annual subscription model BOT • Transfer expertise and personnel to customer for continued in-house support • To be discussed 
  • 11. DELIVERY MODEL GEARED TO UNLOCKING VALUE SaaS Ramp up Only pay for Rapid ROI delivery consumed what you use Realization model solutions Hosted on Cost- Consulting Extremely Pay-Per-Use Effective and Analytics fast delivery or Cloud offerings can cycles Subscription infrastructure be added „a ensures models – No upfront la carte‟ to rapid ROI available costs the solution realization involved
  • 12. THE PEOPLE • Anand Srinivasan • Anand is the founder and CEO and brings several years of experience managing the R&D and modeling teams at Sabre and Dell. • He has vast and rich expertise in solving large optimization problems for Fleet and Crew optimization, Revenue Management etc. • He has also worked with the Supply Chain team at Dell building models for manufacturing optimization, logistics, lean manufacturing, supply network optimization, inventory staging and management and pricing for demand shaping • Anand Srikumar • Anand Srikumar brings several years of experience in the Banking and Financial Services industry with GE and Standard Chartered Bank • He brings expertise in Consumer Credit scoring, Portfolio Risk Management and Financial Modeling
  • 13. Optimization and Advanced Analytical solutions from DSquare CASE STUDIES
  • 15. WHAT IS REVENUE MANAGEMENT AND WHY IS IT RELEVANT? • The practice of selling the right room, for the right price, to the right customer, through the right channel • Industry benchmark standards have established that Implementing a Revenue Management solution can increase Room Rent Revenues by 3% to 6% with minimal increase in operational costs • Revenue increase of 17% have been reported in some cases
  • 16. REVENUE MANAGEMENT COMPONENTS AND ALGORITHMS Unconstrained Demand Forecasting • Observed Historical Bookings is a “end state” of bookings after some bookings have been rejected due to capacity constraints • Statistical models Forecast the “Unconstrained” (Without capacity restrictions) demand for various price points. • “How many people wanted to buy?” from “How many people bought” Optimization of Inventory controls • Optimization algorithm to identify the “Best” price point to sell rooms at • A Dynamic programming formulation that uses the unconstrained forecast for a given occupancy day and works backward to determine the optimal selling price on any given day leading up to the occupancy • Can be re-optimized periodically to reset prices based on actual observed demand
  • 17. RM SOLUTION – SYSTEM SAMPLE Forecasted Occupancy for RM price recommendations various Price Points (Baseline, for future dates Low Fare, and High Fare) Target Occupancy Date Today Estimated Benefits of recommended controls
  • 19. THE PERSONAL COMPUTER MARKET • Consumers are flooded with choice • Brands, Models, Configurations, Form Factors, Special Offers • Guaranteed to find a model (configuration) that meets the need of all but the most esoteric consumer requirement • Brand Equity has been significantly diluted • Informed consumers look to other brands for the right configuration/price • Extremely critical to hit the right configuration in the market at the right price point Only possible approach to find the “Sweet Spot” is using Choice Models
  • 20. CONSTRUCT Group Customers by Segment • Laptop, Tablet etc. Choice Set visible to the Segment • Available makes, models, configurations Significant Product Attributes • Memory, Screen Size, HD Capacity, Price etc. Estimate importance of each attribute • Statistical Techniques Predict probability (Market Share) of each possible configuration introduced into the market Optimize promotional activity and Marcomm spend to drive customers to high margin sales
  • 21. MODEL PREDICTED AND ACTUAL SHARES COMPARISON 50 Feb 12 (Calibration) 60 Mar 12 (Prediction) 40 50 3.4% 40 16.3% 30 Error 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Acer Compaq Dell HP Lenovo Sony Toshiba Acer Compaq Dell HP Lenovo Sony Toshiba Forecasted Actual Forecasted Actual 50 40 May 12 (Prediction) Apr 12 (Prediction) 40 30 12.8% 42.6% 30 Error Error 20 20 10 10 0 0 Acer Compaq Dell HP Lenovo Sony Toshiba Acer Compaq Dell HP Lenovo Sony Toshiba Forecasted Actual Forecasted Actual Apr Data shows large deviation from Prediction – Possibly due to heave promotional activity by Dell
  • 22. HOW TO USE THE MODEL • Profitability Enhancement • Clearly identified attributes that impact sales • Can choose high margin components between “nodes of indifference” • E.g. Screen Resolution • Sales Target Setting • The Model predicts “Fair Share” based on product attributes. Any share capture above that can be attributed to Sales and Marketing Activity • MarCom ROI • Can quantify the uplift generated in sales in a given month due the MarCom Spend. • Apr Marcom/Promotions resulted in +20% market share for Dell • Competitive Response • Evaluate the impact of new product launch or price move by competition and respond appropriately

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. This definition of RM brings into focus ALL the key components available to the Hotel Revenue Manager to increase profitabilityPriceCustomer SegmentationRoom TypeSales ChannelHotels have reported increasing Revenues (Top Line) by 3%-6% through implementing a RM solution. Some cases have reported increases as high as 17%
  2. A intuitive interface allows the Revenue Manager to analyze any future occupancy date and view optimized recommendations for setting the “BAR” for future dates based on expected occupancy