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SANDESH GHOSAL                1



       IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11
FLOW OF PRESENTATION


                  EVOLUTION OF RETAIL

                  ADVANTAGE – INDIA

                   MARKET OVERVIEW

                 CHANGING PARADIGM

           RETAIL OPTIONS DURING SLOWDOWN

                  RURAL RETAIL IN INDIA

                    CHANGING FACE

                   KEY OPPORTUNITIES

                     SWOT ANALYSIS




      IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                  2
EVOLUTION OF RETAIL INDUSTRY

Weekly Markets, Village & Rural Melas



  Convenience Stores, Mom n Pop Stores /
                Kirana Stores



        PDS Outlets, Khadi Stores, Cooperatives



          Exclusive Brands Outlets, Hyper & supermarket
               department stores & shopping malls

                       IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11               3
ADVANTAGE – INDIA

• Ranked 1st – Global Retail Development Index 2009
• 5th largest destination globally
• Estimated growth – US $ 573 billion 2012 – 13
• Growing @ CAGR – 28%
• Provides employment – 8% India’s working population
• Home – largest base of consumers
• Young Population – under 35 years age & 60% population in
  working age
• Home to 20% global population under 25 years of age
• Abundant availability of skilled workers

                           IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11           4
MARKET OVERVIEW

• Annual Turnover - $ 37 billion

• Retail Industry - $350 billion

• 10% growth every year

• 7% population – engaged retailing

• Indian Retail Market – dominated by unorganized sector

• Organized sector – big cities

• Out of 10 companies – 6 from USA & 4 from UK




                           IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11            5
CHANGING PARADIGM
                                                               2011
                                2008


       2005
                                                                                      4th Phase –

                                                                                      M & A, Consolidation, High
                                                          3rd Phase –
                                                                                      Investments, Confluence of
2000                                                      Technology Adoption,        Indian Retail
                                                          Leveraging traditional

                                 2nd Phase –              formats for modern retail

                                 Range, Portfolio

                                 Format Options, beginning of the

         1st Phase –             rural – urban retail merge

         Entry, Growth, Expansion Top Line focus
         for organized retail
                                                                                             Source: Ernst & Young


                                       IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                                                        6
RETAIL OPTIONS DURING SLOWDOWNS

       Private Labeling


       Migrate towards Tier II & III cities & rural integration


       Negotiations


       Supply Chain & inventory management


       Sales Promotions with focus on long run stability


       Franchising


       Extensive use of information & technology


       Integrated CRM


                       IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                       7
INSTRUMENTS FOR RETAILER
                 PROMOTIONS

                     PROMOTIONS

                                                      NON – PRICE
 PRICE PROMOTIONS
                                                     PROMOTIONS




Trade promotions       “Supportive” Non Price
                                                              “True” Non – Price Promotions
Promotion Packs             Promotions
Loyalty Discounts
Coupons
Rebates
Others
                       POS Advertising
                                                                Samplings
                       Advertising in other media
                                                                Premiums
                       Displays
                                                                Sweepstakes
                       POS Materials
                                                                Events
                       Promotion Packaging
                                                                Others
                       Others

                         IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                                                 8
. . . contd

                  CITIES                              CHARACTERISTICS

TIER 1         Bangalore            Well established real estate market & well known
                                                          demand drivers

TIER II      Chennai, Pune,        Experiencing growing demand, investments & real
           Hyderabad, Kolkata                             estate markets.

TIER III      Chandigarh,              Real estate market yet to mature, immense
           Ludhiana, Lucknow,                      potential for demand
                Guwahti,
           Bhuvneshwar, Surat,
            Nagpur, Indore,
           Jaipur, Goa, etc. . .

                                   IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                            9
RURAL RETAIL IN INDIA

• Contributes major chunk

• 70% population lives in rural

• Spectrum of opportunities – rural retailing to luxury retailing

• 4P’s to 4A’s – availability, Affordability, Acceptability &
  Accessibility

• Microfinance concept emerging – ITC e-choupal, HUL’s
  Project Shakti, etc.




                          IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                      10
PROBLEMS in BOOMING RURAL INDIA

• Absence of physical communication facilities

• Huge Power problems

• Lack of proper mass media & communications.

• Underdeveloped & poor people

• Completely unorganized & immature market

• Seasonal demands

• Illiterate & Uneducated people – slow to change

• Farmers – lively hood depends on monsoon


                        IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11        11
CHANGING FACE

• Life style pattern – India’s middle class population changing

• “Saving” to “Spending” pattern

• Marked increase of new entrants – all verticals

• Modern Retail Formats: Malls, Department Stores, Discounters,
 Cash & Carry

• Higher Disposable Income

• Employers offering – lucrative compensation & packages

• Increase in young population – increase in urbanization


                         IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                     12
KEY PLAYERS IN INDIA

• Pantaloons Retail India
• Shopper’s Stop ltd
• RPG Enterprises
• Landmark Group
• Madura Garments – part of Aditya Birla Group
• Globus
• Provogue Ltd.
• Bata India Ltd
• Archies Ltd


                            IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11   13
SOME OF MNCS IN INDIA

• United Colors of Benetton - Italy

• Arrow – USA

• Levis - USA

• Lee - USA

• Pepe Jeans - London

• Subway - USA

• Wrangler - USA

• Samsonite – USA


                         IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11   14
KEY OPPORTUNITIES

• Wedding Malls

• Khaadi Plaza – 7000 outlets are to be launched

• Initiative Gujarat – Village Malls (512 launching & 508 awaiting)

• Immense potential in Rural Market – food, grocery , etc.

• Untapped Market – Reliance Retail, Aditya Birla

• RFID Technology – for better CRM & SUPPLY CHAIN

• Online Retailing – click to buy




                          IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                   15
REVENUES & SHARES OF VERTICALS




 Food &     Clothing    Consumer   Jewelry &    Home       Beauty                 Books &
                                                                      Foot ware
beverages   & textile   Durable     Watch       Décor      Products                Music
                                                                      3,268 &
231,951 &   29,024 &    15,171 &   13,390 &    9,463 &     6,854 &                2,610 &
                                                                       1.05%
 74.41%      9.31%       4.87%      4.30%       3.04%       2.20%                 0.84%


                            ALL IN USD & MILLIONS – Source: ibef
                                    IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                                   16
SWOT ANALYSIS

                   STRENGTHS                                     WEAKNESS
•   Young Population                         •   Policy related Issues
•   Rapidly growing sector                   •   Less Educated people
•   High Disposable income                   •   Underdeveloped Supply chain
•   Low labour cost                          •   Lack of basic utilities
•   Microfinance                             •   Lack of Power in Rural Areas

                  OPPORTUNITIES                                   THREATS
•   Untapped Rural Market                    •   Poor Managed Inventory
•   Collaboration with MNCs                  •   Unorganized Retail – high %
•   Retail Franchising                       •   Uneducated People – slow change
•   E-Retailing                              •   Not much developed shopping culture
•   RFID Technology                          •   More of window shopping




                                  IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                                 17
INITIATIVES BY CORPORATES

   1. Arvind Mills – focus Rural Retail
Focus on direct selling

Shop –in-shop stores double to 1200 by April

Pack Model – smaller packing – multiple choices

Product Innovation

Group to re-look – product innovation, rural marketing

No Forex Risk Attached

B2C Model – 50-60% y-o-y higher than denim

                                    IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11   18
RETAILING @ BOP

                                                Population in Billions

                              TIER 1            75-100


                                                 1500-1750
                            TIER 2 - 3




More     than    4            TIER 4
billion constitute                                           4000
the BOP & live
less than $ 2 per
day                           TIER 5


                         IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                            19
Urban Areas
                                                      have become a
                                                        magnet of
                                                          poor


                                                                 Cash – poor &
                                                                   low level of
                                                                  income, BOP
                                                                consumer has to
                                                                   be accessed
                                                                    differently




                                                         Bolivian Financial
                                                      Services: illiterate people
                                                          can access it 24*7




              HUL –                           CASIS
              SHAKTI                          BAHIA
                           ITC
   ICICI                E-CHOUPAL                              CEMEX
SELF – HELP
                       IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                                    20
HUL – MICRO RETAILING

• 1999 start up – 6 new growth opportunities

• Confectionaries & sweets – candy fastest growing product @
 BOP

• Ayush – Consumer Health Care

• Sangam – E-tailing program for daily ordering & delivering.

• Addressing needs of top – end consumers

• Water facility

• Project Shakti – direct – to – consumer initiative


                          IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                  21
PROJECT SHAKTI - HUL

• Women’s Self Help Groups – Entrepreneur Development training
• Educating consumers on health & hygiene
• 4 goals of Project Shakti:
i.        Plan to increase reach – Rural Market
ii.       Attempt to increase awareness
iii.      change attitudes
iv.       Catalyze rural affluence & drive growth
• Andhra Pradesh – 70% involved in SHG
• Total – 1 million nationwide
• Investment > Rs. 20,000> 10% margin
• Shakti Vani programme – trained communicators, driven messages on sanitation, good
       hygiene practices & women empowerment
• Year end 2008 – 45,000 entrepreneurs covering 1,00,000 villages across 15 states reaching
       3 million homes

                                       IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11                              22
ITC E-CHOUPAL – PROFITABLE RURAL
        TRANSFORMATION
• States covered – 10
• Villages covered – 40,000
• # of e-Choupal – 6,500
• Farmers e-empowered – 4 million
• Expanding spectrum of commodities – wheat, pulses, soya,
 maize, spices, coffee, aqua – products
• Farmers – rise in income level
• Compare price @ Chicago Trading Board too.
• Choupal Saagar – 24 hubs, 3 states, grow by 100 by 2010

                           IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11             23
E-RETAILING

•    E-commerce classification:

a.      B2C – online selling by business unit to an individual consumer

b.      B2B – Online selling by business to business

c.      C2C – Online selling by consumer to another consumer

 Today:

 Customer is the king – 24*7 service through email, chat & toll free

 Supply chain

 E.g – ITC e-choupal

 Better information

 Convenience

 Targeted & Mass Customization

 Global Reach @ low cost

 Value Added Service with best Customer service

                                             “Shopping Anywhere, Anytime”


                                                IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11        24
IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11   25

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Retail Snapshot

  • 1. SANDESH GHOSAL 1 IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11
  • 2. FLOW OF PRESENTATION EVOLUTION OF RETAIL ADVANTAGE – INDIA MARKET OVERVIEW CHANGING PARADIGM RETAIL OPTIONS DURING SLOWDOWN RURAL RETAIL IN INDIA CHANGING FACE KEY OPPORTUNITIES SWOT ANALYSIS IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 2
  • 3. EVOLUTION OF RETAIL INDUSTRY Weekly Markets, Village & Rural Melas Convenience Stores, Mom n Pop Stores / Kirana Stores PDS Outlets, Khadi Stores, Cooperatives Exclusive Brands Outlets, Hyper & supermarket department stores & shopping malls IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 3
  • 4. ADVANTAGE – INDIA • Ranked 1st – Global Retail Development Index 2009 • 5th largest destination globally • Estimated growth – US $ 573 billion 2012 – 13 • Growing @ CAGR – 28% • Provides employment – 8% India’s working population • Home – largest base of consumers • Young Population – under 35 years age & 60% population in working age • Home to 20% global population under 25 years of age • Abundant availability of skilled workers IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 4
  • 5. MARKET OVERVIEW • Annual Turnover - $ 37 billion • Retail Industry - $350 billion • 10% growth every year • 7% population – engaged retailing • Indian Retail Market – dominated by unorganized sector • Organized sector – big cities • Out of 10 companies – 6 from USA & 4 from UK IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 5
  • 6. CHANGING PARADIGM 2011 2008 2005 4th Phase – M & A, Consolidation, High 3rd Phase – Investments, Confluence of 2000 Technology Adoption, Indian Retail Leveraging traditional 2nd Phase – formats for modern retail Range, Portfolio Format Options, beginning of the 1st Phase – rural – urban retail merge Entry, Growth, Expansion Top Line focus for organized retail Source: Ernst & Young IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 6
  • 7. RETAIL OPTIONS DURING SLOWDOWNS Private Labeling Migrate towards Tier II & III cities & rural integration Negotiations Supply Chain & inventory management Sales Promotions with focus on long run stability Franchising Extensive use of information & technology Integrated CRM IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 7
  • 8. INSTRUMENTS FOR RETAILER PROMOTIONS PROMOTIONS NON – PRICE PRICE PROMOTIONS PROMOTIONS Trade promotions “Supportive” Non Price “True” Non – Price Promotions Promotion Packs Promotions Loyalty Discounts Coupons Rebates Others POS Advertising Samplings Advertising in other media Premiums Displays Sweepstakes POS Materials Events Promotion Packaging Others Others IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 8
  • 9. . . . contd CITIES CHARACTERISTICS TIER 1 Bangalore Well established real estate market & well known demand drivers TIER II Chennai, Pune, Experiencing growing demand, investments & real Hyderabad, Kolkata estate markets. TIER III Chandigarh, Real estate market yet to mature, immense Ludhiana, Lucknow, potential for demand Guwahti, Bhuvneshwar, Surat, Nagpur, Indore, Jaipur, Goa, etc. . . IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 9
  • 10. RURAL RETAIL IN INDIA • Contributes major chunk • 70% population lives in rural • Spectrum of opportunities – rural retailing to luxury retailing • 4P’s to 4A’s – availability, Affordability, Acceptability & Accessibility • Microfinance concept emerging – ITC e-choupal, HUL’s Project Shakti, etc. IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 10
  • 11. PROBLEMS in BOOMING RURAL INDIA • Absence of physical communication facilities • Huge Power problems • Lack of proper mass media & communications. • Underdeveloped & poor people • Completely unorganized & immature market • Seasonal demands • Illiterate & Uneducated people – slow to change • Farmers – lively hood depends on monsoon IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 11
  • 12. CHANGING FACE • Life style pattern – India’s middle class population changing • “Saving” to “Spending” pattern • Marked increase of new entrants – all verticals • Modern Retail Formats: Malls, Department Stores, Discounters, Cash & Carry • Higher Disposable Income • Employers offering – lucrative compensation & packages • Increase in young population – increase in urbanization IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 12
  • 13. KEY PLAYERS IN INDIA • Pantaloons Retail India • Shopper’s Stop ltd • RPG Enterprises • Landmark Group • Madura Garments – part of Aditya Birla Group • Globus • Provogue Ltd. • Bata India Ltd • Archies Ltd IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 13
  • 14. SOME OF MNCS IN INDIA • United Colors of Benetton - Italy • Arrow – USA • Levis - USA • Lee - USA • Pepe Jeans - London • Subway - USA • Wrangler - USA • Samsonite – USA IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 14
  • 15. KEY OPPORTUNITIES • Wedding Malls • Khaadi Plaza – 7000 outlets are to be launched • Initiative Gujarat – Village Malls (512 launching & 508 awaiting) • Immense potential in Rural Market – food, grocery , etc. • Untapped Market – Reliance Retail, Aditya Birla • RFID Technology – for better CRM & SUPPLY CHAIN • Online Retailing – click to buy IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 15
  • 16. REVENUES & SHARES OF VERTICALS Food & Clothing Consumer Jewelry & Home Beauty Books & Foot ware beverages & textile Durable Watch Décor Products Music 3,268 & 231,951 & 29,024 & 15,171 & 13,390 & 9,463 & 6,854 & 2,610 & 1.05% 74.41% 9.31% 4.87% 4.30% 3.04% 2.20% 0.84% ALL IN USD & MILLIONS – Source: ibef IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 16
  • 17. SWOT ANALYSIS STRENGTHS WEAKNESS • Young Population • Policy related Issues • Rapidly growing sector • Less Educated people • High Disposable income • Underdeveloped Supply chain • Low labour cost • Lack of basic utilities • Microfinance • Lack of Power in Rural Areas OPPORTUNITIES THREATS • Untapped Rural Market • Poor Managed Inventory • Collaboration with MNCs • Unorganized Retail – high % • Retail Franchising • Uneducated People – slow change • E-Retailing • Not much developed shopping culture • RFID Technology • More of window shopping IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 17
  • 18. INITIATIVES BY CORPORATES 1. Arvind Mills – focus Rural Retail Focus on direct selling Shop –in-shop stores double to 1200 by April Pack Model – smaller packing – multiple choices Product Innovation Group to re-look – product innovation, rural marketing No Forex Risk Attached B2C Model – 50-60% y-o-y higher than denim IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 18
  • 19. RETAILING @ BOP Population in Billions TIER 1 75-100 1500-1750 TIER 2 - 3 More than 4 TIER 4 billion constitute 4000 the BOP & live less than $ 2 per day TIER 5 IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 19
  • 20. Urban Areas have become a magnet of poor Cash – poor & low level of income, BOP consumer has to be accessed differently Bolivian Financial Services: illiterate people can access it 24*7 HUL – CASIS SHAKTI BAHIA ITC ICICI E-CHOUPAL CEMEX SELF – HELP IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 20
  • 21. HUL – MICRO RETAILING • 1999 start up – 6 new growth opportunities • Confectionaries & sweets – candy fastest growing product @ BOP • Ayush – Consumer Health Care • Sangam – E-tailing program for daily ordering & delivering. • Addressing needs of top – end consumers • Water facility • Project Shakti – direct – to – consumer initiative IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 21
  • 22. PROJECT SHAKTI - HUL • Women’s Self Help Groups – Entrepreneur Development training • Educating consumers on health & hygiene • 4 goals of Project Shakti: i. Plan to increase reach – Rural Market ii. Attempt to increase awareness iii. change attitudes iv. Catalyze rural affluence & drive growth • Andhra Pradesh – 70% involved in SHG • Total – 1 million nationwide • Investment > Rs. 20,000> 10% margin • Shakti Vani programme – trained communicators, driven messages on sanitation, good hygiene practices & women empowerment • Year end 2008 – 45,000 entrepreneurs covering 1,00,000 villages across 15 states reaching 3 million homes IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 22
  • 23. ITC E-CHOUPAL – PROFITABLE RURAL TRANSFORMATION • States covered – 10 • Villages covered – 40,000 • # of e-Choupal – 6,500 • Farmers e-empowered – 4 million • Expanding spectrum of commodities – wheat, pulses, soya, maize, spices, coffee, aqua – products • Farmers – rise in income level • Compare price @ Chicago Trading Board too. • Choupal Saagar – 24 hubs, 3 states, grow by 100 by 2010 IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 23
  • 24. E-RETAILING • E-commerce classification: a. B2C – online selling by business unit to an individual consumer b. B2B – Online selling by business to business c. C2C – Online selling by consumer to another consumer  Today:  Customer is the king – 24*7 service through email, chat & toll free  Supply chain  E.g – ITC e-choupal  Better information  Convenience  Targeted & Mass Customization  Global Reach @ low cost  Value Added Service with best Customer service “Shopping Anywhere, Anytime” IIPM AHMEDABAD 09-11 24