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A Green New Deal?
The Stimulus Bill, Climate Change, and
 Opportunities for Renewable Energy
    and Other Green Technologies


             Scott D. Deatherage
          Partner, Thompson & Knight LLP
            scott.deatherage@tklaw.com
President Obama on
          New Approach to Energy
[T]he possibilities of renewable energy are limitless.
We’ve heard promises about it in every State of the
Union for the last three decades. But each and every
year, we become more, not less, addicted to oil ─ a
19th-century fossil fuel.



                                                         2
Climate Change Regulation Timeline

                 2005
1992             EU
UNFCCC           ETS

                                                                              2009-2010
           2003
  1997                                       2007          2008
                        2006
                                                                              --US Climate
           Regional
  Kyoto                                      --Mass v.     US Pres.
                        --California Bill
                                                                              Change
  Protocol Greenhouse                        EPA           Election
                        --Western
                                                                              Legislation
           Gas                               --Lieberman-
                        Climate Initiative                          2009
                                                                              --Post-Kyoto
           Initiative                        Warner              US GHG
                                                                              Climate
                                             Voted Out           Reporting
                                                                              Change
                                             of Sen.             Regulation
                                                                              Treaty
                                             Comm.
                                             --Greenhouse
                                             Gas Reporting
                                             Legislation
                                             --Midwestern
                                             Greenhouse Gas
                                                                                      3
                                             Reduction Accord
What to Expect This Year
Nationwide Renewable Energy Portfolio Standard Bill
    Requiring 10% by 2012 and 25% by 2025 of electricity to come
►
    from renewable energy sources
Climate Change Bill
    Cap and trade program to limit greenhouse gas emissions
►
    EPA issued proposed greenhouse gas emission reporting rule
►
    to be finalized by June 2009
If Congress does not act, Obama Administration may do so
under the Clean Air Act after U.S. Supreme Court decision in
Massachusetts v. EPA
    EPA to allow California and other states to set limits on
►
    greenhouse gas emissions from vehicles
    May lead to EPA rules on greenhouse gas emissions under
►
    Clean Air Act
                                                                   4
What Will This Mean?

Carbon-Constrained Economy

    Greenhouse gas emissions will be limited and every
►
    stage of industrial and commercial activity will be
    evaluated for modification to reduce these emissions or
    reduce energy use

Second Industrial Revolution

    Biggest change since the industrial revolution
►



                                                              5
Understanding the Business Between
Incentivized Activity and Climate Change

                  Renewable
                    Energy



                  Carbon           Alternative
    Energy
                                 Transportation
   Efficiency
                  Credits             Fuels



                Carbon Capture
                 and Storage

                                                  6
Potential Future Carbon Market
US market predicted to rise quickly to $150 to
$300 billion
Global market by 2020 predicted by some to rise to $2 to
$3 trillion
No one knows what actually size may be
Probability it will be very large
Thus, individuals and firms that understand this and act on
accordingly may find tremendous business opportunities



                                                              7
“Stimulus Bill” or the American Recovery and
     Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA)

  Four Main Areas
      Renewable Energy: wind, solar, biomass, geothermal,
  ►
      etc.

      Energy Efficiency: Use less electricity, fossil fuels, etc.
  ►

      Carbon Capture and Storage: capture CO2 primarily and
  ►
      store or sequester underground (where it originated)

      Alternative Transportation Fuels: ethanol, biodiesel,
  ►
      natural gas, hydrogen, electricity, etc.


                                                                    8
Magnitude of Energy-Related Incentives
 Appropriations for projects is about $35 billion
 Other funds may be obligated from other sources
 Tax incentives are not included in this number
 Loan Guaranty program equals $6 billion in government
 funds but is designed for a ten-fold private multiplier and
 this would equal $60 billion in total loans
 Clean Renewable Energy Bonds and Energy Conservation
 Bonds equal $4 billion
 Beyond the DOE, the Treasury Department has the
 authority to approve grants in lieu of tax credits, and no
 limit is place on this program
                                                               9
Tax Incentives
Extends deadlines for § 45 Production Tax Credits
(PTC)

    Wind projects extended through Dec. 31, 2012
►


    Biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, waste-to-energy,
►
    hydropower, and marine renewables projects extended
    through Dec. 31, 2013




                                                          10
Tax Incentives
Project investors in projects previously qualifying for §
45 PTCs may elect to take § 48 Investment Tax Credits
(ITCs)
    Current law allows § 45 PTC to be taken over a 5 or 10 year
►
    period (10 years for wind)

    Current law allows § 48 ITC to be taken in the year the project is
►
    placed in service (30% credit for solar, fuel cell, small wind
    property; 10% credit for other qualifying technologies)

    ARRA provides that technologies previously qualifying for the
►
    PTC (including wind, biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, waste-
    to-energy, hydropower, and marine facilities) may now claim a
    credit equivalent to the 30% ITC

                                                                         11
ARRA Allows the Treasury Dept. to
Issue a Grant in Lieu of Tax Credits
Treasury will provide grants in lieu of § 48 ITCs
Projects eligible for § 45 PTCs can be converted to
ITCs to qualify for grant program
    Construction must begin prior to 12/31/2010
►

    Projects must be placed in service before:
►
       2013 for wind (30% credit)
       2014 for biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, waste-to energy,
       hydropower & marine renewables (30% credit)
       2017 for fuel cell, solar, small wind (30% credit)
       2017 for geothermal, microturbine, combined heat & power
       and geothermal heat pump property (10% credit)                 12
Broadening of Opportunity
         for Public Financing
ARRA eliminates a limitation on § 48 tax credits that
they be reduced if the property is financed with tax
exempt bonds or other public money

This increases the ability to use public money to fund
qualifying projects and still obtain relevant tax
credits




                                                         13
Investment Tax Credit for Advanced
      Energy Manufacturing
Investment Tax Credit for Investments in Advanced Energy
Manufacturing Equipment, 30% of investment, includes
manufacturing facilities and related equipment for:
    Solar
►
    Wind
►
    Geothermal
►
    Fuel Cells
►
    Microturbines
►
    Electric/hybrid Cars, Batteries & Equipment
►
    Renewable Grids / Smart Grids
►
    Carbon Capture & Sequestration
►
    Renewable Fuels Refining or Blending
►
    Energy Conservation Technologies
►
                                                     14
Loan Guarantees
Renewable energy loan guarantees of $6 billion in appropriated
funds should support at least $60 billion in loans “Rapid
Deployment” loan guarantees for renewable energy power
generation using current commercial technology, including:
Renewable energy systems that generate electricity or thermal
energy, and facilities that manufacture related components; and
Demonstration or pilot projects using leading-edge biofuel
technology that is likely to become commercialized and reduce
life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions
Transmission projects also covered
Loan guarantees for biofuel projects limited to $500 million
Construction must commence by Sept. 30, 2011
                                                                  15
Electric Transmission
Funding for transmission modernization and smart
grid
    $4.5 billion to DOE for expenses necessary for electricity
►
    delivery and energy reliability activities:

       Grid modernization, security and reliability

       Energy storage R&D and demonstration

       Energy efficiency measurement

       Diversifying sources of ancillary services

       Advancing use of wide-area smart grids
                                                                 16
Fossil Energy Funds
Grants for fossil energy R&D

    $3.4 billion for the Fossil Energy Research and
►
    Development program, including:

       $800 million for selections under DOE’s clean coal round III
       (which includes petroleum coke fuel input);

       $1.52 billion in competitive solicitation for a range of
       industrial carbon capture and energy efficiency
       improvement projects, including a small allocation for
       innovative concepts for beneficial CO2 reuse.



                                                                      17
Examples of Federal Funding of
     State and Local Programs

ARRA flows $11.3 billion dollars through state and
local governments for renewable energy and
energy efficiency

Weatherization program to provide $5 billion to
states for low-income families




                                                     18
Examples of Federal Programs
Federal buildings energy efficiency = $4.5 billon

Department of Defense

    $4.24 billion in funding to improve, repair and modernize
►
    DOD facilities, renovate Army barracks, and invest in the
    energy efficiency of DOD facilities

    $120 million for energy conservation projects, energy
►
    upgrades, and construction of alternative energy
    projects, such as wind and solar, at military installations
    in the United States

                                                                  19
EPA Funds
$211 million announced by EPA for state, local,
and tribal governments and nonprofits to
implement clean diesel projects that reduce
particulate and nitrogen oxide emissions
$100 million for Brownfield sites (could be already
spent)
$200 million underground storage tank cleanups
$600 million Superfund Cleanups
$4 billion Clean Water Act Revolving Fund
$2 billionand Drinking Water Revolving Fund
                                                      20
Opportunities for Oil and Gas Companies for Carbon
                   Credit Projects

                             One of the Largest Number of
                             Carbon Credits Issued
                             under the Kyoto Protocol
                             Rang Dong Offshore Oil Field,
                             Vietnam
                             Flared natural gas captured and
                             piped to shore for use
                             UN CDM Executive Board
                             recently granted 4.43 million
                             Certified Emission Reductions
                             (carbon credits) in CO2e
                             Value on European Climate
                             Exchange--approximately 15
                             euros per CER
                             € 66 million or US $ 103 million


                                                                21
Carbon Capture and Storage
               Alliance Bernstein Report
                    One of the activities that will be
                ►
                    required to meet global CO2 reduction
                    goals.
                    Injection of CO2 of 7 billion cf by 2015,
                ►
                    70 bcf by 2020, and 500 bcf by 2030;
                    and 60 gigatonnes of CO2 by 2030.
                    Injected for enhanced oil and gas
                ►
                    recovery (could increase yield by 11
                    million bbl/day).
                    Injected for coal-bed methane recovery
                ►
                    (increase yield of gas by 3,000 trillion
                    cubic feet).
               Enhanced oil and gas recovery would
               offset significant portion of cost of
               capturing CO2.
               An enormous number of carbon
               credits could be generated for use or
               sale if a CDM method is adopted.

                                                          22
GHG Reduction Projects That May Generate
            Carbon Credits
                                   Energy efficiency, such as
Fuel switching, e.g., coal to
                                   replacing boilers at refinery;
natural gas, or biomass for
                                   Renewable Energy—wind,
fossil fuels;
                                   solar energy, geothermal,
Capture and flaring or other use   and hydropower;
of coal-bed methane;               Cogeneration;
                                   Capture of CO2 from LNG,
Biofuels from waste oils (no
                                   gas processing plants, coal-
approval yet for a biofuel from
                                   fired power plants and
agricultural crops);               injection for enhanced oil
                                   and gas recovery, enhanced
Projects related to biofuel
                                   natural gas recovery from
production (e.g., burning of       deep coal seams, or into
bagasse to produce electricity);   deep saline aquifers.
Landfill gas to produce
electricity or to put in natural
gas pipeline;
                                                                    23
Scott D. Deatherage
Partner
1722 Routh Street
Suite 1500
Dallas, Texas 75201
214-969-1206
Scott.Deatherage@tklaw.com


Blog Sites:
quot;The New Carbon Cyclequot;
http://lawandenvironment.typepad.com/newcarboncycle/
and
quot;Law and the Environmentquot;
http://lawandenvironment.typepad.com/

                                                       24

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Deatherage A Green New Deal

  • 1. A Green New Deal? The Stimulus Bill, Climate Change, and Opportunities for Renewable Energy and Other Green Technologies Scott D. Deatherage Partner, Thompson & Knight LLP scott.deatherage@tklaw.com
  • 2. President Obama on New Approach to Energy [T]he possibilities of renewable energy are limitless. We’ve heard promises about it in every State of the Union for the last three decades. But each and every year, we become more, not less, addicted to oil ─ a 19th-century fossil fuel. 2
  • 3. Climate Change Regulation Timeline 2005 1992 EU UNFCCC ETS 2009-2010 2003 1997 2007 2008 2006 --US Climate Regional Kyoto --Mass v. US Pres. --California Bill Change Protocol Greenhouse EPA Election --Western Legislation Gas --Lieberman- Climate Initiative 2009 --Post-Kyoto Initiative Warner US GHG Climate Voted Out Reporting Change of Sen. Regulation Treaty Comm. --Greenhouse Gas Reporting Legislation --Midwestern Greenhouse Gas 3 Reduction Accord
  • 4. What to Expect This Year Nationwide Renewable Energy Portfolio Standard Bill Requiring 10% by 2012 and 25% by 2025 of electricity to come ► from renewable energy sources Climate Change Bill Cap and trade program to limit greenhouse gas emissions ► EPA issued proposed greenhouse gas emission reporting rule ► to be finalized by June 2009 If Congress does not act, Obama Administration may do so under the Clean Air Act after U.S. Supreme Court decision in Massachusetts v. EPA EPA to allow California and other states to set limits on ► greenhouse gas emissions from vehicles May lead to EPA rules on greenhouse gas emissions under ► Clean Air Act 4
  • 5. What Will This Mean? Carbon-Constrained Economy Greenhouse gas emissions will be limited and every ► stage of industrial and commercial activity will be evaluated for modification to reduce these emissions or reduce energy use Second Industrial Revolution Biggest change since the industrial revolution ► 5
  • 6. Understanding the Business Between Incentivized Activity and Climate Change Renewable Energy Carbon Alternative Energy Transportation Efficiency Credits Fuels Carbon Capture and Storage 6
  • 7. Potential Future Carbon Market US market predicted to rise quickly to $150 to $300 billion Global market by 2020 predicted by some to rise to $2 to $3 trillion No one knows what actually size may be Probability it will be very large Thus, individuals and firms that understand this and act on accordingly may find tremendous business opportunities 7
  • 8. “Stimulus Bill” or the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) Four Main Areas Renewable Energy: wind, solar, biomass, geothermal, ► etc. Energy Efficiency: Use less electricity, fossil fuels, etc. ► Carbon Capture and Storage: capture CO2 primarily and ► store or sequester underground (where it originated) Alternative Transportation Fuels: ethanol, biodiesel, ► natural gas, hydrogen, electricity, etc. 8
  • 9. Magnitude of Energy-Related Incentives Appropriations for projects is about $35 billion Other funds may be obligated from other sources Tax incentives are not included in this number Loan Guaranty program equals $6 billion in government funds but is designed for a ten-fold private multiplier and this would equal $60 billion in total loans Clean Renewable Energy Bonds and Energy Conservation Bonds equal $4 billion Beyond the DOE, the Treasury Department has the authority to approve grants in lieu of tax credits, and no limit is place on this program 9
  • 10. Tax Incentives Extends deadlines for § 45 Production Tax Credits (PTC) Wind projects extended through Dec. 31, 2012 ► Biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, waste-to-energy, ► hydropower, and marine renewables projects extended through Dec. 31, 2013 10
  • 11. Tax Incentives Project investors in projects previously qualifying for § 45 PTCs may elect to take § 48 Investment Tax Credits (ITCs) Current law allows § 45 PTC to be taken over a 5 or 10 year ► period (10 years for wind) Current law allows § 48 ITC to be taken in the year the project is ► placed in service (30% credit for solar, fuel cell, small wind property; 10% credit for other qualifying technologies) ARRA provides that technologies previously qualifying for the ► PTC (including wind, biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, waste- to-energy, hydropower, and marine facilities) may now claim a credit equivalent to the 30% ITC 11
  • 12. ARRA Allows the Treasury Dept. to Issue a Grant in Lieu of Tax Credits Treasury will provide grants in lieu of § 48 ITCs Projects eligible for § 45 PTCs can be converted to ITCs to qualify for grant program Construction must begin prior to 12/31/2010 ► Projects must be placed in service before: ► 2013 for wind (30% credit) 2014 for biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, waste-to energy, hydropower & marine renewables (30% credit) 2017 for fuel cell, solar, small wind (30% credit) 2017 for geothermal, microturbine, combined heat & power and geothermal heat pump property (10% credit) 12
  • 13. Broadening of Opportunity for Public Financing ARRA eliminates a limitation on § 48 tax credits that they be reduced if the property is financed with tax exempt bonds or other public money This increases the ability to use public money to fund qualifying projects and still obtain relevant tax credits 13
  • 14. Investment Tax Credit for Advanced Energy Manufacturing Investment Tax Credit for Investments in Advanced Energy Manufacturing Equipment, 30% of investment, includes manufacturing facilities and related equipment for: Solar ► Wind ► Geothermal ► Fuel Cells ► Microturbines ► Electric/hybrid Cars, Batteries & Equipment ► Renewable Grids / Smart Grids ► Carbon Capture & Sequestration ► Renewable Fuels Refining or Blending ► Energy Conservation Technologies ► 14
  • 15. Loan Guarantees Renewable energy loan guarantees of $6 billion in appropriated funds should support at least $60 billion in loans “Rapid Deployment” loan guarantees for renewable energy power generation using current commercial technology, including: Renewable energy systems that generate electricity or thermal energy, and facilities that manufacture related components; and Demonstration or pilot projects using leading-edge biofuel technology that is likely to become commercialized and reduce life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions Transmission projects also covered Loan guarantees for biofuel projects limited to $500 million Construction must commence by Sept. 30, 2011 15
  • 16. Electric Transmission Funding for transmission modernization and smart grid $4.5 billion to DOE for expenses necessary for electricity ► delivery and energy reliability activities: Grid modernization, security and reliability Energy storage R&D and demonstration Energy efficiency measurement Diversifying sources of ancillary services Advancing use of wide-area smart grids 16
  • 17. Fossil Energy Funds Grants for fossil energy R&D $3.4 billion for the Fossil Energy Research and ► Development program, including: $800 million for selections under DOE’s clean coal round III (which includes petroleum coke fuel input); $1.52 billion in competitive solicitation for a range of industrial carbon capture and energy efficiency improvement projects, including a small allocation for innovative concepts for beneficial CO2 reuse. 17
  • 18. Examples of Federal Funding of State and Local Programs ARRA flows $11.3 billion dollars through state and local governments for renewable energy and energy efficiency Weatherization program to provide $5 billion to states for low-income families 18
  • 19. Examples of Federal Programs Federal buildings energy efficiency = $4.5 billon Department of Defense $4.24 billion in funding to improve, repair and modernize ► DOD facilities, renovate Army barracks, and invest in the energy efficiency of DOD facilities $120 million for energy conservation projects, energy ► upgrades, and construction of alternative energy projects, such as wind and solar, at military installations in the United States 19
  • 20. EPA Funds $211 million announced by EPA for state, local, and tribal governments and nonprofits to implement clean diesel projects that reduce particulate and nitrogen oxide emissions $100 million for Brownfield sites (could be already spent) $200 million underground storage tank cleanups $600 million Superfund Cleanups $4 billion Clean Water Act Revolving Fund $2 billionand Drinking Water Revolving Fund 20
  • 21. Opportunities for Oil and Gas Companies for Carbon Credit Projects One of the Largest Number of Carbon Credits Issued under the Kyoto Protocol Rang Dong Offshore Oil Field, Vietnam Flared natural gas captured and piped to shore for use UN CDM Executive Board recently granted 4.43 million Certified Emission Reductions (carbon credits) in CO2e Value on European Climate Exchange--approximately 15 euros per CER € 66 million or US $ 103 million 21
  • 22. Carbon Capture and Storage Alliance Bernstein Report One of the activities that will be ► required to meet global CO2 reduction goals. Injection of CO2 of 7 billion cf by 2015, ► 70 bcf by 2020, and 500 bcf by 2030; and 60 gigatonnes of CO2 by 2030. Injected for enhanced oil and gas ► recovery (could increase yield by 11 million bbl/day). Injected for coal-bed methane recovery ► (increase yield of gas by 3,000 trillion cubic feet). Enhanced oil and gas recovery would offset significant portion of cost of capturing CO2. An enormous number of carbon credits could be generated for use or sale if a CDM method is adopted. 22
  • 23. GHG Reduction Projects That May Generate Carbon Credits Energy efficiency, such as Fuel switching, e.g., coal to replacing boilers at refinery; natural gas, or biomass for Renewable Energy—wind, fossil fuels; solar energy, geothermal, Capture and flaring or other use and hydropower; of coal-bed methane; Cogeneration; Capture of CO2 from LNG, Biofuels from waste oils (no gas processing plants, coal- approval yet for a biofuel from fired power plants and agricultural crops); injection for enhanced oil and gas recovery, enhanced Projects related to biofuel natural gas recovery from production (e.g., burning of deep coal seams, or into bagasse to produce electricity); deep saline aquifers. Landfill gas to produce electricity or to put in natural gas pipeline; 23
  • 24. Scott D. Deatherage Partner 1722 Routh Street Suite 1500 Dallas, Texas 75201 214-969-1206 Scott.Deatherage@tklaw.com Blog Sites: quot;The New Carbon Cyclequot; http://lawandenvironment.typepad.com/newcarboncycle/ and quot;Law and the Environmentquot; http://lawandenvironment.typepad.com/ 24