Fundamental Analysis & Analysts Recommendations - Eurostoxx 50 Index - SX5E Index
1. This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be
viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an
offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis &
Analyst Recommendations
Eurostoxx 50 Index
March 2013
Q M S Advisors
. .
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4. 20.03.2013
Air Liquide SA
Air Liquide SA, through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and sells Price/Volume
industrial and healthcare gases worldwide. These gases include liquid nitrogen,
120 3.5 M
argon, carbon dioxide, and oxygen. The Company also produces welding equipment,
100 3.0 M
diving equipment, and technical-medical equipment. Air Liquide sells its
products throughout Europe, the United States, Canada, Africa, and Asia. 2.5 M
80
2.0 M
60
Valuation Analysis 1.5 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012 40
1.0 M
LTM as of: 12/yy 20 .5 M
52-Week High (21.09.2012) 100.00
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (18.05.2012) 83.45 m-12 a-12 m-12 j-12 j-12 a-12 s-12 o-12 n-12 d-12 j-13 f-13
Daily Volume 388'658.00
Current Price (3/dd/yy) 95.4 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -4.61% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 14.32% Beta 0.76
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 77.46% Equity Float 310.90
Shares Out 08.03.2013 312.5 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 29'808.03 1 Yr Total Return 7.57%
Total Debt 7'273.70 YTD Return 0.37%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.760
Minority Interest 232.6 Analyst Recs 35
Cash and Equivalents 1'154.20 Consensus Rating 3.600
Enterprise Value 36'160.13 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 858'291
AI FP EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 913'021
AI FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 747'406
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 09/yy 12/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 03/13 Q1 06/13 Q2
Total Revenue 13'103.1 11'976.1 13'488.0 14'456.9 15'326.3 14'255.5 15'326.0 16'324.5 17'508.7 3'964.3 3'952.3
TEV/Revenue 1.73x 2.25x 2.38x 2.25x 2.35x 0.00x 0.00x 2.20x 2.03x - 9.11x
EBITDA 2'941.8 2'969.0 3'374.3 3'563.6 3'792.3 0.0 0.0 4'096.0 4'445.7 - 1'976.0
TEV/EBITDA 7.71x 9.08x 9.50x 9.13x 9.50x 0.00x 0.00x 8.82x 8.13x - -
Net Income 1'220.0 1'230.0 1'403.6 1'534.9 1'609.4 0.0 0.0 1'738.4 1'922.1 - 879.0
P/E 13.93x 17.67x 18.97x 17.60x 18.38x 0.00x 0.00x 17.10x 15.47x - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 3'792.30 Long-Term Rating Date 02.07.2007
EBIT 2'560.50 Long-Term Rating A
Operating Margin 16.71% Long-Term Outlook POS
Pretax Margin 14.63% Short-Term Rating Date 06.05.2004
Return on Assets 6.55% Short-Term Rating A-1
Return on Common Equity 16.12% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital - EBITDA/Interest Exp. 14.00
Asset Turnover 0.62% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 7.11
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA 1.92
EBITDA Margin 24.7% Reference
EBIT Margin 16.7% Total Debt/Equity 71.2%
Net Income Margin 10.5% Total Debt/Capital 41.1%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.62
Current Ratio 1.03 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.23
Quick Ratio 0.77 Accounts receivable turnover-days 66.93
Debt to Assets 29.09% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 71.23% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover 5.47 Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00 18'000.0
12.00
16'000.0
14'000.0
10.00
12'000.0
8.00 10'000.0
6.00
8'000.0
6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
2.00 2'000.0
0.00
0.0
01.01.2010 01.07.2010 01.01.2011 01.07.2011 01.01.2012 01.07.2012 01.01.2013 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. 20.03.2013
Air Liquide SA
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'647'329 1.81 119'140 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
THORNBURG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'574'174 1.46 - 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'548'431 1.46 85'185 31.01.2013 Mutual Fund Manager
BLACKROCK n/a ULT-AGG 3'524'993 1.13 4'486 14.03.2013 Investment Advisor
LANSDOWNE PARTNERS L n/a Short (1'936'514) -0.62 (343'575) 11.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I n/a ULT-AGG 1'892'286 0.61 89'844 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'445'602 0.46 (836) 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'185'320 0.38 58'091 15.03.2013 Investment Advisor
AIR LIQUIDE n/a Co File 1'119'676 0.36 - 31.12.2011 Corporation
MERCURY ASSET MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 967'645 0.31 (15'196) 14.03.2013 Investment Advisor
THREADNEEDLE INVESTM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 965'341 0.31 (422) 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE n/a ULT-AGG 921'742 0.3 (6'180) 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a ULT-AGG 902'774 0.29 (450'378) 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
SCHRODER INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 731'181 0.23 308'898 28.09.2012 Investment Advisor
AMUNDI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 696'712 0.22 (19'889) 31.10.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
HARTFORD INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 629'057 0.2 9'691 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
LBPAM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 606'009 0.19 (7'465) 31.12.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
FMR LLC n/a ULT-AGG 589'606 0.19 (121'484) 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 561'349 0.18 11'929 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
BNP PARIBAS INV PART n/a ULT-AGG 522'156 0.17 (44'516) 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Nomura JEAN DE WATTEVILLE neutral 3 M 108 12 month 18.03.2013
AlphaValue FABRICE FARIGOULE add 4 M 99 6 month 07.03.2013
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co JEREMY REDENIUS outperform 5 M 105 12 month 05.03.2013
Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY buy 5 U 107 3 month 05.03.2013
Exane BNP Paribas HEIDI VESTERINEN outperform 5 M 102 Not Provided 04.03.2013
Goldman Sachs RAKESH PATEL neutral/neutral 3 M 108 12 month 27.02.2013
Hamburger Sparkasse MARCO GUENTHER hold 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 25.02.2013
Commerzbank Corporates & Markets STEPHAN KIPPE add 4 M 105 6 month 22.02.2013
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg ULLE WORNER buy 5 M 103 Not Provided 20.02.2013
S&P Capital IQ JOHNSON IMODE hold 3 M 95 12 month 18.02.2013
Main First Bank AG THOMAS SWOBODA outperform 5 M 105 12 month 18.02.2013
Societe Generale PETER CLARK hold 3 M 100 12 month 15.02.2013
Deutsche Bank TIMOTHY JONES hold 3 M 99 12 month 15.02.2013
Credit Suisse CHRIS COUNIHAN outperform 5 M 103 Not Provided 15.02.2013
Independent Research GmbH CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE hold 3 M 100 12 month 15.02.2013
Banco Sabadell PATRICIA GARCIA SANCHEZ buy 5 M 111 12 month 15.02.2013
Morgan Stanley PETER MACKEY Equalwt/In-Line 3 M 104 12 month 14.02.2013
Jefferies LAURENCE ALEXANDER hold 3 M 97 12 month 14.02.2013
HSBC GEOFF HAIRE overweight 5 M 112 Not Provided 14.02.2013
Berenberg Bank JOHN PHILIPP KLEIN hold 3 M 93 Not Provided 14.02.2013
Barclays GUNTHER ZECHMANN underweight 1 M 100 Not Provided 04.02.2013
Kepler Capital Markets MARKUS MAYER hold 3 M 100 Not Provided 01.02.2013
EVA Dimensions CRAIG STERLING underweight 1 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 15.01.2013
Liberum Capital Ltd ADAM COLLINS buy 5 M 121 Not Provided 13.12.2012
JPMorgan NEIL C TYLER neutral 3 M 100 9 month 07.12.2012
Macquarie CHRISTIAN FAITZ outperform 5 M 100 12 month 21.11.2012
CM - CIC Securities(ESN) ARI AGOPYAN accumulate 4 U 106 12 month 05.11.2012
CA Cheuvreux KLAUS RINGEL outperform 5 M 101 Not Provided 26.10.2012
Alembic Global Advisors HASSAN I AHMED neutral 3 M 95 12 month 15.10.2012
Redburn Partners TONY JONES buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 08.10.2012
Natixis FREDERIC WILLIAMS-GOBEAUX neutral 3 M 83 Not Provided 02.08.2012
Canaccord Genuity Corp PAUL W SATCHELL hold 3 M 82 Not Provided 18.05.2012
DZ Bank AG PETER SPENGLER buy 5 M 91 12 month 27.10.2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
6. 20.03.2013
Allianz SE
Allianz SE, through subsidiaries, offers insurance and financial services. The Price/Volume
Company offers property and casualty, life and health, credit, motor vehicle and
120 7.0 M
travel insurance, and fund management services.
100 6.0 M
5.0 M
80
4.0 M
60
Valuation Analysis 3.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012 40
2.0 M
LTM as of: 12/yy 20 1.0 M
52-Week High (14.03.2013) 114.05
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (04.06.2012) 68.50 m-12 a-12 m-12 j-12 j-12 a-12 s-12 o-12 n-12 d-12 j-13 f-13
Daily Volume 2'003'149.00
Current Price (3/dd/yy) 109.15 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -4.30% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 59.34% Beta 1.24
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 96.05% Equity Float 451.47
Shares Out 31.12.2012 456.0 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 49'766.94 1 Yr Total Return 22.65%
Total Debt 28'411.00 YTD Return 4.15%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.244
Minority Interest 2'338.0 Analyst Recs 43
Cash and Equivalents 10'492.00 Consensus Rating 4.326
Enterprise Value 68'398.94 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 2'226'497
ALV GY EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 1'941'754
ALV GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 1'702'487
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 12/yy 12/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 03/13 Q1 06/13 Q2
Total Revenue 76'195.0 82'711.0 89'740.0 87'384.0 106'400.0 87'384.0 96'790.0 105'282.2 108'382.1 - -
TEV/Revenue 0.69x 0.75x 0.67x 0.61x - 2.70x 1.86x 0.58x 0.56x - -
EBITDA - - - - - 0.0 0.0 - - - -
TEV/EBITDA - - - - - 0.00x 0.00x - - - -
Net Income (2'444.0) 4'297.0 5'053.0 2'545.0 5'169.0 2'545.0 5'169.0 5'444.5 5'676.8 - -
P/E 8.51x 8.37x 7.94x 13.13x 9.18x 12.79x 9.18x 8.99x 8.60x - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA - Long-Term Rating Date 27.01.2012
EBIT - Long-Term Rating AA
Operating Margin 7.01% Long-Term Outlook NEG
Pretax Margin 5.45% Short-Term Rating Date 23.03.2009
Return on Assets 0.67% Short-Term Rating A-1+
Return on Common Equity 9.30% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 7.26% EBITDA/Interest Exp. -
Asset Turnover 0.14% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA -
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA -
EBITDA Margin - Reference
EBIT Margin - Total Debt/Equity 0.0%
Net Income Margin 4.9% Total Debt/Capital 37.5%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.14
Current Ratio - Net Fixed Asset Turnover -
Quick Ratio - Accounts receivable turnover-days -
Debt to Assets 4.43% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 0.00% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover - Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00 120'000.0
6.00 100'000.0
5.00
80'000.0
4.00
60'000.0
3.00
40'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
0.00
0.0
01.01.2010 01.07.2010 01.01.2011 01.07.2011 01.01.2012 01.07.2012 01.01.2013 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
7. 20.03.2013
Allianz SE
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
BLACKROCK n/a ULT-AGG 32'047'039 7.03 - 14.03.2013 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'563'293 1.88 175'318 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'365'290 1.4 - 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
FMR LLC n/a ULT-AGG 5'736'439 1.26 (2'666'263) 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE n/a ULT-AGG 4'764'728 1.05 4'899 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
DB PLATINUM ADVISORS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'712'687 1.03 1'113'916 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor
UNION INVESTMENT GMB Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'513'764 0.99 546'507 28.09.2012 Investment Advisor
SOCIETE GENERALE SA n/a Research 4'475'337 0.98 - 28.02.2013 Unclassified
DEUTSCHE BANK AG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'451'739 0.98 (153'349) 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a ULT-AGG 3'746'308 0.82 - 16.05.2012 Investment Advisor
THORNBURG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'028'939 0.66 (352'189) 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'337'600 0.51 - 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'263'956 0.5 135'754 28.12.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a ULT-AGG 1'843'650 0.4 - 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
ADIG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'630'559 0.36 (602'365) 30.11.2012 Investment Advisor
FRANKFURT TRUST INVE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'516'111 0.33 303'500 28.12.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'483'920 0.33 - 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'441'075 0.32 433'235 31.01.2013 Mutual Fund Manager
MERCURY ASSET MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'399'861 0.31 (22'011) 14.03.2013 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN n/a ULT-AGG 1'000'446 0.22 48'589 31.01.2013 Unclassified
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Exane BNP Paribas THOMAS JACQUET outperform 5 M 125 Not Provided 14.03.2013
Bank of Valletta MALCOLM ABDILLA CASTILLO hold 3 M 117 Not Provided 12.03.2013
Bankhaus Metzler JOCHEN SCHMITT sell 1 M 95 12 month 08.03.2013
AlphaValue DIETER HEIN add 4 M 112 6 month 07.03.2013
JPMorgan MICHAEL HUTTNER overweight 5 M 122 9 month 05.03.2013
Oddo & Cie NICOLAS JACOB buy 5 M 120 Not Provided 05.03.2013
Berenberg Bank PETER ELIOT buy 5 M 132 Not Provided 05.03.2013
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods WILLIAM HAWKINS market perform 3 M 135 12 month 03.03.2013
S&P Capital IQ RODERICK WALLACE buy 5 M 122 12 month 01.03.2013
RBC Capital Markets GORDON AITKEN outperform 5 M 130 12 month 27.02.2013
Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) PHILIPP HAESSLER hold 3 M 105 12 month 26.02.2013
Helvea DANIEL BISCHOF accumulate 4 M 111 12 month 26.02.2013
Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 25.02.2013
Kepler Capital Markets FABRIZIO CROCE reduce 2 M 73 Not Provided 25.02.2013
DZ Bank AG THORSTEN WENZEL buy 5 M 120 12 month 25.02.2013
Nord/LB VOLKER SACK buy 5 M 113 12 month 22.02.2013
Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT buy 5 M 125 12 month 21.02.2013
Bryan Garnier & Cie OLIVIER PAUCHAUT buy 5 M 118 6 month 21.02.2013
Nomura MICHAEL KLIEN neutral 3 M 103 12 month 21.02.2013
Bankhaus Lampe ANDREAS SCHAEFER buy 5 N 122 Not Provided 20.02.2013
Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS buy 5 M 114 12 month 15.02.2013
Credit Suisse RICHARD BURDEN neutral 3 M 113 Not Provided 08.02.2013
Barclays ANDREW BROADFIELD overweight 5 M 120 Not Provided 04.02.2013
Main First Bank AG MICHAEL HAID outperform 5 M 120 12 month 01.02.2013
Mediobanca SpA MARC THIELE neutral 3 M 123 6 month 30.01.2013
Ahorro Corporacion Financiera SA VIRGINIA PEREZ REPES buy 5 M 133 Not Provided 29.01.2013
Deutsche Bank ROBIN BUCKLEY buy 5 M 120 12 month 24.01.2013
Macquarie HADLEY COHEN outperform 5 M 130 12 month 23.01.2013
Goldman Sachs VINIT MALHOTRA Buy/Neutral 5 M 120 12 month 18.01.2013
EVA Dimensions AUSTIN BURKETT buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 17.01.2013
HSBC KAILESH MISTRY overweight 5 M 128 Not Provided 16.01.2013
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg WERNER SCHIRMER hold 3 M 110 Not Provided 16.01.2013
Natixis BENOIT VALLEAUX buy 5 M 120 Not Provided 10.01.2013
Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY buy 5 M 117 3 month 07.01.2013
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co THOMAS SEIDL market perform 3 M 100 12 month 13.12.2012
CA Cheuvreux ATANASIO PANTARROTAS outperform 5 M 118 Not Provided 10.12.2012
Morgan Stanley JON HOCKING Equalwt/In-Line 3 M 110 12 month 05.12.2012
Canaccord Genuity Corp BEN COHEN buy 5 M 100 Not Provided 26.11.2012
Societe Generale JASON KALAMBOUSSIS buy 5 M 100 12 month 09.11.2012
Raymond James DANNY JACQUES market perform 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 03.08.2012
Redburn Partners PAUL GOODHIND buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 15.03.2012
Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research FERNEYHOUGH
JOY neutral 3 M 92 Not Provided 11.11.2011
Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TIM PROUDLOVE hold 3 M 106 6 month 12.05.2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |