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Contents
 Industry Overview ................................................................... 1

 Royal Dutch Shell ................................................................... 4

 Consumer Segmentation ...................................................... 10

                                      Stakeholders Analysis)................. 14

 COMPETITORS ................................................................... 19

                                      Competitive Advantage ............... 24

                                    (Value Chain) ................................. 26

                               2                    ...................................... 32

                           : Reference Scenario ............................... 32

                          : 450 Scenario........................................... 36

 Shell Scenario....................................................................... 41

 - Scramble ............................................................................ 51

 - Blueprints............................................................................ 57

                        Royal Dutch/Shell                        ........................ 67

 Strategies.............................................................................. 71

 References ........................................................................... 73
Industry Overview




     Graph    1   :World   Consumption   (million   tonnes   oil

equivalent)




                                                         Page | 1
BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2011. bp.com/statisticalreview




                                                                     Page | 2
David W. Crain, Using value-chain analysis to discover customers' strategic
                                    needs


                                                               Supermajors


                                                                         Saudi
Aramco                          Exxon          Mobil,       ConocoPhillips,
Chevron, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, BP PLC                              Total SA
     6




Value chain
Segment



                                                                          Page | 3
Peak Oil




Peak                         Oil




Royal Dutch Shell

Overview

         Royal      Dutch/Shell          Group
                             Royal Dutch Petroleum Company
Shell            Transport         and           Trading      Company,
p.l.c.


                                                    BP




                                                                  Page | 4
the     Razen



                --
                             (LNG)




     Upstream




Upstream                   Upstream
Americas                   Upstream
International




                              Page | 5
Downstream




               LPG)



                                 B2B



                                 CO2


CO2                   Shell   Trading




                                Page | 6
Projects       and             Technology




                                         Port
Arthur    Texas,         USA


                               ,


                                         tank




                                        Page | 7
V-
Power
FuelSave




           %




               Page | 8
LPG)




             Cosan     Ra
Zen




                     Page | 9
Consumer Segmentation

    1


                                         39%


                     5%         1990    2005



        2005                             21%


                                               ,




                                  19%
   1990                                 2005




               72%                      2005


                          59%

                                       Page | 10
57%   1990    2005
2005                            59%




                                         73%
                   1990                 2005


       ,




       50%




                   87%




             66%




                                       Page | 11
72%


61%


      2




          Page | 12
2020   1998      28%




                (CEER)




10%




                 Page | 13
:




                   2004
2030                                                62 –
222 Mtoe



       2010-2015


                                               2004-2030




                      Stakeholders Analysis)

Shareholders


                                                  Page | 14
Employee




Suppliers




            Page | 15
Core

value

                          Core

value




Customers


‘




                    CO

                                 ,



Local Communities

                         Page | 16
Priority Strategies
Position        Interest   Strategies
Supporters
  - Sharehol -                   HRM

    ders     -
                 -
  - Employe
                                   suppliers
     e
  - Supplier
     s
Neutrals
  - Custome -
     rs
  - Govern
     ment

                                               Page | 17
-       ,




Opponents
  - Local        -
    Commun       -

    ity
  - NGOs         -
  - Other
    Compan
    y




                         Page | 18
COMPETITORS

Direct Competitors

  1. Exxon Mobil Corporation




                               Page | 19
,
                       2               Fortune         Global



    2




  2. Sinopec Group
           China     Petroleum     &    Chemical   Corporation
           ("Sinopec



                                                      Fortune
Global                           500                         xu
2012




  3. BP




                                                        Page | 20
4. ConocoPhillips



                                           9     Forbes
Global
    ConocoPhillips                         Conoco,


ConocoPhillips
Conoco

  5. Chevron Corporation




                                                     100




                                                  2548



                                 Human         Resource



                                                 Page | 21
Indirect Competitor
  1. General Electronic


             Schenectady,              New                York




                                                            GE


  2. Sharp Corporation




                                      Tuvalu Electric Company)
          Pacific Power Association           Kansai Electric
Pacific                                                    252




  3. Siemens

                                                        Page | 22
Shell

    600000
)




    500000


    400000
:




    300000


    200000


    100000


         0



             Shell




                             Page | 23
Competitive Advantage

      Royal                                    Dutch




                      Technology        Leadership)


                                Pearl           GTL)


                                         GTL
Gas              to                            Liquid

                                               Page | 24
(Partnership)


          DKSH                                         (Thailand)
Limited
                                                                  5


                                   (Customer       Excellence)




                         (Marketing        Activity)              2


Shell Helix Supercars   Shell Helix Crystal Car




                                                           Page | 25
(Value Chain)

1.                (Primary Activities)

     1.1 Inbound Logistics
      -



      Strengths                          Weakness
      -                                  -




     1.2 Operations
      -



      -


      - The floating LNG (FLNG)
                                         LNG tanks

      Strengths                          Weakness
      -                                  -

      -



     1.3 Outbound Logistics



                                                     Page | 26
-                     LNG



    -                      Low Sulfur Diesel     Ultra Low Sulfur
        Diesel
    -
    -




    Strengths                       Weakness
    -                               -
                                                 downstream




1.4 Marketing and Sales
-
                                        Shell             V-Power



-        Shell Trading



-                Shell   Helix   Supercars                 Ferrari
                                                Formula       One



                                                            Page | 27
Proud Drivers choose Shell Helix
-                  Shell    Helix       Crystal     Car


                           Performance you can see
-                 Shell             Eco-marathon



-              Loyalty       Card,          Shell         V-Power         Club



    Strengths                                Weakness
    -                                        -




1.5 Services
- Shell Fuel Card                             Shell Card



- Shell credit cards
- Shell Car Wash
- Shell Motorist app
    Strengths                       Weakness
    -                        Fuel   -
        Card                                                        B2B


                                                                      Page | 28
(Support Activities)

 2.1 Firm Infrastructure
 -




 -


 -       Life-Saving Rules

 -



     Strengths                         Weakness
     -                                 -
                                           outsource




2.2 Human Resource Management


                                                       Page | 29
-           outsource           IT,
                                Accenture IBM, Logica and
         Wipro

 -




 -               The Shell People Survey

     Strengths                             Weakness
     -      outsource                       -           HRM

     -




2.3 TechnologyDevelopment
 -



                           s
 -               Projects Technology


 -                Lean


 -                   oil-recovery methods




                                                            Page | 30
Strengths                        Weakness
     -                                -




     -
         Value Chain



     -


2.4 Procurement
 - Shell




 -




         (LNG)

 -


         Bitumen
         (LNG)                            Conventional   Oil
         Unconventional Oil
     Strengths                    Weakness
     -                            -
                       Biofuels

                                                               Page | 31
-

                         -

-




                2

                 (International Energy Agency : IEA)
                              (World Energy Outlook 2009)
     20        ( . . 2030)                    2

1) Reference Scenario




2)                      450                       Scenario


                                                       450
                                      (CO2)       450 ppm
                                                       20 C


                    :          Reference          Scenario


                               2030                   40%



                                                    Page | 32
12,000                     (Mtoe)   2007
16,800 Mtoe         2030




                                                           2


                 2.5%                                2030


                              20
34%                                30%               2030
                                                         1%
               85                          2008          105
                       2030



                                          2.5%       2007
                 8.6%                                2030


                           16%     14%
                                                    Page | 33
2-3



                                         2030        26
                               1.1
(1.4%       GDP    )
      IEA




                        (non-OECD)
CO2


CO2                                             OECD


                              non-OECD
CO2                                               52%
                                                 1890
                  42%


                                                   6o C




                                                Page | 34
Reference Scenario




  OECD                    20
                 non-OECD




2030                    115
                      2025




                        IEA
                      1,500

                     Page | 35
1                          5


                         (Sub-   Saharan     Africa)


                     :    450              Scenario


                                                2o C


               /




                   CO2
450 Scenario
Reference                                  Scenario




                                             Page | 36
450                      Scenario
                                                  (End-Use)
                                          CO2            2030


                                                  Reference
Scenario                                                 2030


CO2
             (Carbon   Capture     and     Storage:      CCS)
                                                          10%
                                   2030           Reference
Scenario                                                 2030
                                                          70%
                                    Reference         Scenario
                                                         2030


           40%         90%               Reference Scenario
                                   30%                 Plug-in
Hybrid




                                                          10.5




                                                        Page | 37
450                     ppm



                                       2010-2030




    (Clean   Development    Mechanism:      CDM)



                     (International Funding Pools)




‘   ’

                                             2010




                                             1.5%
                                             2030


             21.2%                               20



                                            Page | 38
2020




                         Non-OECD


                               2030




                                 IEA


                                 600
            (   55%                  )


                               2030


                      Unconventional
Gas
Resources
                                     3




                              Page | 39
12%   2007   15%       2030




                                                -




‘     ’

                                              10




Reference   Scenario
2007-2030
76%                                       2.5%
                                 450   Scenario

                                         Page | 40
2.1%

                                       1%




                 20   Reference Scenario
1.1


                      450           Scenario
                                           3.9




Shell Scenario

                            Shell


Scramble                                     –




                                      Page | 41
Blueprints             –




    Shell




                                  Blueprints




Energy Development
                                   Blueprint




                                     Page | 42
Blueprint




Scramble




Global demand




                                                OECD




                                                 Page | 43


                        World- Total Primary Energy
CAFE



SUVs




                             OECD (
Non-OECD )
                           Non-OECD
                              OECD
                           Non-OECD
                    OECD
             OECD




                              Page | 44
World-Total Primary Energy Supply




                                    2


                       OPEC




                                    OPEC
   5



                                    Page | 45
Unconventional   Oil
                       Natural     Gas    Liquids




5   6                              10

        Global Oil Supply Growth

                                         10         12
                                          10-15%
                                               10




                                              Page | 46
OPEC




                             OPEC




                         OPEC


                        10



                 OPEC


             2



       100


                             Page | 47
13 400


                                                               “Scramble”
                               “Blueprints          : EJ

Scramble         2000      2010       2020          2030         2040            2050
                EJ        EJ         EJ            EJ           EJ          EJ
 Oil            147 35 176 33 186 29 179 24 160 20 141 16
                     %          %            %             %         %              %
 Gas            88   21 110 21 133 20 134 18 124 15 108 12
                     %          %            %             %         %              %
 Coal           97   23 144 27 199 31 210 29 246 30 263 30
                     %          %            %             %         %              %
 Nuclear        28   7%   31   6%    34      5%    36   5%      38   5%     43     5%
 Biomass        44   11   48   9%    59      9%    92      13 106 13 131 15
                     %                                     %         %              %
 Solar          0    0%   0    0%    2       0%    26   4%      62   8%     94      11
                                                                                    %
 Wind           0    0%   2    0%    9       1%    18   2%      27   3%     36     4%
 Other          13   3%   19   4%    28      4%    38   5%      51   6%     65     7%
 Renewables
Total primary   417 100 530 100 650 100 733 100 814 100 881 100
energy               %          %            %             %         %              %


                                                                     Page | 48
Blueprint           2000      2010        2020           2030     2040            2050
                EJ           EJ        EJ            EJ          EJ         EJ
 Oil            147 35 177 34 191 30 192 28 187 25 157 20
                        %         %             %           %         %              %
 Gas            88      21 109 21 139 22 143 21 135 18 122 16
                        %         %             %           %         %              %
 Coal           97      23 137 26 172 27 186 27 202 27 208 27
                        %         %             %           %         %              %
 Nuclear        28      7%   30   6%     30     5%   34    5%    41   6%     50     7%
 Biomass        44      11   50   10     52     8%   59    9%    54   7%     57     7%
                        %         %
 Solar              0   0%   1    0%      7     1%   22    3%    42   6%     74      10
                                                                                     %
 Wind               0   0%   1    0%      9     1%   17    2%    28   4%     39     5%
 Other          13      3%   18   3%     29     5%   40    6%    50   7%     62     8%
 Renewables
Total primary   417 100 5         100 6        100         100        100           100
energy                  %         %             %           %         %              %
                             scenarios
         Scramble                                                 Blueprints




                                                                  Blueprints
                                              Scramble           %

                                                                      Page | 49
Blueprints




                          Scramble
Blueprints


                 Blueprints
             “                       Blueprints
      ”




                                        Page | 50
Scramble

    Scramble




               Page | 51
Page | 52
Scramble

            2030
             90%




           Page | 53
Scramble




%




      Page | 54
Page | 55
%




    Page | 56
Blueprints

1.




             Blueprints
     Blueprints




                          Page | 57
CO   ,                     Blueprints


         Blueprints




                      CO




                              Page | 58
CAFE:
Corporate           Average        Fuel       Economy


             54.5
2025




       EU   Emissions    Trading   Scheme   (EU    ETS)




                                      (EU          ETS)




                                                  Page | 59
. .




      Page | 60
3.
     Blueprints




        Page | 61
4   Blueprints


                    Blueprints




                 OECD

                        Page | 62
Non-OECD   CCS




                 Blueprints




                    C-




                    Page | 63
CO


     CO




Blueprints




   Page | 64
CO2




Blueprints




             Page | 65
CO
CO




     Blueprints




        Page | 66
CO



      ppm




         Royal Dutch/Shell

1.
     Market Share    Shell

                        Market Share




                                       Page | 67
Market
                         Share




-

                                           Shell




2.         Shell

                           CO2




- Blueprints


-

                   CO2

                                          Page | 68
CO2



CO2




             ,




- Scramble




CO2



      CO2

3.           Shell




                     Page | 69
Shell




                             Sinopec
                             China
                             National
                             Petroleum




4.
                             NGOs


- Blueprints
                       CO2
                                        CSR




                                     Page | 70
- Scramble




             CO2


Strategies




                   Value   Chain




                           Page | 71
Blueprint




  Page | 72
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Gca shell group 2

  • 1. Contents Industry Overview ................................................................... 1 Royal Dutch Shell ................................................................... 4 Consumer Segmentation ...................................................... 10 Stakeholders Analysis)................. 14 COMPETITORS ................................................................... 19 Competitive Advantage ............... 24 (Value Chain) ................................. 26 2 ...................................... 32 : Reference Scenario ............................... 32 : 450 Scenario........................................... 36 Shell Scenario....................................................................... 41 - Scramble ............................................................................ 51 - Blueprints............................................................................ 57 Royal Dutch/Shell ........................ 67 Strategies.............................................................................. 71 References ........................................................................... 73
  • 2. Industry Overview Graph 1 :World Consumption (million tonnes oil equivalent) Page | 1
  • 3. BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2011. bp.com/statisticalreview Page | 2
  • 4. David W. Crain, Using value-chain analysis to discover customers' strategic needs Supermajors Saudi Aramco Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, BP PLC Total SA 6 Value chain Segment Page | 3
  • 5. Peak Oil Peak Oil Royal Dutch Shell Overview Royal Dutch/Shell Group Royal Dutch Petroleum Company Shell Transport and Trading Company, p.l.c. BP Page | 4
  • 6. the Razen -- (LNG) Upstream Upstream Upstream Americas Upstream International Page | 5
  • 7. Downstream LPG) B2B CO2 CO2 Shell Trading Page | 6
  • 8. Projects and Technology Port Arthur Texas, USA , tank Page | 7
  • 9. V- Power FuelSave % Page | 8
  • 10. LPG) Cosan Ra Zen Page | 9
  • 11. Consumer Segmentation 1 39% 5% 1990 2005 2005 21% , 19% 1990 2005 72% 2005 59% Page | 10
  • 12. 57% 1990 2005 2005 59% 73% 1990 2005 , 50% 87% 66% Page | 11
  • 13. 72% 61% 2 Page | 12
  • 14. 2020 1998 28% (CEER) 10% Page | 13
  • 15. : 2004 2030 62 – 222 Mtoe 2010-2015 2004-2030 Stakeholders Analysis) Shareholders Page | 14
  • 16. Employee Suppliers Page | 15
  • 17. Core value Core value Customers ‘ CO , Local Communities Page | 16
  • 18. Priority Strategies Position Interest Strategies Supporters - Sharehol - HRM ders - - - Employe suppliers e - Supplier s Neutrals - Custome - rs - Govern ment Page | 17
  • 19. - , Opponents - Local - Commun - ity - NGOs - - Other Compan y Page | 18
  • 20. COMPETITORS Direct Competitors 1. Exxon Mobil Corporation Page | 19
  • 21. , 2 Fortune Global 2 2. Sinopec Group China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation ("Sinopec Fortune Global 500 xu 2012 3. BP Page | 20
  • 22. 4. ConocoPhillips 9 Forbes Global ConocoPhillips Conoco, ConocoPhillips Conoco 5. Chevron Corporation 100 2548 Human Resource Page | 21
  • 23. Indirect Competitor 1. General Electronic Schenectady, New York GE 2. Sharp Corporation Tuvalu Electric Company) Pacific Power Association Kansai Electric Pacific 252 3. Siemens Page | 22
  • 24. Shell 600000 ) 500000 400000 : 300000 200000 100000 0 Shell Page | 23
  • 25. Competitive Advantage Royal Dutch Technology Leadership) Pearl GTL) GTL Gas to Liquid Page | 24
  • 26. (Partnership) DKSH (Thailand) Limited 5 (Customer Excellence) (Marketing Activity) 2 Shell Helix Supercars Shell Helix Crystal Car Page | 25
  • 27. (Value Chain) 1. (Primary Activities) 1.1 Inbound Logistics - Strengths Weakness - - 1.2 Operations - - - The floating LNG (FLNG) LNG tanks Strengths Weakness - - - 1.3 Outbound Logistics Page | 26
  • 28. - LNG - Low Sulfur Diesel Ultra Low Sulfur Diesel - - Strengths Weakness - - downstream 1.4 Marketing and Sales - Shell V-Power - Shell Trading - Shell Helix Supercars Ferrari Formula One Page | 27
  • 29. Proud Drivers choose Shell Helix - Shell Helix Crystal Car Performance you can see - Shell Eco-marathon - Loyalty Card, Shell V-Power Club Strengths Weakness - - 1.5 Services - Shell Fuel Card Shell Card - Shell credit cards - Shell Car Wash - Shell Motorist app Strengths Weakness - Fuel - Card B2B Page | 28
  • 30. (Support Activities) 2.1 Firm Infrastructure - - - Life-Saving Rules - Strengths Weakness - - outsource 2.2 Human Resource Management Page | 29
  • 31. - outsource IT, Accenture IBM, Logica and Wipro - - The Shell People Survey Strengths Weakness - outsource - HRM - 2.3 TechnologyDevelopment - s - Projects Technology - Lean - oil-recovery methods Page | 30
  • 32. Strengths Weakness - - - Value Chain - 2.4 Procurement - Shell - (LNG) - Bitumen (LNG) Conventional Oil Unconventional Oil Strengths Weakness - - Biofuels Page | 31
  • 33. - - - 2 (International Energy Agency : IEA) (World Energy Outlook 2009) 20 ( . . 2030) 2 1) Reference Scenario 2) 450 Scenario 450 (CO2) 450 ppm 20 C : Reference Scenario 2030 40% Page | 32
  • 34. 12,000 (Mtoe) 2007 16,800 Mtoe 2030 2 2.5% 2030 20 34% 30% 2030 1% 85 2008 105 2030 2.5% 2007 8.6% 2030 16% 14% Page | 33
  • 35. 2-3 2030 26 1.1 (1.4% GDP ) IEA (non-OECD) CO2 CO2 OECD non-OECD CO2 52% 1890 42% 6o C Page | 34
  • 36. Reference Scenario OECD 20 non-OECD 2030 115 2025 IEA 1,500 Page | 35
  • 37. 1 5 (Sub- Saharan Africa) : 450 Scenario 2o C / CO2 450 Scenario Reference Scenario Page | 36
  • 38. 450 Scenario (End-Use) CO2 2030 Reference Scenario 2030 CO2 (Carbon Capture and Storage: CCS) 10% 2030 Reference Scenario 2030 70% Reference Scenario 2030 40% 90% Reference Scenario 30% Plug-in Hybrid 10.5 Page | 37
  • 39. 450 ppm 2010-2030 (Clean Development Mechanism: CDM) (International Funding Pools) ‘ ’ 2010 1.5% 2030 21.2% 20 Page | 38
  • 40. 2020 Non-OECD 2030 IEA 600 ( 55% ) 2030 Unconventional Gas Resources 3 Page | 39
  • 41. 12% 2007 15% 2030 - ‘ ’ 10 Reference Scenario 2007-2030 76% 2.5% 450 Scenario Page | 40
  • 42. 2.1% 1% 20 Reference Scenario 1.1 450 Scenario 3.9 Shell Scenario Shell Scramble – Page | 41
  • 43. Blueprints – Shell Blueprints Energy Development Blueprint Page | 42
  • 44. Blueprint Scramble Global demand OECD Page | 43 World- Total Primary Energy
  • 45. CAFE SUVs OECD ( Non-OECD ) Non-OECD OECD Non-OECD OECD OECD Page | 44
  • 46. World-Total Primary Energy Supply 2 OPEC OPEC 5 Page | 45
  • 47. Unconventional Oil Natural Gas Liquids 5 6 10 Global Oil Supply Growth 10 12 10-15% 10 Page | 46
  • 48. OPEC OPEC OPEC 10 OPEC 2 100 Page | 47
  • 49. 13 400 “Scramble” “Blueprints : EJ Scramble 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 EJ EJ EJ EJ EJ EJ Oil 147 35 176 33 186 29 179 24 160 20 141 16 % % % % % % Gas 88 21 110 21 133 20 134 18 124 15 108 12 % % % % % % Coal 97 23 144 27 199 31 210 29 246 30 263 30 % % % % % % Nuclear 28 7% 31 6% 34 5% 36 5% 38 5% 43 5% Biomass 44 11 48 9% 59 9% 92 13 106 13 131 15 % % % % Solar 0 0% 0 0% 2 0% 26 4% 62 8% 94 11 % Wind 0 0% 2 0% 9 1% 18 2% 27 3% 36 4% Other 13 3% 19 4% 28 4% 38 5% 51 6% 65 7% Renewables Total primary 417 100 530 100 650 100 733 100 814 100 881 100 energy % % % % % % Page | 48
  • 50. Blueprint 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 EJ EJ EJ EJ EJ EJ Oil 147 35 177 34 191 30 192 28 187 25 157 20 % % % % % % Gas 88 21 109 21 139 22 143 21 135 18 122 16 % % % % % % Coal 97 23 137 26 172 27 186 27 202 27 208 27 % % % % % % Nuclear 28 7% 30 6% 30 5% 34 5% 41 6% 50 7% Biomass 44 11 50 10 52 8% 59 9% 54 7% 57 7% % % Solar 0 0% 1 0% 7 1% 22 3% 42 6% 74 10 % Wind 0 0% 1 0% 9 1% 17 2% 28 4% 39 5% Other 13 3% 18 3% 29 5% 40 6% 50 7% 62 8% Renewables Total primary 417 100 5 100 6 100 100 100 100 energy % % % % % % scenarios Scramble Blueprints Blueprints Scramble % Page | 49
  • 51. Blueprints Scramble Blueprints Blueprints “ Blueprints ” Page | 50
  • 52. Scramble Scramble Page | 51
  • 54. Scramble 2030 90% Page | 53
  • 55. Scramble % Page | 54
  • 57. % Page | 56
  • 58. Blueprints 1. Blueprints Blueprints Page | 57
  • 59. CO , Blueprints Blueprints CO Page | 58
  • 60. CAFE: Corporate Average Fuel Economy 54.5 2025 EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) (EU ETS) Page | 59
  • 61. . . Page | 60
  • 62. 3. Blueprints Page | 61
  • 63. 4 Blueprints Blueprints OECD Page | 62
  • 64. Non-OECD CCS Blueprints C- Page | 63
  • 65. CO CO Blueprints Page | 64
  • 66. CO2 Blueprints Page | 65
  • 67. CO CO Blueprints Page | 66
  • 68. CO ppm Royal Dutch/Shell 1. Market Share Shell Market Share Page | 67
  • 69. Market Share - Shell 2. Shell CO2 - Blueprints - CO2 Page | 68
  • 70. CO2 CO2 , - Scramble CO2 CO2 3. Shell Page | 69
  • 71. Shell Sinopec China National Petroleum 4. NGOs - Blueprints CO2 CSR Page | 70
  • 72. - Scramble CO2 Strategies Value Chain Page | 71
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