3. 0
2
4
6
8
10
1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000
BillionsofHumans
The Second Millennium
The Haber Bosch process to
fix atmospheric nitrogen
Unprecedented growth in human population…
from 1 billion in 1900 to 10 billion @ 2050AD
The greatest-ever accumulation of mammalian
biomass
4. Yet wealth is more influential than population.
GDP per capita forecast to grow by 200%
to 300% in China and India – way more than
population… which will grow, globally, just 40%.
More wealth = more demand for the food types NZ
specialises in… and more environmental problems
Relative GDP per capita levels in PPP terms (US = 100)
2009 Est. 2050 % change
US 100 100 -
Germany 79 82 +4%
India 7 28 +300%
China 14 45 +222%
Indonesia 9 22 +144%
Source: World Bank,
PwC model
estimates for 2050
5. ... thus creating massive demands for
animal proteins and fats, fertilisers,
freshwater and soil, which in turn are
causing…
7. ... and the
warming of
global food
bowls by
as much as
8C in a few
hundred
years
[Source: UK Met Office
Hadley Centre, via
http://www.newscientist.
com/data/images/ns/cms
/dn17864/dn17864-
2_800.jpg]
9. So at the heart of this is a massive, global
predicament over use of land, water and
climate, compounded by the accelerating
rate of extinction of other species
What are large factors limiting humanity’s
technical response to this predicament?
Neither money nor technology, but the
lack of sufficient SKILL AND CONFIDENCE
in land management
10. Lincoln University is the oldest and most
iconic agricultural education institute in the
Southern Hemisphere, with an international
brand. We need to use that wisely.
11. After all, New Zealand…
…can do what most of the world can’t do…
farm ruminants on grass without subsidy at a profit…
12. …while much of the world produces milk
and beef from cows and cattle fed on
subsidised grain…
13. Our Vision is to be…..
“A specialist, land-based university that’s a
great place to learn, discover and share”
Splendid at:
• education with a learner centric focus;
• research relevant to that education; and
• thinking that leads firms and agenciess
Feed the World Protect the Future Live Well
14. Four areas of focus:
1. The University
2. Canterbury region
3. New Zealand
4. International
15. 1. The University
• Focus academic programmes on land-based
activities
• Boost student enrolments and care well for them
• Secure more funding for ag and hort degree quals
• Intensify R&D across the whole University
• Renew building infrastructure
• Rebuild select areas of academic capability
• Improve morale through consistent leadership
16. Our degree portfolio
Land & Society
GIS & Environmental Informatics
Maori & Indigenous Environmental Management
Water Management
Landscape Architecture
Tourism Management
Sport & Recreation Management
Environmental Policy & Planning
Agriculture &
Life Science
Environment,
Society &
Design
Business &
Commerce
Lincoln
Feed the World Protect the Future Live Well
Ecology & Conservation
Food Science
Agricultural Science
Land, Water, Environment
Biosecurity & Bioprotection
Viticulture & Oenology
Agritech
Agribusiness & Food Marketing
Agricultural Commerce & ManagementSupply Chain Management & Global Business
Valuation & Property
Marketing Accounting & Finance
Food and Resource Economics
Information Technology
18. 2. Canterbury
• Lead formation of an Agritech Innovation Park
• Co-lead intensification of agriculture
• Co-lead restoration of ecological stability
• Help restore regional confidence
19. 3. New Zealand
• Create the Lincoln Hub (more on that anon)
• Expand our portfolio of education, research and
demonstration farms and orchards
• Work with as many Iwi as possible to improve
performance of Maori-owned assets and
employment of their people, including in leadership
• Backward integrate the Lincwantok scheme into
Auckland Pasifika
• Be driven by outcomes, not outputs
20. 4. Internationally
• Build an International Student Village @ Lincoln
• Develop pasture-based (sub)tropical farming
education and training, R&D, and extension for:
South America
Parts of Asia
Parts of Africa
• Develop powerful international partnerships
22. The Lincoln Hub – why?
• To better increase the rate of
productivity growth whilst improving
ecological diversity and environmental
management
• At regional, national and international
geographies
• These include dairying, sheep, beef, deer,
arable, vegetable, horticultural, tourism
(at least at the University) and at some
stage forestry
23. The Lincoln Hub – who?
A regional collaboration between five founding
partners:
• Lincoln University
• AgResearch
• Landcare Research
• Plant & Food Research
• Dairy NZ
In time, others may join
24. The Lincoln Hub – what?
Significant collaborations that may include:
• Co-ordinated scientific and academic capability
planning and appointments
• Joint investment in equipment and buildings
• Elements of shared services
• CRI scientists teaching undergrad
• Student internships in CRIs and co-located firms
• An Agritech Innovation Park for the private sector
• Accelerated knowledge transfer to land managers
26. The Lincoln Hub – when?
Infrastructure
• AgResearch consulting with staff
• Lincoln in discussions with insurer and
government
Collaboration and organisation
• Areas and means agreed before year’s end
Material achievements will kick off in 2014