Nuclear Threat

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The document discusses the theory of nuclear peace, which argues that nuclear weapons can induce stability and decrease the chances of crisis escalation between countries. It presents arguments that when mutual second-strike capabilities exist between two countries, the costs of war are too high, leading to restraint. Examples provided include stability during the Cold War and peace talks between India and Pakistan. However, critics argue that decision-makers are not always rational and could make hasty decisions leading to nuclear war, or that technological developments could undermine mutual second-strike capabilities.

Nuclear Threat 4 th World War will never happen Presented by: Bharat Jhalani July 2008

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ABSTRACT: There is a consensus among international leaders that proliferation of nuclear weapons and falling of fissile materials into the hands of terrorist groups is a real and present danger. The possible nuclear terrorism presents one of the most serious challenges to international peace and security in the 21st century. The forces of globalization increase the capability of non state actors in terms of technological knowhow, raising funds for terrorist activities, providing training, spreading propaganda etc. The paper studied the possibility of nuclear and fissile material proliferation to terrorist groups after the end of Cold War and the subsequent disintegration of former Soviet Union, the instability in Pakistan and increasing capability of terrorist groups who harboured intention to acquire nuclear weapon, what would happen if terrorist groups like Al Qaeda or ISIS acquires nuclear weapons or have dirty bombs.

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Michael Tyndall I believe that the most probable threat from a foreign terrorist organization (FTO) would be the use of biological agents. "A few kilos of an effectively disseminated BW agent can potentially cause tens to hundreds of thousands of casualties" (Cole, 2010, 73). Many of the biological agents available for FTOs to use require little to no experience handling the agent. If FTOs were to successfully conduct a biological attack, it could cause mass panic within the community, uncertainty, and economic disruption. I believe that it is not because of a lack of trying that a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) has not successfully carried out a biological attack within the country but the technological challenges the organizations face. The effects of a biological attack may not be immediately noticed. Local health care facilities or emergency rooms might be the first to realize there is a biological attack. A biological weapon will definitely be a force multiplier in the psychological on the targeted societies. The pursuit of WMD by FTO and states that sponsor terrorism pose a great threat to our national security and global security. The Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) is a treaty that bans chemical weapons and calls for their destruction within a certain timeline. The goal of the treat is to "eliminate an entire category of weapons of mass destruction by prohibiting the development, production, acquisition, stockpiling, retention, transfer or use of chemical weapons" (OPCW 2016). The treaty also explains that states can posses a small quantity for research, medical or defensive use. FTO could easily exploit fragile or failed states and acquire the materials and resources needed to create a WMD to use in a terrorist attack. Federal government agencies such as the Department of Homeland Security, the National Response Framework (NFR) and The National Incident Management System (NIMS) gives guidance for response and organization of agencies conducting the emergency management. I believe that it is going to take actual events for us to further refine our preparedness. We will never be 100 percent prepared but we need to be more prepared than we are now. Michael Cole, Benjamin. (2010). Changing Face of Terrorism, The: How Real is the Threat from Biological, Chemical and Nuclear Weapons? (1). London, US: I.B.Tauris, 2010. ProQuest ebrary. Web. (accessed 28 Dec 2016). Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons. (2016). Chemical Weapons Convention. https://www.opcw.org/chemical-weapons-convention/. (accessed 28 Dec 2016) . Michael Moratz The future of WMD threats manifests themselves in the past threats. Large stockpiles of nuclear weapons remain and the list of nuclear capable states is expanding although slowly. Despite previous treaties and agreements Russian President Putin announced, “to upgrade his nuclear arsenal (Holehouse, 2015)” and to “this year put 40 new nuclear-armed intercontinental ballis ...

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Nuclear Threat

1. Nuclear Threat 4 th World War will never happen Presented by: Bharat Jhalani July 2008

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Nuclear Threat

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