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MobileTrends,  opportuni1es,  marke1ng
Siim  Teller,  August  2013
Who  is  Siim  Teller?
Tele2
Skype
GrabCAD
FlaAr
On  Device  Research
How  can  I  help  you?
We  use  the  mobile  internet  to  understand  
consumer  opinion  anywhere  in  the  world.
10  million  mobile  surveys
57  countries
Let’s  start  with  people.
Lots  of  people.
There  are  more  Muslims  in  the  circle  than  outside  of  it.  There  are  
more  Hindus  in  the  circle  than  outside  of  it.  There  are  more  
Buddhists  in  the  circle  than  outside  of  it.  There  are  more  communists  
in  the  circle  than  outside  of  it.  
The  circle  pulls  all  of  this  off  while  
being  mostly  water  and  including  the  
most  sparsely  populated  country  on  
earth  (Mongolia).
Source:  United  Na1ons  Popula1on  Division,  July  2013
Age  -­‐  threats  and  
opportuni1es?
Africa’s  popula1on  is  
exploding.
What  will  the  new  
needs  be?
Where  would  you  want  
to  work  /  set  up  your  
business?
Country
Smartphone  subs  
in  millions
%  of  total  subs
Smartphone  subs  
growth  Y/Y
China 354 29% 31%
USA 219 58% 28%
Japan 94 76% 15%
Brazil 70 23% 28%
India 67 6% 52%
UK 43 53% 22%
Indonesia 36 11% 34%
Germany 32 29% 29%
Russia 30 12% 38%
Mexico 21 19% 43%
Philippines 19 18% 34%
Iran 10 10% 40%
Egypt 10 10% 34%
Globally  1.5  billion  
smartphone  subscribers
21%  penetra1on
31%  growth
What  is  a  mobile?
Are  these…?
No  one  has  them  (under  5%  do)
55%  of  smartphone  users  have  
heard  of  them
20%  plan  to  buy  this  year
Over  40%  don’t  know
More  realis1cally…
Mobile  will  become  the  
hub  for  smart  devices
automa1c.com
nest.com
the1leapp.com
PCs  vs  smartphones:  
the  long  view
PCs
Android + iOS
smartphones
1.5B
smartphone
users
5B+  mobile
phone  users
Mobile  =  15-­‐20%  of  
global  internet  traffic  
today.  Will  be  25%  by  
end  of  2014.
What’s  your  top  3  apps?
Es1mates  for  downloaded  apps  
range  from  56  to  82  billion  in  
2013.
App  revenues  $20-­‐25  billion.
700K  of  the  1.2M  apps  
available  for  iPhone,  Android,  
and  Windows  are  zombies
A  zombie…
Never  been  updated
Fewer  than  10  reviews
vs
2370  new  apps  published  a  day
In  the  US  50%  of  app  revenue  
shared  between  just  25  
developers.  All  of  which  (with  the  
excep1on  of  Pandora)  are  
game  developers.
Yet  a  lot  of  companies  are  bemng  
that  more  apps  will  be  built.  BAAS,  
drag-­‐and-­‐drop  app  builders  etc.
Problem  with
apps  is  
discoverability.
Appstores  today  
are  Yahoo  
circa  1997.
What’s  BIG  globally?
Social  -­‐  Facebook,  WeChat,  Line*,  
WhatsApp
Entertainement  -­‐  Youtube,  
games,  Instagram
*  Ever  heard  of  it?  230m  registered  users
We  tend  to  overes1mate  
the  effect  of  a  technology  in  
the  short  run  and  
underes1mate  the  effect  in  
the  long  run.
Amara’s  law
Shit  gets  twice  as  good  
every  2  years.
Moore’s  law
Know  your  local
Mobile-­‐first  and  mobile-­‐only  
internet  users
March  2012  -­‐  38%  Chinese  web  users  
connect  only  with  mobile.  More  than  
50%  web  browsing  from  mobile.
Do  something  different  to  
get  your  app  no1ced.  Do  
Leviathan  Warships  (not  
literally).
siimteller@mac.com
twiAer:  @teller

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