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Metrics, Analytics &
                             Experiments



Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes




Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory




Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory
                      • What are analytics & experimentation?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory
                      • What are analytics & experimentation?
                      • Why are they important




Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory
                      • What are analytics & experimentation?
                      • Why are they important
                      • How do you do them?



Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory
                      • What are analytics & experimentation?
                      • Why are they important
                      • How do you do them?
                     • Practical


Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory
                      • What are analytics & experimentation?
                      • Why are they important
                      • How do you do them?
                     • Practical
                      • Analytics plan
Saturday, 16 February 13
Outcomes
                     • Theory
                      • What are analytics & experimentation?
                      • Why are they important
                      • How do you do them?
                     • Practical
                      • Analytics plan
                      • Experiment plan
Saturday, 16 February 13
Sim on
 Cast
                                     @simo ncast




Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Analytics  Metrics



Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
“
Saturday, 16 February 13
                           ”
“        Measures the state of
                               the product



Saturday, 16 February 13
                                          ”
“What you don’t
                           measure you can’t
                               improve!



Saturday, 16 February 13
                                      ”
Concepts




Saturday, 16 February 13
Concepts

                     • Data points




Saturday, 16 February 13
Concepts

                     • Data points
                     • Segmentation



Saturday, 16 February 13
Concepts

                     • Data points
                     • Segmentation
                     • Funnels


Saturday, 16 February 13
Concepts

                     • Data points
                     • Segmentation
                     • Funnels
                     • Cohorts

Saturday, 16 February 13
Data Points




Saturday, 16 February 13
Data Points


                     • These are the user actions that are
                           measured




Saturday, 16 February 13
Data Points


                     • These are the user actions that are
                           measured
                     • Includes a datetime stamp


Saturday, 16 February 13
Data Points: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
Segmentation




Saturday, 16 February 13
Segmentation
       • Grouping users together
               based on some characteristic
               of the users




Saturday, 16 February 13
Segmentation
       • Grouping users together
               based on some characteristic
               of the users
       • Shows patterns otherwise
               hidden by noise  averages




Saturday, 16 February 13
Segmentation
       • Grouping users together
               based on some characteristic
               of the users
       • Shows patterns otherwise
               hidden by noise  averages
       • Focus on those who are
               most important to you


Saturday, 16 February 13
Segmentation: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
Funnels




Saturday, 16 February 13
Funnels

         • Flow: series of steps users go
                 through




Saturday, 16 February 13
Funnels

         • Flow: series of steps users go
                 through
         • Funnels measure flows



Saturday, 16 February 13
Funnels

         • Flow: series of steps users go
                 through
         • Funnels measure flows
         • Shows where the leakage is
                 in a flow



Saturday, 16 February 13
Funnel: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
Cohorts




Saturday, 16 February 13
Cohorts

                     • Grouping by point in time




Saturday, 16 February 13
Cohorts

                     • Grouping by point in time
                     • How does behaviour change over
                           time?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Cohorts

                     • Grouping by point in time
                     • How does behaviour change over
                           time?
                     • Relative or absolute


Saturday, 16 February 13
Cohorts

                     • Grouping by point in time
                     • How does behaviour change over
                           time?
                     • Relative or absolute
                     • Comparison between cohorts

Saturday, 16 February 13
Cohorts: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Start with a plan




Saturday, 16 February 13
Start with a plan




Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs   Metrics
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs   Metrics
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs   Metrics   Funnel
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs   Metrics   Funnel
            Vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
Product
                           KPIs   Metrics   Funnel
            Vision



                               Data
                              points
Saturday, 16 February 13
Vision



                       “   What is the product
                            suppose to do?


Saturday, 16 February 13
                                          ”
KPIs




Saturday, 16 February 13
KPIs

                     • The KPIs (key performance indicators) are
                           derived from the product vision




Saturday, 16 February 13
KPIs

                     • The KPIs (key performance indicators) are
                           derived from the product vision
                     • Need to take into account at what stage
                           your product is




Saturday, 16 February 13
KPI: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
KPI: Example


                     • Dollar value of checkouts



Saturday, 16 February 13
KPI: Example


                     • Dollar value of checkouts
                     • Number of documents stored


Saturday, 16 February 13
Metrics

                     • Represents the KPIs
                     • What can be manipulated to influence the
                           KPIs
                     • Calculated from multiple data points


Saturday, 16 February 13
Metrics




Saturday, 16 February 13
Metrics

                     • Quantitative




Saturday, 16 February 13
Metrics

                     • Quantitative
                     • Comparative



Saturday, 16 February 13
Metrics

                     • Quantitative
                     • Comparative
                     • Actionable


Saturday, 16 February 13
Metrics: Example


                     • Average checkout value
                     • New documents per day


Saturday, 16 February 13
Flows  Funnels

                     • Focus on the flows that directly effect the
                           metrics
                     • What data represents each step in the
                           flow?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Funnel: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
Data Points

                     • What makes up metrics
                     • What makes up funnels
                     • Achievable
                     • Segments

Saturday, 16 February 13
Data Points: Example
                     • Number of new visitors
                     • Number who register
                     • Number who reach each step of the
                     • Value of each checkout chart
                     • Number of checkouts
                     • Number of documents uploaded
Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation




Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation


                     • Record the data points being collected



Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation


                     • Record the data points being collected
                     • In-house versus 3rd party


Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation: Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation: Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation: Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation: Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Implementation: Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Experimentation



Saturday, 16 February 13
Why  What?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Why  What?

                     • Apply scientific method to get a better
                           product




Saturday, 16 February 13
Why  What?

                     • Apply scientific method to get a better
                           product
                     • Test different assumptions made about the
                           product




Saturday, 16 February 13
Why  What?

                     • Apply scientific method to get a better
                           product
                     • Test different assumptions made about the
                           product
                     • Test different variations to see what effects
                           the KPIs



Saturday, 16 February 13
How?




Saturday, 16 February 13
How?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
The planning process




Saturday, 16 February 13
The planning process

                     • Question




Saturday, 16 February 13
The planning process

                     • Question
                     • Hypothesis



Saturday, 16 February 13
The planning process

                     • Question
                     • Hypothesis
                     • Experiment to test hypothesis


Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Question

                     • Related to KPIs and assumptions about the
                           product
                     • How to increase y?
                     • Why is x so?
                     • Is z assumption true?

Saturday, 16 February 13
Question: Example


                           Why is the conversion rate on the landing
                           page 10% and not 30%?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis

                     • Proposed reason or explanation for a
                           phenomena




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis

                     • Proposed reason or explanation for a
                           phenomena
                     • An answer to the question or explanation
                           of the question




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis

                     • Proposed reason or explanation for a
                           phenomena
                     • An answer to the question or explanation
                           of the question
                     • Testable with independent variable that can
                           be controlled and a dependent variable that
                           can be measured

Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Example

                     • The call to action button should be red
                     • The message is not clear about the value of
                           registering
                     • There are too many different call-to-actions
                           on the page



Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Structure




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Structure

                     • IF I water the plants THEN the plants will
                           grow




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Structure

                     • IF I water the plants THEN the plants will
                           grow
                     • IF I don’t water the plants THEN the plants
                           will not grow




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Example




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Example
                     • IF the call to action button is red THEN
                           the number of people registering will
                           increase




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Example
                     • IF the call to action button is red THEN
                           the number of people registering will
                           increase
                     • IF we change the copy explaining the value
                           of registering THEN the number of
                           people registering will go up




Saturday, 16 February 13
Hypothesis: Example
                     • IF the call to action button is red THEN
                           the number of people registering will
                           increase
                     • IF we change the copy explaining the value
                           of registering THEN the number of
                           people registering will go up
                     • IF we remove all but one call-to-action on
                           the page THEN the number of people
                           registering will increase
Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment




Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment

                     • Type




Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment

                     • Type
                     • Control



Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment

                     • Type
                     • Control
                     • Variant(s)


Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment

                     • Type
                     • Control
                     • Variant(s)
                     • Goal

Saturday, 16 February 13
Variants


                     • Flow from the hypothesis
                     • They are the independent variable in the
                           hypothesis




Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment: Example


                           IF the call to action button is red THEN the
                           number of people registering will increase




Saturday, 16 February 13
Goals


                     • Flow from hypothesis
                     • The data point that is expected to change


Saturday, 16 February 13
Experiment: Example


                           IF the call to action button is red THEN
                           the number of people registering will increase




Saturday, 16 February 13
Types




Saturday, 16 February 13
Types

                     • A/B Test




Saturday, 16 February 13
Types

                     • A/B Test
                     • Split URL



Saturday, 16 February 13
Types

                     • A/B Test
                     • Split URL
                     • Multivariate


Saturday, 16 February 13
A/B
                      A (control)         B (variant)


                                    vs




Saturday, 16 February 13
Split URL




Saturday, 16 February 13
Mulitvariate




Saturday, 16 February 13
Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment




Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results




Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results
                     • Segment the traffic




Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results
                     • Segment the traffic
                     • Traffic (random split to remove bias)



Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results
                     • Segment the traffic
                     • Traffic (random split to remove bias)
                     • How long to run?


Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results
                     • Segment the traffic
                     • Traffic (random split to remove bias)
                     • How long to run?
                     • Who to test?

Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results
                     • Segment the traffic
                     • Traffic (random split to remove bias)
                     • How long to run?
                     • Who to test?
                     • Test well - don’t take short cuts
Saturday, 16 February 13
Running Experiment
                     • Record the experiments  results
                     • Segment the traffic
                     • Traffic (random split to remove bias)
                     • How long to run?
                     • Who to test?
                     • Test well - don’t take short cuts
                     • Negative result
Saturday, 16 February 13
Closing the Loop




Saturday, 16 February 13
Closing the Loop
                     • What do these results mean for the
                           product  development prioritisation?




Saturday, 16 February 13
Closing the Loop
                     • What do these results mean for the
                           product  development prioritisation?
                     • Why did I get these results? or,



Saturday, 16 February 13
Closing the Loop
                     • What do these results mean for the
                           product  development prioritisation?
                     • Why did I get these results? or,
                      • Why didn’t I get the results expected?


Saturday, 16 February 13
Closing the Loop
                     • What do these results mean for the
                           product  development prioritisation?
                     • Why did I get these results? or,
                      • Why didn’t I get the results expected?
                     • Revamp priorisation  produce the next
                           set of experiments


Saturday, 16 February 13
Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Tools




Saturday, 16 February 13
Caveat




Saturday, 16 February 13
Caveat




Saturday, 16 February 13

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