We live in a world where the development of new technologies is quickly accelerating the rise of new products and services in a continuous and unstoppable evolutionary roadmap.
Still, in an unpredictable way, disruptive innovations can quickly change the status quo, putting together all the small evolutionary changes happening and stepping up to a new level of experience. How can we predict this big evolutionary jump and be prepared for future possibilities not yet considered?
The key answer is always to look back at our users, and starting from the traditional design thinking approach, experience designers can use future casting frameworks to envision speculative words to investigate alternative future scenarios to storyboard and validate possibile concept design solutions.
Rather than trying to predict the future, starting from the understanding of current consumer habits, designers will create multiple possible scenarios for what the future might look like, and for each envision the right concept design. Experience forecasting for each predicted scenario, through design will help designers to identify the key characteristics and gain/pain points of the future customer experience and translate them in storyboards to describe the vision concept interactions in the predicted context.
In this talk you will understand the basic rules of future trends creations and the future casting framework behind the concept design envisioning: from the initial ideation moments to refine the concept ideas to identify the key experience moments and sketch a vision storyboard. Finally a reflection on the fundamental value of future casting work as a mindset to support innovation and guiding companies towards user centered north star experiences that makes our future better and more human and less a dystopian scenario taken from fictional Sci-fi movies.
Key learnings:
• Future casting methodologies and design framework
• Concept vision and storyboarding
• Ideas validation and future scenario planning
7. Many of this innovation showed us the “product user
stories” before being invented for real, exploring
how they improve people lives.
Videocall
Face to face
human interaction
Natural Interface
Interact with software
without controllers
VR/AR
Metaverse worlds to
expand physical abilities
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
8. If movies or design come
fi
rst is a dif
fi
cult answer.
Shaping speculative visions is what companies needs
to imagine future product design that works.
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
9. Capturing trends. How to it well
Shape a vision and make it real
Roadmapping the future today
Lesson learned
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
13. From Double Diamond to Future casting framework
Damien Lutz & Future Thieving https://uxdesign.cc/future-thieving-2-speculative-design-methods-tools-45b655096d95
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
14. Tech
Disruptions
Experience
Disruptions
Business
Disruptions
Future State 1
Future State 2
Future State 3
USER NEEDS
AND TRENDS
DISRUPTIONS,
PROVOCATIONS AND
EVENTS
FUTURE STATES,
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES,
POSITION STATEMENTS AND
SCENARIO STORYBOARDS
Position Statement
Needs, Trends,
Behaviors
Position Statement
Position Statement
Opportunities
Opportunities
Opportunities
Position Statement
Position Statement
Position Statement
Vision
Capture
frog Design work
fl
ow from post it to vision capturing
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
15. on a different scale (reframing the position)
the design process can be applied to investigate
the space of the problem of possible future needs.
Future opportunities are a design problems
that need to be investigated.
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
16. It’s not about
predicting the future.
It’s about engaging with
possible future scenarios,
in order to gain actual
human insights.
De
fi
ning future trajectories
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
17. Future trajectory design tools
https://oecd-opsi.org/toolkits/actionable-futures-toolkit/
http://situationlab.org/project/the-thing-from-the-future/
The Thing
from the Future
Magazine
From the Future
• Card game
• Collaborative & competitive
• Product centric focused
• Crafted artifacts
• Context generating
• Trends & User focused
Actionable
Futures toolkit
• Extensive modular set
• Designed for workshop & group work
• Focused on Organization evolution
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18. 1. Analyze market trends & current user needs
2. Describe future events and de
fi
ne future trajectories
3. Re
fi
ne future opportunity areas
4. Start sketching raw ideas for each opportunities
Framework recap
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21. Setting a north star vision
Shaping an idea is a continuous process that needs
many iterations cycles for making it in focus
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
22. From scattered ideas to a concept vision.
Using scenario as a tool to describe
alternative ways the external
environment might develop in the future
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
23. Explore the details
Analyze problems & constrains. Re
fi
ne ideas and
explore all the details to make it possible
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24. A. Detailing the cross touchpoint
end to end customer journey in his
future day in the life scenario
A day in the life of future scenario. How might it be?
01 02 03 04
OPPORTUNITIES
www.servicedesigntools.org
TOOLS | JOURNEY MAP PERSONAS
TOUCHPOINTS
PHASES
B. De
fi
ning how the multiple
touchpoint (devices / actors /
services) are supporting the overall
journey for cross devices seamless
experience
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26. Key aspects of future scenario creation
Context
of Use
Behavioural
Archetypes
Market
Trends
Human
Needs
Technology
evolution
Prototype
experience
Combining together strategical thinking and human centred design approach
to generate and visualise the core important aspect of future scenarios
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27. Storytelling: communicating it right!
A clear
scenario
fl
ow
simulation
A humanized story
to emphasise with
while watching
A strong connection
with technology
opportunity
A strong connection
with business insights
on market evolution
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30. Short, mid and long terms trajectories
Backcasting from a co-created future vision creates a "transition pathway" along which new and existing projects can be
connected and situated as "steps" in a long transition toward the desired future. Source: T. Irwin, G. Kossoff, C.Tonkinwise
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31. Building from now to next and…
From B to A setting the vision target of the
vision, according to the selected possibile
future trajectory
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32. …reverse mapping: backcasting key factors of changes
C. Creating progressive POC of possible future
technology to be implemented in short term to
simulate core attributes of future experiences
D. Transition from vertical POC to initial
MVP design and progressive versioning to
the
fi
nal expected future experience vision
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33. Break the vision to the MVP
An MVP, in all his versions should always maintain the
core emotional aspects that create a compelling
experience for the
fi
nal users
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
34. Keep the emotional aspect of the vision at the heart!
DESIGN
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS STRATEGY
HUMAN
EXPERIENCES
Always our future
users at the center of
future vision design
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37. 1.
SPECULATIVE DESIGN
PROCESS IS, OVERALL,
A JOURNEY OF DISCOVERY.
A Speculative Designer (you, for instance)
navigates through the two speculative
diamonds hunting for traces of the future,
imagining its evolution, and producing and
experiencing pieces of it.
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38. 2.
IT PROVIDES A HANDS-ON
APPROACH TO CHALLENGE
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS
ABOUT THE FUTURE.
Every Designer should approach the future
challenges as real ones, transforming hypothetical
opportunity areas in real design projects
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future
39. 3.
IT HELPS YOU TO IDENTIFY
YOUR CLIENT’S POTENTIAL
AND HELP THEM
RESPOND TO CHANGE.
An organisation should embrace the future
design methodology in a recurring approach,
preparing the company to future changes and
adapting current product design evolution.
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40. 4.
GUIDING TECHNOLOGY
IN WHAT NEEDS TO BE
DEVELOPED FIRST
Engineer or technologists should be strongly involved in
future design thinking approach to support designers in
better connecting technology aspects and roadmapping them
to create a possible path to an MVP
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41. 5.
ENGAGE THE BUSINESS,
AND LET THEM DISCOVER
THE VALUE OF PRODUCT
EXPERIENCE ROADMAPPING
Product managers and business unit are at the heart
of future casting being aware of the evolutionary
trends of society and adapting dynamically their
products core value proposition over time
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42. 1.
SPECULATIVE
DESIGN PROCESS
IS, OVERALL,
A JOURNEY OF
DISCOVERY.
2.
IT PROVIDES A HANDS-
ON APPROACH TO
CHALLENGE YOUR
ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT
THE FUTURE.
3.
IT HELPS YOU TO
IDENTIFY YOUR
CLIENT’S POTENTIAL
AND HELP THEM
RESPOND TO CHANGE.
4.
GUIDING
TECHNOLOGY
IN WHAT NEEDS TO
BE DEVELOPED
FIRST
5.
ENGAGE THE BUSINESS,
AND LET THEM DISCOVER
THE VALUE OF PRODUCT
EXPERIENCE
ROADMAPPING
6.
ENJOY THE JOURNEY
AND MAKE EMOTIONAL
EXPERIENCE DESIGNED
FOR HUMANS
5 Lessons learned + 1 suggestion
+
ConveyUX 2022 | Design for the Future