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The International Financial Crisis The Fall – 2008 The slides – into recession! [How long will it last?]
Accountability A well regulated community or business entity, being necessary to the security of a free society, the right of the people to keep informed and to be armed with bare facts, shall not be infringed. US Constitution, Second Amendment [Amended]
The Life of a Turkey TIME SUSTAINING ACTIVITY Thanksgiving Day FORMULA  FEED
The Life of a Financial Market Place TIME SUSTAINING ACTIVITY T FORMULA for GROWTH & PROFIT A BLACK SWAN! CORPORATIONS HOUSES MORTGAGES BONDS STOCKS INVESTMENTS DERIVATIVES (CDOs, CDSs & CMOs) BANKERS’ FEES COMMISSIONS PROFITS If things cannot go on for ever, they will eventually and inevitably STOP!  [Herbert Stein – Chairman, President Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisors and Professor of Economics at the University of Virginia]
The Life of the Financial  Market Place – A Black Swan! An event or occurrence that  deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and that would be extremely difficult to predict .  This term was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a finance professor and former  Wall Street   trader.
The Corporate Crisis [A Massive Shift of Financial Power] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crown Water Company [High Interest Rates & Increasing Debt/Equity Ratio] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The computer room at King's College Cambridge, is named after Alan Turing, a student there in 1931 and a Fellow in 1935 Computers – fathered by Turing - are now ubiquitous, notably in  accounting, finance and investment .
Mapping the Future [County of Cambridgeshire UK.] [What has This to do With Anything?] Alan Turing , father of computers, went to King’s College, Cambridge, England
The International Financial Crisis The Fall - 2008 Newmarket Six Mile Bottom Cambridge
The Crash @ Six Mile Bottom - 1954!! Type: English Electric Canberra B.2 Operator: RAF 231 OCU Registration: WD981 C/n / msn: 71051 Fatalities: Fatalities: 3 / Occupants: 3 Airplane damage: Written off (damaged beyond repair) Location: .5 mile W of  Six Mile Bottom, Newmarket , Cambridgeshire, England
After The Crash: We shall need a New Market! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
After The Crash: We shall need a New Market! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
After The Crash: We shall need a New Market! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
After The Crash: We shall need a New Market! ,[object Object],[object Object]
The International Financial Crisis Telling  “Slides!”  – 2008 From The Washington Post [Next 10 slides are © The Washington Post]
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post From The Washington Post [Next 7 slides are © The Washington Post]
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
THE FALLING DARKNESS
THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
© The Washington Post
Marketplace Myths (1) Government is, always and everywhere: wasteful, spendthrift, incompetent,  inefficient, uneconomical and ineffective Business is, always and everywhere: ethical, frugal, thrifty, competent,  efficient, economical and effective Private enterprise can, always and everywhere, operate more efficiently and effectively than a public enterprise. Excuse Me?
Marketplace Myths (2) The commercial market-place can, always and everywhere:  allocate resources more efficiently than governments . There is no market failure. Always and everywhere, there is only governmental interference, together with policy and regulatory failure. [Even Federal Reserve ex-Chairman, Alan Greenspan does not believe this any more!]
"Adam Smith" Economics  or   "Adam's Myth" Economics? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
"Adam Smith" Economics or Neo-comics? Enron, WorldCom, etc. Madoff The US Economy The Global Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Efficiency & Ethics The pseudo-science of economics and the myth of unconstrained economic efficiency. Economics – like  tanks  and  banks  – does not care whom it helps and whom it hurts!
Efficiency & Ethics The military tank is a marvel of science and technology. Like the “science” of economics, it very efficiently ( but indiscriminately ) controls, supports, kills, wounds, destroys & damages.
Hungary:  Soviet Military Intervention - 1956 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hungary:  IMF Financial Intervention - 2008 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Weapons of Violence: Tanks or Banks? “ Violence is not just about bombing or shooting or hitting people.  Violence is any way we have of violating the integrity of the other . Racism and sexism are violence. Derogatory labeling of any sort constitutes violence. Rendering other people invisible or irrelevant is an act of violence. So is  manipulating people towards our ends as if they were objects that existed only to serve our purposes .” © Parker Palmer: Repossessing Virtue – Economic Crisis, Morality and Virtue
Economic Efficiency: Tanks or Banks? “ [The man of system] seems to imagine that he can arrange the different numbers of a great society with as much ease as the hand arranges the different pieces of a chess-board; he does not consider that the pieces of a chess-board have no other principle of motion besides that which the hand impresses on them; but that, in the great chess-board of human society,  every single piece has a principle of motion of its own , different from that which the legislature might seem to impress on it.”  [Adam Smith: The Theory of Moral Sentiments]  
“ Marxist" Economics  or   “Capitalist" Economics? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Predatory Bank ,[object Object]
Cut-throat Competition “ We worshiped in the temple of cut-throat competition, and so some cooked the books, because the treasure is so great .”  [Archbishop Tutu]
Davos Finds no Answers to Crisis [The World Economic Forum] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alan Greenspan and Adam Smith "I made a mistake," Greenspan said, "in presuming that  the self-interests of organizations , specifically banks and others, were such as that  they were best capable  of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms.”  [a.k.a. “I refute Adam Smith!”] [* Lying to Congress is a felony] “ It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but  from their regard to their own interest.... “ ....He  intends only his own gain , and he is in this as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand*  to promote an end which was no part of his intention . Nor is it always the worse for society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it.”  [Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations”] US Senate Banking Committee*
Actually, Alan Greenspan Missed the Point!  Adam Smith Knew Better! Read it again, this time with different emphasis: “ It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.... “ ....He intends only his own gain, and he is in this  as in  many other  cases , led by an invisible hand* to promote an end which was no part of his intention.  Nor is it always  the worse for society  that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest  he  frequently  promotes  that of the society more effectually  than  when he really intends  to promote it.”  [Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations”]
Actually, Adam Smith Knew Better! “… as in  many other  cases…”:  BUT – NOT in ALL of them! .  “… Nor is it always  the worse for society…”:  BUT – sometimes – it IS!  “… he  frequently  promotes…”:  BUT – sometimes – he does NOT!   “… than  when he really intends  to promote it…”  BUT – not, always, when he really does NOT so intend! [Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations”]
The Standard Neoclassical Economic Model “ I argue that the first fundamental theorem of welfare economics - asserting the efficiency of competitive markets -  is fundamentally flawed . Quite contrary to that theorem, competitive economies  are almost never efficient...”     Joseph E. Stiglitz - Whither Socialism (2001 Nobel Laureate in Economics) Extracted from: “ Adam’s Myth Economics” A Slide Show, by David C. Jones
THE CRASH:  What Went Wrong - Frenzy When the housing market began to tank in 2005, Wall Street ran through the yellow light of caution and created even riskier investments – and Washington had no mechanism for finding out what was going on. [© Washington Post: 16 December, 2008]
What Went Wrong? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regulation of Derivatives (1a) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regulation of Derivatives (1b) Many newer derivatives weren't traded on an exchange, constituting what some traders call the "dark markets." There were now millions of such private contracts, involving many of Wall Street's top firms.  But there was  no clearinghouse  holding collateral, to settle a deal gone bad,  no transparent records  of who was trading what. Born wanted to shine a light into the dark.…she now wanted to open a formal discussion about whether to regulate them -- and if so, how. Greenspan, Rubin and Levitt  were determined  to derail her effort . At a meeting, in April, 1998, the trio's message was clear:  “ Back off, Born!”
Regulation of Derivatives (1c) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regulation of Derivatives (1d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The  near collapse  of Long Term Capital Management   The Federal Reserve was  TERRIFIED! Question : As a result, how much was done, by regulation or investigation, to prevent a recurrence? Answer : On a scale of 1 to 10 - Nothing!
Regulation of Derivatives (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accountability Investors in and Sellers of Mortgage-backed Securities (Derivatives): “ We were intending to use Arthur Andersen to help us to prepare our financial statements. “ But, after “Waste Management Incorporated” and “Enron,” Andersen went out of business!”
Accountability Investors in and Sellers of Mortgage-backed Securities (Derivatives): “ We used three “reputable”  (??)  credit-rating agencies, to value our investments”: “ Sub -Standard and  Very- Poor”;  “ Very  Moody ”  and  “Fi l ch  Ratings ”
Accountability – Credit Rating Agencies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accountability – Credit Rating Agencies  [Perverse Incentives - A Metaphor from School]  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accountability – Credit Rating Agencies ANSWER? Not very much, apparently!   As part of a new set of rules adopted today, the Securities and Exchange Commission will prohibit credit rating agencies from helping to structure the same financial products they rate. Raters become the first industry to be handed new regulations as a result of the credit crisis.  [CFO Magazine – CFO.com – 4 Dec. 2008]
Accountability – Credit Rating Agencies ANSWER? Not very much, apparently   ,[object Object],[object Object]
Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (2008)   [ Bailout of the U.S. financial system] ,[object Object],[object Object],QUESTION?
The Market for Lemons (Asymmetrical Information) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Accountability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TRANSPARENCY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],S = f (P 4 Q + P 3 Q + P 2 Q + PQ + P) Where: “S” represents a degree of total satisfaction and symbols “P” and “Q” designate inputs, necessary to achieve this satisfaction
TRANSPARENCY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INTERNAL & EXTERNAL CONTROLS Price of Inputs Purpose Quantity of Inputs Questioning Capacity Pay Inputs Expenditure Permission Prestige Quality of inputs Productivity Probity Publicity Procedures Questing Intensity Power Production Characteristics   of   Activity
ECONOMIC COMPUTATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object]
FULL DISCLOSURE ACCOUNTABILITY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with standards for “Financial Reporting and Accounting for Un-priceble Derivatives” (FRAUD). “Therefore,  using “Creatively Regulated Accounting Practices” (CRAP) we hereby certify that  these  financial statements represent a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the company, as at the date of the balance sheet and of the activities for the year then ended.  Arthur Underhand and Company  Certified Public Accountants (Retired) Accountability [Model Financial Reporting Statement]
… viewing the financial world from an evolutionary perspective argues for weeding out what the political scientist Joseph Schumpeter called "the hopelessly unadapted" -- and quickly… …"The experience [ of Japan in the 1990s ]," Ferguson comments, "stands as a warning to legislators and regulators that an entire banking sector can become a kind of economic dead hand if institutions are propped up, despite underperformance,  and bad debts are not written off . "  [emphasis added] Shelby Coffey III: Review of “The Ascent of Money”: Niall Ferguson © Washington Post (Book World) Nov. 30, 2008. Accountability [Credible Financial Reporting]
Responsible and Accountable Activities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accountability “ Fair Value Accounting is causing a large part of the problem at this moment…” Steve Bartlett, President and CEO Financial Services Roundtable Testimony to:  U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee 18 November, 2008
Fair Value Accounting David C. Jones, CPFA, FCCA, had heard this statement, when listening to his car radio. He was so astonished that he nearly crashed into a tree! (Not believing his ears, he later needed to verify it from the C-SPAN web-site, which carried the hearing of the US House of Representatives Financial Services Committee!)
Regulator Let IndyMac Bank Falsify Report   [Agency Didn't Enforce Its Rules, Inquiry Finds] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regulator Let IndyMac Bank Falsify Report ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The English Common Law: Fraud ,[object Object],[object Object]
An English Common [F]law: Fraud ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
To be..or not to be? That is the question [William Shakespeare (1564 – 1616)   [British economist] ] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expensive Fancy Funerals [Ashes to ashes; dust to dust] We brought nothing into this world and it is certain that we can carry nothing out! The Lord gave and the Lord hath taken away. Blessed be the name of the Lord! [BCP: 1662] [Robert Peston:  BBC News]
Accounting A quote, from Ken Wagstaffe, a British professional colleague, and fellow accountant, who wrote a paper, about this kind of thing: "......it is based on some completely and fundamentally wrong notions about what accounting is.  The level of ignorance about accounting is breathtaking. "
Fundamental Accounting Rule ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fundamental Accounting Rule (Corollary) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ I’m as mad as Hell and I’m not going to take this any more” [David C. Jones: Chartered Public Finance Accountant; Chartered Certified Accountant (UK)]
Fair Value Accounting “ Forgetting all dishonesty, let us speak the truth to our neighbour, for we are all members of one another.” Letter of Paul to the Ephesians [The Christian New Testament ] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Give just measure and weight, nor withhold from the people the things that are their due.”  [The Holy Quran]. 
Accounting Standards and Principles [Unhealthy Financial Statements –  Based on an English Prayer from 1662*] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fair Value Accounting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accounting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The “Churchill Chart” of Accounts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fundamental Accountability Requirements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Churchill Chart TRADING MANUFACTURE OR OPERATING ACCOUNT PROFIT AND LOSS ------------------------- INCOME AND EXPENDITURE NET EARNINGS ------------------------- GENERAL FUND SURPLUS EXPENSES CASH AND BANK DEPRECIATION OR CAPITAL  FINANCING  RESERVE -------------------------- FIXED ASSETS STOCK  OF GOODS AND MATERIALS SALES -------------------------- REVENUE INCOME SPECIAL FUNDS -------------------------- PROVISION FOR EXPENSES MONETARY INVESTMENT DEBTORS (RECEIVABLES) CAPITAL  & RESERVES  (INCLUDING  FIXED ASSET REVALUATION) 12 11 7 5 3 20 16 8 25 13 10 26 14 9 24 19 1 2 2 1 4 8 4 9 5 6 23 23 15 17 22 6 6 14 12 13 10 3 6 7 18 21 11 27 28 27 28 NOT ALL THERE IS  TO IT
Churchill Chart – Production v. Financing TRADING MANUFACTURE OR OPERATING CASH AND BANK FIXED ASSETS -------------------------- DEPRECIATION STOCK OF GOODS AND MATERIALS SALES -------------------------- REVENUE INCOME RECEIVEABLES & INVESTMENTS EXPENSES PROFITS & LOSSES EQUITY  CAPITAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (& MISMANAGEMENT)  PRODUCTION SELLING & MARKETING EARNINGS
The Neutrality of  Investment, Credit & Lending [“Finance]… is but a walking shadow, a poor player that struts and frets his hour upon the stage and then is heard no more: it is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.“ (Shakespeare) A MONETARY INVESTMENT  (ASSET) IS ANOTHER’S DEBT (LIABILITY): RECEIVEABLES & INVESTMENTS
Financial Services I  keep six  honest  serving-men (They taught me all I knew); Their names are What and Why and When  And How and Where and Who.   I send them over land and sea,   I send them east and west;   But after they have worked for me,   I give them all a rest. [ Rudyard Kipling] Finance is merely serving-men (To show us what is due); Their names are What and Why and When  And How and Where and Who.   I send  it  over land and sea,   I send  it  east and west;   But after  it  has worked for me,   I give MYSELF the rest!
Financial Services I keep six honest serving-men (They taught me all I knew); Their names are What and Why and When  And How and Where and Who.   I send them over land and sea,   I send them east and west;   But after they have worked for me,   I give them all a rest. [Rudyard Kipling]
Financial Services Finance is merely serving-men (To show us what is due); Their names are What and Why and When  And How and Where and Who.   I send  it  over land and sea,   I send  it  east and west;   But after  it  has worked for me,   I give MYSELF the rest!
KEYS TO SYMBOLS
KEYS TO SYMBOLS
Accounting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economics and Accounting ,[object Object],[object Object]
POSITIVE [ Δ &  ]  AND NEGATIVE [  ] RESOURCES [ASSETS AND LIABILITIES] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Diminished Power of Money ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Money and banking:  Resources §  or Results? * “ Granted, you are the clearing house of the world [but] are you entirely beyond anxiety as to the permanence of your great position?...Banking is  not  the  creator  of our prosperity, but is the  creation  of it. It is  not  the  cause  of our wealth § , but it is the  consequence *   of our wealth.” [Joseph Chamberlain (British colonial secretary):  statement to bankers – 1904] *   §   “An accountant records and interprets, in money values, the results of variations during any period of time, at the end of which he can balance  Net Results *  (of past operations) against Net Resources §  (available for future operations)”.  [David C. Jones]
[PRINTING MONEY!] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[INFLATION – WITH “PRINTED” MONEY!] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A MONETARY INVESTMENT – & DEBT – TRANSFER  [ Δ &  ]  IS A ZERO-SUM GAME?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Robinson Crusoe” Economics – Main Street ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Robinson Crusoe” Economics – Main Street ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Robinson Crusoe” Economics – The Rent-seeker ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The “Folk Theorem” or “Folk Fable” of the “Free Market” Economics of Adam Smith Adam Smith  also  wrote (implying  major and fundamental aspects  of market inefficiency and failure, through the tendency towards monopoly): “ People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy to raise prices”  and “ ....to widen the market and to narrow the competition, is always the interest of the dealers.....an order of men, whose interest is never exactly the same with that of the public, and who accordingly have, upon many occasions, both deceived and oppressed it.”
“ Robinson Crusoe” Biblical Economic Capitalism ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ The October Revolution”  “I’m as mad as Hell and I’m not going to take this any more” [Man Friday and Friends]
Biblical Economic Capitalism [Psalm 23 – KJV] Psalmist’s Prophecy Application Thou shalt prepare a table before me Table of toxic derivatives & bad debts Against them that trouble me Sub-prime mortgages [ and  the accounting profession – re “fair value accounting!”] Thou annointest my head with oil Traders in oil futures And my cup shall be full Corporate chief executives But thy loving-kindness and mercy shall follow me all the days of my life Recipients of corporate redundancy and retirement packages.
“ Robinson Crusoe” Economics –  Wall Street! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Phantom” Economics –  Wall Street! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Phantom” Finance –  Wall Street! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Phantom” Finance –  Wall Street! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FIDDLING – WITH CASH – WHILST ROME – REAL ASSETS – BURNS!
A “Folk Theorem” or “Folk Fable”  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Folk Fable” Mitigation “ The  PRIVATE SECTOR  (in capitals, out of “Due Reverence”) knows better than the government how to produce goods and services that the public “needs.” So  ”cut taxes and reduce government spending!”  (Common political “anti-tax” rhetoric)
The (Former) Colonial Version of Trade The (Modern) Reverse-Colonial Version of Trade  The colonial powers – notably Britain; Netherlands; France; Portugal; Spain. – traded trinkets with, e.g. Indians; Chinese; Africans; Native Americans, in exchange for (real) gold, silver, spices and other items of wealth. The former colonial, colonized and other, powers – notably USA; Canada; Australasia; Western Europe; and, Japan. – buy trinkets and toys (including economy cars; computers; electronics; etc., from e.g. The: Indian sub-continentals; Chinese; Koreans; Malaysians; and, many others, in exchange for (valuable)  Foreign Exchange Reserves
The Former (Hollywood) Version  of  Bank Robbery “ Hand over the money – or we’ll shoot!” [Bank Robbers – armed with  guns ] ________________ The Modern (Woolly-head) Version  of Bank Grabbery “ Hands out for our money – or we’ll shout!” [U.S. Treasury Department – armed with  tons  (of money)]
U.S. Treasury – Handing Out Bail-out Money ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fiscal Management in the USA:  A Taxing Responsibility BILL MOYERS:  "Time" magazine this week says that while no one is looking, Congress and the IRS  have been quietly changing the tax code to lower corporate taxes for years to come . Are they receiving bailout money through the front door while they're getting tax breaks and other privileges through the backdoor?  EMMA COLEMAN JORDAN:  That's a change which was done at the Department of Treasury  without statutory authorization  to do it.  BILL MOYERS:  They did it arbitrarily?  EMMA COLEMAN JORDAN:  They did it on their own, with  no consultation with Congress to get permission for this change , since it was absolutely antithetical to the statutory requirement. And I've looked at the comments of tax specialists. I'm not a tax specialist. But the  tax specialists say this is unheard of and clearly in violation of the statute  which protects the Treasury by not allowing banks that acquire failing banks to get the benefit of the losses of the failed bank and carry those losses over for the benefit of the acquiring bank.  [© Bill Moyers’ Journal – PBS-TV: 12 December, 2008]
Fiscal Management in the USA: A Taxing Responsibility ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BALANCE SHEETS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],c ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],c ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],c c GLOSSARY CAP = EQUITY CAPITAL PP&E = PROPERTY, PLANT & EQUIPMENT C&I = CASH & INVENTORY INV = MONETARY INVESTMENT LOAN = LONG-TERM LOANS & SIMILAR A MONETARY INVESTMENT  (ASSET) IS ANOTHER’S DEBT (LIABILITY): A MONETARY INVESTMENT  (ASSET) IS ANOTHER’S DEBT (LIABILITY):
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS c PRODUCTIVE  ASSETS ADD TO CAPITAL
PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],C  c c ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],C  c c ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],C  c c ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],C  c c GLOSSARY CAP = EQUITY CAPITAL PP&E = PROPERTY, PLANT & EQUIPMENT C&I = CASH & INVENTORY INT- = INTEREST PAYABLE INT+ = INTEREST RECEIVABLE PRODUCTIVE  ASSETS GENERATE REAL INCOME ONE’S OWN INTEREST  PAYABLE  IS ANOTHER’S  INTEREST  RECEIVABLE
CONSOLIDATED  PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNTS c CAP = EQUITY CAPITAL PPE = PROPERTY, PLANT & EQUIPMENT C&I  = CASH & INVENTORY INT  -  = INTEREST PAYABLE (CANCELLED AGAINST INTEREST RECEIVABLE) INT + = INTEREST RECEIVABLE (CANCELLED AGAINST INTEREST PAYABLE) PRODUCTIVE  ASSETS GENERATE REAL INCOME
NET GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PPE = PROPERTY, PLANT & EQUIPMENT (PRODUCING FOR LOCAL OR EXPORT)* [* IF OWNED BY FOREIGN RESIDENTS, THIS WILL GAIN FOREIGN CURRENCY, IN EXCHANGE FOR LOSS OF OWNERSHIP AND/OR CONTROL] C&I  = CASH & INVENTORY (FOR DOMESTIC USE, TO BUY FOREIGN EXCHANGE,  OR FOR DEBT SERVICE (DOMESTIC OR FOREIGN) INVEST = FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN NON-DOMESTIC ASSETS LOANS = LOANS FROM FOREIGN SOURCES (PRIVATE AND PUBLIC SECTORS) (LOANS) = NET FOREIGN DEBT POSITION OF THE DOMESTIC ECONOMY: [( ) = < 0] CONS = FINAL (DOMESTIC) CONSUMPTION OF GOODS AND SERVICES [CONS* =  ONLY  CONSUMPTION BY FOREIGN RESIDENTS CAN BE USED TO BUY  FOREIGN EXCHANGE, [OR] FOR DEBT SERVICE ON FOREIGN DEBT] “ PRODUCTIVE”   ASSETS NET FOREIGN DEBT GOODS FOR USE/EXPORT  & CONSUMPTION  DOMESTIC & FOREIGN CONSUMPTION FOREIGN BORROWING FOREIGN INVESTMENT
DO THE MATH! ( Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ ) –  (  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  ) = 0 VALUATIONS AT HISTORICAL COST [MONETARY INVESTMENTS (ASSETS)] [LONG-TERM DEBT – AND SIMILAR (LIABILITIES)]
DO THE MATH! ( Δ  + Δ +  Δ +  Δ +  Δ +  Δ +  Δ +  Δ +  Δ +  Δ )   –  (  +  +   +   +  +   +   +   +   +     ) = 0 VALUATIONS AT “FAIR VALUE” [MONETARY INVESTMENTS (ASSETS)] [LONG-TERM DEBT – AND SIMILAR (LIABILITIES)] IMPAIRED (TOXIC) INVESTMENTS IMPAIRED (TOXIC) (DEBT)
DO THE MATH! ( Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ ) –  (  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +    +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  ) = 0 VALUATIONS, AT HISTORICAL COST – OR FAIR VALUE  (BUT) TOO MANY LOANS – CREATING TOO LARGE A TOTAL [MONETARY INVESTMENTS (ASSETS)] [LONG-TERM DEBT – AND SIMILAR (LIABILITIES)]
LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS FINANCIAL, ECONOMIC & SOCIAL BENEFITS VALUE OF LOAN PORTFOLIO B V 0 STEEPLY ACCELERATING BENEFITS GRADUALLY DECELERATING BENEFITS ABSOLUTE BENEFITS  FALLING GRADUALLY ACCELERATING BENEFITS THE LOAN PORTFOLIO IS TOO LARGE TO BE VIABLE!  IT  IS “OUT OF CONTROL.”
THE NATIONAL LOAN PORTFOLIOS THE LOAN PORTFOLIOS ARE TOO LARGE TO BE VIABLE!  THEY  ARE “OUT OF CONTROL.” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GREED MUTATED INTO FEAR!
Too Big to Fail? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Whose ransoms did the general coffers fill? And men have lost their reason.. Bear with me and I must pause till it come back to me.”   William Shakespeare  (1564 – 1616)   [British economist]
Too Big to Fail – or Two Figs* to Bail Bank of America is among the companies being bailed by U.S. taxpayers out while having subsidiaries where they can avoid paying U.S. taxes. (Damian Dovarganes -- Associated Press)  * They “don't give two figs&quot;  = complete lack of care or  concern for the situation!
“ LAW” OF DIMINISHING CAPITAL COVERAGE VALUES OF LOAN PORTFOLIOS B V 0 RATIO OF  CAPITAL TO (MONETARY)  ASSETS: LOANS HANGING IN BY A THREAD!  MONETARY  ASSETS: LOANS MADE CAPITAL &  RESERVES
All this may seem arcane to some readers. Yet  the ratio of a bank’s capital to its assets , technical though it sounds, is  of more than merely academic interest … If US banks have lost significantly more than the $255 billion to which they have so far admitted [ early 2008 ] as a result of the subprime mortgage crisis and credit crunch, there is a real danger that a much larger – perhaps tenfold larger – contraction in credit may be necessary, to  shrink the banks’ balance sheets in proportion to the decline of their capital . [emphasis added] If the shadow banking system of securitized debt and off-balance-sheet institutions is to be swept away completely by this crisis, the contraction could be still more severe. “The Ascent of Money”: Niall Ferguson [© Niall Ferguson – 2008]  [Credible Capital Management]
OVERLOADED & UNSAFE TO OPERATE! [WHERE WERE THE (“CAPITAL”) POLICE?]
Excess Leverage – The Wrong Track
Who was Monitoring the Signals?
The Big Banks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IMF warns of 'disturbing' UK debt  The level of debt in the UK is &quot;disturbing,&quot; the head of the International Monetary Fund has said. But Dominique Strauss-Kahn told the BBC that given the severity of the economic downturn,  more government borrowing was the lesser of two evils.  He said 2009 would be &quot;a really bad year&quot; and more state spending was necessary to stimulate growth. [BBC News: 21 December, 2008]
David C. Jones Warns US Congress  of ‘Disturbing' Washington DC Debt  Emergency Long-term Borrowing by the District of Columbia It is certainly  not  a standard municipal finance practice to permit long term borrowing, merely to cover a general accumulated budgetary deficit. Thus, the situation in which the D.C. government finds itself, measured against normal [municipal] financing principles,  is about the worst that could possibly be imagined… … although the proposal to issue long term debt instruments  technically violates all normal principles of [municipal] finance , it is one that should - in this special instance - be given serious consideration,  because all the other choices are likely worse . That is really its  only redeeming feature .   All seem to acknowledge…that  the most that can be done, at present, is to &quot;make the best of a bad job.“ [Testimony of David C. Jones to the U.S. House of Representatives – July 25, 1991]
The Balance of Accounting RESOURCES RESULTS DEBIT DEBIT CREDIT CREDIT Resources   must always  equal   Results
The Balance of Accounting RESOURCES (WHAT IS OWNED AND IS OWED) RESULTS (HOW & WHY OVERALL RESOURCES CHANGE) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Balance of Accounting INCOMPETENCE OR FRAUD:  CONFUSING CAPITAL AND CURRENT ACTIVITIES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Under-utilized Capital (e.g. Building Capacity) OCCUPIED AND/OR PRODUCTIVE USE (ONLY A  PART - OR NONE) UNOCCUPIED AND/OR NO PRODUCTIVE USE (REMAINDER) VERSUS LAND AND INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDINGS
Diminishing Returns ,[object Object],[object Object]
Diminishing Returns ,[object Object],[object Object]
LEVELS OF FINANCIAL CONCERN NEW DEBT OR EQUITY FINANCE CAPITAL COST & DEBT SERVICE ADEQUATE CASH-FLOW ESSENTIAL CONCERNS CAPITAL STRUCTURE EXPANSION & DEVELOPMENT SURVIVAL NEW OPERATING COST & INTEREST PROFITABILITY SUSTAINABILITY POTENTIALS FOR DISRUPTION INSTITUTION GOING CONCERN (STEADY STATE) PROJECTS (DISRUPTIVE) OVERALL ACHIEVEMENT FINANCIAL REQUIREMENTS
Resources and Results ,[object Object],[object Object]
Resources and Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International Accounting and Reporting Standards are fully consistent with these theories. [Indeed, they are the only ones that make any sense!] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What do I know about it? I am just an old book-keeper! Bank Balance Sheet as at 31 December, 2008 Assets [On the  Left ,  There is Nothing  Left !] Liabilities and Capital [On the  Right ,  There is Nothing  Right! ] “ Impact of the credit crunch on the 2008 financial statements: 18 November 2008” By Willeke Ong en Jens Osinga [©PricewaterhouseCoopers]
“ Woodham’s Principles” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Use of Economic   Resources  (Figure 13f) RESULTS RESOURCE MOBILIZATION CAPITAL CONTRIBUTIONS ASSET SALES LONG-TERM DEBT TEMPORARY DEBT SUPPLIERS (CREDIT) RESOURCE ACTIVATION INFORMATION RAW MATERIALS SERVICES ENERGY LABOR CUSTOMERS & CLIENTS THE COMMON WEALTH NATURAL RESOURCES MONETARY INVESTMENT INVENTORIES WORK IN PROGRESS CUSTOMERS (CREDIT) CASH RESOURCE ALLOCATION  (& RESOURCE CONSERVATION) LAND PERMANENT WORKS BUILDINGS EQUIPMENT & MACHINERY RESOURCE UTILIZATION PRODUCTION DISTRIBUTION OPERATION MAINTENANCE ADMINISTRATION TAXES DEPRECIATION INTEREST DIVIDEND RETAINED EARNINGS PROPERTY DISPOSAL HUMAN CAPITAL* MANAGEMENT  (ENTERPRISE)* * CREATIVE, INNOVATIVE (RIGHT-BRAIN) TALENT COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL RETURN & REINVESTMENT WASTE, DAMAGE & DESTRUCTION COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL CONSUMPTION (SATISFACTION) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL STIMULATION
RESULTS OF ACTIVITY (USE OF RESOURCES) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL RETURN & REINVESTMENT WASTE, DAMAGE & DESTRUCTION INNOVATION - CONSUMER SATISFACTION , REINVESTMENT & PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL ECOLOGICAL CONSUMPTION (SATISFACTION) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL IMPORTANT SUCCESS CRITERIA AND PRINCIPAL FOCUS OF ATTENTION PERFORMING USEFUL & HIGH-QUALITY ACTIVITIES AT APPROPRIATE PLACES AND TIMES LONG-TERM OPTIMIZATION OF RESOURCE USE (PRODUCTIVITY & WASTE CONTROL) DEBT SERVICE QUALITY OF ENVIRONMENT PAYMENT OF TAXES MAXIMIZATION OF  PROFIT QUALITY OF SOCIAL LIFE OPERATIONAL & FINANCIAL RELIABILITY WASTE  DISPOSAL PRODUCT & SERVICE QUALITY QUALITY OF LABOR LIFE DAMAGE RECTIFICATION Resource Consumption v. Results
“ Cost” Cutting  by  Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart (“W.A.M.” Principles) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Cost” Cutting by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart (“W.A.M.” Principles) Conversation Emperor of Austria to Mozart: Methinks your symphony is a trifle too long, young sir! There are too many notes!  Mozart: Indeed your Majesty, and  precisely which notes would you have me remove?      [“Amadeus”-Movie] Conclusion It really is not about size or length, is it?  It is, I think, about depth . Depth of perception, depth of appreciation, depth of acknowledgement of the  sheer vastness  of what we do not “know” - yet - but would: (a) “love or like” to know; (b) don’t know and don’t care; or (c)  know very well  and don’t care!!  “ Remove those that are soiled!” (Like Toxic Derivatives) “ But – they are all mixed up together!” (Like Toxic  & Other  Derivatives)
RESULTS OF ACTIVITY – A SYMPHONY OF OUTCOMES COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL RETURN & REINVESTMENT WASTE, DAMAGE & DESTRUCTION INNOVATION - CONSUMER SATISFACTION , REINVESTMENT & PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL CONSUMPTION (SATISFACTION) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL (“W.A.M.” PRINCIPLES): IMPORTANT NOTES - SUCCESS CRITERIA AND PRINCIPAL FOCUS OF ATTENTION TO CUT “COSTS”: WHICH OF THESE NOTES WOULD YOU LIKE US TO REMOVE, OR DIMINISH – MR. MAYOR? PERFORMING USEFUL & HIGH-QUALITY ACTIVITIES AT APPROPRIATE PLACES AND TIMES LONG-TERM OPTIMIZATION OF RESOURCE USE (PRODUCTIVITY & WASTE CONTROL) DEBT SERVICE QUALITY OF ENVIRONMENT PAYMENT OF TAXES MAXIMIZATION OF  PROFIT QUALITY OF SOCIAL LIFE (SHARP) OPERATIONAL & FINANCIAL RELIABILITY WASTE  DISPOSAL PRODUCT & SERVICE QUALITY QUALITY OF LABOR LIFE DAMAGE RECTIFICATION Cost v Quality of Service ♯ ♫♪♫ ♯ ♫ ♫ ♯ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♯ ♫♪♫
Public and Private Enterprise The essence of “economics-in-community” is very much to provide meaningful and satisfying work, as it is a means to creating: adequate and quality goods and services; decent recreation; and, quiet cultural or spiritual reflection.  Yet, the markets for goods and services is rarely emphasized and the market for labor is highlighted  only  as for a commodity, to the extent that an increase in employment (reduction in unemployment) of ordinary workers might threaten the monetary values of the wealth-tokens of money-traders! Even though the real (economic) values of these tokens are, in effect, zero!  [Adapted from: “The Common Good” (Daly & Cobb)]
The Tragic of the Market-Place ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REPUTATION AS A MARKET FACTOR Quality P E A 0 C ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],B D Reputation > (Poor reputation = High costs) (Good reputation  = low costs) COSTS
INFORMATION AS A MARKET FACTOR Information Quality VALUATION ACCURACY 0 Information > (Good Information = Accurate Valuation & Pricing) VALUE 100% 100% ( Poor Information = Flawed Valuation & Pricing)
Asymmetrical Information ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Market  for Lemons
Fundamental Accountability Requirements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Omar’s Car Runs [When it is Well-maintained] OMAR’S CAR
When Omar’s Car is  NOT  Well-maintained [IT IS A “LEMON!”] OMAR’S CAR WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT? ?
When Omar’s  MORTAGE  is NOT Well-Serviced : [ Principal and Interest NOT Paid On time and In Full] [IT IS A “LEMON!”] OMAR’S MORTGAGE WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT?? ? ?
A  MORTAGE-BACKED SECURITY  Includes several LEMONS [IT IS “ LEMON ADE !”] OMAR’S DERIVATIVE WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT?? ? ? ? ? ? }
When Omar’s  HOUSE  is NOT Well-Valued : [ And May Not be Well-Maintained] [IT IS A “LEMON!”] OMAR’S HOUSE WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT?? WOULD YOU ACCEPT IT AS COLLATERAL?? ?
Collateralized Debt Obligation
A House of Cards  [Mortgage-backed Securities]
Collateralized Debt Obligation I’ll Huff and I’ll Puff and I’ll Blow Your House Down!” [The Big Bad Wolf]
A PERFECT STORM? ,[object Object],[object Object],[© Steven Pearlstein:  The Washington Post, December 10, 2008 ]
A PERFECT STORM? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[© Steven Pearlstein:  The Washington Post, December 10, 2008 ]
A PERFECT STORM? ,[object Object],[object Object],[© Steven Pearlstein:  The Washington Post, December 10, 2008 ]
A PERFECT STORM? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[© Steven Pearlstein:  The Washington Post, December 10, 2008 ]
A PERFECT STORM? NO! A FAILURE OF LEADERSHIP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[© Steven Pearlstein:  The Washington Post, December 10, 2008 ]
“ The Perfect Storm?”  Bad “Tempest” or “Bad Temper”  [ growing anger and resentment of ordinary Americans]
Conditions of Making Funds Available [Based on an English Prayer from 1662*] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[OR] Shall we continue to practice heresy? [Ironically, the author/complier of the Prayer – Archbishop Cranmer – was burned at the stake, in Oxford, England,  for heresy!  21 March 1556]
EPILOGUE AND OBITUARY [Boris Fyodorov, a Russian economic reformer,  died on November 20, 2008,  aged 50] “ Without a moral basis , he (Fyodorov) said, capitalism would just become the means by which the powerful would concentrate their wealth”. “ Mr. Fyodorov used to lament the fact that that  even he  could not find the right phrase, in Russian, for ‘Corporate Governance’.” “ As a Russian patriot….he detested the practice of simply adapting an English word.  Ofshorky  (offshore accounts) was a pet hate, particularly because of its association with tax evasion”. [© The Economist:  November 29 th  2008 ]
EPILOGUE AND OBITUARY Mr. Fyodorov used to lament the fact that that  even he  could not find the right phrase, in Russian, for “Corporate Governance”. All those concerned with  “Western-style”  capitalism must now, also, lament the fact that  even they  cannot find the right phrase,  in English , for  “ Corporate Governance!”.
A Nobel Economics Laureate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Financial Crisis1

  • 1. The International Financial Crisis The Fall – 2008 The slides – into recession! [How long will it last?]
  • 2. Accountability A well regulated community or business entity, being necessary to the security of a free society, the right of the people to keep informed and to be armed with bare facts, shall not be infringed. US Constitution, Second Amendment [Amended]
  • 3. The Life of a Turkey TIME SUSTAINING ACTIVITY Thanksgiving Day FORMULA FEED
  • 4. The Life of a Financial Market Place TIME SUSTAINING ACTIVITY T FORMULA for GROWTH & PROFIT A BLACK SWAN! CORPORATIONS HOUSES MORTGAGES BONDS STOCKS INVESTMENTS DERIVATIVES (CDOs, CDSs & CMOs) BANKERS’ FEES COMMISSIONS PROFITS If things cannot go on for ever, they will eventually and inevitably STOP! [Herbert Stein – Chairman, President Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisors and Professor of Economics at the University of Virginia]
  • 5. The Life of the Financial Market Place – A Black Swan! An event or occurrence that  deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and that would be extremely difficult to predict .  This term was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a finance professor and former Wall Street trader.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. The computer room at King's College Cambridge, is named after Alan Turing, a student there in 1931 and a Fellow in 1935 Computers – fathered by Turing - are now ubiquitous, notably in accounting, finance and investment .
  • 9. Mapping the Future [County of Cambridgeshire UK.] [What has This to do With Anything?] Alan Turing , father of computers, went to King’s College, Cambridge, England
  • 10. The International Financial Crisis The Fall - 2008 Newmarket Six Mile Bottom Cambridge
  • 11. The Crash @ Six Mile Bottom - 1954!! Type: English Electric Canberra B.2 Operator: RAF 231 OCU Registration: WD981 C/n / msn: 71051 Fatalities: Fatalities: 3 / Occupants: 3 Airplane damage: Written off (damaged beyond repair) Location: .5 mile W of Six Mile Bottom, Newmarket , Cambridgeshire, England
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. The International Financial Crisis Telling “Slides!” – 2008 From The Washington Post [Next 10 slides are © The Washington Post]
  • 17. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post From The Washington Post [Next 7 slides are © The Washington Post]
  • 18. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 19. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 20. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 21. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 22. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 23. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 25. THE FALLING DARKNESS © The Washington Post
  • 27. Marketplace Myths (1) Government is, always and everywhere: wasteful, spendthrift, incompetent, inefficient, uneconomical and ineffective Business is, always and everywhere: ethical, frugal, thrifty, competent, efficient, economical and effective Private enterprise can, always and everywhere, operate more efficiently and effectively than a public enterprise. Excuse Me?
  • 28. Marketplace Myths (2) The commercial market-place can, always and everywhere: allocate resources more efficiently than governments . There is no market failure. Always and everywhere, there is only governmental interference, together with policy and regulatory failure. [Even Federal Reserve ex-Chairman, Alan Greenspan does not believe this any more!]
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Efficiency & Ethics The pseudo-science of economics and the myth of unconstrained economic efficiency. Economics – like tanks and banks – does not care whom it helps and whom it hurts!
  • 32. Efficiency & Ethics The military tank is a marvel of science and technology. Like the “science” of economics, it very efficiently ( but indiscriminately ) controls, supports, kills, wounds, destroys & damages.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Weapons of Violence: Tanks or Banks? “ Violence is not just about bombing or shooting or hitting people. Violence is any way we have of violating the integrity of the other . Racism and sexism are violence. Derogatory labeling of any sort constitutes violence. Rendering other people invisible or irrelevant is an act of violence. So is manipulating people towards our ends as if they were objects that existed only to serve our purposes .” © Parker Palmer: Repossessing Virtue – Economic Crisis, Morality and Virtue
  • 36. Economic Efficiency: Tanks or Banks? “ [The man of system] seems to imagine that he can arrange the different numbers of a great society with as much ease as the hand arranges the different pieces of a chess-board; he does not consider that the pieces of a chess-board have no other principle of motion besides that which the hand impresses on them; but that, in the great chess-board of human society, every single piece has a principle of motion of its own , different from that which the legislature might seem to impress on it.” [Adam Smith: The Theory of Moral Sentiments]  
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Cut-throat Competition “ We worshiped in the temple of cut-throat competition, and so some cooked the books, because the treasure is so great .” [Archbishop Tutu]
  • 40.
  • 41. Alan Greenspan and Adam Smith &quot;I made a mistake,&quot; Greenspan said, &quot;in presuming that the self-interests of organizations , specifically banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms.” [a.k.a. “I refute Adam Smith!”] [* Lying to Congress is a felony] “ It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.... “ ....He intends only his own gain , and he is in this as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand* to promote an end which was no part of his intention . Nor is it always the worse for society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it.” [Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations”] US Senate Banking Committee*
  • 42. Actually, Alan Greenspan Missed the Point! Adam Smith Knew Better! Read it again, this time with different emphasis: “ It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.... “ ....He intends only his own gain, and he is in this as in many other cases , led by an invisible hand* to promote an end which was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the worse for society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it.” [Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations”]
  • 43. Actually, Adam Smith Knew Better! “… as in many other cases…”: BUT – NOT in ALL of them! . “… Nor is it always the worse for society…”: BUT – sometimes – it IS! “… he frequently promotes…”: BUT – sometimes – he does NOT! “… than when he really intends to promote it…” BUT – not, always, when he really does NOT so intend! [Adam Smith “Wealth of Nations”]
  • 44. The Standard Neoclassical Economic Model “ I argue that the first fundamental theorem of welfare economics - asserting the efficiency of competitive markets - is fundamentally flawed . Quite contrary to that theorem, competitive economies are almost never efficient...” Joseph E. Stiglitz - Whither Socialism (2001 Nobel Laureate in Economics) Extracted from: “ Adam’s Myth Economics” A Slide Show, by David C. Jones
  • 45. THE CRASH: What Went Wrong - Frenzy When the housing market began to tank in 2005, Wall Street ran through the yellow light of caution and created even riskier investments – and Washington had no mechanism for finding out what was going on. [© Washington Post: 16 December, 2008]
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. Regulation of Derivatives (1b) Many newer derivatives weren't traded on an exchange, constituting what some traders call the &quot;dark markets.&quot; There were now millions of such private contracts, involving many of Wall Street's top firms. But there was no clearinghouse holding collateral, to settle a deal gone bad, no transparent records of who was trading what. Born wanted to shine a light into the dark.…she now wanted to open a formal discussion about whether to regulate them -- and if so, how. Greenspan, Rubin and Levitt were determined to derail her effort . At a meeting, in April, 1998, the trio's message was clear: “ Back off, Born!”
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. The near collapse of Long Term Capital Management The Federal Reserve was TERRIFIED! Question : As a result, how much was done, by regulation or investigation, to prevent a recurrence? Answer : On a scale of 1 to 10 - Nothing!
  • 52.
  • 53. Accountability Investors in and Sellers of Mortgage-backed Securities (Derivatives): “ We were intending to use Arthur Andersen to help us to prepare our financial statements. “ But, after “Waste Management Incorporated” and “Enron,” Andersen went out of business!”
  • 54. Accountability Investors in and Sellers of Mortgage-backed Securities (Derivatives): “ We used three “reputable” (??) credit-rating agencies, to value our investments”: “ Sub -Standard and Very- Poor”; “ Very Moody ” and “Fi l ch Ratings ”
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57. Accountability – Credit Rating Agencies ANSWER? Not very much, apparently! As part of a new set of rules adopted today, the Securities and Exchange Commission will prohibit credit rating agencies from helping to structure the same financial products they rate. Raters become the first industry to be handed new regulations as a result of the credit crisis. [CFO Magazine – CFO.com – 4 Dec. 2008]
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64. INTERNAL & EXTERNAL CONTROLS Price of Inputs Purpose Quantity of Inputs Questioning Capacity Pay Inputs Expenditure Permission Prestige Quality of inputs Productivity Probity Publicity Procedures Questing Intensity Power Production Characteristics of Activity
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67. “ The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with standards for “Financial Reporting and Accounting for Un-priceble Derivatives” (FRAUD). “Therefore, using “Creatively Regulated Accounting Practices” (CRAP) we hereby certify that these financial statements represent a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the company, as at the date of the balance sheet and of the activities for the year then ended. Arthur Underhand and Company Certified Public Accountants (Retired) Accountability [Model Financial Reporting Statement]
  • 68. … viewing the financial world from an evolutionary perspective argues for weeding out what the political scientist Joseph Schumpeter called &quot;the hopelessly unadapted&quot; -- and quickly… …&quot;The experience [ of Japan in the 1990s ],&quot; Ferguson comments, &quot;stands as a warning to legislators and regulators that an entire banking sector can become a kind of economic dead hand if institutions are propped up, despite underperformance, and bad debts are not written off . &quot; [emphasis added] Shelby Coffey III: Review of “The Ascent of Money”: Niall Ferguson © Washington Post (Book World) Nov. 30, 2008. Accountability [Credible Financial Reporting]
  • 69.
  • 70. Accountability “ Fair Value Accounting is causing a large part of the problem at this moment…” Steve Bartlett, President and CEO Financial Services Roundtable Testimony to: U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee 18 November, 2008
  • 71. Fair Value Accounting David C. Jones, CPFA, FCCA, had heard this statement, when listening to his car radio. He was so astonished that he nearly crashed into a tree! (Not believing his ears, he later needed to verify it from the C-SPAN web-site, which carried the hearing of the US House of Representatives Financial Services Committee!)
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75.
  • 76.
  • 77. Expensive Fancy Funerals [Ashes to ashes; dust to dust] We brought nothing into this world and it is certain that we can carry nothing out! The Lord gave and the Lord hath taken away. Blessed be the name of the Lord! [BCP: 1662] [Robert Peston: BBC News]
  • 78. Accounting A quote, from Ken Wagstaffe, a British professional colleague, and fellow accountant, who wrote a paper, about this kind of thing: &quot;......it is based on some completely and fundamentally wrong notions about what accounting is. The level of ignorance about accounting is breathtaking. &quot;
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81. “ I’m as mad as Hell and I’m not going to take this any more” [David C. Jones: Chartered Public Finance Accountant; Chartered Certified Accountant (UK)]
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 86.
  • 87.
  • 88. Churchill Chart TRADING MANUFACTURE OR OPERATING ACCOUNT PROFIT AND LOSS ------------------------- INCOME AND EXPENDITURE NET EARNINGS ------------------------- GENERAL FUND SURPLUS EXPENSES CASH AND BANK DEPRECIATION OR CAPITAL FINANCING RESERVE -------------------------- FIXED ASSETS STOCK OF GOODS AND MATERIALS SALES -------------------------- REVENUE INCOME SPECIAL FUNDS -------------------------- PROVISION FOR EXPENSES MONETARY INVESTMENT DEBTORS (RECEIVABLES) CAPITAL & RESERVES (INCLUDING FIXED ASSET REVALUATION) 12 11 7 5 3 20 16 8 25 13 10 26 14 9 24 19 1 2 2 1 4 8 4 9 5 6 23 23 15 17 22 6 6 14 12 13 10 3 6 7 18 21 11 27 28 27 28 NOT ALL THERE IS TO IT
  • 89. Churchill Chart – Production v. Financing TRADING MANUFACTURE OR OPERATING CASH AND BANK FIXED ASSETS -------------------------- DEPRECIATION STOCK OF GOODS AND MATERIALS SALES -------------------------- REVENUE INCOME RECEIVEABLES & INVESTMENTS EXPENSES PROFITS & LOSSES EQUITY CAPITAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (& MISMANAGEMENT) PRODUCTION SELLING & MARKETING EARNINGS
  • 90. The Neutrality of Investment, Credit & Lending [“Finance]… is but a walking shadow, a poor player that struts and frets his hour upon the stage and then is heard no more: it is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.“ (Shakespeare) A MONETARY INVESTMENT (ASSET) IS ANOTHER’S DEBT (LIABILITY): RECEIVEABLES & INVESTMENTS
  • 91. Financial Services I keep six honest serving-men (They taught me all I knew); Their names are What and Why and When And How and Where and Who. I send them over land and sea, I send them east and west; But after they have worked for me, I give them all a rest. [ Rudyard Kipling] Finance is merely serving-men (To show us what is due); Their names are What and Why and When And How and Where and Who. I send it over land and sea, I send it east and west; But after it has worked for me, I give MYSELF the rest!
  • 92. Financial Services I keep six honest serving-men (They taught me all I knew); Their names are What and Why and When And How and Where and Who. I send them over land and sea, I send them east and west; But after they have worked for me, I give them all a rest. [Rudyard Kipling]
  • 93. Financial Services Finance is merely serving-men (To show us what is due); Their names are What and Why and When And How and Where and Who. I send it over land and sea, I send it east and west; But after it has worked for me, I give MYSELF the rest!
  • 96.
  • 97.
  • 98.
  • 99.
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.
  • 103.
  • 104. Money and banking: Resources § or Results? * “ Granted, you are the clearing house of the world [but] are you entirely beyond anxiety as to the permanence of your great position?...Banking is not the creator of our prosperity, but is the creation of it. It is not the cause of our wealth § , but it is the consequence * of our wealth.” [Joseph Chamberlain (British colonial secretary): statement to bankers – 1904] * § “An accountant records and interprets, in money values, the results of variations during any period of time, at the end of which he can balance Net Results * (of past operations) against Net Resources § (available for future operations)”. [David C. Jones]
  • 105.
  • 106.
  • 107.
  • 108.
  • 109.
  • 110.
  • 111. The “Folk Theorem” or “Folk Fable” of the “Free Market” Economics of Adam Smith Adam Smith also wrote (implying major and fundamental aspects of market inefficiency and failure, through the tendency towards monopoly): “ People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy to raise prices” and “ ....to widen the market and to narrow the competition, is always the interest of the dealers.....an order of men, whose interest is never exactly the same with that of the public, and who accordingly have, upon many occasions, both deceived and oppressed it.”
  • 112.
  • 113. “ The October Revolution” “I’m as mad as Hell and I’m not going to take this any more” [Man Friday and Friends]
  • 114. Biblical Economic Capitalism [Psalm 23 – KJV] Psalmist’s Prophecy Application Thou shalt prepare a table before me Table of toxic derivatives & bad debts Against them that trouble me Sub-prime mortgages [ and the accounting profession – re “fair value accounting!”] Thou annointest my head with oil Traders in oil futures And my cup shall be full Corporate chief executives But thy loving-kindness and mercy shall follow me all the days of my life Recipients of corporate redundancy and retirement packages.
  • 115.
  • 116.
  • 117.
  • 118.
  • 119. FIDDLING – WITH CASH – WHILST ROME – REAL ASSETS – BURNS!
  • 120.
  • 121. The (Former) Colonial Version of Trade The (Modern) Reverse-Colonial Version of Trade The colonial powers – notably Britain; Netherlands; France; Portugal; Spain. – traded trinkets with, e.g. Indians; Chinese; Africans; Native Americans, in exchange for (real) gold, silver, spices and other items of wealth. The former colonial, colonized and other, powers – notably USA; Canada; Australasia; Western Europe; and, Japan. – buy trinkets and toys (including economy cars; computers; electronics; etc., from e.g. The: Indian sub-continentals; Chinese; Koreans; Malaysians; and, many others, in exchange for (valuable) Foreign Exchange Reserves
  • 122. The Former (Hollywood) Version of Bank Robbery “ Hand over the money – or we’ll shoot!” [Bank Robbers – armed with guns ] ________________ The Modern (Woolly-head) Version of Bank Grabbery “ Hands out for our money – or we’ll shout!” [U.S. Treasury Department – armed with tons (of money)]
  • 123.
  • 124. Fiscal Management in the USA: A Taxing Responsibility BILL MOYERS: &quot;Time&quot; magazine this week says that while no one is looking, Congress and the IRS have been quietly changing the tax code to lower corporate taxes for years to come . Are they receiving bailout money through the front door while they're getting tax breaks and other privileges through the backdoor? EMMA COLEMAN JORDAN: That's a change which was done at the Department of Treasury without statutory authorization to do it. BILL MOYERS: They did it arbitrarily? EMMA COLEMAN JORDAN: They did it on their own, with no consultation with Congress to get permission for this change , since it was absolutely antithetical to the statutory requirement. And I've looked at the comments of tax specialists. I'm not a tax specialist. But the tax specialists say this is unheard of and clearly in violation of the statute which protects the Treasury by not allowing banks that acquire failing banks to get the benefit of the losses of the failed bank and carry those losses over for the benefit of the acquiring bank. [© Bill Moyers’ Journal – PBS-TV: 12 December, 2008]
  • 125.
  • 126.
  • 127. CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS c PRODUCTIVE ASSETS ADD TO CAPITAL
  • 128.
  • 129. CONSOLIDATED PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNTS c CAP = EQUITY CAPITAL PPE = PROPERTY, PLANT & EQUIPMENT C&I = CASH & INVENTORY INT - = INTEREST PAYABLE (CANCELLED AGAINST INTEREST RECEIVABLE) INT + = INTEREST RECEIVABLE (CANCELLED AGAINST INTEREST PAYABLE) PRODUCTIVE ASSETS GENERATE REAL INCOME
  • 130.
  • 131. DO THE MATH! ( Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ ) – (  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  ) = 0 VALUATIONS AT HISTORICAL COST [MONETARY INVESTMENTS (ASSETS)] [LONG-TERM DEBT – AND SIMILAR (LIABILITIES)]
  • 132. DO THE MATH! ( Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ ) – (  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  ) = 0 VALUATIONS AT “FAIR VALUE” [MONETARY INVESTMENTS (ASSETS)] [LONG-TERM DEBT – AND SIMILAR (LIABILITIES)] IMPAIRED (TOXIC) INVESTMENTS IMPAIRED (TOXIC) (DEBT)
  • 133. DO THE MATH! ( Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ + Δ ) – (  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  +  ) = 0 VALUATIONS, AT HISTORICAL COST – OR FAIR VALUE (BUT) TOO MANY LOANS – CREATING TOO LARGE A TOTAL [MONETARY INVESTMENTS (ASSETS)] [LONG-TERM DEBT – AND SIMILAR (LIABILITIES)]
  • 134. LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS FINANCIAL, ECONOMIC & SOCIAL BENEFITS VALUE OF LOAN PORTFOLIO B V 0 STEEPLY ACCELERATING BENEFITS GRADUALLY DECELERATING BENEFITS ABSOLUTE BENEFITS FALLING GRADUALLY ACCELERATING BENEFITS THE LOAN PORTFOLIO IS TOO LARGE TO BE VIABLE! IT IS “OUT OF CONTROL.”
  • 135.
  • 136.
  • 137. Too Big to Fail – or Two Figs* to Bail Bank of America is among the companies being bailed by U.S. taxpayers out while having subsidiaries where they can avoid paying U.S. taxes. (Damian Dovarganes -- Associated Press) * They “don't give two figs&quot; = complete lack of care or concern for the situation!
  • 138. “ LAW” OF DIMINISHING CAPITAL COVERAGE VALUES OF LOAN PORTFOLIOS B V 0 RATIO OF CAPITAL TO (MONETARY) ASSETS: LOANS HANGING IN BY A THREAD!  MONETARY ASSETS: LOANS MADE CAPITAL & RESERVES
  • 139. All this may seem arcane to some readers. Yet the ratio of a bank’s capital to its assets , technical though it sounds, is of more than merely academic interest … If US banks have lost significantly more than the $255 billion to which they have so far admitted [ early 2008 ] as a result of the subprime mortgage crisis and credit crunch, there is a real danger that a much larger – perhaps tenfold larger – contraction in credit may be necessary, to shrink the banks’ balance sheets in proportion to the decline of their capital . [emphasis added] If the shadow banking system of securitized debt and off-balance-sheet institutions is to be swept away completely by this crisis, the contraction could be still more severe. “The Ascent of Money”: Niall Ferguson [© Niall Ferguson – 2008] [Credible Capital Management]
  • 140. OVERLOADED & UNSAFE TO OPERATE! [WHERE WERE THE (“CAPITAL”) POLICE?]
  • 141. Excess Leverage – The Wrong Track
  • 142. Who was Monitoring the Signals?
  • 143.
  • 144. IMF warns of 'disturbing' UK debt The level of debt in the UK is &quot;disturbing,&quot; the head of the International Monetary Fund has said. But Dominique Strauss-Kahn told the BBC that given the severity of the economic downturn, more government borrowing was the lesser of two evils. He said 2009 would be &quot;a really bad year&quot; and more state spending was necessary to stimulate growth. [BBC News: 21 December, 2008]
  • 145. David C. Jones Warns US Congress of ‘Disturbing' Washington DC Debt Emergency Long-term Borrowing by the District of Columbia It is certainly not a standard municipal finance practice to permit long term borrowing, merely to cover a general accumulated budgetary deficit. Thus, the situation in which the D.C. government finds itself, measured against normal [municipal] financing principles, is about the worst that could possibly be imagined… … although the proposal to issue long term debt instruments technically violates all normal principles of [municipal] finance , it is one that should - in this special instance - be given serious consideration, because all the other choices are likely worse . That is really its only redeeming feature . All seem to acknowledge…that the most that can be done, at present, is to &quot;make the best of a bad job.“ [Testimony of David C. Jones to the U.S. House of Representatives – July 25, 1991]
  • 146. The Balance of Accounting RESOURCES RESULTS DEBIT DEBIT CREDIT CREDIT Resources must always equal Results
  • 147.
  • 148.
  • 149. Under-utilized Capital (e.g. Building Capacity) OCCUPIED AND/OR PRODUCTIVE USE (ONLY A PART - OR NONE) UNOCCUPIED AND/OR NO PRODUCTIVE USE (REMAINDER) VERSUS LAND AND INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDINGS
  • 150.
  • 151.
  • 152. LEVELS OF FINANCIAL CONCERN NEW DEBT OR EQUITY FINANCE CAPITAL COST & DEBT SERVICE ADEQUATE CASH-FLOW ESSENTIAL CONCERNS CAPITAL STRUCTURE EXPANSION & DEVELOPMENT SURVIVAL NEW OPERATING COST & INTEREST PROFITABILITY SUSTAINABILITY POTENTIALS FOR DISRUPTION INSTITUTION GOING CONCERN (STEADY STATE) PROJECTS (DISRUPTIVE) OVERALL ACHIEVEMENT FINANCIAL REQUIREMENTS
  • 153.
  • 154.
  • 155.
  • 156. What do I know about it? I am just an old book-keeper! Bank Balance Sheet as at 31 December, 2008 Assets [On the Left , There is Nothing Left !] Liabilities and Capital [On the Right , There is Nothing Right! ] “ Impact of the credit crunch on the 2008 financial statements: 18 November 2008” By Willeke Ong en Jens Osinga [©PricewaterhouseCoopers]
  • 157.
  • 158. Use of Economic Resources (Figure 13f) RESULTS RESOURCE MOBILIZATION CAPITAL CONTRIBUTIONS ASSET SALES LONG-TERM DEBT TEMPORARY DEBT SUPPLIERS (CREDIT) RESOURCE ACTIVATION INFORMATION RAW MATERIALS SERVICES ENERGY LABOR CUSTOMERS & CLIENTS THE COMMON WEALTH NATURAL RESOURCES MONETARY INVESTMENT INVENTORIES WORK IN PROGRESS CUSTOMERS (CREDIT) CASH RESOURCE ALLOCATION (& RESOURCE CONSERVATION) LAND PERMANENT WORKS BUILDINGS EQUIPMENT & MACHINERY RESOURCE UTILIZATION PRODUCTION DISTRIBUTION OPERATION MAINTENANCE ADMINISTRATION TAXES DEPRECIATION INTEREST DIVIDEND RETAINED EARNINGS PROPERTY DISPOSAL HUMAN CAPITAL* MANAGEMENT (ENTERPRISE)* * CREATIVE, INNOVATIVE (RIGHT-BRAIN) TALENT COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL RETURN & REINVESTMENT WASTE, DAMAGE & DESTRUCTION COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL CONSUMPTION (SATISFACTION) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL STIMULATION
  • 159. RESULTS OF ACTIVITY (USE OF RESOURCES) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL RETURN & REINVESTMENT WASTE, DAMAGE & DESTRUCTION INNOVATION - CONSUMER SATISFACTION , REINVESTMENT & PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL ECOLOGICAL CONSUMPTION (SATISFACTION) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL IMPORTANT SUCCESS CRITERIA AND PRINCIPAL FOCUS OF ATTENTION PERFORMING USEFUL & HIGH-QUALITY ACTIVITIES AT APPROPRIATE PLACES AND TIMES LONG-TERM OPTIMIZATION OF RESOURCE USE (PRODUCTIVITY & WASTE CONTROL) DEBT SERVICE QUALITY OF ENVIRONMENT PAYMENT OF TAXES MAXIMIZATION OF PROFIT QUALITY OF SOCIAL LIFE OPERATIONAL & FINANCIAL RELIABILITY WASTE DISPOSAL PRODUCT & SERVICE QUALITY QUALITY OF LABOR LIFE DAMAGE RECTIFICATION Resource Consumption v. Results
  • 160.
  • 161. “ Cost” Cutting by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart (“W.A.M.” Principles) Conversation Emperor of Austria to Mozart: Methinks your symphony is a trifle too long, young sir! There are too many notes! Mozart: Indeed your Majesty, and precisely which notes would you have me remove? [“Amadeus”-Movie] Conclusion It really is not about size or length, is it? It is, I think, about depth . Depth of perception, depth of appreciation, depth of acknowledgement of the sheer vastness of what we do not “know” - yet - but would: (a) “love or like” to know; (b) don’t know and don’t care; or (c) know very well and don’t care!! “ Remove those that are soiled!” (Like Toxic Derivatives) “ But – they are all mixed up together!” (Like Toxic & Other Derivatives)
  • 162. RESULTS OF ACTIVITY – A SYMPHONY OF OUTCOMES COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL RETURN & REINVESTMENT WASTE, DAMAGE & DESTRUCTION INNOVATION - CONSUMER SATISFACTION , REINVESTMENT & PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL CONSUMPTION (SATISFACTION) COMMERCIAL, SOCIAL & ECOLOGICAL (“W.A.M.” PRINCIPLES): IMPORTANT NOTES - SUCCESS CRITERIA AND PRINCIPAL FOCUS OF ATTENTION TO CUT “COSTS”: WHICH OF THESE NOTES WOULD YOU LIKE US TO REMOVE, OR DIMINISH – MR. MAYOR? PERFORMING USEFUL & HIGH-QUALITY ACTIVITIES AT APPROPRIATE PLACES AND TIMES LONG-TERM OPTIMIZATION OF RESOURCE USE (PRODUCTIVITY & WASTE CONTROL) DEBT SERVICE QUALITY OF ENVIRONMENT PAYMENT OF TAXES MAXIMIZATION OF PROFIT QUALITY OF SOCIAL LIFE (SHARP) OPERATIONAL & FINANCIAL RELIABILITY WASTE DISPOSAL PRODUCT & SERVICE QUALITY QUALITY OF LABOR LIFE DAMAGE RECTIFICATION Cost v Quality of Service ♯ ♫♪♫ ♯ ♫ ♫ ♯ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♫ ♯ ♫♪♫
  • 163. Public and Private Enterprise The essence of “economics-in-community” is very much to provide meaningful and satisfying work, as it is a means to creating: adequate and quality goods and services; decent recreation; and, quiet cultural or spiritual reflection. Yet, the markets for goods and services is rarely emphasized and the market for labor is highlighted only as for a commodity, to the extent that an increase in employment (reduction in unemployment) of ordinary workers might threaten the monetary values of the wealth-tokens of money-traders! Even though the real (economic) values of these tokens are, in effect, zero! [Adapted from: “The Common Good” (Daly & Cobb)]
  • 164.
  • 165.
  • 166. INFORMATION AS A MARKET FACTOR Information Quality VALUATION ACCURACY 0 Information > (Good Information = Accurate Valuation & Pricing) VALUE 100% 100% ( Poor Information = Flawed Valuation & Pricing)
  • 167.
  • 168.
  • 169. Omar’s Car Runs [When it is Well-maintained] OMAR’S CAR
  • 170. When Omar’s Car is NOT Well-maintained [IT IS A “LEMON!”] OMAR’S CAR WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT? ?
  • 171. When Omar’s MORTAGE is NOT Well-Serviced : [ Principal and Interest NOT Paid On time and In Full] [IT IS A “LEMON!”] OMAR’S MORTGAGE WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT?? ? ?
  • 172. A MORTAGE-BACKED SECURITY Includes several LEMONS [IT IS “ LEMON ADE !”] OMAR’S DERIVATIVE WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT?? ? ? ? ? ? }
  • 173. When Omar’s HOUSE is NOT Well-Valued : [ And May Not be Well-Maintained] [IT IS A “LEMON!”] OMAR’S HOUSE WHAT PRICE WOULD YOU PAY FOR IT?? WOULD YOU ACCEPT IT AS COLLATERAL?? ?
  • 175. A House of Cards [Mortgage-backed Securities]
  • 176. Collateralized Debt Obligation I’ll Huff and I’ll Puff and I’ll Blow Your House Down!” [The Big Bad Wolf]
  • 177.
  • 178.
  • 179.
  • 180.
  • 181.
  • 182. “ The Perfect Storm?” Bad “Tempest” or “Bad Temper” [ growing anger and resentment of ordinary Americans]
  • 183.
  • 184. EPILOGUE AND OBITUARY [Boris Fyodorov, a Russian economic reformer, died on November 20, 2008, aged 50] “ Without a moral basis , he (Fyodorov) said, capitalism would just become the means by which the powerful would concentrate their wealth”. “ Mr. Fyodorov used to lament the fact that that even he could not find the right phrase, in Russian, for ‘Corporate Governance’.” “ As a Russian patriot….he detested the practice of simply adapting an English word. Ofshorky (offshore accounts) was a pet hate, particularly because of its association with tax evasion”. [© The Economist: November 29 th 2008 ]
  • 185. EPILOGUE AND OBITUARY Mr. Fyodorov used to lament the fact that that even he could not find the right phrase, in Russian, for “Corporate Governance”. All those concerned with “Western-style” capitalism must now, also, lament the fact that even they cannot find the right phrase, in English , for “ Corporate Governance!”.
  • 186.