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Nick Lim
nick@sonamine.com
Sonamine
   Why do we need analytics?
   Making sense of “analytics”
   Vendors, implementation options
   How to use analytics
   Case study – First time spender conversion
   Case study – Retention


              © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
   Persistent player profiles
   Players pay you over time
   Connected games
   Free to play


   Telecoms, banks, retailers have been doing
    this for a while now…

              © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Optimization
                                                                                              What’s the best that can happen?

                             FUTURE                                         Predictions
                                                                            What will happen next?

                                                            Forecasting
                                                            What if these trends continue?

                                              Statistical analysis
                                              Why is this happening?
Value




                                    Alerts
                                    What just happened?

                         Query / drill-down                                                                 PAST
                         Where is the problem?

                Ad hoc reports
                How many, how often, where?

        Standard reports
        What happened?                                         Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris


                                              Degree of Intelligence
                               © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Optimization
                         Automatic,                                                           What’s the best that can happen?
                         machine learning                                   Predictions
                                                                            What will happen next?

                                                            Forecasting
                                                            What if these trends continue?

                                              Statistical analysis
                                              Why is this happening?
Value




                                    Alerts
                                    What just happened?

                          Query / drill-down                                                                          Human
                          Where is the problem?                                                                       analyst
                Ad hoc reports                                                                                        and
                How many, how often, where?                                                                           interactive
        Standard reports
        What happened?                                         Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris


                                              Degree of Intelligence
                                © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Optimization
              Hundreds / thousands of                                                         What’s the best that can happen?
              variables crunched by                                         Predictions
              machine                                                       What will happen next?

                                                            Forecasting
                                                            What if these trends continue?

                                              Statistical analysis
                                              Why is this happening?
Value




                                                                                                                      < 20
                                    Alerts                                                                            variables
                                    What just happened?
                                                                                                                      processed
                         Query / drill-down                                                                           by human
                         Where is the problem?                                                                        at one
                Ad hoc reports                                                                                        time
                How many, how often, where?

        Standard reports
        What happened?                                         Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris


                                              Degree of Intelligence
                               © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Optimization
What’s the best that can happen?

Predictions                                                User scoring, machine learning
What will happen next?

Forecasting
What if these trends continue?

Statistical analysis                                       User segmentation, machine
Why is this happening?                                     learning
Alerts                                                     Real Time, monitoring
What just happened?

Query / drill-down                                         Filtering, slice and dice, group by,
Where is the problem?                                      page by
Ad hoc reports                                             Custom Segmentation, on-the-fly,
How many, how often, where?                                cohort analysis
Standard reports                                           Dashboards, cohort reports,
What happened?
 Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris



                                 © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Actions
•   Optimization
•   Predictions
•   Forecasting
•   Stats




Reporting
•   Alerts
•   Queries
•   Ad hoc
•   Canned


                   Analytics           Analytics SaaS                   Services
                   softwareSonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
                      © 2009-11
   Pros
     Data control, no chance of player cannibilization
     Flexible and customizable
     No added costs for multiple games
   Cons
     Complexity
     High initial startup costs
     Maintenance costs

                © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
   Pros
     Quick startup
     Deep functionality for pure play vendor
     Integration with “taking action” for services vendors

   Cons
     Many SaaS providers require co-ownership of data
     Possible player cannibalization by other customers of
      SaaS vendor
     Linear cost increase with more games

                © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
   Change your behavior
     Better user acquisition sources
     Game design


   Change player behavior (CRM)
     More effective targeting of monetization
      campaigns
     More effective targeting of retention campaigns


               © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
© 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Opportunity
Get more borderline converters to actually
 make first-time-purchase

Solution
Analyzed available game play data to group
 players into 20 different conversion segment.
Sent email promotion to top segment with A-B
 test.
            © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
160%
             Higher




No promo                             Sonamine promo


   © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
150%
               higher




Random promo                           Sonamine promo


  © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Automated campaigns could increase new
 conversions by 10%

Additional revenue 5x greater than investment




           © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
© 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Opportunity
Get more borderline churners to stay in game

Solution
Analyzed available game play data to group
 players into 20 different conversion segment.
Show in game promo to likely churners, using
 A-B test to gauge results.
KPIs are change in engagement metrics after 1
 week of campaign.
           © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
Sonamine promo                                                            1

                                               72%
      Sonamine no promo


        11%
                                                                                          0

      Avg level up / player             Users with virtual transactions       Monetized users

                    -30%




                                                           -86%


   Accurate predictions.
   Pop up promotion increases retention, while not leaving
    money on the table by offering promo to all players.
                              © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
   What is the Return on Analytics?
     Improvement in revenue/cost/profit from analytic
      decision
     Cost of all analytics = data
      collection, tools, analysts, services
   Prioritize analytic efforts
     Which type moves the needle, or highest ROA?



                © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
   ConvertSoon™
     Automated list of players most likely to make a first
      time purchase
   ChurnSoon™
     Automated list of players most likely to abandon the
      game
   PurchaseMoreSoon™
     Automated list of players most likely to purchase
      more items
   InfluenceSoon™
     Automated list of players most likely to influence their
      friends.
                 © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary

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Analytics Optimization Case Studies Under 40 Characters

  • 2. Why do we need analytics?  Making sense of “analytics”  Vendors, implementation options  How to use analytics  Case study – First time spender conversion  Case study – Retention © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 3. Persistent player profiles  Players pay you over time  Connected games  Free to play  Telecoms, banks, retailers have been doing this for a while now… © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 4. Optimization What’s the best that can happen? FUTURE Predictions What will happen next? Forecasting What if these trends continue? Statistical analysis Why is this happening? Value Alerts What just happened? Query / drill-down PAST Where is the problem? Ad hoc reports How many, how often, where? Standard reports What happened? Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris Degree of Intelligence © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 5. Optimization Automatic, What’s the best that can happen? machine learning Predictions What will happen next? Forecasting What if these trends continue? Statistical analysis Why is this happening? Value Alerts What just happened? Query / drill-down Human Where is the problem? analyst Ad hoc reports and How many, how often, where? interactive Standard reports What happened? Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris Degree of Intelligence © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 6. Optimization Hundreds / thousands of What’s the best that can happen? variables crunched by Predictions machine What will happen next? Forecasting What if these trends continue? Statistical analysis Why is this happening? Value < 20 Alerts variables What just happened? processed Query / drill-down by human Where is the problem? at one Ad hoc reports time How many, how often, where? Standard reports What happened? Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris Degree of Intelligence © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 7. Optimization What’s the best that can happen? Predictions User scoring, machine learning What will happen next? Forecasting What if these trends continue? Statistical analysis User segmentation, machine Why is this happening? learning Alerts Real Time, monitoring What just happened? Query / drill-down Filtering, slice and dice, group by, Where is the problem? page by Ad hoc reports Custom Segmentation, on-the-fly, How many, how often, where? cohort analysis Standard reports Dashboards, cohort reports, What happened? Source: Competing on Analytics Davenport & Harris © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 8. Actions • Optimization • Predictions • Forecasting • Stats Reporting • Alerts • Queries • Ad hoc • Canned Analytics Analytics SaaS Services softwareSonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary © 2009-11
  • 9. Pros  Data control, no chance of player cannibilization  Flexible and customizable  No added costs for multiple games  Cons  Complexity  High initial startup costs  Maintenance costs © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 10. Pros  Quick startup  Deep functionality for pure play vendor  Integration with “taking action” for services vendors  Cons  Many SaaS providers require co-ownership of data  Possible player cannibalization by other customers of SaaS vendor  Linear cost increase with more games © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 11. Change your behavior  Better user acquisition sources  Game design  Change player behavior (CRM)  More effective targeting of monetization campaigns  More effective targeting of retention campaigns © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 12. © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 13. Opportunity Get more borderline converters to actually make first-time-purchase Solution Analyzed available game play data to group players into 20 different conversion segment. Sent email promotion to top segment with A-B test. © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 14. 160% Higher No promo Sonamine promo © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 15. 150% higher Random promo Sonamine promo © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 16. Automated campaigns could increase new conversions by 10% Additional revenue 5x greater than investment © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 17. © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 18. Opportunity Get more borderline churners to stay in game Solution Analyzed available game play data to group players into 20 different conversion segment. Show in game promo to likely churners, using A-B test to gauge results. KPIs are change in engagement metrics after 1 week of campaign. © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 19. Sonamine promo 1 72% Sonamine no promo 11% 0 Avg level up / player Users with virtual transactions Monetized users -30% -86%  Accurate predictions.  Pop up promotion increases retention, while not leaving money on the table by offering promo to all players. © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 20. What is the Return on Analytics?  Improvement in revenue/cost/profit from analytic decision  Cost of all analytics = data collection, tools, analysts, services  Prioritize analytic efforts  Which type moves the needle, or highest ROA? © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary
  • 21. ConvertSoon™  Automated list of players most likely to make a first time purchase  ChurnSoon™  Automated list of players most likely to abandon the game  PurchaseMoreSoon™  Automated list of players most likely to purchase more items  InfluenceSoon™  Automated list of players most likely to influence their friends. © 2009-11 Sonamine LLC. Confidential and proprietary