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Non-Traditional Tools for
    Understanding Consumers

      Prepared for:
      Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005


      Prepared by: Spire Research & Consulting




      Date: 25 August 2005



Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005   Page 1
Spire background

        Spire: A strategic market intelligence firm serving enterprises in the Asia-Pacific.

        We focus on holistic, strategic studies on the external business environment to
        support market entry, feasibility and strategic investment decision-making.


        Material for this session is drawn from Spire’s regional practice and from material
        published in the Spire E-Quarterly.


        To receive the Spire E-Quarterly, please email us at ejournal@spireresearch.com




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005     Date: 25 August 2005                 Page 2
Thesis: Non-traditional research tools add value when used prior to
                    traditional consumer research programs

        Non-traditional tools include:
             Secondary data analysis
             Expert interviewing, targeting:
             Expert observers of a market
             Channels
             Competitor and substitute analysis

        Non-traditional tools can be useful in:
             Setting priorities for traditional consumer market research investment
             Formulating hypotheses for testing
             Adding context to better understand consumer research findings

        Non-traditional tools can be a powerful source of competitive advantage in a
        consumer insight program – informing recruitment criteria, questionnaire or DG
        design and interpretation of results.




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005             Page 3
Example: The China Beer Market
                  Scenario: Introducing an imported, foreign brand of beer into China


    Secondary research                                                         Review consumer study objectives –
                                                                               focus on promising niches?
     To understand share of imported/foreign beer and trend, from
    analysis of trade data



                                                                               First register which are the import
    Expert interviews and visits to pubs, hotels and retailers for             brands that have a foothold – later
                                                                               used to test consumer awareness of
    products checks
                                                                               those brands to work out best
      To form a preliminary view on the major imported brands                  positioning



                                                                               To later design consumer
    Key Competitor analysis using secondary research                           questionnaire to test importance of
     To analyze data on critical success factors such as bottle design         competitor CSFs – e.g. is choice of
    and relationships with key channels                                        pub more important than choice of
                                                                               brand



    Channel interviews (distributors, retailers, pubs, hotels),
    secondary research on geographic and demographic                           If there is need to prioritize
    patterns by income and beer consumption                                    consumer research budget, use this
                                                                               to help decide focus by geography
     To form a preliminary view on promising channel segments,                 or channel segment
    customer segments and geographic regions


Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                                   Page 4
How do non-traditional research tools add value?

        The value of non-traditional tools can be seen in terms of:
             Setting priorities for traditional consumer market research investment where necessary:
             Selecting geographic areas of greatest interest
             Prioritizing segments of greatest interest by product category or customer type
             Formulating hypotheses for testing using consumer research tools
             Providing context for understanding consumer research findings




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                           Page 5
Identifying promising Geographic zones

       We can prioritize geographic areas by looking at economic or demographic
       indicators… But which ones?
             Much depends on whether one is marketing “high-end” or “low-end” consumer products or
             commercial/industrial products
             For products with low income elasticity, we should look more at population distribution,
             taking into account age, ethnic or religious demographics where necessary
             For products with high income elasticity, we should look more at metrics like income per
             head, household spending, retail sales or disposable income...
             …though this data is not always easily available by province and city and in some cases
             may need to be estimated


       We can prioritize geographic areas using macro-strategic research to discover
       historical sales of product by type
             Secondary data may be available in some cases, eg vehicle registrations by province…
             …but often, secondary data is not available and estimates need to be made based on
             industry interviews
             Judgments about promising geographic regions should take into consideration not only
             absolute sales volumes but sales values
             and the likely growth rate, taking into account product life cycles




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                            Page 6
Identifying promising Product Categories

        Prioritizing segments by product category, price band or customer type is another
        path for non-traditional tools to add value


        Product category prioritization:
             Often a program of consumer research examines demand for a product category which
             has a number of sub-categories, e.g. different engine capacities for motorcycles
             Macro-strategic research tools can be used to elicit information on historical and forecasted
             future sales by product sub-category, based on secondary data searches and information
             exchange with channels and competitor producers
             This helps to prioritize focus by product category, to make best use of limited budget or time




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                           Page 7
Identifying promising Customer Segments

        Customer segment prioritization


        This objective is more problematic using non-traditional tools

        Engaging with channels to understand their view of key segments can be of value

        For example:
             Power tools research, where non-traditional tools helped determine what proportion of the
             market was DIY/home consumer versus industrial users, a critical input for prioritizing
             customer segments for traditional research
             Research on data-enabled phones – interviews with retailers to understand characteristics
             of customers in terms of demographic profile and line of work, to validate our hypotheses
             about what profile of customers to recruit for consumer research
             Research on industrial equipment – arriving at a view on the most promising vertical
             segments and geographic regions by starting first with competitor and channel interviews
             before going on to customer interviews




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                        Page 8
Formulating Hypothesis for Testing

        Formulating or validating initial hypotheses for testing
        can be done with the help of expert or channel
        interviews and secondary research. These can relate to:
             Usage and attitude towards product category and brands
             Drivers of buying and switching behavior
             Which competitors or substitutes have a strong position

             Examples of using non-traditional tools prior to
             consumer research, to generate hypotheses for
             testing
             Online sales of electrical and electronic goods in Japan –
             competitor benchmarking suggested that Japanese e-
             commerce consumers prefer a COD mode of payment
             Home computer peripherals - competitor analysis helped
             our client to ask the right questions during consumer
             research about reactions to new competitor product
             concepts




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005   Page 9
Interpreting Consumer Research Findings

        Non-traditional tools can provide context for understanding and making use of
        consumer research data by, for example:
             Understanding the reasons behind consumer research findings, for example changes in the
             economy or access to credit which may impact consumer interest in a product
             Quantifying the size of demographic, economic or geographic segments, so as to set
             feasible sales targets
             Understanding the number, distribution and companies in specific types of channels (for
             example: hypermarkets, DIY retail stores, Post Office outlets, photography mini-labs), to help
             plan channel programs
             Elaborating on legal and regulatory requirements necessary when at the go-to-market
             stage




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                          Page 10
Non-traditional tools: Secondary Research

       Secondary data analysis encompasses :
             Published economic, demographic and industry data
             The reliability of sources, even where they are Government sources, needs to be scrutinized
             and adjustments made where necessary
             Such data can inform the choice of consumer research method – for example telephone
             penetration viewed in conjunction with income per head data can help decide if most of
             the targeted segment can be reached by telephone

       Product sales trend data is sometimes available from published sources, based on
       underlying macro-environmental research programs
             Import/export data and production data can be extracted and examined
             Trade data for product categories is often grouped together to secure minimum numbers of
             data points per HS code
             Trade data should be adjusted for re-exports
             Trade data in some Asian countries should be used with caution due to problems with
             underlying data collection accuracy
             For products where substantial volumes are not imported but locally produced, local
             production data can be crucial…but sometimes hard to find




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                        Page 11
Non-traditional tools: Secondary Research (cont’d)

        Published market commentary is often very helpful in formulating hypotheses about:
             Trends in product design, consumption patterns, competition, distribution and technology
             Popular product sub-categories


        Such commentary can be found in trade periodicals and news media, but also from
        other sources such as:
             Sector reports published by investment banks
             Competitor press releases, annual reports and IPO prospectuses
             Trade and country news websites
             Example: a press released on a publicly listed competitor’s website highlighted consumer
             research findings on a stationery product market in Korea




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                       Page 12
Non-traditional tools: Competitor Product Analysis

        Studying competitor or substitute products can yield valuable inputs for designing
        consumer research questionnaires and discussion guides
             For example, when researching the digital print mini-lab business, knowing that online print
             websites are thriving in a country like Korea may suggest a question about when they would
             print online versus visiting a digital mini-lab

        Another example: when researching almonds in Indonesia, local products were
        found that looked similar to almonds, known as “Java almonds.”
             Consumer interviewees were shown the difference between Java almonds and Western
             almonds, to ensure correct survey results




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                        Page 13
Non-traditional tools: Expert Interviewing

        Experts can offer input on prioritization & hypotheses for testing

        Who could be experts?
             Academics.
                   Example: Business school academic specializing in BPO, interviewed for a project on document
                   outsourcing
             Journalists
                   Can be trade periodical journalists but also news media journalists with relevant specialization
             Government officials
                   Useful because regulators can offer an understanding of the market situation, but also
                   because Government influences trends rather than just observing them
             Trade bodies
                   Can be useful in cases where the trade organization has permanent staff and conducts
                   research.


        A Delphic approach can be used to process expert feedback




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                                          Page 14
Non-traditional tools: Channel Interviewing

        The client’s channels can be engaged using in-depth interviews or focus groups
        bringing together executives with similar roles in the channel company – Spire is
        experienced in both

        The value of Channel interviews is similar to that for Experts
             The principle to follow would be to select channels that are closest to the end-customer and
             to interview the relevant individuals in the company
             For some industrial and commercial products, the decision-making process can be
             complex and elongated, with various tiers of channels, contactors and consultants
             influencing or even making the decision to buy
             Understanding novel channels will help in prompting consumers during qualitative or
             quantitative consumer research. Novel but emerging channels would include auction web-
             sites, Multi-Level Marketing and direct sales initiatives from manufacturers




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                        Page 15
Non-traditional tools: Competitor Analysis

        Studying how competitors view their customers, what new product concepts they
        have placed before customers and how their activity may have impacted customer
        attitudes and perceptions…

        …is valuable in designing consumer research tools.

        We should also study providers of substitutes and successful best practice leaders
        which may not be direct competitors.

        Forecasting competitor future plans can be useful.

        Examples:
             Using patent searches to suggest new product concepts in the competitors pipeline, which
             can be tested in consumer research to determine the best counter-strategy
             Studying product substitutes when researching a consumer data storage product, to
             understand what was the closest substitute people now had to our client's product. In some
             countries, it was flash cards and for others, back-up portable drives. Recruitment of
             consumer respondents would be by ownership of the dominant product.
             Studying a successful direct selling firm in Japan, learning how customers may call up
             several times to ask questions before they buy – this hypothesis could be tested in consumer
             research

Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                        Page 16
Non-traditional tools: Client Interviews

        Lastly, it should be noted that interviews with client company executives
        in charge of local sales can be useful in developing initial hypotheses to inform
        consumer research.

        Interviews or focus groups that are conducted by an external market research firm
        can be more useful in eliciting frank feedback about the market situation from such
        executives.




Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                Page 17
Tel: (65) 6838 5355
                                                                           Fax: (65) 6838 5855
                                                                      78 Shenton Way #20-01
                                                                            Singapore 079120
                                                                  sg.info@spireresearch.com
                                                                     www.spireresearch.com



Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005   Date: 25 August 2005                     Page 18

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050825_Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005_Non-Traditional Tools for Understanding Consumers

  • 1. Non-Traditional Tools for Understanding Consumers Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Prepared by: Spire Research & Consulting Date: 25 August 2005 Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 1
  • 2. Spire background Spire: A strategic market intelligence firm serving enterprises in the Asia-Pacific. We focus on holistic, strategic studies on the external business environment to support market entry, feasibility and strategic investment decision-making. Material for this session is drawn from Spire’s regional practice and from material published in the Spire E-Quarterly. To receive the Spire E-Quarterly, please email us at ejournal@spireresearch.com Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 2
  • 3. Thesis: Non-traditional research tools add value when used prior to traditional consumer research programs Non-traditional tools include: Secondary data analysis Expert interviewing, targeting: Expert observers of a market Channels Competitor and substitute analysis Non-traditional tools can be useful in: Setting priorities for traditional consumer market research investment Formulating hypotheses for testing Adding context to better understand consumer research findings Non-traditional tools can be a powerful source of competitive advantage in a consumer insight program – informing recruitment criteria, questionnaire or DG design and interpretation of results. Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 3
  • 4. Example: The China Beer Market Scenario: Introducing an imported, foreign brand of beer into China Secondary research Review consumer study objectives – focus on promising niches? To understand share of imported/foreign beer and trend, from analysis of trade data First register which are the import Expert interviews and visits to pubs, hotels and retailers for brands that have a foothold – later used to test consumer awareness of products checks those brands to work out best To form a preliminary view on the major imported brands positioning To later design consumer Key Competitor analysis using secondary research questionnaire to test importance of To analyze data on critical success factors such as bottle design competitor CSFs – e.g. is choice of and relationships with key channels pub more important than choice of brand Channel interviews (distributors, retailers, pubs, hotels), secondary research on geographic and demographic If there is need to prioritize patterns by income and beer consumption consumer research budget, use this to help decide focus by geography To form a preliminary view on promising channel segments, or channel segment customer segments and geographic regions Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 4
  • 5. How do non-traditional research tools add value? The value of non-traditional tools can be seen in terms of: Setting priorities for traditional consumer market research investment where necessary: Selecting geographic areas of greatest interest Prioritizing segments of greatest interest by product category or customer type Formulating hypotheses for testing using consumer research tools Providing context for understanding consumer research findings Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 5
  • 6. Identifying promising Geographic zones We can prioritize geographic areas by looking at economic or demographic indicators… But which ones? Much depends on whether one is marketing “high-end” or “low-end” consumer products or commercial/industrial products For products with low income elasticity, we should look more at population distribution, taking into account age, ethnic or religious demographics where necessary For products with high income elasticity, we should look more at metrics like income per head, household spending, retail sales or disposable income... …though this data is not always easily available by province and city and in some cases may need to be estimated We can prioritize geographic areas using macro-strategic research to discover historical sales of product by type Secondary data may be available in some cases, eg vehicle registrations by province… …but often, secondary data is not available and estimates need to be made based on industry interviews Judgments about promising geographic regions should take into consideration not only absolute sales volumes but sales values and the likely growth rate, taking into account product life cycles Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 6
  • 7. Identifying promising Product Categories Prioritizing segments by product category, price band or customer type is another path for non-traditional tools to add value Product category prioritization: Often a program of consumer research examines demand for a product category which has a number of sub-categories, e.g. different engine capacities for motorcycles Macro-strategic research tools can be used to elicit information on historical and forecasted future sales by product sub-category, based on secondary data searches and information exchange with channels and competitor producers This helps to prioritize focus by product category, to make best use of limited budget or time Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 7
  • 8. Identifying promising Customer Segments Customer segment prioritization This objective is more problematic using non-traditional tools Engaging with channels to understand their view of key segments can be of value For example: Power tools research, where non-traditional tools helped determine what proportion of the market was DIY/home consumer versus industrial users, a critical input for prioritizing customer segments for traditional research Research on data-enabled phones – interviews with retailers to understand characteristics of customers in terms of demographic profile and line of work, to validate our hypotheses about what profile of customers to recruit for consumer research Research on industrial equipment – arriving at a view on the most promising vertical segments and geographic regions by starting first with competitor and channel interviews before going on to customer interviews Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 8
  • 9. Formulating Hypothesis for Testing Formulating or validating initial hypotheses for testing can be done with the help of expert or channel interviews and secondary research. These can relate to: Usage and attitude towards product category and brands Drivers of buying and switching behavior Which competitors or substitutes have a strong position Examples of using non-traditional tools prior to consumer research, to generate hypotheses for testing Online sales of electrical and electronic goods in Japan – competitor benchmarking suggested that Japanese e- commerce consumers prefer a COD mode of payment Home computer peripherals - competitor analysis helped our client to ask the right questions during consumer research about reactions to new competitor product concepts Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 9
  • 10. Interpreting Consumer Research Findings Non-traditional tools can provide context for understanding and making use of consumer research data by, for example: Understanding the reasons behind consumer research findings, for example changes in the economy or access to credit which may impact consumer interest in a product Quantifying the size of demographic, economic or geographic segments, so as to set feasible sales targets Understanding the number, distribution and companies in specific types of channels (for example: hypermarkets, DIY retail stores, Post Office outlets, photography mini-labs), to help plan channel programs Elaborating on legal and regulatory requirements necessary when at the go-to-market stage Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 10
  • 11. Non-traditional tools: Secondary Research Secondary data analysis encompasses : Published economic, demographic and industry data The reliability of sources, even where they are Government sources, needs to be scrutinized and adjustments made where necessary Such data can inform the choice of consumer research method – for example telephone penetration viewed in conjunction with income per head data can help decide if most of the targeted segment can be reached by telephone Product sales trend data is sometimes available from published sources, based on underlying macro-environmental research programs Import/export data and production data can be extracted and examined Trade data for product categories is often grouped together to secure minimum numbers of data points per HS code Trade data should be adjusted for re-exports Trade data in some Asian countries should be used with caution due to problems with underlying data collection accuracy For products where substantial volumes are not imported but locally produced, local production data can be crucial…but sometimes hard to find Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 11
  • 12. Non-traditional tools: Secondary Research (cont’d) Published market commentary is often very helpful in formulating hypotheses about: Trends in product design, consumption patterns, competition, distribution and technology Popular product sub-categories Such commentary can be found in trade periodicals and news media, but also from other sources such as: Sector reports published by investment banks Competitor press releases, annual reports and IPO prospectuses Trade and country news websites Example: a press released on a publicly listed competitor’s website highlighted consumer research findings on a stationery product market in Korea Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 12
  • 13. Non-traditional tools: Competitor Product Analysis Studying competitor or substitute products can yield valuable inputs for designing consumer research questionnaires and discussion guides For example, when researching the digital print mini-lab business, knowing that online print websites are thriving in a country like Korea may suggest a question about when they would print online versus visiting a digital mini-lab Another example: when researching almonds in Indonesia, local products were found that looked similar to almonds, known as “Java almonds.” Consumer interviewees were shown the difference between Java almonds and Western almonds, to ensure correct survey results Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 13
  • 14. Non-traditional tools: Expert Interviewing Experts can offer input on prioritization & hypotheses for testing Who could be experts? Academics. Example: Business school academic specializing in BPO, interviewed for a project on document outsourcing Journalists Can be trade periodical journalists but also news media journalists with relevant specialization Government officials Useful because regulators can offer an understanding of the market situation, but also because Government influences trends rather than just observing them Trade bodies Can be useful in cases where the trade organization has permanent staff and conducts research. A Delphic approach can be used to process expert feedback Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 14
  • 15. Non-traditional tools: Channel Interviewing The client’s channels can be engaged using in-depth interviews or focus groups bringing together executives with similar roles in the channel company – Spire is experienced in both The value of Channel interviews is similar to that for Experts The principle to follow would be to select channels that are closest to the end-customer and to interview the relevant individuals in the company For some industrial and commercial products, the decision-making process can be complex and elongated, with various tiers of channels, contactors and consultants influencing or even making the decision to buy Understanding novel channels will help in prompting consumers during qualitative or quantitative consumer research. Novel but emerging channels would include auction web- sites, Multi-Level Marketing and direct sales initiatives from manufacturers Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 15
  • 16. Non-traditional tools: Competitor Analysis Studying how competitors view their customers, what new product concepts they have placed before customers and how their activity may have impacted customer attitudes and perceptions… …is valuable in designing consumer research tools. We should also study providers of substitutes and successful best practice leaders which may not be direct competitors. Forecasting competitor future plans can be useful. Examples: Using patent searches to suggest new product concepts in the competitors pipeline, which can be tested in consumer research to determine the best counter-strategy Studying product substitutes when researching a consumer data storage product, to understand what was the closest substitute people now had to our client's product. In some countries, it was flash cards and for others, back-up portable drives. Recruitment of consumer respondents would be by ownership of the dominant product. Studying a successful direct selling firm in Japan, learning how customers may call up several times to ask questions before they buy – this hypothesis could be tested in consumer research Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 16
  • 17. Non-traditional tools: Client Interviews Lastly, it should be noted that interviews with client company executives in charge of local sales can be useful in developing initial hypotheses to inform consumer research. Interviews or focus groups that are conducted by an external market research firm can be more useful in eliciting frank feedback about the market situation from such executives. Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 17
  • 18. Tel: (65) 6838 5355 Fax: (65) 6838 5855 78 Shenton Way #20-01 Singapore 079120 sg.info@spireresearch.com www.spireresearch.com Prepared for: Address to Insight Asia Conference 2005 Date: 25 August 2005 Page 18