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SRI KRISHNA CONSULTING

                                               COMPANY FINALYTICS




                                             American Express Co


                         Exclusive Fundamental Analysis of US Stocks



                                                        Prepared and Edited By‐
                                                 SRI KRISHNA CONSULTING


                                  Download more reports from http://www.srikrishnaconsulting.com




                                                                      Disclaimer

   The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained in this document have been arrived at or obtained from public sources believed to be 
reliable and in good faith which has not been independently verified and no warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or 
                                                                      correctness. 




        For more information about this sample and our other services, please write to info@srikrishnaconsulting.com



                                                    Monday, June 04, 2012
Description                                                    Page

                              Summary                                                                               3
                                               Latest Result                                                        3
                                               Valuation Matrix                                                     3
                                               ROE Analysis                                                         3

                              Income Statement                                                                      4

                              Balance Sheet                                                                         5

                              Cash flow Statement                                                                   6

                              Quarterly Result                                                                      6

                              Growth Analysis                                                                       7

                              Comparative Analysis                                                                  8
                                            Income Statement                                                        8
                                            Balance Sheet                                                           8

                              Index Analysis                                                                        9
                                               Income Statement                                                     9
                                               Balance Sheet                                                        9

                              Ratio Analysis                                                                       10
                                               Annual                                                              10
                                               Quarterly                                                           11

                              TTM Analysis                                                                         11

                              Valuation and Projection                                                             12
         CONTENT              Technical Analysis                                                                   13




                                                 About Sri Krishna Consulting
                   We provide financial research and analytics services to our worldwide client. Our research is customized and 
                   proprietary to our clients and often provided in client formats and templates. Our expert team of analyst add 
                   crucial values to client proprietary methodology and add efficiencies.
                   We have four areas of practice:
                   ‐‐Equity Research
                   ‐‐Credit Research
                   ‐‐Commodities Research
                   ‐‐Consultancy and Strategy.
                   With a zeal to perform, we adopt best quality driven process and approaches. Our quality driven process and 
                   approaches have already give us a place as a top‐tire provider of Financial Research and Analytics.

                   Financial Research Team
                   We have a robust investment research team with expertise in the financial domain. These professionals 
                   include CFAs, CAs and MBAs specializing in finance, with expertise in investment and retail banking, equity 
                   research, financial and sectoral analysis, etc. Our delivery teams are the core of our business, and we maintain 
                   their exceptional quality by selecting personnel on the basis of educational and functional experience. Our HR 
                   teams are always searching for outstanding performers.




                                                    Contact Us: info@srikrishnaconsulting.com




                                       © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com
Page 2
Summary
Latest Results                                                                                                                   At a glance
                                 Annual                          Quarterly                                TTM                    Business Summary
                                                  % Change                          % Change                         % Change
                               12/31/2011                        2012 Q1                                2012 Q1
             Sales                32282.00          7.59         8188.00              (1.55)           32846.00       1.75
                                                                                                                                    American Express Company is primarily engaged in the 
            EBITDA                10005.00          9.61         2601.00               0.04            10243.00       0.48
                                                                                                                                    business of providing travel related services, financial 
         Adjusted PAT              4899.00         20.75         1256.00               0.05            4978.00        1.61
                                                                                                                                     advisory services and international banking services 
         Reported PAT              4935.00         21.64         1256.00               0.05            5014.00        1.60
                                                                                                                                                    throughout the world.
              EPS                     3.77         30.83          1.07                 0.06              4.27         1.35


                                                                                                                                                                               Credit Services
                                                                                                                                 Industry
Valuation Data                                                                                                                   Latest 10 K filing                               12/31/2011
                                                                                                                                 Latest 10 Q Filing                                 3/31/2012
                                         Company                                               Industry                          Next Report Date                                   7/18/2012
          P/E(TTM)                        12.69                                                 27.46                            No. of Employee                                       62,500
                                                                                                                                 No. Equity Share 
         P/E(Forward)                     12.33                                                  NA                                                                                       1173
                                                                                                                                 (Million)
         PEG Ratio                        1.05                                                   NA                              Price                                                  53.43
        Price/Sales                       1.87                                                  7.33                             Market Cap (Million)                                62673.39
     Dividend Yield(%)                    1.50                                                  1.85                             Total Debt                                        126497.00
        Price/Book                        3.13                                                  4.15                             Enterprise Value                                   189170.39
   Price/Free Cash Flow                   5.43                                                  0.95
   Price/Enterprise Value                 0.33                                                   NA                              Market Data
                                                                                                                                 Exchange Traded                                         NYSE
                                                                                                                                 Ticker                                                   AXP
ROE Analysis                                                                                                                     52 Week High                                            61.42
                                                                                                                                 52 Week Low                                              41.3
        Particulars               2007             2008              2009             2010                 2011                  Short Interest Ratio                                     2.29
    Reported PAT / PBT            0.70             0.75              0.75             0.68                 0.71                  Beta                                                     1.83
   Normalized PAT / PBT           0.59             0.67              0.53             0.58                 0.65                  Average Target Price                                    63.33
        PBT / PBIT                0.59             0.50              0.56             0.71                 0.75                  One Year Return                                          8.42
        PBIT / Sales              0.31             0.22              0.19             0.28                 0.29                  Three Months Return                                      0.43
    Sales / Total Assets          0.25             0.29              0.23             0.22                 0.23                  One Month Return                                        ‐11.1
    Total Assets / Net 
  Worth(Without Treasury                                                                                                                         Analyst Rating
          Stock)                1126.50           917.60         789.52              823.07               742.02
 Reported ROE (Excluding 
      Treasury Stock)            36.38             22.79             14.79           25.00                26.26
 Normalized ROE(Excluding                                                                                                                          Strong 
      Treasury Stock)            30.47             20.38             10.39           21.43                23.96                                     Buy 
                                                                                                                                                     11    Hold 
  Reported ROE (Including 
      Treasury Stock)              NA               NA                NA               NA                  NA                                               8
 Normalized ROE(Including 
      Treasury Stock)              NA               NA                NA               NA                  NA




                                                       ROE

          30.47                                                                                                                   83.57

                                                                                                  23.96 
                                                                           21.43                                                                      Ownership (%)
                             20.38 

                                                                                                                                                   42
                                                   10.39 



                   0.00               0.00                   0.00                   0.00                     0.00                                                0.92             1

              2007               2008                  2009                    2010                    2011                     Institutional  Top 10     Mutual Fund  5%/Insider 
                                                                                                                                 Ownership  Institutions  Ownership  Ownership 
                                                                                                                                     (%)         (%)         (%)          (%) 
               Normalized ROE(Excluding Treasury Stock)        Normalized ROE(Including Treasury Stock)




                                                                           © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com
Page 3
Income Statement
  Particulars (in Millions)                2007              2008         2009            2010               2011

            Sales                  31540.00            31920.00       26543.00       30005.00         32282.00
                                                                                                                                              Operating Income
                                                                                                                                  31,540 31,920                     32,282     12000.00 
     cost of goods sold                 (601.00)        (629.00)       (930.00)        (741.00)           (729.00)                                         30,005
                                                                                                                                                  26,543                       10000.00 
        Gross profit               32141.00            32549.00       27473.00       30746.00         33011.00
    General selling and 
  administrative expenses          17352.00            20010.00       19000.00       18754.00         19899.00                                                                 8000.00 
 Research and development 
         expenses                          0.00              0.00         0.00            0.00               0.00                                                              6000.00 
      other operating 
    income/(Expenses)                  (4513.00)       (4774.00)      (2495.00)      (2864.00)        (3107.00)                                                                4000.00 

      Operating profit             10276.00             7765.00        5978.00        9128.00         10005.00                                                                 2000.00 
   Other non‐operating 
    income/(expenses)                      0.00              0.00         0.00            0.00               0.00                                                              0.00 
                                                                                                                                   2007    2008     2009   2010      2011
           EBITDA                  10276.00             7765.00        5978.00        9128.00         10005.00

         Depreciation                   601.00           629.00         930.00         741.00              729.00

            EBIT                       9675.00          7136.00        5048.00        8387.00             9276.00                     Operating profit         EBITDA            Sales

     Interest expenses                 3981.00          3555.00        2207.00        2423.00             2320.00

             EBT                       5694.00          3581.00        2841.00        5964.00             6956.00

             Tax                       1568.00           710.00         704.00        1907.00             2057.00
                                                                                                                                    Financial Data Mining
             EAT                       4126.00          2871.00        2137.00        4057.00             4899.00

   Non recurring income                 (114.00)        (172.00)         (7.00)           0.00              36.00                         Get a Free Quote
     Reported profit                   4012.00          2699.00        2130.00        4057.00             4935.00
     Minority Interest                        0                0              0              0                   0




                                                                                  Profit Levels




                    2007                               2008                           2009                                  2010                              2011

                        Gross profit               Operating profit              EBITDA             EBIT              EBT            EAT              Reported profit


                                                                                 Profit Margins

      2011                                        102.26                                    30.99                    30.99                 28.73             21.55          15.18 
      2010                                         102.47                                        30.42                30.42                  27.95            19.88         13.52 
      2009                                              103.50                                                 22.52                22.52             19.02         10.70  8.05 
      2008                                             101.97                                               24.33              24.33                22.36           11.22  8.99 
      2007                                        101.91                                     32.58                    32.58                  30.68             18.05  13.08 

                                                   Gross profit       Operating profit        EBITDA           EBIT         EBT       EAT




                                                                          © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com
Page 4
Balance Sheet
   Particulars (in Millions)           2007          2008          2009           2010              2011
      Sources of Fund
        Owners Fund
                                                                                                                             Sources of Fund

 Redeemable Preferred Stock            0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00
    Preferred Stock ‐ Non 
      Redeemable, Net                  0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00
       Common Stock                 232.00         232.00       237.00         238.00             232.00
  Additional Paid‐In Capital      10164.00       10496.00     11144.00       11937.00           12217.00
     Retained Earnings 
   (Accumulated Deficit)           1075.00        2719.00      3737.00        4972.00            7221.00
  Treasury Stock ‐ Common              0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00
    ESOP Debt Guarantee                0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00
    Unrealized Gain (Loss)          (59.00)       (779.00)      479.00          50.00             287.00

     Other Equity, Total           (383.00)       (827.00)     (1191.00)       (967.00)         (1163.00)
         Total Equity             11029.00       11841.00     14406.00       16230.00           18794.00

         Loan Fund
      Long Term Debt              55285.00       60041.00     52338.00       66416.00           59570.00

  Capital Lease Obligations            0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00         2007      2008      2009      2010      2011
    Deferred Income Tax                0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00
                                                                                                                       Total Equity           Total Loan Fund
      Minority Interest                0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00

   Other Liabilities, Total       57928.00       36771.00     46994.00       50938.00        61091.00
     Total Loan Fund             113213.00       96812.00     99332.00      117354.00       120661.00
        Total Fund               124242.00      108653.00    113738.00      133584.00       139455.00
                                                                                                                           Application of Funds
       Uses of funds
        Fixed Assets
 Property/Plant/Equipment, 
         Total ‐ Net               2692.00        2948.00      2782.00        2905.00            3367.00
       Goodwill, Net               1508.00        2301.00      2328.00        2639.00            3172.00
      Intangibles, Net              204.00         717.00       717.00         972.00            1149.00
   Long Term Investments          20392.00       31499.00     39411.00       28221.00           28526.00

 Note Receivable ‐ Long Term           0.00          0.00          0.00           0.00              0.00


Other Long Term Assets, Total     24965.00        3924.00      5171.00        7569.00         3459.00
     Other Assets, Total          55670.00       44021.00     32174.00       60002.00        63663.00            2007       2008       2009       2010       2011
     Total Fixed Assets          105431.00       85410.00     82583.00      102308.00       103336.00
     Net Current Assets                                                                                                        Total Fixed Assets
     Total Current Assets         44312.00       40664.00     42562.00       44381.00           50001.00
                                                                                                                               Total Net Current Assets
   Total Current Liabilities      25501.00       17421.00     11407.00       13105.00           13882.00
  Total Net Current Assets        18811.00       23243.00     31155.00       31276.00        36119.00
        Total Assets             124242.00      108653.00    113738.00      133584.00       139455.00



                                             % of Total Fund
              91.12             89.10             87.33            87.85              86.52 


                                                                                                                        Financial Data Mining

               8.88             10.90             12.67            12.15              13.48                                 Get a Free Quote

               2007             2008              2009             2010                  2011

                                   Total Loan Fund            Total Equity




                                                                  © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com
Page 5
Cash flow Statement
   Particulars (in Millions)           2007           2008            2009           2010           2011

                                                                                                                                       Cash Flow
Cash from Operating Activities      8011.00        7773.00         6337.00       8935.00        10475.00

Cash from Investing Activities    (16621.00)       7561.00        (6752.00)     (1229.00)        (491.00)

Cash from Financing Activities     15466.00    (10440.00)         (4647.00)     (8084.00)       (1384.00)
  Foreign Exchange Effects           166.00        20.00              7.00        135.00          (63.00)
     Net Change in Cash             7022.00      4914.00          (5055.00)      (243.00)        8537.00
                                                                                                                    2007       2008        2009       2010        2011

Net Cash ‐ Beginning Balance           8246          16740           21654          16599          16356
 Net Cash ‐ Ending Balance            15268          21654           16599          16356          24893
                                                                                                                             Cash from Operating Activities
                                                                                                                             Cash from Investing Activities
                       Quarterly Income Statement                                                                            Cash from Financing Activities

  Particulars (in Millions) 2011 Q1        2011 Q2        2011 Q3        2011 Q4        2012 Q1
            Sales                 7624.00        8195.00        8146.00        8317.00        8188.00
     cost of goods sold           (227.00)       (278.00)       (228.00)       (185.00)       (254.00)
        Gross profit              7851.00        8473.00        8374.00        8502.00        8442.00
    General selling and 
  administrative expenses         4628.00        5184.00        4999.00        5177.00        5017.00
 Research and development 
          expenses
       other operating 
                                     0.00           0.00           0.00           0.00           0.00
                                                                                                                           Financial Data Mining
     income/(Expenses)             (671.00)        (669.00)        (861.00)      (817.00)        (824.00)
       Operating profit            2552.00         2620.00         2514.00       2508.00         2601.00
    Other non‐operating                                                                                                       Get a Free Quote
     income/(expenses)                0.00            0.00            0.00          0.00            0.00
           EBITDA                  2552.00         2620.00         2514.00       2508.00         2601.00
         Depreciation               227.00          278.00          228.00        185.00          254.00
             EBIT                  2325.00         2342.00         2286.00       2323.00         2347.00
      Interest expenses             593.00          577.00          575.00        575.00          574.00
             EBT                   1732.00         1765.00         1711.00       1748.00         1773.00
             Tax                    555.00          470.00          476.00        556.00          517.00
             EAT                   1177.00         1295.00         1235.00       1192.00         1256.00
    Non recurring income              0.00           36.00            0.00          0.00            0.00
       Reported profit             1177.00         1331.00         1235.00       1192.00         1256.00
      Minority Interest                   0               0               0             0               0




                                                        Sales and Profit Margin




                  2011 Q1                 2011 Q2                    2011 Q3                   2011 Q4                     2012 Q1

                                           Sales              Operating Profit Margin             PAT Margin




                                                                     © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com
Page 6
Growth Analysis
                                                                                                    Average          Median 
      Particulars (%)              2008           2009              2010            2011                                                   5 Year CAGR
                                                                                                    Growth           Growth
            Sales                         1.20       (16.85)           13.04             7.59             1.25            4.40                1.00
     cost of goods sold                   4.66        47.85           (20.32)           (1.62)            7.64            1.52                1.04
        Gross profit                      1.27       (15.59)           11.91             7.37             1.24            4.32                1.01

    General selling and 
  administrative expenses             15.32              (5.05)          (1.29)            6.11             3.77            2.41              1.03
 Research and development 
         expenses                         0.00           0.00              0.00            0.00             0.00            0.00              0.00
      other operating 
    income/(Expenses)                  5.78          (47.74)             14.79           8.48              (4.67)            7.13             0.93
      Operating profit               (24.44)         (23.01)             52.69           9.61               3.71            (6.70)            0.99

   Other non‐operating 
    income/(expenses)                  0.00             0.00            0.00            0.00              0.00               0.00             0.00
          EBITDA                     (24.44)         (23.01)           52.69            9.61              3.71              (6.70)            0.99
        Depreciation                   4.66           47.85           (20.32)          (1.62)             7.64               1.52             1.04
            EBIT                     (26.24)         (29.26)           66.15           10.60              5.31              (7.82)            0.99
     Interest expenses               (10.70)         (37.92)            9.79           (4.25)           (10.77)             (7.48)            0.90
            EBT                      (37.11)         (20.66)          109.93           16.63             17.20              (2.02)            1.04
            Tax                      (54.72)           (0.85)         170.88            7.87             30.80               3.51             1.06
            EAT                      (30.42)         (25.57)           89.85           20.75             13.65              (2.41)            1.03
   Non recurring income               50.88          (95.93)         (100.00)           0.00            (36.26)            (47.97)            (0.79)
      Reported profit                (32.73)         (21.08)           90.47           21.64             14.58               0.28             1.04
     Minority Interest                 0.00             0.00            0.00            0.00              0.00               0.00             0.00




                                                                  Growth Rates (Year on Year)




                            2008                                  2009                                     2010                                   2011


                        Sales      Gross profit            Operating profit           EBITDA            EBIT          EBT            EAT         Reported profit




                                                                     Profit Index (Year on Year)




                          2007                       2008                             2009                             2010                              2011

                           Sales          Gross profit            Operating profit                EBITDA            EBIT             EAT         Reported profit




                                                                         © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com
Page 7
Comparative Analysis
                                Income Statement
       Particulars (%)               2007       2008      2009          2010            2011
             Sales                 100.00     100.00    100.00        100.00          100.00
      cost of goods sold            (1.91)     (1.97)    (3.50)        (2.47)          (2.26)
         Gross profit              101.91     101.97    103.50        102.47          102.26
     General selling and 
   administrative expenses          55.02      62.69     71.58         62.50           61.64

 Research and development 
         expenses                    0.00       0.00      0.00           0.00           0.00
       other operating 
     income/(Expenses)              (14.31)   (14.96)    (9.40)        (9.55)          (9.62)                    Source of Fund (%) 2011
       Operating profit              32.58     24.33     22.52         30.42           30.99
    Other non‐operating 
     income/(expenses)               0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00                                         13%
           EBITDA                   32.58      24.33     22.52         30.42           30.99
         Depreciation                1.91       1.97      3.50          2.47            2.26
             EBIT                   30.68      22.36     19.02         27.95           28.73
      Interest expenses             12.62      11.14      8.31          8.08            7.19
             EBT                    18.05      11.22     10.70         19.88           21.55
             Tax                     4.97       2.22      2.65          6.36            6.37
             EAT                    13.08       8.99      8.05         13.52           15.18                             87%
    Non recurring income            (0.36)     (0.54)    (0.03)         0.00            0.11
       Reported profit              12.72       8.46      8.02         13.52           15.29
      Minority Interest              0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
                                                                                                                  Total Equity         Total Loan Fund

                                  Balance Sheet
        Particulars                   2007      2008      2009           2010           2011
      Sources of Fund
       Owners Fund

 Redeemable Preferred Stock          0.00       0.00      0.00           0.00           0.00
    Preferred Stock ‐ Non 
      Redeemable, Net                 0.00      0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
       Common Stock                   0.19      0.21      0.21          0.18            0.17
  Additional Paid‐In Capital          8.18      9.66      9.80          8.94            8.76
      Retained Earnings               0.87      2.50      3.29          3.72            5.18                         Application of Fund (%) 
  Treasury Stock ‐ Common             0.00      0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00                                  2011
    ESOP Debt Guarantee               0.00      0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
    Unrealized Gain (Loss)           (0.05)    (0.72)     0.42          0.04            0.21
     Other Equity, Total             (0.31)    (0.76)    (1.05)        (0.72)          (0.83)
                                                                                                                          26%
        Total Equity
              0                       8.88     10.90     12.67         12.15           13.48
          Loan Fund
      Long Term Debt                44.50      55.26     46.02         49.72           42.72
  Capital Lease Obligations          0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
   Deferred Income Tax               0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00                                                 74%
     Minority Interest               0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
   Other Liabilities, Total         46.63      33.84     41.32         38.13           43.81
      Total Loan Fund               91.12      89.10     87.33         87.85           86.52
         Total Fund                100.00     100.00    100.00        100.00          100.00
                                                                                                                    Total Fixed Assets
       Uses of funds
        Fixed Assets                                                                                                Total Net Current Assets
 Property/Plant/Equipment, 
         Total ‐ Net                 2.17       2.71      2.45          2.17            2.41
       Goodwill, Net                 1.21       2.12      2.05          1.98            2.27
      Intangibles, Net               0.16       0.66      0.63          0.73            0.82
   Long Term Investments            16.41      28.99     34.65         21.13           20.46

 Note Receivable ‐ Long Term         0.00       0.00      0.00           0.00           0.00                    Equity Research Report
Other Long Term Assets, Total       20.09       3.61      4.55          5.67            2.48
     Other Assets, Total            44.81      40.52     28.29         44.92           45.65
     Total Fixed Assets             84.86      78.61     72.61         76.59           74.10                          Get a Free Quote
     Net Current Assets
     Total Current Assets           35.67      37.43     37.42         33.22           35.85
   Total Current Liabilities        20.53      16.03     10.03           9.81           9.95
  Total Net Current Assets          15.14      21.39     27.39         23.41           25.90
        Total Assets               100.00     100.00    100.00        100.00          100.00



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Page 8
Index Analysis
                                Income Statement
          Particulars                   2007      2008      2009           2010           2011
                                (Base Year)
            Sales                     100.00    101.20    84.16          95.13          102.35
     cost of goods sold               100.00    104.66   154.74         123.29          121.30
        Gross profit                 100.00     101.27    85.48          95.66          102.71                     Credit/Bond Analysis
     General selling and              100.00    115.32   109.50         108.08          114.68
 Research and development               0.00      0.00     0.00           0.00            0.00
      other operating 
      Operating profit
                                      100.00
                                     100.00
                                                105.78
                                                 75.56
                                                          55.28
                                                          58.17
                                                                         63.46
                                                                         88.83
                                                                                         68.85
                                                                                         97.36
                                                                                                                      Get a Free Quote
    Other non‐operating                 0.00      0.00     0.00           0.00            0.00
          EBITDA                     100.00      75.56    58.17          88.83           97.36
        Depreciation                  100.00    104.66   154.74         123.29          121.30
            EBIT                     100.00      73.76    52.18          86.69           95.88
     Interest expenses                100.00     89.30    55.44          60.86           58.28
            EBT                      100.00      62.89    49.89         104.74          122.16
             Tax                      100.00     45.28    44.90         121.62          131.19
            EAT                      100.00      69.58    51.79          98.33          118.73
   Non recurring income               100.00    150.88     6.14           0.00          (31.58)
      Reported profit                100.00      67.27    53.09         101.12          123.01
      Minority Interest                 0.00      0.00     0.00           0.00            0.00



                                  Balance Sheet
          Particulars                  2007       2008      2009           2010           2011
       Sources of Fund
        Owners Fund
                                                                                                                 Index of Loan Fund and Fixed 
 Redeemable Preferred Stock            0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00                              Assets
    Preferred Stock ‐ Non              0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
       Common Stock                  100.00     100.00    102.16        102.59          100.00
  Additional Paid‐In Capital         100.00     103.27    109.64        117.44          120.20
      Retained Earnings              100.00     252.93    347.63        462.51          671.72
  Treasury Stock ‐ Common              0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
    ESOP Debt Guarantee                0.00       0.00      0.00          0.00            0.00
    Unrealized Gain (Loss)           100.00    1320.34   (811.86)       (84.75)        (486.44)
     Other Equity, Total             100.00     215.93    310.97        252.48          303.66
         Total Equity                100.00     107.36    130.62        147.16          170.41

          Loan Fund
      Long Term Debt                 100.00     108.60    94.67         120.13          107.75               2007       2008       2009        2010       2011
  Capital Lease Obligations            0.00       0.00     0.00           0.00            0.00
   Deferred Income Tax                 0.00       0.00     0.00           0.00            0.00
     Minority Interest                 0.00       0.00     0.00           0.00            0.00                    Total Loan Fund            Total Fixed Assets
   Other Liabilities, Total          100.00      63.48    81.12          87.93          105.46
      Total Loan Fund                100.00      85.51    87.74         103.66          106.58
         Total Fund                  100.00      87.45    91.55         107.52          112.24

         Uses of funds
         Fixed Assets

 Property/Plant/Equipment, 
         Total ‐ Net                 100.00     109.51   103.34         107.91          125.07
       Goodwill, Net                 100.00     152.59   154.38         175.00          210.34
      Intangibles, Net               100.00     351.47   351.47         476.47          563.24
   Long Term Investments             100.00     154.47   193.27         138.39          139.89

 Note Receivable ‐ Long Term           0.00       0.00      0.00           0.00           0.00

Other Long Term Assets, Total        100.00      15.72    20.71          30.32           13.86
     Other Assets, Total             100.00      79.07    57.79         107.78          114.36
     Total Fixed Assets              100.00      81.01    78.33          97.04           98.01
     Net Current Assets
     Total Current Assets            100.00      91.77    96.05         100.16          112.84
   Total Current Liabilities         100.00      68.31    44.73          51.39           54.44
  Total Net Current Assets           100.00     123.56   165.62         166.26          192.01
        Total Assets                 100.00      87.45    91.55         107.52          112.24




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Page 9
Ratio Analysis‐Annual
          Particulars                 2007           2008           2009              2010            2011
                                     Per Share Ratio
      Normalized EPS                  2.84           2.08           1.00              2.88            3.77
          Basic EPS                   3.40           2.33           1.54              3.37            4.14
         Diluted EPS                  3.34           2.32           1.54              3.35            4.12
     Adjusted Cash EPS                4.03           3.03           2.63              4.04            4.78                                   EPS Trend
     Dividend Per Share               0.63           0.72           0.72              0.72            0.72
  Operating Profit per Share          8.76           6.73           5.12              7.68            8.49
    Book Value Per Share 
 (Excluding Treasury Stocks)          9.40          10.26          12.33             13.66           15.95

     Book Value Per Share 
  (Including Treasury Stocks)         9.40          10.26          12.33             13.66           15.95
  Net Operating Income Per 
             Share                   26.89          27.66          22.73             25.26           27.40
    Free Reserve Per Share           0.92           2.36           3.20              4.19            6.13


                                  Profitability Ratio (%)                                                                   2007      2008       2009       2010      2011
     Operating Margin                32.58          24.33          22.52             30.42          30.99
    Gross Profit margin              101.91         101.97         103.50            102.47         102.26
                                                                                                                                 Normalized EPS            Basic EPS
     Net profit Margin               12.72           8.46           8.02             13.52          15.29
Normalized Net Profit Margin         10.66           7.56           5.64             11.59          13.95                        Diluted EPS
   Adjusted Cash Margin              14.99          10.96          11.55             15.99          17.43
    Effective Tax Rate               27.54          19.83          24.78             31.98          29.57
 Normalized Return on Net 
 Worth (Excluding Treasury 
          Stock)                     30.47          20.38          10.39             21.43           23.96

Reported Return on Net Worth 
  (Excluding Treasury Stock)         36.38          22.79          14.79             25.00           26.26                              Debt‐Equity Ratio
  Return on Long Term Fund           3.23           2.48           1.87              3.04            3.54


                                     Leverage Ratio
   Long term Debt/Equity                  5.01              5.07           3.63              4.09            3.17
     Total Debt/Equity                   10.27              8.18           6.90              7.23            6.42
  Owned Fund as % of Total 
           Fund                              8.88       10.90          12.67             12.15           13.48

 Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio                 0.30           0.37           0.32              0.29            0.31


                                     Liquidity Ratio                                                                        2007       2008       2009      2010       2011
         Current Ratio                       1.74           2.33           3.73              3.39            3.60
  Current Ratio (Including St. 
            Loans)                           1.74           2.33           3.73              3.39            3.60
                                                                                                                                           Long term Debt/Equity
         Quick Ratio                         1.74           2.33           3.73              3.39            3.60                          Total Debt/Equity
   Inventory Turnover Ratio                    NA             NA             NA                NA              NA


                                    Payout Ratio(%)
    Dividend Payout Ratio                17.94          29.12          40.01             21.37           17.47
 Dividend Pay out Ratio (Cash                                                                                                              Liquidity Ratio
           Profit)                       15.65          23.89          27.88             18.07           15.21
   Earning Retention Ratio               82.06          70.88          59.99             78.63           82.53

 Cash Earning Retention Ratio            84.35          76.11          72.12             81.93           84.79


                                     Coverage Ratio
Adjusted Cash flow Time Total 
            Debt                             0.07           0.08           0.06              0.08            0.09
 Financial Charges Coverage                                                                                                   2007      2008       2009       2010      2011
       Ratio (Pre Tax)                       2.43           2.01           2.29              3.46            4.00
 Financial Charges Coverage 
                                                                                                                                     Current Ratio
       Ratio (Post Tax)                      2.04           1.81           1.97              2.67            3.11
                                                                                                                                     Current Ratio (Including St. Loans)
                                                                                                                                     Quick Ratio




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Page 10
Ratio Analysis‐Quarter
                                   Per Share Ratio                                                                              Per Share Ratio (QoQ)
        Particulars               2011 Q1       2011 Q2         2011 Q3        2011 Q4           2012 Q1
    Operating Income Per 
         Share(Rs.)                     6.36           6.85           6.90            7.15               7.02

Operating Profit Per Share(Rs.)
                                        2.13           2.19           2.13            2.16               2.23
      Adjusted EPS(Rs.)                 0.97           1.07           1.03            1.01               1.07


                                  Profitability Ratio
   Operating Profit Margin             33.47          31.97          30.86           30.16              31.77
      EBITDA Margin                    33.47          31.97          30.86           30.16              31.77         2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1
        EBIT Margin                    30.50          28.58          28.06           27.93              28.66
        PAT Margin                     15.44          15.80          15.16           14.33              15.34
                                                                                                                                Operating Income Per Share(Rs.)
                                                                                                                                Operating Profit Per Share(Rs.)
                                                                                                                                Adjusted EPS(Rs.)
                                      TTM Analysis
   Particulars (in Millions)      2011 Q4       % of Sales      2012 Q1        % of Sales        Changes
            Sales                  32282.00          100.00      32846.00           100.00             1.75
     cost of goods sold              (918.00)          (2.84)      (945.00)           (2.88)           2.94
         Gross profit              33200.00          102.84      33791.00           102.88             1.78
     General selling and           19988.00           61.92      20377.00            62.04             1.95
 Research and development 
       other operating 
                                        0.00
                                    (3018.00)
                                                        0.00
                                                       (9.35)
                                                                      0.00
                                                                  (3171.00)
                                                                                       0.00
                                                                                      (9.65)
                                                                                                         NA
                                                                                                       5.07
                                                                                                                          Fundamental Analysis and 
      Operating profit
    Other non‐operating 
                                   10194.00
                                        0.00
                                                      31.58
                                                        0.00
                                                                 10243.00
                                                                      0.00
                                                                                     31.18
                                                                                       0.00
                                                                                                       0.48
                                                                                                         NA
                                                                                                                                Modeling
           EBITDA                  10194.00           31.58      10243.00            31.18             0.48
        Depreciation                  918.00            2.84        945.00             2.88            2.94
            EBIT                     9276.00          28.73        9298.00           28.31             0.24                      Get a Free Quote
     Interest expenses               2320.00            7.19       2301.00             7.01           (0.82)
             EBT                     6956.00          21.55        6997.00           21.30             0.59
             Tax                     2057.00            6.37       2019.00             6.15           (1.85)
             EAT                     4899.00          15.18        4978.00           15.16             1.61
    Non recurring income               36.00            0.11         36.00             0.11            0.00
      Reported profit                4935.00          15.29        5014.00           15.27             1.60
      Minority Interest                 0.00            0.00          0.00             0.00              NA

             EPS                        4.21                         4.27                                1.35
             SPS                       27.76                        28.17                                1.49




                                                                              Profit Margins (TTM)


              2012 Q1                               102.88                                     31.18             31.18            28.31         21.30      15.16  15.27 



              2011 Q4                               102.84                                     31.58             31.58            28.73         21.55      15.18  15.29 



                                       Gross profit         Operating profit        EBITDA          EBIT        EBT       EAT      Reported profit




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Page 11
Valuation and Projection
                                     Price Estimates                                                                   Analyst Recommendation
       Average Target                     63.33
       Median Target                      65.00
                                                                                                              Strong Buy       Buy     Hold      Underperform          Sell
        High Target                       72.00
         Low Target                       50.00                                                                                      7% 0%
       No. of Analyst                     21.00


                                         Projection                                                                                          26%

                                  Quarter         Quarter         Year Ending  Year Ending 
                                                                                                                                 41%
                                  Ending Jun‐12 Ending Sep‐12 Dec‐12              Dec‐13
                                                                                                                                             26%
            Sales                       8108.39        8096.58         32150.00       34429.00
             EPS                            1.09            1.07            4.33          4.79
           Growth                          (1.06)          (0.61)          (0.41)         7.09


                           Performance Over Industry
         Particulars                        Company                        Industry
                                                                                                                                Earning Surprise
       Dividend Yield                         1.5                            1.85
 Dividend Yield ‐ 5 Year Avg.                 1.74                           1.61
                                                                                                                 8%
Dividend 5 Year Growth Rate                   4.78                          17.33                                                 7%                                7%
     Payout Ratio(TTM)                       17.64                          18.77
     Quick Ratio (MRQ)                         ‐‐                            0.17
    Current Ratio (MRQ)                        ‐‐                            1.13
  LT Debt to Equity (MRQ)                    285.55                         359.67
 Total Debt to Equity (MRQ)                  304.43                         394.64
  Interest Coverage (TTM)                     3.67                           0.14
                                                                                                                                                   2%
     Gross Margin (TTM)                        ‐‐                           41.42
  Gross Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.                   100                           60.63
    EBITD Margin (TTM)                       33.07                            ‐‐
      EBITD ‐ 5 Yr. Avg                      28.75                          29.27                                Q1               Q2               Q3              Q4
  Operating Margin (TTM)                      21.3                          30.37


Operating Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.                 16.44                          21.77
   Pre‐Tax Margin (TTM)                       21.3                           30.54
 Pre‐Tax Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.                  16.44                          21.72
  Net Profit Margin (TTM)                     15.16                          21.44


Net Profit Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.                11.88                          14.84

  Effective Tax Rate (TTM)                    28.86                          27.98

Effective Tax Rate ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.               27.74                          32.02                                      Excel‐VBA Based Model
 Revenue/Employee (TTM)                      525536                        1081578                                         Get a Free Quote
Net Income/Employee (TTM)                     79648                         94373

 Receivable Turnover (TTM)                    0.61                           23.31

  Inventory Turnover (TTM)                        ‐‐                         11.6

    Asset Turnover (TTM)                      0.22                            0.1

   Return on Assets (TTM)                     3.37                           2.36

 Return on Assets ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.                2.63                           2.41


Return on Investment (TTM)                    3.73                           3.09
Return on Investment ‐ 5 Yr. 
            Avg.                                  3                           3.1

   Return on Equity (TTM)                     26.32                          19.44


 Return on Equity ‐ 5 Yr. Avg.                25.84                          19.79




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Technical Analysis

                                                                      Price Chart
          70                                                                                                                                     16000000

          60                                                                                                                                     14000000
                                                                                                                                                 12000000
          50
                                                                                                                                                 10000000
          40
                                                                                                                                                 8000000
          30
                                                                                                                                                 6000000
          20
                                                                                                                                                 4000000
          10                                                                                                                                     2000000
          0                                                                                                                                      0
           22‐Nov                                                1‐Feb                                                          16‐Apr

                                               Volume             Adj Close             EMA(200)     EMA(50)



                3.00
                2.00
                1.00
                0.00
               ‐1.00


                                                                   MACD             Signal line




                100
                 80
                 60
                 40
                 20
                  0


                                                                              RSI(14)




                                          Technical Indicators

                       Price          53.43                 AS On:                  6/1/2012

                       EMA(13)        56.85                 ADX                             18

                       EMA(26)        56.78                 DX                              45
                                                                                                                 Technical Analysis
                                                                                                                 Get a Free Quote
                       EMA(50)        55.18                 +DI                             14

                       EMA(200)       49.39                 ‐DI                             37

                       RSI(14)        28.08                 %K(Fast)                         0

                       MACD             0.06                %K(Slow)                       3.85

                       William(%R)   ‐100.00                %d(Slow)                       9.82




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American express co

  • 1. SRI KRISHNA CONSULTING COMPANY FINALYTICS American Express Co Exclusive Fundamental Analysis of US Stocks Prepared and Edited By‐ SRI KRISHNA CONSULTING Download more reports from http://www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Disclaimer  The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained in this document have been arrived at or obtained from public sources believed to be  reliable and in good faith which has not been independently verified and no warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or  correctness.  For more information about this sample and our other services, please write to info@srikrishnaconsulting.com Monday, June 04, 2012
  • 2. Description Page Summary 3 Latest Result 3 Valuation Matrix 3 ROE Analysis 3 Income Statement 4 Balance Sheet 5 Cash flow Statement 6 Quarterly Result 6 Growth Analysis 7 Comparative Analysis 8 Income Statement 8 Balance Sheet 8 Index Analysis 9 Income Statement 9 Balance Sheet 9 Ratio Analysis 10 Annual 10 Quarterly 11 TTM Analysis 11 Valuation and Projection 12 CONTENT Technical Analysis 13 About Sri Krishna Consulting We provide financial research and analytics services to our worldwide client. Our research is customized and  proprietary to our clients and often provided in client formats and templates. Our expert team of analyst add  crucial values to client proprietary methodology and add efficiencies. We have four areas of practice: ‐‐Equity Research ‐‐Credit Research ‐‐Commodities Research ‐‐Consultancy and Strategy. With a zeal to perform, we adopt best quality driven process and approaches. Our quality driven process and  approaches have already give us a place as a top‐tire provider of Financial Research and Analytics. Financial Research Team We have a robust investment research team with expertise in the financial domain. These professionals  include CFAs, CAs and MBAs specializing in finance, with expertise in investment and retail banking, equity  research, financial and sectoral analysis, etc. Our delivery teams are the core of our business, and we maintain  their exceptional quality by selecting personnel on the basis of educational and functional experience. Our HR  teams are always searching for outstanding performers. Contact Us: info@srikrishnaconsulting.com © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 2
  • 3. Summary Latest Results At a glance Annual Quarterly TTM Business Summary % Change % Change % Change 12/31/2011 2012 Q1 2012 Q1 Sales 32282.00 7.59 8188.00 (1.55) 32846.00 1.75 American Express Company is primarily engaged in the  EBITDA 10005.00 9.61 2601.00 0.04 10243.00 0.48 business of providing travel related services, financial  Adjusted PAT 4899.00 20.75 1256.00 0.05 4978.00 1.61 advisory services and international banking services  Reported PAT 4935.00 21.64 1256.00 0.05 5014.00 1.60 throughout the world. EPS 3.77 30.83 1.07 0.06 4.27 1.35 Credit Services Industry Valuation Data Latest 10 K filing 12/31/2011 Latest 10 Q Filing 3/31/2012 Company Industry Next Report Date 7/18/2012 P/E(TTM) 12.69 27.46 No. of Employee 62,500 No. Equity Share  P/E(Forward) 12.33 NA 1173 (Million) PEG Ratio 1.05 NA Price 53.43 Price/Sales 1.87 7.33 Market Cap (Million) 62673.39 Dividend Yield(%) 1.50 1.85 Total Debt 126497.00 Price/Book 3.13 4.15 Enterprise Value 189170.39 Price/Free Cash Flow 5.43 0.95 Price/Enterprise Value 0.33 NA Market Data Exchange Traded NYSE Ticker AXP ROE Analysis 52 Week High 61.42 52 Week Low 41.3 Particulars 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Short Interest Ratio 2.29 Reported PAT / PBT 0.70 0.75 0.75 0.68 0.71 Beta 1.83 Normalized PAT / PBT 0.59 0.67 0.53 0.58 0.65 Average Target Price 63.33 PBT / PBIT 0.59 0.50 0.56 0.71 0.75 One Year Return 8.42 PBIT / Sales 0.31 0.22 0.19 0.28 0.29 Three Months Return 0.43 Sales / Total Assets 0.25 0.29 0.23 0.22 0.23 One Month Return ‐11.1 Total Assets / Net  Worth(Without Treasury  Analyst Rating Stock) 1126.50 917.60 789.52 823.07 742.02 Reported ROE (Excluding  Treasury Stock) 36.38 22.79 14.79 25.00 26.26 Normalized ROE(Excluding  Strong  Treasury Stock) 30.47 20.38 10.39 21.43 23.96 Buy  11 Hold  Reported ROE (Including  Treasury Stock) NA NA NA NA NA 8 Normalized ROE(Including  Treasury Stock) NA NA NA NA NA ROE 30.47  83.57 23.96  21.43  Ownership (%) 20.38  42 10.39  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.92 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Institutional  Top 10  Mutual Fund  5%/Insider  Ownership  Institutions  Ownership  Ownership  (%)  (%)  (%)  (%)  Normalized ROE(Excluding Treasury Stock) Normalized ROE(Including Treasury Stock) © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 3
  • 4. Income Statement Particulars (in Millions) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sales 31540.00 31920.00 26543.00 30005.00 32282.00 Operating Income 31,540 31,920 32,282 12000.00  cost of goods sold (601.00) (629.00) (930.00) (741.00) (729.00) 30,005 26,543 10000.00  Gross profit 32141.00 32549.00 27473.00 30746.00 33011.00 General selling and  administrative expenses 17352.00 20010.00 19000.00 18754.00 19899.00 8000.00  Research and development  expenses 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6000.00  other operating  income/(Expenses) (4513.00) (4774.00) (2495.00) (2864.00) (3107.00) 4000.00  Operating profit 10276.00 7765.00 5978.00 9128.00 10005.00 2000.00  Other non‐operating  income/(expenses) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 EBITDA 10276.00 7765.00 5978.00 9128.00 10005.00 Depreciation 601.00 629.00 930.00 741.00 729.00 EBIT 9675.00 7136.00 5048.00 8387.00 9276.00 Operating profit EBITDA Sales Interest expenses 3981.00 3555.00 2207.00 2423.00 2320.00 EBT 5694.00 3581.00 2841.00 5964.00 6956.00 Tax 1568.00 710.00 704.00 1907.00 2057.00 Financial Data Mining EAT 4126.00 2871.00 2137.00 4057.00 4899.00 Non recurring income  (114.00) (172.00) (7.00) 0.00 36.00 Get a Free Quote Reported profit 4012.00 2699.00 2130.00 4057.00 4935.00 Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Levels 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gross profit Operating profit EBITDA EBIT EBT EAT Reported profit Profit Margins 2011 102.26  30.99  30.99  28.73  21.55  15.18  2010 102.47  30.42  30.42  27.95  19.88  13.52  2009 103.50  22.52  22.52  19.02  10.70  8.05  2008 101.97  24.33  24.33  22.36  11.22  8.99  2007 101.91  32.58  32.58  30.68  18.05  13.08  Gross profit Operating profit EBITDA EBIT EBT EAT © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 4
  • 5. Balance Sheet Particulars (in Millions) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sources of Fund Owners Fund Sources of Fund Redeemable Preferred Stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preferred Stock ‐ Non  Redeemable, Net 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Common Stock 232.00 232.00 237.00 238.00 232.00 Additional Paid‐In Capital 10164.00 10496.00 11144.00 11937.00 12217.00 Retained Earnings  (Accumulated Deficit) 1075.00 2719.00 3737.00 4972.00 7221.00 Treasury Stock ‐ Common 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ESOP Debt Guarantee 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Unrealized Gain (Loss) (59.00) (779.00) 479.00 50.00 287.00 Other Equity, Total (383.00) (827.00) (1191.00) (967.00) (1163.00) Total Equity 11029.00 11841.00 14406.00 16230.00 18794.00 Loan Fund Long Term Debt 55285.00 60041.00 52338.00 66416.00 59570.00 Capital Lease Obligations 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Deferred Income Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Equity Total Loan Fund Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Liabilities, Total 57928.00 36771.00 46994.00 50938.00 61091.00 Total Loan Fund 113213.00 96812.00 99332.00 117354.00 120661.00 Total Fund 124242.00 108653.00 113738.00 133584.00 139455.00 Application of Funds Uses of funds Fixed Assets Property/Plant/Equipment,  Total ‐ Net 2692.00 2948.00 2782.00 2905.00 3367.00 Goodwill, Net 1508.00 2301.00 2328.00 2639.00 3172.00 Intangibles, Net 204.00 717.00 717.00 972.00 1149.00 Long Term Investments 20392.00 31499.00 39411.00 28221.00 28526.00 Note Receivable ‐ Long Term 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Long Term Assets, Total 24965.00 3924.00 5171.00 7569.00 3459.00 Other Assets, Total 55670.00 44021.00 32174.00 60002.00 63663.00 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total Fixed Assets 105431.00 85410.00 82583.00 102308.00 103336.00 Net Current Assets Total Fixed Assets Total Current Assets 44312.00 40664.00 42562.00 44381.00 50001.00 Total Net Current Assets Total Current Liabilities 25501.00 17421.00 11407.00 13105.00 13882.00 Total Net Current Assets 18811.00 23243.00 31155.00 31276.00 36119.00 Total Assets 124242.00 108653.00 113738.00 133584.00 139455.00 % of Total Fund 91.12  89.10  87.33  87.85  86.52  Financial Data Mining 8.88  10.90  12.67  12.15  13.48  Get a Free Quote 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total Loan Fund Total Equity © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 5
  • 6. Cash flow Statement Particulars (in Millions) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Cash Flow Cash from Operating Activities 8011.00 7773.00 6337.00 8935.00 10475.00 Cash from Investing Activities (16621.00) 7561.00 (6752.00) (1229.00) (491.00) Cash from Financing Activities 15466.00 (10440.00) (4647.00) (8084.00) (1384.00) Foreign Exchange Effects 166.00 20.00 7.00 135.00 (63.00) Net Change in Cash 7022.00 4914.00 (5055.00) (243.00) 8537.00 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Net Cash ‐ Beginning Balance 8246 16740 21654 16599 16356 Net Cash ‐ Ending Balance 15268 21654 16599 16356 24893 Cash from Operating Activities Cash from Investing Activities Quarterly Income Statement Cash from Financing Activities Particulars (in Millions) 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 Sales 7624.00 8195.00 8146.00 8317.00 8188.00 cost of goods sold (227.00) (278.00) (228.00) (185.00) (254.00) Gross profit 7851.00 8473.00 8374.00 8502.00 8442.00 General selling and  administrative expenses 4628.00 5184.00 4999.00 5177.00 5017.00 Research and development  expenses other operating  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Financial Data Mining income/(Expenses) (671.00) (669.00) (861.00) (817.00) (824.00) Operating profit 2552.00 2620.00 2514.00 2508.00 2601.00 Other non‐operating  Get a Free Quote income/(expenses) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 EBITDA 2552.00 2620.00 2514.00 2508.00 2601.00 Depreciation 227.00 278.00 228.00 185.00 254.00 EBIT 2325.00 2342.00 2286.00 2323.00 2347.00 Interest expenses 593.00 577.00 575.00 575.00 574.00 EBT 1732.00 1765.00 1711.00 1748.00 1773.00 Tax 555.00 470.00 476.00 556.00 517.00 EAT 1177.00 1295.00 1235.00 1192.00 1256.00 Non recurring income  0.00 36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reported profit 1177.00 1331.00 1235.00 1192.00 1256.00 Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 0 Sales and Profit Margin 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 Sales Operating Profit Margin PAT Margin © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 6
  • 7. Growth Analysis Average  Median  Particulars (%) 2008 2009 2010 2011 5 Year CAGR Growth Growth Sales 1.20 (16.85) 13.04 7.59 1.25 4.40 1.00 cost of goods sold 4.66 47.85 (20.32) (1.62) 7.64 1.52 1.04 Gross profit 1.27 (15.59) 11.91 7.37 1.24 4.32 1.01 General selling and  administrative expenses 15.32 (5.05) (1.29) 6.11 3.77 2.41 1.03 Research and development  expenses 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 other operating  income/(Expenses) 5.78 (47.74) 14.79 8.48 (4.67) 7.13 0.93 Operating profit (24.44) (23.01) 52.69 9.61 3.71 (6.70) 0.99 Other non‐operating  income/(expenses) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 EBITDA (24.44) (23.01) 52.69 9.61 3.71 (6.70) 0.99 Depreciation 4.66 47.85 (20.32) (1.62) 7.64 1.52 1.04 EBIT (26.24) (29.26) 66.15 10.60 5.31 (7.82) 0.99 Interest expenses (10.70) (37.92) 9.79 (4.25) (10.77) (7.48) 0.90 EBT (37.11) (20.66) 109.93 16.63 17.20 (2.02) 1.04 Tax (54.72) (0.85) 170.88 7.87 30.80 3.51 1.06 EAT (30.42) (25.57) 89.85 20.75 13.65 (2.41) 1.03 Non recurring income  50.88 (95.93) (100.00) 0.00 (36.26) (47.97) (0.79) Reported profit (32.73) (21.08) 90.47 21.64 14.58 0.28 1.04 Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Growth Rates (Year on Year) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sales Gross profit Operating profit EBITDA EBIT EBT EAT Reported profit Profit Index (Year on Year) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sales Gross profit Operating profit EBITDA EBIT EAT Reported profit © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 7
  • 8. Comparative Analysis Income Statement Particulars (%) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sales 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 cost of goods sold (1.91) (1.97) (3.50) (2.47) (2.26) Gross profit 101.91 101.97 103.50 102.47 102.26 General selling and  administrative expenses 55.02 62.69 71.58 62.50 61.64 Research and development  expenses 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 other operating  income/(Expenses) (14.31) (14.96) (9.40) (9.55) (9.62) Source of Fund (%) 2011 Operating profit 32.58 24.33 22.52 30.42 30.99 Other non‐operating  income/(expenses) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13% EBITDA 32.58 24.33 22.52 30.42 30.99 Depreciation 1.91 1.97 3.50 2.47 2.26 EBIT 30.68 22.36 19.02 27.95 28.73 Interest expenses 12.62 11.14 8.31 8.08 7.19 EBT 18.05 11.22 10.70 19.88 21.55 Tax 4.97 2.22 2.65 6.36 6.37 EAT 13.08 8.99 8.05 13.52 15.18 87% Non recurring income  (0.36) (0.54) (0.03) 0.00 0.11 Reported profit 12.72 8.46 8.02 13.52 15.29 Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Equity Total Loan Fund Balance Sheet Particulars 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sources of Fund Owners Fund Redeemable Preferred Stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preferred Stock ‐ Non  Redeemable, Net 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Common Stock 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.18 0.17 Additional Paid‐In Capital 8.18 9.66 9.80 8.94 8.76 Retained Earnings  0.87 2.50 3.29 3.72 5.18 Application of Fund (%)  Treasury Stock ‐ Common 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2011 ESOP Debt Guarantee 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Unrealized Gain (Loss) (0.05) (0.72) 0.42 0.04 0.21 Other Equity, Total (0.31) (0.76) (1.05) (0.72) (0.83) 26% Total Equity 0 8.88 10.90 12.67 12.15 13.48 Loan Fund Long Term Debt 44.50 55.26 46.02 49.72 42.72 Capital Lease Obligations 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Deferred Income Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74% Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Liabilities, Total 46.63 33.84 41.32 38.13 43.81 Total Loan Fund 91.12 89.10 87.33 87.85 86.52 Total Fund 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Total Fixed Assets Uses of funds Fixed Assets Total Net Current Assets Property/Plant/Equipment,  Total ‐ Net 2.17 2.71 2.45 2.17 2.41 Goodwill, Net 1.21 2.12 2.05 1.98 2.27 Intangibles, Net 0.16 0.66 0.63 0.73 0.82 Long Term Investments 16.41 28.99 34.65 21.13 20.46 Note Receivable ‐ Long Term 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Equity Research Report Other Long Term Assets, Total 20.09 3.61 4.55 5.67 2.48 Other Assets, Total 44.81 40.52 28.29 44.92 45.65 Total Fixed Assets 84.86 78.61 72.61 76.59 74.10 Get a Free Quote Net Current Assets Total Current Assets 35.67 37.43 37.42 33.22 35.85 Total Current Liabilities 20.53 16.03 10.03 9.81 9.95 Total Net Current Assets 15.14 21.39 27.39 23.41 25.90 Total Assets 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 8
  • 9. Index Analysis Income Statement Particulars 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (Base Year) Sales 100.00 101.20 84.16 95.13 102.35 cost of goods sold 100.00 104.66 154.74 123.29 121.30 Gross profit 100.00 101.27 85.48 95.66 102.71 Credit/Bond Analysis General selling and  100.00 115.32 109.50 108.08 114.68 Research and development  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 other operating  Operating profit 100.00 100.00 105.78 75.56 55.28 58.17 63.46 88.83 68.85 97.36 Get a Free Quote Other non‐operating  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 EBITDA 100.00 75.56 58.17 88.83 97.36 Depreciation 100.00 104.66 154.74 123.29 121.30 EBIT 100.00 73.76 52.18 86.69 95.88 Interest expenses 100.00 89.30 55.44 60.86 58.28 EBT 100.00 62.89 49.89 104.74 122.16 Tax 100.00 45.28 44.90 121.62 131.19 EAT 100.00 69.58 51.79 98.33 118.73 Non recurring income  100.00 150.88 6.14 0.00 (31.58) Reported profit 100.00 67.27 53.09 101.12 123.01 Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Balance Sheet Particulars 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sources of Fund Owners Fund Index of Loan Fund and Fixed  Redeemable Preferred Stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Assets Preferred Stock ‐ Non  0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Common Stock 100.00 100.00 102.16 102.59 100.00 Additional Paid‐In Capital 100.00 103.27 109.64 117.44 120.20 Retained Earnings  100.00 252.93 347.63 462.51 671.72 Treasury Stock ‐ Common 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ESOP Debt Guarantee 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Unrealized Gain (Loss) 100.00 1320.34 (811.86) (84.75) (486.44) Other Equity, Total 100.00 215.93 310.97 252.48 303.66 Total Equity 100.00 107.36 130.62 147.16 170.41 Loan Fund Long Term Debt 100.00 108.60 94.67 120.13 107.75 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Capital Lease Obligations 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Deferred Income Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Loan Fund Total Fixed Assets Other Liabilities, Total 100.00 63.48 81.12 87.93 105.46 Total Loan Fund 100.00 85.51 87.74 103.66 106.58 Total Fund 100.00 87.45 91.55 107.52 112.24 Uses of funds Fixed Assets Property/Plant/Equipment,  Total ‐ Net 100.00 109.51 103.34 107.91 125.07 Goodwill, Net 100.00 152.59 154.38 175.00 210.34 Intangibles, Net 100.00 351.47 351.47 476.47 563.24 Long Term Investments 100.00 154.47 193.27 138.39 139.89 Note Receivable ‐ Long Term 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Long Term Assets, Total 100.00 15.72 20.71 30.32 13.86 Other Assets, Total 100.00 79.07 57.79 107.78 114.36 Total Fixed Assets 100.00 81.01 78.33 97.04 98.01 Net Current Assets Total Current Assets 100.00 91.77 96.05 100.16 112.84 Total Current Liabilities 100.00 68.31 44.73 51.39 54.44 Total Net Current Assets 100.00 123.56 165.62 166.26 192.01 Total Assets 100.00 87.45 91.55 107.52 112.24 © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 9
  • 10. Ratio Analysis‐Annual Particulars 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Per Share Ratio Normalized EPS 2.84 2.08 1.00 2.88 3.77 Basic EPS 3.40 2.33 1.54 3.37 4.14 Diluted EPS 3.34 2.32 1.54 3.35 4.12 Adjusted Cash EPS 4.03 3.03 2.63 4.04 4.78 EPS Trend Dividend Per Share 0.63 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 Operating Profit per Share 8.76 6.73 5.12 7.68 8.49 Book Value Per Share  (Excluding Treasury Stocks) 9.40 10.26 12.33 13.66 15.95 Book Value Per Share  (Including Treasury Stocks) 9.40 10.26 12.33 13.66 15.95 Net Operating Income Per  Share 26.89 27.66 22.73 25.26 27.40 Free Reserve Per Share 0.92 2.36 3.20 4.19 6.13 Profitability Ratio (%) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Operating Margin 32.58 24.33 22.52 30.42 30.99 Gross Profit margin 101.91 101.97 103.50 102.47 102.26 Normalized EPS Basic EPS Net profit Margin 12.72 8.46 8.02 13.52 15.29 Normalized Net Profit Margin 10.66 7.56 5.64 11.59 13.95 Diluted EPS Adjusted Cash Margin 14.99 10.96 11.55 15.99 17.43 Effective Tax Rate 27.54 19.83 24.78 31.98 29.57 Normalized Return on Net  Worth (Excluding Treasury  Stock) 30.47 20.38 10.39 21.43 23.96 Reported Return on Net Worth  (Excluding Treasury Stock)  36.38 22.79 14.79 25.00 26.26 Debt‐Equity Ratio Return on Long Term Fund 3.23 2.48 1.87 3.04 3.54 Leverage Ratio Long term Debt/Equity 5.01 5.07 3.63 4.09 3.17 Total Debt/Equity 10.27 8.18 6.90 7.23 6.42 Owned Fund as % of Total  Fund 8.88 10.90 12.67 12.15 13.48 Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio 0.30 0.37 0.32 0.29 0.31 Liquidity Ratio 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Current Ratio 1.74 2.33 3.73 3.39 3.60 Current Ratio (Including St.  Loans) 1.74 2.33 3.73 3.39 3.60 Long term Debt/Equity Quick Ratio 1.74 2.33 3.73 3.39 3.60 Total Debt/Equity Inventory Turnover Ratio NA NA NA NA NA Payout Ratio(%) Dividend Payout Ratio 17.94 29.12 40.01 21.37 17.47 Dividend Pay out Ratio (Cash  Liquidity Ratio Profit) 15.65 23.89 27.88 18.07 15.21 Earning Retention Ratio 82.06 70.88 59.99 78.63 82.53 Cash Earning Retention Ratio 84.35 76.11 72.12 81.93 84.79 Coverage Ratio Adjusted Cash flow Time Total  Debt 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.09 Financial Charges Coverage  2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Ratio (Pre Tax) 2.43 2.01 2.29 3.46 4.00 Financial Charges Coverage  Current Ratio Ratio (Post Tax) 2.04 1.81 1.97 2.67 3.11 Current Ratio (Including St. Loans) Quick Ratio © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 10
  • 11. Ratio Analysis‐Quarter Per Share Ratio Per Share Ratio (QoQ) Particulars 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 Operating Income Per  Share(Rs.) 6.36 6.85 6.90 7.15 7.02 Operating Profit Per Share(Rs.) 2.13 2.19 2.13 2.16 2.23 Adjusted EPS(Rs.) 0.97 1.07 1.03 1.01 1.07 Profitability Ratio Operating Profit Margin 33.47 31.97 30.86 30.16 31.77 EBITDA Margin 33.47 31.97 30.86 30.16 31.77 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 EBIT Margin 30.50 28.58 28.06 27.93 28.66 PAT Margin 15.44 15.80 15.16 14.33 15.34 Operating Income Per Share(Rs.) Operating Profit Per Share(Rs.) Adjusted EPS(Rs.) TTM Analysis Particulars (in Millions) 2011 Q4 % of Sales 2012 Q1 % of Sales Changes Sales 32282.00 100.00 32846.00 100.00 1.75 cost of goods sold (918.00) (2.84) (945.00) (2.88) 2.94 Gross profit 33200.00 102.84 33791.00 102.88 1.78 General selling and  19988.00 61.92 20377.00 62.04 1.95 Research and development  other operating  0.00 (3018.00) 0.00 (9.35) 0.00 (3171.00) 0.00 (9.65) NA 5.07 Fundamental Analysis and  Operating profit Other non‐operating  10194.00 0.00 31.58 0.00 10243.00 0.00 31.18 0.00 0.48 NA Modeling EBITDA 10194.00 31.58 10243.00 31.18 0.48 Depreciation 918.00 2.84 945.00 2.88 2.94 EBIT 9276.00 28.73 9298.00 28.31 0.24 Get a Free Quote Interest expenses 2320.00 7.19 2301.00 7.01 (0.82) EBT 6956.00 21.55 6997.00 21.30 0.59 Tax 2057.00 6.37 2019.00 6.15 (1.85) EAT 4899.00 15.18 4978.00 15.16 1.61 Non recurring income  36.00 0.11 36.00 0.11 0.00 Reported profit 4935.00 15.29 5014.00 15.27 1.60 Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NA EPS 4.21 4.27 1.35 SPS 27.76 28.17 1.49 Profit Margins (TTM) 2012 Q1 102.88  31.18  31.18  28.31  21.30  15.16  15.27  2011 Q4 102.84  31.58  31.58  28.73  21.55  15.18  15.29  Gross profit Operating profit EBITDA EBIT EBT EAT Reported profit © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 11
  • 12. Valuation and Projection Price Estimates Analyst Recommendation Average Target 63.33 Median Target 65.00 Strong Buy Buy Hold Underperform Sell High Target 72.00 Low Target 50.00 7% 0% No. of Analyst 21.00 Projection 26% Quarter  Quarter  Year Ending  Year Ending  41% Ending Jun‐12 Ending Sep‐12 Dec‐12 Dec‐13 26% Sales 8108.39 8096.58 32150.00 34429.00 EPS 1.09 1.07 4.33 4.79 Growth (1.06) (0.61) (0.41) 7.09 Performance Over Industry Particulars Company Industry Earning Surprise Dividend Yield 1.5 1.85 Dividend Yield ‐ 5 Year Avg. 1.74 1.61 8% Dividend 5 Year Growth Rate 4.78 17.33 7% 7% Payout Ratio(TTM) 17.64 18.77 Quick Ratio (MRQ) ‐‐ 0.17 Current Ratio (MRQ) ‐‐ 1.13 LT Debt to Equity (MRQ) 285.55 359.67 Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 304.43 394.64 Interest Coverage (TTM) 3.67 0.14 2% Gross Margin (TTM) ‐‐ 41.42 Gross Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 100 60.63 EBITD Margin (TTM) 33.07 ‐‐ EBITD ‐ 5 Yr. Avg 28.75 29.27 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Operating Margin (TTM) 21.3 30.37 Operating Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 16.44 21.77 Pre‐Tax Margin (TTM) 21.3 30.54 Pre‐Tax Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 16.44 21.72 Net Profit Margin (TTM) 15.16 21.44 Net Profit Margin ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 11.88 14.84 Effective Tax Rate (TTM) 28.86 27.98 Effective Tax Rate ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 27.74 32.02 Excel‐VBA Based Model Revenue/Employee (TTM) 525536 1081578 Get a Free Quote Net Income/Employee (TTM) 79648 94373 Receivable Turnover (TTM) 0.61 23.31 Inventory Turnover (TTM) ‐‐ 11.6 Asset Turnover (TTM) 0.22 0.1 Return on Assets (TTM) 3.37 2.36 Return on Assets ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 2.63 2.41 Return on Investment (TTM) 3.73 3.09 Return on Investment ‐ 5 Yr.  Avg. 3 3.1 Return on Equity (TTM) 26.32 19.44 Return on Equity ‐ 5 Yr. Avg. 25.84 19.79 © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 12
  • 13. Technical Analysis Price Chart 70 16000000 60 14000000 12000000 50 10000000 40 8000000 30 6000000 20 4000000 10 2000000 0 0 22‐Nov 1‐Feb 16‐Apr Volume Adj Close EMA(200) EMA(50) 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 ‐1.00 MACD Signal line 100 80 60 40 20 0 RSI(14) Technical Indicators Price 53.43 AS On: 6/1/2012 EMA(13) 56.85 ADX 18 EMA(26) 56.78 DX 45 Technical Analysis Get a Free Quote EMA(50) 55.18 +DI 14 EMA(200) 49.39 ‐DI 37 RSI(14) 28.08 %K(Fast) 0 MACD 0.06 %K(Slow) 3.85 William(%R) ‐100.00 %d(Slow) 9.82 © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 13
  • 14. Service Description We provide financial research and analytics services to our worldwide client. Our research is  customized and proprietary to our clients and often provided in client formats and templates. Our  expert team of analyst add crucial values to client proprietary methodology and add efficiencies. Equity Research SKC Provides a broad range of services in this segment. We serve both buy side and sell side clients  like, bulge bracket equity research departments, hedge funds, investment advisers and independent  research houses. Our analytical capabilities includes: bottom‐up earnings forecasts, discounted cash  flow valuation models, thematic sector research, and research summaries etc. Financial Modeling & Analytics SKC provides all investment research and Financial Modeling solution to the clients. Our Quantitative  team comprises of highly qualified professionals with vast experience in Financial Modeling. Our  Expert team of statisticians provides financial modeling design suggestion to clients. Fixed Income & Credit Research We serve bulge bracket banks as well as credit hedge funds in Fixed Income and Credit research  segments. Our investment analysis involves forecasting  of interest rate structure, Risk analysis and E‐I‐ C research. Technical Analysis We are leading provider of technical analysis strategies and methodology. Our technical strategies  cover equity, index, Forex, commodities and fixed‐income markets. Our chartists and mathematical  approaches match requirements of various investment styles, from intraday trading to swing trading  and long term investments. Commodity Research and Analysis We are focused on fundamental and technical analysis of global commodities market. Our unique  commodity research and market insights will enable our customers to grasp the present scenario of the  market and what will it be in the future. Our commodity research team provides a complete solution  from price discovery to analysis. Forex Research and Analysis Our Forex Research expert team can delivers Forex‐related insight, tools, and information that you  need to make great decisions about your Forex trading. We are at industry forefront in terms of Forex  research service quality with extensive market experience and effective qualified specialist expertise. Our goal and focus is to provide the intelligence, opinion, and analysis of the currency  that will meet  your needs and foster your trading success. We Are Always Open For A Free Trial © Sri Krishna Consulting. Please write us for more information: iinfo@srikrishnaconsulting.com |www.srikrishnaconsulting.com Page 14