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Green Chemicals & Materials – Unravelling the Myths
           and Creating Opportunities


     A panel discussion with Frost & Sullivan's leading
             Chemicals & Materials analysts:
                Robert Outram, Leo Dokos
          Brian Balmer, Hari Ramasubramanian

                     29 October 2008
Focus Points


•   Key Industry Trends
•   Green Sourcing
•   Green Processes / Sustainability
•   White Biotechnology
•   Legislation
•   Case Studies / Examples




                                       2
Key Industry Trends

Putting quot;Greenquot; in Context




                             3
Trends’ Impact on the Chemicals Industry

                                            2007 – 2020

 High Impact

                                                                                                Power
                                                                                               Customer
                                                                        Recycling

                      Nanotechnology                                                Biorenewables
                                           White
                                       Biotechnology                                           Logistics
                                                                                              Excellence


                                                                               Super Chemical Companies
   Projected
Impact on the
                                                       Forwards/backwards Integration
   Chemicals
    Industry                      By-products/waste                                        Environmental
                                     management                                             Legislation

                                                                            Internet
                                                                            Auctions




 Low Impact


                Low                                                                                 High
                                               Certainty

                                                                                                           4
Materials Industry Trends

                           Performance Materials Market: Impact of Key Industry Trends
                           (Europe), 2008
                      10
                               Security
                                                         Energy-saving
                                          Safety
      Market Impact




                                          Lifestyle
                      5

                                                Differentiation                     Functionality

                                                                             Innovation        Sustainable
                                                                                               production

                                                                                           Expansion

                      0
                           0                                             5                           Supply chain 10

                                                                  Internal Impact



                                                                                                                       5
Materials Industry Trends

                           Performance Materials Market: Impact of Key Industry Trends
                           (Europe), 2008
                      10
                               Security
                                                         Energy-saving
                                          Safety
      Market Impact




                                          Lifestyle
                      5

                                                Differentiation                     Functionality

                                                                             Innovation        Sustainable
                                                                                               production

                                                                                           Expansion

                      0
                           0                                             5                           Supply chain 10

                                                                  Internal Impact



                                                                                                                       6
What is Green?




                         Sustainably                 Bio-enabling
   Biodegradable                                      Chemicals
                          Sourced
                                                     & Materials




  •Detergents      •Biorenewable building blocks   •Oxy-biodegradable
  •Bioplastics     •Bioplastics                    plastic additives
  •Natural fibre   •Oleochemicals                  •Composites for wind
                   •Biofuels (?)                   turbines
                   •Recycled                       •Solar cell chemicals




                                                                           7
Biobased Sourcing is alternative to Naphtha Stream

                                        Starch based polymers

                                        Polyhydroxyalkanoates

                                           CO2                                                                  1,3 Propanediol


      Wheat                                      Ethanol        ethylene         Vinyl chloride                 1,2 Propanediol
      maize                    C5 and
                  Starch
      potato                   C6
                                                 Lactic Acid                                                    Acrylic acid
                               Sugars
                                                                                                                Chiral compounds
                                                 3 HP          Acrylic acid
           Sugar                                                                                                Poly lactic acid
           beet,                                                      PBS
           sugarcane                          Succinic                THF
                                              acid
                                                                      1,4 Butanediol

                                                                                             Polyether polyols
                                                 Sorbitol
                                                                                             Glycols


                             C5               Isoprene         Polyisopropene                Isosorbide              polymer
                             and
     Cellulose/              C6             Ethanol                                          Ascorbic acid
     LignoCellulose          Sugars
                                        Levullinic acid              MeMbl                             Cellulose ethers,
                                                                                                       Cellulose esters
                                                                                                       and Viscose Fibres
                                                                           Acrolein
     Rapseed,                               Bio Diesel                                                                             Current bulk productions
     Soyseed           Vegetable Oil
                                                                           Allyl alcohol
                                            Glycerol
                                                                                                                                   Production on pilot scale
                                                                           1,3 Propanediol
                                            Natural oil
                                            Polyols                                                                                Research Scale
                                            (NOP)                                                          Epoxy resins
                                                                           Epichlorohydrin

                                                                           1,2 propanediol
                                          Polyurethanes




                                                                                                                                                               8
Materials Industry Trends - Focus on Green


                                                                Thermoplastics
                                               Biopolymers
                    Renewable materials                         Coating resins
                    Energy efficiency          Natural fibres
    Production      Cleaner processes
                    Waste reduction / re-use
                    Worker safety




   Top 10 Trends




   Enabling tech.   Energy efficiency
                    Safety
                    Security



                                                                                 9
Materials Industry Trends - Focus on Green


                                                                     Thermoplastics
                                                 Biopolymers
                    Renewable materials                              Coating resins
                    Energy efficiency            Natural fibres
    Production      Cleaner processes
                    Waste reduction / re-use
                    Worker safety




   Top 10 Trends                  Spec Chem as an enabler of green Materials:
                                    • Chemtura Polybond improves blending of
                                      wood fibres with PP in WPC
                                    • DuPont Biomax Strong at 2wt% greatly
                                      improves properties of PLA


   Enabling tech.   Energy efficiency
                    Safety
                    Security



                                                                                      10
The chemical industry has cut its energy intensity
annually while reducing greenhouse gas emissions


                                    Between 1990 and 2005     Between 1990 and 2005
  Between 1990 and 2005              Between 1990 and 2005     Between 1990 and 2005
   Between 1990 and 2005              energy consumption     greenhouse gas emissions
  production has increased             energy consumption     greenhouse gas emissions
   production has increased              remained flat               declined
                                          remained flat               declined


                     Index
                                                                        160




                   100                                                  106



                                                                         73


                    Source: Cefic                                   Time

                                                                                         11
Bio-sourcing materials - Can analogies be drawn with oil-
based chemistry?
          Chart 5.1
          High Performance Plastics Market: Chemistry of C9 Monomers for Polyamides (Europe), 2007


                                 C9 Chemistry                                           Commodity C6 Chemistry


                                                                                        Note the similarity of chemistries
     Natural Fatty Acids                        Oleic Acid:                            used to generate diamines for both
                                                                                          niche C9 and commodity C6
                                                                                                  polyamides
                                                              O

                                                                  OH


                                                                                 Adipic Acid
                                                                                                             O
                          OH               O                  O                           HO
                                 +                                      PA 6,9                                    OH
                      O               HO                          OH                             O
                                 Azelaic Acid

                                                                                        (old technology,
                                                                                    largely superseded)                PA 6,6

      Pelargonic acid by-
      product:
      Used in alkyd resins,
      synthetic lubricant base                                          PA 9,T           H2N
      oils and plasticizers          H2N                          NH2                                             NH2
                                                                                  HMDA




                                                                                                                                12
Legislation

Lack of harmonisation?




                         13
The lack of harmonisation in legislation and standards slows down the
momentum required for global adoption of green chemicals and processes




                                              Voluntarily participation
                         Environment              by the industry
           Legislation




                                                                               Not harmonised global
                                                                              regulatory framework –
                           Ecology                                          slow replacement of chemicals
                                                                                 under consideration




                           Economy




      Legislation will play an increasingly important role in the future in alignment with a global
                               carbon footprint of materials and chemicals


                                                                                                        14
Europe is leading a global multifaceted effort to bring the chemicals
industry in the 21st century


                                                                                               GHS




                    Industry responsible for
                     Industry responsible for                  Global Good Management
                    protecting human health                     Global Good Management
                     protecting human health                   of Chemicals & Materials
                      and the environment                       of Chemicals & Materials
                       and the environment




     Change of the responsibility     Restriction of the use of certain    Identify hazardous chemicals and
      from public authorities to     hazardous substances in electrical     inform users through standard
    industry in demonstrating the        and electronic equipment             symbols and phrases on the
     safe manufacture and use of                                             packaging labels and through
              chemicals                                                        safety data sheets (SDS)




       Things will speed up due to recently introduced legislation focusing on protecting the
                              environment as well as human health


                                                                                                              15
Is “bio” a polished term for “green” products?




                                                                                        Bioplastics
                                                                            These PLA, PHA's and starch-based
                                                 Biolubricants               polymers represent the future but
                                        Although the last 10 years these       there is no specific legislation
                                          products have experienced a      regulating the amount of renewable
                 Biofuels                market growth, this is due to a     sourced material that needs to be
    State subsidies and EU directives     slow replacement. Legislation    present in a plastic for it to be called
      setting targets have been the     mandating their use exists only      bioplastic. It is therefore open to
      driving force for blending and     in few European countries and      individual players in the market to
     using biofuels. In the future …      since 2008 in France as well.         assess this particular point.




                           Is “bio” the next “green” for chemicals and materials?




                                                                                                                      16
FAQ’s & Frost & Sullivan Solutions

Case studies from Frost & Sullivan’s research




                                                17
Frequently Asked Questions


                                                          What opportunities could
     What does quot;Greenquot;                                    there be for us in quot;energy
      actually mean?                                         efficientquot; buildings?



           What are the different options to
            enter the bioplastics market?        Can you charge a
                                                 premium for a bio-
                                                  based product?
Is there any opportunity for
   recycling of advanced
        composites?

              Do you know what opportunities            What impact will the new Pyramid
                 there would be for [a new              Technologies PLA plant have on
              material] to improve the thermal              the bioplastics market?
                   efficiency of buildings?



                                                                                           18
Frost on the Green Revolution
                                                                                                     PLA Market: Volume Forecasts (Europe), 2003-2013



•    Green Issues Coverage – Up to date                                                      250.0

                                                                                             200.0


     studies on green initiatives in our                                                     150.0




                                                                                        kt
     various end user segments
                                                                                             100.0

                                                                                              50.0
                                         Constantly changing
           •   Examples of recent research         market requires frequent
                                                                                               0.0
                                                                                                     2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

                                                   tracking of the key trends
                 •   Chinese Solar Power Markets                                                                             Old      New



                 •   Wood Plastic Composites                                      The     European     Bioplastics   Market
                 •   Renewable Chemicals Markets                                  forecasts had to be revised just in one
                                                                                  year since we wrote the study, to account
•    Bespoke consulting work on Green                                             for the rapid changes that had taken
     Markets                                                                      place in the market in 2008

           •   Biofuels Market – Entry Strategies for
               the Hungarian Market
           •   An Overview on Uses for Flare Gas
•    Analyst Briefings
           •   Such as this one on Green initiatives in
               the Chemicals & Materials Market
                                                                                An analysis of the 170 billion cubic metres of
•    White Papers                                                               flare gas wasted every year, and
                                                                                identification of technologies that will create
           •   Environmental Sustainability Initiatives                         viable markets for this precious source of
               in the Performance Materials Industry                            energy


                                                                                                                                                              19
Conclusions


•   Green initiatives must be self-funding - i.e. themselves sustainable

•   There is no one thing that counts as quot;green.quot; It can be anything from:
     •   emissions reduction or reduced usage of non-renewable raw materials
     •   ... to broader social responsibility considerations such as the worker's
         working conditions


•   Marketing is key
     •   ... But it is not just a marketing gimmick!


•   Important to be proactive and do it before legislation forces you to




                                                                                    20
Your Feedback is Important to Us


          What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan?

Growth Forecasts?

Competitive Structure?

Emerging Trends?

Strategic Recommendations?

Other?


                Please inform us by taking our survey.

                                                              21
For Additional Information



 Steve Lee
 Strategic Account Manager
 Chemicals, Materials and Food, Asia Pacific
 (65) 6890 0914
 steve.lee@frost.com




                                               22

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Green Chemicals & Materials – Unravelling The Myths And Creating Opportunities Oct08

  • 1. Green Chemicals & Materials – Unravelling the Myths and Creating Opportunities A panel discussion with Frost & Sullivan's leading Chemicals & Materials analysts: Robert Outram, Leo Dokos Brian Balmer, Hari Ramasubramanian 29 October 2008
  • 2. Focus Points • Key Industry Trends • Green Sourcing • Green Processes / Sustainability • White Biotechnology • Legislation • Case Studies / Examples 2
  • 3. Key Industry Trends Putting quot;Greenquot; in Context 3
  • 4. Trends’ Impact on the Chemicals Industry 2007 – 2020 High Impact Power Customer Recycling Nanotechnology Biorenewables White Biotechnology Logistics Excellence Super Chemical Companies Projected Impact on the Forwards/backwards Integration Chemicals Industry By-products/waste Environmental management Legislation Internet Auctions Low Impact Low High Certainty 4
  • 5. Materials Industry Trends Performance Materials Market: Impact of Key Industry Trends (Europe), 2008 10 Security Energy-saving Safety Market Impact Lifestyle 5 Differentiation Functionality Innovation Sustainable production Expansion 0 0 5 Supply chain 10 Internal Impact 5
  • 6. Materials Industry Trends Performance Materials Market: Impact of Key Industry Trends (Europe), 2008 10 Security Energy-saving Safety Market Impact Lifestyle 5 Differentiation Functionality Innovation Sustainable production Expansion 0 0 5 Supply chain 10 Internal Impact 6
  • 7. What is Green? Sustainably Bio-enabling Biodegradable Chemicals Sourced & Materials •Detergents •Biorenewable building blocks •Oxy-biodegradable •Bioplastics •Bioplastics plastic additives •Natural fibre •Oleochemicals •Composites for wind •Biofuels (?) turbines •Recycled •Solar cell chemicals 7
  • 8. Biobased Sourcing is alternative to Naphtha Stream Starch based polymers Polyhydroxyalkanoates CO2 1,3 Propanediol Wheat Ethanol ethylene Vinyl chloride 1,2 Propanediol maize C5 and Starch potato C6 Lactic Acid Acrylic acid Sugars Chiral compounds 3 HP Acrylic acid Sugar Poly lactic acid beet, PBS sugarcane Succinic THF acid 1,4 Butanediol Polyether polyols Sorbitol Glycols C5 Isoprene Polyisopropene Isosorbide polymer and Cellulose/ C6 Ethanol Ascorbic acid LignoCellulose Sugars Levullinic acid MeMbl Cellulose ethers, Cellulose esters and Viscose Fibres Acrolein Rapseed, Bio Diesel Current bulk productions Soyseed Vegetable Oil Allyl alcohol Glycerol Production on pilot scale 1,3 Propanediol Natural oil Polyols Research Scale (NOP) Epoxy resins Epichlorohydrin 1,2 propanediol Polyurethanes 8
  • 9. Materials Industry Trends - Focus on Green Thermoplastics Biopolymers Renewable materials Coating resins Energy efficiency Natural fibres Production Cleaner processes Waste reduction / re-use Worker safety Top 10 Trends Enabling tech. Energy efficiency Safety Security 9
  • 10. Materials Industry Trends - Focus on Green Thermoplastics Biopolymers Renewable materials Coating resins Energy efficiency Natural fibres Production Cleaner processes Waste reduction / re-use Worker safety Top 10 Trends Spec Chem as an enabler of green Materials: • Chemtura Polybond improves blending of wood fibres with PP in WPC • DuPont Biomax Strong at 2wt% greatly improves properties of PLA Enabling tech. Energy efficiency Safety Security 10
  • 11. The chemical industry has cut its energy intensity annually while reducing greenhouse gas emissions Between 1990 and 2005 Between 1990 and 2005 Between 1990 and 2005 Between 1990 and 2005 Between 1990 and 2005 Between 1990 and 2005 energy consumption greenhouse gas emissions production has increased energy consumption greenhouse gas emissions production has increased remained flat declined remained flat declined Index 160 100 106 73 Source: Cefic Time 11
  • 12. Bio-sourcing materials - Can analogies be drawn with oil- based chemistry? Chart 5.1 High Performance Plastics Market: Chemistry of C9 Monomers for Polyamides (Europe), 2007 C9 Chemistry Commodity C6 Chemistry Note the similarity of chemistries Natural Fatty Acids Oleic Acid: used to generate diamines for both niche C9 and commodity C6 polyamides O OH Adipic Acid O OH O O HO + PA 6,9 OH O HO OH O Azelaic Acid (old technology, largely superseded) PA 6,6 Pelargonic acid by- product: Used in alkyd resins, synthetic lubricant base PA 9,T H2N oils and plasticizers H2N NH2 NH2 HMDA 12
  • 14. The lack of harmonisation in legislation and standards slows down the momentum required for global adoption of green chemicals and processes Voluntarily participation Environment by the industry Legislation Not harmonised global regulatory framework – Ecology slow replacement of chemicals under consideration Economy Legislation will play an increasingly important role in the future in alignment with a global carbon footprint of materials and chemicals 14
  • 15. Europe is leading a global multifaceted effort to bring the chemicals industry in the 21st century GHS Industry responsible for Industry responsible for Global Good Management protecting human health Global Good Management protecting human health of Chemicals & Materials and the environment of Chemicals & Materials and the environment Change of the responsibility Restriction of the use of certain Identify hazardous chemicals and from public authorities to hazardous substances in electrical inform users through standard industry in demonstrating the and electronic equipment symbols and phrases on the safe manufacture and use of packaging labels and through chemicals safety data sheets (SDS) Things will speed up due to recently introduced legislation focusing on protecting the environment as well as human health 15
  • 16. Is “bio” a polished term for “green” products? Bioplastics These PLA, PHA's and starch-based Biolubricants polymers represent the future but Although the last 10 years these there is no specific legislation products have experienced a regulating the amount of renewable Biofuels market growth, this is due to a sourced material that needs to be State subsidies and EU directives slow replacement. Legislation present in a plastic for it to be called setting targets have been the mandating their use exists only bioplastic. It is therefore open to driving force for blending and in few European countries and individual players in the market to using biofuels. In the future … since 2008 in France as well. assess this particular point. Is “bio” the next “green” for chemicals and materials? 16
  • 17. FAQ’s & Frost & Sullivan Solutions Case studies from Frost & Sullivan’s research 17
  • 18. Frequently Asked Questions What opportunities could What does quot;Greenquot; there be for us in quot;energy actually mean? efficientquot; buildings? What are the different options to enter the bioplastics market? Can you charge a premium for a bio- based product? Is there any opportunity for recycling of advanced composites? Do you know what opportunities What impact will the new Pyramid there would be for [a new Technologies PLA plant have on material] to improve the thermal the bioplastics market? efficiency of buildings? 18
  • 19. Frost on the Green Revolution PLA Market: Volume Forecasts (Europe), 2003-2013 • Green Issues Coverage – Up to date 250.0 200.0 studies on green initiatives in our 150.0 kt various end user segments 100.0 50.0 Constantly changing • Examples of recent research market requires frequent 0.0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 tracking of the key trends • Chinese Solar Power Markets Old New • Wood Plastic Composites The European Bioplastics Market • Renewable Chemicals Markets forecasts had to be revised just in one year since we wrote the study, to account • Bespoke consulting work on Green for the rapid changes that had taken Markets place in the market in 2008 • Biofuels Market – Entry Strategies for the Hungarian Market • An Overview on Uses for Flare Gas • Analyst Briefings • Such as this one on Green initiatives in the Chemicals & Materials Market An analysis of the 170 billion cubic metres of • White Papers flare gas wasted every year, and identification of technologies that will create • Environmental Sustainability Initiatives viable markets for this precious source of in the Performance Materials Industry energy 19
  • 20. Conclusions • Green initiatives must be self-funding - i.e. themselves sustainable • There is no one thing that counts as quot;green.quot; It can be anything from: • emissions reduction or reduced usage of non-renewable raw materials • ... to broader social responsibility considerations such as the worker's working conditions • Marketing is key • ... But it is not just a marketing gimmick! • Important to be proactive and do it before legislation forces you to 20
  • 21. Your Feedback is Important to Us What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan? Growth Forecasts? Competitive Structure? Emerging Trends? Strategic Recommendations? Other? Please inform us by taking our survey. 21
  • 22. For Additional Information Steve Lee Strategic Account Manager Chemicals, Materials and Food, Asia Pacific (65) 6890 0914 steve.lee@frost.com 22