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WMD Threats & Counterproliferation:
The Role of Private Industry and the
 Global South in Maritime Security

             20 September 2012
                 Rome, Italy



                    Brian D. Finlay
                  Managing Director
          Managing Across Boundaries Program
                  The Stimson Center
             1111 19th St., NW 12th Floor
                Washington, DC 20036
                    (202) 478-3444
                 bfinlay@stimson.org



                                                Managing
                                                  Across
                                               Boundaries
Stimson: Managing Across Boundaries


                                                                  MANAGING ACROSS
           STIMSON                                                  BOUNDARIES

 NONPROFIT NATIONAL SECURITY                                     AN INCREASING ARRAY OF
         THINK TANK                                            TRANSNATIONAL CHALLENGES -
                                                            FROM WMD PROLIFERATION AND THE
 THE STIMSON CENTER'S WORK IS                                    GLOBAL DRUG TRADE, TO
 FOCUSED ON THREE PRIORITIES                                 CONTEMPORARY HUMAN SLAVERY,
 THAT ARE ESSENTIAL TO GLOBAL                                  SMALL ARMS TRAFFICKING, AND
          SECURITY:                                             COUNTERFEIT INTELLECTUAL
                                                               PROPERTY - HAVE BECOME SO
•STRENGTHENING INSTITUTIONS FOR                               WIDESPREAD THEY THREATEN TO
     INTERNATIONAL PEACE AND                                 OVERWHELM THE CAPABILITIES OF
            SECURITY                                        EVEN THE MOST WELL-INTENTIONED
•BUILDING REGIONAL SECURITY, AND                             GOVERNMENTS TO MITIGATE THEIR
   •REDUCING WEAPONS OF MASS                                     DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS.
 DESTRUCTION AND TRANSNATIONAL
             THREATS                                              THE MANAGING ACROSS
                                                            BOUNDARIES PROGRAM LOOKS FOR
STIMSON'S APPROACH IS PRAGMATIC                                 INNOVATIVE GOVERNMENT
   - GEARED TOWARD PROVIDING                                  RESPONSES - AT THE NATIONAL,
  POLICY ALTERNATIVES, SOLVING                                REGIONAL, AND INTERNATIONAL
   PROBLEMS, AND OVERCOMING                                  LEVELS - AND FOR SMART PUBLIC-
 OBSTACLES TO A MORE PEACEFUL                                   PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS TO
       AND SECURE WORLD.                                        MITIGATE THESE THREATS.

                                                             OUR EXPERTS AND RESEARCHERS
                                                              WORK TO CONCEPTUALIZE AND
                                                              CATALYZE "WHOLE OF SOCIETY"
                                                            SOLUTIONS TO THE MOST PRESSING
                                                             TRANSNATIONAL CHALLENGES OF
                                                                        OUR DAY. Managing

                                                                                  Across
                                                                               Boundaries
The Benefits of Globalization


Foreign Direct Investment

  International Trade Expansion

     Globalized Business Practices

        Spread of Innovation

           Global Supply Chaining

              Cold War Demobilization




                                                       Managing
                                                         Across
                                                      Boundaries
Maturation of Global Supply Chain




                                     Managing
                                       Across
                                    Boundaries
Global Narcotics Supply Routes




                                  Managing
                                    Across
                                 Boundaries
Global Supply Routes for Conventional Arms




                                              Managing
                                                Across
                                             Boundaries
Global Human Trafficking Routes




                                   Managing
                                     Across
                                  Boundaries
Global Proliferation Supply Chain




                                     Managing
                                       Across
                                    Boundaries
Fusion of the Licit and Illicit Global Supply Chains




                                                        Managing
                                                          Across
                                                       Boundaries
Critical Untapped Partners

             THE GLOBAL SOUTH                               SUPPLY CHAIN INDUSTRY
•   Lacking border and maritime security capacity;
•   Lack of financial resources to manage threat;
•   Lacking political interest in the global WMD
    nonproliferation agenda




                                                     •   Enhanced information sharing
                                                     •   Greater transparency
                                                     •   Reasonable screening standards
                                                     •   Profitable thickening of the supply chain




                                                                                               Managing
                                                                                                 Across
                                                                                              Boundaries
Yemen Printer Bomb Plot

 October 28, 2010, AQAP attempts to load
  explosive devices hidden in printer cartridges
  from Yemen to the USA;
 Technical screening, canines, physical inspection
  all fail to detect devices;
 Plot disrupted by specific human intelligence
  allowing companies to identify and neutralize
  the shipments.

 October 29th, 2010, Express Association of
  America (EEA) brings four express carriers into
  conversation with Customs and Border Patrol
  and Transportation Security Administration;
 All agree that providing information on cargo
  shipments earlier would help enhance
  transparency;
 Companies were allowed to take the lead in
  developing the right solution.




                                                           Managing
                                                             Across
                                                          Boundaries
Air Cargo Advanced Screening (ACAS)
                      An Example of Effective Cooperation

RESULT
•By January 2011, all four express firms transmitting data con shipments from
identified list of countries;
•Seven key data elements part of new information sharing system;
•Transmission time expanded from 4 hours to 24 hours;
•Express companies provide access to proprietary information and targeting systems
to help CBP/TSA resolve anomalies;
•Each company develops own IT solutions;
•To date, more than 33 million air cargo shipments analyzed;
•Nearly 3000 have been identified for additional screening.
•Key factor for success is flexibility by both public and private sectors;
•Government agrees NO TIME DEADLINES, NO PENALTIES for inaccurate or
incomplete data
•All achieved without federal register notices, no new regulations, no legislation;
•No Congressional overreaction;
•Seen in mutual interest of private companies and US Government.

                                              Source: Express Association, Michael Mullen
                                                       http://www.expressassociation.org/

                                                                                             Managing
                                                                                               Across
                                                                                            Boundaries
TASK FOR CE MEMB ER S
R ADM (ret) Jay Cohen*
                                                     Core Objectives of the Task Force:
Principal, Chertoff Group
Task Force Chairman
                                                           enhanced information flows between the private sector and government in
B arry B lechman**
Former CEO,
                                                            support of identifying and preventing illicit activities; and
DFI International
Task Force Vice-Chairman
                                                           development of new mechanisms for industry self-regulation consistent with
Valer ie Abend
Managing Director,
                                                            government security needs.
BNY Mellon
Ann B eauchesne                                                                    GUIDING PRINCIPLES for ENGAGEMENT
VP of National Security & Emergency
Preparedness, US Chamber of Commerce
Kenneth Br ill                                       oPublic-private collaborations must be responsive to market characteristics and security gaps.
Former Director, National Counterproliferation
Center                                               Even when modeled on past successes, static, formulaic approaches will not keep pace with today’s
John Cogliano
VP, Homeland Security Solutions, Lexington           economic and security dynamics. The key to mutually beneficial collaboration is a flexible process and
Insurance Company
                                                     incentive structure that satisfies the economic concerns of industry and the regulatory concerns of
B rad Gary
Former VP, Allergan                                  government. Market forces, in themselves, are not a panacea . Respect for proprietary business
R onnie Goldberg
Executive VP, U.S. Council                           operations and the profit motive must be balanced with sufficient transparency for oversight in service
for International Business
                                                     of security challenges.
G ary Gregg
Former President and CEO,                            oInformation-sharing must be an ongoing priority. Properly calibrating the roles and responsibilities
Liberty Mutual Agency Corp.
R upert Herbert -B urns                              of government and private sector actors depends on an institutionalized information-sharing framework
Former Director of Intelligence, Lloyd’s List
Intelligence                                         that benefits both constituencies. Moreover, when effective public-private collaborations already exist,
P eter Lichtenbaum                                   new initiatives should strengthen and complement them rather than duplicating effort.
Partner, Covington & Burling
Michael C. Mullen
                                                     oSecurity and profitability can be mutually reinforcing goals. Companies can maintain existing
Executive Director, Express Association of America
                                                     advantages and unlock new market opportunities by improving security within their organizations and
R ADM (ret) David Oliver
Former COO,                                          respective industries, and by contributing to the security and resilience of the wider global trading and
EADS North America
R ob R osenberg
                                                     financial systems.
CFO, NTELX




                                                                                                                                               Managing
                                                                                                                                                 Across
                                                                                                                                              Boundaries

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Brian Finlay Rome presentation sept 2012

  • 1. WMD Threats & Counterproliferation: The Role of Private Industry and the Global South in Maritime Security 20 September 2012 Rome, Italy Brian D. Finlay Managing Director Managing Across Boundaries Program The Stimson Center 1111 19th St., NW 12th Floor Washington, DC 20036 (202) 478-3444 bfinlay@stimson.org Managing Across Boundaries
  • 2. Stimson: Managing Across Boundaries MANAGING ACROSS STIMSON BOUNDARIES NONPROFIT NATIONAL SECURITY AN INCREASING ARRAY OF THINK TANK TRANSNATIONAL CHALLENGES - FROM WMD PROLIFERATION AND THE THE STIMSON CENTER'S WORK IS GLOBAL DRUG TRADE, TO FOCUSED ON THREE PRIORITIES CONTEMPORARY HUMAN SLAVERY, THAT ARE ESSENTIAL TO GLOBAL SMALL ARMS TRAFFICKING, AND SECURITY: COUNTERFEIT INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY - HAVE BECOME SO •STRENGTHENING INSTITUTIONS FOR WIDESPREAD THEY THREATEN TO INTERNATIONAL PEACE AND OVERWHELM THE CAPABILITIES OF SECURITY EVEN THE MOST WELL-INTENTIONED •BUILDING REGIONAL SECURITY, AND GOVERNMENTS TO MITIGATE THEIR •REDUCING WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS. DESTRUCTION AND TRANSNATIONAL THREATS THE MANAGING ACROSS BOUNDARIES PROGRAM LOOKS FOR STIMSON'S APPROACH IS PRAGMATIC INNOVATIVE GOVERNMENT - GEARED TOWARD PROVIDING RESPONSES - AT THE NATIONAL, POLICY ALTERNATIVES, SOLVING REGIONAL, AND INTERNATIONAL PROBLEMS, AND OVERCOMING LEVELS - AND FOR SMART PUBLIC- OBSTACLES TO A MORE PEACEFUL PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS TO AND SECURE WORLD. MITIGATE THESE THREATS. OUR EXPERTS AND RESEARCHERS WORK TO CONCEPTUALIZE AND CATALYZE "WHOLE OF SOCIETY" SOLUTIONS TO THE MOST PRESSING TRANSNATIONAL CHALLENGES OF OUR DAY. Managing Across Boundaries
  • 3. The Benefits of Globalization Foreign Direct Investment International Trade Expansion Globalized Business Practices Spread of Innovation Global Supply Chaining Cold War Demobilization Managing Across Boundaries
  • 4. Maturation of Global Supply Chain Managing Across Boundaries
  • 5. Global Narcotics Supply Routes Managing Across Boundaries
  • 6. Global Supply Routes for Conventional Arms Managing Across Boundaries
  • 7. Global Human Trafficking Routes Managing Across Boundaries
  • 8. Global Proliferation Supply Chain Managing Across Boundaries
  • 9. Fusion of the Licit and Illicit Global Supply Chains Managing Across Boundaries
  • 10. Critical Untapped Partners THE GLOBAL SOUTH SUPPLY CHAIN INDUSTRY • Lacking border and maritime security capacity; • Lack of financial resources to manage threat; • Lacking political interest in the global WMD nonproliferation agenda • Enhanced information sharing • Greater transparency • Reasonable screening standards • Profitable thickening of the supply chain Managing Across Boundaries
  • 11. Yemen Printer Bomb Plot  October 28, 2010, AQAP attempts to load explosive devices hidden in printer cartridges from Yemen to the USA;  Technical screening, canines, physical inspection all fail to detect devices;  Plot disrupted by specific human intelligence allowing companies to identify and neutralize the shipments.  October 29th, 2010, Express Association of America (EEA) brings four express carriers into conversation with Customs and Border Patrol and Transportation Security Administration;  All agree that providing information on cargo shipments earlier would help enhance transparency;  Companies were allowed to take the lead in developing the right solution. Managing Across Boundaries
  • 12. Air Cargo Advanced Screening (ACAS) An Example of Effective Cooperation RESULT •By January 2011, all four express firms transmitting data con shipments from identified list of countries; •Seven key data elements part of new information sharing system; •Transmission time expanded from 4 hours to 24 hours; •Express companies provide access to proprietary information and targeting systems to help CBP/TSA resolve anomalies; •Each company develops own IT solutions; •To date, more than 33 million air cargo shipments analyzed; •Nearly 3000 have been identified for additional screening. •Key factor for success is flexibility by both public and private sectors; •Government agrees NO TIME DEADLINES, NO PENALTIES for inaccurate or incomplete data •All achieved without federal register notices, no new regulations, no legislation; •No Congressional overreaction; •Seen in mutual interest of private companies and US Government. Source: Express Association, Michael Mullen http://www.expressassociation.org/ Managing Across Boundaries
  • 13. TASK FOR CE MEMB ER S R ADM (ret) Jay Cohen* Core Objectives of the Task Force: Principal, Chertoff Group Task Force Chairman  enhanced information flows between the private sector and government in B arry B lechman** Former CEO, support of identifying and preventing illicit activities; and DFI International Task Force Vice-Chairman  development of new mechanisms for industry self-regulation consistent with Valer ie Abend Managing Director, government security needs. BNY Mellon Ann B eauchesne GUIDING PRINCIPLES for ENGAGEMENT VP of National Security & Emergency Preparedness, US Chamber of Commerce Kenneth Br ill oPublic-private collaborations must be responsive to market characteristics and security gaps. Former Director, National Counterproliferation Center Even when modeled on past successes, static, formulaic approaches will not keep pace with today’s John Cogliano VP, Homeland Security Solutions, Lexington economic and security dynamics. The key to mutually beneficial collaboration is a flexible process and Insurance Company incentive structure that satisfies the economic concerns of industry and the regulatory concerns of B rad Gary Former VP, Allergan government. Market forces, in themselves, are not a panacea . Respect for proprietary business R onnie Goldberg Executive VP, U.S. Council operations and the profit motive must be balanced with sufficient transparency for oversight in service for International Business of security challenges. G ary Gregg Former President and CEO, oInformation-sharing must be an ongoing priority. Properly calibrating the roles and responsibilities Liberty Mutual Agency Corp. R upert Herbert -B urns of government and private sector actors depends on an institutionalized information-sharing framework Former Director of Intelligence, Lloyd’s List Intelligence that benefits both constituencies. Moreover, when effective public-private collaborations already exist, P eter Lichtenbaum new initiatives should strengthen and complement them rather than duplicating effort. Partner, Covington & Burling Michael C. Mullen oSecurity and profitability can be mutually reinforcing goals. Companies can maintain existing Executive Director, Express Association of America advantages and unlock new market opportunities by improving security within their organizations and R ADM (ret) David Oliver Former COO, respective industries, and by contributing to the security and resilience of the wider global trading and EADS North America R ob R osenberg financial systems. CFO, NTELX Managing Across Boundaries