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Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance
CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report
Date 21st September,10
Aluminum
Base metals are moving in a very thin trade because of
Chinese holiday this week. If base metals move up
then there can be some profit booking on higher levels,
as China is out for the festival. So traders have to be
very cautious while taking buying positions at higher
levels.
Technically, Aluminium is in upward direction from 85
levels, we have seen a upmove of 15 Rs. in past three
months. Aluminium looks positive on charts, we can
see targets of 103 and 109 in next few weeks. If
Aluminum is able to break 103 and gives close above
that then we can see targets of 109 and 114 Rs. in
next three to four months. To maintain bullish trend,
Aluminum prices should not give close below 93 levels,
if prices are able to break 93 levels then the
commodity will not be bullish.
In long term we are expecting Aluminum prices to give
returns of around 15 to 20%, so any small correction
will be a very good buy opportunity for the short term
targets of 103 and 109. And if we talk of three month
view then we can expect Aluminum prices to touch 114
levels also.
Chilli prices were moving down from 4800 levels, we have seen chilli prices making low of 3800
levels in the month of September, but suddenly from past some days prices are moving up and
we have seen levels of 4600 and 4700 levels. The upmove in the prices is basically because of
weak arrivals in the spot market. Also the major up move is because of good domestic demand
from the festive season, positive move in the commodity can sustain the prices because of
expectations of good export demand.
Commodity Rate Rate Up / Down
21.09.10 20.09.10
Gold $ 1275 $ 1279.30 $ - 4.30 $
Silver $ 20.64 $ 20.80 $ - 0.16 $
Crude $ 74.03 $ 74.86 $ - 0.83 $
USDINR 45.8350 45.7450 0.0900
Turnover of 20.09.10
Exchange Turnover ( Cr.)
MCX 31139
NCDEX 4342
Chilli
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2
Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance
CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report
Date 21st September,10
Technically we can seen that, Chilli prices can give
good up move from present levels till 5100 Rs. prices
will face a small ressitance at 4850 levels, once if it is
able to break then we can see Chilli prices touching
new high if 5100 levels in next two to three months.
In september month expiry we have seen contango of
600 Rs, so there is a possibility that prices can give
small correction till 4400 or 4500 in some days, if wee
see prices near 4500 levels then it will be a very good
buy levels for the targets of 4850 and 5150 levels.
Chilli trend will turn negative if the prices are able to
break 4300 levels, if it breaks 4300 level and gives
close below that then again we can see prices making
new low of 3800 and 3500 levels.
Aluminum Chart
June July August September October November December 2010 February March April May June July August September October
50000
x1000
Volume(39,735,000)
30
40
50
60
70
80
RelativeStrength Index(56.5899)
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112ALUMINIUMKG-1MONTH(99.3000,100.400,99.1000,99.6000,+0.30000)
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3
Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance
CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report
Date 21st September,10
Daily Trading Range
 Aluminum today’s trading level are 98.20 – 100.70.
 Intraday support @ 96.55 – 98.20 and Resistance @ 99.70 – 100.70.
 Intraday Trend UP, Buy on dips....…
 Aluminum Buy @ 99 SL 98 TGT 100.50…..
Open Calls
Date Type
of
Call
Commodity Initiated
Price
Stop
Loss
Target Closing
Price
Comments
16.09.10 Buy Gold Mini 19170 19050 19290-19350 19180
20.09.10 Buy Natural Gas 176 174 179 – 183 176.50
Spread Calls
Date Type
of
Call
Commodity Initiat
ed
Price
Stop
Loss
Spread
Target
Spread
Comments
15.09.10 Buy Natural Gas OCT 194
Sell Natural Gas NOV 207
5000 7000-12000
20.09.10 Buy Crude OCT 3455
Sell Crude NOV 3550
4000 4000-7000
US Economic Indicator
US Economic Data
Time Data Prior Expected
6.00 PM Housing Starts 546 K 550 K
6.00 PM Building Permits 559 K 560 K
11.45 PM FOMC Rate Decision 0.25 % 0.25 %
4 - 4 -
4
Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance
CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report
Date 21st September,10
Report by: - Sumeet Bagadia.
(Assistant Vice President - Commodity & Currency)
Email: - sumeet.bagadia@cdequi.com
Contact No :- 022 - 30696875
For private circulation only Website: www.cdequi.com
Disclaimer
CD CommoSearch Pvt. Ltd. as a firm may have investment positions in the company shares discussed above. This document
is meant for our clients only and is not for public distribution. This material is for the personal information of the authorized
recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the
solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. The material is
based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be
relied upon as such. Neither CD CommoSearch Pvt. Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipient of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional
advice. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons
that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice. If you have any questions about this report please get in touch with
CD CommoSearch Pvt. Ltd.
Kolkata: CD Equisearch Pvt. Ltd. 37, Shakespeare Sarani, Kolkata 700 017 Phone + 91 (33) 2280 5601 / 5602,
Fax + 91 (33) 2289 2557,
Mumbai: CD Equisearch Pvt. Ltd. 10, Vaswani Mansion, 2nd Floor, Dinshaw Waccha Road, Mumbai – 400 020
Phone +91 (22) 33550000, Fax +91 (22) 2283 2276.
DayTrader,Vultures Pick.
Commodity S2 S1 Prev. Close R1 R2 Trend
Gold 18990 19050 19102 19150 19240 Buy on dips & Sell on rise….
Silver 31750 31900 32144 32170 32400 Buy on dips & Sell on rise….
Crude 3402 3450 3525 3545 3595 Buy on dips & Sell on rise….
NG 170 174 176.50 178 183 Buy on dips….
Copper 348 351.50 354.15 355 359.60 Buy on dips….
Nickel 1010 1038 1058.30 1077 1100 Buy on dips….
Zinc 95.60 97.10 98.70 98.80 100.40 Buy on dips….
Lead 96.30 97.10 98.75 99.10 101.20 Buy on dips….
Aluminum 96.55 98.20 99.60 99.70 100.70 Buy on dips….

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Chilli 21st Sept Report

  • 1. 4 - 1 - 1 Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report Date 21st September,10 Aluminum Base metals are moving in a very thin trade because of Chinese holiday this week. If base metals move up then there can be some profit booking on higher levels, as China is out for the festival. So traders have to be very cautious while taking buying positions at higher levels. Technically, Aluminium is in upward direction from 85 levels, we have seen a upmove of 15 Rs. in past three months. Aluminium looks positive on charts, we can see targets of 103 and 109 in next few weeks. If Aluminum is able to break 103 and gives close above that then we can see targets of 109 and 114 Rs. in next three to four months. To maintain bullish trend, Aluminum prices should not give close below 93 levels, if prices are able to break 93 levels then the commodity will not be bullish. In long term we are expecting Aluminum prices to give returns of around 15 to 20%, so any small correction will be a very good buy opportunity for the short term targets of 103 and 109. And if we talk of three month view then we can expect Aluminum prices to touch 114 levels also. Chilli prices were moving down from 4800 levels, we have seen chilli prices making low of 3800 levels in the month of September, but suddenly from past some days prices are moving up and we have seen levels of 4600 and 4700 levels. The upmove in the prices is basically because of weak arrivals in the spot market. Also the major up move is because of good domestic demand from the festive season, positive move in the commodity can sustain the prices because of expectations of good export demand. Commodity Rate Rate Up / Down 21.09.10 20.09.10 Gold $ 1275 $ 1279.30 $ - 4.30 $ Silver $ 20.64 $ 20.80 $ - 0.16 $ Crude $ 74.03 $ 74.86 $ - 0.83 $ USDINR 45.8350 45.7450 0.0900 Turnover of 20.09.10 Exchange Turnover ( Cr.) MCX 31139 NCDEX 4342 Chilli
  • 2. 4 - 2 - 2 Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report Date 21st September,10 Technically we can seen that, Chilli prices can give good up move from present levels till 5100 Rs. prices will face a small ressitance at 4850 levels, once if it is able to break then we can see Chilli prices touching new high if 5100 levels in next two to three months. In september month expiry we have seen contango of 600 Rs, so there is a possibility that prices can give small correction till 4400 or 4500 in some days, if wee see prices near 4500 levels then it will be a very good buy levels for the targets of 4850 and 5150 levels. Chilli trend will turn negative if the prices are able to break 4300 levels, if it breaks 4300 level and gives close below that then again we can see prices making new low of 3800 and 3500 levels. Aluminum Chart June July August September October November December 2010 February March April May June July August September October 50000 x1000 Volume(39,735,000) 30 40 50 60 70 80 RelativeStrength Index(56.5899) 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112ALUMINIUMKG-1MONTH(99.3000,100.400,99.1000,99.6000,+0.30000)
  • 3. 4 - 3 - 3 Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report Date 21st September,10 Daily Trading Range  Aluminum today’s trading level are 98.20 – 100.70.  Intraday support @ 96.55 – 98.20 and Resistance @ 99.70 – 100.70.  Intraday Trend UP, Buy on dips....…  Aluminum Buy @ 99 SL 98 TGT 100.50….. Open Calls Date Type of Call Commodity Initiated Price Stop Loss Target Closing Price Comments 16.09.10 Buy Gold Mini 19170 19050 19290-19350 19180 20.09.10 Buy Natural Gas 176 174 179 – 183 176.50 Spread Calls Date Type of Call Commodity Initiat ed Price Stop Loss Spread Target Spread Comments 15.09.10 Buy Natural Gas OCT 194 Sell Natural Gas NOV 207 5000 7000-12000 20.09.10 Buy Crude OCT 3455 Sell Crude NOV 3550 4000 4000-7000 US Economic Indicator US Economic Data Time Data Prior Expected 6.00 PM Housing Starts 546 K 550 K 6.00 PM Building Permits 559 K 560 K 11.45 PM FOMC Rate Decision 0.25 % 0.25 %
  • 4. 4 - 4 - 4 Equities Derivatives Commodities Wealth Management Mutual Funds Life Insurance CD CommoSearch Daily Research Report Date 21st September,10 Report by: - Sumeet Bagadia. (Assistant Vice President - Commodity & Currency) Email: - sumeet.bagadia@cdequi.com Contact No :- 022 - 30696875 For private circulation only Website: www.cdequi.com Disclaimer CD CommoSearch Pvt. Ltd. as a firm may have investment positions in the company shares discussed above. This document is meant for our clients only and is not for public distribution. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. The material is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Neither CD CommoSearch Pvt. Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipient of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. If you have any questions about this report please get in touch with CD CommoSearch Pvt. Ltd. Kolkata: CD Equisearch Pvt. Ltd. 37, Shakespeare Sarani, Kolkata 700 017 Phone + 91 (33) 2280 5601 / 5602, Fax + 91 (33) 2289 2557, Mumbai: CD Equisearch Pvt. Ltd. 10, Vaswani Mansion, 2nd Floor, Dinshaw Waccha Road, Mumbai – 400 020 Phone +91 (22) 33550000, Fax +91 (22) 2283 2276. DayTrader,Vultures Pick. Commodity S2 S1 Prev. Close R1 R2 Trend Gold 18990 19050 19102 19150 19240 Buy on dips & Sell on rise…. Silver 31750 31900 32144 32170 32400 Buy on dips & Sell on rise…. Crude 3402 3450 3525 3545 3595 Buy on dips & Sell on rise…. NG 170 174 176.50 178 183 Buy on dips…. Copper 348 351.50 354.15 355 359.60 Buy on dips…. Nickel 1010 1038 1058.30 1077 1100 Buy on dips…. Zinc 95.60 97.10 98.70 98.80 100.40 Buy on dips…. Lead 96.30 97.10 98.75 99.10 101.20 Buy on dips…. Aluminum 96.55 98.20 99.60 99.70 100.70 Buy on dips….