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UKRAINE ANALYSIS
CONTENTS:-
Location on World  Map
Natural resources of Ukraine
Chief Exports
Chief Imports
Ukraine metallurgy Overview
Production scenario & Export of steel to
 Ukraine 2011-2012
Ukraine Scrap metalFOB prices
Ukraine is
situated in
Eastern Europe
Natural Resources of Ukraine

5%   of world reserves of iron ore which is about
46% of all of the former USSR
Coal reserves amount to 47.1 billion tons
Deposits of iron ore (estimated at 28 billion
tons), manganese ore (3 billion tons), chalk and
limestone (1.5 billion tons) are also large in
Ukraine.
Natural gas reserves of 39.6 trillion cubic feet
Chief Exports/Imports




   Ferrous and non-ferrous metals
    Fuel and petroleum products

                                    Oil and gas, machinery and parts
Ukraine metallurgy Overview
Mining-metallurgical  complex (MMC) Companies of Ukraine accounts
for 65% of the country’s steel production
The MMC of Ukraine supplies only 20% of metal products to the
domestic market and exports 80%
Even  with the powerful metal industry Ukraine has been lately importing
over 1 million tons of metal per year
Itshould be expected that in the near future the metallurgists of China
and India, due to quick development, would drive foreign metal products
from their markets and would increase their shares in the Near East
countries and Indochina
Ukraine  uses 52.8 man-hours to produce one ton of steel, while Russia
uses 38.1 and Germany - 16.8 man-hour
At  full loading of metal works in Ukraine with full metallurgical cycle
the productivity of labor is around 200-250 tons of steel per 1 worker per
year, while the modern electric-metallurgical mini-mills with capacity of
1.5-2 million tons of steel per year yield 3000-4000 tons
Production scenario & Export of steel
to Ukraine 2011-2012
STEEL PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE (million ton)

         Products/Year             "2007"                  "2010"                  "2011"

 Pig iron                              35,6                 27,4                    28,9

 Steel                                 42,8                 32,7                    34,7

 Steel products                        36,2                 30,7                    31,7


UKRAINIAN STEEL EXPORT (million ton)


                                                            Europe (not
Year/Region       EC     Middle East          CIS   Asia                  Africa     America
                                                               EC)


2010               5,7       5,6              3,2   3,7            2,6     1,9             0,8


2011               6,4       5,3              3,3   3,1            2,2     1,5             0,7
CIS: price forecast in key markets, $/t
              Nov.11*   Dec.11*   Jan.12*   Feb.12   Mar.12   Apr.12
 HR sheet
 2-8 mm,
   CPT

  Ukraine       825       750        750      750      780      805
Billet, FOB
 Black Sea
 Ukraine        575       590        605      605      615      600
Steel Scrap
 domestic
   prices
 Ukraine        350       325        330      385      375      360
 Iron ore
Concentrate
 domestic       125       125        105      105      105      115
   prices
 Ukraine
  Pellets
 domestic       140       140        135      130      130      135
   prices
 Ukraine
Scrap FOB Prices at various
ports

                • $400-410/t FOB
   Sea ports
   (Odessa,
  Nikolayev)



                • $398-399/t FOB
  River ports
  (Kherson,
  Nikolayev)
Pig iron prices start growing in
  Europe

According to the
data,Ukrainie has
quoted its material
to Italy at$375-
385/t C&F ($350-
360/t FOB Azov-
Black Sea ports).

While the last
quote by
Ukrainian-origin pig
iron was at $375-
380/t C&F.
Comparative Analysis of various
products Importers from Ukraine
Country       Material        ports        Prices
                                           FOB          C&F
Italy         Pig iron        Azov-Black   $350-360/t   $375-385/t
                              Sea ports
Turkey        Pig Iron        Azov-Black   $360-370/t   $375-385/t
                              Sea ports
              Long/Semi Fin                             $520-525/t
              Flat                                      $550-560/t
Iraq          Re-Bar                                    $670-685/t
                                                        offer prices
UAE(Emirati   HRC                                       $555-565/t
buyers)
              Plates                                    $580-590/t
THANK YOU
SURABHI
 SINGH
Research analyst

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Ukraine analysis

  • 1. UKRAINE ANALYSIS CONTENTS:- Location on World Map Natural resources of Ukraine Chief Exports Chief Imports Ukraine metallurgy Overview Production scenario & Export of steel to Ukraine 2011-2012 Ukraine Scrap metalFOB prices
  • 3. Natural Resources of Ukraine 5% of world reserves of iron ore which is about 46% of all of the former USSR Coal reserves amount to 47.1 billion tons Deposits of iron ore (estimated at 28 billion tons), manganese ore (3 billion tons), chalk and limestone (1.5 billion tons) are also large in Ukraine. Natural gas reserves of 39.6 trillion cubic feet
  • 4. Chief Exports/Imports Ferrous and non-ferrous metals Fuel and petroleum products Oil and gas, machinery and parts
  • 5. Ukraine metallurgy Overview Mining-metallurgical complex (MMC) Companies of Ukraine accounts for 65% of the country’s steel production The MMC of Ukraine supplies only 20% of metal products to the domestic market and exports 80% Even with the powerful metal industry Ukraine has been lately importing over 1 million tons of metal per year Itshould be expected that in the near future the metallurgists of China and India, due to quick development, would drive foreign metal products from their markets and would increase their shares in the Near East countries and Indochina Ukraine uses 52.8 man-hours to produce one ton of steel, while Russia uses 38.1 and Germany - 16.8 man-hour At full loading of metal works in Ukraine with full metallurgical cycle the productivity of labor is around 200-250 tons of steel per 1 worker per year, while the modern electric-metallurgical mini-mills with capacity of 1.5-2 million tons of steel per year yield 3000-4000 tons
  • 6. Production scenario & Export of steel to Ukraine 2011-2012 STEEL PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE (million ton) Products/Year "2007" "2010" "2011" Pig iron 35,6 27,4 28,9 Steel 42,8 32,7 34,7 Steel products 36,2 30,7 31,7 UKRAINIAN STEEL EXPORT (million ton) Europe (not Year/Region EC Middle East CIS Asia Africa America EC) 2010 5,7 5,6 3,2 3,7 2,6 1,9 0,8 2011 6,4 5,3 3,3 3,1 2,2 1,5 0,7
  • 7. CIS: price forecast in key markets, $/t Nov.11* Dec.11* Jan.12* Feb.12 Mar.12 Apr.12 HR sheet 2-8 mm, CPT Ukraine 825 750 750 750 780 805 Billet, FOB Black Sea Ukraine 575 590 605 605 615 600 Steel Scrap domestic prices Ukraine 350 325 330 385 375 360 Iron ore Concentrate domestic 125 125 105 105 105 115 prices Ukraine Pellets domestic 140 140 135 130 130 135 prices Ukraine
  • 8. Scrap FOB Prices at various ports • $400-410/t FOB Sea ports (Odessa, Nikolayev) • $398-399/t FOB River ports (Kherson, Nikolayev)
  • 9. Pig iron prices start growing in Europe According to the data,Ukrainie has quoted its material to Italy at$375- 385/t C&F ($350- 360/t FOB Azov- Black Sea ports). While the last quote by Ukrainian-origin pig iron was at $375- 380/t C&F.
  • 10. Comparative Analysis of various products Importers from Ukraine Country Material ports Prices FOB C&F Italy Pig iron Azov-Black $350-360/t $375-385/t Sea ports Turkey Pig Iron Azov-Black $360-370/t $375-385/t Sea ports Long/Semi Fin $520-525/t Flat $550-560/t Iraq Re-Bar $670-685/t offer prices UAE(Emirati HRC $555-565/t buyers) Plates $580-590/t

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. $375-385/t C&F ($360-370/t FOB Azov-Black Sea)