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Psychological Dimensions of
            Tracking
                Motivation & Compliance


 Quantified Self SiliValley Meetup         Aug 11, 2011

Paul Whitmore Sas
outwit.pine@gmail.com
QSelf currently dominated by focus on tools &
techniques
Data Enuresis

 QS activity to date assumes that information guides behavior


 NYC has posted calorie information on all fast foods


 “The effect is very, very close to zero.”       Dan Ariely




 Dale Larson at QS#13 described “LeanScale”
     To be fair, it did increase lean mass & loss of fat


 3
Behavioral economists view Designers/Product Managers as
CHOICE ARCHITECTS


              Opt
                    ion
                          A
                                        Opt
                                            io     nB


     “Many features, noticed and unnoticed, can influence decisions. The
     person who creates that environment is, in our terminology, a
     choice architect.” (Thaler & Sunstein)



6
Motivational Context

Gamification is just lipstick on a pig
True integration of psychology with technology would
parallel the “GUI” that transformed tools from the
Homebrew Computer Club
Habit: “the enormous flywheel of society” (Wm James)
Maker community building an economy of whimsy
      Hacker Dojo/NoiseBridge/Ace Monster Toys
      Bootcamps morph into “Summer of Riesling” with tasting
      workouts
Channel Factors

 Persuasion not as important as removing behavioral barriers
     WWII sale of bonds (Cartwright, 1949)
     Tetanus shot messaging
       Biggest impact (10X): providing a map to clinic + specifying appt time

 Once this was seen to be “applied”, further psych research
 stunted.
 Now it takes place as “behavioral economics”
     Well-chosen defaults (opt-out vs opt-in)
     Reduction in choice overload

 6
People do not know what they want, since that gets constructed




 Choosing for tonight            Choosing for next             Choosing for second
                                 Thursday                      Thursday
 Next week I will want things that are good for me…



    7             slide adapted from Prof Russell James III,  Texas Tech U
Automating Choice

 Subscription to reduce friction of decision-making
  Theater tickets / Gym membership
  Amazon reduces cognitive load in multiple ways
       PRIME
       15% off if a purchase is transformed from a one-off purchase to a
       subscription

  Medical insurance –Seems irrational to choose high premium, low
   deductible, yet many don’t want to make repeated calculations
   about trade offs



 8
Understanding Preferences

 Building a better Eliza (1966 computer program)
ELIZA mimicked a therapist by returning
whatever user typed with a question


> How does that make you feel?

> Tell me more about …




 9
How to get people to talk about themselves?

 


Hunch is
exemplary
at playing
“the
question
game”




     10
Beware that Q&A can just be pesky

Eliza tricked people into thinking that we are talking about me


Microsoft “Clippy” had much more computational intelligence,
 but it only directed attention to Clippy




 11
Diminishing Returns (Weber-Fechner Law)

Response starts big, and with each additional increment, gives
less and less bang




      Psychophysics of Value
Behavioral Economics can explain one way that games hook into motivation




 Move from framing where response is flat into framing where the payoff is
 still increasing.

 Games do this by slicing infinite horizon into smaller intervals

 The reverse occurs with Subscription, and explains how friction reduces:
 Move many short, sharp shocks toward one smooth flat perspective.
  13
Beyond Boredom and Anxiety




      Csikszentmihalyi’s concept of Flow (adapted by Jenova Chen, MFA)
 14
Peak and End Rule (Kahneman)

 Experienced vs. Remembered Utility
      Our mind does not make movies; it takes snapshots
      Rather than guess the total amount of suffering, people recall the worst
      instant, and the last instant.
      If you increase the amount of suffering, but arrange for the last minutes to be
      less intense, people report a longer period as less painful




 15
Next step for the Quantified Self Community

 In QS experiments, focus should initially be on “compliance with
 tracking” as the dependent variable
 Manipulations to be experimentally delivered
      Timing of prompt
      Contextual cues of prompt
      Reward for providing response to the prompt
 Data collection can go from extrinsic imposition to intrinsic
      Even interrupts could demand generation of a specific measure
        Deliver a Heart rate change, arithmetic task or eye-hand coordination action
        Humans will outsmart the interrupt, so the DV is still compliance

 Gold: Experience as motivating as a Hollywood personal trainer
 16

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Psychological Dimensions of Tracking

  • 1. Psychological Dimensions of Tracking Motivation & Compliance Quantified Self SiliValley Meetup Aug 11, 2011 Paul Whitmore Sas outwit.pine@gmail.com
  • 2. QSelf currently dominated by focus on tools & techniques
  • 3. Data Enuresis QS activity to date assumes that information guides behavior NYC has posted calorie information on all fast foods “The effect is very, very close to zero.” Dan Ariely Dale Larson at QS#13 described “LeanScale” To be fair, it did increase lean mass & loss of fat 3
  • 4. Behavioral economists view Designers/Product Managers as CHOICE ARCHITECTS Opt ion A Opt io nB “Many features, noticed and unnoticed, can influence decisions. The person who creates that environment is, in our terminology, a choice architect.” (Thaler & Sunstein) 6
  • 5. Motivational Context Gamification is just lipstick on a pig True integration of psychology with technology would parallel the “GUI” that transformed tools from the Homebrew Computer Club Habit: “the enormous flywheel of society” (Wm James) Maker community building an economy of whimsy Hacker Dojo/NoiseBridge/Ace Monster Toys Bootcamps morph into “Summer of Riesling” with tasting workouts
  • 6. Channel Factors Persuasion not as important as removing behavioral barriers WWII sale of bonds (Cartwright, 1949) Tetanus shot messaging Biggest impact (10X): providing a map to clinic + specifying appt time Once this was seen to be “applied”, further psych research stunted. Now it takes place as “behavioral economics” Well-chosen defaults (opt-out vs opt-in) Reduction in choice overload 6
  • 7. People do not know what they want, since that gets constructed Choosing for tonight Choosing for next Choosing for second Thursday Thursday Next week I will want things that are good for me… 7 slide adapted from Prof Russell James III,  Texas Tech U
  • 8. Automating Choice Subscription to reduce friction of decision-making Theater tickets / Gym membership Amazon reduces cognitive load in multiple ways PRIME 15% off if a purchase is transformed from a one-off purchase to a subscription Medical insurance –Seems irrational to choose high premium, low deductible, yet many don’t want to make repeated calculations about trade offs 8
  • 9. Understanding Preferences Building a better Eliza (1966 computer program) ELIZA mimicked a therapist by returning whatever user typed with a question > How does that make you feel? > Tell me more about … 9
  • 10. How to get people to talk about themselves?  Hunch is exemplary at playing “the question game” 10
  • 11. Beware that Q&A can just be pesky Eliza tricked people into thinking that we are talking about me Microsoft “Clippy” had much more computational intelligence, but it only directed attention to Clippy 11
  • 12. Diminishing Returns (Weber-Fechner Law) Response starts big, and with each additional increment, gives less and less bang Psychophysics of Value
  • 13. Behavioral Economics can explain one way that games hook into motivation Move from framing where response is flat into framing where the payoff is still increasing. Games do this by slicing infinite horizon into smaller intervals The reverse occurs with Subscription, and explains how friction reduces: Move many short, sharp shocks toward one smooth flat perspective. 13
  • 14. Beyond Boredom and Anxiety Csikszentmihalyi’s concept of Flow (adapted by Jenova Chen, MFA) 14
  • 15. Peak and End Rule (Kahneman) Experienced vs. Remembered Utility Our mind does not make movies; it takes snapshots Rather than guess the total amount of suffering, people recall the worst instant, and the last instant. If you increase the amount of suffering, but arrange for the last minutes to be less intense, people report a longer period as less painful 15
  • 16. Next step for the Quantified Self Community In QS experiments, focus should initially be on “compliance with tracking” as the dependent variable Manipulations to be experimentally delivered Timing of prompt Contextual cues of prompt Reward for providing response to the prompt Data collection can go from extrinsic imposition to intrinsic Even interrupts could demand generation of a specific measure Deliver a Heart rate change, arithmetic task or eye-hand coordination action Humans will outsmart the interrupt, so the DV is still compliance Gold: Experience as motivating as a Hollywood personal trainer 16

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