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Chapter 22 an introduction to macroeconomics
1.
PowerPoint Slides prepared
by: Andreea CHIRITESCU Eastern Illinois University 1© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. An Introduction to Macroeconomics Where the telescope ends, the microscope begins. Which of the two has the grander view? VICTOR HUGO
2.
Drawing a Line •
Drawing a line between macroeconomics and microeconomics • Microeconomics –Decisions of individual units • No matter how large • Macroeconomics –Behavior of entire economies • No matter how small –Economic aggregates 2© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
3.
Drawing a Line •
Aggregation –Combine many individual markets into one overall market • Composition of demand and supply –In various markets –Important for microeconomics issues –Not important for macroeconomics issues • During economic fluctuations –Markets – move up or down together 3© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
4.
Drawing a Line •
Macroeconomics –Assume most details • Resource allocation and income distribution • Relatively unimportant • Microeconomics –Ignore macroeconomics issues –Focus on individual markets • Allocate resources • Distribute income 4© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
5.
Macroeconomics • Aggregate demand
curve –Quantity of domestic product that is demanded at each possible value of the price level • Aggregate supply curve –Quantity of domestic product that is supplied at each possible value of the price level 5© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
6.
Figure 1 Two interpretations
of a shift in the demand curve 6 0 Quantity Price (a) D D 0 Quantity Price (b) Q0 S S P0 E D0 D0 S S P0 D1 D1 P1 E A © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
7.
Macroeconomics • Inflation –Sustained increase
in the general price level • Recession –A period of time during which the total output of the economy declines • Production falls • People lose jobs –Leftward shift of aggregate demand curve 7© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
8.
Figure 2 An Economy
Slipping into a Recession 8 0 Domestic Product PriceLevel D0 D0 Q0 S S P0 D2 D2 P2 Q2 E B © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
9.
Macroeconomics • Macroeconomists study –Inflation –Recession
and unemployment –Economic growth 9© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
10.
Figure 3 Economic Growth 10 0 Domestic
Product PriceLevel D0 D0 Q0 S0 S0 D1 D1 Q1 E S1 S1 C © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
11.
Gross Domestic Product •
Gross domestic product (GDP) –Sum of the money values of all final goods and services –Produced in the domestic economy and sold on organized markets –During a specified period of time, usually a year 11© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
12.
Gross Domestic Product •
Nominal GDP –GDP in current dollars –Calculated by valuing all outputs at current prices • Real GDP –Calculated by valuing outputs of different years at common prices –Better measure than nominal GDP of changes in total production 12© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
13.
Gross Domestic Product •
GDP - particular year –Add up money value of things –Goods and services • Produced within the year –Final goods and services –Production: geographic boundaries of U.S. –Organized markets 13© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
14.
Gross Domestic Product •
Final goods and services –Purchased by their ultimate users • Intermediate good - purchased –For resale –For use in producing another good 14© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
15.
Gross Domestic Product •
Limitations of GDP –Not a measure of the nation’s economic well-being –Includes only market activity –Places no value on leisure –Counted: “Bads” and “Goods” –Ecological costs are not netted out of the GDP 15© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
16.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • U.S. economy –Growth – with fluctuations • Macroeconomic fluctuations –Business cycles • Real GDP per capita –Ratio of real GDP divided by population 16© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
17.
Figure 4 Nominal GDP,
Real GDP, and Real GDP per Capita since 1959 17© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
18.
Figure 5 The Growth
Rate of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product since 1870 18© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
19.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Inflation –Sustained increase in the general price level • Deflation –Sustained decrease in the general price level 19© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
20.
Figure 6 The Inflation
Rate in the United States since 1870 20© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
21.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • The Great Depression, 1929-1933 –Decline in economic activity –Rapid deflation –Production declined 30% –Business investment ceased –Unemployment rate • Increased from 3% to 25% –World-wide event 21© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
22.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • The Great Depression, 1929-1933 –Revolution in economic thought • Before: economy corrects itself • After: decrease in aggregate demand – Monetary & fiscal policy –Ended: early 1940s 22© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
23.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • From WWII to 1973 –Increased government spending • Increased aggregate demand • Accidental fiscal policy • Price controls • Shortage: consumer goods –1960s – strong growth –Vietnam war – increased spending • Inflation and high unemployment –Wage and price controls 23© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
24.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Fiscal policy –Government spending and taxation –Used to steer aggregate demand • Stagflation –Inflation –While economy • Growing slowly (“stagnating”) • Or recession 24© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
25.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • The Great Stagflation, 1973-1980 –OPEC – 1973 oil prices quadrupled –Poor harvests –Recession • Inflation rate: 12% • High unemployment –Stagflation –Inward shift of aggregate supply 25© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
26.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • The Great Stagflation, 1973-1980 –Economy recovered • Government actions • Natural economic forces –1979 – OPEC soaring oil prices • Stagflation • Inflation: 16% 26© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
27.
Figure 7 The Effects
of an Adverse Supply Shift 27 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D D S0 S0 E S1 S1 A © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
28.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Reaganomics and its aftermath –Recovery underway –High inflation –Federal Reserve • Monetary policy, High interest rate • Monetary policy –Actions – Federal Reserve • Change interest rates • Influence aggregate demand 28© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
29.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Reaganomics and its aftermath –1981-1982 recession –Large budget deficits –Recovery started 1982-1983 –President Bush • Inflation • Deficit-reduction package • Spike in oil prices • 1990-1991 recession 29© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
30.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Clintonomics: deficit reduction and the “New Economy” –Deficit-reduction package, 1993 & 1997 • Tax increase & spending cuts –Large surplus –Economy boomed –Lower inflation –Aggregate supply curves • Pushed outward – rapid pace, 1996 – 1998 30© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
31.
Figure 8 The Effects
of a Favorable Supply Shift 31 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D0 D0 S0 S0 D1 D1 E S1 S1 C S2 S2 B © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
32.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Tax cuts and the Bush economy –2001 recession, the first in 10 years –Tax cut 2001 –Budget deficit –Burst of government spending • War on terror –Aggregate demand – shift outward –Federal Reserve • Lowered interest rate 32© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
33.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Obamanomics and the Great Recession –January 2009, economy was sinking • Jobs - disappearing at a rapid pace –More tax cuts –A burst of federal spending –Large-scale aid to state and local governments 33© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
34.
The Economy on
a Roller Coaster • Obamanomics and the Great Recession –Bush, Obama administrations, the Fed • Variety of unprecedented emergency measures - to rescue the collapsing financial system –Summer 2009, the Great Recession was over –Economy started growing again –High unemployment 34© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
35.
Macroeconomic Stabilization • Stabilization
policy –Government programs designed to prevent or shorten recessions –And to counteract inflation • To stabilize prices 35© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
36.
Macroeconomic Stabilization • Combating
unemployment –Increase aggregate demand • Government - Fiscal policy – Increase spending and / or cut taxes • Federal Reserve - Monetary policy – Lower interest rates –Increase output –Reduce unemployment –Raise prices 36© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
37.
Figure 9 Stabilization Policy
to Fight Unemployment 37 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D0 D0 S0 S0 D1 D1 E A Increase in output © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
38.
Macroeconomic Stabilization • Combating
inflation –Decrease aggregate demand • Government - Fiscal policy – Cut spending and / or increase taxes • Federal Reserve - Monetary policy – Increase interest rates –Decrease inflation (decrease prices) –Decrease output –Increase unemployment 38© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
39.
Figure 10 Stabilization Policy
to Fight Inflation 39 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D0 D0 S S D2 D2 E Decrease in prices © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. B
40.
Stabilization policy • Prewar
data –Fluctuations – unmanaged economy • Booms & recessions – “Natural” economic reasons • Little government intervention 40© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
41.
Stabilization policy • Postwar
data –Economy - managed by government policy • Successfully or unsuccessfully –Recessions - less severe –More inflation-prone 41© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
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