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                               Deconstructing the Postal System
                                                   Biasi / Pintsov


                                  10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
                                                 Potsdam, Germany
                                                   June 5-8, 2002




10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Observations                                                                                                  [2]


                                                                        1985 - End of SLOCR era
                                                                        OCR recognition rate ~ 50% (with machine
                                   % Gain in                            printed adresses)
                                 Productivity
                                                                        2000
                                                                        OCR recognition rate ~ 90%




                                                   $$ Investment in Automation


          • Current postal systems were not designed, they evolved
          • Requirements imposed 200 years ago are still in force
            but not necessarily applicable
          • Postal systems developed with a focus on operational
            efficiency, not distribution and marketing
          • Rewards of automation are reaching the point of
            diminishing returns
10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Motivation                                                    [3]




          • A more efficient postal system should be possible if
            historical requirements were modified and market
            forces applied
          • New businesses would emerge under these
            conditions driven by different economic models
10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Mail Communication System Analysis                                      [4]




          • Identify users of mail communication system and their
            applications (why they are using mail as a communication tool)
          • Applications define requirements
          • Requirements define homogeneous mail streams
          • Requirements define services for user groups and mail streams

10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
User / Application / Requirements Analysis                                                                         [5]



                                                                    Business Users
                                                                        Primarily to / from consumers
                                                   TO:                  Cost sensitivity to postage & material
                                                                        (less to equipment & process)
                                                                    Applications – limited number
                               HH             SOHO           BUS
                                                                        Transaction
                                                                        Statement
                  HH          5.7B             1.5B          6.1B       Direct Marketing
                                                                        Remittance
                                                                    Application Characteristics
                                                                        High volumes (mainly to consumers)
FROM:        SOHO             10B                  10B       9B
                                                                        Computer generated
                                                                        Good address quality
                                                                        Regular, stable patterns
                BUS           86B                  56B       5B     Segment Requirements
                                                                        Total mail process control
                                        mailpieces / year               Predictable delivery
                                     based on US estimates              Cost controls (especially postage, high level
                                                                        usage of postal discounts)


10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
User / Application / Requirements Analysis                                                                              [6]



                                                                                  SOHO / HH Users
                                                                                     Cost sensitivity to equipment &
                                                   TO:
                                                                                     software (less to postage & material)
                                                                                  Applications – wide variety
                               HH             SOHO           BUS
                                                                                     Billing
                                                                                     Correspondence
                  HH          5.7B             1.5B          6.1B
                                                                                     Direct marketing
                                                                                  Application Characteristics
FROM:        SOHO             10B                  10B         9B                    Low volumes, small batches
                                                                                     Unpredictable timing
                                                                                     Unreliable address quality*
                BUS           86B                  56B         5B                 Segment Requirements
                                                                                     Timely delivery
                                        mailpieces / year                            Identity- based services
                                     based on US estimates
                                                                                     Cost
                                                             * 80% of postal costs are associated
                                                              with exception handling processes
10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
New Business Entities                                                                                               [7]




                  Entry Points                                                                    Exit Points
           Pick up at business location                                                  Delivery to business location


                                                      ~ 20,000 large businesses
                                                   Small number of entry & exit points
                                                             High value




                                 Business Acceptance and Delivery
                                 SOHO / HH Acceptance & Delivery
                                Mail Sorting (including transportation)

10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
New Business Entities                                                                                            [8]




                Entry Points                                                                Exit Points
       Drop off at retail outlet or street                                        Delivery to destination or pickup
                   letter box                                                                at PO Box
                                                   ~ 130 million households & small
                                                              businesses
                                                      Open access with multiple
                                                    unmanned entry and exit points
                                                      Special services available




                                 Business Acceptance and Delivery
                                SOHO / HH Acceptance and Delivery
                                Mail Sorting (including transportation)

10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
New Business Entities                                                                                      [9]




                             BUSINESS A&D
                                                                                                SOHO / HH A&D




             SOHO / HH A&D
                                                   Focus on Economies of Scale   BUSINESS A&D

                                                    State-of-the-Art Equipment




                                 Business Acceptance and Delivery
                                SOHO / HH Acceptance and Delivery
                                Mail Sorting (including transportation)

10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Cooperative Model                                                                                           [10]


                                                                Postal Processing Nodes

                                                   acceptance            sorting          delivery
                            Senders                                                                  Receivers




                • Deconstructed postal network has multiple service providers for different
                  functions
                • Senders can select the route of their physical items through the network
                  using information to control the process


10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Key Role of Information in the Cooperative Model                                                                          [11]


                                                                Postal Processing Nodes

                                                   acceptance            sorting          delivery
                            Senders                                                                   Receivers



  Between                                                                                                         Between
  senders and                                                                                                     service
  service                                                                                                         providers
  providers                                                                                                       and
                                                                                                                  recipients



                                                          Among service providers                    Between sender
                                                                                                     and receiver


                       Information flow is critical in cooperative model

10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Information Types                                                                     [12]



                                                    Service
                                                   Description




          Information from all providers about available services and related parameters
          • Stable service parameters - timing, geographic location, capacity as a
              function of price
          • Variable service parameters – contract terms, pricing



10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Information Types                                                              [13]



                                                    Service
                                                   Description




                                                                 Dynamic
                                                                 Process

                Information about the progress of a mail piece within the system
                • Job information – number of pieces, services selected, business
                    rules defined by mailer
                • Planned events – location of a mail piece within the system as
                    desired by the mailer
                • Exception events
10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Information Types                                                                                   [14]




                                                    Electronic mail file
                                                     sent to the postal
               Machine-readable                       node containing            Information gathered
             codes on the mail piece                unique references               as part of postal
               (e.g. mailing label)                 to all mail items in         processing activities
                                                           the job


                              Mail job process information is generated in several ways




10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Information Types                                                                 [15]



                                                    Service
                                                   Description




                                    Payment &                    Dynamic
                                    Accounting                   Process

                Information about the payment due, accounting and the payment itself
                • Quality control information for reporting and payment
                • Account reconciliation, dispute resolution
                • Accounting provided for services delivered to mailer or exchanged
                    among providers

10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Cooperative Model                                                                                               [16]

                                                                Postal Processing Nodes

                                                   acceptance            sorting              delivery
                          Senders                                                                        Receivers




                                                                                            Internet



                             Central “postal” node provides                        Postal
                           Trusted Third Party services and                        Node
                                       information linkages


10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Cooperative Model Observations                                                            [17]




          Standards and protocols are critical
          • Critical to smooth information flow
          • Industry standards and protocols are emerging
                   – XML (eXtended Markup Language), UDDI (Universal Description & Discovery
                     Integration), SOAP (Simple Object Access Protocol), WSDL (Web Services
                     Description Language)
          Functionality of nodes determines configuration
          • Hardware may be PCs or Internet appliance (e.g. network enabled meter)
          • Software for management of the applications for business rules, job
             definitions, requests for service, accounting, etc. resides on the node


10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
Reaching an Equilibrium                                                   [18]




       Effective organization                      Broad variety of services




              Physical mail remains an important tool in the
           communication arsenal of businesses and individuals




10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
In Conclusion                                                                     [19]




          • What kind of mail communication system would emerge if
            all artificial (regulatory) constraints are abandoned?
          • From a purely economical viewpoint, the system will evolve
            in the direction of a more logical organization of services /
            cost allocation and pricing
          • New models are feasible from a technical viewpoint
                   – Information technology has reached the stage when meeting all
                     technical requirements is possible and cost effective
          • Future research
                   – What would happen when some combinations of external
                     constraints are preserved?
                   – How can the model be improved? – detailed economic analysis and
                     comparison


10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics
June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany

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Deconstructing The Postal System 2002

  • 1. [1] Deconstructing the Postal System Biasi / Pintsov 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics Potsdam, Germany June 5-8, 2002 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 2. Observations [2] 1985 - End of SLOCR era OCR recognition rate ~ 50% (with machine % Gain in printed adresses) Productivity 2000 OCR recognition rate ~ 90% $$ Investment in Automation • Current postal systems were not designed, they evolved • Requirements imposed 200 years ago are still in force but not necessarily applicable • Postal systems developed with a focus on operational efficiency, not distribution and marketing • Rewards of automation are reaching the point of diminishing returns 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 3. Motivation [3] • A more efficient postal system should be possible if historical requirements were modified and market forces applied • New businesses would emerge under these conditions driven by different economic models 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 4. Mail Communication System Analysis [4] • Identify users of mail communication system and their applications (why they are using mail as a communication tool) • Applications define requirements • Requirements define homogeneous mail streams • Requirements define services for user groups and mail streams 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 5. User / Application / Requirements Analysis [5] Business Users Primarily to / from consumers TO: Cost sensitivity to postage & material (less to equipment & process) Applications – limited number HH SOHO BUS Transaction Statement HH 5.7B 1.5B 6.1B Direct Marketing Remittance Application Characteristics High volumes (mainly to consumers) FROM: SOHO 10B 10B 9B Computer generated Good address quality Regular, stable patterns BUS 86B 56B 5B Segment Requirements Total mail process control mailpieces / year Predictable delivery based on US estimates Cost controls (especially postage, high level usage of postal discounts) 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 6. User / Application / Requirements Analysis [6] SOHO / HH Users Cost sensitivity to equipment & TO: software (less to postage & material) Applications – wide variety HH SOHO BUS Billing Correspondence HH 5.7B 1.5B 6.1B Direct marketing Application Characteristics FROM: SOHO 10B 10B 9B Low volumes, small batches Unpredictable timing Unreliable address quality* BUS 86B 56B 5B Segment Requirements Timely delivery mailpieces / year Identity- based services based on US estimates Cost * 80% of postal costs are associated with exception handling processes 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 7. New Business Entities [7] Entry Points Exit Points Pick up at business location Delivery to business location ~ 20,000 large businesses Small number of entry & exit points High value Business Acceptance and Delivery SOHO / HH Acceptance & Delivery Mail Sorting (including transportation) 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 8. New Business Entities [8] Entry Points Exit Points Drop off at retail outlet or street Delivery to destination or pickup letter box at PO Box ~ 130 million households & small businesses Open access with multiple unmanned entry and exit points Special services available Business Acceptance and Delivery SOHO / HH Acceptance and Delivery Mail Sorting (including transportation) 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 9. New Business Entities [9] BUSINESS A&D SOHO / HH A&D SOHO / HH A&D Focus on Economies of Scale BUSINESS A&D State-of-the-Art Equipment Business Acceptance and Delivery SOHO / HH Acceptance and Delivery Mail Sorting (including transportation) 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 10. Cooperative Model [10] Postal Processing Nodes acceptance sorting delivery Senders Receivers • Deconstructed postal network has multiple service providers for different functions • Senders can select the route of their physical items through the network using information to control the process 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 11. Key Role of Information in the Cooperative Model [11] Postal Processing Nodes acceptance sorting delivery Senders Receivers Between Between senders and service service providers providers and recipients Among service providers Between sender and receiver Information flow is critical in cooperative model 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 12. Information Types [12] Service Description Information from all providers about available services and related parameters • Stable service parameters - timing, geographic location, capacity as a function of price • Variable service parameters – contract terms, pricing 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 13. Information Types [13] Service Description Dynamic Process Information about the progress of a mail piece within the system • Job information – number of pieces, services selected, business rules defined by mailer • Planned events – location of a mail piece within the system as desired by the mailer • Exception events 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 14. Information Types [14] Electronic mail file sent to the postal Machine-readable node containing Information gathered codes on the mail piece unique references as part of postal (e.g. mailing label) to all mail items in processing activities the job Mail job process information is generated in several ways 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 15. Information Types [15] Service Description Payment & Dynamic Accounting Process Information about the payment due, accounting and the payment itself • Quality control information for reporting and payment • Account reconciliation, dispute resolution • Accounting provided for services delivered to mailer or exchanged among providers 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 16. Cooperative Model [16] Postal Processing Nodes acceptance sorting delivery Senders Receivers Internet Central “postal” node provides Postal Trusted Third Party services and Node information linkages 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 17. Cooperative Model Observations [17] Standards and protocols are critical • Critical to smooth information flow • Industry standards and protocols are emerging – XML (eXtended Markup Language), UDDI (Universal Description & Discovery Integration), SOAP (Simple Object Access Protocol), WSDL (Web Services Description Language) Functionality of nodes determines configuration • Hardware may be PCs or Internet appliance (e.g. network enabled meter) • Software for management of the applications for business rules, job definitions, requests for service, accounting, etc. resides on the node 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 18. Reaching an Equilibrium [18] Effective organization Broad variety of services Physical mail remains an important tool in the communication arsenal of businesses and individuals 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany
  • 19. In Conclusion [19] • What kind of mail communication system would emerge if all artificial (regulatory) constraints are abandoned? • From a purely economical viewpoint, the system will evolve in the direction of a more logical organization of services / cost allocation and pricing • New models are feasible from a technical viewpoint – Information technology has reached the stage when meeting all technical requirements is possible and cost effective • Future research – What would happen when some combinations of external constraints are preserved? – How can the model be improved? – detailed economic analysis and comparison 10th Conference on Postal and Delivery Economics June 5-8, 2002 Potsdam, Germany