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THE NEW PARTICLE
Physicists are planning the powerful
accelerators they will need to study the
Higgs boson and its interactions in detail.
BY MATTHEW CHALMERS




                           hen particle physicists around the world woke           what the new physics will involve, he says, “our strategy is to be ready




                                                                                                                                                                 ILLUSTRATION BY BRENDAN MONROE
                           up on 5 July, the scenes of joy, relief and tears       in the event things fall in place”.



       W
                           were still fresh in their minds — along with               The cost, timescales and capabilities of the ILC and other candidate
                           a huge unanswered question. The memories                machines will be scrutinized at the European Strategy for Particle Phys-
                           were of celebrations the previous day, when             ics workshop in Krakow, Poland, on 10–12 September, which will set
                           researchers announced that a new particle               out the priorities for this field in Europe for the next five years. Ameri-
                           very much like the long-sought Higgs boson              can particle physicists are planning a similar exercise at a meeting at
                           had at last been found in data from the Large           Snowmass, Colorado, in June 2013.
                           Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN, Europe’s                    But plans are one thing; reality is another. Funding any new machine,
particle-physics laboratory outside Geneva in Switzerland. The ques-               particularly in an economic downturn, will be a “daunting task”, says
tion promised to define their discipline’s whole future. Is the particle a         Christopher Llewellyn-Smith, director of energy research at the Uni-
Higgs boson of maximum simplicity, as predicted by the 40-year-old                 versity of Oxford, UK, and director of CERN at the time when the
standard model of particle physics? Or is it something more complex                LHC was approved. “It will depend on what other new particles the
and interesting that will point towards a deeper, more complete theory?            LHC finds, on whether the new facility is unanimously supported by
   Physicists hope and expect that the LHC will give them some answers             the community, and on its cost,” he explains. “Even if the physics case
over the next few years. But they are already honing their sales pitches           is as strong as that for the LHC, and the cost is such that it can be done
for a machine to follow the LHC — a ‘Higgs factory’ that would illu-               with a constant global high-energy physics budget, it will still be tough.”
minate such a theory with measurements far more precise than the
LHC can provide.                                                                   THE LHC LIVES ON
   “We know that there must be new physics beyond the standard                     A key issue under discussion at the Krakow workshop will be how far
model,” says Barry Barish, a physicist at the California Institute of Tech-        the LHC teams can go in measuring the properties of the new particle.
nology in Pasadena. That’s guaranteed, he and other physicists argue,              The physicists working there can expect much more data, plus major
by the existence of phenomena that don’t easily fit into the model, such           upgrades over the next ten years.
as the invisible scaffold of ‘dark matter’ suspected to comprise a quarter            They already have one piece of good news: the mass of the Higgs-
of the mass density of the Universe, or the ability of particles called neu-       like particle — roughly 125 billion electron volts (GeV) in the energy
trinos to ‘oscillate’ from one form to another. Barish heads the global            units favoured by physicists — turns out to lie towards the light end
consortium that is designing the International Linear Collider (ILC),              of the range that theorists had estimated. This has two important con-
one of the candidates for the next big machine. Even if no one yet knows           sequences: it means that a relatively modest new collider would be


5 7 2 | NAT U R E | VO L 4 8 8 | 3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2
                                                      © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
LANDSCAPE
                                                                                                                                           FEATURE NEWS




sufficient to produce the Higgs in bulk, and it gives the new particle                The LHC will settle the spin question, says CERN’s director-general
a rich variety of decay modes that will make it easier for physicists to           Rolf Heuer, but it is less clear how far the LHC can go in testing the new
study its interactions with other standard-model particles.                        boson’s couplings to other particles — in particular the ‘self-interaction’
   One priority, for example, is to check the standard model’s prediction          by which the Higgs gives itself mass. At present, all the LHC physicists
for how the Higgs interacts with standard-model fermions: entities                 can say is that the new boson’s interactions with other particles are
such as electrons, muons and quarks that have an intrinsic angular                 consistent with the standard-model predictions within the present
momentum, or ‘spin’, of ½ in quantum units. The probability of an                  measurement uncertainties of 30–40%. According to de Roeck, the
interaction with each particle is supposed to be proportional to its mass          collider should get those uncertainties down to 20% by the end of
— not least because, in the standard model, interaction with the Higgs             this year, and conceivably down to “a few per cent” over the next
is what creates the mass.                                                          10–15 years.
   Another priority is to verify that the new particle’s own intrinsic spin           But that, for many physicists, is precisely why they need a next-
has the standard-model value of 0. The LHC physicists can already say              generation machine. A truly stringent test of the standard model, which
that the new particle is a boson — meaning that its spin in quantum                would reveal tiny deviations that could point the way towards bet-
                                                                                                              ter models, demands that researchers measure



“WE KNOW THAT THERE MUST BE NEW
                                                                                                              the Higgs’s interaction with other particles
                                                                                                              to within 1% uncertainty, possibly as little as
                                                                                                              0.1% should the precision of theoretical pre-
                                                                                                              dictions also improve in the next few years.


PHYSICS BEYOND THE STANDARD MODEL.”                                                                           And that is a level the LHC is unlikely to reach.
                                                                                                              The machine is like a sledgehammer: it crashes
                                                                                                              together beams containing hundreds of billions
                                                                                                              of protons at energies that will eventually reach
units is 0, 1, 2 or some other integer — and that the integer cannot be 1;         7 trillion electron volts (TeV) per beam. This is good for discovering
both conclusions follow from the particle’s observed decay into pairs of           new massive particles, but less so for making precision measurements,
photons, which are spin-1 bosons. Physicists do not have crazy theories            because protons are chaotic seas of quarks and gluons that make the
involving bosons with a spin greater than 2, says CERN physicist Albert            collisions messy.
de Roeck, a scientific coordinator for the team working on the Compact                Instead, every proposal for a next-generation machine calls for some
Muon Solenoid detector at the LHC, so their task now is to determine               form of lepton collider (see ‘After the Higgs’). Leptons, a group of light
whether it is a spin-2 or a spin-0 ‘scalar’ boson as predicted.                    particles that includes electrons, muons and neutrinos, sidestep the

                                                                                                           3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 8 | NAT U R E | 5 7 3
                                                    © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
NEWS FEATURE

messiness by not participating in the strong quark–gluon interactions             all in a time frame considerably shorter than the blink of an eye. That
that produce it. Leptons are elementary and interact only through the             challenge is being addressed by the muon ionization cooling experi-
relatively feeble electromagnetic and weak forces. As a result, lepton            ment (MICE) at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory near Oxford,
machines are more like scalpels than sledgehammers: their collisions              UK. MICE is expected to conclude its studies by 2016, at which point
can be tuned to the mass of a particular particle and the spray of par-           the cooling technology may be advanced enough for CERN to use it
ticles created would be comparatively clean and simple to interpret.              to build a neutrino factory — a stepping stone to a muon collider —
                                                                                  that would fire beams of muon neutrinos through Earth to a detector
MUONS OR ELECTRONS                                                                thousands of kilometres away, such as one proposed in Finland.
A relatively cheap option, argue some physicists, would be to place the              Nonetheless, many physicists are sceptical. “I doubt I will see a muon
tubes of a new accelerator alongside the LHC in the existing tunnel,              collider working in my lifetime,” says Brian Foster, a physicist at the
and use them to collide opposing beams of electrons and antimatter                University of Oxford. “We’ve been trying to cool muons for more than
electrons (better known as positrons). This proposal, known as LEP3               ten years, and it is just extremely difficult.”
in honour of the Large Electron–Positron (LEP) collider that occupied                Foster is the European regional director for the rival concept of a
the tunnel before the LHC’s construction began in 2000, emerged only              linear electron–positron collider. This type of machine would essen-
in the past year as preliminary evidence for the new particle piled up.           tially be a long, straight electron accelerator firing right down the barrel
LEP3 could produce Higgs bosons with just 120 GeV per beam — a                    of an equally long, straight positron accelerator, with their beams slam-
total energy of 240 GeV — only a notch up from the original LEP’s                 ming together in the middle. The lack of curvature would eliminate
maximum of 209 GeV. Its production would be boosted further by                    synchrotron radiation losses. And the accelerators could always be
recent technological advances that would allow for a collision rate, or           bumped up in energy by making them longer on the back end.
‘luminosity’, some 500 times greater than LEP could have achieved.                   Ideas for a high-energy linear collider began to emerge in the 1980s,
   Building LEP3 in the LHC tunnel could allow some of the LHC’s                  and eventually converged on two concepts. The ILC, developed by a
particle detectors to be reused, as well as making use of CERN’s existing         worldwide consortium of laboratories and universities, would be some
infrastructure for power, maintenance and data-taking. Such savings               30 kilometres long, and would use proven superconducting accelerator
bring LEP3’s estimated cost down to between US$1billion and $2 bil-               technology to reach energies of 0.5 TeV, with the possibility of upgrading
lion, far lower than the LHC’s $6-billion price tag. “The idea is there           to 1 TeV. The ILC team is soon to publish a technical design report and
to kill,” says LEP3 advocate Alain Blondel at the University of Geneva,           the cost of the project is currently estimated at $6.7 billion. The Com-
who points out that there should be room to build the new lepton                  pact Linear Collider (CLIC), championed by CERN, would be almost
collider without removing the LHC: the tunnel was originally intended             50 kilometres long, but would use novel acceleration techniques to reach
to have both types of collider running simultaneously.                            energies of 3 TeV. CLIC’s costs are less clear than the ILC’s because only
   For all its advantages as a high-output Higgs factory, LEP3 would not          a conceptual design report is available, but its higher energies would
be able to study anything much heavier than the Higgs. And that could             open up new realms for discovery as well as for precision measurements.
be a problem if, as many particle physicists hope, the LHC ends up dis-              The performance of either design has been extensively studied
covering heavier new particles that theorists are predicting from ideas           theoretically, but in practice is a “wide open question” according to
such as supersymmetry, or even finding extra dimensions. Stepping                 Blondel, current spokesperson for MICE. He points to the performance
up the energy of LEP3 to study the heavier particles would be virtually           of the Stanford Linear Collider (SLC) at Menlo Park, California, which
impossible because of losses from synchrotron radiation — the stream              achieved energies of nearly 100 GeV. “The SLC finally worked very well,
of photons emitted when any charged particle moves along a curved                 but it never quite produced the luminosity that they wanted. It was a
path. This isn’t so much of a problem for the LHC’s protons, because              very tough machine, and now with the ILC or CLIC we’re discussing
energy losses from synchrotron radiation fall off dramatically for parti-         something that is much more difficult.”
cles of higher mass, and protons outweigh electrons by a factor of nearly            Nevertheless, for many, if not most, particle physicists, some form of
2,000. But losses in LEP3 would be severe. The only way to increase the           linear collider seems like the best bet. In June, the International Com-
accelerator’s energy would be to increase its


                                                    “WE SHOULDN’T TAKE IT FOR GRANTED
radius, which would require a new tunnel. Some
physicists have talked about drilling a new tun-
nel stretching out beneath Lake Geneva, and


                                                    THAT MONEY IS AVAILABLE JUST
installing an 80-kilometre circular electron–
positron machine, although that’s not something
for the foreseeable future, says Heuer.


                                                    BECAUSE THE HIGGS HAS BEEN FOUND.”
   Meanwhile, physicists around the world have
been exploring concepts for an alternative Higgs
factory that would be much smaller than LEP3,
perhaps as little as 1.5 km in circumference. By
colliding beams of muons, electron-like particles with 207 times the              mittee for Future Accelerators, headquartered at Fermilab in Batavia,
mass of an electron, such a machine has negligible synchrotron-radia-             Illinois, brought the ILC and CLIC together under a single Linear Col-
tion losses and could produce tens of thousands of Higgs bosons from a            lider project, headed by former LHC director Lyn Evans. His aim is to
total collision energy of just 125 GeV, as opposed to LEP3’s 240 GeV. It          deliver a proposal for a single linear collider by the end of 2015.
would also be capable of going to much higher energies, to study heavier             A sensible plan, thinks Evans, is to build a linear collider starting at
particles (see Nature 462, 260–261; 2009).                                        250 GeV to probe the Higgs, and then boost its energy in stages until it
   But a muon collider faces major hurdles of its own, not least the              reaches 500 GeV. At that point it could produce pairs of Higgs bosons
fact that muons decay into electrons and neutrinos with a mean life-              and allow researchers to explore how the Higgs couples to itself and also
time of 2.2 microseconds. That’s a very long time in the subatomic                interacts with the heaviest particle of matter, the top quark. Going to
realm, where particle lifetimes are often measured in fractions of a              higher energies is technically feasible, he says, but requires more elec-
trillionth of a nanosecond. But in engineering terms, it is practically           tricity — as much as a medium power station’s worth. In practice, he
instantaneous. Muons for an accelerator would have to be produced                 says, “I think an upper limit in power [on the hypothetical new site] is
by slamming a proton beam into a metal target; then ‘cooled’, or lined            the maximum that can be supplied to the CERN site, which is 300 MW.”
up into an orderly beam; and finally accelerated to the requisite energy,            Technology aside, the multi-billion-dollar question is who would

5 7 4 | NAT U R E | VO L 4 8 8 | 3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2
                                                     © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
FEATURE NEWS


  AFTER THE HIGGS
  Physicists are weighing four major alternatives for a machine to follow the Large
  Hadron Collider. Three would smash together opposing beams of electrons and
  positrons. One, the Muon Collider, would instead use muons and anti-muons.


                                                                                                                                      LINEAR COLLIDER
                                                                                                                                      COMPACT LINEAR
                            MUON COLLIDER                                                                                             COLLIDER (CLIC)
                            Energy level: Multiple TeV                                                                                Energy level: ~3 TeV
                            PRO: High energy,                                                                                         INTERNATIONAL
                            compact; could fit                                                                                        LINEAR COLLIDER (ILC)
                            on an existing site.                                                                                      Energy level: 0.5–1 TeV
                            CON: Muon lifetime is                                                                                     PRO: No synchrotron
                            only 2.2 microseconds.                                                                                    radiation losses; potential to
                                                                                                                                      increase energy as needed.
                                                                                                                                      CON: High cost, large size,
                                                                                                                                      need for a new site.


                                                                                           LEP3
                                                                           LARGE ELECTRON–
                                                                        POSITRON COLLIDER 3
                                                                         Energy level: 0.24 TeV
                                                                        PRO: Lowest cost; reuse
                                                                             LHC detectors and
                                                                                 infrastructure.
                                                                        CON: Limited in energy.




host the next lepton collider. A rule of thumb is that the host country               announced. There is a scent of extra funds, because the new accelerator
puts up half the cost in expectation of long-term economic returns,                   is being discussed as part of a broader economic plan to boost regions
says Foster. But this is not a good economic period to be making that                 devastated by the March 2011 earthquake; the idea is to make it the
case, especially not for a project that, from a politician’s point of view,           hub of an ‘international city’ comprising other research laboratories,
has no short-term benefit to voters.                                                  industrial zones and education centres. And as Japanese particle physi-
                                                                                      cists update their five-year roadmap this year, the ILC remains at the
GOING GLOBAL                                                                          top of their new-project wish-list. Specifically, explains Atsuto Suzuki,
If a linear collider is to be approved in the next few years, says Evans, it          director-general of the KEK laboratory in Tsukuba, the community’s
will probably not be built at CERN. Despite the European lab’s wealth of              recommendation was that “Japan should take leadership of the early
technical and political infrastructure, it has its hands full with the LHC,           realization of an electron–positron linear collider should a particle such
which isn’t even scheduled to reach its design energy of 7 TeV per beam               as a Higgs boson be confirmed at the LHC”.
until 2014 and is also scheduled to undergo a luminosity upgrade around                  So is an ILC finally looking like a safe bet? “Good god, no!” says Foster,
2022. “I’d bet that the highest priority of the European strategy workshop            “but this is the best chance that we’ve had in a long time.” Womersley
will be continuing to exploit and upgrade the LHC,” says John Womers-                 gives odds of the ILC being built as 50:50 at best. “We shouldn’t take it for
ley, chief executive of Britain’s Science and Technology Facilities Council,          granted that money is available just because the Higgs has been found,”
which controls the country’s spending on particle physics.                            he says, pointing out that there are also strong cases for next-generation
    The United States is also an unlikely site for a new collider, says Fermi-        neutrino experiments, for example. It would take around ten years from
lab director Pier Oddone, who is chair of the International Committee                 breaking ground to operating an ILC, estimates Oddone, plus the pre-
for Future Accelerators. “Something drastic would have to change,” he                 paratory time. “You’re talking 2025 at the earliest, but do you launch such
says. After the closure of Fermilab’s 2-TeV Tevatron collider, the energy             a major project before you know what else the LHC might find? There
frontier crossed from the United States to Europe. So the current US                  could be things much wilder than the Higgs.”
strategy is to concentrate on the ‘intensity frontier’, studying rare particle           For many particle physicists, the dream scenario is the LHC explor-
interactions produced by, for example, intense beams of neutrinos. And                ing the high-energy frontier in Europe; multiple neutrino experiments
yet, says Oddone, “we had a fairly severe budget cut at the beginning of              exploring the intensity frontier in the United States; and a new lepton
this year and had problems fitting in a facility [a long-baseline neutrino            collider in Japan pinning down the details of all the exotic new particles
experiment] that costs one-tenth of the ILC”. Oddone says that it would               that so far have not turned up in the LHC’s collisions. “I would love to
also be “very difficult” at this time for the United States to contribute             see us going in that direction, if countries put their weight behind the
much to a lepton collider built elsewhere.                                            programmes in each region,” says Terry Wyatt, a physicist at the Univer-
    Many observers think that by far the strongest candidate to host the              sity of Manchester, UK, who works on the ATLAS detector at the LHC.
next project is Japan. After all, notes Evans, Japan made a significant                  As always in the world of big science, however, making such dreams
contribution to the LHC in the mid-1990s when                                         come true is a question of making the sale to outsiders. “These things
the project was under financial strain. “Perhaps             NATURE.COM               would probably be solved outside the particle-physics sphere,” says
it’s time for Europe to return the favour,” he says. For more about                   Oddone. “It might be a phone call between a president and a prime
The Japanese premier made positive references the Higgs boson                         minister that decides it.” ■ SEE COMMENT P. 581
to the ILC in December 2011, just after the first discovery, see:
preliminary sightings of the new boson were go.nature.com/jbnj5I                      Matthew Chalmers is a freelance writer in Bristol, UK.

                                                                                                             3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 8 | NAT U R E | 5 7 5
                                                      © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved

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Studying the Higgs Boson in Detail

  • 1. THE NEW PARTICLE Physicists are planning the powerful accelerators they will need to study the Higgs boson and its interactions in detail. BY MATTHEW CHALMERS hen particle physicists around the world woke what the new physics will involve, he says, “our strategy is to be ready ILLUSTRATION BY BRENDAN MONROE up on 5 July, the scenes of joy, relief and tears in the event things fall in place”. W were still fresh in their minds — along with The cost, timescales and capabilities of the ILC and other candidate a huge unanswered question. The memories machines will be scrutinized at the European Strategy for Particle Phys- were of celebrations the previous day, when ics workshop in Krakow, Poland, on 10–12 September, which will set researchers announced that a new particle out the priorities for this field in Europe for the next five years. Ameri- very much like the long-sought Higgs boson can particle physicists are planning a similar exercise at a meeting at had at last been found in data from the Large Snowmass, Colorado, in June 2013. Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN, Europe’s But plans are one thing; reality is another. Funding any new machine, particle-physics laboratory outside Geneva in Switzerland. The ques- particularly in an economic downturn, will be a “daunting task”, says tion promised to define their discipline’s whole future. Is the particle a Christopher Llewellyn-Smith, director of energy research at the Uni- Higgs boson of maximum simplicity, as predicted by the 40-year-old versity of Oxford, UK, and director of CERN at the time when the standard model of particle physics? Or is it something more complex LHC was approved. “It will depend on what other new particles the and interesting that will point towards a deeper, more complete theory? LHC finds, on whether the new facility is unanimously supported by Physicists hope and expect that the LHC will give them some answers the community, and on its cost,” he explains. “Even if the physics case over the next few years. But they are already honing their sales pitches is as strong as that for the LHC, and the cost is such that it can be done for a machine to follow the LHC — a ‘Higgs factory’ that would illu- with a constant global high-energy physics budget, it will still be tough.” minate such a theory with measurements far more precise than the LHC can provide. THE LHC LIVES ON “We know that there must be new physics beyond the standard A key issue under discussion at the Krakow workshop will be how far model,” says Barry Barish, a physicist at the California Institute of Tech- the LHC teams can go in measuring the properties of the new particle. nology in Pasadena. That’s guaranteed, he and other physicists argue, The physicists working there can expect much more data, plus major by the existence of phenomena that don’t easily fit into the model, such upgrades over the next ten years. as the invisible scaffold of ‘dark matter’ suspected to comprise a quarter They already have one piece of good news: the mass of the Higgs- of the mass density of the Universe, or the ability of particles called neu- like particle — roughly 125 billion electron volts (GeV) in the energy trinos to ‘oscillate’ from one form to another. Barish heads the global units favoured by physicists — turns out to lie towards the light end consortium that is designing the International Linear Collider (ILC), of the range that theorists had estimated. This has two important con- one of the candidates for the next big machine. Even if no one yet knows sequences: it means that a relatively modest new collider would be 5 7 2 | NAT U R E | VO L 4 8 8 | 3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2 © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
  • 2. LANDSCAPE FEATURE NEWS sufficient to produce the Higgs in bulk, and it gives the new particle The LHC will settle the spin question, says CERN’s director-general a rich variety of decay modes that will make it easier for physicists to Rolf Heuer, but it is less clear how far the LHC can go in testing the new study its interactions with other standard-model particles. boson’s couplings to other particles — in particular the ‘self-interaction’ One priority, for example, is to check the standard model’s prediction by which the Higgs gives itself mass. At present, all the LHC physicists for how the Higgs interacts with standard-model fermions: entities can say is that the new boson’s interactions with other particles are such as electrons, muons and quarks that have an intrinsic angular consistent with the standard-model predictions within the present momentum, or ‘spin’, of ½ in quantum units. The probability of an measurement uncertainties of 30–40%. According to de Roeck, the interaction with each particle is supposed to be proportional to its mass collider should get those uncertainties down to 20% by the end of — not least because, in the standard model, interaction with the Higgs this year, and conceivably down to “a few per cent” over the next is what creates the mass. 10–15 years. Another priority is to verify that the new particle’s own intrinsic spin But that, for many physicists, is precisely why they need a next- has the standard-model value of 0. The LHC physicists can already say generation machine. A truly stringent test of the standard model, which that the new particle is a boson — meaning that its spin in quantum would reveal tiny deviations that could point the way towards bet- ter models, demands that researchers measure “WE KNOW THAT THERE MUST BE NEW the Higgs’s interaction with other particles to within 1% uncertainty, possibly as little as 0.1% should the precision of theoretical pre- dictions also improve in the next few years. PHYSICS BEYOND THE STANDARD MODEL.” And that is a level the LHC is unlikely to reach. The machine is like a sledgehammer: it crashes together beams containing hundreds of billions of protons at energies that will eventually reach units is 0, 1, 2 or some other integer — and that the integer cannot be 1; 7 trillion electron volts (TeV) per beam. This is good for discovering both conclusions follow from the particle’s observed decay into pairs of new massive particles, but less so for making precision measurements, photons, which are spin-1 bosons. Physicists do not have crazy theories because protons are chaotic seas of quarks and gluons that make the involving bosons with a spin greater than 2, says CERN physicist Albert collisions messy. de Roeck, a scientific coordinator for the team working on the Compact Instead, every proposal for a next-generation machine calls for some Muon Solenoid detector at the LHC, so their task now is to determine form of lepton collider (see ‘After the Higgs’). Leptons, a group of light whether it is a spin-2 or a spin-0 ‘scalar’ boson as predicted. particles that includes electrons, muons and neutrinos, sidestep the 3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 8 | NAT U R E | 5 7 3 © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
  • 3. NEWS FEATURE messiness by not participating in the strong quark–gluon interactions all in a time frame considerably shorter than the blink of an eye. That that produce it. Leptons are elementary and interact only through the challenge is being addressed by the muon ionization cooling experi- relatively feeble electromagnetic and weak forces. As a result, lepton ment (MICE) at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory near Oxford, machines are more like scalpels than sledgehammers: their collisions UK. MICE is expected to conclude its studies by 2016, at which point can be tuned to the mass of a particular particle and the spray of par- the cooling technology may be advanced enough for CERN to use it ticles created would be comparatively clean and simple to interpret. to build a neutrino factory — a stepping stone to a muon collider — that would fire beams of muon neutrinos through Earth to a detector MUONS OR ELECTRONS thousands of kilometres away, such as one proposed in Finland. A relatively cheap option, argue some physicists, would be to place the Nonetheless, many physicists are sceptical. “I doubt I will see a muon tubes of a new accelerator alongside the LHC in the existing tunnel, collider working in my lifetime,” says Brian Foster, a physicist at the and use them to collide opposing beams of electrons and antimatter University of Oxford. “We’ve been trying to cool muons for more than electrons (better known as positrons). This proposal, known as LEP3 ten years, and it is just extremely difficult.” in honour of the Large Electron–Positron (LEP) collider that occupied Foster is the European regional director for the rival concept of a the tunnel before the LHC’s construction began in 2000, emerged only linear electron–positron collider. This type of machine would essen- in the past year as preliminary evidence for the new particle piled up. tially be a long, straight electron accelerator firing right down the barrel LEP3 could produce Higgs bosons with just 120 GeV per beam — a of an equally long, straight positron accelerator, with their beams slam- total energy of 240 GeV — only a notch up from the original LEP’s ming together in the middle. The lack of curvature would eliminate maximum of 209 GeV. Its production would be boosted further by synchrotron radiation losses. And the accelerators could always be recent technological advances that would allow for a collision rate, or bumped up in energy by making them longer on the back end. ‘luminosity’, some 500 times greater than LEP could have achieved. Ideas for a high-energy linear collider began to emerge in the 1980s, Building LEP3 in the LHC tunnel could allow some of the LHC’s and eventually converged on two concepts. The ILC, developed by a particle detectors to be reused, as well as making use of CERN’s existing worldwide consortium of laboratories and universities, would be some infrastructure for power, maintenance and data-taking. Such savings 30 kilometres long, and would use proven superconducting accelerator bring LEP3’s estimated cost down to between US$1billion and $2 bil- technology to reach energies of 0.5 TeV, with the possibility of upgrading lion, far lower than the LHC’s $6-billion price tag. “The idea is there to 1 TeV. The ILC team is soon to publish a technical design report and to kill,” says LEP3 advocate Alain Blondel at the University of Geneva, the cost of the project is currently estimated at $6.7 billion. The Com- who points out that there should be room to build the new lepton pact Linear Collider (CLIC), championed by CERN, would be almost collider without removing the LHC: the tunnel was originally intended 50 kilometres long, but would use novel acceleration techniques to reach to have both types of collider running simultaneously. energies of 3 TeV. CLIC’s costs are less clear than the ILC’s because only For all its advantages as a high-output Higgs factory, LEP3 would not a conceptual design report is available, but its higher energies would be able to study anything much heavier than the Higgs. And that could open up new realms for discovery as well as for precision measurements. be a problem if, as many particle physicists hope, the LHC ends up dis- The performance of either design has been extensively studied covering heavier new particles that theorists are predicting from ideas theoretically, but in practice is a “wide open question” according to such as supersymmetry, or even finding extra dimensions. Stepping Blondel, current spokesperson for MICE. He points to the performance up the energy of LEP3 to study the heavier particles would be virtually of the Stanford Linear Collider (SLC) at Menlo Park, California, which impossible because of losses from synchrotron radiation — the stream achieved energies of nearly 100 GeV. “The SLC finally worked very well, of photons emitted when any charged particle moves along a curved but it never quite produced the luminosity that they wanted. It was a path. This isn’t so much of a problem for the LHC’s protons, because very tough machine, and now with the ILC or CLIC we’re discussing energy losses from synchrotron radiation fall off dramatically for parti- something that is much more difficult.” cles of higher mass, and protons outweigh electrons by a factor of nearly Nevertheless, for many, if not most, particle physicists, some form of 2,000. But losses in LEP3 would be severe. The only way to increase the linear collider seems like the best bet. In June, the International Com- accelerator’s energy would be to increase its “WE SHOULDN’T TAKE IT FOR GRANTED radius, which would require a new tunnel. Some physicists have talked about drilling a new tun- nel stretching out beneath Lake Geneva, and THAT MONEY IS AVAILABLE JUST installing an 80-kilometre circular electron– positron machine, although that’s not something for the foreseeable future, says Heuer. BECAUSE THE HIGGS HAS BEEN FOUND.” Meanwhile, physicists around the world have been exploring concepts for an alternative Higgs factory that would be much smaller than LEP3, perhaps as little as 1.5 km in circumference. By colliding beams of muons, electron-like particles with 207 times the mittee for Future Accelerators, headquartered at Fermilab in Batavia, mass of an electron, such a machine has negligible synchrotron-radia- Illinois, brought the ILC and CLIC together under a single Linear Col- tion losses and could produce tens of thousands of Higgs bosons from a lider project, headed by former LHC director Lyn Evans. His aim is to total collision energy of just 125 GeV, as opposed to LEP3’s 240 GeV. It deliver a proposal for a single linear collider by the end of 2015. would also be capable of going to much higher energies, to study heavier A sensible plan, thinks Evans, is to build a linear collider starting at particles (see Nature 462, 260–261; 2009). 250 GeV to probe the Higgs, and then boost its energy in stages until it But a muon collider faces major hurdles of its own, not least the reaches 500 GeV. At that point it could produce pairs of Higgs bosons fact that muons decay into electrons and neutrinos with a mean life- and allow researchers to explore how the Higgs couples to itself and also time of 2.2 microseconds. That’s a very long time in the subatomic interacts with the heaviest particle of matter, the top quark. Going to realm, where particle lifetimes are often measured in fractions of a higher energies is technically feasible, he says, but requires more elec- trillionth of a nanosecond. But in engineering terms, it is practically tricity — as much as a medium power station’s worth. In practice, he instantaneous. Muons for an accelerator would have to be produced says, “I think an upper limit in power [on the hypothetical new site] is by slamming a proton beam into a metal target; then ‘cooled’, or lined the maximum that can be supplied to the CERN site, which is 300 MW.” up into an orderly beam; and finally accelerated to the requisite energy, Technology aside, the multi-billion-dollar question is who would 5 7 4 | NAT U R E | VO L 4 8 8 | 3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2 © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
  • 4. FEATURE NEWS AFTER THE HIGGS Physicists are weighing four major alternatives for a machine to follow the Large Hadron Collider. Three would smash together opposing beams of electrons and positrons. One, the Muon Collider, would instead use muons and anti-muons. LINEAR COLLIDER COMPACT LINEAR MUON COLLIDER COLLIDER (CLIC) Energy level: Multiple TeV Energy level: ~3 TeV PRO: High energy, INTERNATIONAL compact; could fit LINEAR COLLIDER (ILC) on an existing site. Energy level: 0.5–1 TeV CON: Muon lifetime is PRO: No synchrotron only 2.2 microseconds. radiation losses; potential to increase energy as needed. CON: High cost, large size, need for a new site. LEP3 LARGE ELECTRON– POSITRON COLLIDER 3 Energy level: 0.24 TeV PRO: Lowest cost; reuse LHC detectors and infrastructure. CON: Limited in energy. host the next lepton collider. A rule of thumb is that the host country announced. There is a scent of extra funds, because the new accelerator puts up half the cost in expectation of long-term economic returns, is being discussed as part of a broader economic plan to boost regions says Foster. But this is not a good economic period to be making that devastated by the March 2011 earthquake; the idea is to make it the case, especially not for a project that, from a politician’s point of view, hub of an ‘international city’ comprising other research laboratories, has no short-term benefit to voters. industrial zones and education centres. And as Japanese particle physi- cists update their five-year roadmap this year, the ILC remains at the GOING GLOBAL top of their new-project wish-list. Specifically, explains Atsuto Suzuki, If a linear collider is to be approved in the next few years, says Evans, it director-general of the KEK laboratory in Tsukuba, the community’s will probably not be built at CERN. Despite the European lab’s wealth of recommendation was that “Japan should take leadership of the early technical and political infrastructure, it has its hands full with the LHC, realization of an electron–positron linear collider should a particle such which isn’t even scheduled to reach its design energy of 7 TeV per beam as a Higgs boson be confirmed at the LHC”. until 2014 and is also scheduled to undergo a luminosity upgrade around So is an ILC finally looking like a safe bet? “Good god, no!” says Foster, 2022. “I’d bet that the highest priority of the European strategy workshop “but this is the best chance that we’ve had in a long time.” Womersley will be continuing to exploit and upgrade the LHC,” says John Womers- gives odds of the ILC being built as 50:50 at best. “We shouldn’t take it for ley, chief executive of Britain’s Science and Technology Facilities Council, granted that money is available just because the Higgs has been found,” which controls the country’s spending on particle physics. he says, pointing out that there are also strong cases for next-generation The United States is also an unlikely site for a new collider, says Fermi- neutrino experiments, for example. It would take around ten years from lab director Pier Oddone, who is chair of the International Committee breaking ground to operating an ILC, estimates Oddone, plus the pre- for Future Accelerators. “Something drastic would have to change,” he paratory time. “You’re talking 2025 at the earliest, but do you launch such says. After the closure of Fermilab’s 2-TeV Tevatron collider, the energy a major project before you know what else the LHC might find? There frontier crossed from the United States to Europe. So the current US could be things much wilder than the Higgs.” strategy is to concentrate on the ‘intensity frontier’, studying rare particle For many particle physicists, the dream scenario is the LHC explor- interactions produced by, for example, intense beams of neutrinos. And ing the high-energy frontier in Europe; multiple neutrino experiments yet, says Oddone, “we had a fairly severe budget cut at the beginning of exploring the intensity frontier in the United States; and a new lepton this year and had problems fitting in a facility [a long-baseline neutrino collider in Japan pinning down the details of all the exotic new particles experiment] that costs one-tenth of the ILC”. Oddone says that it would that so far have not turned up in the LHC’s collisions. “I would love to also be “very difficult” at this time for the United States to contribute see us going in that direction, if countries put their weight behind the much to a lepton collider built elsewhere. programmes in each region,” says Terry Wyatt, a physicist at the Univer- Many observers think that by far the strongest candidate to host the sity of Manchester, UK, who works on the ATLAS detector at the LHC. next project is Japan. After all, notes Evans, Japan made a significant As always in the world of big science, however, making such dreams contribution to the LHC in the mid-1990s when come true is a question of making the sale to outsiders. “These things the project was under financial strain. “Perhaps NATURE.COM would probably be solved outside the particle-physics sphere,” says it’s time for Europe to return the favour,” he says. For more about Oddone. “It might be a phone call between a president and a prime The Japanese premier made positive references the Higgs boson minister that decides it.” ■ SEE COMMENT P. 581 to the ILC in December 2011, just after the first discovery, see: preliminary sightings of the new boson were go.nature.com/jbnj5I Matthew Chalmers is a freelance writer in Bristol, UK. 3 0 AUG U S T 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 8 | NAT U R E | 5 7 5 © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved