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Valuation of Verecloud (VCLD)



      www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Content
• Verecloud’s Financial Projections 2011-2015
• Free Cash Flow Valuation 2011-2015
   – Assumptions
• Valuation Presentation
   –   Present Values of FCF
   –   Terminal Value calculation (EBITDA multiple)
   –   Analysis on Terminal Growth Rates
   –   Valuation per Share



                         www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Free Cash Flow Valuation
Assumptions
• CAPEX was added in the FCF model
• Depreciation was added in the FCF model
• Change of working capital were updated based on
  the Verecloud financials
• Debt was updated in the FCF Analysis
• Model is discounted back to March 31st, 2011
• Number of outstanding shares were updated to
  110mio


                   www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Valuation Presentation
Valuation per Share

   Discount
                # of shares      Valuation per share
     Rate
                (in millions)    w/o Terminal Value
     14%              110.5                  $    0.93
     15%              110.5                  $    0.90
     16%              110.5                  $    0.86
     17%              110.5                  $    0.83
     18%              110.5                  $    0.80




Discount Rate             TV as % of total Equity Value           # of shares         Valuation per share incl. TV
                                                                  (in millions)
                       4x                 5x              6x                          4x           5x           6x
    14%                 82.02%           85.08%          87.25%         110.5     $    5.07    $    6.11    $    7.15
    15%                 81.99%           85.05%          87.22%         110.5     $    4.87    $    5.87    $    6.86
    16%                81.95%            85.02%          87.20%         110.5     $    4.67    $    5.63    $    6.59
    17%                 81.92%           84.99%          87.17%         110.5     $    4.49    $    5.41    $    6.33
    18%                 81.89%           84.97%          87.15%         110.5     $    4.31    $    5.20    $    6.08




                                              www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Valuation Presentation
Present and Terminal Value calculations

                                                                         Implied Perpetual Growth Rate of
Discount Rate   PVs of FCF      PV of TV (multiple of 2015 EBITDA)
                                                                                        TV
                (2011-2015)         4x           5x          6x            4x           5x         6x
    14%         $      103      $    460     $    575    $    690           0.09%       2.60%       4.34%
    15%         $       99      $    441     $    551    $    662           0.97%       3.50%       5.25%
    16%         $       95      $    423     $    529    $    635           1.85%       4.40%       6.17%
    17%         $       92      $    406     $    508    $    610           2.73%       5.30%       7.08%
    18%         $       89      $    390     $    488    $    586           3.61%       6.20%       8.00%


Discount Rate       Net Debt                Firm Value                              Equity Value
                                    4x          5x           6x              4x          5x            6x
    14%         $        2.26   $    563     $    678    $    793        $    561    $     676     $    791
    15%         $        2.26   $    540     $    651    $    761        $    538    $     648     $    759
    16%         $        2.26   $    519     $    625    $    731        $    517    $     622     $    728
    17%         $        2.26   $    498     $    600    $    702        $    496    $     598     $    699
    18%         $        2.26   $    479     $    577    $    674        $    477    $     574     $    672




                                           www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Free Cash Flow Valuation
2011-2015

                                                  2011              2012                2013                 2014                2015

Total Revenues                             $       4,463,593    $   2,794,963 $        48,283,209 $ 127,288,753            $ 257,123,282
Growth in %                                                                -37%                1628%                164%                102%
Total Costs of Goods Sold                  $       2,099,166    $     284,999 $         4,828,321 $         10,183,100 $        17,998,630

Gross Profit                               $       2,364,427 $      2,509,964 $        43,454,888 $ 117,105,653            $ 239,124,652
Gross Profit in %


Operating Income (EBIT)                    $        (827,529) $     (2,645,094) $      32,665,615 $ 101,122,925            $ 214,156,230

Less: Taxes                                $              -     $          -      $   (10,365,705)     $   (38,923,390)    $   (82,433,513)

Net Operating Income After Taxes (NOPAT)   $        (827,529) $     (2,645,094) $      22,299,910 $         62,199,535 $ 131,722,717

Plus: Dep                                  $          38,941    $      47,492     $        63,159      $        36,750     $       56,750
Less: CAPEX                                $       1,242,180    $   2,402,434     $     2,253,734      $     2,342,684     $    2,413,888
Less: Change in non-cash Working Capital   $        (630,410)   $     528,403     $     3,752,795      $     5,218,145     $   10,359,158

Free Cash Flow                             $      (1,400,358) $     (5,528,438) $      16,356,540 $         54,675,456 $ 119,006,421




                                               www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Verecloud’s Financial Projections
2011-2015

                                        2011                  2012                  2013                2014               2015

Total Revenues                     $   4,463,593 $           2,794,963 $           48,283,209 $ 127,288,753           $ 257,123,282
Growth in %                                                          -37%                  1628%               164%               102%


Total Costs of Goods Sold          $   2,099,166         $     284,999         $    4,828,321      $   10,183,100     $   17,998,630

Gross Profit                       $   2,364,427 $           2,509,964 $           43,454,888 $ 117,105,653           $ 239,124,652
Gross Profit in %                                  53%                   90%                90%                 92%                93%


Total Operating Expenses           $   3,191,955         $   5,155,058         $   10,789,273      $   15,982,728     $   24,968,422
Total SG&A as % of total revenue                   72%               184%                   22%                 13%                10%


Operating Income (EBIT)            $    (827,529) $          (2,645,094) $         32,665,615 $ 101,122,925           $ 214,156,230
Operating Profit in %                          -19%                  -95%                   68%                 79%                83%


Other Expense                      $    (239,427)        $    (291,126)        $      (63,159)     $      (36,750)    $      (56,750)

Tax Expense                        $           -         $           -         $   10,365,705      $   38,923,390     $   82,433,513

Net Income                         $   (1,066,955) $         (2,936,219) $         22,236,751 $        62,162,785 $ 131,665,967
% of revenues                                  -24%                  -105%                  46%                 49%                51%




                                                   www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
Company’s Financial Projections
Additional Information 2011-2015

                                2011            2012          2013           2014          2015


Balance Sheet Information
Total Assets                $    1,523,835 $    5,540,943 $   41,126,384 $ 132,978,971 $ 328,588,415
Total Liabilities           $    2,883,216 $    1,592,958 $    5,138,964 $   4,414,524 $   7,002,957
Total Owner's Equity        $   (1,359,381) $   3,947,985 $   35,987,419 $ 128,564,447 $ 321,585,458

CAPEX                       $   1,242,180 $     2,402,434 $    2,253,734 $   2,342,684 $    2,413,888
Depreciation                $      38,941 $        47,492 $       63,159 $      36,750 $       56,750




                                           www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
NBT EQUITY GROUP
• Founders
  – Tobin Smith, Founder & CEO
  – Amanda Besemer, Founder & President
• Established April 2010
• Website: http://www.nbtequitiesresearch.com




                    www.nbtequitiesresearch.com

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Verecloud ($VCLD) Valuation

  • 1. Valuation of Verecloud (VCLD) www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 2. Content • Verecloud’s Financial Projections 2011-2015 • Free Cash Flow Valuation 2011-2015 – Assumptions • Valuation Presentation – Present Values of FCF – Terminal Value calculation (EBITDA multiple) – Analysis on Terminal Growth Rates – Valuation per Share www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 3. Free Cash Flow Valuation Assumptions • CAPEX was added in the FCF model • Depreciation was added in the FCF model • Change of working capital were updated based on the Verecloud financials • Debt was updated in the FCF Analysis • Model is discounted back to March 31st, 2011 • Number of outstanding shares were updated to 110mio www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 4. Valuation Presentation Valuation per Share Discount # of shares Valuation per share Rate (in millions) w/o Terminal Value 14% 110.5 $ 0.93 15% 110.5 $ 0.90 16% 110.5 $ 0.86 17% 110.5 $ 0.83 18% 110.5 $ 0.80 Discount Rate TV as % of total Equity Value # of shares Valuation per share incl. TV (in millions) 4x 5x 6x 4x 5x 6x 14% 82.02% 85.08% 87.25% 110.5 $ 5.07 $ 6.11 $ 7.15 15% 81.99% 85.05% 87.22% 110.5 $ 4.87 $ 5.87 $ 6.86 16% 81.95% 85.02% 87.20% 110.5 $ 4.67 $ 5.63 $ 6.59 17% 81.92% 84.99% 87.17% 110.5 $ 4.49 $ 5.41 $ 6.33 18% 81.89% 84.97% 87.15% 110.5 $ 4.31 $ 5.20 $ 6.08 www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 5. Valuation Presentation Present and Terminal Value calculations Implied Perpetual Growth Rate of Discount Rate PVs of FCF PV of TV (multiple of 2015 EBITDA) TV (2011-2015) 4x 5x 6x 4x 5x 6x 14% $ 103 $ 460 $ 575 $ 690 0.09% 2.60% 4.34% 15% $ 99 $ 441 $ 551 $ 662 0.97% 3.50% 5.25% 16% $ 95 $ 423 $ 529 $ 635 1.85% 4.40% 6.17% 17% $ 92 $ 406 $ 508 $ 610 2.73% 5.30% 7.08% 18% $ 89 $ 390 $ 488 $ 586 3.61% 6.20% 8.00% Discount Rate Net Debt Firm Value Equity Value 4x 5x 6x 4x 5x 6x 14% $ 2.26 $ 563 $ 678 $ 793 $ 561 $ 676 $ 791 15% $ 2.26 $ 540 $ 651 $ 761 $ 538 $ 648 $ 759 16% $ 2.26 $ 519 $ 625 $ 731 $ 517 $ 622 $ 728 17% $ 2.26 $ 498 $ 600 $ 702 $ 496 $ 598 $ 699 18% $ 2.26 $ 479 $ 577 $ 674 $ 477 $ 574 $ 672 www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 6. Free Cash Flow Valuation 2011-2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Revenues $ 4,463,593 $ 2,794,963 $ 48,283,209 $ 127,288,753 $ 257,123,282 Growth in % -37% 1628% 164% 102% Total Costs of Goods Sold $ 2,099,166 $ 284,999 $ 4,828,321 $ 10,183,100 $ 17,998,630 Gross Profit $ 2,364,427 $ 2,509,964 $ 43,454,888 $ 117,105,653 $ 239,124,652 Gross Profit in % Operating Income (EBIT) $ (827,529) $ (2,645,094) $ 32,665,615 $ 101,122,925 $ 214,156,230 Less: Taxes $ - $ - $ (10,365,705) $ (38,923,390) $ (82,433,513) Net Operating Income After Taxes (NOPAT) $ (827,529) $ (2,645,094) $ 22,299,910 $ 62,199,535 $ 131,722,717 Plus: Dep $ 38,941 $ 47,492 $ 63,159 $ 36,750 $ 56,750 Less: CAPEX $ 1,242,180 $ 2,402,434 $ 2,253,734 $ 2,342,684 $ 2,413,888 Less: Change in non-cash Working Capital $ (630,410) $ 528,403 $ 3,752,795 $ 5,218,145 $ 10,359,158 Free Cash Flow $ (1,400,358) $ (5,528,438) $ 16,356,540 $ 54,675,456 $ 119,006,421 www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 7. Verecloud’s Financial Projections 2011-2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Revenues $ 4,463,593 $ 2,794,963 $ 48,283,209 $ 127,288,753 $ 257,123,282 Growth in % -37% 1628% 164% 102% Total Costs of Goods Sold $ 2,099,166 $ 284,999 $ 4,828,321 $ 10,183,100 $ 17,998,630 Gross Profit $ 2,364,427 $ 2,509,964 $ 43,454,888 $ 117,105,653 $ 239,124,652 Gross Profit in % 53% 90% 90% 92% 93% Total Operating Expenses $ 3,191,955 $ 5,155,058 $ 10,789,273 $ 15,982,728 $ 24,968,422 Total SG&A as % of total revenue 72% 184% 22% 13% 10% Operating Income (EBIT) $ (827,529) $ (2,645,094) $ 32,665,615 $ 101,122,925 $ 214,156,230 Operating Profit in % -19% -95% 68% 79% 83% Other Expense $ (239,427) $ (291,126) $ (63,159) $ (36,750) $ (56,750) Tax Expense $ - $ - $ 10,365,705 $ 38,923,390 $ 82,433,513 Net Income $ (1,066,955) $ (2,936,219) $ 22,236,751 $ 62,162,785 $ 131,665,967 % of revenues -24% -105% 46% 49% 51% www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 8. Company’s Financial Projections Additional Information 2011-2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Balance Sheet Information Total Assets $ 1,523,835 $ 5,540,943 $ 41,126,384 $ 132,978,971 $ 328,588,415 Total Liabilities $ 2,883,216 $ 1,592,958 $ 5,138,964 $ 4,414,524 $ 7,002,957 Total Owner's Equity $ (1,359,381) $ 3,947,985 $ 35,987,419 $ 128,564,447 $ 321,585,458 CAPEX $ 1,242,180 $ 2,402,434 $ 2,253,734 $ 2,342,684 $ 2,413,888 Depreciation $ 38,941 $ 47,492 $ 63,159 $ 36,750 $ 56,750 www.nbtequitiesresearch.com
  • 9. NBT EQUITY GROUP • Founders – Tobin Smith, Founder & CEO – Amanda Besemer, Founder & President • Established April 2010 • Website: http://www.nbtequitiesresearch.com www.nbtequitiesresearch.com